It’s Only Fair to Pay People to Protect Endangered Species, Argues New Reason Foundation Study

SculpinAn incisive new study, Fulfilling
the Promise of the Endangered Species Act: The Case for an
Endangered Species Reserve Program
, by Reason Foundation
research fellow Brian Seasholes deftly outlines a win-win-win
strategy for protecting endangered species in the United States.
The current dynamic in which private landowners and threatened
species both lose is illustrated by the case of Missouri farmer
Craig Schindler. Underneath Schindler’s fields is a cave that
harbors the grotto sculpin which the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
may soon declare “endangered.” As the Reason Foundation study
explains:

Based on an economic impact analysis carried out for Fish and
Wildlife, the 18 acres Craig estimates he will have to sacrifice
for the sculpin is worth some $90,000 and produces approximately
$7,000 in crops annually. 

“They’re cutting my living down,” Craig told the local
Perryville News, “I have cattle and grow crops, but if you take 18
acres away from a guy, that’s quite a bit.”

Fish and Wildlife also proposed to place buffer zones around
sinkholes that lead to caves with sculpins. Under the listing,
Craig could face up to $100,000 and/or a year in jail for killing
or injuring just one sculpin, or even harming its habitat. So, in
addition to losing the use of 18 acres, he will have to spend
thousands of dollars to fence the buffer zone in order to prevent
livestock on the rest of his ranch from inadvertently harming the
sculpin. “I’m going to have to pay for this fence out of my pocket,
and lose the ground for cattle to graze on,” he said. But even that
will not immunize him from prosecution under the ESA because local
Fish and Wildlife personnel have the power to decide if his uses of
other land, such as fertilizing crops and grazing livestock, harm
the sculpin.

What must the government pay for demanding that Schindler give
up the use of his land and protect the sculpin? Not a cent.

Seasholes continues:

With the proposed listing of the grotto sculpin, Craig Schindler
discovered the upside-down world of the Endangered Species Act. In
return for harboring rare wildlife, he was to be punished by having
his property turned into a de factofederal wildlife refuge but paid
no compensation.

This situation is in stark contrast to most other government
“takings” of private property. For example, when the government
wants to convert private land for a public good, such as a highway
or military base, it pays landowners the market value for the land
taken. It is legally required to do so because of the “takings
clause” of the Fifth Amendment of the Constitution which states,
“nor shall private property be taken for public use without just
compensation.” The takings clause seeks, “to bar Government from
forcing some people alone to bear public burdens which, in all
fairness and justice, should be borne by the public as a whole,”
according to a 1960 Supreme Court decision. But in a 1994 decision,
the Supreme Court ruled that “partial” takings of the sort that
Craig would experience as a result of a listing of the grotto
sculpin are not protected by the Fifth Amendment. To add insult to
injury, if the grotto sculpin were to be listed under the ESA,
Craig would still have to pay taxes on the land he would not be
able to use.

So what’s the solution? As I noted in my 2005 critique of the
ESA, “Who
Pays for the Delhi Sand Fly?
“:

If the public values endangered species (and most of us do),
then it seems only fair that we fully compensate the people on
whose land they live for taking care of them for us.

Fortunately, argues Seasholes, the
Conservation Reserve Program
is a model for establishing an
Endangered Species Reserve Program that would pay landowners for
protecting species on behalf of the American public. The new Reason
Foundation study goes on to show how such a program would benefit
endangered species, the public, and landowners.

Disclosure: The Reason Foundation is the publisher of this
website and Reason magazine.

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It's Only Fair to Pay People to Protect Endangered Species, Argues New Reason Foundation Study

SculpinAn incisive new study, Fulfilling
the Promise of the Endangered Species Act: The Case for an
Endangered Species Reserve Program
, by Reason Foundation
research fellow Brian Seasholes deftly outlines a win-win-win
strategy for protecting endangered species in the United States.
The current dynamic in which private landowners and threatened
species both lose is illustrated by the case of Missouri farmer
Craig Schindler. Underneath Schindler’s fields is a cave that
harbors the grotto sculpin which the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
may soon declare “endangered.” As the Reason Foundation study
explains:

Based on an economic impact analysis carried out for Fish and
Wildlife, the 18 acres Craig estimates he will have to sacrifice
for the sculpin is worth some $90,000 and produces approximately
$7,000 in crops annually. 

“They’re cutting my living down,” Craig told the local
Perryville News, “I have cattle and grow crops, but if you take 18
acres away from a guy, that’s quite a bit.”

Fish and Wildlife also proposed to place buffer zones around
sinkholes that lead to caves with sculpins. Under the listing,
Craig could face up to $100,000 and/or a year in jail for killing
or injuring just one sculpin, or even harming its habitat. So, in
addition to losing the use of 18 acres, he will have to spend
thousands of dollars to fence the buffer zone in order to prevent
livestock on the rest of his ranch from inadvertently harming the
sculpin. “I’m going to have to pay for this fence out of my pocket,
and lose the ground for cattle to graze on,” he said. But even that
will not immunize him from prosecution under the ESA because local
Fish and Wildlife personnel have the power to decide if his uses of
other land, such as fertilizing crops and grazing livestock, harm
the sculpin.

What must the government pay for demanding that Schindler give
up the use of his land and protect the sculpin? Not a cent.

Seasholes continues:

With the proposed listing of the grotto sculpin, Craig Schindler
discovered the upside-down world of the Endangered Species Act. In
return for harboring rare wildlife, he was to be punished by having
his property turned into a de factofederal wildlife refuge but paid
no compensation.

This situation is in stark contrast to most other government
“takings” of private property. For example, when the government
wants to convert private land for a public good, such as a highway
or military base, it pays landowners the market value for the land
taken. It is legally required to do so because of the “takings
clause” of the Fifth Amendment of the Constitution which states,
“nor shall private property be taken for public use without just
compensation.” The takings clause seeks, “to bar Government from
forcing some people alone to bear public burdens which, in all
fairness and justice, should be borne by the public as a whole,”
according to a 1960 Supreme Court decision. But in a 1994 decision,
the Supreme Court ruled that “partial” takings of the sort that
Craig would experience as a result of a listing of the grotto
sculpin are not protected by the Fifth Amendment. To add insult to
injury, if the grotto sculpin were to be listed under the ESA,
Craig would still have to pay taxes on the land he would not be
able to use.

So what’s the solution? As I noted in my 2005 critique of the
ESA, “Who
Pays for the Delhi Sand Fly?
“:

If the public values endangered species (and most of us do),
then it seems only fair that we fully compensate the people on
whose land they live for taking care of them for us.

Fortunately, argues Seasholes, the
Conservation Reserve Program
is a model for establishing an
Endangered Species Reserve Program that would pay landowners for
protecting species on behalf of the American public. The new Reason
Foundation study goes on to show how such a program would benefit
endangered species, the public, and landowners.

Disclosure: The Reason Foundation is the publisher of this
website and Reason magazine.

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FCC Thumbs Nose at NFL, Votes Unanimously to End Protectionist Sports Blackout Rule

The Federal Communications
Commission’s support for sports broadcast blackouts is about to
become a thing of the past: The agency’s commissioners voted 5-0
today to end the blackout policy
the agency has had in place since 1975. 

The policy is an explicit form of protectionism for big-league
sports teams: Basically, as The Washington Post notes, it

says
that if a game doesn’t fill every stadium seat, then it’s
off limits for broadcast TV, which means cable provider that rely
on those broadcast streams can’t really carry it either.

The rule cover all pro sports, but mostly ends up benefiting the
National Football League, which has
lobbied
extensively to keep the policy in place. The league’s
argument for the rule, that it’s necessary to “protect football on
free TV,” is pretty transparently a self-serving cover for
protectionist policies designed to maximize stadium revenues. As
The Hill reported last month, “The league argues the rule
helps teams sell tickets and creates a compelling stadium
atmosphere, allowing the NFL to keep games on free
television.” 

The FCC’s vote today was a rebuke to the idea that helping teams
sell tickets is somehow part of the FCC’s job: “It is not the FCC’s
role to make sure the NFL gets [the] last nickel out of every game
played,” agency commissioner Michael O’Riley
said
, according to The Washington Examiner.

In a USA Today
op-ed
, Chairman Tom Wheeler called the rules “a bad
hangover from the days when barely 40 percent of games sold out,”
and declared that “the NFL should no longer be able to hide behind
government rules that punish loyal fans.” 

“It’s a simple fact, the federal government should not be party
to sports teams keeping their fans from viewing the games—period,”
Wheeler
said
after the vote today, reports Politico.

The NFL will still be able to blackout some games without agency
help, however, by making private deals. 

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The UK’s Conservative Party Declares War on YouTube, Twitter, Free Speech and Common Sense

Screen Shot 2014-09-30 at 11.43.22 AMSome of the most memorable moments of my tabloid-filled youth consisted of watching Geraldo Rivera interviewing and confronting Neo-Nazis and racists both in his studio and on the streets. Often times, these heated encounters resulted in brawls such as the one in this video, which has over 600,000 views on YouTube.

Geraldo and many others gave “a voice” to countless hateful groups on a regular basis throughout my youth, and millions of my fellow Americans saw them and were exposed to their unenlightened and pathetic ideology. This didn’t result in hordes of youth turning to violent extremism or the beginning of a Fourth Reich. Rather, what these interviews successfully did was expose the idiocy of these groups and make them even more isolated than they were before. That is how things work in a functioning free society. You aren’t afraid of ideas, you exchange them.


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Retail Investors Pile Into Stocks Amid “Malign, Unthinking Mental Slavery”

Submitted by Tim Price via Sovereign Man blog,

“Politicians and diapers have one thing in common. They should both be changed regularly, and for the same reason.” – Anonymous.

The French statesman George Clemenceau once commented that war is too important to be left to generals.

At this stage in the game one might be tempted to add that monetary policy is far too important to be left to politicians and central bankers.

We get by with free markets in all other walks of economic and financial life – why let the price of money itself be dictated by a handful of bureaucrats?

It should be striking that government bonds, in nominal terms, have never been this expensive in history, even as there have never been so many of them. The laws of supply and demand would seem to have been repealed.

As evidence for the prosecution we cite the US Treasury bond market, the world’s largest.

The US national debt currently stands at $17.7 trillion. With a ‘T’.

Benchmark 10 year Treasuries currently offer a yield to maturity of 2.5%. US consumer price inflation currently stands at 1.7%. (We offer no opinion as to whether US CPI is a fair reflection of US inflation.)

On the basis that US “inflation” doesn’t change meaningfully over the next 10 years, US bond investors are going to earn an annualized return just a smidgen above zero percent.

Now it may well be that US Treasury yields have further to fall. As SocGen’s Albert Edwards puts it,

“Our ‘Ice Age’ thesis has long called for sub-1% bond yields and I see this extending to the US and UK in due course.”

We nurse no particular view in relation to how the government bond bubble (for it surely is) plays out.

It could be that yields grind relentlessly lower for some time yet. Or perhaps they burst spectacularly on the back of the overdue return of economic common sense.

But as Warren Buffett himself once said, “If you’ve been playing poker for half an hour and you still don’t know who the patsy is, you’re the patsy.”

The central bank bond market poker game has been in train for a good deal longer than half an hour, and the stakes have never been higher.

Sometimes, if you simply can’t fathom the new rules of the game, it’s surely better not to play.

That’s why we’re not in the business of chasing US Treasury yields, or Gilt yields, or Bund yields, ever lower – we’ll keep our bond exposure limited to only the highest quality credits yielding the highest possible return.

Even then, if Fed tapering does finally dissipate in favor of Fed hiking (stranger things have happened, though we can’t think of any off the top of our head), it will make sense to eliminate conventional debt instruments from client portfolios.

But such madness is not limited to the world of bonds. Malign, unthinking mental slavery has fixed itself upon the equity markets, too.

It’s extraordinary that as stock markets have powered ahead, index trackers have enjoyed their highest ever inflows.

The latest IMA data show that more UK retail money was put into tracker funds in July than in any other month since records began.

In other words, retail investors are pouring into the market at its all-time high.

We accept the ‘low cost’ aspect of tracker funds and ETFs; we take serious issue with the idea of buying stock markets close to or at their all-time.

But there is a middle way between the Scylla of bonds at all-time low yields and the Charybdis of stocks at all-time high prices. Value.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1qSaefu Tyler Durden

Retail Investors Pile Into Stocks Amid "Malign, Unthinking Mental Slavery"

Submitted by Tim Price via Sovereign Man blog,

“Politicians and diapers have one thing in common. They should both be changed regularly, and for the same reason.” – Anonymous.

The French statesman George Clemenceau once commented that war is too important to be left to generals.

At this stage in the game one might be tempted to add that monetary policy is far too important to be left to politicians and central bankers.

We get by with free markets in all other walks of economic and financial life – why let the price of money itself be dictated by a handful of bureaucrats?

It should be striking that government bonds, in nominal terms, have never been this expensive in history, even as there have never been so many of them. The laws of supply and demand would seem to have been repealed.

As evidence for the prosecution we cite the US Treasury bond market, the world’s largest.

The US national debt currently stands at $17.7 trillion. With a ‘T’.

Benchmark 10 year Treasuries currently offer a yield to maturity of 2.5%. US consumer price inflation currently stands at 1.7%. (We offer no opinion as to whether US CPI is a fair reflection of US inflation.)

On the basis that US “inflation” doesn’t change meaningfully over the next 10 years, US bond investors are going to earn an annualized return just a smidgen above zero percent.

Now it may well be that US Treasury yields have further to fall. As SocGen’s Albert Edwards puts it,

“Our ‘Ice Age’ thesis has long called for sub-1% bond yields and I see this extending to the US and UK in due course.”

We nurse no particular view in relation to how the government bond bubble (for it surely is) plays out.

It could be that yields grind relentlessly lower for some time yet. Or perhaps they burst spectacularly on the back of the overdue return of economic common sense.

But as Warren Buffett himself once said, “If you’ve been playing poker for half an hour and you still don’t know who the patsy is, you’re the patsy.”

The central bank bond market poker game has been in train for a good deal longer than half an hour, and the stakes have never been higher.

Sometimes, if you simply can’t fathom the new rules of the game, it’s surely better not to play.

That’s why we’re not in the business of chasing US Treasury yields, or Gilt yields, or Bund yields, ever lower – we’ll keep our bond exposure limited to only the highest quality credits yielding the highest possible return.

Even then, if Fed tapering does finally dissipate in favor of Fed hiking (stranger things have happened, though we can’t think of any off the top of our head), it will make sense to eliminate conventional debt instruments from client portfolios.

But such madness is not limited to the world of bonds. Malign, unthinking mental slavery has fixed itself upon the equity markets, too.

It’s extraordinary that as stock markets have powered ahead, index trackers have enjoyed their highest ever inflows.

The latest IMA data show that more UK retail money was put into tracker funds in July than in any other month since records began.

In other words, retail investors are pouring into the market at its all-time high.

We accept the ‘low cost’ aspect of tracker funds and ETFs; we take serious issue with the idea of buying stock markets close to or at their all-time.

But there is a middle way between the Scylla of bonds at all-time low yields and the Charybdis of stocks at all-time high prices. Value.




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Members of Congress Freak Out Over White House Fence Jumper, Want to Know Why Secret Service Isn’t More Paranoid

Rep. Micah at hearingLast
week, an Iraq war veteran jumped the White House fence armed with a
knife and got all the way into the East Room before agents
apprehended him. At first, the Secret Service claimed the man, Omar
Gonzales, had only gotten just inside the White House. That was a
lie, turning what might’ve been  an odd story forgotten by
next week into an indicator of bigger problems at the Secret
Service.

The Secret Service’s controversial recent history—arguing with
prostitutes in Colombia, getting drunk in Holland, and missing
things like party crashers and gunfire—means the incident became a
reason to hold hearings in Congress about the Secret Service. This
morning, the director of the Secret Service, Julia Pierson,

appeared before
the House Committee on Oversight and Government
Reform.

And while the Secret Service’s recent history of mishaps was
brought up throughout the hearing, several members of Congress,
both Democrat and Republican, appeared more interested in demanding
the Secret Service use more force in situations like last week’s
fence jumper. This even though the president and his family weren’t
at the White House that day, something the Secret Service knew when
responding but Gonzales probably didn’t.

Rep. Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.), for example, insisted the Secret
Service should’ve arrested Gonzales the first time he showed up
outside the White House with a hatchet—something Pierson stressed
was not illegal. She also stressed that Gonzales was cooperative
with authorities at the time.

No matter. Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) said he and his fellow
members of Congress “want to see overwhelming force” in a situation
like the fence jump, saying he would defend the lethal use of
force. Remember, President Obama and his family were not at the
White House when the fence was jumped so there was no threat to the
president during this incident.

Although Pierson promised something like this would “never
happen again” (an impossible guarantee to make no matter the
vigilance exercised) and said she took full responsibility, it’s a
big old case of “nothing else happens.” Although Pierson
acknowledged a failure during the fence jumping incident
(debatable: again, the Obamas were not at the White House and the
Secret Service agents involved apparently did not feel threatened),
she didn’t announce any concrete disciplinary measures because of
the failure. She did manage, at one point, to blame “funding
constraints
.”

The Secret Service has a $1.8 billion budget in 2014 to protect
the president and his family, down from $1.92 billion in 2013. It’s
just a 6 percent decrease from 2012’s budget, a year when the
Secret Service had to protect both the president and eventually
also his challenger during a long season of election
campaigning.

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Why Europe’s Doomsayers Are Right, In One Chart

To say that Europe is doomed is an understatament, so much so that every European politician, banker, bureaucrat, and bean-counter has, over the past 5 years, taken at least one opportunity to deny and thus validate the statement.

But while there is cornucopia of reasons which foretell the collapse of the artificial monetary and pseudo-political union, whether it is the relentless deterioration in European output:

or the collapse in private lending, something the ECB is supposedly trying to fix with its latest TLTRO/Private QE…

 

or the mountain of private debt created since the Great financial crisis.

 

Eclipsed only by the amount of public debt created in the same period…

 

… one thing is clear: Europe is finished, though not for any of the above reasons but for a far more simple one, a reason very well-known to the Japanese – there simply won’t be any Europeans left.

In retrospect perhaps it is time for Wolfi Schauble to take a stab at draft 2 of his famous FT scribe: “Ignore the doomsayers: Europe is being fixed,” because, we are sad to report, the doomsayers are right: Europe is finished.

Source: Geneva Reports on the World Economy




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Why Europe's Doomsayers Are Right, In One Chart

To say that Europe is doomed is an understatament, so much so that every European politician, banker, bureaucrat, and bean-counter has, over the past 5 years, taken at least one opportunity to deny and thus validate the statement.

But while there is cornucopia of reasons which foretell the collapse of the artificial monetary and pseudo-political union, whether it is the relentless deterioration in European output:

or the collapse in private lending, something the ECB is supposedly trying to fix with its latest TLTRO/Private QE…

 

or the mountain of private debt created since the Great financial crisis.

 

Eclipsed only by the amount of public debt created in the same period…

 

… one thing is clear: Europe is finished, though not for any of the above reasons but for a far more simple one, a reason very well-known to the Japanese – there simply won’t be any Europeans left.

In retrospect perhaps it is time for Wolfi Schauble to take a stab at draft 2 of his famous FT scribe: “Ignore the doomsayers: Europe is being fixed,” because, we are sad to report, the doomsayers are right: Europe is finished.

Source: Geneva Reports on the World Economy




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Is the Stock Market Top In?

Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog,

The pool of greater fools willing and able to buy assets at higher prices with leveraged free money has been drained by six years of credit/risk expansion.

Is the top in U.S. stocks in? The consensus is “no”–corporate profits are rising, the U.S. economy is recovering and has reached “escape velocity,” i.e. it can continue expanding even as the Federal Reserve ends its monetary stimulus (QE) and plans the first increase in interest rates since the zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP) was launched in response to the Global Financial Meltdown.
 
Many observers have noted that global capital flows (from the risky periphery to the less-risky core) favor U.S. stocks and bonds–another reason to see the 5.5-year rally continue to new highs.
The case for the top being in rests on three pillars: extremes in monetary manipulation (oops, I mean policy), sentiment, leverage and liquidity, the rise of the U.S. dollar and the diminishing returns on monetary stimulus and the repression of interest rates.
 
A number of chart-oriented sites have made the technical case that extremes in sentiment, valuation and leverage will unwind as gravity reasserts itself. Various cyclical analyses also suggest that the current Bull rally is getting long in tooth and due for a reversal.
 
For an abundance of charts that call into question the consensus narrative of “onward and upward forever,” please click through the excellent websites of John Hampson and Lance Roberts.
 
While conventional pundits are falling over themselves in their haste to issue soothing claims that a stronger dollar is good for corporate profits and the stock market, these feel-good analyses ignore the one key dynamic of a stronger dollar: profits earned in other currencies will convert to fewer dollars as the dollar strengthens. I have covered this dynamic for many years.
 
This means corporate profits earned overseas will decline as soon as the effects of the stronger dollar filter through to profit statements–that is, by next quarter. Given that up to 50% of global corporate profits are earned overseas, this is not a trivial dynamic.
 
The fact that the global economy is stumbling into recession is also ignored by those who see corporate profits rising forever. With roughly half of profits of global companies coming from overseas markets, how can a global recession not impact U.S. corporate profits?
 
If the stock market is indeed a discounting mechanism that prices in developments six months’ out, then the hit to profits from the stronger dollar and flagging overseas sales should impact stock prices today, not in three months.
 
The most interesting case for the top being in is diminishing returns:
Total credit and GDP: rapidly increasing credit has a diminishing return as measured by GDP growth.
 
The Fed’s balance sheet and the S&P 500:
 
 
Money velocity: diminishing returns:
 
 
Small biz: fading at the margins:
 
 
Federal student loans: soaring costs, diminishing returns on the degrees being bought:
 
 
The return on a college degree? Diminishing faster than you can say “default”:
 
 
Labor participation and real median income: diminishing returns on all the outlandish money pumping and Federal deficit spending:
 
 
The “easy fixes”–unleashing a tsunami of cheap credit, dropping interest rates to near-zero–only work when creditworthy borrowers have productive uses for the new credit. If the cheap credit is used by marginal borrowers for speculation, the returns on those fixes are highly vulnerable to collapse once asset bubbles and risk-on carry trades pop.
 
Extending credit to marginal borrowers does not magically transform the borrowers’ creditworthiness. All monetary easing and other stimulus does is expand the risk of a credit collapse by expanding the debt extended to risky borrowers. Marginal borrowers will still default as soon as making debt payments becomes painful/impossible; if you want evidence for this, consider how many subprime borrowers defaulted after getting lower rates on their mortgages.
 
Lowering interest rates does not magically make marginal borrowers creditworthy, or magically make speculative bets productive. In these two important ways, the “fixes” cannot fix what’s broken. What they have done is enable more of what has failed spectacularly: extend credit and leverage to speculators who have ramped risk-on assets to the moon because cheap credit and low interest rates have enabled lucrative leveraged betting.
 
The fantasy was that all this cheap credit would magically flow into productive expansion of the real economy; instead, it fueled carry trades and an expansion of incredibly risky credit to subprime borrowers buying vehicles, homes with 3% down payment, etc.
 
The “recovery” constructed on this expansion of risk has built-in limits: once speculative trades reverse or blow up, the process reverses, and assets must be liquidated to escape the tightening noose of leverage. Once all the marginal borrowers have purchased vehicles, taken on student loans and bought houses and stocks on speculation, the pool of greater fools dries up and the deleveraging of assets purchased on margin/credit unleashes a feedback loop: selling begets more selling.
 
Those who believe the stock market can continue rising despite the end of the Fed’s “free money for financiers” programs are implicitly claiming that the pool of greater fools is still filled to the brim. Simply put, speculating with leveraged free money and extending credit to marginal borrowers is not sustainable or productive, and the stock market seems poised to reflect three dynamics:
 
1. reversion to the mean and the unwinding of extremes

 

2. the decline in corporate profits resulting from a stronger U.S. dollar
 

3. the pool of greater fools willing and able to buy assets at higher prices with leveraged free money has been drained by six years of credit/risk expansion.




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