3 Reasons Jack Dorsey Believes In A Bitcoin Revival

Authored by Mehran Muslimi via HackerNoon.com,

Jack Dorsey, the billionaire co-founder of Twitter and Square, is at least consistent in his support for Bitcoin. He has remained unwavering in his belief, surely earning him the title of ‘Bitcoin evangelist’.

It is hard to dismiss Dorsey’s view given that he is a successful entrepreneur, and his support for the leading cryptocurrency is music to the ears of those who share his views, but don’t have the public profile to share them with such a vast audience.

Recently Dorsey participated in a podcast, imaginatively called, “Tales from the Crypt” (perhaps they are also Edgar Allan Poe fans as it sounds like the title of one of his stories), where he talked about buying Bitcoin.

He revealed that he “maximizes the $10,000 Bitcoin purchase limit on Square Cash to acquire the leading cryptocurrency.” Square, in case you are unaware of it, is a payments platform with a Cash App that enables people to send money to others almost instantly. It has a merchant payment system as well and as it says on its website is, “We’re empowering the electrician to send invoices, setting up the food truck with a delivery option, helping the clothing boutique pay its employees, and giving the coffee chain capital for a second, third, and fourth location.”

What will fuel Bitcoin growth?

Since 1st March, Bitcoin has been showing growth, and another supporter of the cryptocurrency, Brian Kelly, CEO of BKCM, said he believed, “the so-called crypto winter is approaching its last phase and is slowing thawing.” Since he said this, within a week, the Bitcoin price rebounded to over $3,900 as the cryptocurrency market added $6 billion to its valuation.

Kelly explained to CNBC what was happening in terms of Bitcoin improving its fundamentals.

“If you look at the number of addresses that have been created on the Bitcoin network, that’s up about 20 percent from the January lows, it’s apt highs at the levels we saw in the spring of 2018 when Bitcoin was well above $6,000. So Fundamentally, you’re starting to see improvement.

Some high profile investors and endowments have been dipping their toe into the space, add in that you’re talking about Fidelity coming out with custody this week and Jack you know, he understands the payment network.”

Jack Dorsey’s 3 reasons for believing in Bitcoin growth

Kelly’s reference to Jack Dorsey brings me back to Jack’s views about what has happened.

In one interview he listed the reasons for growth as “improved scalability through a second-layer scaling solution, the involvement of institutions such as Fidelity and ICE, and the overall increase in interest towards the asset class.”

Those are the three reasons Dorsey sees a strong future for Bitcoin.

And there is one other: Dorsey is also an investor in Lightning Labs and therefore has an interest in seeing the Lightning Network succeed. He has reaffirmed that Square, the $31 billion payments giant, will adopt the Lightning Network in the near-term and when it does, Dorsey could single-handedly push the adoption of the second-layer scaling solution.

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Maybe Now We Can Finally Read This Star Trek/Dr. Seuss Mash-Up

What do you find at the intersection between the quadrants of Star Trek and Dr. Seuss? Why, a fair-use lawsuit, of course! But thanks to a federal judge’s ruling on Tuesday, that suit’s supply of dilithium crystals might be running dangerously low.

Confused? Let’s break it down. We’ve all heard of the 1990 Dr. Seuss (real name Theodor Geisel) book Oh, the Places You’ll Go! It’s an inspiring children’s story often given as a gift to students graduating from high school or college.

But you might not have heard of Oh, the Places You’ll Boldly Go!, a 2016 “mash-up” of Star Trek and Dr. Seuss. The book is the crowdfunded brainchild of ComicMix, a company that creates (as the name suggests) content related to comics and other works of fiction. In 2016, ComicMix’s Glenn Hauman teamed up with longtime comics artist Ty Templeton and writer David Gerrold (real name David Jerrold Friedman), who wrote the renowned episode The Trouble with Tribbles for the original Star Trek series. They started a Kickstarter campaign to fund the project, eventually raising nearly $30,000, and considered Boldly to be “a parody, a mash-up, and a transformative work,” according to an order issued Tuesday from Judge Janis Sammartino of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of California.

But Dr. Seuss Enterprises, which controls the copyrights for the late author’s works, wasn’t having it. Beginning in September 2016, the company sent a series of cease-and-desist letters regarding the unpublished Boldly. In November of that year, Dr. Seuss Enterprises filed suit, claiming copyright violations. The book became trapped in a pocket of null space.

A long and complicated legal battle over fair use ensued, culminating in Sammartino’s summary judgement in favor of the Boldly creators.

What exactly is fair use? Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act of 1976, there are several factors that must be taken into account when considering whether one work violates the copyright protections of another work. Those factors are “the purpose and character of the use,” “the nature of the copyrighted work,” “the amount and substantiality of the portion used in relation to the copyrighted work as a whole,” and “the effect of the use upon the potential market for or value of the copyrighted work.”

Fair-use lawsuits can be tricky. As Sammartino notes in her ruling, there’s no one standard that can be applied in these sorts of cases. Courts must take into account the factors described above, but there’s no rule that says if certain facts are met, then the court must rule in one particular way. As Reason contributor Ken White (of Popehat Twitter fame) explained on his blog in October 2016, the fair use doctrine’s “key elements are subjective and lack bright lines. That means it is rarely possible to use the Fair Use defense to get out of litigation early; usually you’ve got to litigate all the way to summary judgment or even trial.”

In June 2017, the district court ruled that while Boldly was not technically a parody, it was still a “highly transformative work that takes no more than necessary to accomplish its transformative purpose and will not impinge on the original market for Plaintiff underlying work.” In response to that ruling, Dr. Seuss Enterprises filed an amended complaint, and the ComicMix crew asked for the lawsuit to be dismissed.

This week, Sammartino issued a summary judgement ruling that applied each of the fair-use doctrine factors. First, regarding the “purpose and character of the use,” the court upheld its prior determination that Boldly is a “highly transformative work.”

“Defendants did not copy verbatim text from Go! in writing Boldly, nor did they replicate entire illustrations from Go!,” the ruling reads. “Although Defendants certainly borrowed from Go!—at times liberally—the elements borrowed were always adapted or transformed.”

Also, Sammartino said that while both books are illustrated works with “uplifting” messages, they don’t necessarily have the same purpose, as Boldly is largely “tailored” to Star Trek fans. The second factor, regarding “the nature of the copyrighted use,” actually favors Dr. Seuss Enterprises, Sammartino wrote, “because there is no dispute that the Copyrighted Works are highly creative but have also been long and widely published.”

On the issue of “substantiality,” Sammartino drew parallels to a fair-use case from the 1990s, Leibovitz vs. Paramount Pictures. In an effort to market for the 1994 release of the Naked Gun franchise’s final film, Paramount released posters of a pregnant, naked model with the head of actor Leslie Nielsen. Photographer Annie Leibovitz saw this as a copyright infringement on a nude, pregnant photo of actress Demi Moore that she had taken for a famous 1991 Vanity Fair cover. The movie poster was clearly supposed to be a reference to the Moore photo, “from the model’s posture to her hand placement to the use of a large ring on the same finger,” Sammartino recalled. “The defendant’s photograph was then digitally enhanced using a computer to make the skin tone and body shape more closely resemble that of Ms. Moore in the plaintiff’s original photo.”

In that case, an appeals court ruled in Paramount’s favor on the basis that the photo was a parody. However, the circuit court made sure to differentiate between what is protected under copyright law (unique camera angles, lighting, etc.) and what is not (using an image of a naked, pregnant woman in a given pose).

In the Dr. Seuss case, Sammartino explained that while “plaintiff may claim copyright protection in the unique, rainbow-colored rings and tower on the cover of Go!” it “cannot claim copyright over any disc-shaped item tilted at a particular angle,” as doing so “would foreclose a photographer from taking a photo of the Space Needle.”

Finally, the court said the “market” factor was “neutral.” For one thing, Sammartino explained that Star Trek is an adult show with adult themes, and therefore so is Go! “Despite its admittedly Seussian appearance, Boldly is clearly not a children’s book and there is a minimal risk that Boldly will usurp Go!‘s market to the extent it is targeted to children,” she writes.

While both books are also meant for graduating students, the court said the plaintiff didn’t introduce enough evidence that Boldly sales will harm Go! sales. “Although it is certainly conceivable that some would-be purchasers of Go! would instead purchase Boldly for a Trekkie graduate, there is a dearth of evidence or expert testimony permitting the Court to extrapolate the likely effect—if any—that Boldly may have on Plaintiff’s sales of Go!” Sammartino said.

“On balance, therefore, the fair use factors favor Defendants,” she ruled. “Accordingly, the Court GRANTS Defendants’ Motion for Summary Judgment as to fair use.”

The ruling “is a big win for the First Amendment,” Michael Licari, a lawyer for ComicMix, told Reuters. Dr. Seuss Enterprises has said it may appeal, though at least for now, ComicMix is in the clear.

This case is in some ways similar to another fair-use lawsuit, this one stemming from a 2008 episode of the irreverent Comedy Central animated series South Park. The show had parodied a viral video, prompting Brownback Films to sue Viacom, which owns Comedy Central. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit eventually ruled in Viacom’s favor.

These sorts of rulings are important because they affirm the right to transform or parody existing content to create something unique. As free speech lawyer Marc Randazza told Reason TV in 2017: “”Copyright is not just there to incentivize you to create. It’s also there to create a larger marketplace of ideas.”

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Facebook Had Every Right to Reject Elizabeth Warren’s Crappy Ad

Elizabeth WarrenPresidential candidate and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D–Mass.) seems to think her argument for “breaking up” large tech companies like Amazon and Facebook was bolstered earlier in the week when Facebook temporarily censored some of her advertisements.

Nothing could be further from the truth. In fact, her disingenuous reaction (and the pandering of a compliant press) highlights how we should not permit powerful elected government officials—of all people—to set the rules of behavior for online media platforms, no matter how big they are.

To summarize, Warren attempted to purchase advertising on Facebook to promote her campaign to break up big tech, including Facebook. Three of her advertisements contained one of Facebook’s logos. Those ads (but not her others—that’s important to note) were rejected temporarily because Facebook has rules against using their logos in advertisements. The reasoning behind this is extremely logical—to avoid the possibility of confusing Facebook users over the difference between ads and “official” messages from Facebook itself.

So, to be blunt here, Warren’s campaign screwed up with its ad design. It’s all their own stupid fault for including the logo. But, no, Warren is spinning this as proof that Facebook is too powerful because it’s able to “shut down debate” about Facebook:

Some observations here:

  • They rejected a small selection (three) of several ads. The others ran.
  • Each of the ads was limited in reach and cost less than $100, according to Politico.
  • The company rejected the ads because Warren’s campaign violated a rule put in place to help prevent people from getting scammed by fake ads posing as Facebook messages (presumably a good rule).
  • There is a massive and healthy discussion all over the media landscape about whether Facebook is too powerful that does not apparently require Facebook to host $100 advertisements from Warren to facilitate. There is no monopoly here.
  • Warren’s plans to break up big tech appear to include importing over the European Union’s proposal for a huge copyright enforcement regime that will lead to massive amounts of censorship online. If this enforcement system were brought over to the United States, amusingly enough, an image recognition pre-screening tool ordered to be put into place by the government itself would have probably caused Facebook to reject Warren’s ad for trademark violations. Meaning, a government program Warren appears to support would have censored her own ad.
  • Facebook has every constitutional right to reject ads that contain content it objects to or finds reprehensible or offensive. That wasn’t why they rejected the ad temporarily, but regardless, nobody has a right to force Facebook to host their advertisements. (Somebody kindly tell this to Sen. Ted Cruz.)

So either Warren is being deliberately manipulative here (by downplaying that there was a reason for Facebook’s decision and that it wasn’t all of her advertisements) in order to bolster her argument, or she’s too dense to understand the implications of her own arguments. Should The New York Times be required to run ads from President Donald Trump calling them “fake news” while using the newspaper’s own logo?

In either case, this response actually emphasizes that Warren and her team lack either the ethical compass or the technological grasp of online platforms (and apparently trademarks as well) to be trusted to make any decisions at all about Facebook’s business practices.

And yet, some media folks are lapping this up with a spoon, probably angered at how online platforms have disrupted the media’s domination of advertising avenues. The “monopoly” is in the wrong people’s hands! Here’s a fascinating defense of Warren’s overblown fears of “big tech” from Brian Feldman at New York Magazine arguing that the “accidental” removal is part of the problem:

Understanding this is the key to understanding why Big Tech is something to be concerned about. Even when it’s assumed to be operating in good faith and attempting to be fair, Facebook still makes the wrong call. It does this many times every day. The threat of Big Tech is not some nefarious Big Brother scenario in which the Thought Police eradicate any dissent; it’s that even when companies like Facebook are earnestly trying to do their jobs well, the scale at which they operate make its screw-ups and mistakes substantial.

But Facebook actually didn’t make the “wrong call.” They, in fact, decided to make an exception to their rule to pander to Warren. Note the invocation of “Big Brother” and “Thought Police” here. Those are terms to describe government policing of speech. Feldman presents this as an omnipresent fear but everybody seems to be oblivious to the fact that what Warren wants to do here is to intrude into these online platforms with the authority of government.

The “substantialness” of Facebook’s mistakes absolutely pale in comparison to the disasters that occur when government officials screw up even when they have allegedly good intentions. People have been stuck in prison for decades due to a stupidly harsh drug war pushed by lawmakers and presidents who delusionally think this is going to save us all from addiction. We are still engaged in thoughtless, aimless military actions overseas that leave both American troops and foreign citizens dead because of powerful people like Warren “earnestly trying to do their jobs well.”

I’ll take Facebook’s mistakes over a senator’s anytime. That this is not the default position of everybody in the media in 2019 who has seen what has come of some of our most intrusive domestic and foreign policies is a mystery to me.

Bonus link: Reason’s Peter Suderman explains how awful and economically illiterate Warren’s tech plan is.

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Facebook And Instagram Suffer Widespread Global Outage

Facebook and Instagram users around the world reported outages on Wednesday, beginning with reports from south-eastern England and spreading into the United States and South America. 

Users have either been greeted with a message that reads: “Sorry, something went wrong. We’re working on getting it fixed as soon as we can,” or were timed out on their connection. 

Facebook and its subsidiary Instagram each have more than two billion monthly active users around the world. 

The cause of the outage is unknown, however users took to Twitter to discuss:

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Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren Are Wrong About Trump’s Medicare Cuts

Over the last few days, both Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.)—both of whom are currently vying for the Democratic presidential nomination—have attacked President Trump for proposing Medicare cuts in his latest budget.

You might get the impression from these tweets that Trump is proposing to slash Medicare’s benefits. For the most part, that’s not true. As Trump’s acting budget director said when the budget plan was released, the president is “not cutting Medicare,” and “there are no structural changes for Medicare.” Too bad.

Instead, the cuts, such that they are, are focused on eliminating that conveniently vague Washington standby—”waste, fraud, and abuse.” Trump’s budget, like previous presidential budgets, won’t become law, so this is in some sense an argument about vague cuts that almost certainly won’t happen.

In this case, the proposed cuts mostly take the form of payment reductions to health providers, like hospitals. (In the world of health care policy, you can usually tell whose payments are on the chopping block by which industry group issues the loudest objection.) About 11 percent of the reductions would hit Medicare Part D, the prescription drug program, and could affect how much seniors pay out of pocket.

There are a few things to note about these reductions.

The first is that the total reduction is not the $845 billion Sanders claims. Instead, it’s $515 billion. As the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) noted in a recent analysis, the $845 billion figure includes money that is being moved out of Medicare and into other parts of the budget for the Department of Health and Human Services, which oversees Medicare. These aren’t really cuts; they’re organizational reclassifications.

The second is that these Medicare cuts are quite similar to the provider reimbursements backed by the Obama administration, which cut Medicare payments by about $800 billion as part of Obamacare. As an Axios report notes, President Obama defended those reductions by saying they wouldn’t affect seniors’ benefits. According to the CRFB analysis, many of the cuts included in Trump’s budget “closely resemble or build upon proposals made in President Obama’s budgets.”

At the time, Republicans criticized those payment reductions, implying they would hurt seniors. In reality, the main effect would be to make obvious hypocrites out of everyone involved. Obama responded to GOP criticism by portraying those payment reductions as necessary to “strengthen and preserve” Medicare. If that’s what Obama was doing then, then that’s what Trump is doing now.

Perhaps Sanders and Warren believe that reimbursement cuts would force providers to reduce service: Pay doctors less, and you’ll get less from them.

If so, it’s worth recalling that both are backers of Medicare for All—single-payer plans that would scrap today’s private health insurance coverage as well as today’s Medicare program for seniors and replace them with a new, government-run program covering all Americans. Sanders’ single-payer plan is premised on paying health care providers far less than they are paid right now, with some estimates putting the reduction around 11 to 13 percent, and others putting it closer to 40 percent. In any case, doctors and other health care providers would, overall, be paid quite a bit less than they are today.

The transition to single-payer would be fairly rapid, with the Sanders plan calling for full-scale implementation in just four years, and another plan recently introduced by House Democrats calling for a two-year timeline, meaning doctors would face a sudden payment cliff.

There is a reasonable debate to be had about exactly how provider rates affect service, and what sort of payment reductions and reimbursement tweaks doctors and hospitals can absorb. Americans tend to pay higher prices for health care services than in other countries, and health care workers at all stations are often paid more as well. Trump’s budget would cut existing Medicare rates; single payer would reduce payments from today’s mix of private and public payers. Too much of the health care industry lacks any meaningful price signals, and even payers and providers themselves don’t always fully understand the various reimbursement systems they interact with. It’s complicated.

But it is hard to imagine that a rapid transition to a nationwide government-run system of health care financing that dramatically reduces provider payments would not significantly impact the quality or quantity of health care delivery in the United States. Yet by supporting Medicare for All, that is what Sanders and Warren are saying they want for every American.

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Tesla Whistleblower Bombshells: Hacking, Lies To Police, Meth, Cocaine And Sex At Gigafactory

While the rest of the world moved on from Business Insider’s summer 2018 report that Tesla was reworking or scrapping 40% of its raw materials at its Gigafactory, Elon Musk wasn’t able to do so. As Bloomberg details in a new long-form, Elon Musk “stewed for weeks” trying to figure out who had leaked the detailed information with the press.

We now knew that the responsible party was Tesla’s first official whistleblower: Martin Tripp, a worker on the assembly line at Tesla’s Gigafactory. Tripp claimed to have leaked the information for altruistic and safety purposes, trying to get Tesla to fess up to wrongdoing and clean up its act. Musk disagreed, and called Tripp someone who engaged in “extensive and damaging sabotage” of the company and claimed Tripp had shared more confidential information with “unknown third parties”. 

Martin Tripp (Souce: BBG)

Tesla subsequently sued Tripp for $167 million in late June of 2018, which we reported on previously. On the same day, Tripp heard from the sheriff’s department in Storey County, Nev., who claimed they had gotten a tip from Tesla security. Meanwhile, Tesla security claimed someone had called in to the Gigafactory, warning them that Tripp was planning a mass shooting at the gigafactory. 

When the police tracked down Tripp later that evening, he was unarmed and “in tears”, claiming that he was terrified of Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who he thought may have called in a falsified tip himself. The Sheriff contacted Tesla to tell them that the tip was bogus and that Tripp was not dangerous. Bloomberg reports that “Tesla’s PR department spread rumors that Tripp was possibly homicidal and had been part of a grand conspiracy.”

At the same time, Musk took to Twitter to decry the author of the Business Insider report, Linette Lopez. He accused her of being on the payroll of short sellers and claimed that Tripp had admitted to taking bribes from her in exchange for “valuable Tesla IP”. Lopez forcefully denied the accusations immediately on Twitter, mocking Musk for wasting his time on her. 

In a surprise reversal, the Gigafactory’s head of security at the time, Sean Gouthro, has now also turned into a whistleblower. He claims that Tesla security “behaved unethically in its zeal to nail” Tripp. Among other things, he claims that Tesla investigators hacked into Tripp’s phone, had him followed and misled police. Further, Gouthro says that Tripp didn’t sabotage Tesla or hack anything and that Elon Musk knew all of this, but still tried to damage his reputation. 

“They had the ability to do things I didn’t even know existed. It scared the shit out of me,” Gouthro told Bloomberg. 

Sean Gouthro (Photo: BBG)

Gouthro said he wasn’t surprised that Tripp went unnoticed at the Gigafactory when he tried to point out problems. The factory “had been filled with workers so quickly that it was almost impossible to control,” he said. 

He also said that soon after he started in January 2018, he discovered many employees (some living out of their cars) were using cocaine and meth in the bathrooms. Others were having sex in parts of the factory that weren’t constructed yet. 

“A member of a Mexican cartel was in fact trafficking in potential large quantities of methamphetamine and cocaine,” one of Gouthro’s underlings, Karl Hansen, would later state publicly. Hansen was cited as Gouthro’s motivation to go public with his story – Gouthro sought to corroborate Hansen’s claims. 

In terms of security at the factory, Gouthro said that “the scanners guards used to check badges were unreliable, so they’d wave in anyone with a piece of paper that looked legitimate.”

After Tripp went public, Gouthro looked back through video footage to identify him as the leaker. He sent a plainclothes security guard to ask Tripp to turn his laptop in for a “routine update” that was actually a comprehensive forensic audit. Tripp later admitted, in an interrogation with company HR, that he was the leaker – but the transcript of the interrogation showed that he denied taking bribes, which Musk later accused him of on Twitter. 

Gouthro claimed that Tesla somehow had access to texts and e-mails that Tripp was sending while at the Gigafactory:

Gouthro, who wasn’t in the interrogation room, says at one point he saw a colleague reading the text messages and emails that Tripp was sending during breaks in the questioning. He says that somehow Tesla was able to access Tripp’s communications in real time.

The six hour interview wound up finishing on relatively civil terms, according to the transcript, though Gouthro said he had to debrief a “furious” Musk via video conference, before Tesla fired Tripp on June 19. 

You can read the full Bloomberg feature here

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Tailing 30Y Auction Prices At Lowest Yield In 8 Months

After a mediocre 3Y auction and a stellar 10Y auction, today the Treasury concluded the week’s coupon issuance with the sale of $16 billion in reopened 29-year 11-month bonds. The high yield of 3.014%, while coming at the lowest since July 2018, was a surprisingly big tail to the 3.006% When Issued, suggesting some indigestion during the auction process.

Yet while the high yield left a little to be desired, the internals were solid with the Bid to Cover printing at 2.254, fractionally below February’s 2.27% which also happened to be the 6 auction average. Meanwhile, following some growing concern about Indirect bidder, i.e. foreign buyers, stepping back, today’s take down was solid, with 57.8% going to foreign official institutions, above last month’s 56.4%, if below the recent auction average of 60.9%. And with Directs fading modestly, taking down 14.1% after last month’s 17.0%, Dealers ended up with 28.1% of the auction, above both Feb’s 26.6% and the recent auction average.

In summary, a solid auction with in line internals, despite some weakness headed into the 1pm auction deadline. As a result, there was virtually no reaction in the secondary bond market.

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Small Business Hiring Suggests We May See More Weak Employment Data

Authored by Bryce Coward via Knowledge Leaders Capital blog,

Last week we were presented with a fairly cold employment report with the number of job gains being lowest in 18 months and one of the lowest readings in the last decade. The problem is not necessarily the one weak employment report – which did come with at least some bright spots including a lower overall unemployment rate – but the fact that the data has been unquestionably weak across a number of economic indicators from employment to manufacturing activity to durable goods orders (an indicator of capex intentions).

In this type of environment, it becomes harder and harder to give bad data a “pass” as a one off statistic. This is especially true when we start to see weak data points being confirmed by more forward looking data, and that is exactly what we saw today in the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB) survey.

Specifically, it was the small business hiring plans component that caught our attention. It came in at the lowest level in about a year and was a continuation of the sharp drop seen in the January report.

This is important because the one year change in the NFIB hiring plans indicator tends to lead year over year changes in both the unemployment rate and initial claims by about four months.

In other words, the fact that small businesses are signaling a slowdown in hiring suggests we may be in for more weak employment reports in the months ahead, a prospect neither stocks nor bonds are discounting at the moment.

 

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The Washington Post Blames Obama for Fentanyl Deaths

A story in today’s Washington Post makes the case that the Obama administration failed to take the proliferation of fentanyl as a heroin booster and substitute seriously enough, resulting in drug-related deaths that otherwise would not have occurred. The story is formatted in white type on a black background, interspersed with examples of people who died after taking fentanyl, so you know the Post‘s intentions are serious. I wish I could say the same about its argument, which makes much of press conferences that did not happen and reports that should have gotten more attention but fails to identify a single policy that would have made an important difference.

Reporters Scott Higham, Sari Horwitz, and Katie Zezima note in passing that the crackdown on prescription opioids pushed nonmedical users (as well as some bona fide pain patients) toward black-market alternatives, which are much more dangerous because their potency is inconsistent and unpredictable. Initially the main alternative was heroin, which was “cheaper and and more available,” notwthstanding a century of government efforts to eliminate sources, interdict shipments, and put distributors in prison. To the extent that such efforts have been successful at all, they have only encouraged traffickers to replace heroin with more potent products such as fentanyl, which makes it possible to pack more doses in any given volume and is “20 times more profitable than heroin by weight.” Yet the main solution Higham et al. suggest is eliminating sources, interdicting shipments, and putting distributors in prison, a strategy that by their own account has manifestly failed to stop Americans from obtaining the psychoactive substances the government says they should not want.

Higham et al. implicitly fault former Attorney General Eric Holder’s “Smart on Crime” initiative, which among other things urged federal prosecutors to refrain from triggering mandatory minimum sentences in run-of-the-mill drug cases involving low-level, nonviolent offenders. “Out in the field,” they write, “some drug agents and prosecutors said they noticed an immediate difference, just as fentanyl started to show up on the streets.” Draconian mandatory minimums “provide powerful incentives for people to talk,” they explain, and Holder’s policy deprived drug warriors of that weapon.

The Post cites Dominick Capuano, a former New York City narcotics cop, who “said federal prosecutors would no longer take the lower-level cases and morale among his drug agents plummeted as heroin and fentanyl overdoses soared.” According to Capuano, the attempt to curtail the use of mandatory minimums undermined the NYPD’s anti-drug tactics. “The low-lying fish is where you start the cases,” he tells the Post. “Those are the people who flip, who give information, and that’s what leads to these bigger cases.”

Let us leave aside the question of whether threatening “low-lying fish” with manifestly unjust prison terms is morally justified because it “leads to these bigger cases.” Is there any reason to think “these bigger cases,” which had not stopped heroin from being cheap and plentiful, would have been any more successful when deployed against fentanyl? The fentanyl supply is, if anything, harder to disrupt than the heroin supply, since it is a synthetic product that does not rely on crops and enters the country in small packages from myriad sources, including the mail and private courier services as well as hidden compartments of vehicles crossing the border at legal ports of entry.

If there is a pattern to be seen in the facts cited by Higham et al., it is not the Obama administration’s insufficient zealousness in prosecuting the war on drugs. It is the fultility of that endeavor, which never manages to block the supply of illegal drugs, as Donald Trump keeps promising to do, but does manage to make drug use more dangerous. Prohibition created a black market in which potency is highly variable, which leads to fatal dosing errors. Restricting access to prescription analgesics pushed more people into that market, resulting in more fatalities. Attempts to curtail the heroin supply encouraged the shift to fentanyl, which made potency even more unpredictable and drug-related deaths even more common.

But things can always get worse. Already the use of superpotent fentanyl analogs is on the rise, and the strategy implicitly endorsed by the Post is apt to encourage that trend.

“This is a massive institutional failure, and I don’t think people have come to grips with it,” John P. Walters, George W. Bush’s drug czar, tells the Post. “This is like an absurd bad dream and we don’t know how to intervene or how to save lives.” Walters is absolutely right, but not in the way he thinks.

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One thing Congress gets right: funding their own pensions

Turns out Congressmen make a lot of money…

A study found that while the average American’s net worth increased 3.7% per year between 2004-2012, members of Congress averaged 15.4% annual gains.

That high level of pay means half the members of Congress are millionaires today… and continue to collect their $174,000 annual salary.

Of course it’s you, the taxpayer, paying that cushy salary.

But did you know the taxpayer also foots the bill for insane retirement benefits for Congress?

Each retired member can start collecting a pension at age 62 if they’ve spent just five years in Congress.

And they’ll collect 80% of their $174,000 annual salary.

That’s almost $140,000 a year, for the rest of their lives… for five years of service.

Where can I sign up?

Meanwhile, 40% of Americans can’t cover an unexpected $400 emergency expense… 57% have less than $1,000 in savings.

And a third of baby boomers—the generation currently retiring—have NOTHING put away for retirement.

While Congress’ pension is secured by your tax dollars, only 13% of regular Americans have pensions today. And even if you were promised one, collecting it is another story…

A recent Boston College report estimates 25% of private US pension funds—the pools of capital that pay out retirement benefits—will go bankrupt in the next decade. Public local, state, and federal pension funds are in even worse shape: $7 TRILLION short on what they promised to pay retired government workers.

But most Americans are relying on a different broken retirement fund… Social Security.

The Social Security Administration admits it is $50 trillion underfunded, and will run out of money by 2034.

That means cutting payouts, raising the retirement age, or both. And even that is only a short term solution…

There are, however, at least two Senators who see the injustice in all of this. They introduced legislation to eliminate pensions for members of Congress.

They say it’s not fair that while the poor get poorer, Congress gets richer.

The median American household net worth declined .94% per year from 2004 to 2012. And over the same period, 100 members of Congress watched their net worth gain 114% per year.

Members of Congress added $316.5 million to their net worth during this time period.

(But it wasn’t the Socialists in Congress who introduced the bill to address this wealth gap. They’re happy to ignore this prime example of the rich literally stealing from the poor.)

Getting rich at the taxpayers’ expense, collecting a salary 3x the median household income, and getting a six-figure lifetime pension…

That’s Congress’ reward for sinking the US government $22 trillion in debt… for creating debt bubbles in housing and student loans… for utterly failing to address a broken Social Security system… for wasting billions on things like a broken Obamacare website, defending Congressmen from sexual assault lawsuits… and fighting like children during a government shutdown while millions of Americans were out of work.

But whatever happens next with the economy, whatever destruction their actions cause, rest assured, they’ll take their money and run…

Just like they did in 2008 before the big financial crash. Strange how 34 different members of Congress rearranged their investment portfolios within two days of talking to top Treasury and Federal Reserve officials.

One Senator even sold up to half a million dollars’ worth of Lehman Brothers stock the day after he met with the Treasury Secretary… just months before the firm declared the largest bankruptcy in history.

These politicians suffer no consequences for the policies they force on the entire nation. On the contrary, they personally gain tremendously from the turmoil they cause.

Even if their pensions are cut — I’m not holding my breath — it is largely a symbolic move. It won’t make a dent in the dire debt and liabilities of the US government.

Unlike members of Congress, you’re on your own for retirement.

One option is, if you can’t beat them, join them. Run for Congress and watch your net worth skyrocket. Even without their golden pensions you’ll be all set for retirement.

But a more realistic (and ethical) solution is to plan your retirement assuming the government promises will not be fulfilled.

One solution is to take matters into your own hands by using self directed structures for your IRA or 401(k).

But perhaps a better solution is to become a better investor. Saving an extra couple grand a year, and putting it into the right places can make a huge difference over the course of a couple of decades.

Sovereign Man’s Chief Investment Strategist Tim Staermose was on our Podcast last week explaining two different targeted investment strategies with proven track records. You can listen here.

Worst case scenario is we are wrong—the government by some miracle saves Social Security, pays off the debt, funds its pensions, doesn’t tank the economy and avoids another recession…

And you’ll still be better off having prepared for the worst.

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