There Aren’t Enough Beds in This Virginia Jail for All the Women Caught in Heroin and Human Trafficking Dragnets

Even as the waning of the war on weed makes a small dent in mass incarceration, American cops and prosecutors are rushing to restore jail and prison populations with new nonviolent vice offenders. One chilling case study can be found in Henrico County, Virginia, where the number of female inmates at the county jail has more than doubled in the past year, a leap largely due to prostitution and opioid arrests. The place is so overcrowded that a common room has been converted to an area where 50 or more women sleep on cots or slim mattresses on the floor.

“Our female population skyrocketed,” Henrico County Sheriff Mike Wade told the Ronoake Times. “We don’t have enough space for them.”

What’s behind this XX-chromosome crime wave? It’s not an onslaught of ornery lady crooks; it’s an intensifying police crackdown on sex workers and on people with drug dependence issues. Harsh mandatory sentencing policies may also play a role.

Patricia O’Bannon, chair of the county Board of Supervisors, says the problem stems from the Henrico Commonwealth’s Attorney’s overreliance on jail for people who need mental-health or drug-abuse treatment. But Michael Feinmel, who prosecutes drug- and prostitution-related cases for the county, claims that treatment resources are too scant and jail is the only option—at least it gets people off the streets.

Feinmel’s justification implies that cops have no choice but to make all these prostitution and drug arrests—that these people are a nuisance to the public, or have no homes and anywhere else to go, or pose an immediate danger to themselves. But this isn’t true.

Henrico County vice cops go out of their way to arrest these women, or at least the ones booked for prostitution. They troll online ads, reach out to sex workers pretending to be customers, and rent rooms at local motels where they can lure these women in order to arrest them. Or they travel to hotel rooms that women have rented and then arrest them for “keeping a bawdy place.”

They do this under the guise of fighting “human trafficking,” but it’s just punishing women who sell sex. The “victims” are arrested and get to sleep on slim mattresses on the cement floor of an overcrowded jail where such basic necessities as toilet paper and menstrual pads are limited.

From 2014 through 2016, Henrico County Jail averaged just 118 to 124 female inmates per day. So far, 2017 has seen more than twice that. The jail’s average female population per day this year so far has been 268—in a facility that only has 239 beds dedicated for women. Nearly 70 of of the inmates have been pregnant.

“I think judges used to be more lenient on females than males,” the sheriff mused to NBC 12 Richmond, “but I think with more mandatory sentences and things, it’s created an increase in [the female] population.”

He said that more beds are being ordered (a step that has apparently taken 10 months of overcrowding to trigger). For now, apparently, converting the jail’s dayroom into a communal sleeping area must do.

Last year, former FBI director James Comeny visited Henrico County to talk about opioid addiction. “We cannot arrest our way out of this problem,” Comey said at the time. Evidently, Henrico County cops disagree.

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Cyrus Vance Is a Product of Dangerous One-Party Rule

It’s been a bad month for Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance. First there were reports that he declined to indict Ivanka Trump and her brother Donald Jr. for allegedly misleading prospective real estate buyers, but not til after Vance had received a large donation from Donald Sr.’s lawyer. Then Vance turned out to have had the same damning audio recording of Harvey Weinstein admitting to groping a woman’s breasts that The New Yorker published Tuesday, yet he declined to pursue the case.

The Manhattan DA’s office has more than 800 investigators on its payroll and took in more than $12 billion from asset forfeiture since 2009. It was more than capable of doing the work that Ronan Farrow did for The New Yorker, but it didn’t.

In a normal election, this kind of two-punch October Surprise would be more enough to sink a candidate. But New York City doesn’t have normal elections. Republicans offer largely token opposition in citywide races, and most of the borough-wide races (save for Staten Island) are the same way.

While New York City allows “fusion tickets,” where a candidate runs on the line of more than one party, no third party has taken advantage of this recently to mount a credible challenge to Democratic rule.

This is the result: A district attorney faces serious questions about his ethics and his prosecutorial decisions, in a case that’s getting massive attention in the news cycle, yet he has little fear of it costing him his job at the ballot box in a few weeks. (A write-in challenger is now trying to mount an effort against Vance, but the task seems close to impossible.)

Last year Vance’s office handled 80,000 cases, according to its annual report. That includes 67,246 arrests for misdemeanors and violations—touted as a victory because it represented a 27 percent drop from 2010, when there were 92,585 arrests for misdemeanors and violations.

The DA’s office also touted its work on “crimes against women.” Needless to say, that didn’t mean investigating powerful men who abuse their positions; it meant analyzing “online advertisements placed by prostitution services, which enables prosecutors to identify patterns which lead to the discovery of both victims and perpetrators of human trafficking.”

Cyrus Vance was first elected in 2009. He ran against a number of other candidates in that year’s Democratic primary, but he has not faced any real opponents since then. That kind of lack of opposition makes accountability exceedingly difficult. Vance’s 2016 annual report insisted he was committed to criminal justice reform, but without the pressures and checks of competitive politics, that’s hard to verify.

Vance’s strong job security also undermines his excuses for taking money from lawyers tied to subjects of his investigations. He has denied any quid pro quo, insisting the contributions were “unfortunately, a part of running for office.” But they’re not. Even in competitive races, it’s morally bankrupt to argue that you have to take money from everyone because your opponent is raising money too. When an incumbent faces no serious opposition, it’s beyond preposterous.

But why would Vance worry about saying something patently ridiculous? It’s not like New Yorkers have any other choice.

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Twitter Labels Ben Affleck “Buttman” After Women Accuse Him Of Groping Them

Nearly two dozen women have accused Harvey Weinstein of crimes ranging from sexual harassment to groping and even rape in a scandal that’s upended the entertainment industry’s power structure and threatening to tarnish the reputations of several other public figures, including politicians like Manhattan Attorney General Cyrus Vance Jr., who killed an investigation into Weinstein back in 2015.

But of all the Hollywood figures who’ve been criticized for tacitly condoning Weinstein’s behavior, none have sustained quite as much reputational damage as Ben Affleck, who’s been branded as a hypocrite by Weinstein accuser Rose McGowan for his half-hearted condemnation of Weinstein’s actions.

Soon after Weinstein accused Affleck of lying in a statement disavowing Weinstein, twitter users brought up a 2003 incident where Affleck appeared to grope actress Hilarie Burton live on camera, which in turn prompted several women to come forward to allege that Affleck groped them during a party years ago.

Twitter users gleefully responded by branding Affleck with a hilarious new epithet: The Buttman.

Affleck famously played Batman in a widely panned “Batman vs. Superman.”

Affleck has apologized to Burton…

Then the other women came forward.

 

 

 

 

Then Buttman was born…

 

Affeck has yet to respond to the groping accusations.

…But just in case you weren’t an avid watcher of TRL back in 2003


 

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Curve Flattens After Blistering 30Y Auction Stops Through, Highest Bid To Cover In Two Years

After yesterday’s stellar 10Y auction, today at 1pm the Treasury sold the last of three weekly auctions, by offering $12 billion in 30Y paper to eager buyers. And eager they were, with the high yield of 2.870% stopping through the When Issued 2.874% by 0.4 bps. This was the biggest strop through on a 30Y auction going back to October 2016.

It wasn’t just the stop out that was strong, but the Bid to Cover as well, which at 2.530 was the highest going all the way back to September 2015. The internals were similary impressive, with Indirects taking down 62.8%, up from 58.8% in September, and on top of the 6 month average of 62.4%. Directs ended up with 10.6%, the highest award since March, higher than the 6.1% average, while Dealers were left holding 26.6% of the auction, the lowest dealer takedown since March, suggesting once again that even a modest increase in yields and foreign duration seekers crawl out of the woorwork and buy any US paper they can find.

Overall, while not a strong as yesterday’s 10Y auction, there were blistering demand for today’s last weekly auction, which was observed earlier courtesy of the 5s30s which has been flattening all day, sending the yield curve to the flattest in years.

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Anti-Trump Republicans Need to Re-Examine Their Own Reckless Foreign Policy

Bob Corker ||| CSPANThere will come a day, hard as it is to visualize right now, when Donald Trump will no longer be president. When we make it to that finish line, hopefully without any intervening mushroom clouds or global cataclysms, will we have decisively avoided what Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tennessee) recently warned might be “World War III“?

Not so fast, I argue in today’s L.A. Times. Corker, while more of a self-styled “realist” in comparison to uberhawkish fellow Trump apostate Sen. John McCain (R-Arizona), nonetheless has wanted to arm the Ukranians, “get Assad,” and make the usual terrible Republican sports metaphors about life-and-death foreign policy decisions. “More often than not,” Corker complained about Barack Obama in 2014, “the president doesn’t hit singles and doubles; he just balks.”

There is a default interventionism in both Washington and the media, and it seems to be concentrated extra hard among Trump’s most strident GOP critics, such as Ohio Gov. John Kasich. And if you don’t think Republicans have been saying crazy things about using “the threat of extinction” against North Korea for a good quarter century, you haven’t been paying attention. From the column:

Conservative NeverTrumpers — or should we call them the Unfitters since the man’s in office?— may be broadly correct about the president’s erratic temperament, shoddy management and aggressive incoherence on the world stage. But too many lack any sense of self-awareness, let alone regret, about how their foreign policy preferences have contributed to the global instability Trump is exacerbating. […]

The anti-Trump interventionists may be right about the unique dangers this president poses, not just through his chaotic foreign policy but also his retrograde 19th century ideas about trade and immigration. But for decades there has been a default Washington posture of aggressive meddling into the whole world’s affairs, and downright belligerence toward many rogue states. Trump won’t be around forever, but until that foreign policy tradition is confronted and questioned anew, the dangers he poses will live on.

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Trump Signs Executive Order To Begin Unwinding Obamacare

Having failed to repeal (or replace) Obamacare in the Congress on three separate occasions, on Thursday morning Trump took matters into his own hands, when as previewed last night, the President signed an executive order to begin the process of unwinding Obamacare, paving the way for sweeping changes to health-insurance regulations that would allow an expansion of less-comprehensive health plans.

“We’ve been hearing about the disaster of Obamacare for so long,” Trump said in signing the order at a White House ceremony. “For a long time, I’ve been hearing repeal, replace, repeal, replace.”

He then said that the order is “starting that process” to repeal ObamaCare. It will be the “first steps to providing millions of Americans with ObamaCare relief.”

The order will direct federal agencies to take actions aimed at providing lower-cost options and fostering competition in the individual insurance markets, according to the Wall Street Journal. The specific steps included in the order will represent only the first moves in his White House’s effort to strike parts of the law, the officials said adding that the order is just the beginning of the administration’s actions related to the health law. Furthermore, it will be months, rather than weeks, for even the most simple changes in the executive order to take effect, and the order leaves key details to the Labor Department, in particular, to determine after a formal rule-making process, including the solicitation of public comment.

While Trump’s order seeks to expand the ability of small businesses and other groups to band together to buy health insurance through what are known as association health plans (AHPs), and also lifts limits on short-term health insurance plans, in some ways the order’s impact remains a mystery as the full extent of the effects will not be immediately clear. The executive order largely does not make changes itself; rather it directs agencies to issue new regulations or guidance. Those new rules will go through a notice and comment period that could take months, officials said.

“The policies outlined in the executive order are the beginning of the actions the administration will take to provide relief to people harmed by Obamacare,” said Andrew Bremberg, director of the administration’s domestic policy council, on a call with reporters earlier Thursday. “You should expect additional actions coming from the administration in months to come.”

Critics however warned that the order could undermine the stability of ObamaCare markets by opening up skimpier, cheaper plans that would divert healthy people away from ObamaCare plans. They also warn that the policies outlined in the order will end up pulling healthier people out of Obamacare’s existing markets, which have strict requirements on what services have to be covered, such as maternity or mental health coverage. The result would be fewer people in the Affordable Care Act’s markets, and the ones who remained could be sicker – driving up premiums, and forcing more people to look elsewhere for coverage.

Democrats warn that the order is part of Trump’s larger plan to “sabotage” the health law and accomplish on his own what Congress could not; democrats have already been crying foul about administration cutbacks to outreach about the coming ObamaCare enrollment period, which begins Nov. 1, including a 90 percent cut to the advertising budget.

“Having failed to repeal the law in Congress, the president is sabotaging the system, using a wrecking ball to singlehandedly rip apart our health care system,” Senate Democratic Leader Charles Schumer (N.Y.) said in a statement. “If the system deteriorates, make no mistake about it, the blame will fall squarely on the president’s back,” he added.

Which, of course, is convenient for Obama’s signature legacy law, which was already sending premiums soaring over the past few years: now that Trump is doing what he can to undo Obamacare, he will become the scapegoat for everything that was wrong with the law in the first place. The bottom line is simple: if premiums continue rising – which they likely will – it will be Trump’s fault now.

By boosting alternative insurance arrangements that would be exempt from some key ACA rules, the change would provide more options for consumers. But health-insurance experts say it could raise costs for sicker people by drawing healthier, younger consumers to these alternative plans, which could be less expensive and offer fewer benefits.

“It would essentially create a parallel regulatory structure within the individual and small group markets that is freed from the various consumer protections established,” said Spencer Perlman, a policy analyst with Veda Partners, a Bethesda, Maryland-based advisory firm. “The end result could be a death spiral for ACA-compliant plans.”

Which, if the Democrats are right, is precisely what Trump hopes to accomplish.

No matter what the final outcome of Trump’s EO, one thing is clear: at least 12.7 million taxpayers will be happy with the outcome. As Bloomberg reports, according to the Internal Revenue Service, 12.7 million taxpayers claimed a health-care coverage exemption on their tax forms, some because they couldn’t find an affordable plan. Condeluci said people are sitting on the sidelines because the individual market is too costly.

“Now, there might be an option for them,” he said.

Of course, another 12 or so million will be less than excited: about 83% of the 12.2 million people in the Obamacare marketplace receive subsidies, i.e., premium tax credits, to help cover the cost of insurance premiums, according to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. For those who don’t get subsidies, the coverage can be expensive. The average monthly premium for a family of four with a $60,000 annual income was $1,090, or $13,080 a year for a mid-level “silver” plan, according to a 2016 report from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

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Fed Officials Frantically Play Dumb to the Coming Inflationary Storm

The Fed is baffled as to why inflation remains so low.

It’s a clever move, given that the reason inflation is believed to be “low” is because the Fed has been purposefully understating inflation for years.

Perhaps the biggest fraud ever committed in financial history concerns the understating of inflation in the Unites States post-1971. 

By the Fed’s own admission, the US Dollar has lost some 84% of its purchasing power since 1971, and yet the Fed has routinely claimed that inflation has been “subdued” or “under control” throughout that time period (with the brief exception of the inflationary spikes of the ‘70s).

With this level of currency depreciation, incomes would have to rise exponentially to compensate for Americans’ higher cost of living. They haven’t. As a result of this, Americans have increasingly relied on two parents working instead of one, while supplementing their incomes with credit cards and other debt instruments.

The below chart is possibly the single best argument against any claim by the Fed or others than the official inflation numbers are accurate. If income growth was indeed greater than the rise in inflation post-1971 as the below chart suggests, most families would currently have only one parent working and STILL be saving money. Instead, today the norm is for both parents to work and the average US household to be sitting on over $137,000 in debt.

Put simply, the official inflation numbers are garbage.

The Fed purposely wants it this way because understating inflation allows the Fed to

1)   Overstate GDP growth

And…

2)   Paper over the fact that incomes have been on the decline relative to cost of living since the early ‘70s.

So don’t let the Fed fool you with its “gosh, where is the inflation?!? We don’t understand!” act. The Fed KNOWS inflation is rising rapidly. Heck, the $USD has already dropped 10% in the last 12 months that’s DESPITE the Fed hiking rates THREE TIMES.

Put simply, BIG INFLATION is the THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.

We just published a Special Investment Report concerning FIVE secret investments you can use to make inflation pay you as it rips through the financial system in the months ahead

The report is titled Survive the Inflationary Storm. And it explains in very simply terms how to make inflation PAY YOU.

We are making just 100 copies available to the public.

To pick up yours, swing by:

http://ift.tt/2knowyr

Best Regards

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

 

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Equifax Web-Page Goes Offline Amid Reports Of New Breach

Equifax has taken one of its web pages offline as its security team looks into reports of another potential cyber breach, the credit reporting company, which recently disclosed a hack that compromised the sensitive information of 145.5 million people, said on Thursday.

"We are aware of the situation identified on the equifax.com website in the credit report assistance link," Equifax spokesman Wyatt Jefferies said in an email.

 

"Our IT and security teams are looking into this matter, and out of an abundance of caution have temporarily taken this page offline."

As CBC reports, the move came after an independent security analyst on Wednesday found part of Equifax's website was under the control of attackers trying to trick visitors into installing fraudulent Adobe Flash updates that could infect computers with malware, the technology news website Ars Technica reported.

When I clicked it (from Gmail on Android) I was redirected to a spam page shortly after seeing the Equifax credit file form.

 

 

I thought maybe it was an anomaly because it didn't happen again. But after reading your article about how sometimes hacks will redirect randomly I tried the link again just now and sure enough I got a spam page again (lucksupply.club saying I won an iPhone X). This is Chrome-in-a-tab from Gmail so i don't believe there's any extensions or other malware on my device that could have caused this redirect.

EFX share price is tumbling…

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Three Big Threats To Small Caps

Authored by Steven Vanelli via Knowledge Leaders Capital blog,

With some exceptions, smaller-cap stocks in the US tend to pay higher taxes than their larger-cap peers. As such, speculation that corporate tax rates may be cut has stoked the performance of US small caps recently.

[ZH – and in recent days – tax hope appears to have faded fast…]

In addition to the concern that tax reform and/or tax cuts may get stalled, there are three other factors that we think investors should consider when evaluating small caps in the US.

First, the relative performance of US small caps, compared to the developed world has been highly correlated to changes in the size of the Fed’s balance sheet.

More so than large cap stocks, the relative performance of small caps has tracked successive rounds of QE quite closely. As can be seen in the chart below, where we compare the relative performance of US small caps to our KLSU Developed Market Index, small caps have been in a sideways channel since the end of QE3. The concern here, of course, is that as the Fed moves to shrink its balance sheet, the relative performance of liquidity-sensitive small caps may suffer.

Second, generally US small caps outperform the developed global equity markets when the developed markets are outperforming the emerging markets.

In the chart above, the red line, fixed to the right axis and inverted, is the relative performance of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index compared to the MSCI World Index. If EMs continue to outperform DMs, breaking out of the 2014 resistance, this may telegraph more weakness ahead for US small caps.

Lastly, since 2009 US small cap stocks have exhibited a close relationship with the US budget deficit as a percent of GDP.

While the budget deficit shrank from over 10% of GDP in 2009 to less than 3% of GDP by 2014, US small caps outperformed global developed equities by 35%. They are dead flat since. As the budget is slowly widening out again, it appears small cap relative performance is rolling over with it. Ironically, should the US pass a tax cut that widens the deficit, this may be a greater negative for small caps than any positive effects of lower tax rates.

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078: Eating used coffee grounds for breakfast and black-market cash deals with taxi drivers

Today’s Notes is a bit different…

I recorded a conversation I had with my colleague Sean Goldsmith about my recent travels to Venezuela. I explain how I exchanged my US dollars on the black market for Bolivar (with a taxi driver I’d never met before)… and how the situation in Venezuela will get worse before it gets better. Plus, I share observations and stories of things I saw on the ground in one of the world’s poorest and most dangerous countries.

Then we discuss the tragedy in Puerto Rico… and why I think Puerto Rico is still one of the greatest opportunities in the world today. They’ve run the numbers, and their tax incentives like Act 20 and Act 22 are helping the island. I expect the amazing incentives will stay in place. And, although the hurricane was devastating, the financial aid that comes along with the storm is a catalyst to get Puerto Rico back on its feet.

You can listen to our conversation below.

Source

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