Pot Can Earn You Profits or a Prison Sentence

A decade ago, Andy Cox was sentenced to federal prison for growing 594 marijuana plants in Georgia’s Chattahoochee National Forest, plus another 724 seedlings on his father’s property. The total put him above the 1,000-plant threshold that would ordinarily trigger a 10-year mandatory minimum sentence. But because Cox had two prior marijuana convictions, 10 years became the rest of his life.

Andy Cox

The 1,318 plants that resulted in a life sentence for Cox amounted to less than 4 percent of the crop grown by Los Sueños Farms, a state-licensed business in Pueblo County, Colorado, where marijuana was legalized a few years after Cox’s trial. As pot prohibition continues to collapse across the country, such jarring contrasts have become par for the course.

An estimated 40,000 marijuana offenders are serving time in state or federal prisons for agricultural or commercial activities that are now legal in nine states, earning entrepreneurs profits instead of prison sentences. According to the website lifeforpot.com, more than two dozen marijuana offenders are serving life sentences or prison terms that amount to the same thing.

Life sentences for cannabis are rare, and the vast majority of people arrested on marijuana charges—about 660,000 in 2017, nine out of 10 for simple possession—serve little or no time behind bars (although they may suffer long-lasting ancillary penalties). But some states still come down hard even on minor pot offenses.

In Cox’s home state of Georgia, possessing one ounce or less of marijuana is a misdemeanor punishable by up to a year in jail and a $1,000 fine. Any more than that is a felony, triggering a one-year mandatory minimum and a maximum of 10 years for amounts up to 10 pounds. Pot penalties are similarly harsh in Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, and Wyoming, where the lowest-level marijuana offense can be punished by up to a year behind bars.

Even states that are not quite so punitive can have nasty surprises in store for cannabis consumers. In Texas, possessing two ounces or less of marijuana is a misdemeanor punishable by up to six months in jail. But possessing any amount of cannabis concentrate is a felony, and the maximum penalties apply to weights above 400 grams. The entire weight of food or beverages spiked with concentrate counts toward that threshold, which is why a teenager caught with 1.4 pounds of pot cookies and brownies in 2014 initially faced a sentence of 10 years to life.

At the other extreme are the 10 states (Alaska, California, Colorado, Oregon, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, Vermont, and Washington) where possessing small amounts of marijuana (usually an ounce in public, more at home) carries no penalty at all for adults 21 or older. Some states that have not yet legalized recreational marijuana use, such as Delaware, Maryland, New Hampshire, and New York, have decriminalized possession of small amounts, which is punishable by a civil fine.

Wyoming, one of the most punitive states, also has the highest marijuana arrest rate: 415 per 100,000 in 2016, according to data compiled by Jon Gettman, an assistant professor of justice at Shenandoah University, compared to 400 per 100,000 in New Jersey, its closest competitor. Oregon—where marijuana was legalized in 2014 but some cannabis-related activities, such as unlicensed commercial production and public possession of more than two ounces, are still treated as crimes—had the lowest pot arrest rate that year: 80 per 100,000.

Even in states that have legalized cannabis for recreational use, state-licensed growers and retailers are committing federal felonies every day. Those crimes theoretically expose them to the sort of prosecution that sent Andy Cox to prison for life. But Attorney General William Barr has said he is not interested in pursuing cases against marijuana merchants who comply with state law, and President Donald Trump has said he is inclined to support legislation that would exempt them from the federal ban.

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It’s Only April, And U.S. Retailers Have Already Shuttered More Stores Than They Did All Of Last Year

Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,

If the U.S. economy is in good shape, why have retailers already shuttered more stores than they did in all of 2018?  Not only that, we are also on pace to absolutely shatter the all-time record for store closures in a single year by more than 50 percent.  Yes, Internet commerce is growing, but the Internet has been around for several decades now.  It isn’t as if this threat just suddenly materialized.  As Internet commerce continues to slowly expand, we would expect to see a steady drip of brick and mortar stores close, but instead what we are witnessing is an avalanche.  If the U.S. economy really was “booming”, this wouldn’t be happening.  But if the U.S. economy was heading into a recession, this is precisely what we would expect to see.

Last year, U.S. retailers closed 5,864 stores.

That was a rather depressing number, but here we are in April 2019 and we have already surpassed it.  The following comes from CNN

This year, US retailers have announced that 5,994 stores will close. That number already exceeds last year’s total of 5,864 closure announcements, according to a recent report from Coresight Research.

At this time last year, there was a lot of optimism for the retail industry.  Foot traffic at our shopping centers rose steadily throughout the early portion of the year before peaking in August.

But then something changed, and since that time there has been a clear downward trend

Foot traffic at some of the best shopping centers across the country peaked around August 2018 and has since started to fall, after rebounding for much of last year, according to a new report from data analytics firm Thasos, which uses more than 100 million mobile phones to track when consumers enter and leave certain trade areas.

Once again, you can’t blame this on Internet commerce.  Foot traffic was rising for quite a while, but now what we are seeing is perfectly consistent with an economic slowdown.

Sadly, this could be just the beginning.  In fact, one expert quoted by CNBC expects total store closures in the U.S. to hit 12,000 by the end of 2019…

“I expect store closures to accelerate in 2019, hitting some 12,000 by year end,” Deborah Weinswig, founder and CEO of Coresight, said.

If that happens, we will shatter the old yearly record by about 4,000.

We are in the early innings of America’s “retail apocalypse”, and it is going to get much, much worse.

Of course it isn’t just the retail industry that is hurting right now.  With each passing day, we continue to get more signs that the U.S. economy is sliding into a new recession.  For example, we just learned that during the first quarter of 2019 U.S. manufacturing was down 1.1 percent compared to a year ago…

Manufacturing fell 1.1 percent in the first three months of the year compared to the same period of 2018, the Fed reported.

The biggest reason for the decline in manufacturing is quite obvious.  Businesses are absolutely swamped with unsold inventory, and the inventory to sales ratio in the U.S. has been steadily rising for months.

Earlier today, a Bloomberg article commented on the bloated inventories that we are seeing all over the nation…

One overhang is the auto market, where the six-month average of dealer stocks of cars and trucks matches the highest since 2009 at 75 days. Manufacturers and sellers of furniture and clothing share the same problem, as do small businesses. The inventory swing is likely to exacerbate the U.S. slowdown, with the economy already facing headwinds from the waning impact of tax cuts, slowing global growth and continuing trade tensions.

As economic activity slows down, less stuff is being shipped around the nation by air, rail and truck.  We just got a new update from the Cass Freight Index, and it shows that freight shipment volume in the U.S. has now fallen for four months in a row

Freight shipment volume in the US across all modes of transportation – truck, rail, air, and barge – in March fell 1% from last year, according to the Cass Freight Index. It was the fourth month in a row of year-over-year declines, and the first declines since the transportation recession of 2015 and 2016.

For my regular readers, these new numbers should be no surprise, because I have been tracking these trends for an extended period of time.

All of the numbers are telling us that economic conditions are getting worse, and all of the experts are telling us that we are way overdue for another recession.

Unfortunately, it isn’t likely to be “just another recession”.  As I have repeatedly stressed, all of our long-term economic and financial problems have gotten far worse since the last recession.  We have never seen bubbles like the bubbles that we are facing now, and the stage is set for the greatest meltdown in American history.

The only reason why we have even been able to get this far is by ruthlessly mortgaging the future.  We borrowed trillions upon trillions of dollars that we should not have borrowed, and the Federal Reserve relentlessly pumped “hot money” into overheated financial markets.

Those “emergency measures” were able to stabilize the U.S. economy for a while, but in the process they made our long-term problems much, much worse.

In the end, it isn’t just the retail industry that is heading for an “apocalypse”.  Our entire economy is built on a foundation of sand, and a giant storm is rapidly approaching our shores.

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2Dk8yw7 Tyler Durden

Will This Violent, Mediocre Video Game Help Rebuild Notre Dame?

When Assassin’s Creed Unity—the eighth major installment in a video game franchise that lets players climb and stab their way through various historical settings—came in out in 2014, it was greeted with underwhelming reviews. The game garnered a 70 percent score on Metacritic, which, roughly speaking, translates to: It’s not a total disaster, but no better than just OK.

But critics praised the depiction of the game’s primary location, an exceptionally detailed digital mock-up of 18th century Paris, with a reviewer for the popular video game news and reviews site IGN writing that the fully explorable virtual city “[pierces] the sky like the spire of Notre Dame. On a purely technical level, Unity is a marvel to walk through and admire.”   

This week, Notre Dame’s famous spire burned down in a fire that took out major portions of the cathedral. French president Emmanuel Macron vowed yesterday to rebuild within five years, an ambitious goal that some have warned is unrealistic. Several of the country’s wealthiest families have already raised a reported $700 million to fund the effort. However the reconstruction proceeds, Assassin’s Creed Unity could prove invaluable to the effort.

At the time of the game’s release, Caroline Miousse, senior level artist, told The Verge she spent the better part of two years working on the game’s virtual version of the cathedral. During that time, the site reported, she went over “photos to get the architecture just right, and worked with texture artists to make sure that each brick was as it should be. She even had historians help her figure out the exact paintings that were hanging on the walls.” In a separate interview, she said she based some of her designs on historical blueprints.

The result wasn’t perfectly accurate: Some alterations and additions were made to account for the franchise’s freewheeling, exploratory gameplay. And the cathedral’s famous spire was added even though it wasn’t built until after the period the game is set in.

And yet, the in-game version of Notre Dame is nonetheless surprisingly realistic, at least as video games go, with the familiar arches and flying buttress supports and oversized stained glass windows all recreated in painstaking detail. You can watch a video of someone exploring the in-game cathedral below.

I remember the first time I played an Assassin’s Creed game more than a decade ago. The story and screenwriting were awful, and the mission structures quickly grew repetitive—but I was intrigued anyway, mostly because of the depth of its (virtual) historical setting. The game offered a stunning sense of place. It wasn’t precisely like being there in person, but it was closer than I expected. I had a lot of fun just exploring the map and seeing the sights—playing the game more like a tourist rather than an assassin.

I haven’t played a game in the series for several years, because there’s no sign the core gameplay has significantly improved. But I have followed coverage of the franchise, and it’s clear that, as game technology has advanced, the virtual locations have grown even richer and more detailed. Recent editions have even included what is essentially a “tourist mode,” in which players can just move around the map without having to bother with the game.

Arguably more than any other medium, this is what video games are best at—geography, location, creating a sense of presence and place. The best video game locations can seem almost physical, especially when those locations are based on real-life places. In a neat reversal, a video game’s virtual version of Notre Dame could end up providing a reference point for a recreation of the real-world place. 

Assassin’s Creed Unity, by most accounts, wasn’t all that great a game: It was a placeholder installment in a franchise that has sometimes struggled to figure out its reason for being—a pulpy, crude, commercial product designed to make money by letting gamers run around a historical, funhouse version of Paris, occasionally stabbing people. And it certainly won’t be the only external resource builders have to draw on; there’s also a 3D map created by Vassar art historian Andrew Tallon, which is supposedly accurate to within five millimeters. But Unity is a small reminder that history doesn’t always require a higher purpose, and that sometimes cultures preserve and extend themselves in ways that are less than sacred. If this game ends up helping restore Notre Dame to its former glory, it will have more than justified its existence.

In the meantime, Ubisoft, the developer behind Unity, announced today that it will give away the PC version of game for free this week, allowing anyone to experience its recreation of Notre Dame. The company will also donate €500,000 (or about $564,000) to the preservation effort. It’s obviously not the same as the real thing, but I’m glad it exists anyway; thanks to a video game, some version of Notre Dame, or at least the cathedral’s digital descendant, is still open for virtual tourism.

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Lori Loughlin’s Daughter Is First Student Under Criminal Investigation In Admissions Scandal

A third member of the Loughlin family – the most familiar faces in the recent college admissions scam – is now facing a criminal investigation, according to The Daily Mail. A daughter of Full House star Lori Loughlin, who recently plead not guilty to charges in “the largest ever college admissions scandal” is now the focus of a Department of Justice probe as to her involvement in the case.

Multiple sources have said that the actress’ daughter was on the receiving end of a letter from federal prosecutors in Massachusetts earlier this month regarding the investigation. The letter said that Loughlin’s daughter was the subject of an investigation that could result in criminal charges.

One person who saw the letter said: “It is a not-so-veiled threat. [The US Attorney’s Office for the District of Massachusetts] is making it pretty clear that they have evidence that very strongly suggests she knew of the illegal plot.”

The tone of the letter was described as “ominous”. A source said that these letters are an indication that prosecutors are working to obtain evidence and possibly pursue additional charges and defendants.

Another source interpreted the letter as clear telegraphing of more charges to come: “It is clear that some students are going to be charged.”

Sources said that five additional people whose children received letters all refused a plea deal and filed a plea of not guilty, as Loughlin and her husband have done. Loughlin’s daughters, as part of the scam, pretended they had previously been on crew teams in order to gain preferential treatment as potential athletic recruits. To sell that idea, they posed for photos on ergometers, offering the suggestion that they were aware and willing participants in their parents’ plan. Loughlin daughter Olivia also reportedly had scam ringleader William Rick Singer’s team fill out her college applications for her.

According to the complaint:

‘On or about December 12, 2017, Loughlin e-mailed [Singer], copying Giannulli and their younger daughter [Olivia], to request guidance on how to complete the formal USC application, in the wake of her daughter’s provisional acceptance as a recruited athlete,’ states the complaint.

‘Loughlin wrote: “[Our younger daughter] has not submitted all her colleges [sic] apps and is confused on how to do so. I want to make sure she gets those in as I don’t want to call any attention to [her] with our little friend at [her high school]. Can you tell us how to proceed?”‘

In response, Singer wrote an email ‘directing an employee to submit the applications on behalf of the Giannullis’ younger daughter [Olivia].

Loughlin and Giannulli ‘agreed to pay bribes totaling $500,000 in exchange for having their two daughters designated as recruits to the USC crew team – despite the fact that they did not participate in crew – thereby facilitating their admission to USC,’ according to the documents.

Perhaps if you’re too “confused” on how to fill out a college application, that should automatically discredit you from admission – just a thought.

Regardless, this is the first report of a student potentially being investigated in the scandal that has already seen 16 parents face indictments. Previously it had been reported that Loughlin was worried about what a guilty plea would do to her daughters. 

“She is very concerned about what a guilty plea would do to her daughters, who may not have grasped everything that was going on. Yes, she can think about the public perception of her, but that’s nothing compared to what her daughters think of her. So that is something that has understandably made her less likely to enter a plea,” a source told People several days ago. 

Just days ago, we reported that the Harvard test taking whiz who was central to the scheme, Mark Riddell, had cut a deal with prosecutors and was facing 33 to 41 months in prison. 14 other parents were also recently indicted in the scandal last week. Two weeks ago, we noted that parents charged in the scheme were seeking out “prison life consultants” to find out what life would be like in the big house. Perhaps Loughlin’s daughters can now benefit from the same consultant. 

We have been following the admissions scandal at length. As part of our coverage, we detailed how financial speaking gigs and elite high schools helped facilitate the scam for years.

We’ve also covered the fallout from the scandal, like when UCLA’s Men’s Soccer Coach and former U.S. Men’s national team player Jorge Salcedo recently resigned from his position at the university as a result of taking bribes. We also wrote about how students were being encouraged to fake learning disabilities in order to cheat on college entrance exams. 

We profiled Mark Riddell for the first time in March. Prior to that, we also reported on the tipster who gave the SEC the lead on the admissions scandal.

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2UJ3Y5i Tyler Durden

‘NSFW Advertising’ Banned From Reddit

An update quietly posted to the Reddit ad forum yesterday details a huge shift in rules for those wishing to advertise on the site. As of this week, Reddit is no longer allowing “ads for adult-oriented products and services,” nor will it allow any advertising to appear on subreddits that it deems “Not Safe for Work” (NSFW).

“Additionally, NSFW subreddits will be removed from any campaign that may have targeted them previously, and campaigns will no longer accrue clicks or impressions on those subreddits,” the site says.

Reddit defines “adult-oriented products and services” as any “pornographic or sexually explicit content, as well as adult sexual recreational content, products, or services.” This is not? just about blocking really explicit images or possibly illegal conduct but everything related to sex and sexuality.

Sex toys, dirty books, kink groups, strip clubs, and erotic art are just a few subjects that would seem to be banned from advertising on Reddit now.

Ads for condoms and contraception should still be allowed, under an exception for “ads pertaining to products for the prevention of pregnancy and/or sexually transmitted infections.”

Erectile dysfunction drug ads are also OK.

Reddit did not offer a reason for the rule change, but it’s far from alone in recent crackdowns on all sorts of content related to sex. As platforms strive to keep up with an array of new tech regulations—from America’s ban on ads that facilitate prostitution under FOSTA to new “privacy”and “hate speech” laws in the European Union, a British ban on showing porn without checking viewers’ ages, and more—anything that might get above a PG rating is being quickly wiped clean from the internet.

Last week Instagram announced a crackdown on “inappropriate” contentthings that fail to trigger a full ban under the app’s community guidelines but that someone at Facebook (Instragam’s parent company) feels uneasy about. “That means if a post is sexually suggestive, but doesn’t depict a sex act or nudity, it could still get demoted,” pointed out TechCrunch. “Similarly, if a meme doesn’t constitute hate speech or harassment, but is considered in bad taste, lewd, violent or hurtful, it could get fewer views.”

Last December, Tumblr announced a ban on all sexually explicit content. By February 2019, its traffic had plummeted by almost a third.

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Bridgewater Warns Of Much Lower Equity Prices As Margins Shrink

In addition to preaching against the dangers of capitalism and warning that unless America can fix its growing inequality problems, it faces a “revolution“, Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio appears to have been reading the research reports by Michael Wilson.

As a reminder, one of the recurring themes laid out over the past year by the bearish Morgan Stanley chief equity strategist, is that with corporate – and especially tech – profit margins near all time highs, there is little opportunity to further “cut into the muscle” and boost earnings by further shrinking compensation costs, especially with wage growth now solidly above 3%. It’s also the main reason why Q1 earnings season is expected to see a drop in EPS despite continued growth in revenues.

Echoing these concerns in a Wednesday report, Bridgewater cautions that the major drivers of high U.S. corporate profit margins are unsustainable and “now under threat”, and will eventually result in much lower equity prices.

“Over the last two decades, U.S. corporate profit margins have surged and have contributed more than half of the excess return of equities relative to cash,” said the world’s largest hedge fund, according to Reuters. “Without that consistent expansion of margins, U.S. equities would be 40% lower than they are today.”

Reiterating many of the points we discussed in a February article, Bridgewater writes that over the last few decades almost every major driver of profit margins has improved, although as shown in the chart below this has largely been the result of much stronger US profit margins in general, and tech companies in particular.

Labor’s bargaining power fell, corporate taxes fell, tariffs fell, globalization increased, technology allowed for greater scale and lower marginal costs, anti-trust enforcement fell, and interest rates fell. These factors have produced the most pro corporate environment in history. Many of these drivers of high profit margins are now under threat.”

Looking ahead Bridgewater predicts that “some of the forces that supported margins over the last 20 years are unlikely to provide a continued boost,” and adds that “incentives for offshore production have been reduced as global labor costs have moved closer to equilibrium, with domestic costs and rising trade conflict increasing the risk of offshoring, while the potential tax rate arbitrage from moving abroad is now much smaller.”

More importantly, with much of the increase in net worth over the past decade being allocated almost exclusively to the 1%, this has led to a backlash against the very forces that made this margin expansion possible, as a result popular sentiment has begun to turn against the forces driving corporate profits, as well as against the companies that have benefited most.

“We are in the midst of a populist backlash against rising inequality and increasingly seeing a move toward more protectionism,” it said in the report. “Recent surveys show increasing animosity toward globalization and the power of companies more broadly and a bit more welcoming attitudes toward government regulation of firms.”

Bridgewater also spotlighted the growing discussion about taxing mega-profitable firms that have benefited from current government policies. For example, Europe’s potential “digital services tax” is explicitly designed to close the tax arbitrage by introducing a sales tax on online revenues from residents, the report said.

The ominous conclusion: “while the current impact of these proposed rules on the overall profitability of these tech giants is relatively small, they are a straw in the wind that the tide might be turning and that the multi-decade boost from favorable taxation policies is unlikely to be repeated.”

Whether Bridgewater is now trading in anticipation of a secular decline in profit margins remains unclear.

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2IpESlu Tyler Durden

Barr Clamps Down On ‘Catch And Release’ With Indefinite Detention For Some Apprehended Migrants

US Attorney General William Barr on Tuesday struck down a decision allowing some asylum seekers to request release on bond in front of an immigration judge – a decision that expands ‘indefinite detention’ for migrants, some of whom must wait months or years for their cases to be heard. 

US immigration courts overseen by the Justice Department have become overloaded – as the number of pending cases have jumped more than 26% since October 2017 from 655,807, to just under 830,000 according to the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC) of Syracuse University. 

US Immigration Court backlog (trac.syr.edu)

Last month, Imimgration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) said the average daily population of immigrants in detention topped 46,000 for the 2019 fiscal year – the highest level since the agency was created in 2003

Even that figure likely understates the backlog because it doesn’t include the impact of the 35-day government shutdown in December and January. Because the system’s roughly 400 immigration judges were furloughed during the shutdown, some 60,000 hearings were canceled. Thousands were rescheduled, adding to the already long wait times.

The administration “has not only failed to reduce the backlog, but has eroded the court’s ability to ensure due process” by pressuring judges to rule “at a breakneck pace” on whether an immigrant should be removed from the United States, the American Immigration Lawyers Assn. — a nonprofit organization of more than 15,000 immigration attorneys and law professors — said in a statement. –LA Times

Barr’s decision applies to migrants who have illegally entered the United States as well as those apprehended within the country, according to Reuters

Typically, those migrants are placed in “expedited removal” proceedings – a faster form of deportation reserved for people who illegally entered the country within the last two weeks and are detained within 100 miles (160 km) of a land border. Migrants who present themselves at ports of entry and ask for asylum are not eligible for bond.

But before Barr’s ruling, those who had crossed the border between official entry points and asked for asylum were eligible for bond, once they had proven to asylum officers they had a credible fear of persecution. –Reuters

I conclude that such aliens remain ineligible for bond, whether they are arriving at the border or are apprehended in the United States,” wrote Barr, who added that such people can be held in immigration detention until their cases are eventually heard, or the Department of Homeland Security decides to release them by granting them “parole.” 

Barr is delaying the effective date of the ruling by 90 days “so that DHS may conduct the necessary operational planning for additional detention and parole decisions.”

According to law professor Steve Vladeck of the University of Texas, the full impact of the decision is not yet clear because it will depend on DHS’ ability to expand detention capabilities. 

“The number of asylum seekers who will remain in potentially indefinite detention pending disposition of their cases will be almost entirely a question of DHS’s detention capacity, and not whether the individual circumstances of individual cases warrant release or detention,” said Vladeck. 

In early March, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), the DHS agency responsible for detaining and deporting immigrants in the country illegally, said the average daily population of immigrants in detention topped 46,000 for the 2019 fiscal year, the highest level since the agency was created in 2003. Last year, Reuters reported that ICE had modified a tool officers have been using since 2013 when deciding whether an immigrant should be detained or released on bond, making the process more restrictive. 

The decision will have no impact on unaccompanied migrant children, who are exempt from expedited removal. Most families are also paroled because of a lack of facilities to hold parents and children together. –Reuters

Migrant rights groups are predictably livid over Barr’s ruling. The ACLU’s Michael Tan said that the rights group intends to sue the Trump administration over the decision. 

Barr’s decision is the result of a review begun under former Attorney General Jeff Sessions in October. 

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2Xm2qLh Tyler Durden

The First Amendment and the Hybrid Permanent Injunction

[You might also read my earlier posts on the subject, Anti-Libel Injunctions and the Criminal Libel ConnectionThe First Amendment and Criminal Libel LawThe First Amendment and the Catchall Permanent Injunction, The First Amendment and the Specific Preliminary Injunction, and How Specific Anti-Libel Injunctions Underprotect Speech; or you can read the whole article in PDF.]

A. The Hybrid Permanent Injunction

What if, instead of saying either “Don may not libel Paula” (as in the catchall injunction) or “Don may not accuse Paula of cheating him” (as in the specific injunction), the injunction instead says, “Don may not libelously accuse Paula of cheating him”? Like the specific injunction, the injunction has a narrow chilling effect. But like the catchall injunction, the injunction requires that Don not be punished for criminal contempt unless, at the contempt hearing, his speech is found to be libelous. Thus, we have this comparison:

Catchall permanent injunction: “Don may not libel Paula” Specific permanent injunction: “Don may not accuse Paula of cheating him” Hybrid permanent injunction: “Don may not libelously accuse Paula of cheating him”
Deters derogatory speech only about the plaintiff Same Same
Deters derogatory speech only after the injunction is entered Same Same
Deters all derogatory speech about the plaintiff Deters only particular derogatory statements about the plaintiff Deters only particular derogatory statements about the plaintiff
Speech punished only if found to be false beyond a reasonable doubt Speech punished based on finding of falsehood by preponderance of the evidence Speech punished only if found to be false beyond a reasonable doubt
… at a criminal trial where an indigent defendant would have a court-appointed lawyer … at a civil hearing where an indigent defendant would generally not have a lawyer … at a criminal trial where an indigent defendant would have a court-appointed lawyer
… and where finding is by jury, if judge provides that any criminal contempt trial will be before jury … and where no jury would be present … and where finding is by jury, if judge provides that any criminal contempt trial will be before jury
… and prohibits only future statements that are libelous when spoken … and prohibitions future statements even without a showing that they are libelous when spoken … and prohibits only future statements that are libelous when spoken

As with the catchall injunction, the hybrid injunction thus just opens the door to the possibility of criminal punishment for continued libels; it doesn’t purport to authoritatively decide that a particular statement is libelous, but leaves the matter to the jury in any future criminal contempt prosecution. But unlike with the catchall injunction, the hybrid injunction only opens that door for particular statements, and thus has less of a chilling effect.

In a sense, then, the hybrid injunction is close to the opposite of a declaratory judgment. A declaratory judgment that a particular statement is false and defamatory, for instance, wouldn’t be a court order, and thus wouldn’t criminalize any repetition of the statements; but it would conclusively decide that the statement is false and defamatory, in a way that likely has a binding effect on future civil litigation.-A hybrid injunction does criminalize behavior—the repetition of a particular statement—but it doesn’t conclusively decide that the statement is false and defamatory, at least in any way that would bind the jury in any future criminal contempt hearing.

Let’s be a bit more specific about what the hybrid injunction should say.

First, it should ban only “libelous” repetition of certain statements. Any injunction that lacks this extra element should be seen as unenforceable—or, alternatively, courts could hold that such an element is necessarily implicit in any anti-libel injunction.

Second, it wouldn’t hurt for the injunction to be explicit about the consequences of including this element; the injunction might expressly say something like,

If defendant is prosecuted for contempt of court for making statements that violate this injunction, at any contempt proceeding it must be proved beyond a reasonable doubt that those statements are indeed false, defamatory, and unprivileged, and that the defendant knew that they were false.

Third, the law of anti-libel injunctions should expressly provide that any criminal contempt prosecutions should be conducted with a jury, unless the defendant waives the jury trial at the time of the criminal contempt hearing. [Footnote: Without this provision, criminal contempt trials could be held without a jury, so long as the sentence is six months in jail or less.] As noted above, there is precedent for this in the Norris-LaGuardia Act, which provides for jury trial in criminal contempt prosecutions stemming from labor injunctions. The jury should be expressly instructed that it’s not bound by any prior judicial finding that the speech is libelous—a finding that was in any event made only by a preponderance of the evidence— and that its task is to decide the question for itself, beyond a reasonable doubt.

Fourth, the law of anti-libel injunctions should provide that such injunctions cannot be enforced through the threat of jail for civil contempt. Civil contempt would otherwise be a common means of coercing speakers to take down past posts, if the injunctions order such takedowns. But when it comes to libel cases, courts should require that any remedy involving loss of liberty go through the criminal contempt process, so as to enforce the principle that speakers can only be jailed for their speech if the full protections of the criminal law are provided. (Fines as civil contempt penalties should be permissible, so long as the initial injunction was issued following a jury finding that the speech was libelous; just as monetary damages awards in libel cases may be issued without the protections of the criminal justice process, so monetary sanctions for violating anti-libel injunctions may be as well.)

With these protections, hybrid anti-libel injunctions would provide speakers with all the First Amendment protections that they would have in criminal libel prosecutions. Given that criminal libel prosecutions are constitutional, such anti-libel injunctions should be as well.

B. The Futility-or-Vagueness Objection

The Texas Supreme Court has held that anti-libel injunctions were impermissible, partly because the injunctions would either be pointlessly narrow (if they are read as forbidding only the literal repetition of particular statements) or unconstitutionally vague, if read as forbidding paraphrased repetition as well. But criminal libel laws can be constitutional if they include the constitutionally mandated mens rea requirements, even though they ban all knowingly false and defamatory statements. An injunction that bans repeating, or even pa­ra­phrasing, particular statements would be less broad and less vague than those laws.

C. The Discretion Objection

Justice Scalia has argued that allowing injunctions against speech leaves judges with too much discretion. Even facially content-neutral injunctions, Justice Scalia argued, may stem from judges’ hostility to the content of the speech: Judges know the targeted speakers’ ideas and may enjoin the speakers because of those ideas, when they would not have enjoined speakers who had engaged in the same conduct but expressed other ideas. Presumably the argument would be even stronger as to anti-libel injunctions.

Yet discriminatory enforcement is possible with any speech restrictions imposed through criminal statutes: A prosecutor could, after all, apply such a statute equally selectively. Justice Scalia argued,

Although a [facially content-neutral] speech-restricting injunction may not attack content as content . . ., it lends itself just as readily to the targeted suppression of particular ideas. When a judge, on the motion of an employer, enjoins picketing at the site of a labor dispute, he enjoins (and he knows he is enjoining) the expression of pro-union views. Such targeting of one or the other side of an ideological dispute cannot readily be achieved in speech-restricting general legislation except by making content the basis of the restriction; it is achieved in speech-restricting injunctions almost invariably.

But precisely the same thing can be said about the enforcement of constitutionally permissible content-neutral statutes:

Although a [facially content-neutral] speech-restricting [statute] may not attack content as content . . ., it lends itself just as readily to the targeted suppression of particular ideas. When a [prosecutor], on the [request] of an employer, [enforces a noise regulation or a crowd size restriction] at the site of a labor dispute, he [restricts] (and he knows he is [restricting]) the expression of pro-union views. Such targeting of one or the other side of an ideological dispute cannot readily be achieved in speech-restricting general legislation except by making content the basis of the restriction; it is achieved in [enforcement of] speech-restricting [laws] almost invariably.

Yet that danger is not reason to require strict scrutiny of content-neutral speech-restrictive statutes, or of prosecutorial decisions related to such statutes. Indeed, the danger doesn’t even invalidate narrowly defined criminal libel statutes, though of course they may well be enforced (like all statutes may be enforced) in surreptitiously viewpoint discriminatory ways. The danger should likewise not require heightened scrutiny of content-neutral injunctions (as in Madsen) or of injunctions limited to forbidding constitutionally unprotected speech, such as defamation.

from Latest – Reason.com http://bit.ly/2GrFoNz
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Former Peruvian President Shoots Himself As Police Raid Home

High level mass corruption scandals continue to plague Latin America politics, as on Wednesday Peru’s former President Alan García shot himself in the head just as police raided his home seeking an arrest

Local media reports say he has survived the wound, and is undergoing surgery for “a bullet wound to his head” in Lima while in a coma. The 69-year old García served as president from 1985 to 1990 and again from 2006 to 2011, but was recently caught up in the massive bribery scandal involving Brazilian construction company Odebrecht — a conglomerate most recently known for constructing venues for the 2016 Olympics and 2014 World Cup in its home country.

Former Peruvian President Alan Garcia, shown arriving at the prosecutor office in Lima on Nov. 15

The former president has long denied the allegations, which involved accepting kickbacks from Odebrecht during his second term in office related to contracts for a metro line building project in the capital. Odebrecht, for its part, has admitted paying out almost $30m in bribes since 2004 to Peruvian officials. García has claimed the charges against him are motivated by political persecution. 

The Odebrecht scandal has resulted in the downfall of multiple politicians, but it didn’t appear García was ready to go to prison quietly. As police entered his Lima home early on Wednesday he reportedly hid in his bedroom, after which he shot himself in the head, and is reported in “very critical” condition, according to Reuters.

Police in riot gear have reportedly surrounded the Casimiro Ulloa hospital where the former president is in a coma. 

Amazingly Peru’s last five ex-presidents, in parallel to Brazil’s far-reaching so-called “Car Wash” scandal, have either all served jail time or are currently under investigation for corruption

* * *

Per the BBC, a list of recent corruption-plagued Peruvian presidents:

  • Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, in office 2016-2018, resigned over a vote-buying scandal and detained last week
  • Ollanta Humala, in office 2011-2016, accused of taking bribes from Odebrecht to bankroll his election campaign, in pre-trial detention in Peru
  • Alan García, in office 2006-2011, suspected of taking kickbacks from Odebrecht, sought asylum in Uruguay’s Lima embassy but had his request denied
  • Alejandro Toledo, in office 2001-2006, accused of taking millions of dollars in bribes from Odebrecht, currently a fugitive in the US

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2UHwOD3 Tyler Durden

WTI Unchanged After Crude Draw, Production Drop

WTI has erased the overnight gains following API’s surprise crude draw despite ‘good’ news from China on growth overnight as all eyes are focused once again on inventories already at the highest since 2017.

“As long as the products look like they’re still trending strong and it looks like demand is still there, prices will be supported,” says Ashley Petersen, an analyst at Stratas Advisors

API

  • Crude -3.096mm (+2.3mm exp)

  • Cushing -1.561mm

  • Gasoline -3.561mm – 9th draw in a row

  • Distillates +2.33mm

DOE

  • Crude -1.396mm (+2.3mm exp)

  • Cushing -1.543mm

  • Gasoline -1.174mm – 9th draw in a row

  • Distillates -362k

Inventories fell across the board in the energy complex with DOE confirming (though less so) API’s reported surprise crude draw and gasoline’s 9th weekly draw in a row.

US Crude production dipped modestly last week (and rig counts resurrected – though that will have only a lagged effect).

WTI hovered just above $64 ahead of the DOE data, but algos were not entirely enthused despite the draws across the board…

Bloomberg Intelligence’s Senior Energy Analyst Vince Piazza notes that optimism for global crude benchmarks is driven by expectations for strength in demand and product draws. We highlight sustained U.S. crude production despite waning economic growth and our long-held concerns about global demand. Prolonged levels above $60 a barrel in the U.S. likely invite acceleration in well completions, even amid pressure for capital discipline. OPEC output shrinking about 534,000 barrels a day in March helped tighten balances, yet discipline must be sustained to maintain the market’s constructive tilt.

via ZeroHedge News http://bit.ly/2Xi9Saj Tyler Durden