Frontrunning: October 28

  • CDC says returning Ebola medical workers should not be quarantined (Reuters)
  • Sweden’s central bank cuts rates to zero (FT)
  • Hacking Trail Leads to Russia, Experts Say (WSJ)
  • Discount-Hunting Shoppers Threaten Stores’ Holiday Cheer (BBG)
  • Apple CEO fires back as retailers block Pay (Reuters)
  • Repeat after us: all China data is fake – China Fake Invoice Evidence Mounts as HK Figures Diverge (BBG)
  • FX Traders’ Facebook Chats Said to Be Sought in EU Probe (BBG)
  • Euro Outflows at Record Pace as ECB Promotes Exodus (BBG)
  • Apple boosts R&D spending in new product hunt (FT)
  • China’s Stocks Rise Most in Three Months on Trade-Zone Expansion (BBG)
  • BoE demands climate answers from insurers (FT)
  • Mercedes Drivers Stung by Shale Boom’s Quirks at the Pump (BBG)
  • Russian Brain Drain Saps Talent as Sanctions Hit Financing (BBG)
  • China’s ‘new normal’ for consumption (FT)
  • Madison Square Garden Explores Plan to Split Into Two (BBG)
  • Washington state school gunman texted victims to meet at cafeteria: official (Reuters)
  • Wyly Widow Was Insolvent After Billionaire’s Death (BBG)
  • Zombie Storms Cause Mayhem Long After They Drop off Maps (BBG)

 

Overnight Media Digest

WSJ

* The Centers for Disease Control recommended that people deemed to be at high risk of developing Ebola voluntarily isolate themselves from others for 21 days, but stopped short of recommending the mandatory quarantines that at least two states have ordered. (http://on.wsj.com/1wD924O)

* Computer-security experts say they found what they describe as a sophisticated cyberweapon on a network at a U.S. firm harboring military secrets, and that the spy tool was built during Moscow working hours. (http://on.wsj.com/1tC3c62)

* Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, which recently raised $25 billion in the world’s biggest initial public offering in the United States, is interested in cooperating with Apple Inc in financial payments, the Chinese company’s executive chairman said. (http://on.wsj.com/1sxoI5e)

* The FDA, Interpol and dozens of countries want the Internet’s central administrator to help shut down sites suspected of selling drugs without a prescription, but Icann’s powers are limited. (http://on.wsj.com/1tBbolL)

* The United States is imposing additional tariffs on Mexican sugar imports next week, but the new fees may be short-lived. (http://on.wsj.com/1pSTOV7)

* Europe’s yearlong banking stress tests were to provide the public with reliable, comprehensive data about the finances of the continent’s lenders. But some errors and inconsistencies nonetheless crept into the test results. (http://on.wsj.com/1tBbwSb)

* Madison Square Garden said it would explore separating its entertainment businesses from its media and sports operations, and that it was nominating Nelson Peltz and Scott Sperling to its board. (http://on.wsj.com/1yG5yzR)

* An internal disagreement within the Securities and Exchange Commission is threatening potentially lucrative revenue streams at Bank of America Corp, according to people close to the situation. (http://on.wsj.com/1wD94cK)

* General Motors Co – trying to stir some buzz around the next generation Chevrolet Volt plug-in – said Tuesday it would move production of the vehicle’s electric drive unit to its home state of Michigan from Mexico. (http://on.wsj.com/1xyuiZH)

 

FT

The Bank of England has written to about 30 insurance companies to evaluate the risks of climate change to their solvency and earnings, in a concern over the potential financial aftermath of global warming. In his address to the members of parliament, British Prime Minister David Cameron on Monday said Britain would not pay an additional 1.7 billion pounds ($2.74 billion) as part of its contribution to the European Union. The EU says a recent upward revision to Britain’s gross national income during 2002-2013 triggered the additional contributions. Scandals in the financial markets are not caused by just a “few bad apples”, and financial regulators are set to impose more regulation on the sector to reclaim public trust, Bank of England Deputy Governor of markets and banking, Nemat Shafik said.

Britain’s Co-operative Bank named Dennis Holt as its new chairman, as the bank aims to recover from a high-profile drugs scandal, senior management departures and its near collapse.

 

NYT

* Madison Square Garden Co said on Monday it was exploring a potential breakup of itself, a move that would separate the New York Knicks and Rangers professional sports teams from the company’s live entertainment business. (http://nyti.ms/1tBS74T)

* Adding to pressure on the guardrail manufacturer Trinity Industries Inc, Virginia said on Monday it planned to remove the company’s products after it failed to meet a state deadline to supply documentation for new crash testing. (http://nyti.ms/1tBRzf9)

* Regal Entertainment Group, which operates the country’s largest theater chain, said on Monday it was exploring “strategic alternatives” that may include a sale of the company. (http://nyti.ms/1zCxoB5)

* Sachem Head Capital Management, a $2 billion hedge fund, disclosed on Monday that it had acquired an economic interest in CDK Global Inc equivalent to a 9.8 percent stake. (http://nyti.ms/1DV09rv)

* Private equity firm Warburg Pincus LLC has raised $4 billion for a new fund, its first dedicated to investments in the energy sector. Warburg Pincus said on Monday that the final amount of capital raised for the fund was $1 billion higher than the initial goal, indicating robust demand among investors. (http://nyti.ms/1ze6PRH)

 

Canada

THE GLOBE AND MAIL

** On a day when the Conservative government tabled new legislation to expand the powers of Canadian Security Intelligence Service, sources say Ottawa is now weighing new tools to deal with citizens who openly support terrorist attacks on Canadians or back groups that urge this goal. (http://bit.ly/1teramw)

** The Canada government is beefing up its blacklist of Canadian employers with a plan to include not only businesses found to have broken temporary foreign worker program rules, but also provincial labour laws. (http://bit.ly/12ZjVVF)

** Toronto has rejected the tumultuous reign of the Ford brothers, choosing as their next mayor John Tory, a buttoned-up former provincial politician who won over voters with his promises of good governance and swift improvements to public transit. (http://bit.ly/1oT2rUT)

NATIONAL POST

** Nearly one year after John Chen took the helm of BlackBerry Ltd, the chief executive touted his turnaround plan on Monday. In a post on networking website LinkedIn, Chen said BlackBerry faced “tremendous challenges” when he was appointed last November and he moved to create a culture “that focuses on fixing things and finding solutions, not on the obstacles before you”. (http://bit.ly/10wwTt8)

** Canada’s ambassador in the United States Gary Doer says he has been busy since last week’s terror attack in Ottawa correcting “alarmist” media reports about the shooting. He has spent years pointing out there are nowhere near 500 Canadians fighting with ISIS, as one politician said. (http://bit.ly/1wDcbRZ)

** Royal Canadian Mounted Police Commissioner Bob Paulson says the video made by the gunman in last week’s attack on the National War Memorial contains evidence that the shooting was driven by political and ideological motives. Paulson hopes that it will eventually be released to the public. (http://bit.ly/1tDmN5A)

 

China

CHINA SECURITIES JOURNAL

– China should select a number of qualified cities to develop free trade zones following the progress made in Shanghai Pilot Free Trade Zone (FTZ), President Xi Jinping said during a meeting on Monday.

– China should be cautious about selling state assets too cheaply if it sells shares through private placement and should also develop supervision systems, State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council’s Director Chu Xuping said while discussing the main challenges for the ongoing mixed ownership reform.

SHANGHAI SECURITIES NEWS

– China’s Shanghai Pilot Free Trade Zone(FTZ) should increase foreign businesses’ access by updating the negative list and introduce taxation systems which are in line with international standards for foreign investment, accounting agency PricewaterhouseCoopers said in an assessment report.

– China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) will encourage banks to establish branches in Tibet and will provide preferential credit policy to support its development, said CBRC’s President Shang Fulin during a meeting on Tibet’s financial development.

CHINA DAILY

– A memorandum of understanding (MoU) has been signed between U.S. pharmaceutical firm Johnson & Johnson and Shanghai Ruijin Hospital, to promote scientific research.

– Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd plans to set up a dairy manufacturing operation in China, it said on Monday.

PEOPLE’S DAILY

– Meeting the cultural needs of people and promoting well-being are the Chinese Communist Party’s governance goals as these will also act as guarantees for the party’s sustainable political leadership, the party mouthpiece said in a commentary

Britain

The Times

PRICE OF OIL COULD TUMBLE TO $80 A BARREL AMID GLUT

Goldman Sachs Group Inc said Brent crude could drop to $80 a barrel next year as the slump that has seen oil prices fall 25 percent in the past five months continues. The investment bank said rising production would outstrip demand and slashed its forecasts by 15 percent. It said Brent crude could hit $85 a barrel in the first quarter of next year, falling to $80 a barrel in the second quarter. (http://thetim.es/1zdUugc)

STRUGGLING SALAMANDER ENERGY CONFIRMS TAKEOVER TALKS

The slump in oil prices is set to claim its first corporate casualty as Salamander Energy Plc confirms it is in talks with two companies about a potential takeover. Ophir Energy Plc, the FTSE 250 explorer, is closing in on a possible 275 million pound deal, but Salamander said it was seeking clarity on the terms of the deal. Another suitor, Cepsa, the Spanish group controlled by Ipic, the Abu Dhabi investment fund, is also circling. Salamander says it has not received details of any proposal from the consortium or any confirmation that it will receive a proper offer. (http://thetim.es/1w9mT4B)

The Guardian

DENNIS HOLT NAMED CHAIRMAN OF CO-OP BANK

A former top retail banker, Dennis Holt, has been named chairman of Co-operative Bank Plc after standing in on an interim basis for the past month. The appointment of Holt, who used to run the high street banking operation of Lloyds TSB, takes place immediately and makes him the third chairman of the troubled bank in the last 18 months. (http://bit.ly/1u0qC5T)

ALEX SALMOND WELCOMES FLYBE FLIGHTS BETWEEN LONDON CITY AND SCOTLAND

First Minister of Scotland Alex Salmond has welcomed Flybe Group Plc’s launch of new services from Scotland to London City airport, saying they would provide business travellers with an alternative to Heathrow and reduce British Airways overcharging. Flybe launched operations from London City on Monday with six routes connecting Britain and Ireland to the capital’s financial district. Scotland is a key beneficiary with multiple daily services to Edinburgh, Aberdeen and Inverness. (http://bit.ly/1wwgi39)

Sky News

CAMERON: UK WILL NOT MEET 1.7 BLN STG EU BILL DEMAND

British Prime Minister David Cameron insists there is “no pressing need” for Britain to pay 1.7 billion pounds ($2.74 billion) to the EU – despite a warning of a substantial fine. The surcharge was made public at an EU summit last week, but the Prime Minister said Britain would not meet the Dec. 1 deadline. (http://bit.ly/ZUr4Vl)

MAJOR BANKS TO TOP UP PPI BILL TO OVER 22 BLN STG

Britain’s five biggest banks are poised to take their aggregate bill for miss-selling payment protection insurance (PPI) past 22 billion pounds, underlining its status as the most costly scandal in the industry’s history. Barclays Plc, HSBC Holdings Plc, Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc will all use their quarterly results statements during the next week to top up PPI compensation provisions. (http://bit.ly/1rMhxXP)

 

 

Fly On The Wall Pre-Market Buzz

ECONOMIC REPORTS

Domestic economic reports scheduled for today include:
Durable goods orders for September at 8:30–consensus up 0.9%
S&P Case-Shiller 20-city home price index for August at 9:00–consensus up 0.2%
Consumer confidence for October at 10:00–consensus 86.8
Richmond Fed manufacturing index for October at 10:00–consensus 10

ANALYST RESEARCH

Upgrades

Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at RW Baird
Core Laboratories (CLB) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
Dril-Quip (DRQ) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley
DryShips (DRYS) upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at Imperial Capital
GOL Linhas (GOL) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James
Madison Square Garden (MSG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at ISI Group
STMicroelectronics (STM) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citigroup
Trinity Industries (TRN) upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna
Twitter (TWTR) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Pivotal Research
Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
Wright Medical (WMGI) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital
XL Group (XL) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank

Downgrades

Armstrong World (AWI) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays
Basic Energy (BAS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Bunge (BG) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan
C&J Energy (CJES) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Cementos Pacasmayo (CPAC) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays
Exact Sciences (EXAS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens
Forum Energy (FET) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley
Helmerich & Payne (HP) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Nabors Industries (NBR) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Oceaneering (OII) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley
PRGX Global (PRGX) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at RW Baird
Patterson-UTI (PTEN) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Pioneer Energy (PES) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Plum Creek Timber (PCL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
Sarepta (SRPT) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at RW Baird
Thoratec (THOR) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays
Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura
Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital
Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel
Washington REIT (WRE) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo
Wright Medical (WMGI) downgraded to Buy from Strong Buy at Needham

Initiations

Dermira (DERM) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup
FMSA Holdings (FMSA) initiated with a Buy at KeyBanc
FMSA Holdings (FMSA) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman
FMSA Holdings (FMSA) initiated with an Outperform at Cowen
GoPro (GPRO) initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush
HSN, Inc. (HSNI) initiated with a Buy at Brean Capital
Kite Pharma (KITE) initiated with a Buy at Canaccord
ValueVision (VVTV) initiated with a Buy at Brean Capital
Vivint Solar (VSLR) initiated with an Equal Weight at Barclays
Yodlee (YDLE) initiated with a Buy at BofA/Merrill
Yodlee (YDLE) initiated with a Buy at Goldman
Yodlee (YDLE) initiated with a Neutral at UBS
Yodlee (YDLE) initiated with an Outperform at Credit Suisse
Yodlee (YDLE) initiated with an Outperform at Pacific Crest

COMPANY NEWS

GM’s (GM) Warren Transmission Plant to build electric drive unit for Volt. CEO Mary Barra will announce capital investments of nearly $300M in Michigan between now and the end of the year
Madison Square Garden (MSG) board unanimously approved plan to explore spin-off
Barclays (BCS) said it plans to cut 9,000 jobs across the business by the end of 2017
Lloyds Banking (LYG) said it sees 9,000 job reductions by end of 2017
Gartner said worldwide shipments of 3D printers to reach over 217,000 in 2015 (DDD, XONE, ADSK, MTLS, VJET, SSYS)
Amazon.com (AMZN) to invest $75M and create 1,000 jobs in first Illinois facility
UBS (UBS) said no agreemment reached with DOJ over foreign exchange
Wright Medical (WMGI), Tornier (TRNX) agreed to merge in $3.3B transaction
Receptos (RCPT) said RPC1063 Phase 2 trial met primary and all secondary endpoints
Regal Entertainment (RGC) announced a $1.00 per share special dividend retained Morgan Stanley to explore strategic alternatives, including a potential sale

EARNINGS

Companies that beat consensus earnings expectations last night and today include:

LabCorp (LH), Capella Education (CPLA), Spirit Airlines (SAVE), CIT Group (CIT), Harris (HRS), Sensata (ST), Washington Federal (WAFD), Centene (CNC), Radware (RDWR), Aetna (AET), DuPont (DD), VASCO Data Security (VDSI), BP (BP), Novartis (NVS), HomeStreet (HMST), German American Bancorp (GABC), Kadant (KAI), First Interstate (FIBK), Arlington Asset Investment (AI), Seacor Holdings (CKH), Alliance Holdings (ahgp), Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP), Ferro (FOE), XL Group (XL), Cliffs Natural (CLF), NBT Bancorp (NBTB), HealthSouth (HLS), Seacoast Banking (SBCF), Mavenir Systems (MVNR), Reinsurance Group (RGA), Berkshire Hills Bancorp (BHLB), Compass Minerals (CMP), Advent Software (ADVS), Hartford Financial (HIG), Brixmor (BRX), MicroStrategy (MSTR), Bank of Hawaii (BOH), GigOptix (GIG), PMC-Sierra (PMCS), Intevac (IVAC), Sanmina (SANM), Luminex (LMNX), Cognex (CGNX), Integrated Device (IDTI), Plum Creek Timber (PCL), Denny’s (DENN), Allison Transmission (ALSN), Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD), Amgen (AMGN), Heartland Financial (HTLF), Regal Entertainment (RGC)

Companies that missed consensus earnings expectations include:

CONSOL (CNX), Medidata (MDSO), Bio-Techne (TECH), Independent Bank (IBTX), Stock Building Supply (STCK), Whirlpool (WHR), Portland General Electric (POR), T-Mobile (TMUS), PRGX Global (PRGX), Owens & Minor (OMI), Manitowoc (MTW), Masco (MAS), Hudson Valley (HVB), Orchid Island Capital (ORC), Park National (PRK), Innophos Holdings (IPHS), Artisan Partners (APAM), PartnerRe (PRE), Symetra Financial (SYA), Blue Capital (BCRH), Ducommun (DCO), Amkor Technology (AMKR), Montpelier Re (MRH), Meru Networks (MERU), Knowles (KN)

Companies that matched consensus earnings expectations include:

1-800-Flowers.com (FLWS), First BanCorp (FBP), Universal Health (UHS), Flushing Financial (FFIC), Twitter (TWTR), Monolithic Power (MPWR), TriplePoint Venture (TPVG), ANADIGICS (ANAD)

NEWSPAPERS/WEBSITES

YouTube (GOOG) may charge for new services, Re/code reports
SEC undecided on Bank of America (BAC) business curbs, WSJ reports
More than 1M credit cards registered on Apple Pay (AAPL) in first 72 hours, Re/code reports
Apple CEO (AAPL) says Apple Pay in 220,000 locations already, Business Insider reports
NYC boy with Ebola-like symptoms tests negative for disease, WSJ says (PPHM, TKMR, SRPT, BCRX, CMRX, NLNK, LAKE, APT, SMED)

SYNDICATE

EnLink Midstream (ENLK) files to sell $350M shares of common units
Hannon Armstrong (HASI) 4M share Spot Secondary priced at $13.60
Inogen (INGN) files to sell 2.1M shares of common stock for holders
Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) files to sell 3.2M common shares of beneficial interest
Regulus Therapeutics (RGLS) files to sell $80M of common stock




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1u2CZyl Tyler Durden

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