Millennials like Hillary
Clinton,
according to the latest Reason-Rupe poll of millennials. Among
likely millennial voters, 53 percent plan to vote for her if she
runs for president in 2016.[1]Even though
they see
themselves as closer to Republican Gov. Chris Christie on
economics, they perceive to be closer to Clinton on social
issues. Ultimately they are planning to vote for Clinton.
Part of Clinton’s popularly is undoubtedly related to her
heightened name recognition. But most of the Democratic candidates
asked about in the survey receive more “yes” votes than votes
against them. Vice President Joe Biden comes in second with 30
percent and Elizabeth Warren with 22 percent.(Survey respondents
could select more than one candidate).
Every Republican candidate is
underwater receiving more “no” votes than votes in favor. Rand Paul
receives the most votes of any Republican candidate (17 percent)
and is the least underwater of the Republicans (-12 percent) among
likely voters.
Name recognition helps potential Democratic presidential
candidates more than Republican candidates. The more familiar
millennials are with Democrats, the more likely they are to say
they’d vote for them; the effect is muted among Republican
candidates.
Overall, 45 percent of likely millennial voters indicate they
would vote for at least one Republican presidential candidate and
66 percent would vote for at least one Democratic candidate
offered.
When likely millennial voters
were asked to select their first choice for president, the top five
vote-getters include three Democrats—Hillary Clinton (39%),
Elizabeth Warren (9%), and Joe Biden (7%) —followed by two
Republicans, Rand Paul (6%) and Paul Ryan (6%).
Fifty-seven percent of Democratic likely voters prefer Hillary
Clinton, followed by 15 percent who select Elizabeth Warren. A
plurality of independent likely voters also select Hillary Clinton
(34%), followed by Gary Johnson (10%), and Rand Paul (9%).
The top vote-getters among Republican likely voters are Rand
Paul and Paul Ryan, who tie at 14 percent. Mike Huckabee comes in
next with 13 percent, followed by Chris Christie with 12 percent, a
virtual four-way tie.
The steep Democratic voting advantage among this cohort,despite
their being fiscal centrists, shows that millennials’
social liberalism may be a key driver behind their Democratic
voting preferences.
[1] The Reason-Rupe poll asked
millennials to select from a list of 15 possible presidential
candidates whom they would be willing to vote for and then which
candidates they would not vote for in 2016.
To
learn more about millennials, check
out Reason-Rupe’s new report.
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