Sheldon Richman on Henry Kissinger Super Fan Hillary Clinton

It says a lot about former
secretary of state and presumed presidential aspirant Hillary
Clinton that she’s a member of the Henry Kissinger Fan Club.
Progressives who despised George W. Bush might want to examine any
warm, fuzzy feelings they harbor for Clinton, writes Sheldon
Richman. She has made no effort to hide her admiration for
Kissinger and his geopolitical views, most recently laying it all
out clearly in a Washington Post review of his
latest book, World Order.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/1HqgwPE
via IFTTT

Philly Fed Explodes To 21 Year Highs, Beats By 10 Standard Deviations

Bwuahahaha… Against expectations of a small drop to 18.5, the Philly Fed business outlook ‘survey’ printed 40.8 – its highest since 1993. This is a 10-sigma event, more than doubling last month’s 20.7 print. New Orders surged (17.3 to 35.7), Shipments doubled, Prices Paid collapsed (27.6 to 17.3) and Prices received plunged. As the number of employees rose to 2011 highs. It appears we are going to need a better seasonal adjustment…

Biggest beat on record, highest in 21 years…

 

The Breakdown…

 

Charts: Bloomberg




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1qzfjQW Tyler Durden

US Manufacturing PMI Misses By Most On Record, Lowest Since January

Recovery, we have a problem… November’s Flash US Manufacturing PMI printed a 10-month lows 54.7, missing expectation sof 56.3 by the most on record and tumbling for the third month in a row. The last 2 mnths have seen the biggest drop since June 2013 ands as Markit notes, suggests a further drop in GDP growth expectations of only 2.5% in Q4. Output is down for the 3rd straight month and Surprise!! Export market weakness is being blamed… as it seems the US cannot decouple from the rest of the world’s slump after all and is – as we have explained numerous times – merely on a lagged cycle.

10-month lows…

 

Via Markit,

“The manufacturing sector is undergoing a marked slowdown in the fall after enjoying a buoyant summer.

 

 

Output growth has now fallen for three straight months, taking the pace of expansion down to its lowest since the start of the year. Unlike January, however, this time the weaker rate of growth can’t be blamed on the weather.

 

Export market weakness holds the key to the recent slowdown, with manufacturers reporting the largest drop in export orders for nearly one and a half years.

 

“There’s some reassurance from manufacturers continuing to boost their payroll numbers at a robust pace, but with backlogs of work showing almost no growth, the rate of job creation looks likely to moderate in coming months unless new order inflows pick up again.

 

“The manufacturing and service sector PMI data available so far point to GDP growth slowing to around 2.5% in the fourth quarter.”

*  *  *

So – in summary – China PMI is at 6-month low, Europe at 16-month low, Japan dropped and is in a quadruple-dip recession, and now US manufacturing is at 10-month low… seems like QE really worked eh!?

*  *  *

We’re gonna need more Fed-fueled subprime-auto-loan malarkey to keep this dream alive.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1qzfjAr Tyler Durden

You Asked For It, And Here It Is: The First GDP Downgrade Due To The Polar Vortex 2.0

And here come the excuses:

BMO Capital Markets economist Sal Guatieri notes that the BMO Economics team has lowered its U.S. fourth quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth estimate to 2.5% from 2.8% due to weaker housing starts and a view that November’s activity could get chilled by polar vortex 2. While October was relatively warm, November has been anything but. However, he does not expect the sort of massive hit that GDP suffered in the first quarter of 2014 due to cold weather.

Because remember: the only thing more unprecedented for the US economy than heavy snowfall in one winter, is, gasp, heavy snowfall two years in a row! Of course, there is Art Cashin who apparently was not a Keynesian-indoctrinated voodoobot apologist, when he said “The weather is always with us.” Banish the thought.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1AnhHgJ Tyler Durden

Here Are The Highlights From The Senate’s Finding That Banks Manipulate Physical Commodities – Live Hearing Feed

After two years, and 396 pages of report, the Senate investigations committee finds (translating their gobbledygook into English) that the banks did indeed corner and rig the commodity market. As Bloomberg reports, the Senate panel said the firms have eroded the line separating banking from commercial activities to the detriment of consumers and the financial system. The holdings give banks access to non-public information that could move markets and increase the likelihood that industrial accidents will spur taxpayer bailouts, the report said… (i.e. manipulated the system). The hearing, involving bankers from Goldman, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan begins at 930ET…

 

 

Full report can be found here (PDF)

Selected Excerpts (h/t Manal):

“One focus for the subcommittee is the management of Detroit-area metal warehouses run by Metro Trade Services International, the largest U.S. warehouse company certified to store aluminum warranted by the London Metal Exchange for use in settling trades.

 

Since Goldman bought Metro in 2010, Metro warehouses have accumulated up to 85 percent of the U.S. LME aluminum storage market…

 

Since Goldman took over the warehouses, the wait to withdraw LME-warranted metal has increased from about 40 days to more than 600 days, reducing aluminum availability and tripling the regional premium for storage and delivery costs…

 

The investigation revealed a number of previously unknown details about these deals: that Goldman’s warehouse company paid metal owners to engage in “merry-go-round” deals that shuttled metal from building to building without actually shipping aluminum out of Metro’s system; that the deals were approved by Metro’s board, which consisted entirely of Goldman employees; and that a Metro executive raised concerns internally about the appropriateness of such “queue management.”…

 

Goldman didn’t just store aluminum; it was involved in massive trades of aluminum at the same time its warehouse operations were affecting aluminum availability, storage costs, and prices.

 

After Goldman bought Metro, it accumulated massive aluminum holdings of its own, and in 2012, added about 300,000 metric tons of its own aluminum to the exit queue at its warehouses.”

 

“Between 2010 and 2013, Goldman built up its physical aluminum stockpile from less than $100 million in 2009, to more than $3 billion in aluminum in 2012. At one point in 2012, Goldman owned about 1.5 million metric tons of aluminum, worth $3.2 billion, more than 25% of annual North American aluminum consumption at the time…

 

The Metro system for transporting metal that was part of a merry-go-round deal produced some unusual metal movements.

 

For example, on October 2, 2013, several trucks were loaded with aluminum at a Metro warehouse on Lafayette Street in Mount Clemens, Michigan, destined for another Metro warehouse about twelve miles away. That same day, several trucks were loaded with aluminum at a third Metro warehouse in New Baltimore, Michigan, and shipped to the Lafayette Street warehouse. The next day, the Lafayette Street warehouse again shipped out several truckloads of aluminum only to be on the receiving end of metal shipments the day after that.

 

In short, over the space of two days, the Lafayette Street warehouse saw truckloads of virtually identical aluminum shipments depart, arrive, depart, and arrive again…

 

On another occasion, in November, 2013, Metro loaded aluminum out of one warehouse and moved it into another warehouse about 200 feet away across a parking lot.

 

Goldman told the Subcommittee that warehouse personnel didn’t know whether the metal was moved across the parking lot on the property to the second warehouse, or instead was driven around the block on public streets. In any event, multiple trucks trundled tons of aluminum from one warehouse location to the other just a few feet away…

 

On another three-day period in December 2013, pursuant to a merry-go-round deal, trucks carrying tons of aluminum transported that aluminum to and from the exact same warehouses in a circular pattern at odds with rational warehouse activity. The trucks loaded the aluminum from the first warehouse, unloaded it at the second, picked up different lots of aluminum from the second warehouse, and drove it to the first where it was unloaded.

 

Those trucks bearing similar loads of aluminum did not transport the metal for free, but imposed substantial costs on Metro to carry out the transactions.”

Wondering how this has affected the price of aluminum, click here.

 

Alum

 

 

*  *  *

By way of evidence of what happens when you can no longer rig markets…

Goldman Sachs produced $1 billion of revenue from its commodities unit and investments in commodity businesses in 2012, down from $3.4 billion in 2009, according to a Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations report released yesterday on banks’ involvement in those markets.

 

Morgan Stanley’s commodity revenue fell for four straight years, from $3 billion in 2008 to $912 million in 2012, according to the report.

*  *  *

Live Feed:

 

Click image for live feed (if embed above is not working):

 

The Hearing involves:

PANEL ONE

CHRISTOPHER WIBBELMAN
President and Chief Executive Officer
Metro International Trade Services LLC
Allen Park, MI

JACQUES GABILLON
Head of the Global Commodities Principal Investments Group
Goldman Sachs & Co.
London, England

PANEL TWO
JORGE VAZQUEZ
Founder and Managing Director
Harbor Aluminum Intelligence Unit, LLC
Austin, TX

NICK MADDEN
Senior Vice President and Chief Supply Chain Officer
Novelis Inc.
Atlanta, GA

PANEL THREE

SIMON GREENSHIELDS
Global Co-Head of Commodities
Morgan Stanley
New York, NY

GREGORY A. AGRAN
Co-Head of Global Commodities Group
Goldman Sachs & Co.
New York, NY

JOHN ANDERSON
Co-Head of Global Commodities
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
New York, NY




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1t7R1J1 Tyler Durden

Watch Reason’s Damon Root and Law Professor Neomi Rao Discuss the Supreme Court, Libertarianism, and the Constitution

On February 18 in Washington, D.C., the Charles Koch Institute,
the Federalist Society, and Reason hosted an event for
Reason Senior Editor Damon Root’s new book
Overruled: The Long War for Control of the U.S. Supreme
Court
. The program featured Root in conversation with
George Mason University law professor Neomi Rao, a former clerk to
Justice Clarence Thomas, followed by audience Q&A. Click below
to watch.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/1vsJ3Rh
via IFTTT

The Latest Scandal: Goldman, Fed Employees Busted For Illegally Sharing Confidential Information

On the morning of Friday, September 26, in addition to the shocking news of Bill Gross’ departure from Pimco, the world was just as shocked, or not as the case was for many, that a former NY Fed staffer, Carmen Segarra, who had been previously fired for suggesting that Goldman Sachs has an undue influence on the NY Fed and gets a preferential treatment (certainly as a result of NY Fed’s president Bill Dudley being working previously at Goldman Sachs), had released nearly 50 hours of tapes confirming her allegations: that the NY Fed was nothing but a branch of the bank that controls every central bank. The full details were presented in “How Goldman Controls The New York Fed: 47.5 Hours Of “The Secret Goldman Sachs Tapes” Explain.”

Ironically it was on that very day that another recent Goldman hire from the NY Fed – a classic case of, as the NY Times puts it, the “revolving door, the symbolic portal that connects financial regulators to Wall Street” – a 29-year-old former New York Fed regulator named Rohit Bansal, got into hot water after something “shocking” was revealed: he had an inside source at the NY Fed who was providing him with illegal, confidential information on a regular basis.

Here is William Dudley, formerly of Goldman Sachs and president
of the New York Fed, saying “I don’t think anyone should question
our motives.” It may have been an order.

As Bloomberg notes, following the re-escalation of the Segarra scandal, Bansal was promptly fired. Of course, had Carmen not revealed to the world just how extensive Goldman’s domination of the NY Fed is, as Bansal’s action demonstrated, he would still be fed confidential information from the New York Fed itself.

The banker, who had joined the company in July from the New York Fed, was dismissed a week after the discovery in late September along with another employee who failed to escalate the issue, according to an internal memo obtained by Bloomberg News that didn’t identify the pair. Jake Siewert, a bank spokesman, confirmed the contents of the memo, which was prompted by a report in the New York Times yesterday.

 

“We have zero tolerance for improper handling of confidential information,” New York-based Goldman Sachs said in the memo. “We are reviewing our policies regarding any hiring from governmental institutions to ensure that they are appropriately effective and robust.”

Wrong: what Goldman has zero tolerance for is having its bankers getting caught, or its manipulative action exposed to the general public, as took place on September 26. Once that happens, one or two bankers are shown the door, while the law-breaking culture continues unabated.

According to the NY Times, which broke the story, this is what happened:

From his desk in Lower Manhattan, a banker at Goldman Sachs thumbed through confidential documents — courtesy of a source inside the United States government.

 

The banker came to Goldman through the so-called revolving door, the symbolic portal that connects financial regulators to Wall Street. He joined in July after spending seven years as a regulator at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the government’s front line in overseeing the financial industry. He received the confidential information, lawyers briefed on the matter suspect, from a former colleague who was still working at the New York Fed.

As a reminder, the NY Fed is also the world’s biggest hegde fund, as it is the place where, at Liberty 33, the Fed’s market moving operations are executed. It is also where the legendary PPT is located. Continuing:

The previously unreported leak, recounted in interviews with the lawyers briefed on the matter who spoke anonymously because the episode is not public, illustrates the blurred lines between Wall Street and the government — and the potential conflicts of interest that can result. When Goldman hired the former New York Fed regulator, who is 29, it assigned him to advise the same type of banks that he once policed. And the banker obtained confidential information, along with several publicly available facts, in the course of assignments from his bosses at Goldman, the lawyers said.

What exactly data was one current NY Fed staffer leaking to a former NY Fed staffer, currently working at Goldman?

The information provided Goldman a window into the New York Fed’s private insights, the lawyers said, including details about at least one of Goldman’s clients, a midsize bank regulated by the Fed. Although it is unclear how Goldman bankers used the information, if at all, the confidential details could have helped them advise the client.

Because if you are not a part of the club, Goldman will chew you up and spit you out, courtesy of confidential NY Fed information.

Naturally, “the emergence of the leak comes as questions mount about a perceived coziness between the New York Fed and Wall Street banks — Goldman in particular. Revelations from a former New York Fed employee, Carmen Segarra, recently stoked that debate. Ms. Segarra released taped conversations suggesting that her supervisors went soft on Goldman, specifically over a deal that one regulator called “legal, but shady.””

What questions? Goldman controls the NY Fed, period, the end. For the NYT the conclusion is a little more roundabout: “The leak strikes at the heart of questions about the ability of the New York Fed — the public’s eyes and ears on Wall Street — to maintain its independence from the banks it regulates. It also comes as a popular image of Goldman as a bank that puts profit above all has begun to fade.”

Which is precisely what Goldman wanted: keeping a low profile while changing absolutely nothing about its corrupt culture, a culture which is enabled by its very regulators who are captured courtesy of former Goldman employees being placed at strategic top posts. It really isn’t rocket science.

And the biggest irony is that Bansal’s illegal abuse of confidential NY Fed data only was noticed for the first time… when Carmen Segarra’s allegations hit the public for the second time on September 26 as noted above:

At the request of his bosses, Mr. Bansal gathered information about how regulators might view various issues facing Goldman’s banking clients, the lawyers briefed on the matter said. Much of what Mr. Bansal learned, the lawyers said, was fair game.

 

But in an email to his supervisor, Joseph Jiampietro, Mr. Bansal shared some potentially confidential supervisory information about a Goldman banking client. Mr. Jiampietro — a managing director at Goldman who was once a senior adviser to Sheila Bair, the former F.D.I.C. head — has since told colleagues he had no idea the information was subject to regulatory restrictions.

 

“Mr. Jiampietro never knowingly or improperly reviewed or misused” confidential supervisory information, his lawyer, Adam Ford, said in a statement. “He should not have been terminated. Any compliance failings regarding Mr. Bansal had nothing to do with Mr. Jiampietro.”

 

It was not until the morning of Sept. 26 that Goldman executives objected to some of Mr. Bansal’s information, the lawyers briefed on the matter said. During a conference call with Mr. Jiampietro and two higher-ranking Goldman executives, Mr. Bansal circulated an email with a spreadsheet attached. The email apparently set off alarms within Goldman. Within hours, the bank opened an internal investigation and alerted the New York Fed.

 

Goldman determined that the spreadsheet contained confidential bank supervisory information. Federal and state rules classify certain records, including those generated during bank exams, as confidential. Unless the Federal Reserve provides special approval, it can be a federal crime to share them outside the Fed.

Of course, had the Segarra story not resurfaced, Bansal would still be at Goldman.

As for the leaker at the NY Fed, we know this: “Some of Mr. Bansal’s information, the lawyers said, may have come from Jason Gross, who worked at the New York Fed at the time.”

This guy: a bank examiner, and formerly a controller at Deutsche Bank, a person interested in “pro-bono consulting.” We already know Bansal is one of Gross’ connections. Who are the other 10, and how soon until all his connections “unfriend” him?

 

It appears Gross is no longer at the NY Fed either: “Andrea Priest, a spokeswoman for the New York Fed, didn’t immediately respond to an e-mail seeking comment on the dismissed Goldman Sachs workers after normal business hours. The regulator also fired an employee it suspected of sharing information with the banker, the New York Times reported. In a statement to the paper, the New York Fed said it has “zero tolerance” for personnel who don’t safeguard confidential information.”

What happens next? Tomorrow, Senator Sherrod Brown, an Ohio Democrat, has scheduled a hearing before his banking subcommittee on “regulatory capture” following Segarra’s claims.

There will be much posturing, and lots of angry words, because clearly Mr. Brown did not get enough financial support from the “Business Services” industry. After all he too would prefer millions more in bribes, pardon, lobby spending from Goldman  et al.

Will anything change? Of course not. After all it is Goldman that runs the United States of America. Expect this latest scandal to be swept under the rug within days.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1uWizFN Tyler Durden

Plunging Energy Prices Drag Down CPI, Offseting Jumping Food Costs

For the fourth month in a row, the shale-revolution crushing plunge in crude prices managed to push energy costs down, with the BLS reporting that “the gasoline index fell for the fourth month in a row, declining 3.0 percent, and the indexes for natural gas and fuel oil also decreased.” As a result, October CPI was unchanged from a month earlier, and up 1.7% from a year ago, below the Fed’s 2.0% target. However, stripping away plunging energy prices, things were a little different, with CPI ex food and energy up 0.2%, slightly above the 0.1% expected, and up from 0.1% before. But before everyone screams deflation, here is what also happened: the shelter index, airline fares, household furnishings and operations, medical care, recreation, personal care, tobacco, and new vehicles were among the indexes that increased. And for those few who have to eat, “The index for food at home has risen 3.3 percent over the last 12 months, the largest 12-month increase since April 2012.” and “The index for nonalcoholic beverages rose 0.6 percent, its largest increase since September 2012.”


In other words, pretty much everything except for gasoline, but luckily no Fed member is every concerned about “those” rising prices. They are noise. One thing however certainly did not increase: real wages.

Here is a table breakdown of the data:

Further details on the key product groups:

Food

 

The food index rose 0.1 percent in October, its smallest increase since June. The index for food at home also rose 0.1 percent, with four of the six major grocery store food groups posting increases. The fruits and vegetables index rose the most, increasing 0.9 percent in October after rising 0.1 percent in September. The index for nonalcoholic beverages rose 0.6 percent, its largest increase since September 2012. The index for dairy and related products increased 0.5 percent, and the cereals and bakery products index rose 0.3 percent. In contrast to these increases, the index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs, which had been rising sharply in recent months, declined 0.4 percent. The beef and veal index rose 0.3 percent, but the indexes for pork, poultry, and eggs all declined. The index for other food at home also fell 0.4 percent in October. The index for food at home has risen 3.3 percent over the last 12 months, the largest 12-month increase since April 2012. All six major grocery store food groups increased over the span. The index for food away from home rose 0.2 percent in October and has increased 2.8 percent over the last 12 months.

 

Energy

 

The energy index fell 1.9 percent in October, its fourth consecutive decline. The gasoline index declined 3.0 percent in October and has fallen 8.0 percent over the last 3 months. (Before seasonal adjustment, gasoline prices fell 6.3 percent in October.) The index for natural gas also declined in October, falling 2.7 percent after rising in September. The fuel oil index decreased as well, falling 4.0 percent. In contrast to these declines, the index for electricity rose in October, increasing 0.5 percent after declining in September. The energy index has fallen 1.6 percent over the last 12 months. The fuel oil index has declined 6.5 percent and the gasoline index has fallen 5.0 percent. However, the index for natural gas has increased 3.4 percent and the electricity index has advanced 3.1 percent.

 

All items less food and energy

 

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in October after increasing 0.1 percent in September. The shelter index, which rose 0.3 percent in September, increased 0.2 percent in October. The indexes for rent and for owners’ equivalent rent both rose 0.2 percent, while the index for lodging away from home rose 0.7 percent. The index for household furnishings and operations rose 0.4 percent in October, its largest increase since November 2012. The index for airline fares turned up, rising 2.4 percent in October after declining sharply in recent months. The medical care index increased 0.2 percent in October, with the index for prescription drugs increasing 0.7 percent and the hospital services index advancing 0.2 percent. The recreation index rose 0.2 percent, as did the new vehicles index. Also rising were the indexes for personal care, which increased 0.3 percent, and tobacco, which rose 0.6 percent after declining in September. In contrast to these increases, the index for used cars and trucks fell 0.9 percent in October, its sixth consecutive decline. The apparel index also fell, declining 0.2 percent.

Finally for those who have to live somewhere, “The shelter index has risen 3.0 percent over the last 12 months.” Almost, but not quite, in line with the real non-increase in wages/




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1uWizFC Tyler Durden

Initial Jobless Claims Hit 2-Month Highs, Continuing Claims Tumble To 14-Year Lows

It is still far too early to call a turn in the long-term trend of initial jobless claims but this is the 5th week that new lows have not been made, 4th miss in a row, and (despite last week’s upward revision) claims sit at 2-month highs. Initial claims printed 291k (against 284k expectations) down very slightly from an upwardly revised 293k last week. However, continuing claims continue to tumble to fresh cycle lows at 2.33 million (below expectations and well down from last week’s jump).

 

4th miss of last 5 weeks for initial claims…

 

Continuing Claims hits 14-yeat cycle lows…




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1uWizp3 Tyler Durden

Rating Video Games for Sexism? Ugliest Swedish Export Since Tor Johnson

I’ve
got a new
Daily Beast
column up about Sweden’s plan to rate video
games for sexist content. Snippets:

God bless—Odin bless?—the politically correct
Swedes, who are currently working on what might become that
country’s ugliest export since Tor Johnson.

As the shouting match over the role and depiction of gender and
sexuality in video games that’s part of “Gamergate
fires up the blogosphere, Sweden’s “government-funded innovation
agency” Vinnova are, along with the country’s video game
association, developing a ratings system to track “sexist” content
in games. Given our own country’s history of slapping “voluntary”
ratings (read: implemented under threat of government regulation)
on everything from movies to comic books to record albums
to TV
shows
 to…video games, it probably won’t be long before a
“Rated S for Sexism” designation starts getting debated or enacted
right here in the Land of the Free.

I run through various examples of how American nannies and
censors shut down various aspects of pop culture (can’t trust the
masses, can we?) and resurrect one of the great unremembered
mini-scandals of the Clinton years:

There’s always a temptation to shut down
conversation, especially for people who think they can control the
means of cultural production through coercive means. It was a huge
scandal back in 2000 when Salon discovered
that the federal drug czar’s office under Bill Clinton leaned on
network shows such as ER andBeverly Hills
90210
 to fill “their episodes with anti-drug pitches to
cash in on a complex government advertising subsidy.” It got so
bad, Salon reported, that “government officials
and their contractors began approving, and in some cases altering,
the scripts of shows before they were aired to conform with the
government’s anti-drug messages.”

Besides the mendacity of it all, such a scheme misses the
obvious truth that “the audience
has a mind of its own.
” Which brings us back to Sweden’s
proposed ratings system and top-down noodging of video game makers
to “change the way we think about things” in a proper progressive
direction. At least the Swedish plan is public knowledge. But it’s
just as unlikely to have any effect on gender relations or how
people play video games as a drug-czar-approved episode
of Beverly Hills 90210 kept kids from becoming
crackheads.


Read the whole thing.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/1r0uWeE
via IFTTT