‘Tis The Season For Bankruptcies, Store Closings, & Tent Cities…

‘Tis The Season For Bankruptcies, Store Closings, & Tent Cities…

Authored by Michael Snyder via TheMostImportantNews.com,

We need to make 2021 a year of hope, because right now there is more economic suffering in America than we have seen since the Great Depression of the 1930s.  More than 100,000 businesses have permanently closed down since the pandemic began, many of our most iconic chains have filed for bankruptcy over the past 12 months, and tent cities are popping up in major cities all across the country.  Coming into this year, the suicide rate in the U.S. was already at an all-time record high, and a Gallup survey recently discovered that the mental health of Americans is at an all-time low.  If we can’t find a way to give people hope, multitudes of Americans will decide that life is no longer worth living just like Anthony Quinn Warner did.  The explosion in Nashville should be a wake up call for all of us, because there are countless others out there that are feeling the hopelessness that Warner did.

In 2020, we saw retail stores close their doors at a pace that we have never seen before.  According to the New York Post, NYC lost more than 1,000 chain stores all by itself…

The Big Apple saw almost one in seven nationally recognized chain-store branches close their doors as the pandemic sent consumers scurrying for cover, according to a new report.

A record high 1,057 chain stores — including 70 Duane Reades, 49 Starbucks and 22 Papyruses — have waved the white flag over the past 12 months, according to the Center for an Urban Future’s annual “State of the Chains” report, set to be ­released Wednesday.

If you go back to 2018, 0.3 percent of all chain stores in the city shut down permanently.

This year, that figure has skyrocketed to 13.3 percent

The 13.3 percent decline shatters all previous records reported by the nonprofit agency since it began tracking the data 13 years ago. Last year, just 3.7 percent of all chain outlets closed, up from 0.3 percent in 2018.

Of course the same thing is happening all over the nation.  Empty retail buildings now litter the landscape, and it is only going to get worse.

But it is hard to imagine that the next 12 months could actually be worse than the past 12 months.  In an article published earlier this month, CNN listed 30 major chains that have filed for bankruptcy in 2020…

  1. Papyrus

  2. Bar Louie

  3. Krystal

  4. Pier 1 Imports

  5. Modell’s Sporting Goods

  6. True Religion

  7. J.Crew Group

  8. Neiman Marcus

  9. JCPenney

  10. Souplantation and Sweet Tomatoes

  11. Tuesday Morning

  12. GNC

  13. CEC Entertainment

  14. NPC International

  15. Brooks Brothers

  16. Sur La Table

  17. Muji USA

  18. Lucky Brand

  19. RTW Retailwinds

  20. Ascena Retail Group

  21. California Pizza Kitchen

  22. Lord & Taylor

  23. Tailored Brands

  24. Stein Mart

  25. Century 21 (department store chain)

  26. Sizzler USA

  27. Ruby Tuesday

  28. Friendly’s

  29. Guitar Center

  30. Francesca’s

Sadly, now that the holiday season is done there will inevitably be another huge wave of store closings and bankruptcies.

Of course the new lockdowns are certainly not helping matters at all.  Millions upon millions of people are staying home and not spending money, and this is hitting the restaurant business particularly hard.

In fact, the National Restaurant Association is warning “that 40% to 50% of restaurants may go bankrupt in the months ahead” if something is not done…

The National Restaurant Association said that 40% to 50% of restaurants may go bankrupt in the months ahead if they don’t reopen immediately. Two of the U.S.’s most iconic restaurants, the 21 Club in Manhattan and the Cliff House in San Francisco, announced they had closed their doors permanently after nearly 100 years of business. As they die, so do hundreds of jobs in these cities. The workers out of work aren’t rich. Overall, 15 million middle-income people work for bars and restaurants.

I can definitely understand why so many restaurant owners are absolutely furious right now.

You can watch one restaurant owner give an impassioned speech in which he boldly declares that “I’m not ready to give my country up to these people” right here.  I have to admit, I got pretty fired up watching that one.

Unfortunately, the control freak politicians have shown that they are willing to take draconian measures in order to implement their ridiculous lockdowns.  For example, just recently heavily armed police heartlessly raided a hair salon that refused to comply with the COVID lockdown in California.  If I was that salon owner, I would move out of California and never look back.

What is ironic is that many of the politicians that are supposed to be the most “liberal” are the ones that are actually hurting those at the bottom of the economic food chain the most

Democrats and their liberal economic advisers obsess about income inequality. Will someone please tell them that no act in modern times has widened the gap between the rich and the poor more than the lockdowns going on right now?

Diane Yentel, the president and CEO of the leftist National Low Income Housing Coalition, said, “The majority of the up to 17 million households at risk of losing their homes this winter are people of color.”

As economic conditions continues to unravel, more Americans are falling out of the middle class and into poverty with each passing day, and we continue to see more evidence of this all around the nation.  In Chicago, it was being reported that people were lined up for 15 blocks to receive food and toys at a holiday giveaway…

A Chicago actress and her foundation brought 3,000 toys, food, and countless smiles to the West Garfield Park neighborhood for the holidays Wednesday.

As CBS 2’s Marissa Parra reported, people waited for more than two hours in their cars for the giveaway, and there were lines that stretched over 15 blocks – dramatically underscoring the need.

Can you imagine waiting in a line that is 15 blocks long?

The bread lines during the Great Depression were long, but I don’t think they were that long.

Homelessness is also growing at a very frightening rate, and this is fueling the rise of tent cities from coast to coast

Tent cities are expanding across the United States as experts warn that the ongoing pandemic could lead to a ‘catastrophic’ homeless crisis where hundreds of thousands more Americans are living on the streets.

In Phoenix, authorities have converted two enormous parking lots into tent cities for the homeless, but even the homeless are being required to follow social distancing protocols

To deal with an exploding homeless population and encourage social distancing during the pandemic, Marcipoa County officials turned this pair of asphalt-topped parking lots into the area’s newest homeless shelter. The county has more than 7,500 people on the streets, and nearly 5,000 dead from COVID-19.

Inside the crowded encampment, ringed by security fencing and barbed wire, each family has been allotted a 12-by-12-foot lot, marked by paint, to separate people as much as possible.

This is the cold, hard reality that multitudes of people are living at this point.  Dependence on the government and unquestioning submission to authorities have become a way of life for countless numbers of Americans, and economic conditions are not going to be getting better for the foreseeable future.

This is why we must give people hope in 2021 and beyond, because the amount of economic pain that we are witnessing around the country is already off the charts.

The government may be able to send checks to people, but it cannot give them hope.

And when people have lost all hope and have become extremely desperate, they can end up doing very foolish things just like Anthony Quinn Warner did.

*  *  *

Michael’s new book entitled “Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/28/2020 – 10:05

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2KKnEBX Tyler Durden

Are These Vulgarity-Spouting Birds a Threat to Democracy?

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Aaron Reynolds is the Canadian author and humorist behind some of the most bizarrely funny meme accounts to grace the internet. His popular “Swear Trek” and “Effin’ Birds” social media accounts have hundreds of thousands of followers—and provide the perfect reactions to just about everything that’s happened in 2020.

Reynolds is just trying to make people laugh on the internet, but this is his business too—he’s got a book out, and sells Effin’ Birds merchandise through an online store.

So when Reynolds noticed that his usually very popular Instagram posts under the “Effin’ Birds” account weren’t reaching as many viewers as usual during the final weeks of the presidential campaign, he was worried. Though he hasn’t been able to get a straight answer from the social media giant, Reynolds suspects his content may have been flagged for running afoul of an algorithm meant to weed out foreign election interference. (Reason has had its own troubles with Instagram’s location services, which seem to think this publication is based in the United Kingdom even after we proved we are not.)

Last month, Reynolds sat down with Reason for a conversation about his vulgarity-spouting birds, the power of social media companies, and how greater government regulation of the internet is no laughing matter.

Hosted by Eric Boehm. Produced and edited by Justin Monticello. Written by Boehm and Monticello. Graphics by Isaac Reese. Audio production by Ian Keyser.

Music: “Speed Freak” by Evgeny Bardyuzha and “DuDa” by Ian Post licensed through Artlist.io. 

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Altcoin Prices Surge As Bitcoin Stabilizes Around $27k

Altcoin Prices Surge As Bitcoin Stabilizes Around $27k

While bitcoin stole all the headlines over the holiday weekend, altcoins are starting to play catch up with Ethereum surging over 12% as bitcoin stabilizes…

Source: Bloomberg

Bitcoin has stabilized around $27,000 after futures opened and saw major short liquidations…

Source: Bloomberg

And Ethereum soared to $730…

Source: Bloomberg

Flipping the recent trend of bitcoin outperformance, pushing ETH back above 0.025x BTC…

Source: Bloomberg

QCP Capital, a Singaporean crypto trading firm, wrote today in a note to investors, “late yesterday we got the usual swapping of BTC profits into the Alts, driving ETH to new cycle highs as well. The ETHBTC bounce happened at 0.023, which has proved a strong level for those looking to diversify their growing BTC balance sheets into ETH.”

And, as markets return to digest a wild Christmas, CoinTelegraph presents five factors set to help with Bitcoin price direction this week.

image courtesy of CoinTelegraph

Gold surges as Trump signs stimulus bull

Markets have been spared a nightmare this week after U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to sign off on Congress’ $900 billion coronavirus stimulus bill.

Set to add a large amount of debt to the Federal Reserve’s existing mountain, the package includes various benefits for businesses but stops short of providing Americans with the same level of direct financial support seen in March.

Trump had said that the low direct payment amount of the second stimulus — $600 against $1,200 last time — meant that he could not condone it, but subsequently changed his mind.

Markets have thus begun a new week on a positive note, with slight gains seen on S&P 500 futures prior to the Wall St. open.

At the same time, gold has returned in style, with data showing that the precious metal is now on track for its biggest one-year gain in a decade.

Versus the end of November, XAU/USD is up $111 or 6.25%.

XAU/USD daily candle chart. Source: TradingView

“As President @realDonaldTrump vetoed just nine bills, the fewest number since Warren Harding, who served just two years, from 1921-1923,” gold bug and infamous Bitcoin naysayer Peter Schiff tweeted as the bill was signed.

“Not since Chester Arthur (1881-1885) has a president who served a full term vetoed fewer bills. You can’t drain the swamp by making it deeper.”

Regulations coming for mainstream Bitcoin

After striking a fresh tone with a wider audience over Christmas with runs to new all-time highs, Bitcoin may soon have to face the music with the establishment, sources warn.

Hitting $28,400 and capping monthly gains of 55%, Bitcoin is now firmly on regulators’ radar as its mainstream appeal heightens. Even for its proponents, the next year may prove to be a challenging time.

With outgoing Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin leaving his mark with an attempt to force new laws over noncustodial wallets, his replacement, Janet Yellen, may hardly be an improvement, they say.

“Generally, I think we have had challenges with the Dems — they prefer more regulation, more oversight,” Meltem Demirors, chief strategy officer at digital-asset manager CoinShares, told Bloomberg on Sunday.

“I am a bit worried about the direction things are trending.”

As always in the U.S., the patchwork of political allegiances means that any assault may be tempered by the presence of crypto-friendly figures elsewhere. The new chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Elad Roisman, is considered to be a fan.

Bitcoin rebuttal at $28,400 “very healthy” — analyst

Concentrating on the latest Bitcoin spot market action, Monday is shaping up to be a major test for bulls given the momentum seen over the weekend.

After hitting all-time highs of $28,400 on Sunday, Bitcoin saw a pullback which many had already expected.

“#Bitcoin undergoing a very healthy correction as it went quite vertical. Might be the temporary top for now,” Cointelegraph Markets analyst Michaël van de Poppe summarized on social media.

“What’s next? Consolidation, sideways action, less volatility. Giving space to the rest of the markets to pace up. $BTC pairs doing well.”

BTC/USD hourly candle chart. Source: TradingView

Van de Poppe is eyeing the potential for altcoins to begin their response to Bitcoin’s recent glories, arguing that signs are already beginning to appear that “altseason” is around the corner.

“After #Bitcoin finishes the run (and it is quite vertical), the money will flow towards large caps. And after that towards mid-caps and small caps,” he continued.

“Altcoins are not dead, the money flow is still the same.”

While floundering against BTC, some popular altcoins are still delivering significant returns in USD terms, with market leader Ether (ETH) trading above $700 for the first time since May 2018. Versus its lows of $113 in March, ETH/USD is now up 530%.

ETH and BTC vs. USD performance YTD. Source: Digital Assets Data

Record Bitcoin futures gap

Bitcoin is contending with the largest “gap” to ever appear on futures markets this week.

Data from CME Group’s futures shows that on Friday, trading ended at around $23,825. Monday began with a wick to lows of $26,500 from opening levels, with the difference ranking as the biggest ever seen in a weekend.

These so-called futures “gaps” refer to the void between Friday and Monday trading sessions, and the BTC/USD spot price has a habit of returning to “fill” them later on.

In recent weeks, however, this trend has weakened, with gaps remaining between $16,900 and $19,500 which have only been partially filled.

This has in turn given rise to theories among analysts — including Cointelegraph’s Van de Poppe — that Bitcoin could still reverse downwards to revisit sub-$20,000 levels just long enough to take care of its unfinished business.

Should that not in fact occur, analysts may instead need to come to terms with the loss of what was once a solid indicator of near-term Bitcoin price trajectory.

CME Bitcoin futures chart showing gap. Source: TradingView

Stock-to-flow forecasts the high

On the topic of price trajectory, the latest action puts Bitcoin at odds with one of its best-known and most reliable price models — stock-to-flow.

After rising to hit exactly what the model’s demands last week, the weekend ensured that BTC/USD outperformed, with Sunday’s retracement to the mid $26,000 range ensuring compliance swiftly returned.

As noted by both its creator PlanB and Saifedean Ammous, author of “The Bitcoin Standard,” Bitcoin is overall staying highly faithful to what stock-to-flow requires on an almost daily basis.

“Bitcoin’s price continues to track the predicted value from @100trillionUSD ‘s stock-to-flow model with astonishing precision,” Ammous summarized.

Bitcoin stock-to-flow chart. Source: Digitalik

Going forward, the model’s various incarnations demand price levels of anywhere between $100,000 and $576,000 between now and the end of the current halving cycle in 2024.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/28/2020 – 09:45

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3hnGB9o Tyler Durden

Are These Vulgarity-Spouting Birds a Threat to Democracy?

8095965_16x9

Aaron Reynolds is the Canadian author and humorist behind some of the most bizarrely funny meme accounts to grace the internet. His popular “Swear Trek” and “Effin’ Birds” social media accounts have hundreds of thousands of followers—and provide the perfect reactions to just about everything that’s happened in 2020.

Reynolds is just trying to make people laugh on the internet, but this is his business too—he’s got a book out, and sells Effin’ Birds merchandise through an online store.

So when Reynolds noticed that his usually very popular Instagram posts under the “Effin’ Birds” account weren’t reaching as many viewers as usual during the final weeks of the presidential campaign, he was worried. Though he hasn’t been able to get a straight answer from the social media giant, Reynolds suspects his content may have been flagged for running afoul of an algorithm meant to weed out foreign election interference. (Reason has had its own troubles with Instagram’s location services, which seem to think this publication is based in the United Kingdom even after we proved we are not.)

Last month, Reynolds sat down with Reason for a conversation about his vulgarity-spouting birds, the power of social media companies, and how greater government regulation of the internet is no laughing matter.

Hosted by Eric Boehm. Produced and edited by Justin Monticello. Written by Boehm and Monticello. Graphics by Isaac Reese. Audio production by Ian Keyser.

Music: “Speed Freak” by Evgeny Bardyuzha and “DuDa” by Ian Post licensed through Artlist.io. 

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/3mV8eI0
via IFTTT

Trump Gets None of His Demands in the Spending Bill but Signs It Into Law Anyway

polspphotos746368

No $2,000 checks or Section 230 repeal in the spending bill. Like so many of President Donald Trump’s policy tantrums, his opposition to the new government funding bill turned out to be nothing more than a pointless spectacle. After rightfully objecting to all the fluff packed into the latest omnibus spending and COVID-19 relief measures, wrongfully demanding that the legislation repeal Section 230, and promising to use his veto power, the president has now signed into law the original measure passed by Congress last week.

The COVID-19 measure includes expanded federal unemployment benefits and instructions to give $600 to every American under a certain income threshold. It was attached to a larger spending bill that funds the necessary functions of the governmentand much, much morethrough September 2021.

In a transparent attempt to save face, Trump stated Sunday that his signature on the spending package came with “a strong message that makes clear to Congress that wasteful items need to be removed. I will send back to Congress a redlined version, item by item, accompanied by the formal rescission request to Congress insisting that those funds be removed from the bill.”

But this is not a real stand against the legislation. It’s merely a symbolic move mixed with some nonsense (“redlining” doesn’t mean anything in this context, for example). Congress doesn’t have to do anything about Trump’s post-signature demands andwith him nearly out the dooris not expected to.

“This is a win for congressional leaders, especially Pelosi & Schumer,” commented former Politico reporter John Bresnahan. “Trump gets a vote Dems wanted anyway. Section 230 will remain intact. A ‘redlined’ document from Trump (that’s not even a real thing) or his rescissions mean nothing since he’s gone on Jan. 20.”

In his Sunday statement, Trump noted that the House of Representatives was scheduled to vote today on a measure to raise the $600 stimulus checks to $2,000 (a measure he initially rejected but recently has insisted on). He also claimed that Congress was continuing to take seriously his allegations of voter fraud (it is not) and said that Congress would eventually do his bidding on Section 230 (perhaps, but not as part of this legislation and only because both ruling parties want to destroy this speech-protective law anyway). The White House statement concluded:

Big Tech must not get protections of Section 230! Voter Fraud must be fixed! Much more money is coming. I will never give up my fight for the American people!

Despite the spin he’s trying to put on it, however, Trump’s deal making here was a dud. He’s getting none of what he asked for and signing the bill into law anyway, because he doesn’t have enough support to do otherwise.


FREE MINDS

Europeans are just as wacky as us. A new study suggests that “the overall level of conspiracy thinking in Europe is equal to or slightly lower than the United States, contradicting the notion that conspiracy theories is [sic] an especially American phenomenon.”

“Conspiracy Thinking in Europe and America: A Comparative Study,” published December 16 in the journal Political Studies, looks at conspiracy theory beliefs across nine countries and 11,523 respondents. Researchers also found that “people more inclined to conspiracy thinking position themselves towards the right of the political spectrum, engage in magical thinking, feel distrust towards public officials and reject the political system.”

In addition, they found that “the country context in which respondents reside has hardly any effect as predictor of levels of conspiracy thinking or as a moderator of individual-level determinants. Heterogeneity in conspiratorial thinking seems to be largely a function of individual traits.”


FREE MARKETS

“Drug paraphernalia” is now decriminalized in Washington, D.C. The Opioid Overdose Treatment and Prevention Omnibus Act of 2018 became law last week, removing criminal penalties for possessing accoutrements for drug use and allowing harm reduction groups to hand out supplies without fearing arrest.

“This legislation will 100% save lives,” Queen Adesuyi of the Drug Policy Alliance told ABC7, pointing out that shared or unsanitary supplies were especially dangerous during the COVID-19 pandemic.

What people often forget is that people use drugs in a whole bunch of different ways. I think in a time like now, where we’re dealing with a compounded public health crisis, with COVID-19 on top of the increasingly worsening overdose crisis in DC, it’s not a better time than now to finally get past stigma.

More here.


QUICK HITS

  • Immigrant detainees are reportedly asking to be deported to avoid catching COVID-19 inside immigrant detention facilities where the virus runs rampant.
  • “Los Angeles police and prosecutors can no longer blanket entire areas of the city with gang injunctions and must instead use them in a more targeted, deliberate way under the terms of a court settlement reached last month,” reports KTLA.
  • A Washington Post investigation finds that “over the past five years, the D.C. government has spent millions of dollars settling dozens of police misconduct lawsuits — settlements that, even as officers acknowledge no wrongdoing, document a trail of nonfatal encounters that went painfully wrong.”
  • “In a majority decision, the Constitutional Court of Romania has struck down a legislative amendment that effectively banned the subject of gender studies in university education as unconstitutional,” reports Jurist.

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/37TQ3hN
via IFTTT

Trump Gets None of His Demands in the Spending Bill but Signs It Into Law Anyway

polspphotos746368

No $2,000 checks or Section 230 repeal in the spending bill. Like so many of President Donald Trump’s policy tantrums, his opposition to the new government funding bill turned out to be nothing more than a pointless spectacle. After rightfully objecting to all the fluff packed into the latest omnibus spending and COVID-19 relief measures, wrongfully demanding that the legislation repeal Section 230, and promising to use his veto power, the president has now signed into law the original measure passed by Congress last week.

The COVID-19 measure includes expanded federal unemployment benefits and instructions to give $600 to every American under a certain income threshold. It was attached to a larger spending bill that funds the necessary functions of the governmentand much, much morethrough September 2021.

In a transparent attempt to save face, Trump stated Sunday that his signature on the spending package came with “a strong message that makes clear to Congress that wasteful items need to be removed. I will send back to Congress a redlined version, item by item, accompanied by the formal rescission request to Congress insisting that those funds be removed from the bill.”

But this is not a real stand against the legislation. It’s merely a symbolic move mixed with some nonsense (“redlining” doesn’t mean anything in this context, for example). Congress doesn’t have to do anything about Trump’s post-signature demands andwith him nearly out the dooris not expected to.

“This is a win for congressional leaders, especially Pelosi & Schumer,” commented former Politico reporter John Bresnahan. “Trump gets a vote Dems wanted anyway. Section 230 will remain intact. A ‘redlined’ document from Trump (that’s not even a real thing) or his rescissions mean nothing since he’s gone on Jan. 20.”

In his Sunday statement, Trump noted that the House of Representatives was scheduled to vote today on a measure to raise the $600 stimulus checks to $2,000 (a measure he initially rejected but recently has insisted on). He also claimed that Congress was continuing to take seriously his allegations of voter fraud (it is not) and said that Congress would eventually do his bidding on Section 230 (perhaps, but not as part of this legislation and only because both ruling parties want to destroy this speech-protective law anyway). The White House statement concluded:

Big Tech must not get protections of Section 230! Voter Fraud must be fixed! Much more money is coming. I will never give up my fight for the American people!

Despite the spin he’s trying to put on it, however, Trump’s deal making here was a dud. He’s getting none of what he asked for and signing the bill into law anyway, because he doesn’t have enough support to do otherwise.


FREE MINDS

Europeans are just as wacky as us. A new study suggests that “the overall level of conspiracy thinking in Europe is equal to or slightly lower than the United States, contradicting the notion that conspiracy theories is [sic] an especially American phenomenon.”

“Conspiracy Thinking in Europe and America: A Comparative Study,” published December 16 in the journal Political Studies, looks at conspiracy theory beliefs across nine countries and 11,523 respondents. Researchers also found that “people more inclined to conspiracy thinking position themselves towards the right of the political spectrum, engage in magical thinking, feel distrust towards public officials and reject the political system.”

In addition, they found that “the country context in which respondents reside has hardly any effect as predictor of levels of conspiracy thinking or as a moderator of individual-level determinants. Heterogeneity in conspiratorial thinking seems to be largely a function of individual traits.”


FREE MARKETS

“Drug paraphernalia” is now decriminalized in Washington, D.C. The Opioid Overdose Treatment and Prevention Omnibus Act of 2018 became law last week, removing criminal penalties for possessing accoutrements for drug use and allowing harm reduction groups to hand out supplies without fearing arrest.

“This legislation will 100% save lives,” Queen Adesuyi of the Drug Policy Alliance told ABC7, pointing out that shared or unsanitary supplies were especially dangerous during the COVID-19 pandemic.

What people often forget is that people use drugs in a whole bunch of different ways. I think in a time like now, where we’re dealing with a compounded public health crisis, with COVID-19 on top of the increasingly worsening overdose crisis in DC, it’s not a better time than now to finally get past stigma.

More here.


QUICK HITS

  • Immigrant detainees are reportedly asking to be deported to avoid catching COVID-19 inside immigrant detention facilities where the virus runs rampant.
  • “Los Angeles police and prosecutors can no longer blanket entire areas of the city with gang injunctions and must instead use them in a more targeted, deliberate way under the terms of a court settlement reached last month,” reports KTLA.
  • A Washington Post investigation finds that “over the past five years, the D.C. government has spent millions of dollars settling dozens of police misconduct lawsuits — settlements that, even as officers acknowledge no wrongdoing, document a trail of nonfatal encounters that went painfully wrong.”
  • “In a majority decision, the Constitutional Court of Romania has struck down a legislative amendment that effectively banned the subject of gender studies in university education as unconstitutional,” reports Jurist.

from Latest – Reason.com https://ift.tt/37TQ3hN
via IFTTT

Dave Barry’s Year in 2020 Review: Marpril

Every year, I look forward to reading Dave Barry’s Year in Review column. Indeed, I modeled my SCOTUS term in review after Barry’s style. This year, however, was bleak. The thought of reliving 2020 is not a pleasant one. Still, Barry managed to write a pitch-perfect piece. Read the entire column. But in particular, his summary of the month of MARPRIL (not a typo) is a perfect summation of the longest month ever:

And then, sprinkled in amid all the political coverage, we begin to see reports that this coronavirus thing might be worse than we have been led to believe, although at first the authorities still seem to be saying that it’s basically the flu and there is no reason to panic, but all of a sudden there seems to be no hand sanitizer for sale anywhere, which makes some sense although there is also no toilet paper, as if people are planning to be pooping for weeks on end (ha), and then we learn that Tom Hanks — Tom Hanks! — has the virus, and now they’re saying it’s a lot worse than the flu and we need to wash our hands and not touch our faces and maintain a social distance of six feet and use an abundance of caution to flatten the curve (whatever “the curve” is), but they’re also saying we don’t need face masks no scratch that now they’re saying we DO need face masks but nobody HAS any face masks but hey here’s a funny meme about toilet paper but ohmigod look at these statistical disease models WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE but Trump says maybe this hydroxysomething medicine will work no it won’t work yes it will work no it won’t and now they’re saying there won’t be enough ventilators or hospital beds or PPE and Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx are saying everybody has to shelter at home or else WE ARE ALL DEFINITELY GOING TO DIE hey here’s another funny toilet-paper meme but seriously what is PPE and is that different from PPP and where will we get the ventilators and there won’t be enough hospital beds and there is still no hand sanitizer and I keep touching my face and they just canceled the NBA can they even DO that wait now they canceled ALL the sports and closed all the schools the colleges the stores the restaurants the bars the theaters the hair salons the parks the Atlantic and Pacific oceans and now they’re saying we need to stay at home for HOW LONG what about the toilet paper I can’t stop touching my damn face are you seriously telling me all this is because somebody ate a freaking bat maybe Amazon has toilet paper ohmigod they’re sold out too WHAT IS THE DEAL WITH THE TOILET PAPER not another Zoom meeting I am so tired of shouting at people in little boxes maybe I should take a shower but what’s the point hey here’s a bunch more funny memes ohmigod look at the stock market the price of oil maybe I’ll just take a peek at my 401(k) oh NOOOOOOOO and WHAT ARE PEOPLE DOING WITH ALL THIS TOILET PAPER and how long do we have to keep being abundantly cautious what did Trump say about the ventilators and what did Dr. Birx and Dr. Fauci say about what Trump said about the ventilators and what did Trump say about what they said about what he said about the ventilators ventilators ventilators LOOK AT THESE MODELS WE ARE STILL GOING TO DIE but do we really want to go on living in a world where there’s no toilet paper and every single TV commercial sounds like “as we navigate these difficult times together, the National Association of Folding Chair Manufacturers wants you to know that we are committed to running these TV commercials with a somber narrator voice telling you how committed we are” and WHY WOULD SOMEBODY EAT A DAMN BAT these memes are getting old hey do you think that Carole Baskin woman actually fed her husband to a tiger maybe we should order pizza tonight wait I think we had pizza last night are you sure it’s Tuesday because it feels more like Thursday no please God not another freaking Zoom meeting stop already with the memes if the tiger ate her husband shouldn’t there be a skeleton somewhere are we flattening the curve yet Dr. Fauci Dr. Birx because we’re in a recession no wait maybe it’s a depression look at the unemployment numbers we are never going to recover from this if the virus doesn’t kill us we will starve to death we need more money from the government we need billions no we need trillions no we need MORE trillions where is this money coming from we have to open the economy up but if we do WE WILL ALL DIE hey I found some toilet paper oh no it’s one-ply which is basically the same as using your bare hand thank God I also found some hand sanitizer and speaking of good news Bernie Sanders is endorsing Joe Biden so apparently they’re both still alive if I see one more meme I am going to puke in my face mask I’m afraid to get on a scale my thighs are basically two armadillo-sized wads of pizza dough hey Dr. Birx Dr. Fauci when will we have a vaccine when will we have herd immunity when can we go outside when can we go back to work what is the “new normal” good lord what did Trump say about disinfectants DON’T INJECT CLOROX YOU IDIOTS what about the food chain what about reinfection what about the second wave hey they’re showing the NFL draft and Georgia is opening the tattoo parlors and holy crap now it’s …

This paragraph is a single sentence. Yet, it flows so naturally. And it perfectly captures the neverending sense of panic and dread we all experienced in March and April.

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Key Events This Holiday-Shortened, Quiet Week: Politics, PMIs, Claims

Key Events This Holiday-Shortened, Quiet Week: Politics, PMIs, Claims

The list of scheduled events in the final days of the year is relatively light, with just a few minor data releases and no Fedspeak scheduled. However, as Deutsche Bank notes, market participants will likely be focused on any incremental news from Washington, where in another last minute reversal, President Trump unexpectedly signed into law the covid stimulus package. The stimulus as currently tallied is about $900bn, with about $325bn in small business aid, an extension of federal unemployment benefit programs plus an additional $300 per week benefit, as well as $600 per person stimulus payments, just to name a few. Deutsche Bank has currently factored this $900bn stimulus package into its GDP forecast, which it sees rising 4.3% Q4/Q4 next year; in a note published overnight Goldman hiked its Q1 GDP forecast from 3.0% to 5.0% on the back of the fiscal deal.

On the data front, jobless claims on Thursday will be the highlight of the week, though ever-present issues seasonally adjusting the data around the holidays present some scope for potential volatility. Deutsche Bank expects initial claims (770k forecast vs. 803k previously) to improve some. However, the correlation between the change in claims and the growth in Covid cases across states remains high, suggesting that until fiscal stimulus actually begins to land in households’ pockets, the spread of the virus remains the primary determinant of any recovery in the labor market and will likely weigh on job gains in the December employment report.

The other releases on Wednesday are relatively minor and largely serve to sharpen forecasters’ estimates of current quarter GDP growth. Despite the dip in goods consumption in the November data, demand for goods remains elevated and should serve to drive the advanced goods trade balance (-$82bn vs -$80.3bn) slightly wider. Pending home sales (-0.5% vs -1.1%) are expected to continue to edge lower as the Covid-related surge in housing activity earlier in the year continues to fade. Finally, given the surge in Covid cases, the Chicago PMI (56.9 vs. 58.2) will likely dip further, mirroring the similar weakness seen in the consumer sentiment data.

Looking at just the US, Goldman writes that the key economic data releases this week are the Chicago PMI on Wednesday and jobless claims on Thursday. There are no scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week.

Monday, December 28

  • 10:30 AM Dallas Fed manufacturing index, December (consensus 10.2, last 12.0)

Tuesday, December 29

  • 09:00 AM S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index, October (GS +1.1%, consensus +1.00%, last +1.27%): We estimate the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index rose by 1.1% in October, following a 1.3% increase in September.

Wednesday, December 30

  • 08:30 AM Advance goods trade balance, November (GS -$81.0bn, consensus -$81.5bn, last -$80.3bn); We estimate that the goods trade deficit increased by $0.7bn to $81.0bn in November compared to the final October report, as imports and exports likely rose further.
  • 08:30 AM Wholesale inventories, November preliminary (consensus +0.7%, last +1.1%); Retail inventories, November (last +0.8%)
  • 09:45 AM Chicago PMI, December (GS 56.0, consensus 56.5, last 58.2); We estimate that the Chicago PMI declined by 2.2pt to 56.0 in December, reflecting a sharp rise in jobless claims in the region.
  • 10:00 AM Pending home sales, November (GS -3.5%, consensus +0.1%, last -1.1%); We estimate that pending home sales declined by 3.5% in November, reflecting a further deceleration in regional home sales data.

Thursday, December 31

  • SIFMA recommends an early 2:00 PM close to bond markets.
  • 08:30 AM Initial jobless claims, week ended December 26 (GS 810k, consensus 830k, last 803k); Continuing jobless claims, week ended December 19 (consensus last 5,337k): We estimate initial jobless claims increased to 810k in the week ended December 26.

Friday, January 1

  • New Year’s Day holiday. There are no major economic data releases scheduled. NYSE will be closed. SIFMA recommends bond markets also close.

Source: DB, Goldman

Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/28/2020 – 09:16

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3rzIjJO Tyler Durden

Dave Barry’s Year in 2020 Review: Marpril

Every year, I look forward to reading Dave Barry’s Year in Review column. Indeed, I modeled my SCOTUS term in review after Barry’s style. This year, however, was bleak. The thought of reliving 2020 is not a pleasant one. Still, Barry managed to write a pitch-perfect piece. Read the entire column. But in particular, his summary of the month of MARPRIL (not a typo) is a perfect summation of the longest month ever:

And then, sprinkled in amid all the political coverage, we begin to see reports that this coronavirus thing might be worse than we have been led to believe, although at first the authorities still seem to be saying that it’s basically the flu and there is no reason to panic, but all of a sudden there seems to be no hand sanitizer for sale anywhere, which makes some sense although there is also no toilet paper, as if people are planning to be pooping for weeks on end (ha), and then we learn that Tom Hanks — Tom Hanks! — has the virus, and now they’re saying it’s a lot worse than the flu and we need to wash our hands and not touch our faces and maintain a social distance of six feet and use an abundance of caution to flatten the curve (whatever “the curve” is), but they’re also saying we don’t need face masks no scratch that now they’re saying we DO need face masks but nobody HAS any face masks but hey here’s a funny meme about toilet paper but ohmigod look at these statistical disease models WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE but Trump says maybe this hydroxysomething medicine will work no it won’t work yes it will work no it won’t and now they’re saying there won’t be enough ventilators or hospital beds or PPE and Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx are saying everybody has to shelter at home or else WE ARE ALL DEFINITELY GOING TO DIE hey here’s another funny toilet-paper meme but seriously what is PPE and is that different from PPP and where will we get the ventilators and there won’t be enough hospital beds and there is still no hand sanitizer and I keep touching my face and they just canceled the NBA can they even DO that wait now they canceled ALL the sports and closed all the schools the colleges the stores the restaurants the bars the theaters the hair salons the parks the Atlantic and Pacific oceans and now they’re saying we need to stay at home for HOW LONG what about the toilet paper I can’t stop touching my damn face are you seriously telling me all this is because somebody ate a freaking bat maybe Amazon has toilet paper ohmigod they’re sold out too WHAT IS THE DEAL WITH THE TOILET PAPER not another Zoom meeting I am so tired of shouting at people in little boxes maybe I should take a shower but what’s the point hey here’s a bunch more funny memes ohmigod look at the stock market the price of oil maybe I’ll just take a peek at my 401(k) oh NOOOOOOOO and WHAT ARE PEOPLE DOING WITH ALL THIS TOILET PAPER and how long do we have to keep being abundantly cautious what did Trump say about the ventilators and what did Dr. Birx and Dr. Fauci say about what Trump said about the ventilators and what did Trump say about what they said about what he said about the ventilators ventilators ventilators LOOK AT THESE MODELS WE ARE STILL GOING TO DIE but do we really want to go on living in a world where there’s no toilet paper and every single TV commercial sounds like “as we navigate these difficult times together, the National Association of Folding Chair Manufacturers wants you to know that we are committed to running these TV commercials with a somber narrator voice telling you how committed we are” and WHY WOULD SOMEBODY EAT A DAMN BAT these memes are getting old hey do you think that Carole Baskin woman actually fed her husband to a tiger maybe we should order pizza tonight wait I think we had pizza last night are you sure it’s Tuesday because it feels more like Thursday no please God not another freaking Zoom meeting stop already with the memes if the tiger ate her husband shouldn’t there be a skeleton somewhere are we flattening the curve yet Dr. Fauci Dr. Birx because we’re in a recession no wait maybe it’s a depression look at the unemployment numbers we are never going to recover from this if the virus doesn’t kill us we will starve to death we need more money from the government we need billions no we need trillions no we need MORE trillions where is this money coming from we have to open the economy up but if we do WE WILL ALL DIE hey I found some toilet paper oh no it’s one-ply which is basically the same as using your bare hand thank God I also found some hand sanitizer and speaking of good news Bernie Sanders is endorsing Joe Biden so apparently they’re both still alive if I see one more meme I am going to puke in my face mask I’m afraid to get on a scale my thighs are basically two armadillo-sized wads of pizza dough hey Dr. Birx Dr. Fauci when will we have a vaccine when will we have herd immunity when can we go outside when can we go back to work what is the “new normal” good lord what did Trump say about disinfectants DON’T INJECT CLOROX YOU IDIOTS what about the food chain what about reinfection what about the second wave hey they’re showing the NFL draft and Georgia is opening the tattoo parlors and holy crap now it’s …

This paragraph is a single sentence. Yet, it flows so naturally. And it perfectly captures the neverending sense of panic and dread we all experienced in March and April.

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via IFTTT

COVID’s Lesson: Some Animals Are More Equal Than Others

COVID’s Lesson: Some Animals Are More Equal Than Others

Authored by Art Carden via The American Institute for Economic Research,

After they successfully take over Manor Farm, the animals in George Orwell’s Animal Farm spell out Seven Commandments of Animalism:

  1. Whatever goes upon two legs is an enemy.

  2. Whatever goes upon four legs, or has wings, is a friend.

  3. No animal shall wear clothes.

  4. No animal shall sleep in a bed.

  5. No animal shall drink alcohol.

  6. No animal shall kill any other animal.

  7. All animals are equal.

Over time, the pigs on Animal Farm pervert the commandments, carve out exceptions for themselves, and change the story.

“No animal shall drink alcohol,” for example, becomes “No animal shall drink alcohol to excess.” Eventually, the pigs scrap the whole charade and replace the Seven Commandments with one of twentieth century literature’s most memorable sentences:

“All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others.”

It’s evident in politicians’ “do as I say, not as I do” approach to the Covid-19 pandemic. You shouldn’t go to restaurants or get together with family to celebrate a holiday, but it’s okay to join a big group at one of the world’s elite restaurants if you’re California governor Gavin Newsom. In the Wall Street Journal shortly before Thanksgiving, Jason L. Riley pointed to some of the politicians who showed through their actions that they are more equal than the rest of us. Lockdown orders, social distancing, and travel restrictions? Those are only for peasants like you and me. They don’t bind aristocrats like Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, Washington Mayor Muriel Bowser, Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, and White House coronavirus response coordinator Deborah Birx, who joined a lot of family members in Delaware the day after Thanksgiving “to deal with the winterization of [a] property before a potential sale.”

Don’t get me wrong: I don’t begrudge anyone a haircut, a nice dinner out, or a weekend with family. I question the rank hypocrisy of getting a haircut, going out for a nice meal, and retreating with your family while threatening the rest of us with dire consequences should we do so.

Would they flout the rules if they really believed their rhetoric? Probably not. Do they really believe their alarmist rhetoric? At Cafe Hayek, Donald Boudreaux doesn’t think so.

Whether they really believe themselves or not, I think their attitude about rules and to whom they apply is what really matters here. The aristocrats really, honestly, genuinely think they are our betters. They see themselves as our keepers the way one might keep animals on a farm or at a zoo.

They pay lip service to lofty ideas like liberty, responsibility, and equality but they genuinely believe that they are more equal than the rest of us. Their great-souledness and high social position shield them, for example, from the presumption that lying is wrong (Scott Sumner explores this here).

Do the aristocrats want the hoi polloi to heed their dire warnings? They should lead by example. Politicians, rule thyselves. If you can’t or won’t, at least acknowledge your guiding principle, which seems to be that some animals are more equal than others.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 12/28/2020 – 09:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3nV9bSc Tyler Durden