Submitted by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,
We seem to be stuck.
For the last couple of months, with the exception of the momentary blip to the downside, the market has spent its time within a fairly narrow trading range. For 43-days. the market traded within a 1% range before the “catastrophic plunge” (sarcasm) to support at 2125. Since then, the market has climbed, slowly, the bullish trend line into a fairly tight wedge – it’s been up, down and sideways.
Importantly, this consolidation will resolve itself and the direction of the breakout will be fairly significant. As I wrote this past week:
“The bullish trend line remains intact and a break above the “price wedge” would suggest a sharper move higher. This makes the addition of a trading position viable with a very close stop at the current trend line.”
“But therein lies the question of the day. If the market is able to break above the current resistance levels, the technical trends suggest a move to 2400 is indeed viable. However, what is not discussed by the mainstream media, because it would be considered ‘bearish,’ is a break to the downside could be equally as painful.”
We’re stuck. The Fed is stuck and can’t raise rates because economic data keeps them sidelined. Markets are stuck as global economic growth rates are being slashed by the U.N. and the IMF as the rise in the dollar impacts corporate profit growth.
What happens next is anyone’s guess at the moment. We’re stuck.
So, while we’re stuck, here is what I am reading this weekend.
Fed / Economy
- The Overlords Of Finance by Danielle DiMartino-Booth via Money Strong
- Adjusting The Outlook by Scott Brown, Ph.D. via Raymond James
- The Noose Is Tightening On The Global Economy by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market
- Who Is Driving Global Growth Now by Eric Bush via GaveKal
- Why Americans Feel Poorer by Narayana Kocherlakota via Bloomberg
- Market Is A Fed Created Casino by Bill Gross via Janus Capital
- Two Fed GDP Trackers Show Wilting GDP by Jeffry Bartash via MarketWatch
- Central Banks Worry About End Of The Road by Enda Curran via Bloomberg
- Fed Finally Accepts Slow Growth Forever by Kirk Spano via MarketWatch
- Just Say No by Ed Yardeni via Yardeni Research
- IMF Chief Lagarde Should Resign Immediately by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge
- The EU Is Doomed: UK Now Fastest Growth Economy by Szu Ping Chan via The Telegraph
- IMF Slashes It’s Global Growth Forecast by David Lawder via Reuters
- The Coming Recession by Simon Black via Sovereignman.com
- Two-Thirds Of Millennials Live With Parents by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge
Jobs
- Jobs: Our National Treasure by Danielle DiMartino-Booth via Money Strong
- The Number No One Is Talking About by Lawrence Fuller vis Seeking Alpha
- Fed’s Mester: Time To Hike Rates by Matthew Belvedere via CNBC
- Stunning: Part-Time Jobs Soar by Tyler Durden via Zero Hedge
- Economy Adds 156k While Jobless Rate Ticks Up by Vicki Needham via The Hill
Markets
- A Rebellion Is Forming Among WallStreet Forecasters by Sam Ro via Yahoo Finance
- Malaise by Comstock Partners
- Markets Mistake Noise For GDP Growth by Robert Johnson via MorningStar
- 3 Reasons Everyone Is Spooked by Anthony Scaramucci via Fortune
- Market Corrections Shouldn’t Make You Worry by Simon Moore via Forbes
- Market Outlook A Little Too Buoyant by Elizabeth Collins via Morningstar
- Major Asset Class Review by James Picerno via Capital Spectator
- Rally Built On Fed As “Greater Fool” by John Hussman via Hussman Funds
- Some Possible Insight Into Something by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Partners
- Shiller P/E Sending A False Signal by Justin Lahart via WSJ
- Crispin Odey Goes All Bearish by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge
- Libya Could Derail OPEC Production Cut Hopes by Julianne Geiger via OilPrice.com
- Weakening Auto Sales Send Ominous Signals by Lee Adler via ContraClub
Interesting Reads
- Britain Starts Brexit; So Might The Banks by George Hay via Reuters
- OPEC Quota Deal May Be No Deal by Tom Stevenson via The Telegraph
- Crossing Swords With Warren Buffett by Doug Kass via Real Clear Markets
- No, Tax Cuts Didn’t Cause The Financial Crisis by Keith Hennessey
- Trumped Up Myth Behind Trickle Down Economics by Gary Galles via The Mises Institute
- Timing “Smart Beta” Strategies by Arnott, Beck, Kalesnik via Research Affiliates
- Tax Idea Fair To All Americans by Brett Arends via MarketWatch
- Optimism Or Pessimism? Try Realism by Ira Stoll via Reason
- Housing, Fed Fails To Look In The Mirror by Aaron Layman via AaronLayman.com
- “Buffett Rule” All Wrong by George Harbison via RCM
- The End Of US Dollar Dominance by Axel Merk via Merk Investments
- 10-Reasons You Aren’t A Value Investor by John Mihaljevic via Latticework
- Things Are Getting Ugly In Trucking by Wolf Richter via Wolf Street
- Post-Crisis Muni Bond Run Nearing An End by Dana Lyons via Tumblr
- Cash The Most Hated Asset Class by Jesse Felder via The Felder Report
“I never hesitate to tell a man that I am bullish or bearish. In a bear market all stocks go down and in a bull market they go up.” — Jesse Livermore
via http://ift.tt/2dkUjbj Tyler Durden