NatGas Prices At 14-Year High As Traders Warn Of Winter Tightness

NatGas Prices At 14-Year High As Traders Warn Of Winter Tightness

The explanation for US natural gas prices at 14-yeah highs, in our view, are concerns that increasing domestic and European demand for the fuel will result in tighter US supplies ahead of the winter season. A lot of NatGas has been pumped to power plants this summer as cooling demand surged, sending stockpiles for the coldest months of the year below 10% of normal levels.  

Traders and research desks also focus on reopening Freeport LNG Terminal in Quintana, Texas, in October, which would boost US Gulf exports to Europe and result in even tighter US supplies. 

On Thursday morning, New York NatGas futures are up more than 2% to $9.30/mmbtu after the EIA reported a smaller-than-expected injection to domestic winter reserves. Prices are steadily approaching $10/mmbtu and are currently at the highest price since 2008. 

“Natural gas supply & demand dynamics have continued to pull the market higher,” Houston-based energy firm Criterion Research wrote in a note

“Natural gas production has had a few individual days with impressive prints near record-highs, but it has been unable to sustain those numbers amid a myriad of pipeline maintenance events and outages across the country. Concurrently, low renewables (ie wind) have contributed to very strong natural gas burns within the United States. Weak coal storage inventories and an overall lack of coal power are compounding with the lackluster wind as well, leading to impressive gas burns throughout the last few months. 

“Looking ahead, Freeport LNG is expected to roar back online in October, adding another 2 Bcf/d to the mix and keeping balances tight for the winter season,” the energy firm said. 

BloombergNEF data shows domestic NatGas output has fallen 1 billion cubic feet a day since the peak at 98.7 billion cubic feet in the week ended Aug. 6. The declines are problematic because this is the time domestic winter reserves are injected with NatGas to prepare for the US heating season just ten weeks away. 

Gary Cunningham, a director at Tradition Energy, told Bloomberg that faltering production at wells is bidding up prices: 

“You’re just sort of feeding gasoline into the fire, which drives the bulls,” Cunningham said. 

Tight supplies in the US come as Europe wrestles with a historic energy crisis due to backfiring Western sanctions on Russia. 

So the question now is if the move over $9/mmbtu is sustainable, and if so, a break over the $10 handle could suggest another leg higher, as explained by analysts at EBW AnalyticsGroup. 

Tyler Durden
Thu, 08/18/2022 – 13:20

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A Florida Appeals Court Denied a Parentless Minor a Waiver of Parental Consent for an Abortion


Image of a judge banging a gavel next to screenshots from a legal ruling

On Monday, a Florida appeals court upheld a lower court’s decision to deny a 16-year-old girl a waiver that she sought in order to obtain a legal abortion at 10 weeks of pregnancy without the consent of her parents or legal guardian. Florida’s First District Court of Appeal upheld the lower court’s ruling because the teenager “had not established by clear and convincing evidence that she was sufficiently mature to decide whether to terminate her pregnancy.” 

While it is unknown whether Jane Doe has since received an abortion, a partially dissenting opinion authored by Judge Scott Makar makes clear that Doe did, in fact, display a remarkable degree of maturity in making her case to the lower court and that the lower court’s decision to block her access to abortion care was an act of paternalism, not compliance with state law.

Jane Doe sought permission to receive an abortion during a nonadversarial hearing in the chambers of Judge Jennifer J. Frydrychowicz of Escambia County. Doe was accompanied by her case worker and a guardian ad litem child advocate manager. (She was entitled to a free lawyer but did not request one.) Doe sought Frydrychowicz’s permission to get an abortion because she “‘is not ready to have a baby,’ she doesn’t have a job, she is ‘still in school,’ and the father is unable to assist her,” Makar wrote. “Second, the minor states that her ‘guardian is fine with what [she] wants to do,’ which would be a sufficient basis for a waiver of notice if other statutory requisites are met.”

While the second reason presents a procedural issue—Jane Doe would not have needed a waiver of consent from a judge if her supposedly supportive legal guardian had simply consented in writing to her getting an abortion—Makar’s reading of the transcript makes clear that Frydrychowicz blocked Doe’s attempt to get an abortion not because of a procedural issue but because Frydrychowicz wanted to protect her from making a decision she might regret. 

Yet, Makar’s references to the hearing transcript make clear that Doe had fully thought through her decision: 

Based on the hearing transcript and her written order, the trial judge apparently sees this matter as a very close call, finding that the minor was “credible,” “open” with the judge, and nonevasive. Indeed, the minor “showed, at times, that she is stable and mature enough to make this decision.” The transcript demonstrates that the minor was knowledgeable about the relevant considerations in terminating her pregnancy along with other statutory factors. She had done Google searches and reviewed a pamphlet (that she and a family member got from their visit to a medical clinic) to gain an understanding about her medical options and their consequences. Cf. In re Doe, 204 So. 3d 175, 177 (Fla. 1st DCA 2016) (Makar, J., concurring) (affirming denial of judicial waiver where the “minor did not know what the medical procedure involved”). The trial court noted that the minor “acknowledges she is not ready for the emotional, physical, or financial responsibility of raising a child” and “has valid concerns about her ability to raise a child.”

The trial judge denied the petition but explicitly left open the availability of further proceedings by saying that the “Court finds [the minor] may be able, at a later date, to adequately articulate her request, and the Court may re-evaluate its decision at that time.” (Emphasis added). The emphasized language indicates the trial judge must have been contemplating that the minor—who was ten weeks pregnant at the time—would potentially be returning before long—given the statutory time constraints at play—to shore up any lingering doubt the trial court harbored.

Throughout his opinion, Makar revisits the lower court’s claim that Doe was not mature enough to choose an abortion for herself. He cites, for example, that she was open to being a parent, just not while she had no job, no high school degree, and no partner to help her:

In this regard, the key if not sole factor for “re-evaluation” would apparently be the trial judge’s initial concern that the minor’s “evaluation of the benefits and consequences of her decision is wanting.” The detailed written order points out that the minor has evaluated the pros/cons in making her decision and the transcript reflects a similar mental process. Reading between the lines, it appears that the trial court wanted to give the minor, who was under extra stress due to a friend’s death, additional time to express a keener understanding of the consequences of terminating a pregnancy. This makes some sense given that the minor, at least at one point, says she was open to having a child, but later changed her view after considering her inability to care for a child in her current station in life.

The fact that Doe “was open to having a child” but upon considering her resources, decided that she does not want to have a child right now, comes across to the lower court judge as immature ambivalence; yet no one would question the maturity of a 20-year-old or 30-year-old who sought an abortion for these same reasons. (The 1996 Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Act, passed by a Republican-led Congress and signed by Democratic President Bill Clinton, essentially sought to encourage poor women to do exactly this kind of cost-benefit analysis by capping the amount of welfare they could receive for their children.)

It is also not clear why the recent death of Doe’s friend should matter in determining her mental readiness, given that Doe has already demonstrated she is aware of the massive responsibility childrearing entails, the details of the procedure she would be receiving, and the “consequences” of obtaining an abortion.

While Makar affirmed Frydrychowicz’s ruling, he dissented from his colleagues on whether to remand the case back to the lower court. 

“The legislature has provided a specific tool for an appellate court to remand these types of cases to achieve clarity and completeness where it may be lacking,” Makar wrote. “Given the trial court’s entreaty to the minor that it may ‘re-evaluate its decision’ under the circumstances, as well as the unaddressed guardian consent issue, I would remand for the three-day statutory period to clarify such matters, and dissent on that basis.”

The post A Florida Appeals Court Denied a Parentless Minor a Waiver of Parental Consent for an Abortion appeared first on Reason.com.

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Saudi Woman Given 34 Years In Prison For Tweets

Saudi Woman Given 34 Years In Prison For Tweets

Authored by Brett Wilkins via Common Dreams,

Human rights defenders this week accused US President Joe Biden of empowering Saudi oppression after an activist was sentenced to 34 years in prison for tweeting about the fundamentalist monarchy’s repression of women.

Salma al-Shehab, a 34-year-old Saudi mother of two and graduate student at the University of Leeds in England, was on holiday in Saudi Arabia in January 2021 when she was arrested, tried, and sentenced to six years behind bars for social media posts expressing support for activist Loujain al-Hathloul, who was imprisoned at the time for advocating for women’s right to drive and an end to the kingdom’s male guardianship system.

US President Joe Biden greets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman with a fist-bump at the Al Salam Royal Palace in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia on July 15, 2022. Photo: Saudi Press Agency

Last week, Saudi Arabia’s Specialized Criminal Court of Appeal increased al-Shehab’s sentence to 34 years, plus a 34-year travel ban. According to the Freedom Initiative, a Washington, D.C.-based group advocating for wrongfully imprisoned people in the Middle East and North Africa, al-Shehab’s is the longest-ever prison sentence for a women’s rights activist in Saudi history.

“Saudi Arabia has boasted to the world that they are improving women’s rights and creating legal reform, but there is no question with this abhorrent sentence that the situation is only getting worse,” Bethany Al-Haidari, the Saudi case manager at the Freedom Initiative, said in a statement.

“It is unfortunately no surprise that MBS feels more empowered than ever in presiding over such egregious rights violations,” she continued, referring to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

Despite vowing to make Saudi Arabia a “pariah” for its human rights abuses including the gruesome murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, Biden met bin Salman in Jeddah last month, where they exchanged a now-infamous fist bump. Weeks later, the Biden administration approved the sale of more than $3 billion worth of Raytheon missiles to Saudi Arabia.

“Without any real steps toward accountability, Biden’s trip to Jeddah and the international community’s embrace must feel like a green light,” Al-Haidari added. “The Saudi authorities must release Salma and ensure that her young boys do not grow up without a mother simply because she called for freedom for human rights activists.”

Salma al-Shehab

Lina al-Hathloul, head of monitoring and communications at the Saudi- and London-based human rights group ALQST and sister of Loujain, said that “Saudi activists warned Western leaders that giving legitimacy to the crown prince would pave the way for more abuses, which is unfortunately what we are witnessing now.”

She added that al-Shehab’s “appalling sentence makes a mockery of the Saudi authorities’ claims of reform for women and of the legal system, and shows they remain hell-bent on harshly punishing anyone who expresses their opinions freely.” Loujain al-Hathloul was released from prison weeks after al-Shehab’s arrest, although she remains confined to Saudi Arabia due to a travel ban.

“It is ironic that while Loujain’s release was celebrated, Salma remained behind bars on the ground that she called for that very release,” said Al-Haidari. “It’s a pattern for Saudi authorities to ensure that women activists can’t celebrate or take credit for any of their hard-won victories.”

While some supporters have touted reforms under bin Salman’s de facto rule—women can now drive, get their own passports, travel abroad, and live independently without the permission of a male guardian, to name but a few developments—critics note that the kingdom remains one of the world’s most repressed societies, especially for women and religious minorities.

Al-Shehab is Shia Muslim, a group that has long faced severe discrimination in the Sunni-majority kingdom. Israa al-Ghomgham, a Saudi Shia, faced execution by beheading for nonviolent activism, although she was ultimately sentenced to eight years imprisonment last year.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 08/18/2022 – 13:00

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Mind Medicine Soars On Speculation It Could Be The Next Bed Bath & Beyond

Mind Medicine Soars On Speculation It Could Be The Next Bed Bath & Beyond

With Bed Bath & Beyond stock tumbling on fears that Ryan Cohen is about to dump his entire 9.5 million share-equivalent stake in the troubled retailer, but not before executing the best gamma pump-and-dump in history, the Reddit ape army appears to have already moved on to its next target: a far smaller pharma microcap which is soaring on massive trading volumes this morning, as a flood of retail investors bet that it just may be the next BBBY-type multi-bagger.

The stock, as we first hinted last night and again very early this morning on our Twitter feed to premium subscribers, is microcap psychedelic pharma company Mind Medicine (MindMed or ticker MNMD) which nearly doubled at one point in early trading, after it was named by 20-year-old “whiz kid investor” Jake Freeman – who as we reported last night made more than $110 million buying Bed Bath and Beyond three weeks ago and cashing out on Aug 16 – as not only his other major holding, but a company where he just went activist last Thursday.

While we know that the 20-year-old USC college student Jake Freeman (who let’s face it, was really just a front for his uncle Dr Scott Freeman especially with the very strong hint that to “realign” BBBY debt, the company should leverage Bed Bath options, i.e., execute a gamma squeeze) already took profits on his 6.2%, $27 million stake in BBBY after the stock soared 5x in three weeks, the tension as we put it, is “where Freeman Capital Management would make its next 5x return in under a month next” and Easter-egged that “actually we know how, and we will reveal it tomorrow.”

The answer was hidden in plain sight in the hyperlink above, which tagged an activist letter to the Kevin O’Leary backed psychedelic pharma company Mind Med (ticker MNMD) sent on Aug 11 by FCM MM Holdings, LLC (the latest incarnation of the same Freeman Capital that made over $110 million Bed bath and Beyond) in which Jake Freeman and his uncle Dr Scott Freeman, the alleged architect behind the BBBY trade activist campaign but more importantly the co-founder and former Chief Medical Officer of MindMed which is the new activist target, reveal they recently amassed a stake in the company amounting to 5.6% of the outstanding stock, or roughly 20 million shares, and one which has yet to be reflected in the Bloomberg HDS page, which would make the activist hedge fund the 2nd largest holder in MNMD (worth mentioning, just like in Bed Bath and Beyond, Citadel just added aggressively to its position in MNMD, becoming the 8th biggest shareholder in the company, and potentially waiting for much more fireworks).

In the letter, the two alongside Orbiter Research executive Chad Boulanger, write that having seen the value of their 5.6% stake in the company “plummet as the stock has fallen from its highs of around $5.77 to $0.70 per share” they are writing to present a plan to turn the Company around.

Expanding on the “value enhancement plan” (laid out in detail in Exhibit A to the letter below), they claim that the Company can “create significant value for shareholders by focusing on the development [of key drugs] and reducing the company’s cash burn” and lay out all the steps the company should be taking to improve its performance and “benefit all shareholders.” See Exhibit A in the letter below for more details.

In short, Dr. Freeman hopes to “work hand-in-hand” with the Board of MindMed – which he co-founded – to unlock the Company’s full potential value, thanks to his intimate knowledge of how to turn around the company which he co-founded as he lays out in Exhibit B.

Maybe Dr. Freeman can turn the company around. Maybe he won’t. But what people are really asking is whether the heavily shorted stock…

… whose call options today have exploded in volume…

can pull off a similar short and/or gamma squeeze to that in BBBY.

Considering the modest float, the fact that with barely any newsflow a third of the float has already changed hands this morning,  the potential for a painful short squeeze, and the stated intention to push with their activist campaign until the stock price returns to at least the stated $5-handle, we would not be surprised if Scott Freeman, pardon Jake Freeman, can pull it off again… especially if the Wall Street Bets shifts its attention away from BBBY.

The full letter is below (link)

Tyler Durden
Thu, 08/18/2022 – 12:33

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‘A Clear And Powerful Public Interest’: Judge Urged To Unseal FBI Mar-A-Lago Raid Affidavit

‘A Clear And Powerful Public Interest’: Judge Urged To Unseal FBI Mar-A-Lago Raid Affidavit

Several media organizations have urged a Florida judge to release most of an FBI affidavit which was used to justify the DOJ’s search warrant for last week’s raid on former President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence.

A Palm Beach Police officer at the entrance of former US President Donald Trump’s house at Mar-A-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, on Aug. 9.Photographer: Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg

According to a filing by the group, which includes the New York Times, AP and CNN, the public has a “clear and powerful interest” in what led to the unprecedented action by the DOJ against the sitting president’s top political opponent.

While the group says that the document should be released “with only those redactions that are necessary to protect a compelling interest articulated by the government,” the Justice Department says that such a redacted version of the affidavit would leave the document so devoid of content that it wouldn’t provide any insight.

The government has given “little explanation as to how release would harm the ongoing investigation” even though many details of the probe are already public, the group said in the filing in federal court in West Palm Beach, where US District Judge Bruce Reinhart will hold a hearing on the matter Thursday.

The affidavit provides the basis on which the judge authorized the search of Trump’s estate. The dispute over its release is the latest fallout from the Aug. 8 search, which culminated in FBI agents carting away 11 sets of classified documents in about 20 boxes. Threats against the FBI — and the judge — have jumped since then. –Bloomberg

“The secrecy surrounding the search warrant, and the affidavit that led to its issuance, has caused the nation to convulse with intrigue and harmful speculation that will only increase the longer the truth is kept from the public,” said Judicial Watch in a statement. “The heat must be replaced with light, and soon.”

Trump has also called for the document to be publicly released, though he hasn’t filed anything in court to back that up.

The request comes as Newsweek reports that the FBI raid was specifically intended to recover Trump’s personal “stash” of hidden documents – which reportedly deal with a “variety of intelligence matters of interest to the former president, the officials suggest—including material that Trump apparently thought would exonerate him of any claims of Russian collusion in 2016 or any other election-related charges.”

When Trump left the White House in January 2021, many of the normal processes of transition were not followed, especially because the president would not admit that he had lost the election or that he would be leaving office. As a result, we now know, some 42 boxes of documents were shipped to Mar-a-Lago by mistake: officials papers under U.S. law, which the National Archives is supposed to take custody of and catalog.

Over the past 18 months, the Trump camp and the Archives were engaged in a back-and-forth which resulted in the return of 15 boxes (and some additional documents). As late as June 3, when officials from the FBI and Justice visited Mar-a-Lago to serve a Grand Jury subpoena for specific documents, these negotiations were largely cordial. -Newsweek

Meanwhile, as Jack Phillips of the Epoch Times notes, a lawyer representing Trump, and a former FBI official, both expressed doubts that the affidavit used to seek an FBI search warrant for last week’s Mar-a-Lago raid will be unsealed by a judge on Thursday.

I don’t think anybody wants to unseal this thing inside the government,” Chris Swecker, a former assistant director of the FBI, told Fox News on Wednesday, adding that he doubts “very seriously you’re going to see this unsealed tomorrow.”

The former official was making reference to a hearing that was scheduled by U.S. Magistrate Judge Bruce Reinhart for Thursday about whether the affidavit should be unsealed. The Department of Justice on Monday filed court papers arguing that it should not because releasing it to the public will damage their investigation.

But former Trump and other Republicans argue it should be released because it would show why the FBI took the unprecedented and extraordinary step of raiding the home of a former president and possible 2024 candidate.

Revealing the affidavit, they argue, would provide more insight into what the Department of Justice is trying to investigate and lay out reasons for why the raid was carried out. On Aug. 12, Reinhart issued an order to unseal the FBI search warrant and property receipt.

Lawyer’s Response

A lawyer for Trump, Alina Habba, echoed Swecker’s assertion that it appears unlikely the judge will unseal the affidavit on Thursday during a recent Fox News interview.

“Judge Reinhart is the same magistrate judge that recused himself from my Hillary [Clinton] case about a month ago. He is definitely not going to be a friendly judge necessarily. I would say it was highly unlikely,” Habba said, noting that the “DOJ is already saying that they do not want us to see what was in the affidavit.”

“Usually, that’s to protect witnesses and other things that have been cooperating with the justice system. So while I would love to see it and understand why you would ask for a raid with a cooperating president, do I believe that this judge is going to reveal it? No, I do not,” she said.

The Justice Department and the FBI have remained mostly silent regarding the raid, with Attorney General Merrick Garland issuing a statement during a news conference on Aug. 11. Garland said he personally authorized the warrant for the FBI raid but provided little to no insight about why it was carried out or what was taken from Trump’s home.

In statements posted on Truth Social, Trump wrote that FBI agents took three of his passports and demanded their return. A spokesperson for the former president confirmed on social media this week that the travel documents were handed back.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 08/18/2022 – 12:20

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Russia Deploys MiG Fighters Armed With Hypersonic Missiles To Kaliningrad

Russia Deploys MiG Fighters Armed With Hypersonic Missiles To Kaliningrad

Russia’s defense ministry announced Thursday that it has deployed fighter planes equipped with cutting edge hypersonic missiles to its Baltic region exclave of Kaliningrad, which a statement said will provide “additional measures of strategic deterrence.” 

The statement detailed that three MiG-31 fighters armed with Kinzhal hypersonic missiles have landed at the Chkalovsk air base in Kaliningrad Oblast. The defense ministry emphasized that the warplanes will be put on “round-the-clock alert” – at a moment tensions with Ukraine’s powerful Western backers like the United States continue to soar.

File image via Russian MoD

On a few alleged occasions over the last six months of war in Ukraine, Russia has been accused of launching hypersonic missiles on Ukrainian targets; however, the Pentagon has downplayed that it’s not a gamechanger.

But such an intentionally publicized move as placing hypersonic missile armed MiG fighters on “alert” at Russia’s Baltic outpost is an escalatory move aimed at NATO and Ukraine’s Western backers which have been ramping up longer-range missile and weapons shipments to Kiev. Kaliningrad borders NATO members Poland and Lithuania, both of which will see this move as a severe threat to their national security.

The Associated Press is reporting that Finland is alarmed its airspace may have been violated by the MiGs as they were en route to the Kaliningrad base:

A video released by the Defense Ministry showed the fighters arriving at the base but not carrying the missiles, which were apparently delivered separately.

Finland’s Defense Ministry said Thursday that two Russian MIG-31 fighter jets were suspected of having violating Finnish airspace in the Gulf of Finland off the southern town of Porvoo, west of Helsinki. The Nordic country’s Border Guard started a preliminary investigation into the incident.

The Russian MoD and state media released video of the MiG fighters arriving in Kaliningrad. Ukraine government-linked officials have also highlighted the transfer with alarm…

As for Finland, Germany earlier in the week said that the military alliance will seek to fast-track its membership in NATO after its controversial application alongside Sweden. This after prior Kremlin warnings that doing so could unleash a nuclear arms build-up and standoff in the Baltics.

Moscow had already bolstered its forces in Kaliningrad with precision-guided, nuclear-capable Iskander missiles and other advanced systems, and for years there have already been concerns in Europe and the West that it could build-up nuclear weapons there – at installations a mere 50 miles from Poland.

However, Russia claims it is exercising “nuclear responsibility” and that it must take steps to ‘deter’ threats from the West amid the Ukraine conflict:

“The events in Ukraine demonstrated that a clash with the collective West is a real possibility,” Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Ivan Nechayev said Thursday while emphasizing that a “direct confrontation with the U.S. and NATO isn’t in our interests.”

Speaking at a briefing, Nechayev said: “Russia as a nuclear power will continue to act with maximum responsibility” and “the Russian military doctrine envisages a nuclear response only in retaliation to an aggression involving weapons of mass destruction or in a situation when the very existence of the state comes under threat.”

But he stressed that apart from the nuclear question, Russia’s military possesses enough conventional weapons “allow it to fully implement the goals set by the Russian president” – in reference to the “special operation” in Ukraine ordered by Putin.

“We proceed from the assumption that the U.S. and NATO are aware where their aggressive anti-Russian rhetoric with an emphasis on a possible use of nuclear weapons can lead to,” Nechayev said.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 08/18/2022 – 11:40

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Tulsi Gabbard: Washington Elite Pose “Greatest Threat” To Democracy

Tulsi Gabbard: Washington Elite Pose “Greatest Threat” To Democracy

Former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) says that the greatest threat to democracy isn’t Trump voters, or parents protesting at school board meetings – “but the permanent Washington elite which has weaponized the govt and teamed up with corporate media to intimidate and silence those who dare to disagree with them.”

“When you look at permanent Washington, you look at all the different hands that are involved,” Gabbard said during a Wednesday appearance on Fox News. “And as we’re seeing this whole situation play out over the last couple of weeks, we see very prominently placed is the national security state and the mainstream media. And you’ve outlined some of these changing narratives and new information when they see the old piece of information wasn’t quite having the impact that they wanted.”

It’s hard not to be skeptical when you look at their tactics and their timing to really question what their motives are. To leverage their power and their influence. To have an impact on these midterm elections that voters will be going to vote at in just a few weeks. And to do what they have already stated publicly is their objective, which is to prevent Donald Trump from running for president in 2024. This is not something new,” she continued.

Watch:

Tyler Durden
Thu, 08/18/2022 – 11:20

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Can University-Run Social Media Accounts Block You?

The question of whether then-President Donald Trump could block people on Twitter focused a lot more attention on a curious little world of how politicians behave on social media. In our brave new world, government officials have social media accounts, as do governmental entities. Government officials and governmental entities are bound by the First Amendment. Blocking people on Twitter mostly raises questions about social media etiquette, but courts are increasingly being asked whether it also raises questions about constitutional law.

The Knight First Amendment Institute sued Donald Trump for blocking people on Twitter, arguing that the reply thread to his @RealDonaldTrump account had become a designated public forum and posting in that virtual space was protected by the First Amendment. Eventually they won in the Second Circuit. Other courts have similarly found that when government officials use social media accounts as a tool of office, they are constitutionally limited in how they exclude people from that virtual space (though not if they keep their public business out of their private social media account).

Since state universities are also governmental actors, and state universities maintain social media accounts, it was only a matter of time before these questions intersected with campus speech disputes.

Bruce Gilley is a political science professor at Portland State University. In the past few years he has become a fairly controversial figure, initially as a result of publishing a scholarly article making the case for colonialism.

He has now filed suit against the communications manager of the University of Oregon Division of Equity and Inclusion for blocking him on Twitter. The Division of Equity and Inclusion is a center on the University of Oregon campus, and it has an official Twitter account.

In his complaint, brought by the Institute for Free Speech, Gilley alleges:

Oregon’s flagship state university has a Division of Equity and Inclusion (“Division”), whose communication manager, Tova Stabin, posts content on the topics of diversity, equity, and inclusion on the social media platform Twitter, using the Division’s official account. She recently posted a “Racism Interrupter” prompt, which was open to comments by other Twitter users. But when Bruce Gilley posted “all men are created equal,” Tova Stabin blocked him from the Equity Division’s Twitter account, because he promotes a colorblind viewpoint with which she, and her employer, disagree. Stabin’s blocking constitutes impermissible viewpoint discrimination, and it violates the First Amendment.

Moreover,

On July 5, 2022, after Bruce Gilley filed a public records request for the policy utilized by VPEI to block Twitter users, the University of Oregon informed him that there was no written policy and that the “staff member that administers the VPEI Twitter account and social media has the autonomy to manage the accounts and uses professional judgment when deciding to block users.”

And thus,

In both cases, the University of Oregon has created the @UOEquity Twitter account to engage with the public and to solicit feedback. Its purpose is to interact with the public and to foster exchange. That is a public forum. Defendant Stabin was and is a state actor acting in the course and scope of her employment when she blocked, and continues to block, Bruce Gilley from the @UOEquity account. Defendant Stabin acted in a viewpoint discriminatory manner when she blocked Bruce Gilley from the @UOEquity Twitter account.

Defendant Stabin has a pattern and practice of blocking Twitter users from the @UOEquity Twitter account who express viewpoints she disagrees with, including viewpoints that are critical of the ideology of diversity, equity, and inclusion or the Division. Defendant Stabin, by blocking Gilley, also failed to implement a narrowly tailored content-neutral time, place, and manner restriction.

Should be interesting.

 

The post Can University-Run Social Media Accounts Block You? appeared first on Reason.com.

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Media Intervenors’ Argument Supporting Unsealing Mar-A-Lago Search Warrant Affidavit

Monday, I blogged the government’s argument against unsealing the affidavit, and said I’d blog the reply to it when it was filed; here is the bulk of the principal reply:

The government and the Media Intervenors agree that the public has a “clear and powerful interest” in understanding the unprecedented investigation into former President Donald J. Trump’s handling of classified records. They also agree that the common-law right of access applies to the search warrant materials currently under seal. They further agree that the law required release of the search warrant and property receipt, which the Court has now done, and that the cover sheets for the search warrant application, the government’s motion to seal, and the Court’s sealing order should be unsealed immediately as well, all with only minor redactions. And they agree that the government may be able to make a sufficient showing of a compelling interest authorizing it to maintain under seal some details of the investigation while it remains ongoing.

The government, however, has taken the position that the affidavit of probable cause must remain under seal in its entirety, despite the presumption of access, with little explanation as to how release would harm the ongoing investigation, and even though many details of the investigation are already public. In the government’s view, the necessary redactions “would be so extensive as to render the document devoid of content that would meaningfully enhance the public’s understanding of these events.” This runs counter to the presumption of public access, which requires the disclosure of as much information as possible. The affidavit of probable cause should be released to the public, with only those redactions that are necessary to protect a compelling interest articulated by the government.

THE PUBLIC’S “CLEAR AND POWERFUL INTEREST” IN THE SEARCH WARRANT RECORDS EXTENDS TO THE AFFIDAVIT OF PROBABLE CAUSE.

As Attorney General Merrick Garland aptly wrote when he was Chief Judge of the D.C. Circuit:

The common-law right of public access to judicial records is a fundamental element of the rule of law, important to maintaining the integrity and legitimacy of an independent Judicial Branch. At bottom, it reflects the antipathy of a democratic country to the notion of ‘secret law,’ inaccessible to those who are governed by that law.”

Leopold v. United States (D.C. Cir. 2020) (citation omitted); see also MetLife, Inc. v. Fin. Stability Oversight Council (D.C. Cir. 2017) (Garland, J.) (right of access “serves to produce an informed and enlightened public opinion,” to “safeguard against any attempt to employ our courts as instruments of persecution, to promote the search for truth, and to assure confidence in judicial remedies” (internal marks omitted)).

Separately, as the government notes, there is a First Amendment right of access to certain criminal proceedings. While the Eleventh Circuit has not considered whether the First Amendment right of access attaches to search warrant materials, the Eighth Circuit has recognized a First Amendment right, as has at least one court within this District. Although some courts have reached different conclusions, the Eighth Circuit’s view is more consistent with Supreme Court precedent.

Consistent with the presumption of access, the Department of Justice, under the Attorney General’s leadership, has joined the Media Intervenors in recognizing that the public has a “clear and powerful interest in understanding what occurred in” the search of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence, which “weighs heavily in favor of unsealing.” In recognition of that public interest, this Court acted promptly and diligently to ensure public access to redacted versions of the search warrant and property receipt.

That same public interest extends to the affidavit of probable cause in this matter, which outlines the government’s basis for the extraordinary step of seeking the warrant to search a former President’s home. See In re Four Search Warrants (N.D. Ga. 1996) (recognizing “the public’s right to understand the legal process, the preservation of the integrity of the fact-finding process, and the furtherance of the appearance of fairness” as interests favoring unsealing of search warrants). The unsealed search warrant and property receipt revealed that Trump is under investigation for potentially violating the Espionage Act, mishandling top secret documents, and obstruction of justice. In these circumstances, it is not merely a recitation of hornbook law to say that the public has a right to learn as much as possible, and as soon as possible, about this “historically significant event,” including the details of the investigation. Newman v. Graddick (11th Cir. 1983); see also Globe Newspaper Co. v. Super. Ct. (1982) (right of access “ensure[s] that th[e] constitutionally protected discussion of governmental affairs is an informed one” (internal marks omitted)). Notably, the former President has made no objection to the release of any warrant materials, and in fact has … call[ed] for “the immediate release of the completely Unredacted Affidavit” on social media.

The government has told the Court, in arguing to keep the affidavit under seal, that if it were to release the document, certain unspecified redactions would be “necessary to mitigate harms to the integrity of the investigation.” While the government characterizes those necessary redactions as “extensive” in making this argument, it admits that some portions of the document, if released, would not harm the investigation. Yet the government thus far appears to have made no effort to identify the particular portions of the affidavit that it believes pose a risk and explain the basis for that belief, instead asserting that the Court is already “familiar with the highly sensitive contents of the affidavit and the specific harms that would result from its unsealing.” To overcome the presumption of access, this Court must make findings of fact on the record supporting closure. See, e.g., Press-Enterprise Co. (“The interest is to be articulated along with findings specific enough that a reviewing court can determine whether the closure order was properly entered.”). The government has offered the Court little assistance in this regard, given the high level of abstraction in its response.

Any proposed redactions must be narrow, the government must explain to the Court why each redaction is necessary “to mitigate harms to the integrity of the investigation,” and only those redactions determined to meet a compelling need articulated by the government after the Court conducts an in camera review can be justified. The Media Intervenors request the opportunity to be further heard by the Court should they wish to challenge any redactions in the affidavit as publicly filed.

[I.] THERE IS NO COMPELLING INTEREST IN CONTINUED SEALING OF INFORMATION ALREADY PUBLICLY DISCLOSED.

As the government also recognized in its Motion to Unseal Limited Warrant Materials, the interest in maintaining secrecy is greatly diminished once the information contained in a judicial record has already been disclosed to the public through other sources. The government rightfully noted that the law required unsealing the warrant and property receipt because “the occurrence of the search and indications of the subject matter involved [were] already public.”

Indeed, the press has already widely reported significant details about the events leading up to the search and the investigation, including that:

  • Some of the materials sought in the Mar-a-Lago search related to nuclear weapons and/or “special access programs”;
  • The National Archives referred the matter to the Justice Department after it retrieved 15 boxes of materials from Mar-a-Lago in January7;
  • Some of the materials recovered by the National Archives were classified, including signals intelligence;
  • Some of the recovered materials were torn up and needed to be taped back together;
  • The Department of Justice launched an investigation and convened a grand jury;
  • This spring, the Department of Justice served a subpoena on Trump seeking additional classified materials in his possession;
  • Department of Justice officials, including Jay Bratt, the department’s chief of counterintelligence and export control, met at Mar-a-Lago in June with Trump attorneys Christina Bobb and Evan Corcoran;
  • During the June meeting, Trump briefly stopped by but did not answer any questions;
  • Also during the June visit, the group toured storage facilities at Mar-a-Lago and reviewed some materials there;
  • Bratt subsequently sent an email to Corcoran instructing him to further secure the area where the documents were kept;
  • One of Trump’s attorneys signed a letter to the Department of Justice stating that all materials marked as classified and held in storage at Mar-a-Lago had been turned over;
  • The Department of Justice also subpoenaed surveillance footage from Mar-a- Lago, which showed that boxes were moved in and out the storage room where the records at issue were kept; and
  • Justice Department officials interviewed many current and former Trump employees, at least one of whom indicated there may have been additional classified materials remaining at Mar-a-Lago.

To the extent that the affidavit of probable cause contains any of this information, or other details about the investigation already reported in the press, there is no compelling interest in maintaining it under seal. Instead, those portions of the affidavit should be made public even if the Court finds a compelling interest to maintain other discrete portions under seal. See In re Four Search Warrants (releasing redacted search warrant affidavits where “much of the information” they contained had “already been made widely available to the public” through news reports).

The government’s position that any redactions would “render the document devoid of content that would meaningfully enhance the public’s understanding of these events beyond the information already now in the public record,” turns the presumption of public access to judicial records on its head. The public is entitled to review judicial records unless there is a compelling interest to deny access, not if there is a sufficient reason to grant access to a redacted record, as the government has suggested. And it is the public itself, not the government, that should have the opportunity to determine whether the information available enhances its understanding of this historic event.

The media intervenors did, however, agree with the government’s request for “the temporary continued sealing of the … names [of additional prosecutors referenced in those documents] at this time.”

The post Media Intervenors' Argument Supporting Unsealing Mar-A-Lago Search Warrant Affidavit appeared first on Reason.com.

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Can University-Run Social Media Accounts Block You?

The question of whether then-President Donald Trump could block people on Twitter focused a lot more attention on a curious little world of how politicians behave on social media. In our brave new world, government officials have social media accounts, as do governmental entities. Government officials and governmental entities are bound by the First Amendment. Blocking people on Twitter mostly raises questions about social media etiquette, but courts are increasingly being asked whether it also raises questions about constitutional law.

The Knight First Amendment Institute sued Donald Trump for blocking people on Twitter, arguing that the reply thread to his @RealDonaldTrump account had become a designated public forum and posting in that virtual space was protected by the First Amendment. Eventually they won in the Second Circuit. Other courts have similarly found that when government officials use social media accounts as a tool of office, they are constitutionally limited in how they exclude people from that virtual space (though not if they keep their public business out of their private social media account).

Since state universities are also governmental actors, and state universities maintain social media accounts, it was only a matter of time before these questions intersected with campus speech disputes.

Bruce Gilley is a political science professor at Portland State University. In the past few years he has become a fairly controversial figure, initially as a result of publishing a scholarly article making the case for colonialism.

He has now filed suit against the communications manager of the University of Oregon Division of Equity and Inclusion for blocking him on Twitter. The Division of Equity and Inclusion is a center on the University of Oregon campus, and it has an official Twitter account.

In his complaint, brought by the Institute for Free Speech, Gilley alleges:

Oregon’s flagship state university has a Division of Equity and Inclusion (“Division”), whose communication manager, Tova Stabin, posts content on the topics of diversity, equity, and inclusion on the social media platform Twitter, using the Division’s official account. She recently posted a “Racism Interrupter” prompt, which was open to comments by other Twitter users. But when Bruce Gilley posted “all men are created equal,” Tova Stabin blocked him from the Equity Division’s Twitter account, because he promotes a colorblind viewpoint with which she, and her employer, disagree. Stabin’s blocking constitutes impermissible viewpoint discrimination, and it violates the First Amendment.

Moreover,

On July 5, 2022, after Bruce Gilley filed a public records request for the policy utilized by VPEI to block Twitter users, the University of Oregon informed him that there was no written policy and that the “staff member that administers the VPEI Twitter account and social media has the autonomy to manage the accounts and uses professional judgment when deciding to block users.”

And thus,

In both cases, the University of Oregon has created the @UOEquity Twitter account to engage with the public and to solicit feedback. Its purpose is to interact with the public and to foster exchange. That is a public forum. Defendant Stabin was and is a state actor acting in the course and scope of her employment when she blocked, and continues to block, Bruce Gilley from the @UOEquity account. Defendant Stabin acted in a viewpoint discriminatory manner when she blocked Bruce Gilley from the @UOEquity Twitter account.

Defendant Stabin has a pattern and practice of blocking Twitter users from the @UOEquity Twitter account who express viewpoints she disagrees with, including viewpoints that are critical of the ideology of diversity, equity, and inclusion or the Division. Defendant Stabin, by blocking Gilley, also failed to implement a narrowly tailored content-neutral time, place, and manner restriction.

Should be interesting.

 

The post Can University-Run Social Media Accounts Block You? appeared first on Reason.com.

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