California Fault Lines Are “Locked, Loaded, & Ready” For The Big One, Expert Warns

The San Andreas fault is one of California's most dangerous. While the last big earthquake to strike the southern San Andreas was in 1857, as LA Times reports Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center, explained this week "the springs on the San Andreas system have been wound very, very tight. And the southern San Andreas fault, in particular, looks like it’s locked, loaded and ready to go."

Have you noticed that the crust of the Earth is starting to become a lot more unstable? 

As The End of The American dream blog's Michael Snyder explains, over the past couple of months, major earthquakes have shaken areas all over the planet and major volcanoes have been erupting with a frequency that is more than just a little bit startling.  Here in the United States, the state of Oklahoma absolutely shattered their yearly record for quakes last year, we just saw a very disturbing earthquake right along the New Madrid fault just recently, and as you will see below one scientist is telling us that the San Andreas fault in southern California “looks like it’s locked, loaded and ready to go”.

The name of the scientist that issued that very ominous warning is Thomas Jordan, and he is the director of the Southern California Earthquake Center.  The following quote from Jordan comes from a Los Angeles Times article that was published this week that is getting a huge amount of attention right now…

“The springs on the San Andreas system have been wound very, very tight. And the southern San Andreas fault, in particular, looks like it’s locked, loaded and ready to go,” Jordan said in the opening keynote talk.

 

Other sections of the San Andreas fault also are far overdue for a big quake. Further southeast of the Cajon Pass, such as in San Bernardino County, the fault has not moved substantially since an earthquake in 1812, and further southeast toward the Salton Sea, it has been relatively quiet since about 1680 to 1690.

 

Here’s the problem: Scientists have observed that based on the movement of tectonic plates, with the Pacific plate moving northwest of the North American plate, earthquakes should be relieving about 16 feet of accumulated plate movement every 100 years. Yet the San Andreas has not relieved stress that has been building up for more than a century.

Jordan went on to say that when the tension that has been building along the San Andreas fault is finally relieved, it could potentially produce a magnitude 8 earthquake. What a Magnitude 8 quake would look like…

 

Back in 2008, the U.S. Geological Survey concluded that just a magnitude 7.8 earthquake along the southern San Andreas fault would cause more than 1,800 deaths, 50,000 injuries and 200 billion dollars in damage.

So we are talking about a truly historic event.

Many people out there believe that someday large portions of California will fall into the ocean as the result of an absolutely massive earthquake, but the USGS is convinced that is not likely to happen.  However, they do openly admit that someday the cities of Los Angeles and San Francisco will be located right next to one another…

Will California eventually fall into the ocean?

 

No. The San Andreas Fault System, which crosses California from the Salton Sea in the south to Cape Mendocino in the north, is the boundary between the Pacific Plate and North American Plate. The Pacific Plate is moving northwest with respect to the North American Plate at approximately 46 millimeters per year (the rate your fingernails grow). The strike-slip earthquakes on the San Andreas Fault are a result of this plate motion. The plates are moving horizontally past one another, so California is not going to fall into the ocean.

 

However, Los Angeles and San Francisco will one day be adjacent to one another!

But of course it isn’t just California that we need to be concerned about.

According to the Daily Mail, one team of scientists has concluded that giant chunks of the Earth’s mantle are “breaking off and sinking into the planet” under the North American plate, and that this is what has caused some of the unusual earthquakes in the eastern part of the country in recent years…

The southeastern United States has been hit by a series of strange unexplained quakes – most recently, the 2011 magnitude-5.8 earthquake near Mineral, Virginia that shook the nation’s capital.

 

Researchers have been baffled, believing the areas should be relatively quiet in terms of seismic activity, as it is located in the interior of the North American Plate, far away from plate boundaries where earthquakes usually occur.

 

Now, they believe the quakes could be caused by pieces of the Earth’s mantle breaking off and sinking into the planet.

I don’t know about you, but that sounds rather ominous to me.

The crust of our planet already somewhat resembles a giant cracked egg, and to hear that pieces may be breaking off and sinking into the interior is not exactly comforting.

And those same scientists are telling us that the process that has been causing this is ongoing and will continue to produce more earthquakes

The study authors conclude this process is ongoing and likely to produce more earthquakes in the future.

 

‘Our idea supports the view that this seismicity will continue due to unbalanced stresses in the plate,’ said Berk Biryol, a seismologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and lead author of the new study.

 

The [seismic] zones that are active will continue to be active for some time.’

Those that follow my work closely know that I have been writing about seismic activity a lot lately, and that I believe that major earth changes are coming to the North American continent.  I am deeply concerned about the New Madrid fault, the Cascadia Subduction zone, the major faults in southern California and Mt. Rainier up in Washington state.

In the end, I don’t believe that we will see just one or two major seismic events in the years ahead.

For those of us that are fortunate enough to live long enough, I believe that all of those areas that I just mentioned will experience major events.

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Rand Paul Will Endorse Donald Trump, the Least Libertarian GOP Nominee in Decades

PaulSen. Rand Paul isn’t joining the #NeverTrump bandwagon. In a recent interview, he reminded radio host Leland Conway that he plans to endorse the Republican Party’s presidential nominee, no matter who it is. 

“You know, I’ve always said I will endorse the nominee,” said Paul. “I think it’s almost a patriotic duty of anyone in Kentucky to oppose the Clintons, because I think they’re rotten to the core, I think they’re dishonest people, and ultimately I think we have to be concerned with what’s best for Kentucky.” 

Paul cited Clinton’s recent comments about eliminating coal jobs as reason enough for Kentucky voters to oppose her. 

The libertarian-leaning Republican isn’t wrong about Clinton’s awfulness. But Trump—a thin-skinned lunatic who peddles conspiracy theories, encourages violence and censorship, prefers big government, and loathes the free market—is just as bad, and arguably much worse, including and especially from a libertarian perspective. 

There is virtually no issue where Trump’s views align with libertarianism (his continued support for eminent domain, a policy that virtually no one else in the GOP or libertarian movement supports, is perhaps the best example of this). And while it’s true that some conservatives can be counted on to advance libertarian positions on a handful of issues, this doesn’t apply to Trump, because he isn’t even a conservative. He’s a member of the authoritarian populist right—a segment of the population that shares nothing in common with libertarianism. 

Paul knows all this, of course. To his credit, he was one of the first Republican presidential candidates to stand up to Trump on the debate stage. (Trump, demonstrating his remarkable lack of self-awareness, responded by mocking Paul’s hair.) I presume that at this point, Paul thinks it’s best for his political future if he doesn’t burn any additional bridges with Trump people. 

He may wish to reconsider that, however. A whole host of influential, thoughtful Republicans are refusing to support Trump. Paul Ryan has declined to back Trump (at least “for now,” he said). Mitt Romney will not endorse Trump. National Review writers are openly considering voting for likely Libertarian Party presidential candidate Gary Johnson. Republican strategist Mary Matalin has officially switched her party identification to Libertarian. 

Given that conservatives and Republicans can’t bring themselves to vote for Trump, it would be a little bizarre for the nation’s most well-known libertarian-leaning Republican politician to endorse the least libertarian GOP nominee since Richard Nixon. 

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Good News For Working ‘Retirees’ – Wal-Mart Reintroduces “The Greeter”

With record numbers of older workers in the workforce, as the beach/sunset/walks-in-the-park vision of retirement crashes on the shores of reality, there could be a light at the end of the tunnel.

After a series of tests on ways to deter theft, Wal-Mart has decided that America's favorite supercenter position will be making a comeback. This summer, Wal-Mart will be rolling out a program that will bring door greeters back to the entrances in hopes of reducing theft, and improving customer service.

Theft has been an increasing issue for Wal-Mart, with some stores having to call the police up to four times a day. The company ran tests at two stores in Arlington, Tx, and having employees check receipts helped reduce calls to police by about 40% over six months said Kevin Kolbye, assistant chief of the Arlington police.

Wal-Mart's returning of the greeters to the entrances is the good news. The bad news? Other than a few positions being created to oversee the self-checkouts, the company expects to fill the positions with existing employees, so the initiative will be relatively headcount neutral. In other words, those that lost their jobs during the massive layoffs as a result of giving in to pressures to raise the minimum wage for their employees won't be getting their jobs back any time soon.

There is one silver lining however, which is that some of those employees making the arbitrary minimum wage of $10 an hour will really have to earn it with this exhaustive skill set – we hope they don't burn out.

The remaining stores, which the company has identified as having more theft, will get an employee focused on preventing shoplifting who will periodically check receipts. These workers, called customer hosts, will need to have additional skills beyond those of traditional greeters, who are often senior citizens. They’ll need to be able to ask for receipts when appropriate and lift heavy objects and use technology to process express returns.

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Is Blockchain Technology a Trojan Horse Behind Wall Street’s Walled Garden? (New at Reason)

The Bitcoin/blockchain industry’s flagship annual conference was held this week in New York City, and there were 1500 attendees and 150 speakers. Eight years after this technology was first described in a nine-page paper dropped on the internet by a mysterious computer scientist, interest is suddenly exploding among blue chip financial firms, who are exploring how Bitcoin and blockchains can make their operations more efficient.

Click above to watch our coverage. Click below for the full text and downloadable versions of the video.

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Friday A/V Club: J.G. Ballard—for Kids!

Well, we're movin' on up/to the east side/to a deluxe apartment in the skyJ.G. Ballard’s High-Rise doesn’t usually pop up in those lists of libertarian-themed science fiction stories, but the 1975 novel contains a lot for anti-authoritarians to enjoy. The tale of a luxury London apartment complex that degenerates into tribal warfare, it’s a brutal little fable about the gap between a planner’s blueprint and the space that actual people live in. Ballard turns Hobbes on his head: Here it is a highly centralized, tightly designed society that degenerates into a war of all against all.

The book is also drily funny, with one of my favorite opening lines of the last half-century: “Later, as he sat on his balcony eating the dog, Dr. Robert Laing reflected on the unusual events that had taken place within this huge apartment building during the previous three months.” That sets the tone for the text right away: If you like that sentence you will probably like the rest, and if you don’t you can safely stop there.

High-Rise has inspired two motion pictures. One is a new movie helmed by the British director Ben Wheatley. I haven’t seen that yet. The other is one of the most bizarre serials in the history of the long-lived science-fiction series Doctor Who.

Wheatley has directed a couple of recent Doctor Who stories, but this wasn’t one of his efforts. It dates back to the late ’80s, when the show’s original incarnation was sputtering toward cancellation and hardly anyone was watching it anymore. In its final years the program took an experimental turn, and one of its odder experiments was Paradise Towers, a story that basically inserted the show’s protagonists into Ballard’s book. Or, rather, it inserted them into a deeply weird variation on Ballard’s book, with some of the hammiest supporting actors in BBC history delivering their lines on sets that looked like they cost about £45 apiece to build. In the words of one critic, Paradise Towers is “a Ballardian dystopia performed as broad-stroked children’s television.”

How could you not want to watch that? Or, if your patience for low-budget sci-fi absurdism is limited, don’t you at least want to check out a few minutes of it? Here is the first episode of the four-part story. You can start from the beginning or, if you prefer, you can jump to 10:45 and watch a caretaker being attacked by a cleaning robot:

Part two is here, part three is here, and the conclusion is here. My colleague Kurt Loder’s review of Wheatley’s High-Rise is here. (He wasn’t impressed.) Reason‘s 2009 tribute to Ballard is here. Past editions of the Friday A/V Club are here.

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Why the FDA’s New Rules Will Make Cigars Boring: New at Reason

Enjoy the occasional stogie? You should be worried. The federal government just killed innovation and experimentation in cigar manufacturing, writes Jacob Grier: 

Although yesterday’s announcement that the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will start regulating e-cigarettes is getting the most attention—Reason’s Jacob Sullum explains why this is awful news for vapers—the agency’s new deeming regulations also have huge implications for the cigar industry.

The threat of FDA restrictions have loomed over the cigar business ever since the FDA took control over cigarettes; yesterday morning, the other shoe finally dropped.

The worst fear of cigar manufacturers and smokers alike has been that the FDA will impose the same onerous pre-market review requirements on cigars that it currently places on cigarettes. In theory, this review process ensures that any new products introduced to market are no more dangerous than what is already for sale. In practice, it halts the introduction of new products, trapping applications in interminable bureaucratic limbo. The history of FDA cigarette regulation shows that cigar smokers are right to be concerned.

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At What Point Does Robo-Bureaucracy Become Robo-Tyranny?: New at Reason

RobotBureaucratDreamstimeKirstyPargeterNever mind replacing factory and service industry workers: What if robots could replace bureaucrats? After all, nearly 22 million Americans are employed at all levels of government. Lots of them are involved in applying rules and making routine decisions. What if ever-smarter software could function as robo-administrative law judges, robo-comptrollers, robo-clerks, robo-magistrates, robo-deputy assistant secretaries of transportation or agriculture—in short, robo-bureaucrats? Could robot administrators powered by computer algorithms and neural networks even-handedly apply rules and make objective decisions in allocating resources? In a recent paper, “Cyberdelegation and the Administrative State,” California Supreme Court Justice Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar considers the possibility. What could possibly go wrong?

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No Wonder We’re Poorer: Wages’ Share Of GDP Has Fallen for 46 Years

Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog,

The problem is that limiting financialization will implode the system.

The majority of American households feel poorer because they are poorer. Real (i.e. adjusted for inflation) median household income has declined for decades, and income gains are concentrated in the top 5%:

Even more devastating, wages' share of GDP has been declining (with brief interruptions during asset bubbles) for 46 years. That means that as gross domestic product (GDP) has expanded, the gains have flowed to corporate and owners' profits and to the state, which is delighted to collect higher taxes at every level of government, from property taxes to income taxes.

Here's a look at GDP per capita (per person) and median household income. Typically, if GDP per capita is rising, some of that flows to household incomes. In the 1990s boom, both GDP per capita and household income rose together.

Since then, GDP per capita has marched higher while household income has declined. Household income saw a slight rise in the housing bubble, but has since collapsed in the "recovery" since 2009.

These are non-trivial trends. What these charts show is the share of the GDP going to wages/salaries is in a long-term decline: gains in GDP are flowing not to wage-earners but to shareholders and owners, and through their higher taxes, to the government.

The top 5% of wage earners has garnered virtually all the gains in income.

The sums are non-trivial as well. America's GDP in 2015 was about $18 trillion. Wages' share–about 42.5%–is $7.65 trillion.

If wage's share was 50%, as it was in the early 1970s, its share would be $9 trillion. That's $1.35 trillion more that would be flowing to wage earners.

That works out to $13,500 per household for 100 million households.

While it's easy to spout political promises to "fix" this secular trend, it isn't that easy. Technology and global competition has raised the premium on technology and managerial workers and reduced the premium on most conventional jobs.

Financialization has increased the share of profits and GDP that flow to financiers and the financial sector.

Crony-state capitalism has imposed rentier monopolies and cartels on wage earners, effectively transferring more of the nation's income and wealth to politically powerful entrenched interests and cartels.

The problem is that limiting financialization will implode the system, as I explain in my new book Why Our Status Quo Failed and Is Beyond Reform. The status quo now depends on financialization for its profits and taxes, and so ripping the heart out of financial skims and scams will also rip the heart out of the entire status quo.

And so 95% of us will continue to get poorer, no matter who's in office.

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One Dead, Three Critical In Maryland Mall Shooting, Suspect At Large – Live Webcast

In the latest mass shooting at a public place, one person was killed and three people are critically injured after separate shootings Friday morning at a mall and shopping center in Montgomery County, Maryland. Investigators are examining whether the shooting at Westfield Montgomery mall in Bethesda has any connection to a fatal shooting Thursday in a parking lot of a high school in Beltsville, Maryland, a source tells NBC News.

Live webcast from the scene below:

Police say preliminary information indicates the shooter fired at one victim and then two people went to the victim’s aid. The shooter then fired at those two people, police say, according to initial information.  “We have no reason to believe the victims knew the suspect,” Montgomery County Assistant Chief Darryl McSwain said. “But we are certainly looking at all angles.”

Police identified the suspect in the shooting at High Point High School as Eulalio Tordil of Adelphi, Maryland, a 62-year old employee of Homeland Security’s Federal Protective Services, which provides services for federal buildings. He allegedly shot his wife on Thursday at a high school. Three people have been shot outside Westfield Montgomery mall in Bethesda, Maryland, by a shooter police believe was a stranger to the victims, police say.

Two men and one woman were shot in a parking lot and all are in critical condition, Montgomery County Police said. They are being treated at Suburban Hospital, a representative said. The hospital is on lockdown, a representative said. The suspect remains at large.

In what may or may not be a separate incident, police are responding to a fatal shooting outside the Giant grocery store on the 13000 block of Connecticut Avenue in Silver Spring, about 8 miles to the northeast of the mall. A woman was shot and killed, police say. Information was not available immediately on whether there was any connection between the two shootings.

A woman was walking towards Macy’s when a man approached her and asked where she was going, one witness told News4’s Chris Gordon. When the woman didn’t answer, the suspect reached into his car, pulled out a gun and started shooting. The woman was shot in the shoulder, and two men who were not involved in the initial confrontation also were wounded, the witness said. The witness said one of the men appeared to be seriously injured.

The mall on Democracy Boulevard off I-270 was not locked down, a witness said. A man who answered the phone in the mall’s management office said he could not confirm whether the mall ever was locked down Friday.

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Oil Shrugs As US Total Rig Count Continues Crash To Record Lows

WTI crude prices are unimpresed at the rig count data today (after spiking off the dismal jobs data). Total rig count fell 5 to 415 – a new record low while oil rigs fell 4 to 328, tracking lagged oil prices to their nadir.

19th weekly decline of the 20 weeks in 2016… will it change as laged oil prices pick up?

 

 

With the total count continuing to crash to new record lows…

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