Boris Johnson Arrives in Kiev For 3rd Time, This Time Bearing Gifts

Boris Johnson Arrives in Kiev For 3rd Time, This Time Bearing Gifts

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has once again made a surprise visit to Kiev to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, on the occasion of Ukraine’s independence day from Soviet rule. This is his third trip to the war-ravaged country since the start of the Russian invasion, as one of the more outspoken and hawkish high-profile Western leaders.

His new Wednesday visit, where he appeared side-by-side with Zelensky, also included some hawkish statements encouraging Ukrainian forces to keep taking the fight to the Russians. “What happens in Ukraine matters to us all,” Johnson said in a written statement. “I believe Ukraine can and will win this war.”

Image source: UK gov/10 Downing Street

“That is why I am in Kyiv today. That is why the UK will continue to stand with our Ukrainian friends,” he said.

And he came bearing gifts – in the form of more military aid, further on the same day that Washington announced its own new $3 billion arms and training package, including training of Ukrainian forces for “years” to come.

This new UK defense aid package announced from Kiev will include unmanned surveillance and missile systems. Sky News details

The package, worth £54m, also includes 2,000 state-of-the-art drones and anti-tank loitering munitions. It also includes 850 hand-launched Black Hornet micro-drones, which can be used to provide live feeds and still images to troops.

In unveiling the aid, Johnson told reporters, “For the past six months, the United Kingdom has stood shoulder-to-shoulder with Ukraine, supporting this sovereign country to defend itself from this barbaric and illegal invader.”

“Today’s package of support will give the brave and resilient Ukrainian Armed Forces another boost in capability, allowing them to continue to push back Russian forces and fight for their freedom.”

“What happens in Ukraine matters to us all, which is why I am here today to deliver the message that the United Kingdom is with you and will be with you for the days and months ahead, and you can and will win.”

Johnson’s language stating that it “matters to us all” echoes similar statements of Western officials who’ve called on their populations to make “sacrifices”. For example, EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell told the AFP this week that Putin sees “the weariness of the Europeans and the reluctance of their citizens to bear the consequences of support for Ukraine.” Borrell then stressed, “We will have to endure, spread the costs within the EU.” 

All the while, Ukraine’s leaders are vowing they will not enter any peace negotiations, and Zelensky starting this month has even called for the “liberation” of Crimea…

And yet, some recent statements even coming from Ukrainian sources have suggested a “stalemate” is on. The New York Times too has recently said the front line is “static” – after Russia took much of Donbass, but is still struggling to gain all of the eastern territory. Overnight Russia stepped up aerial assaults on Kharkiv, the country’s second largest city.” And yet it’s Russia that still reportedly has vast untapped manpower and artillery as its military machine slowly grinds away.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 08/24/2022 – 11:06

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Father’s Tort Claim Based on Allegedly Falsification of Drug Test Results Can Go Forward

From Avendano v. Shaw, decided Friday by the Alabama Supreme Court (in an opinion by Justice James Mitchell):

This case stems from the serial fraud of Brandy Murrah, the former owner of a drug-screening laboratory who is now in prison for falsifying test results. The plaintiffs, Angel Avendano and Sandy Knowles, claim to be victims of Murrah’s fraud and allege that social worker Victoria Shaw conspired with Murrah to falsify the results of their drug tests…. {For purposes of this appeal, we view the record in the light most favorable to Avendano and Knowles, and we resolve factual disputes and ambiguities in their favor to the greatest reasonable extent.}

Angel Avendano is the father of two children who, during the time frame relevant to this case, had been placed in foster care. Though the children’s foster parents were their primary caregivers, Avendano retained visitation rights and would regularly host the children at his home. Avendano’s employer, Sandy Knowles, was close with Avendano and would help care for the children while they were staying with him.

During the children’s time in foster care, one of the foster parents came to believe that the children’s biological mother (Avendano’s ex-wife) had been using illegal drugs around the children. The foster parent decided to give the children an at-home drug test, which allegedly turned up positive. The Dale County Department of Human Resources (“DHR”)—the agency charged with providing child-protective services and overseeing the county’s foster-care system—soon launched an investigation. As part of that investigation, DHR social worker Victoria Shaw (who all parties agree is an employee of the State of Alabama for purposes of this appeal) went to Avendano’s house, accompanied by Brandy Murrah, and asked Avendano and Knowles to submit to drug tests administered by Murrah. Believing that the tests were legitimate, Avendano and Knowles agreed.

Murrah administered the tests and then reported that both Avendano and Knowles were positive for “amphetamines or methamphetamines.” Avendano and Knowles insisted that the test results must be wrong. To prove it, they procured their own drug tests from an independent laboratory, which showed that they were drug-free. Avendano and Knowles presented the negative test results to Shaw, but to no avail—Shaw relied on Murrah’s test results to restrict Avendano’s and Knowles’s ability to see the children….

It eventually came to light that Murrah was a serial fraudster who had, on multiple occasions, falsified the results of tests submitted to her lab. In 2020, Murrah confessed her crimes and was sentenced to several years in prison….

The court held that plaintiffs’ intentional infliction of emotional distress tort could go forward:

Shaw argues that even if she is not entitled to the jurisdictional protection of State immunity with respect to the individual-capacity claims against her, she is nonetheless entitled to the more limited, nonjurisdictional affirmative defense of State-agent immunity, which protects State employees from personal liability for certain actions undertaken in the performance of their official duties. There is an exception to State-agent immunity, however, for actions or conduct undertaken “willfully, maliciously, fraudulently, in bad faith, beyond [the agent’s] authority, or under a mistaken interpretation of the law.” …

Here, the complaint alleges that Shaw worked closely with Murrah, personally directed Murrah in the performance of her job duties, was physically present while Murrah performed the drug tests on Avendano and Knowles, and ignored independent lab results showing that Murrah’s tests were inaccurate. Nothing about these allegations affirmatively rules out the possibility that Shaw acted maliciously, fraudulently, in bad faith, beyond her authority, or under a mistaken interpretation of the law. Thus, State-agent immunity cannot be an appropriate basis for dismissal [as a matter of law]….

Shaw also points to … § 26-14-9, Ala. Code 1975, which shields from liability persons who participate in “the making of a good faith report” in child-abuse removals, investigations, or judicial proceedings. Even if the drug-test report at issue here qualifies as a report related to child-abuse proceedings (a conclusion that Avendano and Knowles dispute and about which we express no opinion), we have just explained that the complaint leaves room for the possibility that Shaw’s actions related to that report were not undertaken in “good faith.” …

A plaintiff can satisfy [the] rigorous standard [for intentional infliction of emotional distress, known under Alabama law as “outrage,”] by plausibly alleging that the defendant’s conduct (1) was intentional or reckless; (2) was extreme and outrageous; and (3) caused severe emotional distress that a reasonable person could not be expected to endure.

In our view, Avendano and Knowles’s allegations clear this high hurdle, because the complaint alleges that Shaw: (1) “intentional[ly] and malicious[ly]” colluded with Murrah (2) to fabricate positive drug-test results and to use those fabricated results to falsely smear Avendano and Knowles as drug addicts unfit to be around children, and that (3) this conduct caused severe and unbearable emotional distress by stripping Avendano and Knowles of their parental and caretaking rights, respectively, and by clouding their reputations within their community….

[Likewise as to fraud, which] requires (1) a false representation (2) of a material fact (3) relied upon by the plaintiff (4) who was damaged as a proximate result of the misrepresentation…. The complaint alleges that “Shaw represented … that the [drug] tests were legitimate tests that would be properly processed to determine the results” and that this representation was “false.” The complaint further alleges that Avendano and Knowles relied on Shaw’s false representation to their detriment. Those allegations, taken together, satisfy all the elements of a fraud claim….

Finally, Shaw argues that the outrage, fraud, and conspiracy claims against her must fail because, she says, Avendano’s and Knowles’s injuries were caused solely by the criminal conduct of a third party, Murrah, who acted without Shaw’s knowledge or approval. Again, this assertion flatly contradicts the complaint, which alleges that Shaw was Murrah’s coconspirator. A defendant’s bare assertion of innocence cannot justify dismissal when that assertion conflicts with the plaintiffs’ well-pleaded factual allegations….

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Father’s Tort Claim Based on Allegedly Falsification of Drug Test Results Can Go Forward

From Avendano v. Shaw, decided Friday by the Alabama Supreme Court (in an opinion by Justice James Mitchell):

This case stems from the serial fraud of Brandy Murrah, the former owner of a drug-screening laboratory who is now in prison for falsifying test results. The plaintiffs, Angel Avendano and Sandy Knowles, claim to be victims of Murrah’s fraud and allege that social worker Victoria Shaw conspired with Murrah to falsify the results of their drug tests…. {For purposes of this appeal, we view the record in the light most favorable to Avendano and Knowles, and we resolve factual disputes and ambiguities in their favor to the greatest reasonable extent.}

Angel Avendano is the father of two children who, during the time frame relevant to this case, had been placed in foster care. Though the children’s foster parents were their primary caregivers, Avendano retained visitation rights and would regularly host the children at his home. Avendano’s employer, Sandy Knowles, was close with Avendano and would help care for the children while they were staying with him.

During the children’s time in foster care, one of the foster parents came to believe that the children’s biological mother (Avendano’s ex-wife) had been using illegal drugs around the children. The foster parent decided to give the children an at-home drug test, which allegedly turned up positive. The Dale County Department of Human Resources (“DHR”)—the agency charged with providing child-protective services and overseeing the county’s foster-care system—soon launched an investigation. As part of that investigation, DHR social worker Victoria Shaw (who all parties agree is an employee of the State of Alabama for purposes of this appeal) went to Avendano’s house, accompanied by Brandy Murrah, and asked Avendano and Knowles to submit to drug tests administered by Murrah. Believing that the tests were legitimate, Avendano and Knowles agreed.

Murrah administered the tests and then reported that both Avendano and Knowles were positive for “amphetamines or methamphetamines.” Avendano and Knowles insisted that the test results must be wrong. To prove it, they procured their own drug tests from an independent laboratory, which showed that they were drug-free. Avendano and Knowles presented the negative test results to Shaw, but to no avail—Shaw relied on Murrah’s test results to restrict Avendano’s and Knowles’s ability to see the children….

It eventually came to light that Murrah was a serial fraudster who had, on multiple occasions, falsified the results of tests submitted to her lab. In 2020, Murrah confessed her crimes and was sentenced to several years in prison….

The court held that plaintiffs’ intentional infliction of emotional distress tort could go forward:

Shaw argues that even if she is not entitled to the jurisdictional protection of State immunity with respect to the individual-capacity claims against her, she is nonetheless entitled to the more limited, nonjurisdictional affirmative defense of State-agent immunity, which protects State employees from personal liability for certain actions undertaken in the performance of their official duties. There is an exception to State-agent immunity, however, for actions or conduct undertaken “willfully, maliciously, fraudulently, in bad faith, beyond [the agent’s] authority, or under a mistaken interpretation of the law.” …

Here, the complaint alleges that Shaw worked closely with Murrah, personally directed Murrah in the performance of her job duties, was physically present while Murrah performed the drug tests on Avendano and Knowles, and ignored independent lab results showing that Murrah’s tests were inaccurate. Nothing about these allegations affirmatively rules out the possibility that Shaw acted maliciously, fraudulently, in bad faith, beyond her authority, or under a mistaken interpretation of the law. Thus, State-agent immunity cannot be an appropriate basis for dismissal [as a matter of law]….

Shaw also points to … § 26-14-9, Ala. Code 1975, which shields from liability persons who participate in “the making of a good faith report” in child-abuse removals, investigations, or judicial proceedings. Even if the drug-test report at issue here qualifies as a report related to child-abuse proceedings (a conclusion that Avendano and Knowles dispute and about which we express no opinion), we have just explained that the complaint leaves room for the possibility that Shaw’s actions related to that report were not undertaken in “good faith.” …

A plaintiff can satisfy [the] rigorous standard [for intentional infliction of emotional distress, known under Alabama law as “outrage,”] by plausibly alleging that the defendant’s conduct (1) was intentional or reckless; (2) was extreme and outrageous; and (3) caused severe emotional distress that a reasonable person could not be expected to endure.

In our view, Avendano and Knowles’s allegations clear this high hurdle, because the complaint alleges that Shaw: (1) “intentional[ly] and malicious[ly]” colluded with Murrah (2) to fabricate positive drug-test results and to use those fabricated results to falsely smear Avendano and Knowles as drug addicts unfit to be around children, and that (3) this conduct caused severe and unbearable emotional distress by stripping Avendano and Knowles of their parental and caretaking rights, respectively, and by clouding their reputations within their community….

[Likewise as to fraud, which] requires (1) a false representation (2) of a material fact (3) relied upon by the plaintiff (4) who was damaged as a proximate result of the misrepresentation…. The complaint alleges that “Shaw represented … that the [drug] tests were legitimate tests that would be properly processed to determine the results” and that this representation was “false.” The complaint further alleges that Avendano and Knowles relied on Shaw’s false representation to their detriment. Those allegations, taken together, satisfy all the elements of a fraud claim….

Finally, Shaw argues that the outrage, fraud, and conspiracy claims against her must fail because, she says, Avendano’s and Knowles’s injuries were caused solely by the criminal conduct of a third party, Murrah, who acted without Shaw’s knowledge or approval. Again, this assertion flatly contradicts the complaint, which alleges that Shaw was Murrah’s coconspirator. A defendant’s bare assertion of innocence cannot justify dismissal when that assertion conflicts with the plaintiffs’ well-pleaded factual allegations….

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Major Food Crisis Coming In 2023? – “Prices Will Be On Steroids After The Election”

Major Food Crisis Coming In 2023? – “Prices Will Be On Steroids After The Election”

Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,

We are being warned that food prices in the U.S. are going to go absolutely haywire after the election in November.  I am taking such warnings very seriously, and I believe that you should too.  Global officials have been telling us over and over again that we are heading into an unprecedented global food crisis, and I have been writing about this again and again in recent weeks.  But so far, the vast majority of the population doesn’t seem to be taking this seriously.  Agricultural production is going to be way below expectations all over the planet in 2022, and that means that there will be far less food to go around in 2023.

Let me give you a perfect example of what I am talking about.  Just within the last couple of days, it has been reported that there will be crop losses “of up to 50 percent” in the German state of Baden-Württemberg…

Crop losses of up to 50 percent are now expected in parts of Germany due to drought, farmers in affected regions have claimed.

Up to half of the crops in parts of the German state of Baden-Württemberg are likely to be lost due to drought, farmers in the region have claimed, with problems to do with the prices of fuel, fertiliser, and pesticides connected to the green agenda and war in Ukraine also reportedly causing problems for those in the region.

These are crop losses that haven’t happened yet.

These are crop losses that will happen in the fall if sufficient rain does not arrive soon…

With the losses expected to materialise in the autumn, the farming chaos may end up being another crisis facing Germany’s floundering political class as fuel shortages combined with a freefalling economy hit a public already suffering from officials’ poor handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Just within the past week, I have written about how authorities are also projecting similar crop losses in key areas of the UK, France and Italy.

And here in the United States, 37 percent of farmers in the western half of the country say that they will be killing their own crops because there is no chance that they will come to maturity due to the endless drought.

All of these crop losses haven’t hit the food system yet.

So none of these crop losses are reflected in grocery store prices yet.

That won’t happen until the end of 2022 and the beginning of 2023.

With all of that in mind, I would like to share with you a comment that was just posted on one of Southern Prepper’s videos

Just a heads up. I have a family member who works in the corporate pricing department for groceries. This company has been in business 40 years. Meeting was called 1 day ago and they were told prices will be on steroids after the election. Owner said he’s never seen what’s headed our way in 40 of business. They just hired 10 more people and can not keep up with data input.

All hands on deck and overtime. included. Get your house in order. Buy Holiday grocery products while you can find and afford them. Boss told employees to stock up now. Please pay attention folks.

It would be easy to dismiss that comment because we don’t know who it is from and so we can’t verify the specific claims that are made.

But this is entirely consistent with everything else that I am hearing.

Food prices have been rising rapidly in recent months, but the really big deal is all the food that is not being grown right now.  This lack of production is going to push prices to levels that would have once been unthinkable.

Most people simply do not realize how much our farmers are hurting right now.  Just check out these numbers

Nearly three quarters of US farmers say this year’s drought is hurting their harvest — with significant crop and income loss, according to a survey by the American Farm Bureau Federation, an insurance company and lobbying group that represents agricultural interests.

The survey was conducted across 15 states from June 8 to July 20 in extreme drought regions from Texas to North Dakota to California, which makes up nearly half of the country’s agricultural production value. In California — a state with high fruit and nut tree crops — 50% of farmers said they had to remove trees and multiyear crops due to drought, which will affect future revenue.

This is going to affect all of us.

If farmers and ranchers don’t produce our food, we do not eat.

Things are even worse in western Europe, and the war in Ukraine is greatly restricting the flow of agricultural goods from eastern Europe.

In 2023, there is going to be a mad scramble for whatever food that is available, and global prices are going to go nuts.

We have already started to see food riots and civil unrest is some areas of the globe, but I anticipate that things will get much worse next year.

Even here in the United States, I expect that there will be a lot of anger and frustration.  And as we have seen, it certainly doesn’t take much for our major urban areas to explode.

Things aren’t even that bad yet, and already we are seeing people behave in ways that are extremely bizarre.  For example, just consider a very strange incident that just happened in Los Angeles

The gang of people ransacked the store while shouting, completely destroying the COVID-19 safety screen that had been set up to grab as much as they could in Los Angeles, California.

A group entered the convenience store near Figueroa Street and El Segundo Boulevard, with surveillance footage showing the looters shouting at each other, on August 15.

They can be seen running across the store and grabbing drinks, cigarettes, lottery tickets, bags of chips and other items.

Approximately 100 young people were involved in the violence.

When I read about this sort of a thing, it makes me very sad.  I have been strongly warning that such unrest would be coming to America, and eventually it will get completely out of control.

As food prices surge to crazy heights, those at the bottom of the economic food chain will not be happy.

The coming food crisis will be a difficult time for our nation, and for the world as a whole.

If you understand what is coming, it gives you an opportunity to get prepared.

Sadly, most of the population doesn’t want to listen to the warnings, and that is extremely unfortunate.

*  *  *

It is finally here! Michael’s new book entitled “7 Year Apocalypse” is now available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 08/24/2022 – 10:47

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/TQNxDe2 Tyler Durden

WTI Slides Despite US Crude Production Cut, Gasoline Demand Tumbles

WTI Slides Despite US Crude Production Cut, Gasoline Demand Tumbles

Oil prices have extended gains this morning, after last night’s API-reported crude draw and yesterday’s OPEC+ headlines.

“The stakes are very high and will test European resolve for inflicting pain on Russia at the cost of their economy,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Management.

“Buyers of Russian crude are playing the game to get the cheapest crude without drawing the ire of the US and Europe.”

The potential revival of a nuclear deal with Iran, which could lead to a surge in exports from the OPEC producer, had weighed on the market recently. A senior US House Republican demanded that Congress be given a chance to review any agreement as Tehran and Western powers inch toward an accord.

A nuclear deal with Iran would likely mean only modest increases to global supply — under 200,000 barrels — over the next 12 months. But demand may fall sharply if emerging markets, especially China, face extended economic pressure.”

Will the official data confirm API’s bullish view.

API

  • Crude -5.632mm (-3.2mm exp)

  • Cushing +679k

  • Gasoline +268k

  • Distillates +1.05mm

DOE

  • Crude -3.28mm (-3.2mm exp)

  • Cushing +426k

  • Gasoline -27k

  • Distillates -662k

The official data confirmed API’s crude draw – slightly bigger than expected – but it also showed draws in products (API showed builds). Stocks at the Cushing hub rose for the 8th straight week…

Source: Bloomberg

Last week saw the biggest ever weekly draw from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, at 8.1 million barrels. Adding that to the headline draw in commercial crude stockpiles, total nationwide crude inventories (including commercial stockpiles and oil held in the SPR) fell by 11.4 million barrels in the week to August 19. That’s the biggest drop in total nationwide crude stockpiles since April.

Source: Bloomberg

US Crude Production slipped lower for the 2nd straight week…

Source: Bloomberg

Bloomberg reports that gasoline demand on a weekly basis dropped off sharply, continuing a streak of higher-than-usual volatility. The four-week demand rolling basis fell by 2.24% as well to 8.86m b/d, barely above the same time in 2020.

WTI was hovering just above $94 ahead of the official data and slipped lower…

Bear in mind that the recent rally in natural-gas prices in Europe may encourage more companies to replace gas with diesel, coal and fuel oil in power generation as we approach winter in the Northern Hemisphere. Natural gas now costs about $450 per barrel of oil equivalent, compared to $100 for a barrel of benchmark Brent crude.

Source: Bloomberg

Finally, we note that in the US, gasoline prices are on their longest run of declines since 2015, potentially easing some of the inflationary pressures on the country’s economy. However, that slide may soon come to an end as wholesale gasoline and crude prices have decoupled higher…

Source: Bloomberg

US diesel prices at the pump rose overnight, snapping the longest losing streak (60 days) in two years as farmers stocked up on the fuel used to harvest crops, competing with truckers for a shrinking pool of supplies

Tyler Durden
Wed, 08/24/2022 – 10:34

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Watch: CNN Tells Viewers Monkeypox Is Not Sexually-Transmitted

Watch: CNN Tells Viewers Monkeypox Is Not Sexually-Transmitted

Authored by Steve Watson via Summit News,

Despite vast amounts of data showing that the spread of Monkeypox is occurring predominantly among gay men, CNN went to great lengths to explain that it is absolutely NOT sexually transmitted.

As reported here in The Scientific AmericanMonkeypox Is a Sexually Transmitted Infection, and Knowing That Can Help Protect People.

The piece notes that “Black and Latino men who have sex with men are most vulnerable to monkeypox,” and cites data that finds “Outside Africa, 99 percent of the cases have been in men, and 92 to 98 percent have been in self-identified men who have sex with men.”

“A study published in the BMJ in late July found 196 of 197 cases of MPX in London were in people who identified as men who had sex with men,” the article also notes.

The evidence is so voluminous that the World Health Organisation is on the verge of classifying Monkeypox as an STI.

The author of the article, Steven Thrasher warns that by “not naming, researching, preventing and addressing how transmission is happening,” people will be kept “from understanding how to prevent infection, allow unnecessary worry, and exacerbate racist and homophobic social determinants of health.”

“In the past few months, there has been considerable backlash to naming MPX an STI [sexually-transmitted infection] out of the usually well-intentioned but ultimately misguided belief that doing so will increase stigma,” Thrasher also explains.

And that’s where CNN comes in.

The network’s national correspondent Dianne Gallagher lectured viewers Tuesday (albeit not that many of them) that “monkeypox is NOT a sexually-transmitted infection.”

Gallagher added that”If the Biden administration wants its outreach to be a success, celebrating [pride] while educating, without discriminating, is the only way to approach it.”

Watch:

Following the science? Not when it means ‘creating a stigma’.

Earlier this month, infectious disease experts in Sweden criticized the country’s gay pride parade organizers for failing to provide any information on monkeypox ahead of a march that they warn could be a ‘super spreader’ event.

The World Health Organization recently said that cases continue to spread amongst “men who have sex with men,” although after saying summer festivals should be limited, they later clarified that gay pride events should go ahead as normal.

After health authorities in San Francisco issued a public health emergency over monkeypox, gay men were still encouraged to attend the annual pride parade as well as sex orgies.

* * *

Brand new merch now available! Get it at https://www.pjwshop.com/

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Tyler Durden
Wed, 08/24/2022 – 10:15

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US Pending Home Sales Are Down Most Since 2011 YoY (Ex-COVID)

US Pending Home Sales Are Down Most Since 2011 YoY (Ex-COVID)

After yesterday’s dreadful collapse in new home sales (and Toll Brothers’ less than rosy picture overnight), analysts expected another monthly decline in pending home sales in July (though not as violent as the June plunge). They were right as pending home sales dropped 1.0% MoM (beating expectations of a 2.6% drop but that was largely driven by a downward revision for June data)…

Source: Bloomberg

This is the 8th monthly drop in the last 9 leaving sales down 22.5% YoY. Aside from the COVID lockdown, this is the biggest YoY drop since April 2011

Aside from the COVID lockdown crash, this is the weakest Pending Home Sales Index level since Oct 2011

Source: Bloomberg

The monthly bill on a typical home with a 20% down payment rose to $1,841 in the second quarter, according to a separate NAR report out earlier this month. That’s up 32%, or $444, from the first quarter and a 50% jump from a year earlier.

“This month’s very modest decline reflects the recent retreat in mortgage rates,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said in a statement.

“Inventories are growing for homes in the upper price ranges, but limited supply at lower price points is hindering transaction activity.”

Contract signings decreased in three of four regions, led by a 2.7% drop in the Midwest. Pending home sales rose in the West.

Pending home sales are often looked to as a leading indicator of existing-home purchases given properties typically go under contract a month or two before they’re sold.

Is this what Mr. Powell wanted?

Tyler Durden
Wed, 08/24/2022 – 10:05

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Georgia Supreme Court on Sincerity and Religious Exemptions

From In the Interest of C.C., decided yesterday by the Georgia Supreme Court, in a unanimous opinion written by Presiding Justice Nels Peterson:

The Division of Family and Children Services (DFCS) is the temporary custodian of Appellants John and Brittani Chandler’s three children. {The Lumpkin County Juvenile Court temporarily removed the Chandlers’ children into DFCS’s custody on January 6, 2021. The Chandlers consented to an adjudication that the children were dependent within the meaning of OCGA § 15-11-2 (22), and that it was contrary to the welfare of the children to be returned to a home of a parent at that time.}

The Chandlers argued that, even though DFCS had temporary custody, they were entitled to “object on religious grounds to DFCS’s immunization of their children,” under Georgia law and the U.S. Constitution; but the juvenile court rejected that claim, partly based on a finding that the Chandlers’ religious objections were insincere:

[T]he Court finds that [the Chandlers’] argument that vaccination of the dependent children by the Department violates their free exercise of religion is specious at best. The Court finds that [the Chandlers] have not established by a preponderance of the evidence that they have a religious objection or even observe a particular religion. Contrary to, the evidence shows that they previously attended church but are no longer active, are against vaccination by personal philosophical choice based at least in part on an alleged perception after the oldest was vaccinated and that [John] is a self-proclaimed conspiracy theorist.

Wrong approach, the Georgia Supreme Court held:

Even if the Chandlers do not “observe a particular religion” or attend church consistently, and even if their objection to vaccination is partly secular, they may still be able to identify a religious belief that they sincerely hold and that would be violated by the vaccination of their children. See Frazee v. Illinois Dep’t of Emp. Sec. (1989) (“[W]e reject the notion that to claim the protection of the Free Exercise Clause, one must be responding to the commands of a particular religious organization.”); Wiggins v. Sargent (8th Cir. 1985) (noting, in First Amendment case, that “a belief can be both secular and religious”). The juvenile court’s sincerity finding apparently rested at least in part on an assumption to the contrary; this prevents us from affirming this ruling…. We therefore remand this case for the juvenile court to apply the proper standard in deciding whether the Chandlers have raised a sincere religious objection.

In fairness to the juvenile court, the proper standard is not easily reducible to a simple formula; accordingly, we offer the following guidance drawn from federal precedent regarding how to evaluate religious sincerity. Ultimately, the juvenile court must determine whether the Chandlers’ religious objection to the vaccination of their children is “truly held.” The juvenile court’s inquiry “must be handled with a light touch, or ‘judicial shyness.'” Moussazadeh v. Tex. Dept. of Crim. Justice (5th Cir. 2012) (applying federal statute). The court should “sh[y] away from attempting to gauge how central a sincerely held belief is to the believer’s religion.” Watts v. Fla. Int’l Univ. (11th Cir. 2007) (First Amendment case). And it must bear in mind that “a belief can be both secular and religious. The categories are not mutually exclusive.” Wiggins. Thus, the juvenile court will have to parse out whether the Chandlers’ objection is at least partly religiously motivated, as opposed to being entirely motivated by secular concerns. See United States v. Quaintance (10th Cir. 2010) (interpreting a federal statute incorporating constitutional standards); Penwell v. Holtgeerts (9th Cir. 2010) (per curiam); Doswell v. Smith (4th Cir. 1998); United States v. DeWitt, 95 F3d 1374, 1376 (8th Cir. 1996).

The Chandlers’ characterization of their objection as religious is not determinative of their sincerity. See Ackerman v. Washington (6th Cir. 2021) (interpreting federal statute). The juvenile court can weigh various factors, including (but not limited to) how long the Chandlers have asserted their professed religious belief, how much they know about it, and their reliance on “religious literature and teachings supporting the belief[.]” Ackerman. Whether the Chandlers have wavered in their actions related to vaccination “also appears to be relevant[.]” Id. So is whether they have been consistent and transparent in indicating that they have a religiously motivated objection to vaccination. See Friedman v. Clarkstown Cent. Sch. Dist. (2d Cir. 2003) (“We note particularly, as did the district court, evidence that plaintiff never described her religious beliefs as the basis for her refusal to immunize to her son’s pediatricians, her lack of forthrightness in answering the questions of the superintendent and the district court about the basis for her objections, and the changing nature of her objections over the course of this litigation. … [T]he record in this case suggests to us that plaintiff does not in fact hold religious objections to immunization ….”).

But the juvenile court should also be cautious in affording more than a little weight to evidence that the Chandlers were inconsistent in visibly living out their religious beliefs; for example, the frequency of the family’s church attendance. See id. (“[W]e recognize that religious beliefs may develop over time and that people may transgress religious beliefs that are nonetheless sincerely held ….”); Ackerman (holding that a sincere believer does not lose his ability to assert religious rights “merely because he is not completely scrupulous in his observance; for where would religion be without its backsliders, penitents, and prodigal sons?” (quoting Grayson v. Schuler, 666 F3d 450, 454 (7th Cir. 2012) (interpreting federal statute)).

In sum, the juvenile court’s task is ultimately to assess whether the Chandlers are credible in asserting that their objection to the vaccination of their children is religiously motivated. See Snyder v. Murray City Corp. (10th Cir. 1997) (observing in First Amendment case that “[t]he inquiry into the sincerity of a free-exercise plaintiff’s religious beliefs is almost exclusively a credibility assessment ….”); see also Int’l Soc. for Krishna Consciousness, Inc. v. Barber (2d Cir. 1981) (observing in First Amendment case that key issue was whether religious belief was asserted “in good faith”). The considerations identified above are meant merely as aids to that inquiry.

If, after applying the proper standard to the existing record, the juvenile court finds that the Chandlers failed to carry their burden of showing that their objection to their children being vaccinated was motivated by a sincere religious belief, then it should deny their claims with no further analysis. If it finds that the Chandlers have carried their burden on this point, then the court may resolve the merits of their claims based on its previous order [which had concluded that the Chandlers would lose as a legal matter in any event even if their claims had been sincere -EV] or, at the discretion of the court, may do additional analysis on the merits.

And before that, the court also discussed why sincerity is indeed the threshold for such claims of exemption (a familiar principle in religious exemption law):

The sincerity of the Chandlers’ religious beliefs is a necessary element of their First Amendment claims. See Frazee v. Illinois Dept. of Emp. Sec. (1989) (“Our judgments in [previous First Amendment free exercise of religion cases] rested on the fact that each of the claimants had a sincere belief that religion required him or her to refrain from [what the government required of them] …. Because [a claimant in one such case] unquestionably had a sincere belief that his religion prevented him from doing [what the government required], he was entitled to invoke the protection of the Free Exercise Clause…. There is no doubt that only beliefs rooted in religion are protected by the Free Exercise Clause. Purely secular views do not suffice. Nor do we underestimate the difficulty of distinguishing between religious and secular convictions and in determining whether a professed belief is sincerely held. States are clearly entitled to assure themselves that there is an ample predicate for invoking the Free Exercise Clause.”). Their claim that OCGA § 15-11-30 is void for vagueness is also rooted in their asserted religious beliefs, because they argue that the statute is void for vagueness as applied to cases where parents have religious objections to vaccinations. And a party raising an as-applied vagueness claim has standing to assert only his own, actual rights, not hypothetical situations or the rights of others….

Religious sincerity is necessary for the Chandlers to pursue their statutory claim, too. OCGA § 15-11-30 provides that legal custodians of children—such as DFCS in relation to the Chandlers’ children—have “the right to determine the nature of the care and treatment of such child, including ordinary medical care … subject to … the remaining rights and duties of such child’s parent or guardian.” The Chandlers argue that the remaining rights and duties recognized by OCGA § 15-11-30 include “the right to a religious exemption to immunization.” … Unlike some other statutes that require only a sworn affidavit of religious beliefs, no language in OCGA § 15-11-30 relieves religious objectors from the obligation to prove sincerity to a court empowered to evaluate their credibility. Sincerity, then, is a prerequisite to the Chandlers’ statutory arguments as well.

In observing that sincerity is a necessary foundation for the Chandlers’ claims, we do not mean to suggest that a court must always make a determination as to sincerity before considering the remainder of a religion-based claim. Courts often assume the sincerity of a professed religious belief before rejecting claims that clearly fail on other grounds, partly because sincerity can be much harder to analyze than the merits of the claims themselves. But here, the opposite appears to be the case: the Chandlers’ claims are novel, whereas the trial court already expressed serious doubts about the sincerity of their beliefs. Under these circumstances, we decline to resolve the difficult and consequential merits of the Chandlers’ claims before the juvenile court has properly addressed the preliminary question of sincerity….

Parts of the court’s analysis suggested that, if the Chandlers were found to be sincere, at least some of the Justices might be open to their legal arguments; but that is an issue that would be taken up on a later appeal.

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Georgia Supreme Court on Sincerity and Religious Exemptions

From In the Interest of C.C., decided yesterday by the Georgia Supreme Court, in a unanimous opinion written by Presiding Justice Nels Peterson:

The Division of Family and Children Services (DFCS) is the temporary custodian of Appellants John and Brittani Chandler’s three children. {The Lumpkin County Juvenile Court temporarily removed the Chandlers’ children into DFCS’s custody on January 6, 2021. The Chandlers consented to an adjudication that the children were dependent within the meaning of OCGA § 15-11-2 (22), and that it was contrary to the welfare of the children to be returned to a home of a parent at that time.}

The Chandlers argued that, even though DFCS had temporary custody, they were entitled to “object on religious grounds to DFCS’s immunization of their children,” under Georgia law and the U.S. Constitution; but the juvenile court rejected that claim, partly based on a finding that the Chandlers’ religious objections were insincere:

[T]he Court finds that [the Chandlers’] argument that vaccination of the dependent children by the Department violates their free exercise of religion is specious at best. The Court finds that [the Chandlers] have not established by a preponderance of the evidence that they have a religious objection or even observe a particular religion. Contrary to, the evidence shows that they previously attended church but are no longer active, are against vaccination by personal philosophical choice based at least in part on an alleged perception after the oldest was vaccinated and that [John] is a self-proclaimed conspiracy theorist.

Wrong approach, the Georgia Supreme Court held:

Even if the Chandlers do not “observe a particular religion” or attend church consistently, and even if their objection to vaccination is partly secular, they may still be able to identify a religious belief that they sincerely hold and that would be violated by the vaccination of their children. See Frazee v. Illinois Dep’t of Emp. Sec. (1989) (“[W]e reject the notion that to claim the protection of the Free Exercise Clause, one must be responding to the commands of a particular religious organization.”); Wiggins v. Sargent (8th Cir. 1985) (noting, in First Amendment case, that “a belief can be both secular and religious”). The juvenile court’s sincerity finding apparently rested at least in part on an assumption to the contrary; this prevents us from affirming this ruling…. We therefore remand this case for the juvenile court to apply the proper standard in deciding whether the Chandlers have raised a sincere religious objection.

In fairness to the juvenile court, the proper standard is not easily reducible to a simple formula; accordingly, we offer the following guidance drawn from federal precedent regarding how to evaluate religious sincerity. Ultimately, the juvenile court must determine whether the Chandlers’ religious objection to the vaccination of their children is “truly held.” The juvenile court’s inquiry “must be handled with a light touch, or ‘judicial shyness.'” Moussazadeh v. Tex. Dept. of Crim. Justice (5th Cir. 2012) (applying federal statute). The court should “sh[y] away from attempting to gauge how central a sincerely held belief is to the believer’s religion.” Watts v. Fla. Int’l Univ. (11th Cir. 2007) (First Amendment case). And it must bear in mind that “a belief can be both secular and religious. The categories are not mutually exclusive.” Wiggins. Thus, the juvenile court will have to parse out whether the Chandlers’ objection is at least partly religiously motivated, as opposed to being entirely motivated by secular concerns. See United States v. Quaintance (10th Cir. 2010) (interpreting a federal statute incorporating constitutional standards); Penwell v. Holtgeerts (9th Cir. 2010) (per curiam); Doswell v. Smith (4th Cir. 1998); United States v. DeWitt, 95 F3d 1374, 1376 (8th Cir. 1996).

The Chandlers’ characterization of their objection as religious is not determinative of their sincerity. See Ackerman v. Washington (6th Cir. 2021) (interpreting federal statute). The juvenile court can weigh various factors, including (but not limited to) how long the Chandlers have asserted their professed religious belief, how much they know about it, and their reliance on “religious literature and teachings supporting the belief[.]” Ackerman. Whether the Chandlers have wavered in their actions related to vaccination “also appears to be relevant[.]” Id. So is whether they have been consistent and transparent in indicating that they have a religiously motivated objection to vaccination. See Friedman v. Clarkstown Cent. Sch. Dist. (2d Cir. 2003) (“We note particularly, as did the district court, evidence that plaintiff never described her religious beliefs as the basis for her refusal to immunize to her son’s pediatricians, her lack of forthrightness in answering the questions of the superintendent and the district court about the basis for her objections, and the changing nature of her objections over the course of this litigation. … [T]he record in this case suggests to us that plaintiff does not in fact hold religious objections to immunization ….”).

But the juvenile court should also be cautious in affording more than a little weight to evidence that the Chandlers were inconsistent in visibly living out their religious beliefs; for example, the frequency of the family’s church attendance. See id. (“[W]e recognize that religious beliefs may develop over time and that people may transgress religious beliefs that are nonetheless sincerely held ….”); Ackerman (holding that a sincere believer does not lose his ability to assert religious rights “merely because he is not completely scrupulous in his observance; for where would religion be without its backsliders, penitents, and prodigal sons?” (quoting Grayson v. Schuler, 666 F3d 450, 454 (7th Cir. 2012) (interpreting federal statute)).

In sum, the juvenile court’s task is ultimately to assess whether the Chandlers are credible in asserting that their objection to the vaccination of their children is religiously motivated. See Snyder v. Murray City Corp. (10th Cir. 1997) (observing in First Amendment case that “[t]he inquiry into the sincerity of a free-exercise plaintiff’s religious beliefs is almost exclusively a credibility assessment ….”); see also Int’l Soc. for Krishna Consciousness, Inc. v. Barber (2d Cir. 1981) (observing in First Amendment case that key issue was whether religious belief was asserted “in good faith”). The considerations identified above are meant merely as aids to that inquiry.

If, after applying the proper standard to the existing record, the juvenile court finds that the Chandlers failed to carry their burden of showing that their objection to their children being vaccinated was motivated by a sincere religious belief, then it should deny their claims with no further analysis. If it finds that the Chandlers have carried their burden on this point, then the court may resolve the merits of their claims based on its previous order [which had concluded that the Chandlers would lose as a legal matter in any event even if their claims had been sincere -EV] or, at the discretion of the court, may do additional analysis on the merits.

And before that, the court also discussed why sincerity is indeed the threshold for such claims of exemption (a familiar principle in religious exemption law):

The sincerity of the Chandlers’ religious beliefs is a necessary element of their First Amendment claims. See Frazee v. Illinois Dept. of Emp. Sec. (1989) (“Our judgments in [previous First Amendment free exercise of religion cases] rested on the fact that each of the claimants had a sincere belief that religion required him or her to refrain from [what the government required of them] …. Because [a claimant in one such case] unquestionably had a sincere belief that his religion prevented him from doing [what the government required], he was entitled to invoke the protection of the Free Exercise Clause…. There is no doubt that only beliefs rooted in religion are protected by the Free Exercise Clause. Purely secular views do not suffice. Nor do we underestimate the difficulty of distinguishing between religious and secular convictions and in determining whether a professed belief is sincerely held. States are clearly entitled to assure themselves that there is an ample predicate for invoking the Free Exercise Clause.”). Their claim that OCGA § 15-11-30 is void for vagueness is also rooted in their asserted religious beliefs, because they argue that the statute is void for vagueness as applied to cases where parents have religious objections to vaccinations. And a party raising an as-applied vagueness claim has standing to assert only his own, actual rights, not hypothetical situations or the rights of others….

Religious sincerity is necessary for the Chandlers to pursue their statutory claim, too. OCGA § 15-11-30 provides that legal custodians of children—such as DFCS in relation to the Chandlers’ children—have “the right to determine the nature of the care and treatment of such child, including ordinary medical care … subject to … the remaining rights and duties of such child’s parent or guardian.” The Chandlers argue that the remaining rights and duties recognized by OCGA § 15-11-30 include “the right to a religious exemption to immunization.” … Unlike some other statutes that require only a sworn affidavit of religious beliefs, no language in OCGA § 15-11-30 relieves religious objectors from the obligation to prove sincerity to a court empowered to evaluate their credibility. Sincerity, then, is a prerequisite to the Chandlers’ statutory arguments as well.

In observing that sincerity is a necessary foundation for the Chandlers’ claims, we do not mean to suggest that a court must always make a determination as to sincerity before considering the remainder of a religion-based claim. Courts often assume the sincerity of a professed religious belief before rejecting claims that clearly fail on other grounds, partly because sincerity can be much harder to analyze than the merits of the claims themselves. But here, the opposite appears to be the case: the Chandlers’ claims are novel, whereas the trial court already expressed serious doubts about the sincerity of their beliefs. Under these circumstances, we decline to resolve the difficult and consequential merits of the Chandlers’ claims before the juvenile court has properly addressed the preliminary question of sincerity….

Parts of the court’s analysis suggested that, if the Chandlers were found to be sincere, at least some of the Justices might be open to their legal arguments; but that is an issue that would be taken up on a later appeal.

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What If We Tried Anarchy? HBO’s The Anarchists Explores.


ANARCHISTS_YT

What happens when a bunch of radical individualists try to start a community?

That’s the subject of The Anarchists, a new six-part docuseries from director Todd Schramke and his wife and co-producer Kim Kylland that’s now available to stream in full on HBO Max.

The pair spent six years documenting Anarchapulco, an annual conference for anarchists started in Mexico by Jeff Berwick, a political commentator who calls himself the Dollar Vigilante.

The series took a dark turn when, mid-production, Schramke found out about the murder of one of his subjects, a man who called himself John Galton. And then rumors started that other members of the anarchist community may have been involved.

“It really was one of the most emotionally complicated few weeks of my life,” says Schramke. “It was just this really, really intense feeling of knowing this was going to change my life in so many ways.”

Reason‘s Zach Weissmueller talked with Schramke about how making the film has shaped his view of anarchism and libertarianism and what the story of Anarchapulco can teach us about the challenges of launching new experiments in alternative living.

“The biggest thing I took away was realizing that regardless of what ideologies we hold, what belief systems we ascribe to, no matter what we have to be looking inward as people and figuring out how to deal with our own mental health, dealing with our own relationships before we can have an improved society,” says Schramke.

Watch the full interview above.

Produced by Zach Weissmueller; edited by Danielle Thompson and Weissmueller; additional footage courtesy of HBO Max. 

Music: “Corner of the Eyes” by Amulets via Artlist; “Dark Matter” by Notize via Artlist.

The post What If We Tried Anarchy? HBO's <em>The Anarchists</em> Explores. appeared first on Reason.com.

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