Republicans Have Not Stopped Campaigning Against Obamacare

There’s a
somewhat odd notion going around that Republicans have dropped the
campaign against Obamacare. The New York Times, for
example,
reported
at the end of last week that, “Republican attacks on
the health care law dominated the early months of the
campaign, but now have largely receded from view.” 

That’s true only if you’re not looking.

Obamacare was the number one issue for Republican Senate races
between October 13 and 19, as Jeffrey Anderson
points out
at The Weekly Standard. Anderson cites
research by Kantar Media’s Campaign Media Analysis Group indicating
that the GOP pumped out almost 12,000 ads on the
health law that week. You won’t be surprised to learn that they
weren’t in favor of the law. Obamacare was the top issue for
Republican ads the week prior as well, with a similar number of GOP
ads in opposition.

It’s true that Obamacare is less of an issue, relatively
speaking, than it was last year at this time, when the launch and
failure of the exchanges dominated the news. It’s also true that
several Republicans have tripped up trying to talk about the law
recently, saying that major components are not connected to or part
of the law. Compared with six or eight months ago, Republicans are
also probably focusing a little more on general opposition to Obama
and less to Obamacare.

But it’s not the case that Republicans are avoiding the issue,
or that it has mostly disappeared from discussion. To the extent
that they are campaigning on or against any particular policy at
all, it’s opposition to Obamacare. 

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Yellen Shocked After Fisher Again Reveals Fed Is Source Of Record Inequality

As Janet Yellen prepares to meet with President Obama this morning for the first time, it appears The Dallas Fed’s Richard Fisher has planted a rather uncomfortable tape bomb for her to explain:

  • FISHER: QE3 WAS A GIFT TO THE RICH

So right before the Midterm elections, a week after Janet Yellen discussed inequality, she is summoned to meet with The ‘fair’ President to explain how her policy is keeping Obama’s dream alive?

*  *  *

Janet Yellen becomes aware of the inequality “problem”…

 

And maybe understands why…

 

*  *  *

To those that suggest QE was a victory, we have words and pictures…

If it was so successful, why did they stop?

 

and does this look like the chart of a successful monetary policy action?




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Saudi Arabia Raises Asia, Europe Prices; Cuts US Prices

It appears, just as we warned two weeks ago, that the ‘dumping strategy’ designed to punish Obama’s nemesis Putin could have morphed into a Saudi Arabian strategy to keep its foot on the neck of the US Shale Oil industry. In an awkward headline for mainstream media to explain, The Kingdom has raised prices of its Arab Light crude exports to Asia and Europe but cut prices to the USA significantly, potentially pressuring domestic suppliers with foreign ‘cheap’ imports. While not a primary course of US oil, we suspect the signaling of this move is more worrisome for Shale capex  (especially as we noted Saudi Arabia can survive 7.9 years at lower prices) Forget currency wars, meet oil wars…

 

One of these regions is an up-and-coming marginal oil-producer with the swing-barrel of production

 

As we warned previously,

So while we understand if Saudi Arabia is employing a dumping strategy to punish the Kremlin as per the “deal” with Obama’s White House, very soon there will be a very vocal, very insolvent and very domestic shale community demanding answers from the Obama administration, as once again the “costs” meant to punish Russia end up crippling the only truly viable industry under the current presidency. As a reminder, the last time Obama threatened Russia with “costs”, he sent Europe into a triple-dip recession. It would truly be the crowning achievement of Obama’s career if, amazingly, he manages to bankrupt the US shale “miracle” next.

*  *  *




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Video of the Day – In North Carolina, Voter Fraud is THIS Easy

Screen Shot 2014-11-03 at 11.45.11 AMOf all of the undercover investigations I’ve conducted, this was by far the easiest.

They were willing to pass out fraudulently obtained ballots like it was Halloween candy.

With almost three-quarters-of-a-million inactive voters and no voter ID law in place, we could have turned the election results for most major candidates in the state.

– James O’Keefe, quoted in the Daily Mail

James O’Keefe is no stranger to this site. In August, I posted another one of his video stunts in the piece: Video of the Day – Man Easily Crosses U.S.-Mexico Border Dressed as Osama bin Laden, which you should check out if you missed it the first time around.

Well Mr. O’Keefe is back, and it proves that any motivated political operative of either corrupt, phony political party can easily swing U.S. elections via simple fraud.

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Video of the Day – In North Carolina, Voter Fraud is THIS Easy originally appeared on Liberty Blitzkrieg on November 3, 2014.

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Police Warnings Save Children From Pot-Laced Halloween Treats Once Again

As I noted in a
column
a couple of weeks ago, law enforcement agencies have
been warning parents for years that strangers with cannabis candy
might try to get their kids stoned on Halloween by passing off
marijuana edibles as ordinary treats. At that point no actual cases
of such trickery had materialized, and apparently that is still
true even in Colorado, where state-licensed stores have been
selling THC-laced lollipops, chocolate bars, and gummy candies to
recreational customers since January (and to patients for
years).

“Fears that trick-or-treaters here might end up with
marijuana-laced candy on Halloween appear to have been overblown,”

reports
 USA Today. “Children’s Hospital
Colorado reported no instances of accidental pot poisonings from
Friday night.” Once again, we see how effective officials warnings
about this threat can be: Cops keep telling parents to be vigilant,
and so far no trick-or-treater has accidentally gotten high.
Imagine what might happen if police let a year go by without
talking about the menace of marijuana-infused Halloween candy.

Alas, the Associated Press
cites
some evidence that undermines this banana-vs.-alligators
theory:

A Denver-based testing company offered 1,000 free kits to
parents wanting to screen their trick-or-treaters’ haul for
marijuana’s psychoactive chemical. However, only 45 parents took CB
Scientific up on the offer as of Friday….

“My honest opinion is that’s an overblown fear that was created
by the police,” said CB Scientific CEO Bill Short.

Police may have created the fear, but Short’s company happily

capitalized on it
for publicity. Similarly, USA
Today
 helped promote the scare it is now debunking. In an
October 22
story
headlined “Marijuana-Infused Candy Raises Colo. Halloween
Concerns,” the paper reported that “some Colorado parents are
worried their kids might come home with something dangerous after
trick-or-treating this Halloween: marijuana-infused candy.” The
story cited two examples of such parents: Rachel O’Bryan, founder
of SMART Colorado, a group that lobbies for restrictions on
marijuana in the name of protecting children, and Frank McNulty, a
state legislator who is pushing for a regulatory crackdown on
marijuana edibles. USA Today also quoted Patrick
Johnson, the marijuana merchant who appeared in the Denver Police
Department’s
video
about pot in Halloween candy. The only skeptic was Dan
Anglin, chairman of the Colorado Cannabis Chamber of
Commerce.

“We see this as a problem,” O’Bryan said, “and we don’t believe
it’s being blown out of proportion.” McNulty was a bit more
cautious. “I don’t think you’re going to see a lot of marijuana
candies in Halloween bags,” he said, but “it is something that
parents need to think about.” Like Johnson, McNulty suggested that
parents worried about this putative pot peril need not take any new
precautions. After all, doesn’t every parent carefully inspect
Halloween candy for broken glass, razor blades, and other puported
hazards to innocent trick-or-treaters? In other words, if you are
already hypervigilant as a result of other
baseless scare stories
, what’s one more phony threat?

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The Slaughter Continues: Hedge Funds Tumble In October, Turn Negative For 2014 Despite Central Bank Sticksave

As we reported last week, one of the most notable features of October was not so much the relentless intervention by central banks to prop up the global capital markets Ponzi scheme and send the S&P to fresh record highs – that much should have been apparent years ago – but rather that just as hedge funds were preparing to aggressively capitalize on the first notable downturn in the “market” in years, the carpet was yanked from under everyone’s legs, and hedge funds (which by definition “hedge”, i.e., put on offsetting, short positions to plain vanilla longs, something for which they are compensated orders of magnitude higher than mutual funds) were slaughtered once again, following the biggest, or as we called it most Historic, short squeeze in 3 years.

Over the weekend, BofA’s Ankur Singh picks up on this when he said that “Russell short covering continues….

More: “Large speculators decreased Russell 2000 net shorts to -$5.4bn from -$6.1bn notional.”

And the abovementioned punking: “Diversified hedge fund index was down 1.7% for MTD till Oct 29, while S&P500 was up 0.5% on a price returns basis. Equity market neutral funds were up 0.8% while Event Driven funds were down 5.2%.” Or basically what we have been saying since 2010: when the global central banking cartel is the Chief Risk Officer of what was once known as the market, there is no point in paying anyone 2 and 20 for hedging risk, since there is no longer any risk. And if and when the Fed et al finally lose control, there is nothing that will hedge the subsequent systemic devastation.

The summary breakdown:

And the granular summary of the marquee names: virtually everyone is once again underperforming the S&P, not only for October… 

 

… but for 2014.

This will be the 6th year in a row, when courtesy of central planning, the average hedge fund has barely generated any alpha, and certainly underperformed the S&P 500.

Expect many more Calpers-es to pull out their cash of the hedge fund industry, in turn leading to even more systemic leverage within the shadow banking sector.




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HERE’S Why Ebola Is No Longer In the News

Forbes’ David Kroll – an adjunct professor at Duke University Medical Center –  notes:

The Associated Press and other press outlets have agreed not to report on suspected cases of Ebola in the United States until a positive viral RNA test is completed.

In other words, the mainstream media has agreed not to report on any suspected Ebola cases.

I guess the Ebola czar has been a busy boy, after all … you know, preventing panic and all that.

H/t Dr. Meryl Nass.




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USDJPY Tops 114 (+6 Handles) Sending Japanese Stocks Up 2000 Points Since FOMC

The trend is your friend… until it becomes a Venezuelan hyperinflation melt-up…

 

USDJPY just broke 114 – now up 6 big figures since before the FOMC. The Nikkei 225 futures are now up 2000 points since then…

 

*  *  *

 

A gentle reminder from the past…

Amid the euphoria… Kyle Bass provided a few minutes of sanity this morning in an interview with CNBC’s Gary Kaminsky. Bass starts by reflecting on the ongoing (and escalating) money-printing (or balance sheet expansion as we noted here) as the driver of stock movements currently and would not be surprised to see them move higher still (given the ongoing printing expected).

 

 

However, he caveats that nominally bullish statement with a critical point, “Zimbabwe’s stock market was the best performer this decade – but your entire portfolio now buys you 3 eggs” as purchasing power is crushed. Investors, he says, are “too focused on nominal prices” as the rate of growth of the monetary base is destroying true wealth. Bass is convinced that cost-push inflation is coming (as the velocity of money will move once psychology shifts) and investors must not take their eye off the insidious nature of underlying inflation – no matter what we are told by the government (as they will always lie when its critical). Own ‘productive assets’, finance them at low fixed rates (thank you Ben)…

 

*  *  *

Money does grow on trees – well manicured little trees…




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The ‘Fragile’ Potemkin Stock Market Conceals A Post-Industrial Slum

Submitted by James H Kunstler via Kunstler.com,

“Holy smokes,” Janet Yellen must have barked last week when Japan stepped up to plug the liquidity hole left by the US Federal Reserve’s final taper trot to the zero finish line of Quantitative Easing 3. The gallant samurai Haruhiko Kuroda of Japan’s central bank announced that his grateful nation had accepted the gift of inflation from the generous American people, which will allow the island nation to fall on its wakizashi and exit the dream-world of industrial modernity it has struggled through for a scant 200 years.

Money-printing turns out to be the grift that keeps on giving. The US stock markets retraced all their October jitter lines, and bonds plumped up nicely in anticipation of hot so-called “money” wending its digital way from other lands to American banks. Euroland, too, accepted some gift inflation as its currency weakened. The world seems to have forgotten for a long moment that all this was rather the opposite of what America’s central bank has been purported to seek lo these several years of QE heroics — namely, a little domestic inflation of its own to simulate if not stimulate the holy grail of economic growth. Of course all that has gotten is the Potemkin stock market, a fragile, one-dimensional edifice concealing the post-industrial slum that the on-the-ground economy has become behind it.

Then, as if cued by some Satanic invocation, who marched onstage but the old Maestro himself, Alan Greenspan, Fed chief from 1987 to 2007, who had seen many a sign and wonder himself during that hectic tenure, and he just flat-out called QE a flop. He stuck a cherry on top by adding that the current Fed couldn’t possibly end its ZIRP policy, either. All of which rather left America’s central bank in a black box wrapped in an enigma, shrouded by a conundrum, off-gassing hydrogen sulfide like a roadkill ‘possum. Incidentally, Greenspan told everybody to go out and buy gold — which naturally sent the price of gold spiraling down through its previous bottom into the uncharted territory of worthlessness. Gold is now the most unloved substance in the history of trade, made even uglier by the overtures of Mr. Greenspan. Personally, I think the more violently gold devalues for the moment, the more extreme the reaction will be when the first glimpses of reality pierce the twilight’s last gleaming of official US market intervention shenanigans.

All this goes on, by the way, because an essential problem remains: the world cannot pay back its accumulated debt and the money maestros of world finance don’t dare even try to unwind it in an orderly manner, fearing they will open up an international monetary sucking chest wound of deflationary doom. And this does nothing to brighten the prospect that evermore new debt can ever be repaid. All that remains are various three card monte maneuvers, hot potato games, and musical chair tournaments using the last kinetic rocket thrusts of global credulity to pretend that contraction is not already here, walking amongst us, like the ancient Harvestman of yore, swinging his scythe.

Of course, few doubt the reality of Ebola. And ISIS (or whatever it’s called) also works its ghastly hoodoo in the gummiest region of the world, and they both share an interesting feature these days: reporters are discouraged from going into either hot zone where the threat is that they will bleed out through all the orifices from Ebola or have their heads hacked off on video by ISIS. So we are not getting the best information out of Ebola West Africa and those parts of the Middle East where ISIS is at large. The situation is apt to be rather worse than we are being told. The financial markets shrugged off both these threats by the time Halloween rolled around, but I wouldn’t be so confident that story is over for either of these two ugly influences. If the world had a face, it would have fragility written all over it.




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Cody Wilson of 3D Gun and “Ghost Gunner” Fame Has His Companies Booted from Online Payment Processor Stripe

Cody Wilson, famous for making the first usable fully plastic 3D
printed handgun and for his new project
“Ghost Gunner”
which mills metal lower receivers (the milling
machine itself if of course not a weapon, and what it makes is not
itself legally a weapon!) for AR-15s, informs me today that his
online payment processor
Stripe
has decided that his companies, all of them, qualify as
forbidden “weapons and munitions; gunpowder and other explosives”
services. This includes the Ghost Gunner and Defense Distributed.

See Stripe’s very impressive list of companies they (or their
“banking partners”) refuse to do business
with
, including virtual currency, anything they think violates
IP in any way, fantasy sports leagues, marijuana or tobacco
businesses, or e-cigs, pornography, bankruptcy lawyers, airlines
cruises or timeshares or prepaid phone cards; and any legal
substance that emulates an illegal substance, like salvia.
 

Wilson tells me Stripe isn’t superefficient at enforcing these
rules, and some explicit gun businesses have told him they do use
Stripe and get away with it, though most in the gun world are aware
they are not welcome with the processing company.

In correspondence with Wilson, a Stripe representative referred
to “pushback from our financial partners” regarding his businesses
as triggering the end of their relationship.

“Stripe is a big startup that’s supposed to promote
‘disruption.'” WIlson notes, but obviously wants to do so only with
“minimal intensity. Obviously if something is too distruptive banks
don’t like the risk. I’ve been completely excluded from
the Bay Area payment processing universe.”

This is yet another reason why the world most definitely needs

another of Wilson’s passions, Bitcoin
: a means to transmit
value online that depends in no way on censorious intermediaries
like Stripe and their banking partners.

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