How Conspiracy Laws Let Prosecutors Abuse Their Power

Amy Povah was just 30 years old when she was sentenced to 24 years in federal prison for a drug crime she didn’t even commit herself. The crime—manufacturing a large amount of ecstasy in both the United States and Germany—was committed by her then-husband, Sandy Pofahl. Her lengthy prison sentence was based on the entire amount of ecstasy Pofahl manufactured, even though five co-defendants provided affidavits stating Amy was not involved in his drug trade.

Because Pofahl cooperated with the U.S. prosecution by providing the government with information about other drug dealers, he walked away with just three years probation in the U.S. after serving four years in a German prison. Povah, meanwhile, refused to cooperate with the federal investigation into her husband’s crime and, as a result, was indicted for conspiracy. The charges came with a mandatory 20-year to life sentence in federal prison. She was convicted in 1991. 

Charlie Strauss, an assistant U.S. attorney from Waco, Texas who had initially questioned Povah, told Glamour magazine in 1999, “Had she come to the table at that time—cooperated, been truthful, honest and candid—I would say there’s a probability she wouldn’t have been prosecuted.”

Povah’s predicament is far from rare. There are thousands of others like her in America, people who have received outsized sentences despite very minimal connections to the crimes of others thanks to our country’s conspiracy statutes. These laws give broad discretion to prosecutors to charge just about anyone who “conspired to commit” a crime.

What “conspired” means, however, is largely up to interpretation, and the definition can be stretched to absurd lengths at the whim of the prosecution. It often is.

Worse, if a person is convicted of conspiracy, he or she is subject to the same sentence required for the actual crime itself. This allows for individuals to be convicted as high-level drug traffickers even if they have never physically touched any drugs in their lives.

Using conspiracy statutes, the government doesn’t have to prove someone ever sold, trafficked, or even possessed drugs in order to sentence them to prison as if they had. It’s a recipe for extremely harsh sentencing—sentencing that in some cases, like Povah’s, can be substantially longer than the punishments doled out to those who actually committed the crimes. As Molly Gill from Families Against Mandatory Minimums (FAMM) puts it, “Being charged with a conspiracy means people are punished for drugs they didn’t sell, guns they didn’t possess or use, and bad behavior they may have had nothing to do with. Conspiracy makes small players look like big fish, and get mandatory minimum sentences to match. Judges know the difference but can’t do anything about it, unless Congress changes sentencing laws.”

Luckily for Povah, her case garnered a lot of media attention, and her sentence was eventually commuted by President Bill Clinton in 2000. At the time of her release, she had served over nine years in prison. Shortly after her release, she founded the nonprofit CAN-DO organization, which brings attention to other individuals who are serving harsh prison sentences. “First-time offenders used to get probation in a drug case,” says Povah. “Now we have thousands of first time offenders serving 15 years to life, and almost everyone for conspiracy. … Like everyone, I have survivors guilt, which is why I do what I do.”

Federal conspiracy statutes can be traced back to the Reagan administration, when laws like the Anti-Drug Abuse Act of 1988, which expanded upon the Anti-Drug Abuse Act of 1986, were enacted. The 1986 law created a number of mandatory minimum prison sentences for various drug crimes, and it required individuals to actually be caught with a certain amount of drugs to be sentenced to the corresponding mandatory minimum prison terms. When it was amended in 1988, conspiracy was added.

“After conspiracy was added,” Julie Stewart, President of FAMM, wrote in an email, “you could be held liable for all the drugs in the group (conspiracy) even if your part was exceedingly small and you had no idea of the total amount of drugs involved. This was an easy way to drive up drug quantity for each player and, in turn, subject them to long mandatory minimum prison sentences.”

In the 1994 ruling of United States v. Shabani, the United States Supreme Court upheld the application of the law by unanimously deciding “conspiring to commit a narcotics crime can be a violation of Federal law even if the conspiracy is never carried out.”

Alfred Anaya is another individual needlessly caught up in the justice system as a result of these laws. Anaya owned a small car stereo installation business in California, where he offered his clients a number of different services, including the installation of secret compartments in cars. He had no knowledge of what his customers were using the compartments for, and he thought that was enough to cover him from any accusations of wrongdoing.

But when one of Anaya’s customers became the subject of a Drug Enforcement Agency investigation and was found with drugs, Anaya was wrangled in as a co-conspirator in a multi-state drug trafficking operation. Eventually he was convicted and sentenced to 292 months in federal prison, while the two men at the top of the trafficking organization received sentences half as long, according to a profile of Anaya that ran in Wired.

“The fact that I’ve been criminally charged in federal court for something I did not do has been devastating to me, and my two young sons, and family,” Anaya wrote in an email. “I wonder what the outcome would have been if I could have been afforded a competent defense team.”

Because he’s served a little over four of his 24 years in prison, he doesn’t meet the requirements laid out for Obama’s clemency initiative, which requires those who apply to have served at least 10 years of their sentences, among other factors.

It’s difficult to ascertain the exact number of individuals in federal prison for conspiracy crimes, since most readily available statistics lump all drug offenders together. We do at least know that the majority of those whose sentences were commuted by President Obama were convicted of conspiracy crimes. 

“I would hazard to guess that conspiracy is charged almost any time there is more than one person involved in a drug crime, which is usually,” says Gill. “I would also hazard to guess that DOJ charges conspiracy as a way to run up the drug quantity to get longer sentences.”

As long as these conspiracy laws on the books, individuals like Povah and Anaya will continue to be needlessly swept up into the criminal justice system on little more than the whim of the government. Conspiracy laws are basically everything wrong with the war on drugs and overzealous prosecution packaged into one, and meaningful criminal justice reform cannot possibly come without reexamining these draconian policies nationwide.

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OPEC Set To Pump Even More Oil In April As Saudi Arabia Boosts Exports To Near-Record High Levels

In one of the least surprising highlights from the ongoing earnings season, yesterday we reported that as oil continues to rise, US shale companies are starting to resume mothballed production.

First, it was Pioneer who said it was “expecting to deliver production growth of 12%+ in 2016 compared to the Company’s previous production growth target of 10%” adding that it also expected to “add five to ten horizontal drilling rigs when the price of oil recovers to approximately $50 per barrel and the outlook for oil supply/demand fundamentals is positive.” Then yesterday it was another US shale giant, Whiting Petroleum, who admitted that $45 oil is good enough, and that it is “increasing its production forecast to a range of 131,400 BOE/d to 136,900 BOE/d” adding that “with the majority of completions scheduled for the second half of the year, the Company expects to realize the full production benefit in late 2016 and 2017.”

And now, according to the latest Reuters production survey, in the aftermath of the failed Doha oil freeze agreement, OPEC will be the next to boost production in the coming month, expanding supplies from an already oversupplied 32.46MMb/d to 32.64MMb/d.

As Reuters notes, its survey indicates output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries rose by 170,000 bpd in April. OPEC has no supply target. At a Dec. 4 meeting the producer group scrapped its output ceiling of 30 million bpd, which it had been exceeding for months.

The Reuters survey aims to assess crude supply to market, defined to exclude movements to, but not sales from, storage. Saudi and Kuwaiti data includes the Neutral Zone.

Venezuelan data includes upgraded synthetic oil. Nigerian output includes the Agbami stream and excludes Oso and Akpo condensates. Totals are rounded. There are no individual quotas for the OPEC member countries.        

The full Reuters table:

 

And then moments ago:

  • SAUDI ARABIA BOOSTS OIL EXPORTS TO NEAR-RECORD HIGH LEVELS.

We wonder just how much longer algos can keep ignoring fundamentals.

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BiLDeRBeRG NeWS…

BILDERBERG BUSINESS

 

 

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ZERO HEDGE COMMENT CYCLE

.

 

 

WELCOME TO ZERO HEDGETOWN USA

IMPORTANT NOTICE:

This artist derives zero income from this website. Furthermore, the artist is of the firm opinion that in order to achieve editorial freedom, is is better to operate an independent website that is self funding (God forbid profitable) rather than beholden to corporate sponsors or other special interests. The artist appreciates the fact that there are absolutely zero editorial restrictions applied to the content he has posted on this website from the very beginning. Finally, the artist considers what the Bloomberg Propaganda organization has done to the publication formerly known as Business Week, to be totally appalling.

Your print inquiries are always welcome and appreciated, but by no means a prerequisite to my continued participation in this fringe lowbrow conspiracy theorist, anti-statistoligarchy serial contrarian PSM stacking looney bin.

WB7

 

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Chicago PMI Tumbles From March Dead-Cat-Bounce “Plagued By A Lack Of Orders”

March's dead-cat-bounce in Chicago PMI (like January's) has died again as the business barometer drops to just 50.4 (from 53.6) missing expectations of 52.6. This barely-above-contractionary level was driven by an 11-point collapse in Order backlogs to the lowest since Dec 2015, and as MNI reports, "order patterns continued to be plagued by a lack of large orders and absence of international demand, purchasers said."

Barely above contraction, Chicago PMI's bounce is over…

 

Breakdown:

  • Prices Paid rose compared to last month
  • New Orders fell compared to last month
  • Employment fell compared to last month
  • Inventory rose compared to last month
  • Supplier Deliveries rose compared to last month
  • Production rose compared to last month
  • Order Backlogs fell compared to last month
  • Number of Components Rising: 4

As MNI reports,

Order patterns continued to be plagued by a lack of large orders and absence of international demand, purchasers said. Softer ordering led to a decrease in the Employment component, which fell back into contraction, where it has been in 10 of the last 12 months.

 

Despite lower ordering and employment levels, Production posted a small increase as special projects, and a plethora of low volume high margin orders kept companies busy.

 

The most surprising element of the report was an unusually large 20.2% surge in Supplier Deliveries to the longest since October 2014. Purchasers feared extensions in lead times could be telegraphing the beginning signs of major supply chain disruptions on the horizon.

 

Insufficient inventories of components at the supplier level were cited for lengthening in lead times, purchasers said. To a lesser extent some minor global strikes and transportation issues added to longer lead times aswell.

 

What was uniform was a lengthening in Supplier Lead times with many citing capacity issues at offshore facilities. This led to some inventory builds, purchasers said.

Outside of the barometer components, Prices Paid was up over 25% to the highest in 17-months and its first expansionary read in 9 months as commodities moved higher in April.  Inventories added 5.6 points to 49.6, the highest since October as some companies noted difficulty in restocking from offshore suppliers.

Comments from the survey panel remained mixed with strong players continuing on a solid footing while others barely broke even. Others remained very weak and needed "way more orders".

Those on a solid footing reported higher backlogs and higher revenues.

 

Others were slow and continued to note a lack of larger orders, and an ongoing focus on grabbing market share on low volume, high margin orders. The latter may have boosted production levels along with seasonal factors.

 

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Bill Gross: “The World’s Central Banker” Has Flatlined U.S. Economic Growth

In a recent interview, Bill Gross provided some further truthiness regarding the state of the U.S. economy and the unveiling of the Federal Reserve as the world’s banker.

As we’ve said countless times, Gross reiterates in the interview that the Fed’s only contribution to the real economy has been to help create more jobs that aren’t adding up to any real economic growth (i.e. waiter and bartender jobs at minimum wage). He points out that U.S. economic growth has in fact flat lined.

“I think what they have on their radar basically are the employment numbers as opposed to real economic growth. I mean goodness, this quarter for almost the second quarter in a row we’re close to the flatline in terms of economic growth.

Indeed it has flat-lined, as evidenced by yesterday’s dismal .5% GDP growth in Q1.

 

He also goes on to point out that the Fed is acknowledging that they are the world’s central banker, and although Yellen has continued the ‘Bernanke-Put’, financial assets aren’t yielding anything. As far as rate hikes are concerned, the focus on the global economy will lead to maybe one more hike in June but that’ll be it. Which, of course, makes sense, as the Fed needs some room to cut rates as the economy stalls out completely.

“Basically, financial assets are yielding nothing. We know that in the bond market, and the fact that as we’re seeing today in the stock market there clearly is a Yellen put, but over the last two meetings it’s been extended to include global risk markets. They’ve focused on a desired weakening of the dollar versus emerging
market currencies, and we’ve seen emerging market currencies rally for
sure. I think they’re acknowledging that the Fed is the world’s global central banker.

 

To me, that should keep hikes at a minimum because of the high debt levels of emerging market countries. Perhaps one or so, and I think June is a likely period as long as jobs keep increasing to 200,000 a month.”

Be careful Bill, at this rate you will be part of the fringe blog tinfoil hat club before long…

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Video of the Day – Bill Gross Warns: “The System Could Suffer an Implosion”

What’s so remarkable about the following clip from a Bloomberg interview with iconic bond fund manager Bill Gross isn’t so much that he warned about a looming systemic implosion, but how much he struggled to actually say it out loud despite clearly wanting to.

Pretty telling.

continue reading

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Oakland Raiders Looking to Move to Las Vegas

The owner of the Oakland Raiders has signaled that he’d like to move his NFL franchise to Las Vegas, offering to pay $500 million for construction of a new stadium if local governments find a way to fund it the other expected $900 million in construction courts.

Due in large part to its status as the sports betting capital of America, Las Vegas has never hosted a major professional sports team (the Utah Jazz played several home games in Las Vegas in the 1983-1984 NBA season). Las Vegas has been home to one minor league sports team, the triple-A Vegas 51s (currently affiliated with the New York Mets).

Davis approached the Southern Nevada Tourism Infrastructure Committee, a committee formed last year by Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval (R) to “prioritize tourism improvement projects in southern Nevada, explore potential funding mechanisms to support new tourism-related initiatives” and make official recommendations on those subjects by this summer.

The vice chair of the committee, University of Nevada-Las Vegas President Len Jessup, told the Las Vegas Review-Journal that his preferred location for a potential NFL stadium in the Vegas area would be a 42-acre site owned by none other than UNLV. Jessup says he believes such a stadium would help his school get into a Power Five conference. Davis toured that site several months ago.

One proposal on funding reported by the Review Journal would involve $750 million in tourist taxes and  $150 million from a casino operator and a real estate company, but came with few additional details.

The Raiders have played in Oakland since 1995 and from 1960 to 1981. In 1981 they moved to Los Angeles for 14 years. Los Angeles, the second largest TV market in the country, has not had an NFL franchise since the Raiders moved out. The Rams are returning to Los Angeles this season after a process that also saw the Oakland Raiders and the San Diego Padres as candidates for LA.

For its part, the city of Oakland said it would decline to spend any taxpayer money on a new Raiders stadium to keep the team in the area—the city still owes $80 million on the current stadium. The new stadium for the Rams, which will be located in Inglewood and is expected to be the most expensive in the world. It will cost about $2 billion dollars to construct and will not be publicly funded. Taxpayers in Missouri still owe about $100 million in relation to the Rams’ St. Louis stadium.

Check out Reason TV’s “Why No Smart City Would Want the NFL”

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Rally In Gold Stocks Reaches First Big Challenge

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr,

A key index of gold stocks is hitting its first level of major potential resistance since its false breakdown to all-time lows in January.

Flashback to January 26 of this year. The PHLX Gold/Silver Index, or XAU – the longest running index of gold stocks – was recovering from its breakdown earlier in the month to all-time lows. That day, the XAU was testing the breakdown level around $43. Our Chart Of The Day and accompanying post linked above queried “Will this test of the breakdown level lead to a false breakdown, or the start of a new leg down?” Well, 3 months and over 100% later, that answer couldn’t be more clear.

 

image

 

The question now is “How far will the post-false breakdown rally go?” Fast forward to today and, in our view, the rally in the XAU is hitting its biggest challenge yet in terms of potential resistance on it chart. Consider the levels of consequence near the $86 level as laid out on the chart below:

  1. The underside of the broken post-2000 Up trendline
  2. The post-2011 Down trendline
  3. The 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement of 2010-2016 Decline
  4. The October 2014 breakdown level that led to an acceleration of the cyclical post-2010 decline. This “pivot” level also represented the triple lows in 2013-2014 and subsequent test in January 2015.

 

image

 

The XAU traded above this resistance today, reaching nearly $88 before closing at $86.90. Is that enough to signal a breakout of this resistance? Not in our view. It will take a much more decisive move above $86 to convince us that it has overcome the resistance. This is due in part to the variability of these lines of resistance, considering their long-term nature, especially the post-2000 Up trendline.

Furthermore, it would be much healthier and constructive to see the XAU consolidate near these levels a bit longer to “digest” the 100%+ gain of the past 3 months. By running straight through these levels after almost no pause (~6 days) when it is so extended, the XAU runs the risk of exhaustion and a failed breakout. That action could lead to a more prolonged and damaging pullback than if it simply consolidated for a bit longer before breaking out.

Regardless of how things transpire, in our view, above roughly $86 in the XAU appears to be bullish, opening up potential upside to above $110 as the next level of resistance. Below $86 and the index could struggle. Again, this wouldn’t necessarily be a terrible thing if the XAU consolidated its recent gains before launching the next leg higher. Roughly the $70 level may be the best level of support below should the XAU pause here.

The last time we mentioned that gold stocks may be at an important juncture, they went on to rally over 100%. While this juncture may not be as critical, it could be the biggest test yet in the impressive gold stock rally.

*  *  *

More from Dana Lyons, JLFMI and My401kPro.

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Cop Car Smashed Outside Trump Rally, Ideal New York Times Staffer White and Childless?, Trump to Keep Playing the Woman Card: A.M. Links

Twenty people were arrested during protests outside a Southern California rally for Donald Trump Thursday. 

Will Carly Fiorina overshadow Ted Cruz?

Two long-term advertising account managers with The New York Times have accused the paper of having an ideal staffer (“young, white, unencumbered with a family”) and filed a federal lawsuit alleging age, race, and gender discrimination.

Colorado will vote next November on whether to replace Obamacare with a more expansive “ColoradoCare.”

Trump plans to play the woman card a lot more. 

People are in an uproar about a campus poster advising cheerleaders to look pretty.

Watch this guy jump on top of a police car, because #NeverTrump, or something. 

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Savings Rate Highest Since December 2012 After Personal Spending Disappoints Again

Following the drastically revised-away surge in spending in January, and the savings rate surge to 2012 highs in Feb, March’s income and spending data released today showed more problems for The Fed. While income grew 0.4% MoM (more than the 0.3% expectations), spending disappointed with a mere 0.1% rise (against +0.2% MoM expectations). Year-over-year spending growth slowed to 3.5% – the weakest since December and income growth slowed to 4.0% YoY leaving the savings rate at its highest since January 2013.

Income up, Spending down:

 

Which in longer historical context….

 

… Pushed the savings rate to match its highest since December 2013:

 

As all that hope-strewn spending has been revised away, and as a result following several revisions, the biggest concern to the Fed, the savings rate, has just hit its highest since December 2012, which means one thing: instead of spending money US consumer are quietly packing it away under the mattress despite ZIRP.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

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