How the FCC Became the Speech Police


Brendan Carr sitting beneath the FCC seal | Photo: Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr; Kent Nishimura/Bloomberg/Getty

In 1964, journalist Fred J. Cook published Barry Goldwater: Extremist of the Right, a 186-page attack on the Republican candidate in that year’s presidential election. As economist Thomas W. Hazlett notes in his history of broadcast regulation, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) “arranged for Grove Press to publish the book,” which portrayed Goldwater as “so extreme that he cuts a positively ridiculous figure.” The general public bought 44,000 copies. The DNC bought 72,000.

Conservative criticism of Cook’s book resulted in a landmark Supreme Court decision that upheld federal regulation of broadcast speech—a power that several presidents had used to target their political opponents. Although the Reagan administration repudiated that illiberal tradition, President Donald Trump has revived it, as illustrated by the 2025 suspension of Jimmy Kimmel, the ongoing transformation of CBS News, and Trump’s habitual threats against TV stations that air news coverage he views as unfair or unbalanced.

The Supreme Court blessed the legal rationale for such meddling in a case that started with a right-wing evangelist’s reaction to Cook’s critique of Goldwater. A few weeks after Goldwater lost to President Lyndon B. Johnson in a historic landslide, Billy James Hargis railed against Cook during his Christian Crusade radio show.

The man who “wrote the book to smear and destroy Barry Goldwater,” Hargis said, was “a professional mudslinger” who had defended accused Soviet spy Alger Hiss in The Nation. Hargis called that magazine “one of the most scurrilous publications of the left,” saying it had “championed many communist causes over many years.” Hargis also noted that Cook “was fired from the New York WorldTelegram after he made a false charge publicly on television against an unnamed official of the New York City government.”

Cook asked WGCB, a Pennsylvania radio station that had aired the show, for an opportunity to rebut the preacher’s criticism. The station’s conservative owner, the Rev. John M. Norris, was amenable, provided Cook paid for the airtime at the same rate that Hargis had been charged. That was not good enough for Cook, who complained to the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), which agreed that he had a right to free airtime.

Norris refused to comply with the FCC’s order, which he argued was inconsistent with the First Amendment. Not so, the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled in the 1969 case Red Lion Broadcasting v. FCC. The Court described the FCC’s nascent policy regarding “personal attacks” like Hargis’ comments about Cook as an outgrowth of the long-established “Fairness Doctrine,” which required broadcasters to cover public issues in an even-handed manner. Both policies, it said, were firmly grounded in the agency’s statutory responsibility to ensure that broadcasters serve “the public interest.”

Photo: Republican National Convention, 1964; Peter Breining/San Francisco Chronicle/Getty

The justices thought it was plainly absurd to suggest that regulating the content of radio and TV programming impinged on freedom of speech or freedom of the press. “Although broadcasting is clearly a medium affected by a First Amendment interest, differences in the characteristics of new media justify differences in the First Amendment standards applied to them,” Justice Byron White wrote in the Court’s opinion. “Because of the scarcity of radio frequencies, the Government is permitted to put restraints on licensees in favor of others whose views should be expressed on this unique medium.”

That “scarcity” rationale for regulating broadcast content, which never made much sense, has not aged well. And the FCC itself abandoned the Fairness Doctrine in 1987 after concluding that it had a chilling effect on speech—a danger that the Supreme Court had deemed too speculative to consider in Red Lion.

Trump nevertheless thinks broadcasters have a legal obligation to be fair. “When 97 percent of the stories [about me] are bad,” he told reporters in September, “it’s no longer free speech.” When TV networks “take a great story” and “make it bad,” he added, “I think that’s really illegal.” Because broadcasters are “getting free airwaves from the United States government,” Trump thinks, they should lose their licenses if their programming is biased against him and his supporters.

In November, an ABC News reporter’s unwelcome questions at a White House press conference provoked another threat to yank broadcast licenses. “I think the license should be taken away from ABC,” Trump said, “because your news is so fake and it’s so wrong.”

Brendan Carr, an avowed First Amendment champion whom Trump appointed to run the FCC, sees correcting anti-Trump bias as an important part of his job. That understanding of the FCC’s mission explains why Carr seriously entertained the possibility that CBS committed “broadcast news distortion” by editing a 60 Minutes interview with then–Vice President Kamala Harris in a way that made her seem slightly more cogent. It explains why Carr bragged about requiring changes to journalistic practices at CBS as a condition for approving Skydance Media’s acquisition of Paramount, the network’s parent company. Carr’s conception of “the public interest” was also at the root of his most flagrant attempt to exert control over broadcast content: the regulatory threats that preceded ABC’s suspension of Jimmy Kimmel Live! in September.

With some notable exceptions, Republicans have applauded Carr’s campaign against left-leaning TV programming. But judging from the history of federal meddling in this area, they may ultimately regret the precedents he is setting. Instead of building weapons that could one day be deployed against them, conservatives should question the puzzling legal status of broadcast speech, which allows government interference that would be clearly unconstitutional in any other medium.

‘A Twofold Duty’

As White told the story in Red Lion, government licensing of broadcasters was manifestly necessary. Prior to the Radio Act of 1927, he said, “the allocation of frequencies was left entirely to the private sector, and the result was chaos. It quickly became apparent that broadcast frequencies constituted a scarce resource whose use could be regulated and rationalized only by the Government. Without government control, the medium would be of little use because of the cacaphony [sic] of competing voices, none of which could be clearly and predictably heard.”

There was something fishy about this explanation from the beginning, since all resources—including the ink and paper used to produce books and newspapers, the materials that comprise printing presses, and the land occupied by publishers—are scarce in the economic sense. The solution to that sort of scarcity is legally enforceable property rights, and something similar could have avoided the “chaos” that White described.

“The fact that only a finite amount of spectrum use was allowed for traditional broadcasting, without more, did not require intrusive regulation,” John W. Berresford, then an attorney with the FCC’s Media Bureau, noted in a 2005 research paper. “Merely an allocation system, defining and awarding exclusive rights to use certain frequencies, would have sufficed to ‘choose from among the many who apply.’ Like any allocation system, this one would need clearly defined rights, a police force, and a dispute resolution system for allegations of interference, unauthorized operations, and other misconduct.”

Congress nevertheless seized upon the scarcity rationale to charge the Federal Radio Commission, the FCC’s predecessor, with awarding and renewing broadcast licenses based on its assessment of “public interest, convenience, or necessity.” And beginning in the late 1920s, the commission held that “public interest requires ample play for the free and fair competition of opposing views,” a principle it said applied to “all discussions of issues of importance to the public.”

That policy, White explained, imposed “a twofold duty” on broadcasters: They “must give adequate coverage to public issues,” and “coverage must be fair in that it accurately reflects the opposing views.” Both “must be done at the broadcaster’s own expense if sponsorship is unavailable.”

On its face, the Fairness Doctrine seemed inconsistent with the Communications Act of 1934, which says “nothing in this Act shall be understood or construed to give the [FCC] the power of censorship over the radio communications or signals transmitted by any radio station, and no regulation or condition shall be promulgated or fixed by the Commission which shall interfere with the right of free speech by means of radio communication.” But the Supreme Court did not see that language as an impediment to mandating balance in “the public interest,” which it viewed as promoting rather than restricting freedom of speech.

As White noted, the broadcasters who challenged the Fairness Doctrine argued that “if political editorials or personal attacks will trigger an obligation in broadcasters to afford the opportunity for expression to speakers who need not pay for time and whose views are unpalatable to the licensees, then broadcasters will be irresistibly forced to self-censorship and their coverage of controversial public issues will be eliminated or at least rendered wholly ineffective.” While “such a result would indeed be a serious matter,” he wrote, “that possibility is at best speculative.” Or so the FCC said, and White accepted that representation at face value.

White conceded that government attempts to suppress or promote particular views via broadcast regulation “would raise more serious First Amendment issues.” But he saw no evidence of such interference.

The justice’s rosy assessment was dubious even then. During Franklin D. Roosevelt’s administration, the historian David Beito notes, the FCC “relied on early precursors of the fairness doctrine to chill dissenting voices.” By the end of the 1930s, “anti-Roosevelt commentators had largely vanished from network radio.”

Photo: Jimmy Kimmel Live!; Randy Holmes/Disney/Getty

The Kennedy administration likewise used the FCC to “selectively enforce regulations for radio stations airing right-wing programs,” as the historian Paul Matzko has detailed, and the pattern continued under Johnson. “Our massive strategy,” Democratic publicist Bill Ruder later acknowledged, “was to use the Fairness Doctrine to challenge and harass right-wing broadcasters and hope that the challenges would be so costly to them that they would be inhibited and decide it was too expensive to continue.”

The very case that White was considering offered further evidence that FCC regulation could be used to punish disfavored viewpoints. In a May 1964 piece for The Nation titled “Radio Right: Hate Clubs of the Air,” Hazlett notes, Fred Cook “argued that radio pundits, including Hargis, were fomenting a climate of hate that had contributed to the assassination of President Kennedy.” In that article, Cook said “one recourse for liberal forces” would be “to demand free time to counter some of the radical Right’s free-swinging charges”—the strategy that Cook pursued with WGCB later that year.

Meanwhile, DNC official Wendell Phillips, who encouraged Cook to write that piece, had launched a campaign along the same lines against “extreme right-wing broadcasting” that he described as “irrationally hostile to the President and his programs.” As Fred W. Friendly, who was president of CBS News at the time, would later observe, the aim was “simply to harass radio stations by getting officials and organizations that had been attacked by extremist radio commentators to request reply time, citing the Fairness Doctrine.” By November 1964, Hazlett reports, Phillips’ initiative had resulted in more than 1,000 complaint letters, resulting in “some 1,678 hours of free airtime.”

‘Deep Intrusion’

Two decades later, the FCC compiled a “voluminous factual record” that substantiated the danger White had considered “at best speculative.” In a 1985 report, the commission cited evidence that “the fairness doctrine, in operation, actually inhibits the presentation of controversial issues of public importance to the detriment of the public and in degradation of the editorial prerogatives of broadcast journalists.” The doctrine’s “economic burdens,” the report noted, included the cost of responding to complaints as well as the cost of providing free airtime, both of which deterred the sort of robust coverage the policy was supposed to help ensure.

The commission concluded that the Fairness Doctrine, which it would formally renounce two years later, “no longer serves the public interest.” It said “the interest of the public in viewpoint diversity” was “fully served by the multiplicity of voices in the marketplace today,” including independent TV stations, cable and satellite TV, VCRs, and print outlets. The FCC noted that the Fairness Doctrine “unnecessarily restricts the journalistic freedom of broadcasters” and “creates the opportunity for intimidation of broadcasters by government officials.” It cited examples of “attempts to coerce broadcast journalists” by both the Johnson and Nixon administrations.

During the latter administration, Chuck Colson, director of the White House’s newly created Office of Public Liaison, pressured network executives to rein in coverage and commentary viewed as unfavorable to President Richard Nixon. With Nixon’s approval and “some cooperation from top FCC officials,” Hazlett notes, Colson threatened to “challenge license renewals by asserting violations of the Fairness Doctrine.” The threats seemed to have some impact, especially at CBS, which cut down a report on the Watergate break-in toward the end of Nixon’s 1972 campaign and “announced it would no longer follow presidential statements with immediate news analysis by network correspondents.”

The FCC’s 1985 report also argued that “the constitutionality of the fairness doctrine is suspect.” Red Lion, it noted, explicitly did not consider the doctrine’s potentially counterproductive impact. Furthermore, the decision was “necessarily premised upon the broadcasting marketplace as it existed more than sixteen years ago.” And five years after that ruling, the Court unanimously rejected a Florida statute that gave political candidates a “right of reply” in newspapers, which was similar to the mandate upheld in Red Lion.

In Miami Herald Publishing v. Tornillo, the Court recognized that “political and electoral coverage would be blunted or reduced” by such a requirement because a “government-enforced right of access inescapably ‘dampens the vigor and limitsthe variety of public debate.'” The justices explicitly rejected the argument that Florida’s mandate could be justified by “vast accumulations of unreviewable power in the modern media empires.” That claim was similar to Vice President Spiro Agnew’s complaints about the TV networks during the Nixon administration, which Trump echoes today.

The contrast between Red Lion and Tornillo hinges on the idea that broadcast speech merits less protection under the First Amendment than speech in every other medium. But as the FCC noted in 1985, some critics of the Fairness Doctrine argued that its constitutionality “should be evaluated under the general constitutional standards that apply to the print media.” The commission thought “the courts may well be persuaded that the transformation in the communications marketplace justifies the adoption of a standard that accords the same degree of constitutional protection to broadcast journalists as currently applies to journalists of other media.”

The courts still have not embraced that position. But Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas has repeatedly questioned the constitutionally anomalous status of broadcast speech. “The text of the First Amendment makes no distinctions among print, broadcast, and cable media, but we have done so,” he noted in 1996, criticizing the logic of both Red Lion and FCC v. Pacifica Foundation, the 1978 decision that upheld the agency’s bewildering ban on “broadcast indecency.”

In FCC v. Fox Television Stations, a 2009 case involving the latter policy, Thomas said the federal government’s “deep intrusion into the First Amendment rights of broadcasters, which the Court has justified based only on the nature of the medium, is problematic on two levels.” Instead of “looking to first principles to evaluate the constitutional question,” he noted, “the Court relied on a set of transitory facts, e.g., the ‘scarcity of radio frequencies,’ to determine the applicable First Amendment standard.” And “even if this Court’s disfavored treatment of broadcasters under the First Amendment could have been justified at the time of Red Lion and Pacifica,”Thomas argued, “dramatic technological advances have eviscerated the factual assumptions underlying those decisions.”

To support the latter proposition, Thomas cited Berresford’s 2005 FCC paper, which noted that “the Scarcity Rationale, based on the scarcity of channels, has been severely undermined by plentiful channels,” including the proliferation of radio and TV stations; cable TV, “whose growth in number of channels has dwarfed traditional broadcasters”; “players of video cassettes, compact disks and DVDs”; and “the recent accessibility of all the content on the Internet.” Berresford concluded that the scarcity rationale, “if it ever had any validity, is invalid in today’s media marketplace.”

Two decades later, that assessment has only been strengthened by the explosion in online news and opinion outlets, social media, video platforms, podcasting, and streaming TV. To consumers, the exact route by which content reaches them is a matter of indifference. But according to the Supreme Court, it is constitutionally crucial—a judgment that is more baffling today than ever before.

‘A Giant Fake News Scam’

The demise of the Fairness Doctrine catalyzed an efflorescence of political speech on talk radio in the 1990s, enabling the rise of Rush Limbaugh and many other conservative commentators. But it left in place a nebulous FCC rule against “broadcast news distortion,” which Carr seems keen to enforce.

That policy, first articulated in 1969, applies when there is “evidence showing that [a] broadcast news report was deliberately intended to mislead viewers or listeners,” the FCC says. “Broadcasters are only subject to enforcement if it can be proven that they have deliberately distorted a factual news report,” which “must involve a significant event and not merely a minor or incidental aspect of the news report.” The commission “makes a crucial distinction between deliberate distortion and mere inaccuracy or difference of opinion,” which “are not actionable.”

Given those requirements, the October 2024 complaint that the pro-Trump Center for American Rights (CAR) filed against WCBS, the network-owned CBS station in New York City, should have been dead on arrival. CAR echoed Trump’s complaints about a 60 Minutes interview with Harris, his Democratic opponent in that year’s presidential election, that had aired on October 7.

During the exchange highlighted by CAR, the interviewer, Bill Whitaker, suggested that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was “not listening” to the Biden administration’s concerns about the war in Gaza and had “rebuffed just about all of your administration’s entreaties.” Here is how Harris responded: “Well, Bill, the work that we have done has resulted in a number of movements in that region by Israel that were very much prompted by, or a result of, many things, including our advocacy for what needs to happen in the region. And we’re not going to stop doing that. We are not going to stop pursuing what is necessary for the United States to be clear about where we stand on the need for this war to end.”

On October 6, Face the Nation promoted the Harris interview with a clip that included the first sentence. The interview as aired on 60 Minutes the next day used the last sentence.

Harris did not come across as especially forthright, articulate, or intelligent in either version, although the one that 60 Minutes showed was a bit more concise. But as Trump saw it, the decision to use the last sentence instead of the first one amounted to “Election Interference.” It was an “UNPRECEDENTED SCANDAL” and “a giant Fake News Scam” that was “totally illegal.” By editing the interview to make Harris “look better,” he said, CBS had committed an offense so egregious that the FCC should “TAKE AWAY THE CBS LICENSE”—by which he presumably meant the broadcast licenses held by network-owned stations like WCBS.

CAR’s FCC complaint did not go quite that far. But it averred that “CBS engaged in news distortion by editing its news program to such a great extent that the general public cannot know what answer the Vice President actually gave to a question of great importance on a matter of national security policy.”

The complaint did not allege facts that would support the conclusion that CBS was guilty of “news distortion” as the FCC has defined it. So it is not surprising that the FCC concluded, in a letter issued four days before Trump took office, that “the allegations are insufficient to rise to the level of an actionable enforcement matter.”

On the same day, the FCC rejected another “news distortion” complaint from CAR. That one claimed ABC’s moderation of the September 10 presidential debate between Trump and Harris showed “broadcaster favoritism” and failed to provide “objective news coverage.” The FCC said the complaint “fails to meet the high threshold for opening a ‘news distortion’ matter” because it “relies almost entirely on allegations of an editorial nature and conclusory statements” without “extrinsic evidence of intentional malfeasance.”

Outgoing FCC Chairwoman Jessica Rosenworcel noted that both complaints aimed to “weaponize the licensing authority of the FCC in a way that is fundamentally at odds with the First Amendment.” In rejecting them, she said, the commission upheld the principle that “the FCC should not be the President’s speech police” or “journalism’s censor-in-chief.”

Two days after Carr succeeded Rosenworcel, the FCC reinstated both the CBS complaint and the ABC complaint. In both cases, it said “the previous order was issued prematurely based on an insufficient investigatory record.” Since the FCC says it “will only investigate claims that include evidence showing that [a] broadcast news report was deliberately intended to mislead viewers or listeners,” that position was puzzling.

“There is nothing here for the FCC to investigate,” wrote Robert Corn-Revere, chief counsel at the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, referring to the CBS complaint. “CBS stands accused of committing journalism. Every day, from the smallest newspaper to the largest network, reporters and editors must make sense of and condense the information they collect—including quotes from politicians and other newsmakers—to tell their stories concisely and understandably. That task necessarily requires editing, including selecting what quotes to use. If the cockamamie theory underlying this FCC ‘investigation’ had any merit, every newsroom in America would be a crime scene.”

As part of its probe, the FCC asked CBS for the full transcript of the Harris interview, which confirmed that the show’s producers were telling the truth when they said the 60 Minutes version used the “same question” and the “same answer” as the Face the Nation excerpt but “a different portion of the response.” Yet as of late July, Carr said the investigation was still pending.

‘It Is Time for a Change’

Meanwhile, the FCC was considering the proposed merger of Paramount, which owned CBS, with Skydance Media. The $8 billion deal, which required the FCC’s approval because it entailed the transfer of broadcast licenses, got the agency’s blessing on July 24. That was just a few weeks after Paramount agreed to a $16 million settlement of a laughable lawsuit in which Trump argued that the Harris interview had violated Texas and federal law, causing him at least $20 billion in damages.

Carr insisted those two developments were unrelated. But even without the appearance of extortion, the conditions that the FCC attached to the Paramount sale were troubling enough. “Americans no longer trust the legacy national news media to report fully, accurately, and fairly,” Carr said in a press release. “It is time for a change. That is why I welcome Skydance’s commitment to make significant changes at the once storied CBS broadcast network.”

The changes included “written commitments to ensure that the new company’s programming embodies a diversity of viewpoints from across the political and ideological spectrum,” Carr explained. “Skydance will also adopt measures that can root out the bias that has undermined trust in the national news media. These commitments, if implemented, would enable CBS to operate in the public interest and focus on fair, unbiased, and fact-based coverage. Doing so would begin the process of earning back Americans’ trust.”

Skydance agreed to appoint an “ombudsman” who would “receive and evaluate any complaints of bias or other concerns involving CBS.” It later picked Kenneth Weinstein, former president of the right-wing Hudson Institute, for the job. And in October, Skydance bought The Free Press for $150 million and appointed the outlet’s founder, Bari Weiss, as editor in chief of CBS News. Weiss, a former New York Times opinion staffer who rose to fame by denouncing the newspaper’s political correctness, was expected to help CBS achieve the “diversity” that Carr wanted.

Skydance, which said it aimed to attract centrist viewers with “news that is balanced and fact-based,” may have had sound business reasons for making these changes. But it was striking that Carr had no compunction about using his powers to push CBS in that direction.

That attitude stood in sharp contrast with views Carr had previously expressed. “The FCC does not have a roving mandate to police speech in the name of the ‘public interest,'” he wrote in 2019 after Rosenworcel pushed an FCC crackdown on e-cigarette ads. As a minority commissioner during the Biden administration, Carr likewise rejected the idea that the agency should “operate as the nation’s speech police” by following the DNC’s recommendations for “new regulations on the use of AI-generated political speech.” When Democrats urged the FCC to reject the transfer of a Miami radio license because they objected to the new owner’s ideology, Carr said the agency should not be “using our regulatory process to censor political opinions.”

Carr offered a similar take when two Democratic lawmakers pressured cable companies and streaming services to stop carrying Fox News, Newsmax, and One America News Network, which they described as leading sources of “misinformation.” He condemned the “chilling transgression of the free speech rights that every media outlet in this country enjoys,” saying “a newsroom’s decision about what stories to cover and how to frame them should be beyond the reach of any government official.”

All of those cases involved attempted speech policing by Democrats. Carr seems to think the same rules do not apply when Republicans use the FCC to influence TV programming. In other words, the principles he appeared to be defending back then were not really principles at all.

‘The Easy Way or the Hard Way’

If there was any doubt that Carr’s avowed devotion to freedom of speech was politically contingent, he erased it by publicly threatening to punish broadcasters if they insisted on carrying a late-night talk show that offended him. Carr was responding to Jimmy Kimmel’s ill-informed remarks about the man who assassinated conservative activist Charlie Kirk on September 10. During the opening monologue of his ABC show the following Monday, Kimmel said “the MAGA gang” was “desperately trying to characterize this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them.”

Kimmel erroneously implied that the assassin was a Trump supporter, when in fact he seems to have killed Kirk out of anger at his right-wing views. In an interview with podcaster Benny Johnson two days later, Carr said the “talentless” comedian’s “really, really sick” comment appeared to be part of “a very concerted effort to try to lie to the American people” about “one of the most significant, newsworthy, public-interest acts that we’ve seen in a long time.” He warned that there are “actions we can take on licensed broadcasters” that aired Kimmel’s show.

Carr said it was “past time” for “these licensed broadcasters” to “push back” on Disney, which owns ABC, “and say, ‘Listen, we are going to preempt, we are not going to run Kimmel anymore until you straighten this out, because we licensed broadcaster[s] are running the possibility of fines or license revocations from the FCC if we continue to run content that ends up being a pattern of news distortion.'”

It was not just Disney that “needs to see some change here,” Carr emphasized, saying “the individual licensed stations that are taking their content” should “step up and say, ‘This garbage,’ to the extent that’s what comes down the pipe in the future, ‘isn’t something that we think serves the needs of our local communities.’ But this sort of status quo is obviously not acceptable.”

Carr’s threat was not subtle. “We can do this the easy way or the hard way,” he said. “These companies can find ways to change conduct and take action, frankly, on Kimmel, or there’s going to be additional work for the FCC ahead.” Carr noted “calls for Kimmel to be fired,” adding that “you could certainly see a path forward for suspension over this.” He reiterated that “the FCC is going to have remedies that we could look at,” since “we may ultimately be called to be a judge on that.”

Nexstar, which owns or partners with 32 ABC stations, apparently got the message. Hours after Carr’s comments, the company announced that it would preempt Jimmy Kimmel Live! “for the foreseeable future beginning with tonight’s show.” Sinclair, which operates 38 ABC affiliates, settled on the same solution. ABC also fell in line, saying it was “indefinitely” suspending Kimmel’s show.

Kimmel returned to the air the following week. That Tuesday, ABC resumed production of his show, which Sinclair and Nexstar stations started airing again three days later. Sinclair, for its part, insisted that its “decision to preempt this program was independent of any government interaction or influence.” But the alacrity with which Nexstar, Sinclair, and ABC implemented the penalty that Carr had recommended suggests they were keen to avoid trouble with the FCC.

Carr’s bullying was too much for Sen. Ted Cruz (R–Texas), a Trump ally who is by no means a Kimmel fan. Although “it might feel good right now to threaten Jimmy Kimmel,” Cruz said, “we will regret it” when the same tactics are “used to silence every conservative in America.” When the Democrats retake the White House, “they will use this power, and they will use it ruthlessly,” Cruz warned. “It is unbelievably dangerous for government to put itself in the position of saying, ‘We’re going to decide what speech we like and what we don’t, and we’re going to threaten to take you off air if we don’t like what you’re saying.'”

Such censorial pressure sits uneasily with the principles that Kirk himself espoused. “My wish for the left is that you will become liberal again,” he said during an Oxford Union appearance a few months before his death. “Free speech is a liberal value….You should be allowed to say outrageous things. You should be allowed to say contrarian things….That is the bedrock of a liberal democracy.”

‘They’re Not Allowed To Do That’

Carr’s rationale for weighing in on Kimmel’s show was highly implausible. Even leaving aside the question of whether Kimmel “deliberately intended” to mislead his viewers (as opposed to uncritically accepting a politically convenient narrative), it is quite a stretch to treat a comedian’s monologue as a “broadcast news report.”

That is not the only stretch Carr is contemplating. “We have a rule on the book that interprets the ‘public interest’ standard [and] says news distortion is prohibited,” he told Johnson. “Over the years, the FCC has stepped back from enforcing it, and I don’t think it’s been to the benefit of anybody.” Broadcast licenses entail “an obligation to operate in the public interest,” he explained, and “we’ve been trying to reinvigorate the public interest.”

Carr’s broad understanding of the FCC’s mission jibes with Trump’s grievances. “You have a network and you have evening shows, and all they do is hit Trump,” the president complained in September. “They’re licensed. They’re not allowed to do that.”

Trump made similar noises during his first administration, saying “network news has become so partisan, distorted and fake that licenses must be challenged and, if appropriate, revoked.” But Ajit Pai, who chaired the FCC during Trump’s first term, rejected that suggestion in no uncertain terms.

“I believe in the First Amendment,” Pai said. “The FCC under my leadership will stand for the First Amendment, and under the law the FCC does not have the authority to revoke a license of a broadcast station based on the content of a particular newscast.”

This time around, Trump has picked an FCC chairman with no such constitutional compunctions. In fact, Carr seems eager to embrace what he once derided as “a roving mandate to police speech in the name of the ‘public interest.'”

The surest way to avoid such meddling—now or in the future, regardless of which party controls the executive branch—is to renounce, once and for all, the notion that “the public interest” trumps broadcasters’ First Amendment rights. Government licensing of newspapers, websites, or streaming services would be a constitutional nonstarter, inviting politically motivated interference with freedom of speech. Government licensing of broadcasters poses similar perils, as Trump and Carr seem determined to demonstrate.

The post How the FCC Became the Speech Police appeared first on Reason.com.

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John Mearsheimer On The Iran Playbook

John Mearsheimer On The Iran Playbook

According to a recent podcast appearance by geopolitical analyst and University of Chicago professor John Mearsheimer, the Arab Gulf states led by Saudi Arabia (the Gulf Cooperation Council) are increasingly behind the scenes pushing pack against those who advocate for regime change in Iran. This marks a serious potential de-escalation in what is a decades-long (or even centuries long) Sunni-Shia rivalry and war for influence in the broader Middle East. In a sense, the pro-Sunni Gulf-NATO axis has already ‘won’ – Assad was overthrown in Syria, and Hezbollah’s leadership was decimated last year – now less a threat to Israel and also Gulf interests. 

Dr. Mearsheimer days ago appeared on on “Judging Freedom” talking with the Judge about a variety of topics, but most importantly on the evolving situation in Iran. As Mearsheimer describes, he laid out his thinking on:

1) what the US and Israel were trying to do in Iran — upend the regime and wreck the country;

2) how we planned to do it — with the usual playbook;

3) why the strategy failed;

4) why the US has not bombed Iran when it appeared a few days ago that an attack was imminent;

5) whether Israel planned to attack Iran with the US or the US planned to attack alone; and

6) what the strategic consequences are of what is happening in Iran.

On this last point, there is growing evidence that the Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia, are more and more coming to view the US-Israeli tag team – not Iran – as the greatest threat to stability in the Middle East.

If true, wrecking Iran and turning it into another Syria would just further embolden Israel and the US to pursue reckless policies in the region, which would not be good for the Gulf states.

Already, Israeli warplanes have attacked Syria literally hundreds of times since the new Jolani/Sharaa regime came to power. This was part of a divide and conquer Israeli strategy, and to ensure Damascus can never again be a threat.

While Israel is appearing to ‘tolerate’ the new Sunni hardline government, it remains clear that Syria has been more weakened than ever, with no more anti-air defenses to speak of (after Assad had the most feared Russian anti-air system in the region). Now only Iran is left standing.

Could the West and Israel now be ready to unleash the ‘Syria proxy war playbook’ on the Islamic Republic in the Persian heartland? Is that what the least two weeks have been about? Mearsheimer and Napolitano address this issue and more. Watch above.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/17/2026 – 22:45

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Why Young Women Moved Left While Young Men Stayed Sane

Why Young Women Moved Left While Young Men Stayed Sane

Authored by vittorio on X,

Bill Ackman quote-tweeted a graph showing the partisan gap between young men and women almost doubled in 25 years.

Women moved radically left. Men stayed roughly where they were.

Good question. Most answers I’ve seen are either tribal (“women are emotional”) or surface-level (“social media bad”). Neither traces the actual mechanism.

Let me try.

First, notice what Wanye pointed out:

We’ve been told for a decade that men are “radicalizing to the right” and that this is dangerous. The actual data shows the opposite. Men barely moved. Women moved 20+ points leftward.

The story we are told is exactly inverted from reality. And when female leftward movement does get discussed, it’s framed as progress: “women becoming more educated, more independent, more enlightened.”

They’ll tell you the graph shows enlightenment and progress.

Wrong.

What the graph shows is capture.

This Isn’t Just America

Before getting into the mechanism, something important: this pattern isn’t only American. It’s global.

The Financial Times documented last year that the gender ideology gap is widening across dozens of countries simultaneously. UK, Germany, Australia, Canada, South Korea, Poland, Brazil, Tunisia. Young women moving left on social issues, young men either stable or drifting right.

This matters because it rules out explanations specific to American politics. It’s not Title IX policy. It’s not #MeToo. It’s not the specific culture war of US campuses. Something bigger is happening, something that rolled out globally at roughly the same time.

South Korea is the extreme case. Young Korean men are now overwhelmingly conservative. Young Korean women are overwhelmingly progressive. The gap there is even wider than the US. Contributing factors include mandatory military service for men (18 months of your life the state takes, while women are exempt) and brutal economic competition. But the timing of divergence still tracks with smartphone adoption.

Whatever is causing this, it’s not American. The machine is global.

The Substrate

Start with the biological hardware.

Women evolved in environments where social exclusion carried enormous survival costs. You can’t hunt pregnant. You can’t fight nursing. Survival required the tribe’s acceptance: their protection, their food sharing, their tolerance of your temporary vulnerability. Millions of years of this and you get hardware that treats social rejection as a serious threat.

Men faced different pressures. Hunting parties gone for days. Exploration. Combat. You had to tolerate being alone, disliked, outside the group for extended periods. Men who could handle temporary exclusion without falling apart had more options. More risk-taking, more independence, more ability to leave bad situations.

(Male status still mattered enormously for reproduction, low-status men had it rough. But men could recover from temporary exclusion in ways that were harder for pregnant or nursing women.)

This shows up in personality research. David Schmitt’s work across 55 cultures found the same pattern everywhere: women average higher agreeableness, higher neuroticism (sensitivity to negative stimuli, including social rejection cues). Men average higher tolerance for disagreement and social conflict. The differences aren’t huge, but they’re consistent across every culture studied.

Not better or worse. Different selection pressures, different adaptations.

But it means the same environment affects them differently. Consensus pressure hits harder for one group than the other.

The Machine

Now look at what we built.

Social media is a consensus engine. You can see what everyone believes in real time. Disagreement is visible, measurable, and punishable at scale. The tribe used to be 150 people. Now it’s everyone you’ve ever met, plus a world of strangers watching.

And look at the timeline. Facebook launched in 2004 but was college-only until 2006. The iPhone was launched in June 2007. Instagram in 2010. Suddenly, social media was in your pocket and in your face, all day, every day.

Look at the graph again. Women were roughly stable through the early 2000s. The acceleration starts around 2007-2008.

The curve steepens through the 2010s as smartphones became universal and platforms became more sophisticated.

Women are by nature more liberal, but the radicalization coincides with the rise in smartphone adoption.

The machine turned on and the capture began.

The mental health collapse among teenage girls tracks almost perfectly with smartphone adoption, with stronger effects for girls than boys. The same vulnerability that made social exclusion more costly in ancestral environments made the new consensus engines more capturing.

This machine wasn’t designed to capture women specifically. It was designed to capture attention. But it captures people more susceptible to consensus pressure more effectively. Women are more susceptible on average. So it captured them more.

Add a feedback loop: women complain more than men. Scroll any platform and it looks like women are suffering more. Institutions respond to this because visible distress creates liability, PR risk and regulatory pressure. In addition, women are weaker and inevitably seen as the victim in most scenarios. The institutional response is to make environments “safer”. Which means removing conflict. Which means censoring disagreement. Which means the consensus strengthens.

The counterarguments get removed or deplatformed and the loop closes.

The Institutions

Universities flipped to 60% female while simultaneously becoming progressive monoculture. The institution young women trust most, during the years their worldview forms, feeds them a single ideology with no serious opposition.

FIRE’s campus speech surveys show the pattern clearly: students self-censor, report fear of expressing views, cluster toward acceptable opinions. This isn’t unique to women, but women are more embedded in higher education than men now, and the fields they dominate (humanities, social sciences, education, HR) are the most ideologically uniform.

Four years surrounded by peers who all believe the same thing. Professors who all believe the same thing. Reading lists pointing one direction. Disagreement is not even rare, it’s socially punished. You learn to pattern-match the acceptable opinions and perform them.

Then they graduate into female-dominated fields: HR, media, education, healthcare, non-profits, where the monoculture continues. From 18 to 35, many women never encounter sustained disagreement from people they respect. The feedback loop never breaks.

Men took different paths. Trades. Engineering. Finance. Military. Fields where results matter more than consensus. Fields where disagreement is tolerated or even rewarded. The monoculture didn’t capture them because they weren’t in the institutions being captured. (mostly because they were kicked out of them, but that’s a different piece)

The Economics

Marriage collapsed. This probably matters more than people think.

Single women vote more left than married women. This is consistent across decades of exit polls. Part of this is likely economic: single women interact with government more as provider of services, married women interact with government more as taker of taxes. The incentives point different directions.

The marriage gap in voting is one of the most consistent predictors. And marriage rates have collapsed precisely during the period of divergence.

Men saw marriage collapse differently. Family courts. Child support. Alimony. The rational response was skepticism of expanding state power.

Same phenomenon, different positions in it, different political responses.

The Algorithms

Algorithms optimize for engagement. Engagement means emotional response. Time on platform. Clicks. Shares. Comments.

Women respond more strongly to emotional content on average, they are more empathetic, they can be more easily manipulated with sad stories. That higher neuroticism again, higher sensitivity to negative stimuli. The machine learned this. It fed them content calibrated to their response patterns. Fear. Outrage. Moral panic. Stories about danger and injustice and threat and wars and “victims”.

Men got different feeds because they responded to different triggers. The algorithm doesn’t really have a gender agenda. It has an engagement agenda. But engagement looks different by demographic, so the feeds diverged.

Women ended up in information environments optimized for emotional activation. Men found alternatives: podcasts, forums, cars, wars, manosphere etc.

The Ideology

Feminism told women their instincts and biology were oppression and wrong. Wanting children was brainwashing. Wanting a provider husband was internalized misogyny. Their natural desires were false consciousness installed by patriarchy.

Many believed it. Built lives around it. Career first. Independence. Freedom from traditional constraints.

Now they’re 35, unmarried, measuring declining fertility against career achievements. And here’s the trap: the sunk cost of admitting the ideology failed is enormous. You’d have to admit you wasted your fertile years on a lie. That the women who ignored the ideology and married young were right. That your mother was right.

I think this is why you see so little defection. Not because the ideology is true, but because the psychological cost of leaving is higher than the cost of staying. Easier to double down. Easier to believe the problem is that society hasn’t changed enough yet.

The Other Capture

I should be honest about something: men weren’t immune to capture. They were captured differently.

Women got ideological conformity. Men got withdrawal. Porn. Video games. Gambling apps. Outrage content. The male capture wasn’t “believe this or face social death.” It was “here’s an endless supply of dopamine so you never have to build anything real.”

Different machines, different failure modes. Women got compliance. Men got passivity.

The male line on that graph staying flat through 2020 isn’t necessarily health. It might just be a different kind of sickness, men checking out instead of being pulled in. Or it may be that everyone and everything moved more left and women moved lefter.

The Line Is Moving Now

Here’s the update: the male line isn’t flat anymore.

Post-2024 data shows young men shifting right. Recent surveys all show the same thing. Young men are now actively moving more conservatively.

My read: women got captured first because they were more susceptible to consensus pressure. The capture was fast (2007-2020). Men resisted longer because they were less susceptible and less embedded in captured institutions. But as the gap became visible and culturally salient, as “men are the problem” became explicit mainstream messaging, as men started being excluded from society because of lies, as masculinity, or the very thing that makes men men became toxic, men had to start counter-aligning.

The passivity is converting into opposition. The withdrawal is becoming active rejection.

This doesn’t mean men are now “correct” or “free”. It might just mean they’re being captured by a different machine, one optimized for male grievance instead of female consensus. Andrew Tate didn’t emerge from nowhere. Neither did the manosphere. Those are capture systems too, just targeting different psychological vulnerabilities.

The graph is now two lines diverging in opposite directions. Two different machines pulling two different demographics toward two different failure modes.

Some people will say this is just education: women go to college more, college makes you liberal, simple as that. There’s something to this. But it doesn’t explain why the gap widened so sharply post-2007, or why it’s happening in countries with very different education systems.

Some will say it’s economic: young men are struggling, resentment makes you conservative. Also partially true. But male economic struggles predate the recent rightward shift, and the female leftward move happened during a period of rising female economic success.

Some will point to cultural figures: Tate for men, Taylor Swift for women. But these are symptoms, not causes. They filled niches the machines created. They didn’t create the machines.

The multi-causal model fits better: biological substrate (differential sensitivity to consensus) + technological trigger (smartphones, algorithmic feeds) + institutional amplification (captured universities, female-dominated fields) + economic incentives (marriage collapse, state dependency) + ideological lock-in (sunk costs, social punishment for defection).

No single cause. A system of interlocking causes that happened to affect one gender faster and harder than the other.

So What

If this model is right, some predictions follow.

The gap should be smaller in countries with later smartphone adoption or lower social media penetration. (This seems true: the divergence is less extreme in parts of Eastern Europe and much of Africa, though South Korea is a major exception due to other factors.)

The gap should narrow among women who have children, since parenthood breaks the institutional feedback loop and introduces competing priorities. (Exit polls consistently show this: mothers vote more conservative than childless women.)

The gap should continue widening until the machines are disrupted or the generations age out of them.

Here’s the part I don’t know how to solve: these systems are self-reinforcing. The institutions aren’t going to reform themselves. The algorithms aren’t going to stop optimizing. The ideology isn’t going to admit failure. The male counter-capture isn’t going to produce healthy outcomes either.

Some women will escape.

The ones who have children often do since reality is a powerful solvent for ideology. The ones who build lives outside institutional capture sometimes do.

Some men will stop withdrawing or stop rage-scrolling.

The ones who find something worth building. The ones who get tired of the simulation.

But the systems will keep running on everyone else.

The Question

Bill asked why.

The answer isn’t “women are emotional” and it isn’t “social media bad.” The answer is that we built global-scale consensus engines and deployed them on a species with sexually dimorphic psychology. The machines captured the half more susceptible to consensus pressure. Then they started capturing the other half through different mechanisms.

We’re watching the results in real time. Two failure modes. One graph. Both lines are moving away from each other and away from anything healthy.

I don’t know how this ends. I don’t think anyone does. I don’t think it will.

Both machines are still running.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/17/2026 – 22:10

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/lACjPrG Tyler Durden

A Big Bet On Apprenticeships In A Frozen Labor Market

A Big Bet On Apprenticeships In A Frozen Labor Market

Authored by Zach Boren via RealClearEducation,

For the better part of a year, the Trump Administration said little about apprenticeships. Then, almost out of nowhere, it announced a $145 million funding forecast aimed at expanding Pay for Apprenticeship—one of the largest investments we’ve seen in years.

That move matters because it follows a long gap between rhetoric and reality. Early on, the President issued an Executive Order calling for one million apprentices and indicating apprenticeship as a central workforce strategy. But that ambition amounted to little more than lip service, as Biden-era apprenticeship contracts were either canceled or stagnated.

For decades, the federal government has underinvested in apprenticeships, relying instead on small, bespoke grant programs that helped grow apprenticeships by nearly 80 percent over a decade, but never at scale. That’s real progress, but apprentices still make up just three-tenths of one percent of the labor force.

The Pay for Apprenticeship forecast is the first meaningful signal that the administration’s promises could be fulfilled—and perhaps finally move apprenticeships from the education margins to the mainstream.

Pay for Apprenticeship — also known as Pay for Success — ties public dollars to real results: apprentices hired, trained, and retained. In a frozen labor market, this policy focuses on what works, not what makes headlines. That makes it a welcome—and somewhat surprising—dose of pragmatism in a policy landscape often driven by ideology.

What’s actually different this time

Unlike traditional workforce grants that fund training without accountability for outcomes, Pay for Apprenticeship funds employment outcomes. Grantees are rewarded for hires and apprenticeship contracts signed—not paperwork, pilots, or press releases.

The forecast also acknowledges a basic truth long ignored in Washington: employers rarely build apprenticeship programs on their own. They rely on intermediaries—industry associations, unions, nonprofits, and technical experts—to design training, manage registration, recruit apprentices, and maintain standards. Without this infrastructure, apprenticeship policies remain aspirational rather than operational.

This funding approach mirrors what our international competitors already do. The UK, Germany, and Australia invest heavily in apprenticeship systems that share training costs and pay for results. Overseas, apprenticeships aren’t an alternative — they’re a competitive advantage and valued on par with the university track.

Why apprenticeships meet this moment

The U.S. faces acute labor shortages across critical sectors. We are short nearly one million electricians. AI and tech companies and their data centers and energy infrastructure projects are driving unprecedented demand for skilled workers.

Bachelor’s degrees, for the first time, are losing their earnings premium, even as the first rung of the career ladder disappears.

Registered Apprenticeships combine paid, on-the-job training with structured instruction, allowing workers to earn while they learn—and employers to train talent to real-time needs. Unlike college students taking on debt, apprentices are paid by their sweat, and the average graduate earns about $80,000 annually –exceeding entry-level bachelor’s degree wages. Employers see returns as well—apprenticeships deliver a positive ROI, with high retention and strong employer satisfaction.

For young men, these pathways matter even more. Today, there are three times as many men who are not in education, employment, or training (NEET) as there were in the 1980s. That is not a cyclical downturn. It is a slow-rolling structural failure. For boys underserved by the traditional classroom, apprenticeships offer a practical path forward. In fact, roughly 85 percent of American apprentices are men.

A step forward, not the finish line

This investment alone will not solve the nation’s workforce challenges—but it is a solid step in the right direction.

To meet the moment, Congress must go further, faster. A large-scale, national Pay for Apprenticeship initiative—designed to reach millions of young people over the next decade—is within reach. And, it does not require new debt. Apprentices pay taxes, and their availability reduces reliance on public assistance. They begin paying into the system almost immediately.

For too long, American society and federal policy have defaulted to a college-for-all approach, even as evidence mounted that the system was badly out of balance. When more than 90 percent of Congress has a bachelor’s degree, it should not surprise anyone that policy has repeatedly doubled down on college as the only answer. Washington’s groupthink has crowded out other proven educational paths to the middle class.

It’s time for a reset.

The $145 million Pay for Apprenticeship forecast is a good bet—but it’s not a silver bullet. If Congress builds on it, rather than treating it as a one-off, apprenticeships could finally become what they should have been all along: a central pillar of a working-class–building strategy.

And it doesn’t require more debt to get there—just pragmatic investments in our future, rather than borrowing against it. Few other workforce policies can claim this consistent result across workers, employers, and taxpayers. The evidence is clear: apprenticeships work.

Zach Boren is the Senior Vice President of Policy and Government Affairs at Apprenticeships for America.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/17/2026 – 21:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3sNbFWp Tyler Durden

Iran’s Khamenei Says US, Israel Linked To Deadly Protest Violence: ‘Thousands Killed’

Iran’s Khamenei Says US, Israel Linked To Deadly Protest Violence: ‘Thousands Killed’

Iran’s streets have at this point been relatively calm for the last several days, after two weeks of large-scale protests rocked the country amid an ongoing economic crisis and Washington threatened to intervene by hitting government sites.

When protests and unrest turned to riots and clashes with police, which in some locations resulted in deaths on both sides, Tehran authorities moved to impose a complete internet and messaging blackout – believing this would thwart or slow any foreign plotting seeking to exploit the protests.

After eight days of no internet access, Iran has begun easing these restrictions Saturday, restoring short messaging service (SMS) nationwide. State media describes there will be a phased plan for bringing back internet and messaging services.

via Associated Press

Al Jazeera cites state authorities who say terror cells and a foreign conspiracy had been disrupted, but now the situation is stable:

Quoting officials, the agency reported that the decision followed what it described as the stabilisation of the security situation and the detention of key figures linked to “terror organizations” behind the violence during protests over rising prices and economic hardship that erupted on December 28 in several Iranian cities.

Authorities said the internet blackout had “significantly weakened the internal connections of opposition networks abroad” and disrupted the activities of the “terror cells”.

On this, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has also weighed in, claiming that actors linked to the United States and Israel were responsible for killing “several thousands” during the anti-government protests.

“Those linked to Israel and US caused massive damages and killed several thousands” he said Saturday. The US and Western allies have repeatedly rejected these Iranian claims of ‘foreign plotting’. And more via Bloomberg:

Some of those were killed “brutally and inhumanely,” Khamenei said without offering detail in a public meeting broadcast on state TV.

This marks the first time any top Iranian authority described the casualties as being in the “thousands”. Some US-based ‘monitor’ groups as well as American media earlier in the week raised eyebrows and skepticism in claiming 12,000 were killed – a huge figure.

As for the possibility of foreign plotting, the Financial Times appears to be the first mainstream outlet to describe black-clad and well-organized groups who unleashed chaos and anti-police violence amid the protests…

“There were groups of men in black clothes, agile and quick. They would set one dustbin on fire and then quickly move to the next target” They “look[ed] like commandos” …“They were definitely organized, but I don’t know who was behind them”

Iran has said that hundreds of police and security personnel were killed or wounded, and has cited videos showing armed supposed ‘protesters’ seeking to wage an insurgency against government positions. It should come as no surprise that Israeli or Western intelligence should seek to hijack and steer the protests toward some kind of regime destabilization goal. But this scenario is always hard to prove amid the fog of war and thick propaganda coming from all sides.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/17/2026 – 20:25

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Dr. Oz Says Minnesota Fraud Coverup Reaches ‘Highest Levels’ Of State Government

Dr. Oz Says Minnesota Fraud Coverup Reaches ‘Highest Levels’ Of State Government

Authored by Jack Phillips and Jan Jekielek via The Epoch Times,

Dr. Mehmet Oz, the administrator of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, revealed that health care fraud in Minnesota is more significant than previously known, according to his interview with EpochTV’s “American Thought Leaders,” premiering at 5 p.m. ET on Jan. 17.

After speaking to whistleblowers across the state, Oz said there has been a “cover-up” for years and that it reaches the “highest levels” of state government.

Oz made reference to Somalian Americans and Somalian nationals who have a significant presence in the Minneapolis-Twin Cities area, who have recently been accused by administration officials of engaging in the defrauding of federal government entitlement programs, including Medicaid.

“For example, the Somalian sub-population, who have different cultural norms than the folks who have historically been in Minnesota, might be taking advantage of systems that were built for ‘Minnesota Nice’ people,” Oz said.

“And this is what was told to me by people working in the Department of Health and Human Services there, from folks who are police, law enforcement, they were witnessing it.”

The administration has gained “evidence now that we might be seeing that in other Somalian populations” in the United States, Oz said, adding that “they talk to each other.”

“Once you figure out that no one’s watching the till, you begin to steal money in other areas,” he said. “In any case, we are aggressive on this.”

Providing an example, Oz said that investigators in the Twin Cities discovered a building with “boarded-up windows” that allegedly had “400 businesses running out of there in the last couple of years that had generated about three $80 million in bills” for the federal government and Minnesota.

And these are all social service businesses. So as you start to probe into how this beehive of corruption arose, the question does come up, you know, who owns the building? Like, how did this even come about? The building owner would not let us go into the building,” he added.

The state has been under the spotlight for years for Medicaid fraud, including a $300 million COVID-19-related fraud case involving the Feeding Our Future nonprofit.

Federal prosecutors said it was the largest COVID-19-related fraud scheme in the United States, and that the defendants exploited a state-run, federally funded program meant to provide food for children.

Since 2022, 57 people have been convicted, either by pleading guilty or by losing at trial. The majority of the defendants who were charged in the case are of Somali origin. Numerous other fraud cases are under investigation, including new allegations involving child care centers.

Aside from the Medicare and Medicaid agencies, the Treasury Department also announced last week that it will investigate financial transactions between Minnesota residents and businesses in Somalia, as the government ramps up an operation targeting illegal immigration in the state.

The Department of Homeland Security, too, has deployed thousands of agents to Minnesota as part of that broader federal effort, although protests have erupted in recent days over the shooting of a protester.

The Trump administration said late last month it would freeze child care funds in Minnesota unless officials there provide more data about the programs, and in a January statement said it would freeze a program that allows states to pay child care providers without attendance requirements.

A video that went viral on social media in December featured influencer Nick Shirley, who alleged significant daycare fraud involving the theft of state government funds. The clip was amplified and referenced by Vice President JD Vance and tech billionaire Elon Musk on X.

Responding to the claims, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz has been critical of the Trump administration’s efforts in his state while arguing that his office has already taken steps to reduce fraud.

Meanwhile, the ongoing federal operations in Minneapolis are “a direct threat against the people of this state, who dared to vote against him three times, and who continue to stand up for freedom with courage and empathy and profound grace,” Walz said earlier this week.

The Epoch Times contacted the governor’s office for comment on Jan. 16.

Fraud Investigation Expanding

The administration’s ongoing investigations into entitlement fraud are being expanded, namely in California, Oz told “American Thought Leaders.”

“What we’re seeing in Minnesota is the tip of the iceberg, because it is dwarfed by what I saw in California, which is whole-scale cultural malfeasance around health care,” Oz said.

“There is an acceptance that you need to be in the fraud business, especially in Los Angeles, and the magnitude of fraud there, we believe, is approximating $4 billion just in hospice and home health care.”

Oz described Southern California’s situation as a pervasive “tolerance and acceptance of fraud” and that “it’s so rampant that you don’t even know how to get your arms around it.”

“We have the unions being involved in some of these endeavors and lobbying as well” to get certain individuals elected, he added.

U.S. Attorney’s Office officials speak at a news conference inside the U.S. Courthouse in Minneapolis, detailing fraud in Minnesota, on Dec. 18, 2025. Kerem Yücel/Minnesota Public Radio via AP

Oz said he believed foreign-based gangs were perpetrating fraud in hospice and home health care programs, but he did not provide detailed examples.

The alleged fraud “might be part of a much larger scheme to change how we elect our officials, and that is very chilling for us to think that you might be using social programs designed to help all Americans who are struggling or who have vulnerabilities, using that as a tool to change who gets elected,” he said.

Last week, Oz, along with First Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli, said at a news conference that federal officials will investigate allegations of fraud involving hospice centers in the state, describing the crimes as pervasive.

Both Oz and Essayli suggested that foreign-based gangs were behind the fraud targeting hospice centers and home health care programs, while Oz elaborated on those claims on Friday by saying that a “Russian Armenian … mafia” was targeting California’s health care systems.

“These hospice programs are created when the most common reason that you enter it is cancer. But these days, not everyone with cancer dies, but also you put a lot of people with Alzheimer’s, other conditions, in there … so it became a little harder to police whether people were going into hospice,” he said.

A post from California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s press office account on X on Jan. 6 said that the state had stopped tens of billions of dollars in fraud, specifically unemployment fraud, and also criticized the Trump administration.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/17/2026 – 19:50

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/4M30mEF Tyler Durden

FAA Warns Airlines Of Military Activities In Central America, Eastern Pacific

FAA Warns Airlines Of Military Activities In Central America, Eastern Pacific

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) urged airlines on Jan. 16 to exercise caution when flying over Central America and the eastern Pacific due to military activities and potential navigation interference.

The FAA said it issued notices covering the airspace in Mexico, Central America, Panama, Bogotá, Guayaquil, and Mazatlán Oceanic Flight Regions, as well as parts of the eastern Pacific Ocean.

The notices will remain effective for 60 days, according to its statement.

Potential risks exist for aircraft at all altitudes, including during overflight and the arrival and departure phases of flight,” the aviation regulator said in its notices to airmen (NOTAMs).

As Aldgra Fredly reports below for The Epoch Times, the notices came just weeks after U.S. forces carried out airstrikes on Venezuela’s capital, Caracas, on Jan. 3 and captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, from their residence to face drug and arms-related charges in the United States.

Tensions have intensified in the region as the U.S. military stepped up counter-narcotics operations in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific. Last month, a JetBlue flight departing from the Caribbean nation of Curacao, just off the coast of Venezuela, halted its ascent to avoid a collision with a U.S. Air Force refueling tanker.

FAA issued an advisory on Dec. 16, 2025, warning airlines of the security situation in Venezuela and urging pilots to exercise caution when operating in the Maiquetia flight information region, which covers Venezuelan airspace.

The advisory was set to remain in effect until Feb. 19, and marked the regulator’s second warning last year on security risks in Venezuelan airspace amid the U.S. military’s counter-narcotics operations in the Caribbean.

Following Maduro’s ouster, President Donald Trump warned drug traffickers in Colombia and Mexico that they could face action by the U.S. military.

Trump told Fox News on Jan. 8 that the U.S. military will begin ground operations targeting drug cartels in Mexico.

“We knocked out 97 percent of the drugs coming in by water, and we are going to start now hitting land with regard with the cartels,” Trump said.

“The cartels are running Mexico. It’s very sad to watch and see what’s happened to that country.”

Trump told reporters on Jan. 4 that he had spoken to Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and offered U.S. troops to help combat drug trafficking in Mexico.

He said that despite her concern, Sheinbaum was “just not willing” and “a little afraid.”

Mexico has strongly denounced the U.S. airstrikes on Venezuela. The Mexican Foreign Ministry issued a statement on Jan. 3 calling for dialogue between the two nations and urging the United Nations to help de-escalate tensions.

“Latin America and the Caribbean is a zone of peace, built on the basis of mutual respect, the peaceful settlement of disputes and the prohibition of the use and threat of force, so any military action seriously jeopardizes regional stability,” the ministry stated.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/17/2026 – 19:15

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/PXwn5kL Tyler Durden

CDC Quietly Rewrites Its Vaccine-Autism Guidance

CDC Quietly Rewrites Its Vaccine-Autism Guidance

Authored by Maryanne Demasi via The Brownstone Institute,

For the first time in a generation, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has rewritten its official position on whether vaccines can cause autism.

This is a change that could reshape one of the most politically charged and emotionally fraught debates in modern medicine.

In a website update published on 19 November 2025, the agency now states that the long-standing claim “vaccines do not cause autism” is “not an evidence-based claim” because scientific studies “have not ruled out the possibility that infant vaccines cause autism.”

The page also acknowledges that “studies supporting a link have been ignored by health authorities.”

It’s difficult to overstate the significance of these statements. For nearly two decades, they would have been unthinkable for a federal public health agency.

The timing is equally striking.

The change arrives at a moment when the political and scientific landscape around vaccine safety is undergoing a marked shift inside the Trump–Kennedy administration.

For months, critics have accused Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr and several of the administration’s appointees of holding unconventional views on vaccine safety.

The CDC’s revised language now places the agency closer to Kennedy’s long-standing argument that federal agencies had ignored crucial evidence.

The CDC explains the shift by pointing to the Data Quality Act, which requires federal communications to accurately reflect the evidence.

Because studies have not excluded the possibility that infant vaccines could contribute to autism, the agency concedes that its long-standing categorical statement was not scientifically justified.

The update states plainly that scientific uncertainty remains, particularly for vaccines administered in the first year of life.

Scientific Uncertainty Finally Acknowledged

The information on the website draws a sharp distinction between the infant vaccine schedule — which includes DTaP, HepB, Hib, IPV, PCV and others — and the measles–mumps–rubella (MMR) vaccine.

For the MMR, the CDC continues to cite observational evidence showing “no association … with autism spectrum disorders,” describing the conclusion as supported by “high strength of evidence.”

But the agency also acknowledges that these studies had “serious methodological limitations” and were all retrospective epidemiological analyses, the type that cannot establish cause and effect or identify subgroups who may be more vulnerable.

The acknowledgement of limitations is unusually candid for a federal agency discussing vaccines and autism.

For the infant vaccine schedule, the shift is even more dramatic.

The CDC cites a series of authoritative reviews — including the 1991 and 2012 Institute of Medicine’s assessments, and the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality’s review in 2021 — all concluding that the evidence was “inadequate to accept or reject” a causal relationship between early-life vaccines and autism.

In other words, the fundamental scientific question remains unresolved.

Political Dynamite

The political context makes this change even more consequential. Senator Bill Cassidy (R-LA), who chairs the Senate Health Committee, has been one of the most vocal critics of Kennedy’s vaccine views.

Cassidy has repeatedly insisted that the science on autism and vaccination was settled years ago. Now the CDC states that the claim “vaccines do not cause autism” does not meet evidence standards.

Remarkably, the CDC states that the headline phrase remains on the page only “due to an agreement with the chair of the U.S. Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee.”

The implication — that the wording is a political compromise rather than a scientific one — will undoubtedly invite scrutiny on Capitol Hill.

Attorney Aaron Siri, who has spent years litigating against federal agencies for greater transparency around vaccine safety, said the update marks a long-overdue shift in honesty from the CDC.

“It is an excellent step in the right direction for CDC to start telling the truth to the public about its past misdeeds and misrepresentations,” said Siri.

“Telling the truth and apologising for its prior misrepresentations is the only way the CDC will ever rebuild trust with the public,” he added.

How the Wakefield Saga Shaped Debate

For years, any attempt to revisit the vaccine–autism question was coloured by the fallout from the “Wakefield saga.”

The retracted 1998 Lancet paper became a shorthand for misinformation, and it allowed public health agencies to dismiss all subsequent concerns as if they were simply a continuation of that controversy.

The episode became a kind of cultural firewall.

Invoking Wakefield was an easy way to shut down inquiry, even when parents were describing patterns that had nothing to do with the MMR vaccine and everything to do with the expanding infant schedule.

The CDC’s admission that the evidence for early-life vaccines is “inadequate to accept or reject” a causal link — and that some studies “supporting a link have been ignored” — breaks the long-standing habit of waving away legitimate questions by pointing back to a decades-old scandal.

A Broad Recalibration

The CDC’s shift also aligns with a broader recalibration underway across federal health agencies in the US.

The Trump administration has ordered new NIH reviews of vaccine safety science, reinstated the Task Force on Safer Childhood Vaccines, and rejuvenated the CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP).

The pattern is unmistakable: agencies that once treated certain questions as “settled science” are now reopening them and its impact is likely to reverberate across the globe.

The CDC now admits the science has not ruled out potential links for vaccines given in infancy.

The website also notes that “about one in two surveyed parents of children with autism” believe vaccination played a role, often pointing to shots given in the first months of life or around the one-year mark.

Until now, those parents were often told their concerns were baseless. The agency’s new wording fundamentally alters that dynamic.

Changing the Conversation

In the US at least, public health agencies will no longer be able to respond to parental concerns with blanket denials.

Moreover, researchers studying plausible mechanisms — such as aluminium adjuvants, neuroinflammation, mitochondrial vulnerabilities, and immune activation — will find themselves in an environment that formally recognises these questions as scientifically legitimate.

Informed consent practices may need to be revisited as the existence of uncertainty is formally acknowledged.

And lawmakers who insisted that the science was settled will now face uncomfortable questions about why federal agencies relied on definitive messaging that did not meet evidence standards.

To be clear — the CDC’s update does NOT assert that vaccines cause autism. What it does say — with clarity the agency has avoided for years — is that the available evidence has not established that they do not, at least for the vaccines given in early infancy.

That distinction may seem subtle, but it represents a profound shift in how the conversation is framed and will undoubtedly impact the personal experiences of families raising autistic children.

For the first time that I can remember, the question of vaccines and autism is no longer treated as taboo. It has been recast — at the CDC’s own hand — as a research question that demands proper investigation.

The shift may prove to be one of the most consequential public health developments of the decade, and it suggests that something significant is moving behind the scenes in the federal agencies that once seemed immovable.

Old CDC Website:

Updated CDC Website:

Republished from the author’s Substack

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/17/2026 – 18:40

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/Kfld9uE Tyler Durden