Government Shouldn’t Be Important Enough To Fight Over


Police officers escort people off stage at the 2026 White House Correspondents' Association dinner. | Jason Dick/CQ Roll Call/Newscom

Government shouldn’t be important enough to motivate people to kill others to gain control. Moreover, people willing to engage in violence to seize the means of governance have no business exercising political power. These are points we should be drumming home after the latest in a series of assassination attempts against President Donald Trump and other administration officials at a time of surging political violence in the United States.

A Violent Mission Amidst a Rising Tide

Cole Tomas Allen’s apparent attack at the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner was almost unremarkable for the banality of his manifesto and because, thankfully, injuries were limited to a Secret Service agent whose vest stopped the round. Allen’s grievances were the bog-standard political verbiage seen these days at political protests. He complained that he was “no longer willing to permit a pedophile, rapist, and traitor to coat my hands with his crimes,” clarifying that he himself is “not the person raped in a detention camp. I’m not the fisherman executed without trial. I’m not a schoolkid blown up or a child starved or a teenage girl abused by the many criminals in this administration.” He could have been at a “No Kings” demonstration—instead, he armed himself to attack attendees at a dinner. Unfortunately, while still a small minority, too many people are making similar choices.

Quantifying political violence and terrorist incidents depends on how incidents are categorized and counted. That said, there’s no doubt that such violence is on the rise. The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) finds that “domestic attacks and plots against the U.S. government are at their highest levels since at least 1994,” according to The Wall Street Journal. The University of Maryland’s National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) believes that political violence peaked in 2020 and early 2021 but that it surged by 34.5 percent in the first eight months of 2025, relative to the same period a year earlier.

Young, Liberal, and Violent

Allen’s relative youth, at 31, and left-of-center political views have become representative of contemporary political violence. While the assumption, for decades, was that violent attacks were more likely to originate on the extreme right, that has changed. “2025 marks the first time in more than 30 years that left-wing terrorist attacks outnumber those from the violent far right,” CSIS’s Daniel Byman and Riley McCabe noted last September after the assassination of Charlie Kirk.

Last year, crunching data from the American Political Perspectives Survey, the Skeptic Research Center reported that “around 1 in 3 younger adults (GenZ and Millennials) expressed support for political violence” and “support for political violence was highest among those identifying as politically ‘very liberal.'” Zoomers voiced greater support than Millennials for political violence; Millennials were more violence-prone than Gen X; and Gen X was more violent than Boomers.

For each age cohort, liberals supported violence to a greater degree than did moderates or conservatives. For all generations combined, the greatest support for the statement “violence is often necessary to create social change” came from self-described “very liberal” respondents (44 percent), followed by “liberal” respondents (28 percent), “very conservative” respondents (27 percent), “moderate” respondents (22 percent), and “conservative” respondents (20 percent).

It’s not surprising that younger people with less life experience and at the peak of physical strength are more violence-prone than those who are older and have done more and seen consequences play out. It also shouldn’t be surprising that the pendulum swings over time and no political faction is inherently more violent than the competition. There’s plenty of crazy to go around when people are out of power and feel besieged by and alienated from a hostile government.

Government vs. Anybody Out of Power

That’s the lesson to take away from the rise in political violence. Modern politicians don’t even pretend to represent people who aren’t their fervent supporters. In Virginia, where congressional votes split 51.4 percent for Democrats in 2024 and 47.6 percent for Republicans, resulting in six seats held by Democrats and five by the GOP, voters just approved a measure overtly intended to gerrymander districts in favor of the donkey party. The new map could give Democrats 10 of the state’s 11 seats.

The Virginia vote follows on a similar effort in Texas to favor Republicans.

After anti-administration “No Kings” rallies across the country last October of the sort attended by alleged would-be assassin Allen, Trump shared an AI-generated video of him shit-bombing protesters. He said of attendees, “they’re not representative of this country.”

His rivals are equally dismissive of opposition. In 2022, Democratic New York Gov. Kathy Hochul directed Republicans to “just jump on a bus and head down to Florida where you belong….Because you don’t represent our values. You are not New Yorkers.” That was about the time then-President Joe Biden lectured the country that “MAGA Republicans do not respect the Constitution.”

American politicians now treat government as a weapon to be used against opponents. Many members of the public perceive—correctly—that they’re despised by those who wield the power of the state.

“Democrats and Republicans are increasingly likely to dislike each other and to feel hostile toward members of the other political party,” YouGov’s Eli McKown-Dawson wrote of results of the firm’s polls.

Politicians and partisans have turned up the heat on American politics, and it’s boiling over. Perhaps, inevitably, the more violence-prone among us take that as license to literally attack their opponents.

Violence Will Continue So Long as Government Is a Threat

The usual call, at this point, is for people to turn down the rhetoric. But that’s pointless when Americans perceive that they’re at risk from opponents who wield the vast power of government and plan to use it against them. That’s not an irrational fear, and words aren’t the danger here—the danger is government that reaches into all areas of life and which really is perilous in the hands of those motivated by malice.

“If in this country law has always been king, its empire has never been so expansive. More than ever, we turn to the law to address any problem we perceive. More than ever, we are inclined to use national authorities to dictate a single answer for the whole country,” Supreme Court Associate Justice Neil Gorsuch and co-author Jane Nitze warned in a 2024 essay adapted by The Atlantic from their book Over Ruled: The Human Toll of Too Much Law.

At a time when Americans agree on so little—other than that they dislike each other—there are no “right” people to hold office and control the instruments of power. We’ve turned elections into existential threats to those who lose. We emphasized the “all” in “winner takes all,” and we’re paying the price.

Understandably fearful of government in the hands of enemies, Americans are literally fighting over political power. The violence won’t stop, and will probably escalate, until there’s no political danger worth fighting over.

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Government Shouldn’t Be Important Enough To Fight Over


Police officers escort people off stage at the 2026 White House Correspondents' Association dinner. | Jason Dick/CQ Roll Call/Newscom

Government shouldn’t be important enough to motivate people to kill others to gain control. Moreover, people willing to engage in violence to seize the means of governance have no business exercising political power. These are points we should be drumming home after the latest in a series of assassination attempts against President Donald Trump and other administration officials at a time of surging political violence in the United States.

A Violent Mission Amidst a Rising Tide

Cole Tomas Allen’s apparent attack at the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner was almost unremarkable for the banality of his manifesto and because, thankfully, injuries were limited to a Secret Service agent whose vest stopped the round. Allen’s grievances were the bog-standard political verbiage seen these days at political protests. He complained that he was “no longer willing to permit a pedophile, rapist, and traitor to coat my hands with his crimes,” clarifying that he himself is “not the person raped in a detention camp. I’m not the fisherman executed without trial. I’m not a schoolkid blown up or a child starved or a teenage girl abused by the many criminals in this administration.” He could have been at a “No Kings” demonstration—instead, he armed himself to attack attendees at a dinner. Unfortunately, while still a small minority, too many people are making similar choices.

Quantifying political violence and terrorist incidents depends on how incidents are categorized and counted. That said, there’s no doubt that such violence is on the rise. The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) finds that “domestic attacks and plots against the U.S. government are at their highest levels since at least 1994,” according to The Wall Street Journal. The University of Maryland’s National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) believes that political violence peaked in 2020 and early 2021 but that it surged by 34.5 percent in the first eight months of 2025, relative to the same period a year earlier.

Young, Liberal, and Violent

Allen’s relative youth, at 31, and left-of-center political views have become representative of contemporary political violence. While the assumption, for decades, was that violent attacks were more likely to originate on the extreme right, that has changed. “2025 marks the first time in more than 30 years that left-wing terrorist attacks outnumber those from the violent far right,” CSIS’s Daniel Byman and Riley McCabe noted last September after the assassination of Charlie Kirk.

Last year, crunching data from the American Political Perspectives Survey, the Skeptic Research Center reported that “around 1 in 3 younger adults (GenZ and Millennials) expressed support for political violence” and “support for political violence was highest among those identifying as politically ‘very liberal.'” Zoomers voiced greater support than Millennials for political violence; Millennials were more violence-prone than Gen X; and Gen X was more violent than Boomers.

For each age cohort, liberals supported violence to a greater degree than did moderates or conservatives. For all generations combined, the greatest support for the statement “violence is often necessary to create social change” came from self-described “very liberal” respondents (44 percent), followed by “liberal” respondents (28 percent), “very conservative” respondents (27 percent), “moderate” respondents (22 percent), and “conservative” respondents (20 percent).

It’s not surprising that younger people with less life experience and at the peak of physical strength are more violence-prone than those who are older and have done more and seen consequences play out. It also shouldn’t be surprising that the pendulum swings over time and no political faction is inherently more violent than the competition. There’s plenty of crazy to go around when people are out of power and feel besieged by and alienated from a hostile government.

Government vs. Anybody Out of Power

That’s the lesson to take away from the rise in political violence. Modern politicians don’t even pretend to represent people who aren’t their fervent supporters. In Virginia, where congressional votes split 51.4 percent for Democrats in 2024 and 47.6 percent for Republicans, resulting in six seats held by Democrats and five by the GOP, voters just approved a measure overtly intended to gerrymander districts in favor of the donkey party. The new map could give Democrats 10 of the state’s 11 seats.

The Virginia vote follows on a similar effort in Texas to favor Republicans.

After anti-administration “No Kings” rallies across the country last October of the sort attended by alleged would-be assassin Allen, Trump shared an AI-generated video of him shit-bombing protesters. He said of attendees, “they’re not representative of this country.”

His rivals are equally dismissive of opposition. In 2022, Democratic New York Gov. Kathy Hochul directed Republicans to “just jump on a bus and head down to Florida where you belong….Because you don’t represent our values. You are not New Yorkers.” That was about the time then-President Joe Biden lectured the country that “MAGA Republicans do not respect the Constitution.”

American politicians now treat government as a weapon to be used against opponents. Many members of the public perceive—correctly—that they’re despised by those who wield the power of the state.

“Democrats and Republicans are increasingly likely to dislike each other and to feel hostile toward members of the other political party,” YouGov’s Eli McKown-Dawson wrote of results of the firm’s polls.

Politicians and partisans have turned up the heat on American politics, and it’s boiling over. Perhaps, inevitably, the more violence-prone among us take that as license to literally attack their opponents.

Violence Will Continue So Long as Government Is a Threat

The usual call, at this point, is for people to turn down the rhetoric. But that’s pointless when Americans perceive that they’re at risk from opponents who wield the vast power of government and plan to use it against them. That’s not an irrational fear, and words aren’t the danger here—the danger is government that reaches into all areas of life and which really is perilous in the hands of those motivated by malice.

“If in this country law has always been king, its empire has never been so expansive. More than ever, we turn to the law to address any problem we perceive. More than ever, we are inclined to use national authorities to dictate a single answer for the whole country,” Supreme Court Associate Justice Neil Gorsuch and co-author Jane Nitze warned in a 2024 essay adapted by The Atlantic from their book Over Ruled: The Human Toll of Too Much Law.

At a time when Americans agree on so little—other than that they dislike each other—there are no “right” people to hold office and control the instruments of power. We’ve turned elections into existential threats to those who lose. We emphasized the “all” in “winner takes all,” and we’re paying the price.

Understandably fearful of government in the hands of enemies, Americans are literally fighting over political power. The violence won’t stop, and will probably escalate, until there’s no political danger worth fighting over.

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Germany Scrambles For Polish Oil Route As Russia Halts Druzhba Flows

Germany Scrambles For Polish Oil Route As Russia Halts Druzhba Flows

Submitted by Julianne Geiger of OilPrice.com

Germany is hunting for solutions to reroute crude oil supplies to the PCK Schwedt refinery after Russia said it would halt Kazakh oil deliveries through the Druzhba pipeline starting May 1, with roughly 43,000 barrels per day (bpd) now at risk.

Berlin is now in talks with Poland over moving replacement barrels through the port of Gdansk, with potential deliveries flowing onward to Schwedt, the refinery that supplies much of eastern Germany, including Berlin, with fuels. The plant has become a recurring pressure point since Germany moved away from Russian crude, and this latest disruption exposes how little slack remains in the system.

Kazakhstan shipped 2.146 million metric tons to Germany through Druzhba last year, up 44% from 2024, with another 730,000 tons delivered in the first quarter.

Poland says it has the technical capacity to handle additional flows, but port access, shipping schedules, crude availability and refinery configurations all matter, too. Replacing pipeline crude with seaborne barrels is rarely a one-for-one swap.

The episode also revives an old vulnerability in European oil security in that the infrastructure can be diversified on paper and still remain concentrated in practice, with Druzbha still running through Russia.

Alternatives do exist for Schwedt, but they are costlier and more complicated. The refinery has increasingly leaned on crude arriving through Baltic routes and Germany’s Rostock port, but those channels are limited.

There is a bigger signal here for the oil market. What looks like a regional supply disruption adds to a broader premium around logistics security, not just crude supply. In Europe, barrels are one question. Moving them is another.

And that distinction matters increasingly for pricing, refinery margins, and the value of secure non-Russian supply routes.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/29/2026 – 06:30

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/sjTfPw0 Tyler Durden

Most Americans Expect Prolonged Conflict With Iran

Most Americans Expect Prolonged Conflict With Iran

Most U.S. adults oppose the war with Iran and say the U.S. should make a deal to end the war as fast as possible. In a recent survey of 1,700 adults, conducted by the Economist and YouGov between April 17 and 20, only 12 percent said they thought that such a deal would be reached in the next two weeks.

As Statista’s Anna Fleck shows in the following chart, roughly half (48 percent) of respondents thought that it was either very or somewhat unlikely that the U.S. would manage to strike a deal with Iran to end the war in the two-week timeframe. A further 41 percent said that there was a 50-50 chance of such an outcome.

Infographic: Most Americans Expect Prolonged Conflict with Iran | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

This pattern held true for both Democrats and Republicans, albeit with a higher share of Democrats saying it was unlikely (61 percent compared to 31 percent of Republicans) that a deal would be reached to end the war in Iran. Where 31 percent of Democrats were unsure, saying that there was a 50-50 chance, 49 percent of Republicans took this view.

Seven in ten Americans said the U.S. should make a deal to end the war as quickly as possible, while two in ten said they were not sure and one in ten opposed the idea. However, when asked about the conditions for ending the war, Americans were more divided: 35 percent said the U.S. should make a deal even if Iran does not give up its enriched uranium, as 34 percent said it should not.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/29/2026 – 05:45

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/8GXUsCw Tyler Durden

After Record $19.50 Premium, Saudis Eye Sharp Cut To June Asia Prices

After Record $19.50 Premium, Saudis Eye Sharp Cut To June Asia Prices

Submitted by Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com

The world’s top crude exporter, Saudi Arabia, is expected to slash its official selling prices (OSPs) for crude loading for Asia in June from the record-highs for May as the premiums of the Middle Eastern benchmarks eased this month.

Saudi oil giant Aramco is widely expected to announce in early May a reduction of the OSP of the flagship Arab Light crude by between $5 and $12 per barrel compared to the Oman/Dubai average, off which Middle Eastern producers price their crude going to Asia, a Reuters survey of industry sources showed on Tuesday.

The Arab Light grade could see its OSP falling to a premium of $7.50-$14.50 over the average of the Oman and Dubai benchmarks for June, compared to a record-high premium of $19.50 for loadings for Asia in May.

In early April, Saudi Arabia hiked the price of Arab Light loading for Asia in May to a record-high premium over the Middle Eastern benchmarks as the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz upended oil flows and roiled markets and prices.

The premium for May was the highest ever in Saudi pricing, although it was below the $40 per barrel premium over Oman/Dubai that some refiners and traders had expected.

Saudi Arabia typically announces around the fifth of each month its crude pricing for the following month and doesn’t comment on price changes.

The pricing announcement follows the monthly OPEC+ gatherings at which the producers, led by Saudi Arabia, decide how to maintain market stability.

For the June pricing, the Reuters survey participants expect all other grades to also see price reductions of between $5 and $12 per barrel in the premium to Oman/Dubai.

The wide gap of $7 per barrel, in the expectations of the market suggests that traders and refiners in Asia aren’t sure how Saudi Arabia would approach the June pricing, as the Strait of Hormuz is still closed and only the Yanbu port on the Red Sea is regularly shipping out Saudi light crude to international markets.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/29/2026 – 05:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/LZl6GK2 Tyler Durden

NATO Mulls Nixing Annual Summits, Wary Of ‘Trump Drama’ Overshadowing

NATO Mulls Nixing Annual Summits, Wary Of ‘Trump Drama’ Overshadowing

Fresh reporting in Reuters says that NATO leadership is mulling ending its practice of holding annual summits as the Trump presidency has “cast a long shadow” over such meetings and as member states are looking for “less drama”.

For example, at the 2018 summit Trump threatened to walk ⁠out after bitterly complaining over allies’ low defense spending. Jens Stoltenberg, NATO’s secretary general at the time, wrote in a recently published memoir, “Had he made good on his threat to leave ​in protest, we would have been left to pick up the pieces of a shattered NATO.”

via Associated Press

Also, in 2019 he exited summit early while lambasting then-Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as “two-faced” after Trudeau was caught on a hot mike blasting Trump’s behavior.

One report recalls of the scene:

Footage emerged late on Tuesday that appears to show world leaders joking about Trump at the summit, which has been marked by sharp disagreements over spending and future threats, including Turkey’s role in the alliance and China, as well as a clash of personalities that triggered a flurry of incendiary language being deployed by leaders.

The video shows leaders including Trudeau, Johnson, the French president, Emmanuel Macron, the Dutch prime minister, Mark Rutte, and Princess Anne at the Buckingham Palace event on Tuesday evening.

In audio caught on a nearby microphone, Johnson asks Macron: “Is that why he was late?” before Trudeau interjects: “He was late because he takes a 40-minute press conference off the top.”

Trudeau adds: “Oh, yeah, yeah yeah. He announced … ” before he is cut off by Macron, who speaks animatedly to the group. Macron’s back is to the camera and his words are inaudible.

After an edited cut in the film, the footage later shows an incredulous Trudeau telling the group: “You just watched his team’s jaws drop to the floor.”

In his second administration, President Trump’s fierce criticisms have only grown, especially related to lack of help in the Iran war and Hormuz Strait crisis, labeling the alliance a “paper tiger” and charging member states with being “free-loaders”.

One European diplomat expressed an increasingly common viewpoint among members: “Better to have fewer summits than bad summits,” the official said.

And, per Reuters: “Some diplomats and analysts have long argued that annual summits create pressure for eye-catching results that distracts from longer-term planning.”

The 2019 Trudeau hot mic incident:

For now at least, NATO leadership is insisting it will be business as usual and these annual summits will proceed. “NATO will continue to hold regular meetings of Heads of State and Government, and between summits NATO Allies will continue to consult, plan and take decisions about our shared security,” a NATO official told Reuters. But Trump’s anti-NATO rhetoric is unlikely to cease anytime soon, setting up for more drama to come.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 04/29/2026 – 04:15

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/STpn4k2 Tyler Durden

Brickbat: Don’t Take Your Guns to Town


Dallas Police officer and a handgun | Illustration: Midjourney/Avi Adelman/ZUMAPRESS/Newscom

In Texas, a judge sentenced former Dallas Police Sergeant Thomas Fry to 28 months in federal prison for possession and sale of a stolen firearm. As part of his guilty plea, Fry admitted he had stolen three department-owned service weapons in June and July 2022 and sold them to a pawn shop in Oklahoma.

The post Brickbat: Don't Take Your Guns to Town appeared first on Reason.com.

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Brickbat: Don’t Take Your Guns to Town


Dallas Police officer and a handgun | Illustration: Midjourney/Avi Adelman/ZUMAPRESS/Newscom

In Texas, a judge sentenced former Dallas Police Sergeant Thomas Fry to 28 months in federal prison for possession and sale of a stolen firearm. As part of his guilty plea, Fry admitted he had stolen three department-owned service weapons in June and July 2022 and sold them to a pawn shop in Oklahoma.

The post Brickbat: Don't Take Your Guns to Town appeared first on Reason.com.

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