An Important Cert Petition Pending Before the Supreme Court on Section 230 Immunity

I previously blogged about a cert petition I helped to prepare regarding the scope of section 230 immunity. Last week, the final briefing was submitted to the Supreme Court. In my view, the briefing makes clear that the Court should grant cert on the important issue of whether section 230 immunizes Twitter’s knowing possession and distribution of child pornography.

The issue arises through a provision in the Communications Decency Act, which encourages “Good Samaritan” acts to keep objectionable content off the internet. 47 U.S.C. §230(c). The Act states internet platforms are not liable for “good faith” acts to remove such content. Section §230(c)(2)(A). It clarifies that platforms may exercise that editorial control without being “treated as the publisher or speaker.” Section 230(c)(1).

In the case at hand, the Ninth Circuit construed the Act to immunize an internet platform’s knowing and deliberate decision to keep “child pornography” on the internet—a federal crime so damaging that Congress expressly allows victims to seek civil penalties. (The images are better described as “child sex abuse materials, or CSAM, but we have followed the current legal nomenclature.) In response to repeated alerts that child pornography depicting the minor petitioners (John Doe 1 and John Doe 2) was on its platform, Twitter asked for John Doe 1’s ID—verifying that he was a minor. Twitter, in its own words, “reviewed the content” showing coerced sex acts by minors. But Twitter then decided “no action will be taken.” The video proliferated—and Twitter profited—until a Department of Homeland Security official intervened.

The victims sued. Twitter claimed immunity. The Ninth Circuit agreed that Section 230 precludes federal civil penalties for that knowing sexual exploitation of children. And our cert petition presented the question of whether section 230’s Good Samaritan immunity applies to the knowing possession and distribution of child pornography.

Twitter has now responded to our petition. In its brief in opposition, Twitter characterizes the case as involving its decision of whether to screen such content:

Child pornography is the most serious category of harmful content that platforms encounter—a fact no one disputes and Twitter does not minimize. But that is a difference of degree, not of legal kind. Courts have uniformly applied Section 230(c)(1) to bar claims that seek to treat a website as the publisher of a third party’s obscenity, illegal pornography, or other arguably criminal content. See, e.g., Force v. Facebook, 934 F.3d at 59 (content that encouraged terrorism); Barnes v. Yahoo!, Inc., 570 F.3d at 1098 (nonconsensual nude images);  Dyroff v. Ultimate Software Grp., Inc., 934 F.3d at 1095 (content facilitating illegal drug sales). Indeed, a foundational premise of Section 230 is that websites hosting third-party content cannot be charged with screening all such content; to hold that offending content of any particular stripe  disables the statutory immunity would contravene that premise and expose websites to potential liability simply because their screening has been imperfect in some way.

Our reply argues strenuously that Twitter is mischaracterizing what it did—which was to distribute child pornography, even after it had specifically identified the material as child pornography and knew that the materials were being downloaded by tens of thousands of its customers:

Twitter never contests those knowing criminal acts. Instead, Twitter restates the questions presented, reframing this petition as just another petition about “not removing more quickly allegedly unlawful third-party conduct.” Twitter reduces the petition to a dispute about how “swiftly” it acted. Twitter even claims the petition is a poor vehicle because its criminal wrongdoing did no harm.

Try as it might to paint this petition as one about some unknowing publisher, Twitter acted knowingly and deliberately. Those criminal acts led John Doe 1 to consider ending his life. Those criminal acts prompted a DHS official to intercede. Petitioners are still suffering from them. …

This petition is the straightforward vehicle to address the outermost limit of § 230  immunity. This case is not about what steps some internet company should take to monitor content that it is unwittingly hosting. It is about the company’s own knowing and deliberate acts. Do federal laws prohibit Twitter from knowingly possessing, distributing, and profiting from child pornography—like everyone else? Or does § 230 put Twitter above the law?

Our cert petition was strongly supported by three excellent amicus briefs. Senator Josh Hawley filed a brief arguing that this case requires Supreme Court review:

Nothing in the text, structure, or history of the Communications Decency Act’s Section 230 shields internet platforms that knowingly possess and distribute child pornography. Congress drafted Section 230 to avoid publisher liability without upending distributor liability, which had its own rich common law backdrop. The Good Samaritan carveout in Section 230(c) is narrow and unrelated to any facts in this case. The Ninth Circuit’s  holding to the contrary represents the most extreme extension yet of Section 230 immunity in the statute’s history, and is a perfect vehicle for this Court to rein in the statute’s purview to the four corners of its text.

The National Center for Missing and Exploited Children (NCMEC) filed an amicus brief arguing the Ninth Circuit’s decision will harm efforts to combat emerging threats to children online:

The Ninth Circuit’s decision—holding that 47 U.S.C. § 230 immunizes internet platforms from liability for the knowing possession and distribution of child sexual abuse material (CSAM)—will make it exponentially harder to fight the crisis of online child sexual exploitation. In NCMEC’s experience, strong incentives—including the possibility of  liability for knowing participation in criminal child sexual exploitation—are essential to ensure an adequate response from internet platforms. Absent the Court’s review, the Ninth Circuit’s decision will undercut a fragile system that is already overly reliant on voluntary efforts and the variable goodwill of internet platforms.

And Child USA filed an amicus brief arguing that Twitter was invoking an unjustifiably broad reading of Section 230:

Congress never intended Section 230 to operate as a blanket shield for internet service providers (“ISPs”). Its narrow purpose was to prevent ISPs from being treated as the publisher or speaker of thirdparty content. Petitioners’ claims fall far outside that protection: they seek to hold Twitter liable for its own misconduct—misconduct that, if proven, reflects knowing participation in and financial benefit from criminal exploitation.

I hope that the Supreme Court grants our petition, presenting an extremely important and recurring issue. Reading federal law as an open invitation for social-media companies to  knowingly possess, profit from, and distribute child pornography is an egregious misinterpretation of Section 230—and one that causing grave harm to child victims. The Court should step in to determine whether Section 230 truly places Twitter above the criminal law and allows it to knowingly distribute child pornography.

Counsel of record for our petition is Taylor Meehan, joined by colleagues Thomas McCarthy and Tiffany Bates of the Antonin Scalia Law School Supreme Court Clinic/Consovoy McCarthy PLLC. Also assisting on the petition were Benjamin Bull, Peter Gentala, Danielle Pinter, and Christen Price from the National Center on Sexual Exploitation; Lisa and Adam Haba of the Haba Law Firm, Paul Matiasic of the Matiasic Firm, P.C., and me.

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Report: High Taxes and Burdensome Regulations Are Killing California


California, and a dollar bill twisted into a downward arrow. | Illustration: Midjourney/Imagepixel/Dreamstime

California’s proposed “billionaire tax” is keeping the state in the news these days, as are government policies that hike the price of gasoline in the Golden State to ridiculous heights. The propensity for ever-higher taxes and always tighter regulations in California is now a defining characteristic of the place and it has consequences. Those consequences can be measured in terms of lost jobs and a sluggish economy.

California’s Lagging Economy

“California’s economic performance has fallen sharply behind the rest of the nation, with job growth since the COVID-19 pandemic at less than half the national rate, while the state’s high cost of living is erasing its income advantage,” according to a Pacific Research Institute (PRI) summary of a new report by the think tank’s Wayne Winegarden and Kerry Jackson.

Specifically, finds the report, “California’s share of the national economy has fallen precipitously from its 2021 peak and is now stagnant at around 13.8 percent. Had the state simply maintained its 2021 peak share, California’s economy would be 4.6 percent larger today—the equivalent of an additional $14,000 for every household.”

An Exodus of People and Businesses

Even before PRI started crunching the numbers, Americans were aware that California has been shedding population (partially offset by immigration from other countries). “From 2010 through 2024 (the year of the latest data) almost 10 million people moved from California to other states, while just over 7 million people moved to California from other parts of the country,” According to the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC). “California now experiences net losses among higher-income households as well as middle- and lower-income households.”

The exodus of high-income individuals has been accelerated by proposals for a 5 percent (and potentially higher) wealth tax that has spurred people like Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page, and Sergey Brin to head for the exits. In January, venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya estimated that $1 trillion of wealth fled the state ahead of the January 1 deadline to which the tax, if passed, would retroactively apply.

Businesses are leaving along with people. Tesla moved its headquarters from California to Texas, as did Chevron and real-estate giant CBRE Group. Palantir moved first to Denver and then to Miami. While new firms are still created in California, opportunities become more limited as entrepreneurs go elsewhere.

“Job growth from February 2020 to December 2025 has been less than half the rate that the rest of the nation has posted,” comment PRI’s Winegarden and Jackson. “The jobs record is even worse in the private sector, which drives innovation and fosters prosperity.” In fact, they add, “outside of healthcare jobs, California’s private sector employment market is not just stagnating—it is shrinking.”

Sure enough, PPIC finds that 21 percent of Californians have considered leaving the state over the lack of well-paying jobs. Why are jobs, businesses, and people leaving? It’s a matter of bad policy.

“From an economic perspective, residents are hampered by steep housing costs, high-priced energy, expensive cost of living, and high taxes that more than offset California’s higher-than-average household income,” note Winegarden and Jackson. “The state’s high and rising taxes, overly burdensome regulations, and general anti-business environment are incenting businesses to leave as well.”

Californians Are Overtaxed and Overregulated

California’s tax policies put it at 46 out of the 50 states of the union in the Cato Institute’s Freedom In the 50 States State Taxation rankings. “California is one of the highest-taxed states in the country. California’s combined state and local tax collections are 13.0 percent of adjusted personal income,” observe the authors of that assessment. “Regulatory policy is more of a problem for the state than fiscal policy.”

California’s overall regulatory ranking is 49 out of 50. “California is one of the worst states on land-use freedom,” warn the authors. “Some cities have rent control, new housing supply is tightly restricted in the coastal areas despite high demand, and eminent domain reform has been nugatory.” This all contributes to high housing costs that help make the state such an expensive place to live.

The Cato authors add that “labor law is anti-employment” and “occupational licensing is extensive and strict,” both of which discourage the creation and growth of businesses.

For its part, in 2024, George Mason University’s Mercatus Center assessed California as “the 1st most regulated state in the nation” with 420,434 restrictions as compared to 300,095 for second-ranked New York. Mercatus researchers cautioned that “jurisdictions that allow regulations to consistently pile up over the years experience slower economic growth” and that “growth in these regulations is correlated with increased poverty rates, lost jobs, and higher inflation, among other effects.”

Without Reform, the Golden State Will Continue To Stagnate

PRI’s Winegarden and Jackson highlight California’s “economic repellants” which, they write, “include the state’s high taxes and onerous regulations that are responsible for the growing unaffordability problem. California’s lack of affordability is driving away families who discover that they can obtain a higher quality of life for less outside of the Golden State. Accelerating the vicious cycle, businesses, aware that the state is unattractive to families, are then further incentivized to either leave or not expand their business to California.”

In explaining Chevron’s move from California to Texas, Andy Walz, Chevron’s then-president of Americas Products, commented that “California is a tough place to do business.” He added that “cost of living is expensive. And we were not able to get employees that didn’t live there to move there.”

Spread those and similar concerns across hundreds of companies and millions of individuals, and you end up with an exodus of people and businesses to comparatively more attractive alternative destinations. Those places—with lighter regulations, lower taxes, and greater affordability—become homes to people, employers, jobs, and prosperity.

“The exodus of businesses, jobs, and residents is communicating to policy leaders that the state needs to embrace a pro-growth deregulatory and tax-reform agenda that directly addresses the state’s high costs of doing business and consumer affordability problems,” conclude Winegarden and Jackson.

Basically, California needs to roll back decades of control-freakery and abandon ongoing efforts to punish success. Without reform, the state will continue down the road of economic stagnation.

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Archives: May 2026


archives | Photo: Bill Boyd; May 1981 issue of Reason

5 years ago
May 2021

“Without Roe [v. Wade], political battles over abortion will continue, but they will mainly involve state-by-state legislative debates rather than arguments about constitutional law and the composition of the Supreme Court. While neither side will be happy with that situation, it will reduce the stakes of any given legislative or judicial decision and turn down the heat of a controversy that has frequently dominated national politics.”
Jacob Sullum
“The Right to an Abortion Isn’t Going Away”

10 years ago
May 2016

“After seven years of economic realities smacking Democratic promises in the face, [Sen.] Bernie Sanders has arrived to say that the problem with all the spending, the centralizing, and the stimulusing, is that it did not go nearly far enough. It would be more comforting to those who share Sanders’ broad critiques about U.S. foreign policy and domestic criminal justice if those were the issues most animating his infectiously enthusiastic fan base. But outside of a memorable February debate exchange over Henry Kissinger, they are not. Those most ardently Feeling the Bern so far this campaign season are the ones embracing his economic ideas. And sadly, many of those ideas are terrible.”
Matt Welch
“Bernie’s Bad Ideas”

“Even if he loses, Sanders has still shown he can attract around 40 percent of Democratic voters across the country. That’s an amazing performance for somebody who keeps a plaque on the office wall honoring Eugene V. Debs, who ran his 1920 Socialist Party presidential campaign from the prison cell where he was serving a sentence for sedition. Sanders is a guy who throws around words like oligarchy like penny candy, promises to stop virtually all U.S. trade with countries not run by someone named Castro, and thinks the federal government should set up ‘worker-owned businesses.’ He wants you to be able to borrow money from the government at the Post Office. And his contempt for the marketplace borders on the paranoid.”
Glenn Garvin
“The Sanders Surprise”

35 years ago
May 1991

“While a number of peripheral causes may help explain why postal prices are rising astronomically, most mailers see one fundamental reason: Labor costs at the Postal Service have spun out of control….Facing no competition and no bottom line, the Postal Service operates much like a private club, existing primarily to serve itself, contends economist Douglas Adie of Ohio University. Says Lee Epstein, president of Mailmen Inc. of Long Island, a volume mailing service: ‘There’s no competition, so they feel free to do whatever they want.'”
Carolyn Lochhead
“The Superior Mail”

45 years ago
May 1981

“In 1970, when Congress and the Nixon administration agreed to continue passenger rail travel in the face of growing public preference for auto, bus, and plane, a modest $40 million was put up to get Amtrak rolling. In 1981 Amtrak is still rolling, and the taxpayers now are laying down nearly $900 million a year for it. Amtrak officials enthusiastically predict that the system will soon achieve ‘a permanent and ever more crucial role in our national transportation system.’ More realistically, the Interstate Commerce Commission notes that ‘Amtrak seems to have stabilized into a position of permanently subsidized operations.'”
Jeffrey Shedd
“Amtrak: Congress’s Toy Trains”

“The popular wisdom is that businesses would like nothing better than to be left alone by government and that this prompts their increasingly vociferous denunciations of environmental, energy, safety, and consumer regulations. OSHA and EPA, it would seem, are agents of the devil. In fact, however, much government interference in the marketplace is inspired by business requests. Producers frequently seek tariffs, subsidies, licensing requirements, and so on to shore up their markets, boost their prices, or enhance their finances.”
Russell Shannon
“Are Businesses Really Opposed to Big Government?”

50 years ago
May 1976

“Freedom for the prostitute means not just freedom for those who ply the profession, who choose the life style; it means more freedom for all the members of society: freedom from hypocrisy; freedom for individuals to join the profession they choose, to spend their time as they choose; sexual freedom for all, and perhaps most important, freedom from yet another set of irrational and hypocritical laws criminalizing an act without victims.”
Timothy Condon
“What To Do About Prostitution”

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Powerful 7.5-Magnitude Quake Hits Northern Japan, Triggers Tsunami Warnings

Powerful 7.5-Magnitude Quake Hits Northern Japan, Triggers Tsunami Warnings

A powerful and shallow 7.5-magnitude earthquake struck off Japan’s northeast coast, triggering a tsunami at Kuji Port in Iwate Prefecture.

Public broadcaster NHK initially warned that a tsunami up to 10 feet high was expected to hit the Iwate area on Honshu’s main island. However, so far, it has been reported to be about 31 inches high.

The quake was reported shortly before 17:00 local time, rattled towers as far away as Tokyo, and forced the suspension of Shinkansen high-speed rail services in Iwate, NHK said.

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said the government had mobilized an emergency task force and urged citizens in affected areas to evacuate.

“Possible damage and casualties are now being looked into,” Takaichi told reporters in Tokyo.

Japan sits on the Pacific “Ring of Fire,” one of the world’s most seismically active zones, where multiple tectonic plates collide and generate earthquakes.

Since the 2011 Fukushima disaster, when a 9.0-magnitude quake and tsunami sparked triple reactor meltdowns, Japan has overhauled its response and evacuation systems to improve disaster readiness.

NHK cited the Tokyo Electric Power Company as saying that no issues were reported at the Fukushima Daiichi and Fukushima Daini nuclear power plants.

The Japan Meteorological Agency warned that aftershocks are possible over the next week and could be similar in size to the quake recorded earlier today.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 04/20/2026 – 06:55

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From Leverage To Liability: The Hormuz Strait Is Now Iran’s Biggest Weakness

From Leverage To Liability: The Hormuz Strait Is Now Iran’s Biggest Weakness

Authored by Daniel Lacalle,

For half a century, the Strait of Hormuz was Iran’s weapon. Today, it is its noose.

The mathematics of energy have flipped, and with them the balance of coercive power in the Persian Gulf.

Iran’s implicit deterrent was geographic, spanning from the tanker wars of the 1980s to the sanctions standoffs of the 2010s. Almost 20% of global seaborne oil, and a similar share of liquefied natural gas, passes through the Strait. The formula was simple: any military confrontation that threatened the Tehran regime risked a closure that would halt trade supplies, spike crude prices, bleed Western consumers, and, above all, inflict pain on the United States, who was the world’s largest oil importer.

The strait served as Tehran’s insurance policy and its most powerful bargaining tool. The threat was predicated on the regime’s belief that it could block everyone except its exports. The Iranian regime revealed its biggest weakness by constantly threatening to damage the global economy through a shutdown of the Strait. In reality, a total shutdown has the most severe impact on Iran.

Almost 90 per cent of Iran’s crude exports, and about 80 per cent of its total exports, depend on the transit through Hormuz. Around 25 per cent of Iranian GDP and 60 per cent of government revenues depend completely on having the Strait open.

Before the war, Iran was exporting roughly 1.7 million barrels per day, receiving around $160 million in daily revenue from exports via the Strait. Thus, Trump’s full closure of the Strait costs Tehran hundreds of millions of dollars a day in losses, not accounting for the additional fiscal and currency consequences in a country already facing an economic disaster with 40–50% inflation. The complete dependence on the Strait of Hormuz also adds to another weakness: 95% of Iranian crude at sea is sold to a single buyer, China. Tehran is not selling into a diversified and open market. Its exports are sold to a monopsony that demands large discounts, between 10 and 11 dollars per barrel.

These weaknesses were visible long before the war. Capital flight reached $15 billion in the first half of 2025 alone; the rial collapsed against the dollar, and the government’s budget, which allocates 51 per cent of oil revenues to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, became even more dependent on a single export route it could not afford to close. When the war began, Iranian crude shipments collapsed by 94%. Then, the United States’ decision to block all Iran export vessels showed that Iran’s chokepoint had become self-choking.

In the past 30 days, 80% of the essential volumes that moved through the Strait have been rerouted or offset by other oil producers, including US record exports.

The world is very different from what the Iran regime thought. In 2025, U.S. crude oil production hit a new annual record of 13.6 million barrels per day, making the United States the world’s largest producer but also the biggest exporter. The United States shipped 5.2 million barrels per day of crude and 7.2 million barrels per day of petroleum products in March 2026, both global records. For the first time, America exported more petroleum than it imported, by a net margin of almost 2.8 million barrels per day, according to the EIA. Total US liquids production now exceeds that of Saudi Arabia and Russia combined. On the natural gas side, U.S. LNG exports reached well over 15 billion cubic feet per day, surpassing Qatar and Australia to make the United States the world’s largest liquefied natural gas exporter, while U.S. dry gas production exceeds the combined output of Russia, Iran, and China. Furthermore, the United States is also the world’s largest producer of nuclear electricity, at roughly 30 per cent of global generation, and a global leader in renewable energy.

When President Trump could say in April 2026 that the United States was “clearing the Strait as a favour to countries around the world, including China, Japan, Korea, and Germany,” the framing was an accurate description of who needs Hormuz open and who does not. Only 4% of the traffic through the Strait goes to the United States, according to SP Global.

According to the International Energy Agency, throughput at Hormuz collapsed from its long-run average of about 20 million barrels per day to 3.8 million since the beginning of the war through the second week of April. Daily ship transits fell roughly 95 per cent. The Tehran regime, in a gesture more theatrical than realistic, attempted to levy a $2 million toll on each vessel crossing the strait, without understanding that the move showed desperation instead of leverage.

The US response has been the most important measure deployed against Iran in two decades of standoffs. Operation Economic Fury established a full naval blockade of Iranian ports. Iranian naval losses in the first 38 days of combat exceeded 150 vessels. The ceasefire framework under negotiation requires Iran to reopen Hormuz, but the US maintains control. Thus, negotiations revolve around Iranian dismantlement, not American concessions.

The lesson is not just that Iran miscalculated but that it massively underestimated its obvious weaknesses. The United States is not a hostage of the Gulf; it is the guarantee of its safe sea lanes. Europe is tied to U.S. LNG while keeping a substantial Russian dependence, which complicates its energy security and makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in supply and price from both sources. Asia’s largest economies, particularly China, are suffering the marginal cost of a Hormuz disruption, which has led to increased energy prices and supply chain uncertainties that further exacerbate their economic challenges. Iran’s economic nightmare has only started.

Three important factors must be considered.

  • First, the traditional Hormuz risk premium in Brent, which refers to the additional cost added to oil prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, is structurally smaller than in the 2010s because U.S. supply can absorb shocks that previously had no substitute. The Brent price is lower in real and nominal terms than in the 2008, 2018, or 2022 peaks.

  • Second, the strength of American energy, including economics, export infrastructure, and LNG capacity, has become a key global geopolitical variable, influencing global energy prices and the strategic decisions of other nations.

  • Third, Iran’s economy has not only suffered damage; it has also been demolished, and its extremely weak fiscal position indicates that it cannot sustain the threat posture in Hormuz.

The Strait of Hormuz remains the world’s most important chokepoint. However, a chokepoint hurts whoever depends on it most, and Iran relies on it completely. The United States does not.

The geopolitical advantage that Tehran once held has now become its greatest weakness, likely leading to the disappearance of the regime’s effective bargaining power.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 04/20/2026 – 06:30

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Report: High Taxes and Burdensome Regulations Are Killing California


California, and a dollar bill twisted into a downward arrow. | Illustration: Midjourney/Imagepixel/Dreamstime

California’s proposed “billionaire tax” is keeping the state in the news these days, as are government policies that hike the price of gasoline in the Golden State to ridiculous heights. The propensity for ever-higher taxes and always tighter regulations in California is now a defining characteristic of the place and it has consequences. Those consequences can be measured in terms of lost jobs and a sluggish economy.

California’s Lagging Economy

“California’s economic performance has fallen sharply behind the rest of the nation, with job growth since the COVID-19 pandemic at less than half the national rate, while the state’s high cost of living is erasing its income advantage,” according to a Pacific Research Institute (PRI) summary of a new report by the think tank’s Wayne Winegarden and Kerry Jackson.

Specifically, finds the report, “California’s share of the national economy has fallen precipitously from its 2021 peak and is now stagnant at around 13.8 percent. Had the state simply maintained its 2021 peak share, California’s economy would be 4.6 percent larger today—the equivalent of an additional $14,000 for every household.”

An Exodus of People and Businesses

Even before PRI started crunching the numbers, Americans were aware that California has been shedding population (partially offset by immigration from other countries). “From 2010 through 2024 (the year of the latest data) almost 10 million people moved from California to other states, while just over 7 million people moved to California from other parts of the country,” According to the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC). “California now experiences net losses among higher-income households as well as middle- and lower-income households.”

The exodus of high-income individuals has been accelerated by proposals for a 5 percent (and potentially higher) wealth tax that has spurred people like Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Page, and Sergey Brin to head for the exits. In January, venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya estimated that $1 trillion of wealth fled the state ahead of the January 1 deadline to which the tax, if passed, would retroactively apply.

Businesses are leaving along with people. Tesla moved its headquarters from California to Texas, as did Chevron and real-estate giant CBRE Group. Palantir moved first to Denver and then to Miami. While new firms are still created in California, opportunities become more limited as entrepreneurs go elsewhere.

“Job growth from February 2020 to December 2025 has been less than half the rate that the rest of the nation has posted,” comment PRI’s Winegarden and Jackson. “The jobs record is even worse in the private sector, which drives innovation and fosters prosperity.” In fact, they add, “outside of healthcare jobs, California’s private sector employment market is not just stagnating—it is shrinking.”

Sure enough, PPIC finds that 21 percent of Californians have considered leaving the state over the lack of well-paying jobs. Why are jobs, businesses, and people leaving? It’s a matter of bad policy.

“From an economic perspective, residents are hampered by steep housing costs, high-priced energy, expensive cost of living, and high taxes that more than offset California’s higher-than-average household income,” note Winegarden and Jackson. “The state’s high and rising taxes, overly burdensome regulations, and general anti-business environment are incenting businesses to leave as well.”

Californians Are Overtaxed and Overregulated

California’s tax policies put it at 46 out of the 50 states of the union in the Cato Institute’s Freedom In the 50 States State Taxation rankings. “California is one of the highest-taxed states in the country. California’s combined state and local tax collections are 13.0 percent of adjusted personal income,” observe the authors of that assessment. “Regulatory policy is more of a problem for the state than fiscal policy.”

California’s overall regulatory ranking is 49 out of 50. “California is one of the worst states on land-use freedom,” warn the authors. “Some cities have rent control, new housing supply is tightly restricted in the coastal areas despite high demand, and eminent domain reform has been nugatory.” This all contributes to high housing costs that help make the state such an expensive place to live.

The Cato authors add that “labor law is anti-employment” and “occupational licensing is extensive and strict,” both of which discourage the creation and growth of businesses.

For its part, in 2024, George Mason University’s Mercatus Center assessed California as “the 1st most regulated state in the nation” with 420,434 restrictions as compared to 300,095 for second-ranked New York. Mercatus researchers cautioned that “jurisdictions that allow regulations to consistently pile up over the years experience slower economic growth” and that “growth in these regulations is correlated with increased poverty rates, lost jobs, and higher inflation, among other effects.”

Without Reform, the Golden State Will Continue To Stagnate

PRI’s Winegarden and Jackson highlight California’s “economic repellants” which, they write, “include the state’s high taxes and onerous regulations that are responsible for the growing unaffordability problem. California’s lack of affordability is driving away families who discover that they can obtain a higher quality of life for less outside of the Golden State. Accelerating the vicious cycle, businesses, aware that the state is unattractive to families, are then further incentivized to either leave or not expand their business to California.”

In explaining Chevron’s move from California to Texas, Andy Walz, Chevron’s then-president of Americas Products, commented that “California is a tough place to do business.” He added that “cost of living is expensive. And we were not able to get employees that didn’t live there to move there.”

Spread those and similar concerns across hundreds of companies and millions of individuals, and you end up with an exodus of people and businesses to comparatively more attractive alternative destinations. Those places—with lighter regulations, lower taxes, and greater affordability—become homes to people, employers, jobs, and prosperity.

“The exodus of businesses, jobs, and residents is communicating to policy leaders that the state needs to embrace a pro-growth deregulatory and tax-reform agenda that directly addresses the state’s high costs of doing business and consumer affordability problems,” conclude Winegarden and Jackson.

Basically, California needs to roll back decades of control-freakery and abandon ongoing efforts to punish success. Without reform, the state will continue down the road of economic stagnation.

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These Are The Countries Building The Most Nuclear Power

These Are The Countries Building The Most Nuclear Power

China is set to become the world’s dominant nuclear power producer.

Based on existing and planned projects, its total capacity could reach nearly 186 gigawatts, far surpassing the U.S., which currently leads globally. This shift reflects a broader push to secure reliable, low-carbon energy as electricity demand rises.

This chart, via Visual Capitalist’s Tasmin Lockwood, ranks countries by current and prospective nuclear capacity, using data from Global Energy Monitor.

How Nuclear Energy Is Set to Scale by Country

The U.S. currently leads nuclear energy production with a capacity of 102,475 megawatts, exceeding France by more than 35,000 MW.

China ranks third today at 60,898 MW, but that is set to change as new plants come online.

Dive into the data, which includes sites of any capacity as of September 2025, below:

This shift has major geopolitical implications. Countries that expand nuclear capacity can reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels while strengthening energy security and grid stability.

If all planned projects are completed, China will lead with 185,812 MW, followed by the U.S. at 117,910 MW and France at 75,590 MW.

France remains a historic leader in nuclear energy, with around 69% of its electricity generated from the technology.

The UK was home to the world’s first commercial nuclear power plant, which came online in 1956, but later scaled back its use of nuclear. The government is now aiming for a “golden age of nuclear,” though current commitments totaling 15,394 MW would rank the country just 12th globally.

Of the 17 countries with zero installed capacity today, Uganda is set to scale up the most to 18,000 MW, followed by Poland with 15,612 MW and Türkiye with 14,700 MW.

Betting on Nuclear Fusion and Fission

Today’s nuclear expansion is centered on fission, the technology that powers all existing reactors and accounts for about 10% of global electricity generation. While mature, it is evolving through smaller, modular designs that aim to reduce costs, improve safety, and speed up deployment.

This helps explain why much of the prospective capacity in the chart includes not only large-scale plants, but also a growing wave of smaller reactors backed by governments and private capital.

At the same time, nuclear fusion, the process that powers the sun, remains a long-term ambition. Despite rising investment and recent technical progress, it has yet to reach commercial scale.

For now, the global nuclear buildout is firmly rooted in fission, as countries prioritize reliable, low-carbon power that can be deployed within the next decade.

To learn more about nuclear, check out this graphic ranking the countries building the most reactors.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 04/20/2026 – 05:45

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/7oKjPsk Tyler Durden

Europe Faces Summer Jet Fuel Crisis As Iran War Slashes Supply

Europe Faces Summer Jet Fuel Crisis As Iran War Slashes Supply

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via OilPrice.com,

  • Europe faces an imminent jet fuel crisis as the Iran war and Hormuz disruption cut off key Middle Eastern supplies.

  • Long-term refinery closures and rising import dependence have left Europe highly exposed, with limited alternatives and growing competition from Asia.

  • Airlines are already cutting capacity and warning of higher fares, with potential flight cancellations looming as fuel shortages intensify.

Accelerated refinery closures in the past decade and increased dependence on kerosene from the Middle East have exposed Europe’s energy supply vulnerability once again.

For years, European consumers have had to contend with last-minute strikes of ground personnel and cabin crew during peak summer travel. This year, strikes may be viewed as a minor nuisance compared to what’s coming within weeks—a jet fuel supply crisis that could ground flights and hike fares.

The war in Iran has cut most of Europe’s imports of jet fuel, while local output has been falling for nearly two decades due to dozens of refineries closing permanently or being converted to biofuel production.

The war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have severely constrained Europe’s jet fuel supply, while jet fuel prices have spiked to over $200 per barrel. The last imports from the Middle East on tankers that had passed Hormuz before the war began have arrived, and there is only one alternative to source jet fuel—from the United States. These supplies are not only insufficient to replace the loss of Middle Eastern jet fuel. Europe faces increasingly fierce competition from Asia for these cargoes as the crisis first hit Asia with crude supply from the Middle East collapsing, Asian refiners cutting refinery runs, and countries imposing fuel export restrictions to preserve domestic supply.

Back in 2009, nearly 100 refineries were operating in Europe. Of these, 28 refineries – more than 25% of the number of refineries and 16% of refining capacity – have been either shut or transformed since 2009, according to data from the European Fuel Manufacturers Association.

As refineries were closing, due to declining fuel demand in Europe and emission-reduction policies, the European dependence on imported supply has grown. The hit to supply from the Middle East caught Europe off guard regarding the security of energy supply for the second time in just four years, after natural gas deliveries from Russia crashed in 2022.

This time, the jet fuel crisis could be imminent, analysts and forecasters warn.

Last year, Europe imported about a third of the jet fuel it consumed, with 75% of imports coming from the Middle East, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has said.

Its executive director, Fatih Birol, this week warned that Europe has “maybe six weeks or so” of remaining jet fuel supply.

“If we are not able to open the Strait of Hormuz … I can tell you soon we will hear the news that some of the flights from city A to city B might be canceled as a result of lack of jet fuel,” Birol told Associated Press in an interview.

Northwest Europe is one of the regions most exposed to the jet fuel crisis, as imports have dropped from historical norms this month, and the import decline is set to accelerate in the coming weeks as more U.S. jet fuel cargoes would go to Asia instead of Europe, Ernest Censier, market analyst at Vortexa, said in an analysis on Thursday.

The 15% drop in European jet fuel imports so far in April “reflects structural dependence on Middle Eastern supply: approximately half of NWE’s jet fuel imports typically transit through the Strait of Hormuz,” Censier said.

In addition, relatively short voyage times of about 21 days from Mina Abdulla in Kuwait to Rotterdam mean that supply disruptions are transmitted quickly into regional imports, the analyst added.

The U.S. has emerged as the key source of substitution for lost Middle Eastern supply, but this is unlikely to be sustained as U.S. jet/kerosene exports are increasingly being redirected toward the Pacific Basin, reaching a seven-year high this month, and now accounting for over 30% of total U.S. jet fuel exports.

“This reallocation reflects a broader shift in US product exports toward the Pacific Basin,” Vortexa’s Censier noted.

This leaves Europe highly exposed to the turbulence in the jet fuel markets.

Lufthansa, Europe’s biggest airline, on Thursday said it is accelerating plans to reduce its flight program and retire some aircraft earlier.

“In view of significantly increased kerosene prices, which have more than doubled compared to the period before the Iran war, as well as rising additional burdens from labor disputes.”

“The package for accelerated implementation of fleet and capacity measures is unavoidable in light of the sharply increased kerosene costs and geopolitical instability,” said Till Streichert, Chief Financial Officer of Lufthansa Group.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 04/20/2026 – 05:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/5lie92E Tyler Durden