“Dormant Commerce” and Corporate Powers

Yesterday the Court reversed in Mallory v. Norfolk Southern Railway Co., upholding personal jurisdiction under consent-by-registration statutes. Importantly, the Court distinguished between two different legal questions. Whether a state can use consent as a basis for personal jurisdiction is reviewed under the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. But whether it can offer particular inducements to secure that consent, like the right to conduct local business, is reviewed under other doctrines such as dormant commerce. Justice Alito expressed serious skepticism about Pennsylvania’s law on the latter point, but he joined the majority of the Court in leaving the issue open (see footnote 3), to be decided (if at all) on remand.

All that seems quite right to me.  As I’ve argued here before, the relevant source of law for personal jurisdiction isn’t the Fifth or Fourteenth Amendments, but rules of general and international law. Taking away someone’s property under a jurisdictionless judgment is a deprivation without due process, so the Fourteenth Amendment’s Due Process Clause let federal courts review how a state had applied the general rules.

Under those rules, each state had jurisdiction over its own corporations. It also might have jurisdiction over other corporations allowed to operate within its borders, given that doing so required the state’s consent. But once the Court recognized a dormant commerce right for corporations to operate across state borders, consent or no, this theory no longer worked. The doctrine changed to an amorphous notion of “corporate presence,” which  soon fell apart under its own weight and was replaced by International Shoe. That quieted these sorts of dormant-commerce questions for a long time, until Pennsylvania’s law finally pressed the consent issue in Mallory.

So what should happen if “Mallory II,” returning from remand, poses the dormant commerce problem directly?

Under current caselaw, Justice Alito’s skepticism seems justified. Forcing out-of-state corporations to answer suits totally unrelated to the forum might well dissuade them from operating across state lines; not every corporation will be willing to incur that exposure, or will tolerate the complications of running fifty separate state-level subsidiaries. So if the Pike test for a dormant commerce violation is whether the burden on interstate commerce is clearly excessive in relation to the local benefits, then one doesn’t have to work too hard to imagine a draft opinion finding such a burden here.

(Note that there might be intermediate cases: a state might require corporations to accept France-style plaintiff-based jurisdiction, letting any local citizen sue a registered corporation regardless of where the claim arose, something it couldn’t do in the absence of a registration statute. That kind of statute might be quite popular, and it might pass Pike‘s balancing test even if Pennsylvania’s statute doesn’t.)

But what if we look past the current caselaw? What follows are my tentative thoughts on the Founding-era law of corporate jurisdiction, and how it would have handled a case like Mallory.

To begin with, a central point: states don’t have to have corporate law. We’re used to a world of general corporation acts, in which anyone can form a corporation who wants to. But at the Founding, creating a corporation was an important and unusual legal event, and it might have even needed explicit permission from a stingy legislature. States could create thousands of corporations, or handfuls, or no corporations at all.

Moreover, nothing in the Constitution or its amendments changed this. The Fourteenth Amendment does not enact the Delaware General Corporation Law.

So what does this mean for commerce? Imagine that six Pennsylvanians want to run a lemonade stand together in Pennsylvania. If they want to own Pennsylvania property and enter Pennsylvania contracts under the name of some legal entity rather than their own, they’d need a right to do that under Pennsylvania law, and they might have to ask Pennsylvania’s legislature for permission. If they write to the Virginia Secretary of State’s office and form a Virginia corporation instead, that might give them a right to own property and enter contracts in Virginia—but not in Pennyslvania, where Virginia’s law doesn’t apply. In Pennsylvania, a group of six Pennsylvanians can’t hold property in the name of some imaginary entity (“Lemonade-R-Us”?) any more than the Corleone Family can hold property in the Family’s name: they’re not a legal entity here, just a group of individuals, whatever the government of Sicily might think. If Pennsylvania refuses them permission, it wouldn’t be a forbidden regulation of interstate commerce; it’d be a domestic regulation of the corporate form.

In practice, these distinctions are often muddied by comity principles. Most states will, as a matter of comity, let people who formed a corporation under some other jurisdiction’s law exercise corporate privileges here too. They were doing that back in the 1830s, for very good reasons. But they don’t have to.

More importantly, this kind of mutual recognition by comity is very different from imagining a group of six Pennsylvanians as actually being an “out-of-state entity” entering or leaving a local market, something that ordinarily sets our Commerce Clause antennae a-quivering. The fin-de-siècle Court’s mistake was in taking the corporate metaphor too literally—imagining an “out-of-state corporation” like “Lemonade-R-Us,” not as six Pennsylvanians in a trenchcoat, but as some actual object or actor that might actually cross borders. Objects and actors actually crossing borders are actual subjects of constitutional concern! But corporate persons “cross borders” only in a figurative sense; unlike actual persons, their right to act depends on the law. Under Article IV, a Virginian has just as much right as a Pennsylvanian to set up a lemonade stand in Pennsylvania. But a Virginia corporation isn’t a citizen of Virginia; state-created corporations never enjoyed and were never given the privileges and immunities of citizens in other states. (As Chief Justice Marshall put it, “that mere legal entity, a corporation aggregate, is certainly not a citizen,” though it may sometimes be able to exercise “the rights of the members . . . in their corporate name.”)

If we understand a “Virginia corporation” as standing in for a group of people, whether citizens of Virginia or not, given a privilege by Virginia’s legislature to do things together that they couldn’t do independently, it becomes obvious that nothing in the Constitution gives those same people a right to own and run a lemonade stand in Pennsylvania. The “dormant” Commerce Clause might address the cross-border movement of goods or people; but the only cross-border movement here involves letters to and from the Virginia Secretary of State’s office, which Pennsylvania isn’t doing anything to stop. The Privileges and Immunities Clause might put Virginians on an equal footing with Pennsylvanians; but it doesn’t say anything about the powers of the Virginia legislature, nor does it let that legislature dictate how Pennsylvanians can own or use their property at home. And the Equal Protection Clause might—under its modern reading—stop irrational discrimination designed to extract wealth from out-of-state shareholders; but it wouldn’t prevent Pennsylvania from adopting rational social and economic legislation, imposing a standard list of conditions on all persons who want to exercise corporate privileges within its own borders.*

So does the Constitution do anything to let corporations act in other states? Only indirectly. For example, if Congress wanted to, it could mandate interstate recognition of corporate privileges under the “Effect Clause” of the Full Faith and Credit Clause, giving state-created corporations a federal right to act in other states. Or, under the “wakeful” Commerce Clause (and the Necessary and Proper Clause), Congress could give a corporation an affirmative right to carry corporate privileges along when engaging in trade and traffic across state lines. Or it could do the same thing implicitly: if Congress awards a corporation a coasting license to carry goods among the states, that might impliedly preempt any state restrictions on its corporate privileges wherever federal law empowers it to go. And finally, if the “exclusive power” theory of the Commerce Clause is right, then maybe you don’t even need a federal license; maybe Pennsylvania just can’t stop a corporate entity from engaging in interstate commerce on its territory, on the theory that this would be “repugnant to the power to regulate commerce in its dormant state.” (Would that also work for foreign entities, if there’s a Foreign Commerce Clause too? Even the Corleone Family?) But even this logic wouldn’t extend to a right to conduct wholly intrastate commerce inside Pennsylvania’s borders, like setting up a lemonade stand (assuming, contra Wickard, that such a category exists).

For a long time in the twentieth century, courts argued about what kinds of activities were intrastate enough for a corporation engaging in them to be subject to local licensure or registration requirements. For reasons specific to this case, Norfolk Southern argued in the Pennsylvania courts that it was engaged in some wholly intrastate activities, in addition to the interstate work it did. That might complicate their arguments in any “Mallory II,” so it’s possible that these original-history questions wouldn’t even come up.

But as this case shows, the Court seems to be recognizing the need to revisit its horizontal-federalism jurisprudence. As the Court recently noted in Pork Producers, it’s often forced “to mediate competing claims of sovereign authority,” without any specific constitutional clause on which to hang its hat. Obviously Pennsylvania can’t set speed limits in Virginia, and vice versa; but what part of the Constitution actually says so? My own sense is that many of these rules were “constitutional backdrops” governed by rules of general and international law, which the Founders already used to mediate competing claims of authority among sovereigns, and which the Constitution shielded from various forms of interference even as it left their content in place. Sometimes the text secured these rules through a new mode of procedure: in diversity cases, for example, federal courts would apply a standardized set of choice-of-law rules,  enforcing state laws only “in cases where they apply.” And sometimes the text might have been secured them through more substantive means; perhaps, in a view to which I’m increasingly drawn, under the Privileges or Immunities Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, which could have given constitutional-law teeth to the general-law limits on a state’s police powers. In that case, Justice Alito’s discussion of the Privileges or Immunities Clause as a guarantor of crucial rights, and of the due process clause as a “refuge of sorts for constitutional principles that are not ‘procedural’ but would otherwise be homeless[,] … having been exiled from the provisions in which they may have originally been intended to reside,” may turn out be rather prescient.

 

 


* This is assuming the modern reading of the EPC as guaranteeing “the protection of equal laws,” per Yick Wo, rather than of securing equality in the “protection of the laws,” the remedial devices of the legal system (like courts and police) that protect rights already held, per Christopher Green. Given that an artificial entity’s power to sue and be sued has to be affirmatively granted, and isn’t guaranteed by the Privileges and Immunities Clause the way it would be for citizens, the original Equal Protection Clause wouldn’t have done much to let a Virginia corporation operate without permission in other states.

The post “Dormant Commerce” and Corporate Powers appeared first on Reason.com.

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French Fighter Jet Intercepts ‘Polish Barry Seal’ As Pilot Dumps Cocaine

French Fighter Jet Intercepts ‘Polish Barry Seal’ As Pilot Dumps Cocaine

On Saturday, a French fighter jet intercepted a small aircraft in southeast France. As the jet neared, the pilot began dumping bags of suspected cocaine from the plane, according to Agence France-Presse

The single-seater tourist plane flew in the remote Ardèche region when the pilot breached highly restricted airspace around a nuclear power plant. AFP said the French Air Force dispatched a Dassault Rafale to intercept the small aircraft that was “judged to be maneuvering suspiciously.” 

A military spokesperson said the fighter pilot “witnessed very erratic behavior in the cockpit (of the tourist plane), real agitation.” Over a few minutes, what happened next is like a scene from Tom Cruise’s film “American Made” when the actor portrayed cocaine smuggler Barry Seal. 

The fighter pilot said the man opened the plane door and tossed out packages. Investigators found 15 packages on the ground containing about 66 pounds (or 30kg) of ‘white power.’  

AFP said investigators are analyzing the white powder, and we’re sure the suspected trafficker, a Polish national with a past drugs offense, wasn’t dangerously flying around with baby powder…

Separately, the latest global cocaine trends were released by the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime on Monday. They found a “prolonged surge in both supply and demand of cocaine, which is now being felt across the globe and is likely to spur the development of new markets beyond the traditional confines.” 

That may be why French authorities seized a record 156.7 tons of drugs last year. As for the ‘Polish’ version of Barry Seal… We can only imagine.

Here’s a clip from American Made.  

Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 19:20

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The Left And Their Union Masters

The Left And Their Union Masters

Authored by Aaron White via RealClear Wire,

If political rhetoric was subject to the same rigid labeling standards American manufacturers are expected to meet, liberals would have to call themselves something else.

The term was undoubtedly test-marketed to evoke the image of someone more broadminded and generally more tolerant of others’ points of view.

Does that describe any leftist you know?

When liberals claim to prize diversity above virtually any other commodity, they’re referring only to differences in things that don’t matter and, by their own admission, human beings are born to be. Things like race, gender and sexual orientation.

Opinions and actions, on the other hand, are fair game for the most soul-crushing forms of discrimination.

If that sounds like an exaggeration, you haven’t ventured onto a college campus or spent time on social media platforms, whose sole purpose is to quash viewpoints with which those in power disagree.

Less obvious to the naked eye, unfortunately, is perhaps the single-largest funding source for this toxic ideology — organized labor in general and government employee unions in particular.

Because the whole idea of collective bargaining is based on excusing a relative handful of union members from the forces of supply and demand with which unorganized workers must contend, it only follows that union leaders would be suspicious, at best, of America’s market-driven economy. But at least those representing workers in the private sector understand their demands must be tempered by the employer’s need to earn profits.

Government employee unions, however, recognize no such constraints.

Members of groups like the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) and teachers’ unions like the National Education Association (NEA) and the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) are paid by tax dollars funneled through public employees’ paychecks. Consequently, leaders of their unions have a vested interest in growing the size and scope of government, regardless of how that impacts the rest of us.

Unlike their peers in the real world, government union leaders know they aren’t dependent on the goodwill of millions of consumers, so they generally don’t care about whether their membership agrees with their stances. And if they don’t agree, they rely on bullying strategies to stop them from leaving and the overall size of government growing. So they focus on working with greedy politicians who can raise the taxes needed to advance a liberal agenda that has nothing whatsoever to do with workers’ pay or working conditions.

For example:

  • At the height of the COVID pandemic, leaders of the United Teachers of Los Angeles (UTLA) demanded the defunding of law enforcement and universal Medicare in return for returning to the classroom;
  • The NEA used its 2020-21 annual conference to debate a pair of resolutions expressing the group’s public support for Palestinian statehood and condemn Israel’s “ethnic cleansing” of Palestinians;
  • AFT President Randi Weingarten has used her union to wage a massive assault on the Second Amendment — including outright weapon confiscation — saying the U.S. must follow “what other great democracies” have done to ban guns;
  • Under President Mary Kay Henry, the SEIU in 2022 partnered with the Green New Deal Network for a series of protests to present a united front on climate legislation as they urged Congress to pass President Biden’s bloated “Build Back Better” proposal before the midterms; and,
  • Declaring that “racial, social and economic equality are top priorities for AFSCME,” the union in 2018 adopted Resolution 51, calling for, among many things, “bias training, which helps identify built-in prejudices.”

The Left has long accused conservative political candidates and causes of being funded by huge, faceless corporate interests — a notion thoroughly invalidated, incidentally, via such companies Anheuser-Busch, Target and Disney, whose recent missteps had nothing to do with profits and everything to do with the far-Left ideologies of their leaders.

But even if it were true that Wall Street uniformly skewed right while unions backed the Left, there’s an important distinction: However much the Kochs or the Waltons have spent on conservative legislation, at least it’s their money. Unions, meanwhile, confiscate billions of dues dollars every year from the paychecks of millions of government employees who think it’s being spent on representation and use it to underwrite a radical, leftist ideology perhaps half their members don’t even share. 

In theory, this should no longer be the case. In 2018, the U.S. Supreme Court, in Janus v. AFSCME, affirmed that union membership and dues and/or agency fees could no longer be made mandatory, as they had been for public employees in nearly half the country for generations. But unions responded by adopting a laundry list of strategies intended to blunt the court’s unambiguous intent — everything from suppressing information about the ruling to filing lawsuits against members seeking to opt out of union affiliation and even forging workers’ names on membership documents.

Since Janus, government employee unions have lost nearly 800,000 members, taking with them billions in dues revenue that can never again be used to fund a machine that suppresses the rights of its own members in order to advance policies that rob the rest of us our God-given freedoms.

But they’re still kicking.

The struggle to expose labor’s unsavory role in the process is being waged battle by battle, but the war isn’t yet won.

Aaron Withe is the CEO of the Freedom Foundation, a national public policy watchdog focusing on government employee unions. His first book, “Freedom is the Foundation,” was released this month.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 19:00

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There Were At Least 13 Campus Hate-Crime Hoaxes This School Year

There Were At Least 13 Campus Hate-Crime Hoaxes This School Year

Authored by Matt Lamb via The College Fix,

The 2022-23 school year saw 13 hate crime hoaxes and six questionable claims, according to a College Fix analysis.

 

 

Sports competitions continue to oddly be a source for race hoaxes, despite the omnipresence of phones that can capture alleged racial slurs.

Pennsylvania State University fans found themselves falsely accused of using racial slurs against Rutgers University’s men’s basketball team. “Further investigation into reported fan behavior at the Penn State versus Rutgers basketball game on [Feb. 26] has found that no apparent racial slurs were used by Penn State fans,” the university announced.

By now, it should be clear that claims of racial slurs at sports games are likely not true.

The hoax that attracted the most attention of them all began in August, when Duke University volleyball player Rachel Richardson claimed that someone at a game against Brigham Young University kept yelling the n-word at her. This is actually two hate crime hoaxes, because her godmother also claimed that someone yelled the word every single time the black volleyball player went to serve.

The hoax led the University of South Carolina women’s basketball coach to cancel a game against BYU, even after the hoax had been debunked. The University of Pacific canceled its game against BYU after the debunked hoax as well.

August was a busy time for hate crime hoaxes, as that is when a black female in a “head scarf” named Zaynab Bintabdul-Hadijakien was charged for an attack on the Black Cultural Center. UVA officials would not identify the suspect, and even a police report redacted her race, but The Fix dug around and found out she is a black female.

Even when a black Democrat at Harvard University stood accused of yelling a “homophobic slur” at a peer, LGBT students on campus blamed the pro-life club. This did not appear to be part of a rhetorical exercise, like when the president of MIT’s student government perpetrated two campus hate-crime hoaxes, hanging posters and chalking slurs against LGBTQ people, Latinos and other “marginalized communities,” to protest free speech.

He was not the only LGBT person who left slurs for others in his tribe. For example, a “non-binary” University of Connecticut student found “homophobic language” on a dorm room door – but the culprits were other LGBTQ students.

Other race hoaxes this school year include: the juvenile allegedly behind the bomb threats against historically black colleges and universities, a black man who trashed the University of Florida’s Institute for Black Culture sign, and the claim that white students surrounded a black female student at Sam Houston State University and poured water on her.

The university told The Fix in September 2022 that police were “unable to verify” the claim.

Race hoaxes are trickling down to the high school level as well, including the “White Power” graffiti left by Hispanic gangs at an Idaho high school and the two black students who circulated a “racist anti-Black caricature”at a high school in Sacramento, a common place for hate crime hoaxes.

Not confirmed, but seems questionable

The school year also saw questionable claims of hate crimes which were never confirmed or disproven.

Most recently, The Fix reported that Eastern Washington University police closed an investigation into the n-word written on a mirror in a dance studio on campus. The Black Student Union reported finding the word after class.

LGBT individuals at Harvard University claimed they received an email, echoing the language used by hoax perpetrator Jussie Smollett, that Cambridge was “MAGA Country.” Subsequent reporting by The Fix noted that the university quietly closed the investigation without telling anyone.

Similarly, American University would not divulge the race of the suspect who wrote “Black people suck.”

Black students at Grinnell College in Iowa claimed there had been “14 vehicles” vandalized, though students never reported it to the local police department. Campus safety was informed, however.

However, sometimes hate crimes, or at least hateful acts between two races or religions, do occur.

A black individual and two white friends wrote a racial slur on a black student’s dorm, although the police never charged anyone with a hate crime. Alston Willis was charged with harassment while the other individuals were given a warning for trespassing.

In a more serious crime, three black teens were charged with misdemeanor battery charges for assaulting a Chinese University of Wisconsin Madison student.

Finally, law enforcement closed an investigation into a racist letter allegedly sent to a University of Cincinnati Professor Antar Tichavakunda after he refused to answer questions from the police.

The scholar claimed he received a letter which advocated for America to be “ethnically cleansed” and claimed black people shouldn’t be in school because “schools are for human beings not black afterbirth.”

Special mention

While not exactly a campus hate crime in the sense that it was perpetrated by a student or professor or occurred at a school, special mention goes to the academics who rushed to blame a deadly attack on an LGBT club on the “right-wing” — however, the suspect, who recently pled guilty to five murder charges identifies as “non-binary.”

“I have no doubt in the coming days we will learn that the motive of the 22 year old young person who turned to violence was influenced by hateful rhetoric online and within right-wing media,” University at Buffalo Professor Ben Fabian commented soon after the shooting in a message to his peers.

That claim, like so many other hate crime allegations, has been debunked.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 18:20

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Surovikin Missing? US Intel Claims Top Russian General Knew About Wagner Mutiny Plans

Surovikin Missing? US Intel Claims Top Russian General Knew About Wagner Mutiny Plans

Anonymous US officials have pushed yet another massive claim regarding the weekend Wagner Group uprising in Russia–a claim which is being met with widespread skepticism on Wednesday, including a formal rejection from the Kremlin. 

The intelligence officials told The New York Times that at the highest ranks of Russia’s military command, a key general had foreknowledge that an armed Wagner uprising was coming. In particular, the report claims the top general overseeing the Ukraine operation had advanced awareness of the mutiny plot.

“A senior Russian general had advance knowledge of Yevgeny Prigozhin’s plans to rebel against Russia’s military leadership, according to U.S. officials briefed on American intelligence on the matter, which has prompted questions about what support the mercenary leader had inside the top ranks,” NYT wrote.

And the anon US intel officials have taken the claims even further, suggesting potential active plotting and co-conspiracy within the defense ministry. “The officials said they are trying to learn if Gen. Sergei Surovikin, the former top Russian commander in Ukraine, helped plan Mr. Prigozhin’s actions last weekend, which posed the most dramatic threat to President Vladimir V. Putin in his 23 years in power,” said the report.

One initial and obvious inconsistency to this narrative is that Prigozhin has for months heaped negative statements and scorn not only on Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu, but his invectives have targeted Gen. Surovikin and the entire top command ranks as well.

Within hours after initial publication Wednesday morning, the Times report pinned the following statement to the top of its report:

After this article was published, the Kremlin’s spokesman, Dmitri S. Peskov, issued a curt response and insisted on Wednesday that Russia’s army and people had unified around Mr. Putin.

For many Ukraine war observers, there are immediate red flags regarding the fresh claims, as it seems a deliberate attempt of US intelligence to sow distrust, paranoia, and further discord in the Kremlin

Assuming this is US intel officials’ intent, is it working? Financial Times correspondent Max Seddon has highlighted reports that Surovikin’s whereabouts are unknown…

Analyst Mark Galeotti points out the following, and explains the cause for skepticism in the wake of the US intelligence community’s (IC) claims…

“The New York Times, which often feels like the US intel community’s PR agency, is reporting that the IC suspects Gen Surovikin knew in advance about Prigozhin’s mutiny. Maybe so, but were I a cynic I’d wonder if this was an info op because Surovikin quickly issued a public appeal to Wagner mercs to stand down, making a clear statement that – contrary to previous suspicions he was close to Prigozhin – he was loyal to the Kremlin.”

“This might have helped cleanse his record and make him eligible to be re-appointed overall commander in Ukraine or even made Chief of the General Staff after Gerasimov (he had been the front-runner). This would, let’s be honest, not have been good for Ukraine: Surovikin is not a nice man but he is a dangerously competent general. As I say, this is just speculation, but suggesting complicity with Prigozhin’s treachery – to use Putin’s words – would seem a good way of helping derail his return.”

Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 18:00

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Schachtel: How The Flu “Disappeared” During The COVID Era

Schachtel: How The Flu “Disappeared” During The COVID Era

Authored by Jordan Schachtel via ‘The Dossier’ substack,

One of the biggest mysteries of “the pandemic” involves the supposed disappearance of the flu. Did the flu really disappear during the covid hysteria era, or is something else afoot?

Here’s the grand mystery, in meme format.

Now, during the confusion and panic of the last few years, there have been lots of explanations advanced about the supposed disappearance of the flu. The lockdowners and their credentialed institutions often claimed that masked worked (lol) to stop the flu, despite not working for covid. Others claimed that covid had some kind of viral dominance effect that defeated influenza strains.

But neither explanation really solves the “where did the flu go” mystery.

The evidence seems to point to two main reasons for the flu’s disappearance: the physical disappearance of flu testing kits and a misunderstanding of what the flu actually means.

The flu tests were not physically available in healthcare systems

The Dossier surveyed several individuals and organizations with access to hospital system records and supply chain management, and we pooled together lots of anecdotal information to paint a greater picture of what happened.

We found that, at least in the United States, there was virtually no access to flu testing during the covid hysteria years, particularly from 2020 to 2021. Virtually all testing manufacturers pivoted to covid testing, leaving the influenza kits behind. According to Pharma and Government Health, Covid was a much bigger priority, both from a healthcare perspective and a business perspective, so the flu industry was no longer lucrative and kicked to the curb.

The second reason, however, is even more important.

The flu is not understood in its proper context

Prior to the establishment of the covid testing industrial complex (which brought in well over $100 billion a year at its peak), flu was almost always diagnosed by symptoms, not by a swab test. And again, covid symptoms are virtually identical to flu symptoms. In the vast majority of cases, what is “the flu” is traditionally understood not as a viral influenza diagnosis but a general diagnosis of countless potential symptoms categorized in a broad category as “flu.” Very few doctor-diagnosed “flu” cases actually come from influenza strains. This is why it is the perfect rationale to understand covid as the flu but with scarier branding. Both flu and covid share the same symptoms, so a potential flu case/illness/death instead was generally diagnosed as a covid case/illness/death.

But enough from your humble correspondent. Let’s read a more detailed response from someone who knows this issue very well.

I also posed this question to Dr Norman Pieniazek (follow him on Twitter), a renowned molecular biologist who worked at the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) as the head of its molecular diagnostic laboratory for 24 years. Dr Pieniazek is an expert in PCR testing diagnostics and has a fascinating perspective on the shoddy science behind “the pandemic.”

Here’s his reply to my question:

From Dr. Norman J. Pieniazek:

Did the flu disappear during the COVID-19 pandemic?

I will try to answer this question; however, first, I must explain the terms common cold and flu (influenza).

Do you know that over 200 viruses cause colds and that people in the United States suffer from an estimated 1 billion colds yearly (1)?

Nonetheless, can we clearly say who suffers from the common cold and the flu?

What about PCR, the technique used to monitor the cases of COVID-19?

Unfortunately, PCR was found to be impractical for the diagnosis of infections of the respiratory tract for at least two reasons.

The first problem is the diagnostic sample.

Mucus samples, taken from deep nostrils (nasal swab), throat (oropharyngeal swab), and nasopharynx (nasopharyngeal swab), in essence, test the human air filter. The nasal passages have ridges that cause the air to swirl, similar to the Dyson vacuum cleaner principle. As the nasal passages and the whole respiratory tract are lined with mucus, it traps viruses, bacteria, pollen, fungal spores, and dust. This layer with trapped particles is moved by ciliated cells out of the airways. When the mucus is tested with PCR, detecting a part of a virus in the air filter doesn’t mean that this virus caused the infection. This problem with swabs has been known for a long time. The consensus is that broncho-alveolar lavage (BAL) is the most appropriate specimen for detecting respiratory tract viral infections. Unfortunately, collecting the BAL sample is complex and may not be approved by the patient.

The second problem was signaled above.

With more than 200 possible infection causes (etiology), testing for all suspects is not feasible. While in a scientific study, no stone would be left unturned to diagnose patients enrolled in a project, surveillance cannot be done this way.

CDC has developed a sentinel system for monitoring colds in the US population. This system monitors visits for respiratory illnesses, including fever, cough, or sore throat. Such visits are classified as Influenza-Like Illnesses (ILI). Please note that this designation doesn’t imply laboratory-confirmed influenza and captures patient visits due to all respiratory pathogens that cause similar symptoms. In addition to this system, CDC collects data on confirmed influenza cases; however, only about 1% of samples tested are usually positive. The take-home message is that no one knows how many flu cases are in the US annually. The reported number of ILI may be only the tip of the iceberg.

With the arrival of the Wuhan virus in January 2020, all lessons of prior seasons were forgotten.

People were forced to be tested even when they showed no symptoms. Despite ample evidence to the contrary, PCR done from swabs was suddenly advertised as the gold standard for diagnosis of infections of the respiratory system. Consider another important fact. In a carefully conducted study of hospitalized pneumonia patients diagnosed on classical X-Ray or CAT scans, the cause of the infection (etiology) could not be established in 62% of cases. How is it possible that during the pandemic in the US, there were 107,201,630 COVID infections and 1,166,899 COVID deaths as of today? Where are infections with other viruses? Where are conditions of unknown etiology?

The answer is straightforward. The results of PCR testing just for one virus are meaningless. This scam should be obvious to anyone versed in diagnosing respiratory infections.

*  *  *

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Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 17:40

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Kevin Kelly: Excellent Advice for Living From the World’s Leading Optimist

My guest today is Kevin Kelly, one of the original gang of people at Wired magazine back when it was not just reporting on but helping to create digital culture and cyberspace (he remains listed on the masthead as a “senior maverick”). He’s a longtime techno-optimist who worked with people like Stewart Brand at the Whole Earth Catalog, Whole Earth Review, and CoEvolution Quarterly and has published a shelf’s worth of books such as Out of Control, which helped popularize the idea of emergent orders and self-regulating systems as preferable to traditional, top-down systems of control. 

Since 2000, he has published Cool Tools, “which recommends the best/cheapest tools available” and he is one of the people behind a weekly Substack newsletter that suggests interesting gadgets, books, and offerings. He is one of the founders of The Long Now Foundation, which pushes people to think in 10,000-year-long increments, and he maintains a comprehensive database of the writing, art, presentations, blogs, and other material he’s generated over the past several decades.

His new book is Excellent Advice for Living: Wisdom I Wish I’d Known Earlier, a collection of 450 aphorisms and insights gleaned from a life spent traveling the globe and at the intersection of technology and culture. We talk about his body of work, how his Christianity informs his scientific beliefs (and vice versa), and not only why he believes optimism wins in the long run but also why he believes it’s warranted by the facts on the ground.

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The post Kevin Kelly: Excellent Advice for Living From the World’s Leading Optimist appeared first on Reason.com.

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Another Top Miner Predicts Copper ‘Super Cycle’ Amid Supply Shortage Fears Trigger By Energy Transition

Another Top Miner Predicts Copper ‘Super Cycle’ Amid Supply Shortage Fears Trigger By Energy Transition

Despite concerns about weak Chinese factory data and increasing risks of a global hard landing sometime in 2024, Eurasian Resources Group’s (ERG) chief executive officer Benedikt Sobotka said the world’s appetite for copper is set to soar and might even exceed supply over the next decade unless new mines are built. The demand increase is due to the ambitious energy transition goals set by governments. 

On Wednesday, Sobotka told Bloomberg TV in an interview at the World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting of New Champions that copper miners must increase supplies. He said new mines are “more challenging and located in expensive jurisdictions, which will require higher prices to offset increased costs.” 

“You have this demand coming, and you have all these challenges in building out more mines,” Sobotka warned at the event in China’s Tianjin area. He forecasted that a “perfect storm” might unleash “another super cycle.” 

Sobotka’s concerns were shared with billionaire mining investor Robert Friedland earlier this week. He told Bloomberg TV that the mining industry needs to increase supply ahead of ‘accelerating demand.’ He said deposits are getting more expensive and harder to find, funding is limited, and economies have to prepare for the importance of the mining industry to lead the energy transition. 

“We’re heading for a train wreck here,” Friedland said at Bloomberg’s New York headquarters on Monday. 

He’s the founder of Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. and warned: “My fear is that when push finally comes to shove,” copper prices might explode ten times. 

BloombergNEF estimates demand for refined copper will grow 53% by 2040, but mine supply will climb only 16%. 

In a separate report, S&P Global said electric vehicles require twice as much copper as an internal combustion engine vehicle. And noted copper demand will double to 50,000,000 metric tons annually by 2035, more than all the copper consumed worldwide between 1900 and 2021.

Copper prices have yet to sustain a breakout pattern over the past decade high and have recently slumped on a disappointing China economic recovery. 

“Resource nationalism and the difficulties in moving materials around the world, critical raw material initiatives that are competing with each other, ESG requirements — they’re going to make delivering these volumes of materials in the future more difficult,” Sobotka pointed out.

In March, Jeff Currie, global head of commodities for Goldman Sachs, told Financial Times that copper’s “forward outlook is extraordinarily positive” and “peak supply occurring in 2024.” 

Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 17:20

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Trump Says Has “Respect” For RFK Jr.: “He’s Got Some Very Important Points”

Trump Says Has “Respect” For RFK Jr.: “He’s Got Some Very Important Points”

Authored by Samantha Flom via The Epoch Times,

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump said he has respect for Democrat Robert F. Kennedy Jr. despite their political differences.

“I respect him—a lot of people respect him. He’s got some very important points to be made,” Trump told Newsmax’s Eric Bolling during a June 26 interview.

Kennedy is one of two candidates challenging President Joe Biden for the Democratic nomination, with the other being author Marianne Williamson.

Trump, who said he had known Kennedy for “a while,” added that he was impressed by Kennedy’s growing popularity in the polls.

“He’s at 21, 22 [percent] I saw just now,” Trump said. “And that’s a lot for somebody that came in with absolutely no chance of winning.”

‘Big Problems’

According to the latest RealClearPolitics average of polls, Biden leads the Democratic primary field with 64 percent of the vote. Kennedy places a distant second at 14 percent.

Nevertheless, Trump said Biden has “very big problems” mentally and physically that could affect his candidacy.

“I really can’t tell you, that’s really the question; will he make it to the starting gate?”

Biden’s health has been an increasingly difficult obstacle for Democrats to ignore since his 2020 election campaign. From repeated trips and falls to mumbled sentences that seem to trail off, many have voiced doubts over whether the 80-year-old is still fit to hold office.

Meanwhile, Kennedy, 65, was the picture of health in a video he shared via Twitter on June 25, during which he did several shirtless pushups.

“Getting in shape for my debates with President Biden!” he wrote.

The message was a clear tongue-in-cheek reference to the fact that the Democratic National Committee (DNC) reportedly has “no plans” to sponsor primary debates but will instead back Biden’s reelection.

Touching on that fact in his Newsmax interview, Trump said he believed the Democratic Party’s decision to forgo debates was a move to shield Biden.

“I just don’t think that they’ll allow him to debate anybody,” he said. “I mean, you could put up a child. I don’t think they’ll allow him to debate. They’re not going to allow it to happen.”

‘Rigged’ System

Kennedy has been vocal in his criticism of the DNC’s purported plans, noting that distrust of the U.S. election system is already running high among voters.

“Debates and town halls are part of the democratic process,” Kennedy told The Epoch Times in April.

“We’re living in a time when there’s a lot of Americans who believe our democracy is broken. And I think both political parties have to bend over backwards to start restoring faith in democracy and electional integrity.

“Americans think the entire system is rigged against them,” he added.

“And if the DNC goes through with this—its plan to not have debate—I think that will serve as … an unfortunate confirmation to a lot of Americans that the system is indeed rigged.”

And it isn’t the first time the DNC has faced such an accusation.

In 2017, the committee’s former Chairwoman Donna Brazile and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) both said they believed the DNC had “rigged” the 2016 Democratic primaries in Hillary Clinton’s favor.

According to a June 11 USA Today/Suffolk University poll, 80 percent of Democratic primary voters think Biden should debate his challengers—including 72 percent of his own supporters.

Biden, for his part, has expressed no interest in participating in debates.

“As you know, no incumbent R [Republican] or D [Democrat] have done debates,” Kevin Munoz, a Biden campaign spokesperson, told USA Today.

But according to David Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center, sidestepping debates may not be a winning political strategy for the incumbent.

“The decision not to debate is ignoring the 82 percent of women, 84 percent of union households, 86 percent of independents, and 90 percent of young voters who are not only planning to vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus next year but also would like to see a series of Democratic primary debates.”

Running Mates?

Despite the politicians’ political positions, some Trump supporters have indicated that they would like to see the former president and Kennedy on the same ticket.

Among those supporters is Steve Bannon, one of Trump’s former advisers. On an episode of his “War Room” podcast in April, Bannon noted that his first pick for Trump’s running mate would be Arizona Republican Kari Lake, who is currently challenging the results of her state’s 2022 election and has also indicated interest in running for the U.S. Senate.

“If she’s not available to be Trump’s VP, Bobby Kennedy would be an excellent choice for Trump to consider,” Bannon said, adding that the idea had received a standing ovation when he first floated it among other Republicans.

More recently, on June 18, Sebastian Gorka said he thought a Trump–Kennedy pairing would “run away with” the presidency.

As a candidate, Kennedy has proven to be a likable figure for voters across the political spectrum, thanks in part to his tendency to buck party trends.

In a June 14 The Economist/You Gov poll (pdf), the Democrat topped both Trump and Biden in favorability. With 49 percent of respondents viewing him favorably and just 30 percent viewing him unfavorably, Kennedy garnered a net rating of 19 percent.

Trump and Biden had net ratings of negative 10 and negative 9 percent, respectively.

But those hoping for a Trump–Kennedy ticket will likely be disappointed, as the latter has already shot the idea down.

“Just to quell any speculation, UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES will I join Donald Trump on an electoral ticket,” he wrote in a May 10 tweet. “Our positions on certain fundamental issues, our approaches to governance, and our philosophies of leadership could not be further apart.”

Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 17:00

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Surprise! Fed Says All Big Banks Passed ‘Stress Tests’ Face $541 Billion Losses In ‘Adverse’ Scenario

Surprise! Fed Says All Big Banks Passed ‘Stress Tests’, Face $541 Billion Losses In ‘Adverse’ Scenario

In late breaking news that will shock absolutely no one, The Fed reports that the 23 largest US banks passed The Fed’s stress tests.

“Today’s results confirm that the banking system remains strong and resilient,” Vice Chair for Supervision Michael S. Barr said.

“At the same time, this stress test is only one way to measure that strength. We should remain humble about how risks can arise and continue our work to ensure that banks are resilient to a range of economic scenarios, market shocks, and other stresses.”

The aggregate and individual bank post-stress common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratios remain well above the required minimum levels throughout the projection horizon.

The regulator’s yearly stress testing of the banks, which it started performing after the 2008 financial crisis, revealed that they could withstand a 40%  drop in commercial real estate prices and aggregated losses of more than half a trillion dollars without failing.

The scenarios that the 23 biggest banks faced also included a severe economic recession, 10% unemployment and a large drop in home prices.

For the first time, the Board conducted an exploratory market shock on the trading books of the largest banks, testing them against greater inflationary pressures and rising interest rates. This exploratory market shock will not contribute to banks’ capital requirements but was used to further understand the risks with their trading activities and to assess the potential for testing banks against multiple scenarios in the future. The results showed that the largest banks’ trading books were resilient to the rising rate environment tested.

The $541 billion in total projected losses includes over $100 billion in losses from commercial real estate and residential mortgages, and $120 billion in credit card losses, both higher than the losses projected in last year’s test. The aggregate 2.3 percentage point decline in capital is slightly less than the 2.7 percentage point decline from last year’s test but is comparable to declines projected from the stress test in recent years.

The results vary significantly across the institutions based on banks’ business lines, portfolio composition, and securities and loan risk characteristics, which drive changes in the magnitude and timing of loss, revenue, and expense projections.

So now we just wait for the next bank to blow up? And remember – no one could have seen that coming.

Read the full stress test report here:

Tyler Durden
Wed, 06/28/2023 – 16:41

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