With the US Dollar and rate-hike odds tumbling, Fed's Dudley was sent into the arena to rescue the sentiment: Opining that "The Fed only raises rates when the economy is doing well," (apart from in Dec 2015?) Dudley exclaimed that "10Y yields are pretty low given the circumstances" (so sell bonds), and that "the market is complacent about the need to gradually hike rates and the time for a rate hike is edging closer." The reaction is obvious – ahead of tomorrow's Minutes – USD Index jumps, rates rise, but stocks also fell disappointedly on his relative hawkishness.
- *DUDLEY: 10-YR TREASURY YIELD IS PRETTY LOW GIVEN CIRCUMSTANCES
- *DUDLEY: BOND MARKET LOOKS A BIT STRETCHED TO ME
- *DUDLEY: SEPTEMBER RATE HIKE IS POSSIBLE
- *DUDLEY: MARKET IS COMPLACENT ABOUT NEED TO GRADUALLY HIKE RATES
- *DUDLEY: WE'RE GETTING CLOSER TO TIME WHERE WE SHOULD RAISE RATE
- *DUDLEY: U.S. ELECTION WON'T WEIGH ON FED RATE DECISIONS
- *DUDLEY: IF FED HIKES RATES, IT'S BECAUSE ECONOMY DOING WELL
- *DUDLEY: MARKET RESPONSE TO BREXIT WAS VERY SHORT-LIVED
And the Dollar reacts..
And rescued USDJPY from below 100…
And across asset classes, stocks, bonds, commodities are down…
And finally:
- *DUDLEY: WE'VE BEEN RELYING TOO MUCH ON MONETARY POLICY
Seemingly falling back on what Deutsche bank said recently that we need CBs to stop, to create a market crash that forces governments to step in with their next folly.
via http://ift.tt/2aXkPGf Tyler Durden