Male Teen Takes Nude Photo of Himself, Charged with Making Child Porn

SelfieA Three Rivers, Michigan, teenager is both the victim and perpetrator of a sex crime. He might land on the sex offender registry, and face criminal charges, all because he took an inappropriate photo—of himself.

The boy is unnamed in local news reporters, which note that he is under 15 years of age. He allegedly took a nude photo of himself on a girl’s cell phone. That girl sent the picture to another girl, who sent it to another. Preliminary charges are pending for all three—the boy was charged with manufacturing child porn, and the girls with distributing it. A prosecutor is still weighing whether to pursue the charges.

Police Detective Mike Mohney told WBST.com that sexting is a serious crime because it leads to “bullying,” and “real severe things like people committing suicide or violent crimes against others because they’re so embarrassed about it.”

Mohney’s statement is a perfect example of the inherent contradiction of ruining kids’ lives for sexting. If the goal is to avoid “severe consequences,” why would they pursue charges in the first place? If sexting-induced embarrassment is a source of violence and suicide, certainly the risk of embarrassment is made much worse by branding the offender a pedophile—for abusing no one but himself—and sentencing him to the sex offender registry.

Criminal charges don’t appear to deter other teens from sexting, either. As I noted in a recent op-ed for USA Today, a Drexel University study found that more than 50 percent of college undergraduates had sent sexts as minors. Some 88 percent of people surveyed had sent sexts, period. In other words, this is something that almost everyone is doing.

Authorities warn that the consequences for the underage are just too dire, but the most awful outcome is the one the authorities themselves impose on perpetrators: criminal charges. Can you imagine being a 14-year-old, trying to get your life back on track, after being socially stigmatized, expelled, charged with a crime, and publicly branded a sex offender? All because you took a picture of yourself?

Teens who create and share sexy photos aren’t child pornographers. They are teenagers. To pretend the law can suppress their natural curiosity about their own bodies, and each other’s, is to subscribe to vindictive madness and paranoia about human sexuality. These kids aren’t hurting themselves—we’re hurting them.

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Ted Cruz Beat Rand Paul on Strategy, Not Substance

He's gonna tack so libertarian! ||| Getty ImagesI have a post-mortem of Rand Paul‘s presidential campaign up over at CNN Opinion that begins with the observation that GOP voters are more fiscally conservative than their politicians, and ends with some observations about Paul’s vanquisher, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas). Here’s how it ends:

Fellow tea party senator and Iowa winner Ted Cruz has been very effective so far this campaign in doing what Rand Paul could not: converting that visceral anti-Washington sentiment into support. For his fans, Cruz’s long enemies list and off-putting demeanor are features, not bugs. Sadly for libertarians, that political canniness also involves blatant reversals on criminal justice reform, gratuitous calls to “carpet bomb” ISIS, and public vows to fight the alleged “crisis” of same-sex marriage.

Will Cruz pick up the banner of fiscal conservatism from his vanquished tea party opponent? He will most certainly try. Whether it can work, or whether he really means it, are different questions altogether.

Read the whole thing here. Reason on Rand Paul here.

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All Anti-Feminist Talk Would Be Criminal ‘Hate Speech’ If U.K. Activists Get Their Way

American writer and “pickup artist” Roosh V is causing a bit of hysteria abroad in countries where citizens are even more likely than they are here to say that offensive speech is “dangerous.” The trouble started when Roosh V—real name Daryush Valizadeh—announced the organization of 165 simultaneous meetups on February 6 for followers of his “neomasculinity” movement, including gatherings across American and in countries such as Australia, Canada, Chile, England, Israel, and Scotland. Soon thereafter, activists in the U.K. and Canada began protesting the meetups, which they have labeled as “pro rape” events. 

Granted, Valizadeh doesn’t have the most progressive views on romantic relations. And in stories about his sexual exploits, he often crosses into consent grey areas. But being a brute or a cad isn’t illegal, and neither is writing rapey tall-tales. Nor is meeting with like-minded people to express unpopular views. 

Of course, this is exactly the problem for some, who are calling on their governments to ban Valizadeh from even entering the country, to ban his fans from meeting up, and to criminalize all anti-woman “hate speech”—an impossibly broad category that seems to include everything from common insults to political expression at odds with feminism. 

As of February 3, more than 55,000 people had signed a petition calling for the Scottish government to prevent Valizadeh from entering the country. “Promoting rape is hate speech, and should be treated as such,” the petition reads. 

Sandy Brindley of Rape Crisis Scotland has been organizing with other women’s groups to protest Roosh V meetups in Scotland and pressure authorities to close the “gap in the criminal law” by designating “incitement of hatred against women” as a hate crime. “If what [Valizadeh] is doing is promoting rape then an incitement to hatred offence would enable us to deal with that,” she told The National. But as a Scottish government spokesperson pointed out, making “threats of sexual violence” is already against the law in Scotland, as is harassment that would “be likely to cause a reasonable person to suffer fear or alarm.” Over in Canada, the mayors of cities where Roosh V meetups are planned took to the Internet to voice their displeasure. “Your pro-rape, misogynistic, homophobic garbage is not welcome in Ottawa,” tweeted Ottawa Mayor Jim Watson. Toronto Mayor John Torry tweeted that Roosh V “doesn’t reflect the values of Toronto and his statements about women are demeaning and unacceptable.” And Vancouver police have assured residents that they will be monitoring the Roosh V meetup there. 

All this for a dude with a blog and some self-published books? Or, rather, the fans of some dude with a blog and self-published books? I mean, look, I’ve been aware of Valizadeh since he blogged under “D.C. Bachelor” back in the mid-aughts, and I find his views as gross as his capacity for self-promotion is impressive, but … come on. There is absolutely no evidence to suggest that either Valizadeh or his fans intend any sort of public spectacle during these meetups, let alone any violence or incitements to violence against women. The entirety of activists’ “case” for keeping them out, or under the watchful eye of law enforcement, is that they simply do not like what these men believe.

And that’s rather insane for anyone who claims to be sticking up for the rights of the vulnerable, marginalized, or oppressed. Because a government allowed to whimsically ban someone from entering the country or ban a group of people from associating based purely on dislike for the content of their beliefs is sure as shit not a government that’s going to stop with pickup artists. Throughout history, limits on freedom of speech and association have come down hard on the left, because it’s the left that most frequently challenges the status quo. Lip service to social justice goals notwithstanding, there’s no reason to think that people in power are going to suddenly stop with this centuries-long tendency now. 

What’s more, this sort of illiberal behavior from the left only enables those with views like Roosh V fans. As Charlie Peters writes at Spiked, “when you censor extreme views, you force them underground where they escape criticism and become even more radical. If our politicians will not allow us to debate Valizadeh, then how do they ever expect his brand of nonsense to be repudiated?”

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Anti-Israel Students Want to Ban Ben & Jerry’s Ice Cream, a Tool of Their Oppression

Ice creamStudents at Vassar College have struck a critical blow against the Israeli occupation of Palestinian: they signed a resolution calling on the college to divest from Ben & Jerry’s ice cream. Without a doubt, the hour of Palestinian liberation has finally arrived.

You see, Ben & Jerry’s—despite having very liberal politics—is actually in cahoots with the Zionists, according to the various Vassar student groups who signed the resolution:

BEN & JERRY’S has a long-standing contractual relationship with an Israeli franchise that manufactures ice cream in Israel proper and sells it in Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank and East Jerusalem. Despite the company’s Social Mission and history of supporting progressive causes, Ben & Jerry’s continues to tie its franchise to these illegal settlements. In short, while apartheid ensues in historic Palestine, Ben & Jerry’s “peace & love” ice cream continues to pass through Israeli checkpoints, and be transported on Jewish-only roads to be sold in Jewish-only settlements.

Ben & Jerry’s disputes this characterization of its relationship with the state of Israel. According to Campus Reform:

However, Ben & Jerry’s published a statement in 2015 in response to earlier attacks, claiming it had “no economic interest in the occupied territories.” In fact, the company denied accusations that it operated business facilities in occupied territories at all.

“The manufacturing facility and two scoop shops are located outside the occupied territories, just south of Tel Aviv,” the 2015 statement said, contradicting VBDSC’s accusations.

The resolution calls on Vassar to disallow students from consuming Ben & Jerry’s during official functions. I scream, you scream, we all scream because it never stops.

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Pitchfork Time? “Elites Have Lost Their Healthy Fear Of The Masses”

The following reader comment, posted originally in the FT is a must read, both for the world’s lower and endangered middle classes but especially the members of the 1% elite because what may be coming next could be very unpleasant for them.

Elites have lost their healthy fear of the masses

 

Sir, Martin Wolf (“The losers are in revolt against the elite”, Comment, January 27) and Andrew Cichocki (“Elites are listening to the wrong people”, Letters, January 29) skirt the key issue: global elites have lost a healthy sense of fear.

 

From the time of the French Revolution until the collapse of communism, what successive generations of elites had in common was a sense of fear of what the aggrieved masses might do. In the first half of the 19th century they worried about a new Jacobin Terror, then they worried about socialist revolution on the model of the Paris Commune of 1871. One reason for the first world war was a growing sense of complacency among European elites. Afterwards they had plenty to worry about in the form of international communism, which remained a bogey until the 1980s.

 

With the collapse of the Soviet Union and the spread of global capitalism, today’s elites have lost the sense of fear that inspired a healthy respect for the masses among their predecessors. Now they can despise them as losers, as the aristocracy of ancien régime France despised the peasants who would soon be burning their châteaux. Surely today’s elites are going to learn how to fear before we see any reversal of the recent concentration of wealth and power.

Is it time for pitchforks to restore the natural orders of fear yet?

h/t @WallStCynic


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CDC to Women: Don’t Drink. Or Take Antidepressants. Or Forget Your Folic Acid. Or Treat Pain.

The Internet is freaking out today over a recommendation from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) that women of childbearing age who are not on birth control should abstain from alcohol, lest they unknowingly damage their hypothetical progeny.

USA Today reported:

“Alcohol can permanently harm a developing baby before a woman knows she is pregnant,” said Anne Schuchat, principal deputy director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. “About half of all pregnancies in the United States are unplanned, and even if planned, most women won’t know they are pregnant for the first month or so, when they might still be drinking. The risk is real. Why take the chance?” 

Which makes now a good moment for a reminder that this is hardly the first time the CDC has treated women as irresponsible potential baby-porters.

A quick note: The suggestions below are scientifically sound—more so, I would guess, than the booze recs. (For more on that, check out Jacob Sullum’s “Drink Up, Moms!” or Emily Oster’s excellent book, Expecting Better.)

I actually did take folic acid for years before I became pregnant. (Thanks, mom!) People who are on antidepressants should talk to their doctors about all the ramifications, including on an unplanned pregnancy. 

But that doesn’t change the fact that there is something profoundly creepy about a government agency officially telling women to forgo pleasurable or life-improving choices solely on the basis of their status as the theoretical mothers of the nation’s children.

OK, let’s get to the nanny statism!

For starters, everyone with functional ovaries should be popping folic acid like T.I. is popping bottles.

The U. S. Public Health Service and CDC recommend that all women of childbearing age consume 0.4 mg (400 micrograms) of folic acid daily to prevent two common and serious birth defectsspina bifida and anencephaly.

All women between 15 and 45 years of age should consume folic acid daily because half of U.S. pregnancies are unplanned and because these birth defects occur very early in pregnancy (3-4 weeks after conception), before most women know they are pregnant.

Then, of course, as CDC honcho Thomas Freidan reminded us last year in a news release titled “Opioid painkillers widely prescribed among reproductive age women,” doctors of women who are in pain should reconsider treating that pain with opioids, lest they damage a hypothetical future human:

“Taking opioid medications early in pregnancy can cause birth defects and serious problems for the infant and the mother,” said CDC Director Tom Frieden, M.D., M.P.H.  “Many women of reproductive age are taking these medicines and may not know they are pregnant and therefore may be unknowingly exposing their unborn child.  That’s why it’s critical for health care professionals to take a thorough health assessment before prescribing these medicines to women of reproductive age.”

Next, think twice about those antidepressants, ladies! Because (again) you’re probably pregnant right now, as a new study in the CDC’s Mortality and Morbidity Weekly Report noted just this week. One of the authors told CNN:

“Early pregnancy is time that is critical for baby’s development and because so many women may be taking medications without knowing they are pregnant, we wanted to get a better sense of trends of antidepressant use of all women of reproductive age,” said Jennifer N. Lind, epidemiologist in the CDC’s Birth Defects Branch.

To be fair: This report was presented with much more nuance than the alcohol study, with headlines like “Women need better info about pregnancy and antidepressants,” perhaps because antidepressants do not stimulate the same puritanical impulses as alcohol and opiates.

Pain meds, antidepressants, and booze carry risks for everyone. Having government officials ask “Why take the chance?” about women of reproductive age in particular suggests that there are no legitimate upsides to balance the equation. 

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Goldman Capitulates: Revises Fed Call, No Longer Expects A March Rate Hike

Another day, another Goldman prediction fiasco, and no, we are not talking about the stop out of the firm’s Top Trade for 2016, namely the long USDJPY, short EURUSD (although that should happen any minute) – we are talking about that perpetual permabull, Jan Hatzius, just admitting the economy is in far worse shape than expected (if only by him), and as a result he just “revised” his Fed rate hike call, no longer expecting a March hike, instead now forecasting that the first rate hike will be in June and “and see a total of three rate increases this year.”

Of course, come December Hatzius, like the Fed, will be forced to admit that not only will there be no more rate hikes but everyone will be asking, if not begging for the Fed to cut.

From Goldman:

  • We are revising our Fed call, and now expect the FOMC to keep policy rates unchanged at the March 15-16 meeting. Incoming economic data continue to look broadly consistent with the committee’s outlook, but financial conditions have tightened meaningfully, and officials sound inclined to take more time to gather data and observe market developments. We therefore expect the next rate increase in June, and see a total of three rate increases this year.
  • Even after this change, our forecasts remain well-above market pricing, which now shows only about a 50% chance that the Fed raises rates at all this year, and a 25% chance that the committee lowers rates. The first full rate hike is not priced in until about August 2017.

We are revising our Fed call, and now expect the FOMC to keep policy rates unchanged at the March 15-16 meeting. Incoming economic data continue to look broadly consistent with the committee’s outlook at the time of the December meeting. However, financial conditions have tightened meaningfully, and recent public comments suggest Fed officials see greater risks to the outlook from these changes than we previously had thought. We now expect the next rate increase at the June FOMC meeting, and see a total of three rate hikes this year. Even relative to our revised baseline forecast, risks are tilted to the downside—it is still easier to see the committee slowing down the rate of increases then speeding them up.

 

* * *

 

… developments in financial conditions have clearly not cooperated with our year-end outlook. Our Financial Conditions Index (FCI) has tightened by about 50 basis points (bp) since the December FOMC meeting, implying a hit to growth of about 40bp over a one-year period, if the tightening proves persistent (Exhibit 3). Before the last week, we were unsure about how policymakers would react to recent market volatility; officials may have expected some tightening in financial conditions after liftoff, and their threshold for responding was therefore unclear. However, recent comments suggest that policymakers see the tightening in financial conditions as excessive, with potential implications for growth and the path for policy later this year.

 

 

* * *

 

… San Francisco Fed President Williams said in Q&A after remarks last week, “These developments in financial markets abroad, I think, have caused me to lower a small amount my forecast for GDP, and lower my forecast for core inflation.” He added that recent developments, “tell me we will probably have a little bit more monetary stabilization than I was thinking in early December.” Similarly, Dallas Fed President Kaplan said, “When you put all that together I think there is good reason to be patient (and) take more time to assess the impact on the U.S. economy.” When asked about the path for the funds rate in new projections at the March FOMC meeting, he said: “It’s not going to be any steeper.” Earlier today, New York Fed President Dudley said in an interview, “One thing I think we can say with more confidence is that financial conditions are considerably tighter than they were at the time of the December meeting.” And he said he interpreted the last FOMC statement as conveying that “things have happened in financial markets and in the flow of the economic data that may be in the process of altering the outlook for growth and the risk to the outlook for growth going forward” (Source: Market News via Bloomberg). Lastly, Governor Brainard told the Wall Street Journal, “Recent developments reinforce the case for watchful waiting.”

 

Fed officials are thus understandably uncertain about current market conditions, and inclined to be patient in order to gather more data and observe market developments—not unlike the committee’s reaction to market volatility in August and September 2015. Although there are six weeks to go before the March FOMC meeting, we expect that the committee will not have enough information in hand to determine that the tightening in financial conditions “left little permanent imprint on the economy”—as Vice Chair Fischer said this week about market turbulence last year. A second rate hike in June looks more realistic; action at the April 26-27 meeting could be an outside possibility if market conditions improve significantly. Even after this change, our forecasts remain well-above market pricing, which now shows roughly a 50% chance that the Fed raises rates at all this year, and a 25% chance that the committee lowers rates. The first full rate hike is not priced in until about August 2017.

* * *

In other words, the crack Goldman economists are now only 3 weeks behind the Fed Fund futures.


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Gold – It’s Time To Pay Attention

Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

The last time I shared my thoughts on gold, a subject I had previously wrote about constantly, was all the way back in July of last year. That post was titled, 4 Mainstream Media Articles Mocking Gold That Should Make You Think. Here’s an excerpt:

There are many reasons why I stopped commenting on markets, but the main reason is that I started to recognize I wasn’t getting it right. In fact, in some cases I was getting it spectacularly wrong. Whenever this happens, I try to isolate the problem and fix it. In this case there was no fix, because much of why I was no longer getting it right was rooted in the fact that my heart, soul and passion had moved onto other things. My interests had expanded, and I started a blog to express myself on myriad other matters I deemed important. Providing relevant market information needs intense focus, and my focus had shifted elsewhere. I recognized that I wasn’t intellectually interested enough in centrally planned markets to provide insightful analysis, and so I stopped.

 

Years ago, Martin Armstrong was saying that nothing goes up in a straight line and that gold would experience a severe correction before beginning its real bull market. We are seeing his prediction unfold before our very eyes. What he also said is that as gold approached the $1,000 per/oz mark or even below, everyone would proclaim that “gold is dead” and start making comically bearish statements. In a nutshell, negative sentiment would plunge to levels not seen in years, if not more than a decade. We are starting to see this now.

 

I didn’t write this article to “call the bottom in gold” or anything like that. I merely want to flag these four articles due to the hyperbolic nature of some of the statements made (they are exhibiting pretty much exactly the same behavior as the gold bugs they mock do). I do think that something is happening on the sentiment front that warrants we are closer to the bottom than the mid-stages of a bear market.

Fast forward six months, and gold has been more or less flat. Nevertheless, a lot has changed in the interim and it’s time for an update. Specifically, the multi-year fundamental outlook has turned far more bullish, while sentiment remains depressed. Yesterday, following multiple back-to-back  messages about gold on Twitter, someone asked me for my bullish thesis, I wrote:

But there’s more to it. A lot more. First, let’s look at the improved fundamentals. Gold bugs will exasperatingly proclaim that fundamentals have been great for the past four years yet the price plunged anyway, so who cares about fundamentals? To this I would respond with two observations. First, large institutional investors and sovereign wealth funds have been anticipating a rate hike cycle for a very long time now. They didn’t know when, but they expected it. The fact that the gold bugs never believed this is irrelevant; what matters is that big money believed it, and it was perceived to be very gold negative. In their minds, this anticipated rate hike cycle would confirm that things were getting back to normal, and if things are normal you don’t need to own gold, right?

 

The problem is that this assumption is quickly being called into question. Sure the Fed hiked rates once, but it is starting to look more and more like a policy error. Meanwhile, other major central banks around the world are going in the opposite direction, toward negative rates. I am a huge believer in market psychology, and the psychology dominating the minds of most institutional investors over the past few years has been that things were slowly getting back to normal. This has weighed on institutional demand for gold in a big way, and been a meaningful factor in the bear market (manipulation aside). If this psychology shifts, the shift back into gold could be very meaningful.

While that backdrop is interesting in its own right, what may make the move into gold that much more explosive is the lack of alternative investments. Let me explain.

Very wealthy people in the Western world do not like gold. In fact, if you talk to them, most will sneer at you with a combination of disgust and bewilderment at the mere suggestion of buying physical gold. These people will scour the planet for every and any alternative they can find before buying any gold, and this bias has been evident globally over the past few years. We have seen mansion prices and luxury real estate generally soar to unforeseen heights across the globe, and we have seen tremendous bull markets in equities. Similarly, competing “safe haven assets” such as sovereign bonds have rallied to the point many of them offer negative returns. Specifically, the FT just noted that negative yielding bonds now account for one-quarter of the entire government bond universe. Think about that for a second.

So what we are looking at is a far stronger fundamental backdrop for gold, coupled with an investment landscape in which almost all the alternatives look overpriced and unattractive. While wealthy Westerners will be dragged into the next gold bull market kicking and screaming, dragged into it they will be. They may not like gold, but they like losing money even less. This will create the buying power so desperately needed for a new gold bull to catch fire, and many people will be caught off guard. Personally, I think a new bull market in precious metals will be birthed with the next 12-months, and it’ll be a big one. 

*Note: I think it is beyond obvious that all financial markets, particularly precious metals, are actively manipulated by Central Banks around the world. Recognition of this fact does not help one determine when the psychology of markets and related price action will change, which is why it was not addressed in this article.

Finally, in case you missed it the first time around, you should check out the July 2015 article: 4 Mainstream Media Articles Mocking Gold That Should Make You Think.


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Barack Obama Tells Americans to Fight Islamophobia, Rick Santorum Drops Out, African Mobile Company Hires Eric Holder to Fight Government Fine: P.M. Links

  • Speaking during his first visit to a mosque as president, Barack Obama called on all Americans to fight Islamophobia, but did not talk about the role his terror policies might play.
  • Iowa caucus last place finisher Rick Santorum is expected to drop out of the presidential campaign tonight. Meanwhile, Rand Paul said he wouldn’t endorse any other Republican presidential candidate during the primaries.
  • A Kansas man pled guilty to charges related to his attempt to bomb an army base in the state.
  • The United Nations stopped trying to organize peace talks with the warring factions in Syria as the government is advancing on the rebel stronghold in Aleppo.
  • MTN, Africa’s largest mobile operator, has hired Eric Holder to help them fight a $3.9 billion fine being levied by the Nigerian government.
  • A mid-air explosion forced a plane to return to Mogadishu less than half an hour after taking off.

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