Dogwood to offer GriefShare

Dogwood Church, 975 Ga. Hwy. 74 South in Tyrone, will offer a GriefShare support group held from 7- 8:30 p.m. on Wednesday evenings beginning Jan. 8.

The group will meet in the atrium area of the church office.

“GriefShare is a 13-week program led by friendly, caring group of people who will walk alongside you through one of life’s most difficult experiences,” a spokesperson said. “You don’t have to go through the grieving process alone.”

read more

via The Citizen http://www.thecitizen.com/articles/12-31-2013/dogwood-offer-griefshare

GriefShare begins at HTCC

Holy Trinity Catholic Church will offer GriefShare, a 13-week Christian video/discussion support group for those who are coping with the death of a loved one, either recently or from years past. Sessions will start on Jan. 8 and 10. The church offers an evening program on Wednesdays from 7-9 p.m. or a morning program on Fridays from 9:30-11:30 a.m in Room #103 in the Faith Formation building. For more information, contact Gayle Reddy, 770- 631-8251.

via The Citizen http://www.thecitizen.com/articles/12-31-2013/griefshare-begins-htcc

Piedmont Fayette Hospital offers graduate pastoral care courses

Piedmont Fayette Hospital offers graduate level pastoral care training known as clinical pastoral education (CPE) for community members and clergy interested in learning more about spiritual care.

As part of the program, students of all faiths minister to people in intimate and sometimes critical situations while being supervised. Over the course of five months, the CPE students will engage with patients in a variety of settings including hospitals, prisons and hospice facilities.

The CPE program is offered twice a year at both Piedmont Fayette Hospital and Piedmont Henry Hospital.

read more

via The Citizen http://www.thecitizen.com/articles/12-31-2013/piedmont-fayette-hospital-offers-graduate-pastoral-care-courses

Is America About To Reach A Breaking Point?

Submitted by Michael Snyder of The Economic Collapse blog,

In America today, there are close to 50 million people living in poverty and there are more than 100 million people that get money from the federal government every month.  As the middle class disintegrates, poverty is climbing to unprecedented levels.  Even though the stock market has been setting record high after record high, the amount of anger and frustration boiling just under the surface in our nation grows with each passing day.

And now extended unemployment benefits have been cut off for 1.3 million unemployed Americans, and it is being projected that a total of 5 million unemployed Americans will lose their benefits by the end of 2014.  In addition, as I have written about previously, 47 million Americans recently had their food stamp benefits reduced.  The conditions for a "perfect storm" are certainly being created.  So how much longer will it be until we see all of this anger and frustration boil over in the streets of our major cities?  Is America about to reach a breaking point?

If you think that the title of this article is "alarmist", you probably have not been paying attention to what has been happening over the past few weeks.  For example, a 600 person brawl broke out at at movie theater in Jacksonville, Florida just the other day…

Five teenagers were arrested when a 600-person brawl broke out in a Florida movie theater’s parking lot on Christmas night.

Described by police as a “melee,” the fight occurred around 8:30 p.m. on Wednesday outside the Hollywood River City 14 movie theater in Jacksonville when a group tried to storm the theater’s doors without purchasing tickets, police said. Several had rushed an off-duty police officer working as a security guard.

 

The officer “administered pepper spray to disperse the group, locked the doors and called for backup, following protocol,” said Lauri-Ellen Smith, a spokeswoman for the Jacksonville Sheriff’s Office.

 

Soon after the pepper spray was used, “upward of 600 people moving throughout a parking lot about the size of a football field began fighting, disrupting and jumping on cars,” she said.

And a "flash mob" of "400 crazed teens" was so violent that it forced a mall in Brooklyn to shut down just a few days ago

A wild flash mob stormed and trashed a Brooklyn mall, causing so much chaos that the shopping center was forced to close during post-Christmas sales, sources said Friday.

 

More than 400 crazed teens — who mistakenly thought the rapper Fabolous would perform — erupted into brawls all over Kings Plaza Shopping Center in Mill Basin on Thursday at 5 p.m., sources said.

 

The troublemakers looted and ransacked several stores as panicked shoppers ran for the exits and clerks scrambled to pull down metal gates.

In addition, the release of new Air Jordan sneakers caused mini-riots and brawls to break out all over the country just before Christmas.

So why is all of this happening?

Of course people will come up with all sorts of theories to explain these outbreaks of violence, but what pretty much everyone should be able to agree on is that we are seeing levels of anger and frustration rise to very dangerous levels in this country.

Right now, there are approximately 6 million Americans in the 16 to 24-year-old age group that are not in school and that are not working either.  What that means is that we have an alarmingly high number of very frustrated young people that do not have anything better to do than to cause trouble.

In some of our largest cities this has become a massive problem.  In fact, quite a few major U.S. cities actually have more than 100,000 "idle youth" living in them…

Just look at some of the nation’s largest cities. Chicago, Houston, Dallas, Miami, Philadelphia, New York, Los Angeles, Atlanta and Riverside, Calif., all have more than 100,000 idle youth, the Opportunity Nation report found.

But the Obama administration says that this should not be a problem.  In fact, the Obama administration tells us that the unemployment rate has been steadily "declining" and that there are plenty of opportunities for everyone.

Of course that is a giant lie.  Just before the last recession, about 63 percent of all working age Americans had a job.  During the recession that number fell below 59 percent and it has stayed there ever since

Employment-Population Ratio 2013

So the notion that we are experiencing an "employment recovery" is absolutely laughable.

But most of our politicians appear to believe this lie, and it is being used as justification to cut off extended unemployment benefits.

And the funny thing is that by cutting off these benefits, it is going to make it appear as though unemployment has gone down even more.  Millions of unemployed workers that are being forced into the streets will now be counted as having "left the labor force", and it is being projected that the unemployment rate could decline by as much as half a percentage point as a result.

What a joke.

A lot of the people that are having their benefits cut off are really hurting.  For instance, consider the case of 63-year-old paralegal Laura Walker

“Not all of us have savings and a lot of us have to take care of family because of what happened in the economy,” said Walker, of Santa Clarita, who said she has applied for at least three jobs a week and shares an apartment with her unemployed son, his wife and two children. “It’s going to put my family and me out on the streets.”

So what is she going to do?

Well, at this point she appears to be down to just one option…

“I just don’t know what to do, except pray.”

And of course the unemployed are not the only ones that have had their benefits cut.  As I mentioned above, all 47 million Americans that are currently on food stamps recently had their benefits reduced.  The following is an excerpt from a recent article by Mac Slavo

Earlier this year government benefits for nutritional assistance were reduced after the expiration of emergency legislation that was enacted following the 2008 financial collapse. Nearly all of the 48 million people receiving food stamp distributions were affected. The move led to warnings from food pantries and recipients around the country who said that the $40 billion in cuts would leave many American families without the ability to put food on dinner tables across America. According to Feed America, the roughly $29 per family that would no longer appear on their EBT cards will amount to about 1.5 billion meals in 2014.

The fact that government dependence has soared to all-time highs even in the midst of this so-called "economic recovery" is just another sign that the middle class is dying.  For years, middle class families have tried strategy after strategy in an attempt to survive, but now it has become apparent that the middle class is rapidly approaching a breaking point

Rising income inequality is starting to hit home for many American households as they run short of places to reach for a few extra bucks.

As the gap between the rich and poor widened over the last three decades, families at the bottom found ways to deal with the squeeze on earnings. Housewives joined the workforce. Husbands took second jobs and labored longer hours. Homeowners tapped into the rising value of their properties to borrow money to spend.

 

Those strategies finally may have run their course as women’s participation in the labor force has peaked and the bursting of the house-price bubble has left many Americans underwater on their mortgages.

And even though the Obama administration and the mainstream media have tried to convince us over and over that the economy is "getting better", most Americans are not buying it.  In fact, according to a new CNN poll, 70 percent of all Americans believe that "the economy is generally in poor shape".

As the economy continues to decline, not all Americans will respond to their desperate situations by getting violent.  Many suffer quietly, hoping that things will eventually turn around for them.  Unfortunately, the ranks of the suffering grow with each passing year.  For example, a recent CNN article discussed the continued growth of "tent cities" all over America…

The total number of homeless people residing in tents and makeshift homes is unknown. Many of these communities are small and hidden from public view, while others claim hundreds of residents and are sprinkled through major urban areas.

 

Some, like those tucked under roadways, are temporary and relocate frequently. Their conditions are vile, unsanitary and fail to provide refuge from storms and winds. Then there are communities, such as Dignity Village in Portland, Oregon, that have a more sustained presence. The 13-year-old "ecovillage" set up by homeless people is hygienic and self-sufficient.

 

Preliminary findings by The National Law Center on Homelessness and Poverty show that tent cities have been documented in almost every state, and they're growing.

So how do we solve these problems?

Are there any solutions that could get us out of this mess?

Of course there are.  But don't hold your breath waiting for any of them to be adopted.  In fact, the American people continue to express great support for the very people that got us into this mess in the first place.  For example, according to a Gallup survey that was just released, Barack Obama is the most admired man in America by a very wide margin and Hillary Clinton is the most admired woman in America by a very wide margin.

And the mainstream media will continue to tell all of us that "leaders" like Obama, Clinton, Reid, Boehner, McConnell and Pelosi can be trusted to get us out of this mess.

If you believe that, there is a bridge that I would like to sell you.

The American people need to stop having blind faith in the relentless propaganda that is being spewed at them through their televisions screens.  The pretty faces that you see "reporting the news" do not care about you and they are not watching out for your best interests.  The corporate-controlled news is highly scripted and it is pretty much the same whatever channel you turn to.  If you have any doubt that "the news" is scripted, just check out this video

 


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/gGUoAfzYGgI/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Bitcoin Roundup: Buy More With It, ATMs Spreading, Better than Credit Cards, China Has Reason to Fear It, Krugman Thinks It’s Evil, Cowen Thinks It’s Overpriced

Some stories and speculations from the Bitcoin beat:

•Attempts on the part of the Chinese government and banking
system to restrict free trade in Bitcoin is happening for a very
good reason, if you are the Chinese government,
Daily Reckoning points out
–for all the same reasons a
normal human being would love the cryptocurrency:

China tightly regulates all the money flowing in and out of the
country. You can’t just bring a bunch of cash into the country, in
part to prevent people from buying up the local currency (which is
generally believed to be deliberately suppressed). And China makes
it hard to get money out of the country as well….

Bitcoin offered/offers an even quicker way to get your money out
of the border. Buy 10,000 yuan work of bitcoins on a site like BTC
China, transfer those bitcoins to a wallet outside of the country,
and then sell those bitcoins in some new currency in a different
country. Voilà, your money is liberated!

•Supposedly great economist Paul Krugman thinks that Bitcoin,
because it has such rich opportunities for liberating money holders
from government control, is private, non-inflationary, has the
potential to damage the interest of government central banks, and
not backed by violence and force, is for all those reasons
obviously evil.

Bloomberg News reports that
merchants accepting Bitcoin
have tripled in number in the past
month.

Entrepreneur magazine on the spread to dozens of
countries, and competition in the market to make,
Bitcoin ATMs
.

• Timothy Lee in the Washington Post explains how use
of Bitcoin and Bitcoin like protocols
can solve the frustrating problems
of credit card companies
preventing you from making international transactions you want to
make because they suspect fraud. Like with anyone in the Internet
age still trying to make a living being a middleman, conventional
credit card companies should be a little nervous.

• Economist Tyler Cowen thinks that market competition in alt
currencies means the price of Bitcoin in dollars must plummet,

and plummet a lot
, down to approximately the marketing costs of
alt-coin competitors. Bob Murphy thinks his logic is similar to
saying that quarters
will outcompete dollars
in the market since you can get more of
them for less.


Reason on Bitcoin
.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/31/bitcoin-roundup-buy-more-with-it-atms-sp
via IFTTT

Bitcoin Roundup: Buy More With It, ATMs Spreading, Better than Credit Cards, China Has Reason to Fear It, Krugman Thinks It's Evil, Cowen Thinks It's Overpriced

Some stories and speculations from the Bitcoin beat:

•Attempts on the part of the Chinese government and banking
system to restrict free trade in Bitcoin is happening for a very
good reason, if you are the Chinese government,
Daily Reckoning points out
–for all the same reasons a
normal human being would love the cryptocurrency:

China tightly regulates all the money flowing in and out of the
country. You can’t just bring a bunch of cash into the country, in
part to prevent people from buying up the local currency (which is
generally believed to be deliberately suppressed). And China makes
it hard to get money out of the country as well….

Bitcoin offered/offers an even quicker way to get your money out
of the border. Buy 10,000 yuan work of bitcoins on a site like BTC
China, transfer those bitcoins to a wallet outside of the country,
and then sell those bitcoins in some new currency in a different
country. Voilà, your money is liberated!

•Supposedly great economist Paul Krugman thinks that Bitcoin,
because it has such rich opportunities for liberating money holders
from government control, is private, non-inflationary, has the
potential to damage the interest of government central banks, and
not backed by violence and force, is for all those reasons
obviously evil.

Bloomberg News reports that
merchants accepting Bitcoin
have tripled in number in the past
month.

Entrepreneur magazine on the spread to dozens of
countries, and competition in the market to make,
Bitcoin ATMs
.

• Timothy Lee in the Washington Post explains how use
of Bitcoin and Bitcoin like protocols
can solve the frustrating problems
of credit card companies
preventing you from making international transactions you want to
make because they suspect fraud. Like with anyone in the Internet
age still trying to make a living being a middleman, conventional
credit card companies should be a little nervous.

• Economist Tyler Cowen thinks that market competition in alt
currencies means the price of Bitcoin in dollars must plummet,

and plummet a lot
, down to approximately the marketing costs of
alt-coin competitors. Bob Murphy thinks his logic is similar to
saying that quarters
will outcompete dollars
in the market since you can get more of
them for less.


Reason on Bitcoin
.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/31/bitcoin-roundup-buy-more-with-it-atms-sp
via IFTTT

And Now Gold Is Soaring

Short-squeeze time? … and suddenly CNBC goes quiet on the precious metals market movements.

 

 

The last 2 months has seen shorts pile back on in the futures market are squeezing in the fall…

 

We expect the BIS’ Mikael Charoze, who is currently “red” after the recent gold slamdown, to promptly return to “green” at which point gold will once again mysteriously crash to its 2013 lows.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/8AWcgzgLrT8/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Consumer Confidence Jumps Most In 6 Months As “Hope” Soars

Similar to UMich's confidence measure soaring by the most in 4 years, the Conference Board's confidence measure beat expectations and jumped the most in 6 months (though remains below the year's highs). This is the best beat in 4 months. The improvement is all based on "expectations" which soared the most in 6 months. Confidence is critical (as we noted below) especially since the massive majority of actual investors are already bullish…(and definitely not bearish)…

 

 

 

 

Of course, what is critical is the continuation of the confidence bubble…

As a gentle reminder, as we have noted previously – this move in confidence is key…

But, it's all about confidence… investors will not be willing to pay increasing multiples unless they are confident that the future streams of earnings are sustainable and forecastable… And simply put, the current levels of Consumer Sentiment need to almost double for the US equity market tp approach historical multiple valuation levels…

 

 

 

and the cycle appears to be shifting…

Via Citi,

Is consumer confidence set to turn?

Consumer Confidence is once again following a dynamic where we see it move higher for 4 years and 4 months before beginning to collapse

  • Moves higher from 1996-2000 with a smaller dip halfway through in October 1998
  • Moves higher from 2003-2007 with a smaller dip hallway through in October 2005
  • Moves higher and so far tops out in June 2013. Also sees a small dip halfway through in October 2011.

 

Higher yields do not help confidence…

 

A sharp rise in mortgage rates has a negative feedback loop to consumer confidence. For those families and individuals that were now looking/able to enter the housing market, the recent spike in rates acts as a headwind.

 

In addition to the economic backdrop, there is plenty of tail risk as we head into the end of the year. Oil prices have been rising since the summer began (and in reality since the Summer of 2012), partially due to geopolitical risks which are very much “top of mind.” A bigger spike due to a supply shock would choke the economic recovery.(In our view)

In the US, the appointment of a new Fed Chairman and the upcoming budget/debt ceiling debates are likely to bring added volatility. Tapering itself can also induce concern as the “Bernanke put” is being removed from markets.

In Europe, many of the structural problems related to the single currency union have not actually been addressed and the peripheral countries could still create turmoil going forward (see Fixed Income section focusing on Italy in particular for more on this). There has also been little concern with both the German elections and the German Court decision on the constitutionality of the OMT program. A surprise in either of these could be cause for concern.

Emerging Markets are still not out of the woods yet as growth has been weak relative to expectations and countries with current account deficits are beginning to feel pressure in their FX and Bond markets. This is an issue we believe is only starting to develop which we will continue to expand on at later dates.(We have also looked at this in our EM FX section this week)

Overall, the weak economic backdrop, poor housing recovery and potential for tail risk events over the next few months suggest that we have topped out in Consumer Confidence, a warning sign for equity markets.

 

The relationship between Consumer Confidence is clear, and IF June did mark the high and Confidence continues to decline, then we would expect to see that translate to weakness in the equity markets. The removal of the “Bernanke put” only adds to this concern.

A major turn has taken place in equity markets on average four months after Consumer Confidence turns, which would point to a decline beginning around September-October. As we have previously expressed, we remain of the bias that a correction in equity markets on the order of 20%+ is likely this year/ into 2014 and the current dynamics support such a move.

Should we see a decline of that magnitude, it is almost certain that yields would move lower in a rush to safe assets.

 

For now the mid-year highs are holding as confidence cannot escape its secular downturn.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/7TcxiGtL0mA/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Consumer Confidence Jumps Most In 6 Months As "Hope" Soars

Similar to UMich's confidence measure soaring by the most in 4 years, the Conference Board's confidence measure beat expectations and jumped the most in 6 months (though remains below the year's highs). This is the best beat in 4 months. The improvement is all based on "expectations" which soared the most in 6 months. Confidence is critical (as we noted below) especially since the massive majority of actual investors are already bullish…(and definitely not bearish)…

 

 

 

 

Of course, what is critical is the continuation of the confidence bubble…

As a gentle reminder, as we have noted previously – this move in confidence is key…

But, it's all about confidence… investors will not be willing to pay increasing multiples unless they are confident that the future streams of earnings are sustainable and forecastable… And simply put, the current levels of Consumer Sentiment need to almost double for the US equity market tp approach historical multiple valuation levels…

 

 

 

and the cycle appears to be shifting…

Via Citi,

Is consumer confidence set to turn?

Consumer Confidence is once again following a dynamic where we see it move higher for 4 years and 4 months before beginning to collapse

  • Moves higher from 1996-2000 with a smaller dip halfway through in October 1998
  • Moves higher from 2003-2007 with a smaller dip hallway through in October 2005
  • Moves higher and so far tops out in June 2013. Also sees a small dip halfway through in October 2011.

 

Higher yields do not help confidence…

 

A sharp rise in mortgage rates has a negative feedback loop to consumer confidence. For those families and individuals that were now looking/able to enter the housing market, the recent spike in rates acts as a headwind.

 

In addition to the economic backdrop, there is plenty of tail risk as we head into the end of the year. Oil prices have been rising since the summer began (and in reality since the Summer of 2012), partially due to geopolitical risks which are very much “top of mind.” A bigger spike due to a supply shock would choke the economic recovery.(In our view)

In the US, the appointment of a new Fed Chairman and the upcoming budget/debt ceiling debates are likely to bring added volatility. Tapering itself can also induce concern as the “Bernanke put” is being removed from markets.

In Europe, many of the structural problems related to the single currency union have not actually been addressed and the peripheral countries could still create turmoil going forward (see Fixed Income section focusing on Italy in particular for more on this). There has also been little concern with both the German elections and the German Court decision on the constitutionality of the OMT program. A surprise in either of these could be cause for concern.

Emerging Markets are still not out of the woods yet as growth has been weak relative to expectations and countries with current account deficits are beginning to feel pressure in their FX and Bond markets. This is an issue we believe is only starting to develop which we will continue to expand on at later dates.(We have also looked at this in our EM FX section this week)

Overall, the weak economic backdrop, poor housing recovery and potential for tail risk events over the next few months suggest that we have topped out in Consumer Confidence, a warning sign for equity markets.

 

The relationship between Consumer Confidence is clear, and IF June did mark the high and Confidence continues to decline, then we would expect to see that translate to weakness in the equity markets. The removal of the “Bernanke put” only adds to this concern.

A major turn has taken place in equity markets on average four months after Consumer Confidence turns, which would point to a decline beginning around September-October. As we have previously expressed, we remain of the bias that a correction in equity markets on the order of 20%+ is likely this year/ into 2014 and the current dynamics support such a move.

Should we see a decline of that magnitude, it is almost certain that yields would move lower in a rush to safe assets.

 

For now the mid-year highs are holding as confidence cannot escape its secular downturn.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/7TcxiGtL0mA/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Chicago PMI Tumbles As Inventories Collapse Most Since 1977

Stocks dropped and bonds rallied modestly as the early subscribers received the Chicago PMI which missed expectations significantly. Seemingly, with taper in place, bad news is bad news as the 59.1 print (vs a 60.8 exp) is the biggest miss in 6 months. Under the covers things are even worse with the lowest employment index since April. Inventories also collapsed (by the most since 1977) which is a problem since New orders and production also plunged suggesting the post-government shutdown ‘surprise’ GDP-enhancing inventory-build is entirely a one-off event (as we noted here).

Biggest miss in 6 months…

 

Inventories collapsed the most since 1977…

 

and employment dumps…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/MTL9JIFd97s/story01.htm Tyler Durden