Millennials Are Social Liberals, Fiscal Centrists

Reason-Rupe has a new survey and report out on
millennials—find the report

Millennials aren’t liberals; they are social liberals and fiscal
centrists. And it’s largely social issues driving the distance
between millennials and Republicans.

Traditional ideological labels don’t allow millennials to
distinguish their positions on social tolerance from those on
economics. But when given
the opportunity
, millennials do distinguish between the

Fully 62 percent of millennials identify as liberal
on social issues. While considerably less—49 percent—indicate
they are liberal on economic issues. In other words, the
average millennial is a social liberal and a fiscal centrist.

Millennials Agree More with Obama on Social Issues than

Interestingly, millennials see themselves as closer to President
Obama on social issues, but not so much on economic issues.
(Find more
in-depth graphics here
). When millennials indicate how they
perceive President Obama’s positions on economic issues alone, they
see him as considerably further left than themselves. But on social
issues, they see the President as having more similar views to
their own.

The survey also asked millennials to indicate where they saw
former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s positions on both
economics and social issues respectively, as well as Gov. Chris
Christie, Sen. Rand Paul, and the Republicans in Congress.

Millennials actually see themselves as closer to Gov. Chris
Christie, a Republican, on economic issues, but closer to Hillary
Clinton, a Democrat, on social issues. (Even still, they are
likely voting for Clinton).

Social Issues Driving the Distance Between Millennials and

Young Americans also perceive themselves as right in between
(equidistant) Hillary Clinton and Sen. Rand Paul, a Republican, on
economics, but closer to Clinton on social issues. They feel
furthest from Republicans in Congress on both social and economic
issues, but primarily social.

Overall, millennials are indeed closer to Democrats than
Republicans, but social issues are driving this distance. If only
economics divided the political parties, millennials would find
themselves right in the middle. However, factoring in their social
issue positions, millennials move into the Democratic camp. It may
be that social issues explain
why millennials have increasingly abandoned the GOP in presidential
elections since 2004
 (see Pew’s
chart here

This can be demonstrated using the following chart that plots
where each millennial respondent saw themselves on social issues
(horizontal axis) and economic issues (vertical axis) respectively.
(kdensity plots
found here

(The chart above is somewhat analogous to a Nolan
 that divides and then plots public opinion on a
two-dimensional chart representing preferences for both economic
and personal freedoms.)

Mapping millennials’ ideological preferences demonstrates
several things:

  • First, millennials don’t fall into the traditional left-right
    mold of American politics. A considerable number see themselves as
    socially liberal and economically conservative (17%) and some as
    socially conservative and economically liberal (6%).
  • Second, the millennials’ center of gravity is socially liberal
    and fiscally centrist.
  • Third, social tolerance issues, not economics, are primarily
    driving the distance between millennials and Republicans.

A cluster analysis which finds natural groups of respondents
found the following: The largest group was of social liberals who
were moderately liberal on economic issues (Grey-28%), followed by
left liberals (Blue-18%), centrists (Purple-17%), right
conservatives (Pink-14%), libertarians (Green-12%), social
conservatives who were moderately conservative on economic issues
(Magenta-8%), and communitarians (Orange-4%).

Download the PDFTo learn more about
millennials, check
out Reason-Rupe’s new report.

from Hit & Run

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Obamacare Continues to be a Drag on Democrats

Even in blue state races where
Democrats are currently running ahead, opposition to Obamacare is
far stronger than support. 

As The Washington Post
, new polling from NBC-Marist shows that Sen. Mark Udall,
a Democrat from Colorado, and Rep. Gary Peters, a Democrat from
Michigan who is running for Senate, are both holding leads.

But even in these relatively blue states, both of which went for
President Obama in 2012, Obamacare doesn’t seem to be helping. Via
the Post:

In Colorado, 46 percent of voters say they “strongly” believe
that passing Obamacare was a bad idea. And in blue-leaning
Michigan, 44 percent agree.

This only captures the extremes—those who believe passing the
health law was strongly a good idea or strongly a bad idea. But
it’s indicative of where the intensity is, as well as the difficult
time that Democrats have had converting the law into a political
success, even as the major public failures of last fall have been
smoothed over. 

You can see something similar at work in North Carolina, where
Sen. Kay Hagan, a potentially vulnerable Democrat who has sometimes
been portrayed
as a strong advocate
of the health law because of her arguments
for expanding Medicaid, is being
hammered for her support of the law
by her opponent, North
Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis. North Carolina obviously isn’t
a blue state, but it is the state with the third-highest Obamacare
enrollment in states that relied on the federal exchange. 

Yet Hagan doesn’t really highlight her vote for Obamacare. And
about the issue by Politico, a spokesperson for
the campaign brought up the candidate’s support for “fixes to the
health care law to make it work better.” Hagan even took the
unusual step earlier this year of sending out an anti-Obamacare
mailer against
her Republican counterpart, needling him for once having called the
health law “a great idea.” 

This isn’t totally unexpected. Obamacare has always struggled in
the polls. Democrats have been
pushing the empty “fix-it” line
for a while. And in the special
election in Florida’s 13th congressional district, which was fought
partially over Obamacare, a little known Republican candidate came
from way behind to beat a Democrat with a lot of name value. Sink’s
support for the law was
, but even still, distancing herself from it didn’t
seem to help. That’s the problem for at least some Democrats this
November. They can’t back too far away from the law, but, given the
energy of the opposition, they can’t easily support it

from Hit & Run

Cop Shoots 17-Year-Old Boy Who Answers Door, Nothing Else Happens

no hoodie no outrageIn February, Beth Gatny of the Euharlee, Georgia,
police department fatally shot 17-year-old Christopher Roupe after
the boy opened the door for the officer. Gatny was at the residence
to serve a probation warrant for Roupe’s father. Police claimed the
17-year old pointed a gun at the officer but the family
he as holding a Nintendo Wii controller.  One
witness said she saw the cop sobbing into her hands after the

In April, a grand jury recommended the District Attorney,
Rosemary Greene, take action, finding the use of deadly force was
not authorized. The DA’s office said it would collect additional
evidence and return to a grand jury. Unfortunately you can probably
guess what happened next.
Via WSB-TV in Atlanta

The District Attorney’s Office for the Cherokee Judicial Circuit
presented a proposed indictment charging Gatny with involuntary
manslaughter and reckless conduct. However, the grand jury did not
find sufficient evidence for the case to proceed to trial.

“Because the Grand Jury has determined that the actions of
Officer Gatny did not rise to the level of a criminal offense, this
concludes the involvement of the District Attorney’s Office in this
matter,” District Attorney Rosemary Greene said.

Gatny, who had been with the Euharlee Police Department less
than a year, was
from her previous police job, in Acworth, Georgia. While
there, among other things, she apparently shot a suspect while he
was trying to remove his backpack, believing he was going for a
gun. She was fired for exhausting her medical leave.

The Georgia Bureau of Investigation completed its investigation
into the shooting sometime in April and sent the results to the DA.
That report does not appear to have been made public but Reason has
placed an open records request for the final report.

from Hit & Run

New York Nurses Threaten Strike Over Growth of “Substandard, Non-Union” Clinic Jobs

York City nurses and other unionized health care workers in the Big
Apple are threatening to go on strike
because they’re sick of
hospitals shifting patients towards cost-saving clinics where the
employees have “substandard, non-union jobs.”

The nurses say if their leaders and hospital officials don’t
reach an agreement by July 31, they will stage a one-day strike “to
send a message that they want to keep the city’s heath-care
industry unionized.” 

The union’s main complaint about hospitals shifting services to
outpatient clinics is that it
robs the group of its influence.
The union wants hospitals to
agree not to prevent outpatient clinic workers from forming unions
and have a process in place to unionize workers at these

But hospital officials are not loving this idea because one way
clinics save money (And, therefore, are able to pass those savings
on to consumers and taxpayers) is by keeping labor costs down.

Hospital representatives point out that they need to compete
with clinics that employ non-union workers and aren’t affiliated
with hospitals.

In fact, shifting heath care away from the more costly emergency
rooms and hospital wards is a measure the Affordable Care Act has
pushed to curb exorbitant medical care costs.

And lucky for dollar-conscious consumers who like choice in
their health care decisions,
outpatient clinics are growing:

Since 2004, New York state’s outpatient workforce increased 24%,
compared with a 7% increase in hospital employment, according to
the U.S. Department of Labor. Nationally, outpatient employment has
increased 46% since 2004, compared with 11% for hospitals.

If the strike comes to fruition, it will be the first time the
group has walked off the job in at least two decades.

from Hit & Run

Social Issues, Not Economics, Largely Define Political Labels for Millennials

Reason-Rupe has a new survey and report out on
millennials—find the report

Compared to Americans over 30, millennials are half as likely to
identify as politically conservative (14% to 34%), and nearly twice
as likely to say they’re liberal (25% to 14%). The latest
Reason-Rupe study of millennials finds
 their political
ideologies may largely be an expression of their social and
cultural values more than their economic policy preferences. In
fact their social values are what draws them closer to President
Obama, more than their economic policy preferences.

Overall, 30 percent of millennials say they are moderate, 25
percent liberal, 14 percent conservative, 7 percent libertarian, 7
percent progressive, and 17 percent say they are “something

Does Liberal Mean “Liberal”?

The fact that millennials are so much more comfortable using the
liberal label and less willing to use the conservative one raises
several questions. Does the word “liberal” mean something different
to millennials than older cohorts? Does it convey liberal policy
preferences across both social and economic issues?

It appears that liberal millennials do distinguish between
social and economic liberalism: 67 percent indicate they are strong
social liberals while only 49 percent say they are strong economic
liberals. In fact, when
liberal millennials used their own words to explain why they are
 only 32 percent mentioned both economic and
social issues. Fully a third (33%) only described their liberal
label based on social tolerance, inclusivity, and personal

Ideology in Their Own Words

To better understand what these political labels mean to
millennials, they were asked
to use their own words
 to explain why they describe
themselves as a liberal, moderate, conservative, libertarian, or
progressive. The results indicate that social issues largely define
these terms, particularly for liberal millennials.

Coding millennials’ responses reveals that for most liberal and
progressive millennials, their ideological label primarily reflects
social liberalism, not necessarily economic liberalism. Overall, 68
percent of self-identified liberals’ explanations mentioned
elements of social tolerance and personal freedom, while only 35
percent mentioned economics. Progressives were similar on social
issues (64%), but more mentioned economics (47%).

Conservative millennials are considerably less likely than
liberals to rely on social matters to define their label. Instead,
conservatives’ affiliation equally conveys their views on both
economics (41%) and social issues (41%). For libertarians, economic
conservatism (67%) as well as social liberalism (48%) define
libertarians’ label. Among all millennials, 37 percent mentioned
something about social issues and 27 percent mentioned economics.
(More found here).

To read a selection of millennials actual responses, click
through the following slideshow:

A more in-depth analysis of their responses can be
found here.

Download the PDFTo learn more about
millennials, check
out Reason-Rupe’s new report.

from Hit & Run

A.M. Links: Immigration Fight Heats Up, Justice Department Investigates Missing IRS Emails, Ceasefire Reached in Gaza

  • According to a
    new Gallup poll
    , one in six Americans now believes immigration
    is the top problem facing the U.S.
  • “A Justice Department investigation into the Internal Revenue
    Service has expanded to include an inquiry into
    the disappearance of emails
    from a former senior IRS
  • Crime rates are dropping in Detroit and Police Chief James
    Craig says armed citizens deserve a good deal of the credit.
    “Criminals are getting the message that good Detroiters are armed
    and will use that weapon,” Craig
  • Philadelphia’s attempt to tax strip club lap dances has been

    struck down
    in court.
  • “A ceasefire deal has been reached to end fighting between
    Israel and the Palestinian militants in Gaza, an Israeli official
    has told the

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter,
and don’t forget to
 for Reason’s daily updates for more

from Hit & Run

Andrew Napolitano on Obama’s ‘Chilling’ Effect

“Chilling” is the word lawyers use to describe
governmental behavior that does not directly interfere with
constitutionally protected freedoms, but rather tends to deter
folks from exercising them. Classic examples of “chilling” occurred
in the 1970s, when FBI agents and U.S. Army soldiers, in business
suits with badges displayed or in full uniform, showed up at
anti-war rallies and proceeded to photograph and tape record
protesters. The government’s goal, and its limited success, was to
deter dissent without actually interfering with it, explains Andrew
Napolitano. Eventually, when this was exposed as part of a huge
government plot to stifle dissent, known as COINTELPRO, the
government stopped doing it… until now.

View this article.

from Hit & Run

Brickbat: They’re Just Pals

The Equality Commission for
Northern Ireland has accused Ashers Baking Co. of illegal
discrimination and threatening to sanction it if it doesn’t bake a
cake featuring Muppets Bert
and Ernie
. A customer ordered the cake, which would also
feature a slogan supporting gay marriage and the logo of a gay
right’s group, but the bakery canceled the order, saying it would
violate the director’s Christian beliefs.

from Hit & Run

Tonight on The Independents: Red Meat Wednesday, With Judge Napolitano, TV’s Andy Levy, Meth Babies, Crap Presidents, Gun Hysteria, V.A. Privatization, and More!

|||Did you think
last night’s episode
of The
was some pretty damn acceptable television?
Then I reckon you’ll like tonight’s installment (Fox Business
Network, 9 p.m. ET, 6 p.m. PT, with re-airs three hours later),
which starts off with Party Panelists Andy Levy (co-host, Red
) and Mike
(ex-CIA dude) riffing on Dick Cheney’s contention that
Barack Obama is the “worst
” of his not-inconsiderable lifespan. The duo
will also talk about the asinine contention by Sen. Harry Reid
(D-Nevada) that “the border is secure,” which ranks right there in
stupidity with the notion that that border can be
the most idiotic Rolling Stone listicle
in the
magazine’s history, and the almost-as-pointless Republican outrage
over the
White House bowling alley

Fox News
Senior Judicial Analyst
Andrew Napolitano will come on to square the circle
in the complex immigration debate between natural rights, rule of
law, and open borders. The co-hosts will have a spirited discussion
about what should be done about mothers
who test positive for meth
, KABC radio host (and
multiple-theater combat veteran) Bryan Suits will
make the case for voucherizing the Veterans Administration’s health
care system, and then the show will close with some discussion
about the presidential possibilities for Sen. Elizabeth Warren

Follow The Independents on Facebook at,
follow on Twitter @ independentsFBN, and
please tweet promiscuously during the program. And you can click on
for more video of past segments.

from Hit & Run