Europe’s Latest Natural Gas Pipeline Plan Won’t Solve Its Current Crisis

Europe’s Latest Natural Gas Pipeline Plan Won’t Solve Its Current Crisis

By Cyril Widdershoven of OilPrice.com

Recently, plans have been announced by Spain, Portugal, and Germany to connect the vast Iberian LNG regasification and storage industry to other European markets. While German Prime Minister Scholz argued that the Iberian gas market should be directly linked to its European neighbors in an attempt to avoid a major supply shortage this winter, French politicians appear less than happy at the suggestion. It seems Paris either doesn’t see the move as necessary or has some internal political and economic objections to the plans. 

German Chancellor Scholz’s statements last week about setting up a gas pipeline connection between Spain and Central Europe were met with enthusiasm by both Spain and Portugal. Berlin, it seems, is eager to diminish the risks of a potentially very cold winter and an economic recession if Russian gas flows to the EU are completely blocked. Putin’s war on Ukraine is showing no sign of ending, and EU sanctions are hurting Moscow financially. In a reaction last week, Portuguese PM Antonio Costa called on European leaders and institutions to fully support the pipeline project. Spanish minister of industry Reyes Maroto also put the full support of Madrid behind the plans. Both countries, with their vast LNG regasification and storage volumes, could help to counter the Russian threat to other EU member countries. The LNG that is already in place, and also new volumes, could be sent via a new pipeline to France and further. At the same time, there also are discussions over a new gas pipeline between Spain and Italy, avoiding France due to its objections over the first pipeline plan. It seems that the main issues at play here are environmental and economic. The pipeline project, which was originally attempted in 2013, was canceled in January 2019 for these same reasons. If that project hadn’t been canceled, European gas markets would be in far better shape today.

At present, the pressure on France is building, as Germany and many other North West and Central European countries are facing a potential gas crunch in the coming months. To set up the Pyrenees route is much more feasible than a subsea connection between Spain and Italy. Projected costs of the new project are slated to be around EUR600-700 million, a subsea link would be significantly more. 

The Iberian gas market has been a strange one in recent decades. The historically criticized approach by Spain to build an excessive LNG regasification and storage capacity now seems to have been a wise one. The Iberian Peninsula not only receives LNG from all over the world but it also is connected via pipelines to Algeria, meaning a multitude of inroads exists. However, there is no main interconnection between the Iberian gas pipeline infrastructure and the rest of Europe. Spain has six LNG regasification plants, including Europe’s largest, in Barcelona. Portugal has one too. The Iberian Peninsula holds around 30% of total Europe’s LNG processing capacity.

Now all eyes will be put on the revived pipeline scheme. However, it is unlikely that it will be ready for the coming winter or even the following. The first attempt at pushing through this pipeline was in 2013, to connect Catalonia (Spain) to south-east France, but French objections and a lack of financing canceled it. 

The optimism in Spanish newspapers and politics that this pipeline could be built within 8-9 months is very strange. The France-Spain connection would require laying another segment of pipeline to connect the Spanish grid to the French one, the normal implementation time frame of which is between 2 and 2.5 years, if all goes according to plan. Environmentalists and other NGOs would need to be forced not to interfere with the project. The Spanish grid operator Enagas stated clearly that the pipeline could be completed at a cost of 600 million-700 million euros in 2-1/2 years. 

In the coming months, it is likely that more of these high-profile projects will be presented, not only by Portugal and Spain but most probably Greece or Italy too. The need to change the previous approach of the EU, EBRD, and others when it comes to financing and supporting new gas pipeline infrastructure projects is now clear. However, while politicians want to believe a solution can be immediate, the market reality is often very different. Building a large-scale pipeline project is not only an issue of money and environmental problems but also technical issues and realistic time-frames. Europe, especially Germany, the Netherlands, and Central Europe, will need to deal with the fact that the current crisis has no short-term solutions. For the next couple of years, at least until 2024, Europe will suffer from a gas and potentially even an energy shortage. There are no short-term solutions to removing Russian gas dominance in the EU markets. LNG volumes currently flooding North West Europe and other places will likely fall in the next couple of months, as competition from Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America will hit supply. The optimism in European political circles is still the same, unrealistic. Brussels needs to set up a real energy strategy, supporting all available solutions if it hopes to counter Russia’s energy dominance in the future.

Europe’s hope that U.S. LNG will continue to flow to Europe in its current volumes is also misplaced. The first signs of U.S. LNG heading to Asia are already visible as winter approaches. US president Biden’s political future is also linked to natural gas prices for US consumers, meaning the pressure will grow on US politicians to keep more of its natural gas at home.

Tyler Durden
Sun, 08/21/2022 – 08:10

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/WvX638h Tyler Durden

Hitler’s Scuttled Black Sea Fleet, Centuries-Old ‘Hunger Stones’ Emerge From Dry Riverbeds In Drought-Stricken Europe

Hitler’s Scuttled Black Sea Fleet, Centuries-Old ‘Hunger Stones’ Emerge From Dry Riverbeds In Drought-Stricken Europe

Extreme droughts across Europe are revealing thousands of years of lost history.

In some regions, centuries-old warning messages etched into boulders have been exposed. As StrangeSounds.org reports, these rocks – known as “Hungersteine” or “Hunger Stones”

One stone, embedded in the Elbe River, which runs from the mountains of Czechia through Germany to the North Sea, dates back to a drought in 1616, is once again visible in the dry riverbed.

The warning reads, “Wenn du mich seehst, dann weine” – “If you see me, weep.”

Source

“Hunger stones” like this one were used as “hydrological landmarks” across central Europe, NPR reported when the stones last surfaced during a 2018 drought.

These stones are “chiselled with the years of hardship and the initials of authors lost to history,” a team of Czech researchers wrote in a 2013 study.

“The basic inscriptions warn of the consequences of drought. It expressed that drought had brought a bad harvest, lack of food, high prices and hunger for poor people.”

Europe’s current drought is certainly historic. As StrangeSounds.org goes on to note, the XIV century Mesta Bridge in Villarta de los Montes (Extremadura, Spain), a nice example of Mudéjar-Gothic civil engineering. Since 1956 it’s been covered by the waters of the Cijara Reservoir, but the drought has brought it back to light.

The remains of the Aquis Querquennis Roman castrum in Galicia, which is normally covered by the waters of the Lima River and the Concha reservoir. It dates back to the III century and was on the Via Nova.

As Italy faces “the most serious water crisis in the last 70 years,” a 450lb , World War II-era bomb was exposed in the dried up Po River bed…

In Spain, the Valdecanas reservoir has dried up and revealed a prehistoric stone circle dubbed the “Spanish Stonehenge,” officially known as the Dolmen of Guadalperal, which has been covered by water since 1963…

Finally, and perhaps most dramatically, a Nazi fleet of 20 World War German warships re-surfaced as the water level in the River Danube in Serbia plunged to extreme lows…

Hitler’s Black Sea fleet was scuttled in 1944 as the German army retreated from Soviet forces, Reuters report.

According to The Washington Post, many more ships are thought to be buried under the river’s sandbanks.

Tyler Durden
Sun, 08/21/2022 – 07:35

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/Z9OalcR Tyler Durden

Self-Driving Vehicles Could Be On Britain’s Roads As Early As 2025

Self-Driving Vehicles Could Be On Britain’s Roads As Early As 2025

Authored by Chris Summers via The Epoch Times,

Cars, lorries, and coaches with self-driving features could be operating on Britain’s motorways next year and fully autonomous vehicles could be a feature on the roads by 2025 under plans unveiled on Friday.

The Department for Transport, which is injecting £100 million worth of investment, published a policy paper that said the self-driving vehicle industry could create up to 38,000 jobs and be worth £42 billion to the UK economy.

Transport Secretary Grant Shapps said: 

“The benefits of self-driving vehicles have the potential to be huge. Not only can they improve people’s access to education and other vital services, but the industry itself can create tens of thousands of job opportunities throughout the country. Most importantly, they’re expected to make our roads safer by reducing the dangers of driver error in road collisions.”

The DfT said vehicles that could drive themselves on motorways could be on sale by next year and fully autonomous buses and delivery vans could be on the roads by 2025.

The government said it believed self-driving technology would help people who had not learned how to drive or were elderly and disabled, and would also improve road safety by removing the element of human error. Unlike humans, computers do not suffer from fatigue or lapses of concentration.

The DfT said £34 million would be earmarked for research into how driverless cars perform in bad weather and how they interact with pedestrians, cyclists, and other vehicles.

‘Potential to Revolutionise People’s Lives’

Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng said:

Self-driving vehicles have the potential to revolutionise people’s lives, particularly by helping those who have mobility issues or rely on public transport to access the jobs, local shops, and vital services we all depend on.”

An undated photo of Nuro’s R1 driverless delivery van packed with Kroger groceries, which began tests in Scottsdale, Ariz., in 2018. (Kroger/Reuters)

In June, the House of Commons Transport Select Committee said it was launching an inquiry into the potential implications of self-driving vehicles on Britain’s roads.

Many modern cars are already fitted with automatic emergency braking systems—which override the driver—and other forms of “assisted driving” but last month the Alliance of British Drivers urged the government not to go further and make Intelligent Speed Assistance (ISA) technology mandatory in all UK vehicles.

Some versions of ISA bypass the driver and automatically reduce the speed of the car if he or she is exceeding the speed limit.

The president of the AA, Edmund King, welcomed the government’s initiative but said:

“It is quite a big leap from assisted driving, where the driver is still in control, to self-driving, where the car takes control. It is important that the government does study how these vehicles would interact with other road users on different roads and changing weather conditions.

“However, the ultimate prize, in terms of saving thousands of lives and improving the mobility of the elderly and the less mobile, is well worth pursuing,” he added.

A number of companies, including MercedesGeneral Motors, Amazon, and Google, are trialling self-driving cars. Tesla said earlier this year automated car navigation software was one of its main priorities.

Tyler Durden
Sun, 08/21/2022 – 07:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/WgItMB1 Tyler Durden

How Slaughterhouse-Five Became a Repeated Target of Book Burners


Kurt Vonnegut Slaughterhouse-Five banned book

Like Billy Pilgrim, the unstuck-in-time protagonist of Kurt Vonnegut’s Slaughterhouse-Five, or, The Children’s Crusadeit can sometimes feel like we’re all witnessing the same censorship fights again and again.

Since it was published in 1969, Slaughterhouse-Five has been a repeated target for book burners—sometimes quite literally. In 1973, 32 copies of the book were thrown into the furnace at a high school in Drake, North Dakota, on orders from the local school board after parents complained about the book’s sex and profanity. Sensibilities about those things have come a long way in the past few decades, but Vonnegut’s novel is still a target. In 2011, a school board in Missouri barred the book from the curriculum and ordered it confined to a special section of the school’s library.

The American Library Association says Slaughterhouse-Five was one of the most frequently challenged books of the 20th century.

It is also one of the most important books of that century for its unflinching portrayal of the brutality of war, its unconventional and deliberately meta structure, and its fatalist perspective that nonetheless eschews nihilism. Inspired by Vonnegut’s experience as a prisoner of war during the Allied firebombing of Dresden, Slaughterhouse-Five explores the absurdity of mass-scale murder. It asks, but leaves mostly unanswered, the questions about free will and responsibility that recur throughout many of Vonnegut’s other works.

In short, it’s about a lot more than sex and profanity.

Of course, it has those things too, in ample doses, as the would-be censors point out. But just as Slaughterhouse-Five catapulted Vonnegut to fame, the attempts to ban the book boosted his standing as a critic of all forms of censorship. Vonnegut died in 2007—so it goes—but that crusade lives on through the Kurt Vonnegut Museum and Library in the author’s hometown of Indianapolis. The museum includes a library of “banned books,” and the foundation behind the operation funds First Amendment advocacy efforts.

The right to express violent and crude thoughts in art is essential. But Vonnegut, cynical and ornery as he could be, always strove to make a deeper point with his vulgarity. “If you were to bother to read my books, to behave as educated persons would, you would learn that they are not sexy, and do not argue in favor of wildness of any kind,” he wrote to the Drake school board in 1973. “They beg that people be kinder and more responsible than they often are.”

The post How <em>Slaughterhouse-Five</em> Became a Repeated Target of Book Burners appeared first on Reason.com.

from Latest https://ift.tt/VofYAyC
via IFTTT

How Slaughterhouse-Five Became a Repeated Target of Book Burners


Kurt Vonnegut Slaughterhouse-Five banned book

Like Billy Pilgrim, the unstuck-in-time protagonist of Kurt Vonnegut’s Slaughterhouse-Five, or, The Children’s Crusadeit can sometimes feel like we’re all witnessing the same censorship fights again and again.

Since it was published in 1969, Slaughterhouse-Five has been a repeated target for book burners—sometimes quite literally. In 1973, 32 copies of the book were thrown into the furnace at a high school in Drake, North Dakota, on orders from the local school board after parents complained about the book’s sex and profanity. Sensibilities about those things have come a long way in the past few decades, but Vonnegut’s novel is still a target. In 2011, a school board in Missouri barred the book from the curriculum and ordered it confined to a special section of the school’s library.

The American Library Association says Slaughterhouse-Five was one of the most frequently challenged books of the 20th century.

It is also one of the most important books of that century for its unflinching portrayal of the brutality of war, its unconventional and deliberately meta structure, and its fatalist perspective that nonetheless eschews nihilism. Inspired by Vonnegut’s experience as a prisoner of war during the Allied firebombing of Dresden, Slaughterhouse-Five explores the absurdity of mass-scale murder. It asks, but leaves mostly unanswered, the questions about free will and responsibility that recur throughout many of Vonnegut’s other works.

In short, it’s about a lot more than sex and profanity.

Of course, it has those things too, in ample doses, as the would-be censors point out. But just as Slaughterhouse-Five catapulted Vonnegut to fame, the attempts to ban the book boosted his standing as a critic of all forms of censorship. Vonnegut died in 2007—so it goes—but that crusade lives on through the Kurt Vonnegut Museum and Library in the author’s hometown of Indianapolis. The museum includes a library of “banned books,” and the foundation behind the operation funds First Amendment advocacy efforts.

The right to express violent and crude thoughts in art is essential. But Vonnegut, cynical and ornery as he could be, always strove to make a deeper point with his vulgarity. “If you were to bother to read my books, to behave as educated persons would, you would learn that they are not sexy, and do not argue in favor of wildness of any kind,” he wrote to the Drake school board in 1973. “They beg that people be kinder and more responsible than they often are.”

The post How <em>Slaughterhouse-Five</em> Became a Repeated Target of Book Burners appeared first on Reason.com.

from Latest https://ift.tt/VofYAyC
via IFTTT

Chang: China Is Preparing To Go To War

Chang: China Is Preparing To Go To War

Authored by Gordon Change via 19fortyfive.com,

Last month, a Chinese entrepreneur making medical equipment for consumers told me that local officials had demanded he convert his production lines in China so that they could turn out items for the military. Communist Party cadres, he said, were issuing similar orders to other manufacturers.

Moreover, Chinese academics privately say the ongoing expulsion of foreign colleagues from China’s universities appears to be a preparation for hostilities.

The People’s Republic of China is preparing to go to war, and it is not trying to hide its efforts. Amendments to the National Defense Law, effective the first day of last year, transfer powers from civilian to military officials.

In general, the amendments reduce the role of the central government’s State Council by shifting power to the CMC, the Communist Party’s Central Military Commission. Specifically, the State Council will no longer supervise the mobilization of the People’s Liberation Army.

As Zeng Zhiping of Soochow University told Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post,

“The CMC is now formally in charge of making national defense policy and principles, while the State Council becomes a mere implementing agency to provide support for the military.”

In one sense, these amendments were window dressing. “Recent changes to China’s National Defense Law that diminish the power of the State Council are largely political posturing,” Richard Fisher of the Virginia-based International Assessment and Strategy Center told me soon after the amendments went into effect. “The Chinese Communist Party and particularly its subordinate CMC have always held supreme power over decisions regarding war and peace.”

Why then do we care about the National Defense Law amendments?

The amendments, Fisher tells us, “point to China’s ambition to achieve ‘whole nation’ levels of military mobilization to fight wars and give the CMC formal power to control the future Chinese capabilities for global military intervention.”

“The revised National Defense Law also embodies the concept that everyone should be involved in national defense,” reports the Communist Party’s Global Times, summarizing the words of an unnamed CMC official. “All national organizations, armed forces, political parties, civil groups, enterprises, social organizations, and other organizations should support and take part in the development of national defense, fulfill national defense duties, and carry out national defense missions according to the law.”

As Fisher told 19FortyFive this month, “For the past 40 years, China’s Communist Party has been preparing for brutal war, and now the ruling organization is accelerating its plans.”

The Party, as it readies itself for combat, is leaving nothing to chance. In March, its Central Organization Department issued an internal directive prohibiting the spouses and children of ministerial-level officials from owning foreign real estate or shares registered offshore. The ban also appears to apply to such officials themselves as there are reports of their selling foreign assets. Moreover, such officials and immediate families are not, except in limited circumstances, allowed to open accounts overseas with financial institutions.

The directive, issued soon after the imposition of sanctions on Russian officials for the “special military operation” in Ukraine, appears designed to sanction-proof Chinese officials.

J-10 Fighter.

Moreover, the central government is trying to sanctions-proof itself. On April 22, officials from the finance ministry and central bank met with representatives of dozens of banks, including HSBC, to discuss what Beijing could do in the event of the imposition of punitive measures on China.

The holding of the “emergency meeting,” reported by the Financial Times, is ominous.

“The officials and attendees did not mention specific scenarios, but one possible trigger for such sanctions is thought to be a Chinese invasion of Taiwan,” the FT noted.

The fact that Chinese officials held the meeting is a clear indication that Beijing is planning belligerent acts.

“Be ready for battle.” That’s how Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post summarized Chinese ruler Xi Jinping’s first order to the military of 2019. In January of that year, he gave a major speech to the CMC on making preparations for war, and the address was then broadcast nationwide.

Foreign analysts debate whether China is going to war anytime soon. The Chinese political system has become less transparent over time, so it is not clear what senior leaders are thinking.

Image of J-20 fighter. Image Credit: Chinese Internet.

Yet it is clear what senior leaders are in fact doing. They are getting troops ready for another advance below the Line of Actual Control in Ladakh, preparing to seize more Indian territory in the Himalayas. They renewed, in November of last year and this June, attempts to block the resupply of a Philippine outpost at Second Thomas Shoal, in the South China Sea. They ordered four vessels to enter Japan’s sovereign water around the disputed but Japanese-controlled Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea in late July. They are directing continual provocations around Taiwan, including a violation of the island’s sovereign airspace in early February.

And there is something else that is unmistakable: Xi and senior leaders are getting China’s citizens ready for war.

*  *  *

A 19FortyFive Contributing Editor, Gordon G. Chang is the author of The Coming Collapse of China and The Great U.S.-China Tech War. Follow him on Twitter @GordonGChang

Tyler Durden
Sat, 08/20/2022 – 23:30

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/8jO0Mrs Tyler Durden

All The Contents Of The Universe, In One Graphic

All The Contents Of The Universe, In One Graphic

Scientists agree that the universe consists of three distinct parts: everyday visible (or measurable) matter, and two theoretical components called dark matter and dark energy.

As Visual Capitalists’s Mark Belan explains below, these last two are theoretical because they have yet to be directly measured – but even without a full understanding of these mysterious pieces to the puzzle, scientists can infer that the universe’s composition can be broken down as follows:

Let’s look at each component in more detail.

Dark Energy

Dark energy is the theoretical substance that counteracts gravity and causes the rapid expansion of the universe. It is the largest part of the universe’s composition, permeating every corner of the cosmos and dictating how it behaves and how it will eventually end.

Dark Matter

Dark matter, on the other hand, has a restrictive force that works closely alongside gravity. It is a sort of “cosmic cement” responsible for holding the universe together. Despite avoiding direct measurement and remaining a mystery, scientists believe it makes up the second largest component of the universe.

Free Hydrogen and Helium

Free hydrogen and helium are elements that are free-floating in space. Despite being the lightest and most abundant elements in the universe, they make up roughly 4% of its total composition.

Stars, Neutrinos, and Heavy Elements

All other hydrogen and helium particles that are not free-floating in space exist in stars.

Stars are one of the most populous things we can see when we look up at the night sky, but they make up less than one percent—roughly 0.5%—of the cosmos.

Neutrinos are subatomic particles that are similar to electrons, but they are nearly weightless and carry no electrical charge. Although they erupt out of every chemical reaction, they account for roughly 0.3% of the universe.

Heavy elements are all other elements aside from hydrogen and helium.

Elements form in a process called nucleosynthesis, which takes places within stars throughout their lifetimes and during their explosive deaths. Almost everything we see in our material universe is made up of these heavy elements, yet they make up the smallest portion of the universe: a measly 0.03%.

How Do We Measure the Universe?

In 2009, the European Space Agency (ESA) launched a space observatory called Planck to study the properties of the universe as a whole.

Its main task was to measure the afterglow of the explosive Big Bang that originated the universe 13.8 billion years ago. This afterglow is a special type of radiation called cosmic microwave background radiation (CMBR).

Temperature can tell scientists much about what exists in outer space. When investigating the “microwave sky”, researchers look for fluctuations (called anisotropy) in the temperature of CMBR. Instruments like Planck help reveal the extent of irregularities in CMBR’s temperature, and inform us of different components that make up the universe.

You can see below how the clarity of CMBR changes over time with multiple space missions and more sophisticated instrumentation.

What Else is Out There?

Scientists are still working to understand the properties that make up dark energy and dark matter.

NASA is currently planning a 2027 launch of the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, an infrared telescope that will hopefully help us in measuring the effects of dark energy and dark matter for the first time.

As for what’s beyond the universe? Scientists aren’t sure.

There are hypotheses that there may be a larger “super universe” that contains us, or we may be a part of one “island” universe set apart from other island multiverses. Unfortunately we aren’t able to measure anything that far yet. Unravelling the mysteries of the deep cosmos, at least for now, remains a local endeavor.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 08/20/2022 – 23:00

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/0kFIUiu Tyler Durden

Biden Misled Public On Afghanistan; New GOP Report Finds

Biden Misled Public On Afghanistan; New GOP Report Finds

Authored by Susan Crabtree via RealClear Politics (emphasis ours),

The frantic and deadly U.S. evacuation from Afghanistan was so disorganized that 1,450 children were evacuated without their parents, and senior leaders in Vice President Kamala Harris’ and first lady Jill Biden’s offices, as well as one of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, asked private veteran groups for assistance evacuating certain people from the country.

In the waning days of the evacuation, more than 1,000 women and girls waited more than 24 hours on dozens of buses, desperately circling the Kabul airport and trying to avoid Taliban checkpoints. Many of them were told multiple times they were not allowed to enter the airport. Now, nearly a year since the Taliban took control of the country, fewer than one-third of them have managed to flee the country.

These are just some of the findings in a new report by Republicans on the House Foreign Affairs Committee one year after the Taliban swept into the Afghan capital of Kabul, almost instantly rolling back more than two decades of U.S. and NATO military support and nation-building efforts.

More broadly, the report, which RealClearPolitics obtained late last week, asserts President Biden and top officials in his administration repeatedly – and perhaps intentionally – misled the American people when they said the fall of Kabul came as a surprise and there was no alternative other than depending on the Taliban for security in the Afghan capital as the U.S. military evacuated hastily.  

The report asserts that the chaotic withdrawal that left more than 800 American citizens stranded in the country was completely avoidable if Biden and his national security team had listened to the warnings and advice of military leaders, U.S. diplomatic officials operating on the ground, and international allies.

It adds that one of the most tragic outcomes of the evacuation – the death of 13 U.S. servicemembers and 160 Afghans in a suicide bombing at the Kabul airport – could have been prevented if the administration had accepted the Taliban’s Aug. 15 offer for the U.S. to control the capital city’s security until the end of the withdrawal.

Such an arrangement would have allowed American forces to extend the airport’s security perimeter, creating more space for evacuating Afghans and a far more orderly process. It also would have prevented U.S. servicemembers from being penned in amid the frantic crush of Afghans desperately trying to board U.S. military planes, leaving them vulnerable to the suicide attack, several former officials told committee Republicans, according to the report.

There were many sins if you will – there was a complete lack of and failure to plan,” Rep. Mike McCaul, the top Republican on the panel told CBS News’ Face the Nation Sunday. “There was no plan executed.”

In a new memo over the weekend, the White House started defending its decision to withdraw troops, arguing that the move strengthened U.S. national security by freeing up military and intelligence agents and assets. The memo, written by National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson and first reported by Axios, is a direct response to the House Republicans’ interim report outlining their view of the administration’s withdrawal failures.

It assails the House Republicans’ report as a partisan exercise “riddled with inaccurate characterizations, cherry picked information, and false claims…. It advocates for endless war and for sending more troops to Afghanistan, and it ignores the impacts of the flawed deal that former President Trump struck with the Taliban,” the memo states.

Republicans are standing by their findings, arguing that a failure to plan left the State Department with only 36 consular officers at the airport trying to process hundreds of thousands of people in a matter of days. These officials were overwhelmed, McCaul said, but the lack of resources for a withdrawal of this magnitude was just one of the many mistakes involved in failing to plan for Kabul’s fall despite multiple warnings.

Several top U.S. military leaders for months had warned the president that the Afghan government would likely collapse if the U.S. left fewer than 2,500 troops stationed there, the report states.

The report also cites “more realistic assessments on the ground,” including a July 13, 2021, embassy cable from 23 U.S. personnel assigned to the embassy in Kabul, which reportedly contained “a stark warning” about the potential collapse of the Afghan state. The cable, which the Wall Street Journal first reported a year ago, and was sent to Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Director of Policy Planning Salman Ahmed, called on the State Department to respond more urgently to the Taliban’s offensive.

Although Blinken acknowledged the existence of the cable, he has refused to share it or disclose his response to it with congressional committees, including the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

The biggest mistake of all, McCaul argued, was Biden’s rejection of the Taliban’s offer for the U.S. to take control of Kabul’s security until the evacuation was over.

“Think about what that would have changed,” McCaul said. “We had to rely on the Taliban to secure the perimeter of [the airport], that led to the chaos, and it also led to the suicide bomber who killed 13 servicemen and women and injured hundreds of people.

The Biden administration also rebuffed other offers that could have helped prevent the frantic crush of Afghans at the airport and preserve America’s reputation abroad, the report states. U.S. leaders ignored a proposal from Guam for the U.S. territory to serve as an interim processing center to help evacuate interpreters and other at-risk allies. It similarly declined an offer from Pakistan to have a facility there serve as a transit center for evacuees, despite other facilities in Qatar and Germany reaching capacity.

The report, which will serve as a roadmap for several lines of inquiry if Republicans win back the majority in either chamber this fall, is based on open-source information, along with interviews with U.S. officials and civilians involved in evacuating U.S. citizens and Afghan allies. Several whistleblowers who requested anonymity also played a key role, along with sworn statements by U.S. military personnel who were part of the investigation into the August 26, 2021, suicide bombing at the Kabul airport.

The State Department did not comply with requests for documents and transcribed interviews with 34 administration officials involved in the Afghanistan evacuation effort. The report also criticizes the full House Foreign Affairs Committee, led by Democratic Rep. Greg Meeks of New York, for holding just one full committee hearing with senior Biden administration officials on the Afghanistan withdrawal even though it’s widely recognized as one of the worst U.S. foreign policy failures in decades.

While the report says more State Department resources would have helped ease panic and confusion, it faults the agency for basic communication miscues that further exacerbated the chaos.

By ignoring early warnings that they were not moving quickly enough to evacuate Americans and at-risk Afghans who had worked directly with the U.S. government, they left American citizens, green-card holders, and Afghan allies approved for departure stranded outside airport gates with no assistance.

Attempts by members of Congress and their staff to help their constituents or other would-be evacuees were often stymied by out-of-office replies to email requests and broken links to web pages mean to submit information,” according to the report.

It also criticizes U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan Ross Wilson for going on a two-week vacation as Afghanistan was falling apart. Wilson took his summer break immediately after accompanying then-Afghanistan President Ghani to a late June meeting with Biden who promised the Afghan envoy, “We’re going to stick with you, and we’re going to do our best to see to it that you have the tools you need.”

“There were no decisions made in the embassy until [Ross] returned in mid-July. This made action impossible,” a U.S. military officer told Army investigators. “Ground could have been gained at this time if the embassy had been able to do anything.”

A couple of weeks later, it was Biden and Blinken who were on vacation at Camp David and the Hamptons, respectively, when alarms began sounding at the Pentagon for the need to relocate all of U.S. embassy personnel to the Kabul airport. Before the move, the personnel were being ordered to destroy sensitive documents in response to new fears of an immediate Taliban takeover of Kabul.

All these hasty actions left no time for the State Department to speed up the processing of immigration applications for the Afghan allies Biden had promised to protect.

There were no plans made to evacuate tens of thousands of U.S.-trained Afghan commandoes and other elite units who possess sensitive knowledge about American military operations.

Also left behind: women leaders and soldiers whom Americans had promised sanctuary, along with more than 10,000 Afghans who had been employed by Embassy Kabul since it was re-established in 2001 and thousands more who worked with U.S. Agency for International Development.

Nearly one year after the last U.S. troops left Afghanistan, the Biden administration still lacks a plan to help these at-risk Afghan allies who fought and worked alongside U.S. forces, even though the administration has admitted that the Taliban and other terrorist groups have subjected these U.S. allies to killings and forced disappearances.

And, despite Biden’s assurances that the U.S. had accomplished its original goal of expelling al Qaeda and other terrorist groups from the country, the report points to the recent U.S. strike against Ayman al Zawahiri, a top al Qaeda leader, who was living freely in downtown Kabul, as proof of the group’s presence in Afghanistan.

Thankfully, al Zawahiri was killed by a U.S. drone strike last month, but officials warn that al Qaeda and ISIS-K continue to grow their presence in Afghanistan,” the report states.

Meanwhile, the withdrawal has wreaked havoc on the country’s economy, with some estimates that 95% of the country needs emergency assistance to avoid hunger. With the Taliban back in control, there are reports of targeted revenge killings against those who worked with the U.S. government or military. U.S.-based volunteer groups seeking to aid Afghan evacuees have reported nearly 500 reprisal attacks, including beheadings, hangings, severed limbs, lash marks, and car shootings.

The United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan reported in July 2022 that these killings are often carried out “execution style – for example, when an individual is taken out of their house and shot almost immediately,” the report notes.

One of the worst casualties of the U.S. withdrawal from the country is the dramatic regression of women and girls, who are now ordered to wear burqas and are prevented from attending school or universities or even from walking unaccompanied in public places.

Child marriage is also reportedly on the rise with girls as young as nine years old being sold into marriage to pay off debts, or families being forced to marry off their young daughters to Taliban fighters, the report states, quoting PBS documentary filmmaker Ramita Navai’s comments earlier this month after two visits to Afghanistan.

The report also cites a finding by Amnesty International that “many women protesters” in Afghanistan who demonstrated against the Taliban’s repressive policies “have been subjected to arbitrary arrest and detention, enforced disappearance and torture,” including Taliban-administered beatings and electric shocks with tasers.

Although Blinken acknowledged reprisal attacks and killings earlier this year, the report points out that the secretary played down the Taliban leadership’s responsibility for the deaths.

We are of course seeing retribution, attacks by Taliban against those who are part of the former government,” he told a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing on April 28. “These seem to be, for the most part, not centrally directed, that is they – they tend to be happening at a local level, but they’re happening.”

Many of these allies are still sheltering in safe houses, afraid that the Taliban informants will expose their previous work with the U.S. government or NATO allies. Each passing week, they have fewer resources to purchase basic items such as food, fuel, and shelter.

With the State Department unable to aid these people, the task of clothing, feeding, and sheltering tens of thousands of Afghans has fallen to outside veteran or humanitarian groups or sympathetic individuals. With almost no support from the U.S. government, some of the personnel running these groups, many of them comprising military veterans, have drained their personal retirement accounts, quit jobs, and suspended their small businesses in order to raise the funds to operate these networks of safe houses.

“But these funds are not limitless, and the resource strains incurred have endangered the continued existence of these safe houses which many Afghans and Americans rely on for their very survival,” the report concludes.

Susan Crabtree is RealClearPolitics’ White House/national political correspondent.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 08/20/2022 – 22:30

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/HGjJ03S Tyler Durden