On Taxes, Economics, and Trade, Trump Is an Incoherent Mess – New at Reason

TrumpThe front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination, businessman Donald Trump, has been called a lot of things by the media and his adversaries. When it comes to his policy positions, however, it’s difficult to put a political label on him.

For instance, though he holds some pretty standard free market positions on taxes, he’s far from being a purist on the issue. On one hand, he would cut the top marginal individual rate to 25 percent and reduce the number of brackets to three to encourage productive behavior. However, his plan fails to remove most double taxation of income saved and invested and fails to eliminate many deductions for special interest groups. He would also remove a large number of taxpayers from the tax rolls, exacerbating the illusion that government services are free, writes Veronique de Rugy.

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Smokeless Tobacco Bans Lubricate the Slippery Slope With Gross Brown Spit

Game's up, Delino. ||| PinnacleToday marks the first Dodgers home game in the stadium’s 54-year history in which the ballplayers won’t be able to indulge in their gross but decidedly legal habit of chewing tobacco. That’s because the Los Angeles City Council decided in January (by a 14-0 vote, natch), to make the use of smokeless tobacco illegal at the city’s sporting venues, subject to the same category of punishment as defecating in public (nope, not making that up).

In today’s L.A. Times, I go all Roberto Alomar on the face of paternalistic local pols. Excerpt:

The City Council says it wants “to set the right example for America’s youth.” I guess the lesson is: Don’t get too famous, or else your otherwise legal personal habits will become subject to the whims of attention-seeking politicians.

As Councilman David Ryu explained: “Our kids shouldn’t be forced to watch the sports heroes they trust using tobacco. It’s important we hold professional athletes accountable when it comes to protecting our children and neighborhoods.”

But to paraphrase Bryce Harper, that’s a clown justification, bro. “Professional athletes” are to “protecting neighborhoods” what opera singers are to garbage collection.

And not only that, these same sanctimonious blowhards have carved out exceptions to the city’s many other tobacco bans on lucrative property owned by the city, because ca$h.

Read the whole thing here. Reason on tobacco bans here.

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Fixing the Silver Fix : the Corruption Continues

 

 

 

 

Fixing the Silver Fix : the Corruption Continues

Written by Jeff Nielson (CLICK FOR ORIGINAL)

 

 

 

Fixing the Silver Fix : the Corruption Continues - Jeff Nielson

 


 

 

My name is Tommy Flanagan, and I’m a member of Pathological Liars Anonymous. In fact…I’m the president of that organization. Yeah, that’s who I am.

I didn’t always lie. No, I used to tell the truth. Then one day I told a lie, and I got away with it. Yeah, I told my parents that I had a brother that they had never met… 

-Jon-the-Liar Lovitz, The Johnny Carson Show, March 28, 1985

As the character Jon Lovitz explained on The Johnny Carson Show, lying is habit-forming. If perpetuated, it becomes compulsive conduct. Lying is a form of deviant behavior that (in the eyes of the liar) makes problems go away. Of course such problems never disappear permanently, because a lie can never solve anything. At some point the problem resurfaces, and because it never was addressed, often the problem has grown even larger.

The response from the liar is to tell another lie. But, because the problem is now almost inevitably larger, the new lie tends to be bigger or worse than the original. The process repeats. As the lies become larger and more numerous, eventually some of the new lies begin to openly contradict the old lies.

At this point, the proverbial “jig is up” for the liar. At least that is how things are supposed to work, as illustrated by the fable The Boy Who Cried Wolf. Which brings us to the “silver fix.” 

The most obvious starting point is a question: why do we need a “silver fix”? In an era of electronic, instantaneous communication, and with (supposedly) “free and open markets,” why do we need someone to tell us what the price of silver is supposed to be at a particular moment in time? Why can’t market participants simply observe for themselves the current spot-price in our “free and open markets”?

The bankers (playing the role of Jon-the-Liar) have their answer at the ready.

We need an official “fix” of the price of silver, because the settlement of a number of a different types of contracts is based upon the prevailing price of silver, at particular times in the daily trading. If we didn’t have an official “fix,” then traders could attempt to manipulate the price at those particular times, and cheat the system. That’s right, someone else could cheat the system.

How would “fixing” the price of silver (a process which even sounds corrupt) help to prevent corruption in the marketplace? The Liars again have their answer. 

We’ll get some ‘honest people’ to tell us what the price of silver should be. These ‘honest people’ will meet behind closed doors, and then tell us the honest price for silver. Yeah, that’s the ticket! Honest people, meeting behind closed doors.

And thus ‘the silver fix’ was born. Who were these ‘honest people’ who were going to provide us with the honest price for silver via their secret meetings?

As regular readers know, the Big Banks of the West have been convicted of every form of financial crime in the books, most involving fraud (i.e. lying) in one form or another. The only reason that these fraud-factories haven’t been convicted of far more crimes is because our corrupt governments have erased many of our former laws and simply stopped enforcing many others.

The Pathological Liars were handed the responsibility of providing us with the honest price for silver. But wait, it gets better. The silver fix was supposedly created to prevent corruption in the silver market. However, not only are the Pathological Liars allowed to trade in the same market where they are providing this quasi-regulatory function, but they are by far the largest traders in these markets.

The Pathological Liars, who have the largest financial motive to rig the price of silver, are the people to whom we handed the responsibility of providing us with the honest price for silver. This is not merely a matter of “putting the Fox in charge of the henhouse.” Rather, putting the hungriest fox we could possibly find in charge of protecting the hens.

However, we were told for many, many years that this system worked just fine. Then one day the Pathological Liars themselves told us that the silver fix was no longer working. Of course this was far less than a voluntary admission. Instead, it came as a consequence of several of the Pathological Liars being sued for – surprise, surprise – manipulating the silver fix.

The bankers, as always, had their next lie ready.

We’ll fix the silver fix, and make it better than ever. That’s the ticket!

And so, we got the bankers new-and-improved silver fix. How was it “improved”? The particular Pathological Liars who were being sued for manipulating the silver fix would no longer be involved in “fixing the fix.” Instead, only those Pathological Liars who were not being directly sued would be allowed to provide us with the honest price for silver.

Then January 28th, 2016 rolled around, and Bloomberg Media released the following:

A daily silver price used as a benchmark by traders, miners, and jewelers risks losing credibility with investors after it was set beyond levels traded on the market. One said the system seemed “broken” and another that clients had adopted alternatives.

The London Bullion Market Association Silver price was set at $13.58 an ounce Thursday, 3.5 percent less than the intraday low on the Comex in New York.

That came from the mainstream media, meaning that (at most) it contains half the truth. Here is what was left out. The phony “honest price” produced by Pathological Liars Anonymous on January 28 th was not merely 3.5% less than the intra-day low. It was 6% below the current price.

Also conveniently omitted by the mainstream media was the significance of that date, which was the “options expiry day” in the futures market. All of the options trading for that month was settled based on the price set by the silver fix on January 28 sup>th – the “honest price” produced by the Pathological Liars. This means that all of the options traders who would have cashed in if the honest price reflected the actualprice of silver were, instead, blatantly cheated out of their rightful gain.

When Bloomberg and other mainstream propaganda outlets reported that some traders accused the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) of operating a “broken” system, it was referring to some of those cheated options traders. What was also omitted was that the silver fix tended to conveniently dip below the actual price of silver on most option-expiry days.

Prior to January 28th the Pathological Liars had not engaged in the fraudulent rigging of the silver fix in such blatant terms, not even before the fix was “fixed” the first time. But even more troubling was the latter part of the quote from Bloomberg: “ …clients had adopted alternatives.”

The Pathological Liars lie to us (among other reasons) for profit. If market participants choose to simply tune out the Pathological Liars, then they could “fix” the silver fix at any fraudulent, outrageous price they chose, but there would be no profit in doing so. You can’t cheat the other children if they won’t play in your sandbox.

Alarmed, Pathological Liars Anonymous called another meeting, where the bankers in attendance quickly cobbled together their next lie that would have gone something like this:

We’ll “fix” the silver fix…again, and this time, it will really be better than ever!

Thus, now the Pathological Liars have presented their new new-and-improved silver fix, designed to replace the old new-improved silver fix, which was only put into place last year. What did the Liars do to make the new-new fix better than the old-new fix?

The first of the new measures is the introduction of a blind auction. The aggregate bid and offer volumes will no longer be disclosed during the auction round. This information will only be made available after the end of each round.

The second measure is a “sharing of the imbalance” in the auction. In other words, after the auction is complete, the remaining buy and sell orders will be equally shared among the participants.

Finally, the calculation agent will now be able to increase the imbalance threshold during the auction within an approved range.

In short, today the CME Group and Thomson Reuters (the other Pathological Liar associated with this particular fraud) announced that they are taking action to prevent it from being extraordinarily easy for the Pathological Liars to manipulate the silver fix. They are doing some of the things they should have done when they fixed-the-fix the first time, if they had actually wanted to make the system less corrupt.

Why continue this farce at all? Why would the Pathological Liars risk shredding their near-zero credibility even further? Why not put to death this now thoroughly exposed financial fraud? Why don’t the Pathological Liars content themselves with their 24/7 manipulation of silver trading, in their paper “bullion” markets, which as everyone knows, are already more than 99% paper, and less than 1% bullion?

It’s all about control. Clients had adopted alternatives. These are words which strike fear and hatred into the hearts of the Pathological Liars, such as only a few other words or phrases in the English language are capable of doing. Words like “competition” and “law enforcement.”

 

 

Please email with any questions about this article or precious metals HERE

 

 

 

Fixing the Silver Fix : the Corruption Continues

Written by Jeff Nielson (CLICK FOR ORIGINAL)


 

 

 


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ISIS In California? 17 “Arabs In Turbans” Fired Guns And Chanted Allahu Akbar In Middle Of The Desert

Four months ago, ISIS came to San Bernardino, California. Sort of.

On December 2, Syed Farook and his wife Tashfeen Malik stormed a county holiday party and murdered 14 people with assault rifles in an attack that authorities would later say was inspired by Islamic State and its reclusive leader Bakr al-Baghdadi.

Investigators surmised that Malik was likely radicalized when she moved from Pakistan to Saudi Arabia (imagine that) and probably played a role in convincing her husband to take up the jihadi cause.

Both Farook and Malik were killed in a shootout with police, but we now know that the ISIS “presence” in San Bernardino didn’t die with the star-crossed lovers. Police responded on Sunday to multiple reports from campers that more than a dozen men of “Middle Eastern descent” were up all night on Saturday yelling and firing weapons into air.

“San Bernardino County sheriff’s deputies and an FBI agent responded to the area known as Deep Creek Hot Springs after reports of gunshots and chanting in the predawn hours,” The LA Times reports. “According to law enforcement sources, 17 men of Middle Eastern descent were detained.” Here’s a picture taken at the scene:

One of the 911 callers claimed that more than “100 shots” had been fired and that there were men “wearing turbans” in and around the area. With the assistance of a police helicopter, the “jihadist” contingent was located “walking away from a creek carrying backpacks and other items.”

Those “other items” included “several” handguns, a rifle and a shotgun.

Upon further investigation, it was determined that in fact, the men hadn’t done anything wrong at all. “A records check of the subjects, their weapons, and their vehicles was completed,” a statement from the sheriff’s department reads. “The records check revealed none of the subjects had a criminal history or outstanding warrants, the weapons were registered with the Department of Justice except for the rifle, and the vehicles were also registered.”

Right. So apparently, their “crime” was being Arab on a Saturday night.

Still, this one is a bit of a head-scratcher. While it does seem likely that campers saw what they wanted to see here, it’s not everyday that 17 Arab men congregate in Apple Valley and fire guns all night. “If there’s something going on wouldn’t you want your local police or law enforcement to take care of it so that citizens like you or myself don’t have to take it into their own hands?,” one local resident asked.

“None of the persons interviewed yesterday were identified as terrorists,” the sheriff’s department said on Monday, in an effort to assuage the public.

A recording of police scanner chatter that was posted online following the incident did nothing to calm locals’ frayed nerves. “All of the subjects are armed with handguns, that [witnesses] actually see,” an officer says. “Um, they were there all night and uh, they were up all night chanting Allahu akbar-type stuff,” he continues.

We’re not sure what “Allahu akbar-type stuff” means exactly, but between the audio from the police scanner and the 911 calls, the picture one gets is of more than a dozen Arabs donning turbans running around the desert chanting nasheeds while firing off pistols into the night sky. So, something like this we suppose: 

One might fairly ask why these 17 men can’t go on a camping trip without being fingered as terrorists but the dozen or so heavily armed “states’ rights activists” that occupied the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge earlier this year were allowed to close down a federal building for weeks on end with no intervention whatsoever.

“There was no evidence found that a crime had been committed by any of the subjects,” the county would later admit.

Hopefully, none of the men pictured above turn up at LAX with TATP-laden baggage next month.

Below, find a news report from a local CBS affiliate. 


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Jobless Claims Surge Most In 2 Years As Challenger Warns Of “Significant” Jump In Retail, Computer Layoffs

With both ISM Manufacturing and Services employment indices collapsing, endless headlines of layoffs, Challenger-Grey noting Q1 as the worst since 2009, and NFIB small business hiring weak, it is no surprise that initial jobless claims is finally waking up. For the 3rd week in a row – the longest streak since July 2015. The last 3 weeks have seen a 9.1% surge in jobless claims – the biggest such rise since April 2014.

 

 

And finally, as Challenger-Grey notes,

Through the first quarter of 2016, employers announced 184,920 job cuts, up 31.8 percent from the 140,241 cuts tracked the first three months of 2015.

 

The first quarter saw 75.9 percent more job cuts than in the final quarter of 2015, when 105,079 job cuts were recorded.
US companies announced the most 1Q layoffs since 2009 as oil-related cuts continue to inflate numbers, according to data from Challenger Gray.

Citing John Challenger, MarketTalk adds that announcements “have increased significantly” in retail and computers, adding, “While it may be too early to sound the alarm bells, the upward trend outside of the energy sector is somewhat worrisome.” Overall announced layoffs by Challenger Gray’s count have been 185K this quarter, versus 140K a year earlier.

It’s the worst start to a year since 2009, when in the wake of the financial crisis companies announced plans that 1Q to cut 562K jobs.


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A.M. Links: Trump’s Abortion Comments Enrage, Clinton Moves Goal Posts, DC Metro Nightmare

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Russian Energy Tycoon Spends $1 Billion On Son’s Wedding; Locals Dub It “Feast In A Time Of Plague”

While the WSJ continues its crusade against the Goldman-assisted embezzlement scandal involving Malaysia’s 1MDB bank, pointing out that the “bank documents show accounts of prime minister paid out $15 million for clothes, jewelry and a car”, we can’t help but laugh.

The reason: stories such as this one according to which Kazakh-born Russian oil and media tycoon, Mikhail Gutseriev who has a net worth of over $6 billion thanks to his ownership of Russneft and numerous other Russian energy companies reportedly spent according to ABC, IBT and the Daily Mail roughly $1 billion dollars on the wedding party of his son Said, 28, to girlfriend Khadija Uzhakhova, 20, during the weekend in a lavish ceremony that took place at Moscow’s upscale Safisa restaurant, and was attended by around 600 guests with Sting, Jennifer Lopez and Enrique Iglesias performing.

The groom's father personally welcomed the couple's 600 guests to the wedding party which included the president of Ingushetia

The guests were chauffered in by Rolls Royce.

Luxury cars including Rolls Royces and Bentleys were seen parked outside the venue 

 

The event has been dubbed by Russian media as “the most expensive wedding ever.” According to the Daily Mail, entertainment provided by Jennifer Lopez, Enrique Iglesias, Sting and many local pop stars.

Fairytale wedding: But Ingushetia is one of the poorest regions of Russia, and commenter Marina Baryshnikova complained, ‘It would have been better if they helped those in need, the country is collapsing, there are no jobs, people are poor. This is a feast at a time of plague.’

 

Held at the luxury Moscow restaurant and banqueting venue Safisa, “which was dripping with fairy lights and decked with wall-to-wall fresh flowers” the wedding set a new bar for extravagance.

The bride reportedly wore a $374,000 gown, which was bedecked with precious stones, imported from Paris and weighed in at 25kg. Her pricey wedding gown was matched with a handbag, diamond tiara and pendant.  Khadizha’s crown, costing a rumoured €5 million, is about half the cost of the school’s budget in the tiny fiefdom.
 
Billionaires son Said Gutseriev, 28, married student 20-year-old Khadija Uzhakhovs in Moscow this weekend in a jaw droppingly lavish affair, rumoured to have cost up to $1 billion

Gutseriev, who was ranked the 38th richest person in Russia by Forbes in 2015, flew in the who’s who of the music world to perform at his son’s wedding. Gutseriev is estimated to be worth $6.2bn, and his assets include oil company Russneft besides K Neftisa, OAO Russian Coal and others.

JLo performed her hit songs If You Had My Love, Dance Again and Get Right. During her performance the singer apparently told guests that pronouncing the newlyweds’ names was “the hardest thing I had to do today”.

Khadija's dress was imported from Paris and reportedly weighed 25lb thanks to the huge train and heavy embellishment. The bride needed the assistance of several people to carry her train and help her walk upstairs

 

According to The Guardian, JLo has commanded up to $1.4m for similar performances in the past. Her skimpy outfit for the Muslim wedding was allegedly criticised by some people on social media. “If you have money you can invite anyone you like, but Vainakhs (another word for Ingush people) should have asked her to get dressed in a more appropriate way,” one person apparently said, according to Daily Mail.

J Lo performed for the newylweds

 

Sting also performed his hit songs such as Message In A Bottle, Every Breath You Take and Desert Rose. Other performers at the wedding were French star Patricia Kaas and Russian singer Alla Pugachyova.

Not everyone was happy:  online, the wedding was branded ‘a feast in a time of plague’. Ingushetia is one of the poorest regions of Russia, and commenter Marina Baryshnikova complained: ‘It would have been better if they helped those in need, the country is collapsing, there are no jobs, people are poor. This is a feast at a time of plague.’

‘It is disgusting to see how rich bastards are splashing out because all of their untold wealth was stolen not earned.’ One women’s website also detailed some poignant comments about the wedding.

“The life of this sweet girl will be just like her wedding dress,’ said one. ‘Wealthy, rich, beautiful and impossibly hard. I hope to be wrong.”


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Europe Remains Stuck In Deflation For Second Month

The last time Europe had at least two consecutive months of deflation was in late 2014/early 2015 when the ECB launched its sovereign QE, and when prices staged a modest rebound into the rest of the year. One year later, it’s more of the same, and as Eurostat revealed earlier today, after a headline price drop of -0.2% in February, March prices declined once more, this time by -0.1% in line with expectations, driven by a -8.7% plunge in energy prices.

 

The good news for the ECB, which earlier this month unleashed the first instance of corporate bond QE, is that if stripping out “volatile food and energy prices”, core inflation accelerated in what Reuters dubbed mildly positive news for the European Central Bank as it struggles to revive anemic price growth.

As shown below, core inflation, a figure closely watched to gauge underlying trends, picked up to 0.9% from 0.8%, also in line with its recent trend and with expectations, alleviating some fears that low energy prices are feeding into the cost of other goods and services.

 

According to Reuters, the core inflation tick-up, presaged by surprisingly high German figures on Wednesday, is the latest in a string of slightly positive data for the 19-nation currency bloc, indicating that the euro zone’s tepid domestic recovery remains on track despite headwinds from abroad.

The ECB especially fears these so-called second-round deflationary effects from falling crude prices as they could lead to low price growth becoming entrenched.

Still, inflation remains far below the ECB’s target of nearly 2 percent and is not expected to return to target over the next three years. This indicates the central bank will have to keep rates exceptionally low and keep the door open to even more stimulus.

Indeed, according to its most recent drastically lowered forecast, the ECB expects inflation to average just 0.1 percent this year before a pickup in 2017.

In the end, it will all depend on what oil prices do from here: crude oil prices have fallen by two-thirds over the past two years and futures point to a slow rise for the rest of the decade, keeping a lid on price growth.

What is curious is that in recent months euro zone lending has picked up, at least according to ECB data, and last month it grew at its fastest pace since late 2011, while M2 has been surging: this has yet to translate into substantially higher prices.


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10 Things to Hate About Bernie Sanders’ Economic Policy: New At Reason

There is much to cheer about the unlikely competitiveness of Bernie Sanders against that joyless, big-government machine politician, Hillary Clinton. Sanders is comparatively decent and authentic, and his policies are worlds better on drugs, surveillance, and war. But as I write in the May issue of Reason, the thing that arguably makes fans feel the Bern most is his economics, and from the minimum wage to universal pre-K to expanding Social Security, Sanders’ policy is not just misguided, but actively terrible.

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What Terrorists Want: New at Reason

After the terrorist violence in Brussels many people, including Barack Obama, said we should not change our way of life and live in fear because that is what terrorists want. Maybe, but is that all they want? It seems that something important is left out of the story, writes Sheldon Richman. In the classical model of terrorism, instilling fear (along with causing death and injury) is not an end in itself. It’s a means to an end.

Terrorists don’t necessarily get a kick out creating carnage and fear (though it is possible), writes Richman. Primarily they want the survivors’ fear converted into action aimed at changing their government’s policy. Thus terrorism, if it to have any meaning, is a political, not a sadistic, act. 

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