Goodbye Gun Control: The $1,200 Machine For 3D-Printing Guns Has Sold Out In 36 Hours

Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

Last May, I covered the work of Defense Distributed with regard to its building of tools for individuals to 3D-print their own firearms in the post. Meet “The Liberator”: The World’s First Fully 3D-Printed Firearm, In it, I noted:

3D-printing, like decentralized crypto currencies, have the potential to change the world in which we live in extraordinary ways. Ways that are almost inconceivable at this point given we are so early in the game. More than anything else, these technologies can empower the individual like never before, and I think that is generally a very good thing.

While all sixteen pieces of the Liberator were printed in ABS plastic, the $1,200 computer-controlled (CNC) milling machine called the “Ghost Gunner,” is capable of automatically carving polymer, wood, and metal in three dimensions. More from Wired:

Americans want guns without serial numbers. And apparently, they want to make them at home.

 

On Wednesday, Cody Wilson’s libertarian non-profit Defense Distributed revealed the Ghost Gunner, a $1,200 computer-controlled (CNC) milling machine designed to let anyone make the aluminum body of an AR-15 rifle at home, with no expertise, no regulation, and no serial numbers. Since then, he’s sold more than 200 of the foot-cubed CNC mills—175 in the first 24 hours. That’s well beyond his expectations; Wilson had planned to sell only 110 of the machines total before cutting off orders.

 

While the Ghost Gunner is a general-purpose CNC mill, capable of automatically carving polymer, wood, and metal in three dimensions, Defense Distributed has marketed its machine specifically as a tool for milling the so-called lower receiver of an AR-15, which is the regulated body of that semi-automatic rifle. The gun community has already made that task far easier by selling so-called “80-percent lowers,” blocks of aluminum that need only a few holes and cavities milled out to become working lower receivers. Wilson says he’s now in talks with San Diego-based Ares Armor, one of the top sellers of those 80-percent lowers, to enter into some sort of sales partnership.

 

The sales numbers for the Ghost Gunner may be far smaller. But at $1,200, every sale helps fund the activities of Defense Distributed. “I’ve never felt more optimistic about the ability of Defense Distributed to become an installed part of the future, and to help create an expansion of the second amendment,” he says. “There’s hope that Defense Distributed can become a significant civil liberties organization…That’s the ambition, the wildest dream of this entity, to have a marked material effect like that.”

Now here’s the Ghost Gunner in all its YouTube video glory:

 

Long-time readers of Liberty Blitzkrieg will know that I am a huge supporter of gun rights. While I am personally not a gun enthusiast in my own life, I recognize the right of my fellow citizens to be armed. While many people like to blindly push for gun control, it would be mush wiser for Americans to focus on “war control.” That is, stopping our own government from consistently, aggressively and unconstitutionally unleashing violence on populations all over the world, particularly the Middle East.

I find it the height of hypocrisy when politicians constantly using our nation’s blood and treasure to bomb and murder civilians all over the world, get up on podiums to stress the importance of disarming peaceful civilians due to a few random school shootings (as tragic as they are). When the U.S. government becomes Switzerland, then we can talk gun control. The biggest criminals, murders and war-profiteers around are at the top of the U.S. government and the military-industrial complex, and they’re doing it with our tax dollars. So if you want a more peaceful world, let’s start there.

For more of my thoughts on gun control read: How to Spot a Hypocrite in the Gun Debate and Other Reflections on Newtown

If 3D-printing of firearms isn’t your thing, check out: 3D Printing Entire Homes and Neighborhoods May be Just Around the Corner




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Ct. Police Department Trying to Do Right, Terminates Cop Involved in Beating That State’s Attorney Refused to Handle

Mark Maher booking photoIn late July police officers in Enfield, Ct.

wanted to arrest
one of their own, Matthew Worden, and charge
him with assault and fabricating evidence related to his beating a
man, Mark Maher, he claimed was resisting arrest (on charges
eventually dropped). Although the incident was caught on dashcam,
the state’s attorney rejected the department’s request for an
arrest warrant against Worden because the video was “extremely
difficult to keep up with.” You can watch the video
here
.

Neverthleess, the police investigation into the incident, at the
town’s April boat launch, continued, and last week Worden was
fired.
The Hartford Courant reports
:

“The police department conducted a very fair, thorough,
exhaustive investigation and we believe the proper conclusion – the
termination of Officer Worden – has been reached in this case,”
Sferrazza said.

The chief said the internal affairs report was reviewed by two
captains and Deputy Chief Gary Collins who all agreed that Worden
should be fired. Sferrazza said he also agreed that Worden needed
to be fired for his actions on April 1.

Sferrazza said that he doesn’t want Worden’s actions to taint
the entire department.

“We have 99 sworn police officers who responded to 50,000 calls
last year alone and we have had only 16 citizens complaints in the
past three years,” Sferrazza said. “I would ask that residents of
the community not allow this unprecedented incident to overshadow
the fine work done by the men and women of our department.”

Worden had been the
target
of 14 complaints in the last seven years, and has one
more investigation pending. The city of Enfield has recieved eight
notices of intent to sue based on accusations against the cop.
Worden can appeal the decision to a labor board, according to
Sferraza, who confirmed to us that as far as the department was
concerned Worden was terminated.

Two other cops were
suspended
for their role in the incident, helping Worden. One
of them signed a “last chance” agreement that means he’ll be fired
and forfeit his right to appeal termination if an internal
investigation upholds another claim of police brutality against him
in the next five years.

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Peter Suderman on Obamacare’s Continuing Glitches

Obamacare, you may have heard,
is working just fine. “It turns out it’s working pretty well
in the real world,” President Obama
said
of the health law in a speech at a fundraiser
last week.

If so, the public hasn’t caught on yet. A new poll from
the Associated Press finds that just 31 percent of the public
approve of the way the president is handling health care.

Obama’s fellow Democrats aren’t exactly enthusiastic either.
Just 36 percent of Democrats campaigning for Congress this year
have explicitly supported the health care law, according to
research by a pair of scholars at the Brookings Institution. This
is the party that passed the law and is home to virtually all its
political support—and yet a majority won’t fully stand by the law
in public.

Why not? Perhaps because the evidence for its success is so
underwhelming. It’s true that the worst-case scenarios that seemed
plausible last year, when the exchange system crashed, failed to
occur, and also the law has posted some successes in recent weeks:
low premium growth, 7.3 million paid enrollments, an increase in
insurer participation in the exchanges.

But the law has also continued to generate a steady stream of
bad news—more glitches, more failures, more misfires, more unhappy
providers and customers, with more challenges on the way as the
second open enrollment period begins. And even the success stories
are not quite as positive as the headlines make them out to be.

View this article.

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The USPS Cost-Saving Plan: The Postman Always Rings Never

Having lost billions of dollars for quarter after quarter, The US Postal Service has a cunning plan to cut costs – end door-to-door postal delivery. More than 30 million American homes get door-to-door delivery and another 50 million get their mail dropped at their curbside mailboxes, but as Reuters reports, with the ‘entity’ buckling under massive financial losses, it sees savings in centralized mail delivery. This is good news for the customer though – apparently – as Postal Service spokeswoman Sue Brennan explains “converting delivery away from door delivery to either curb line or centralized delivery would enable the Postal Service to provide service to more customers in less time.”

The Postal Service last year lost $16 billion, mostly due to dwindling mail volumes and massive payments into a mandatory fund for its future retirees’ healthcare.

The agency, which does not receive taxpayer funds, is under pressure to modify its business model and raise revenues or risk requiring a bailout of nearly $50 billion by 2017.

So, as Reuters reports, under a cost-saving plan by the U.S. Postal Service, millions of Americans accustomed to getting their mail delivered to their doors will have to trek to the curb and residents of new homes will use neighborhood mailbox clusters, the agency said.

The Postal Service has been quietly phasing in the change with some aspects starting in April, and it has given no timeline for the shift. It’s unclear if delivery to the door will be eliminated entirely.

 

“Converting delivery away from door delivery to either curb line or centralized delivery would enable the Postal Service to provide service to more customers in less time,” Postal Service spokeswoman Sue Brennan said.

 

More than 30 million American homes get door-to-door delivery and another 50 million get their mail dropped at their curbside mailboxes.

 

But the Post Service, which is buckling under massive financial losses, sees savings in centralized mail delivery. Door-to-door delivery costs the Postal Service about $353 per address each year.

 

Curbside delivery costs $224, and cluster boxes cost $160 per address. With cluster boxes, mailboxes for individual addresses are grouped together at a central neighborhood location.

 

The move is one of many controversial cost-cutting steps the Postal Service is trying as it continues to plead with Congress for permission to overhaul its business and avert a bailout.

Not everyone is sure this is good idea…

Some in the mailing community such as the Greeting Card Association support a switch to a cluster box system.

 

But others such as the National Association of Letter Carriers and the American Postal Workers Union oppose it.

*  *  *




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Picturing Venezuela’s Surreal Prices

Via Avax News,

Venezuela's economic crisis has led to some shocking and surreal price distortions that hit people's buying power dramatically. While the government of President Nicolas Maduro calls the country's minimum wage of Bs. 4,252 the highest in the region when converted to $675 using the official exchange rate, the galloping black market for currency considers it as just $42.50 when converted at the street rate of Bs. 100 per US dollar, the rate which many importers and retail outlets must use to acquire hard currency. Venezuela's annual inflation rate of more than 63 percent is the highest in the Americas, according to official statistics.

A box of 36 coloured pencils as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $115 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 725 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. Venezuela's economic crisis has led to some shocking and surreal price distortions that hit people's buying power dramatically. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A box of 36 coloured pencils as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $115 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 725 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014.  (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A Goodyear brand automobile tyre as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $753 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 4,750 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A Goodyear brand automobile tyre as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $753 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 4,750 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

An aluminium pressure cooker as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $507 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 3,200 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

An aluminium pressure cooker as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $507 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 3,200 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A five-gallon bucket of house paint as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $528 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 3,329 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A five-gallon bucket of house paint as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $528 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 3,329 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A can of Coca-Cola as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $5.56 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 35 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A can of Coca-Cola as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $5.56 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 35 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A pair of Stanley brand household pliers as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $121 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 765 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A pair of Stanley brand household pliers as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $121 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 765 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A Samsung 32" plasma TV as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $5,476 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 34,500 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A Samsung 32" plasma TV as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $5,476 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 34,500 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A kilogram (2.2 lbs) of raw carrots as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $19.05 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 120 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A kilogram (2.2 lbs) of raw carrots as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $19.05 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 120 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

An Adidas Adipure Crazy running shoe as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $1,198 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 7,547 (bolivars) a pair of them costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

An Adidas Adipure Crazy running shoe as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $1,198 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 7,547 (bolivars) a pair of them costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A Big Mac as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $14.60 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 92 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A Big Mac as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $14.60 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 92 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A locally produced bath towel as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $136 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 859 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A locally produced bath towel as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $136 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 859 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A hair dryer as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $697 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 4,392 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A hair dryer as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $697 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 4,392 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A Barbie doll as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $194 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 1,226 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A Barbie doll as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $194 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 1,226 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A household broom as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $24.60 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 155 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A household broom as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $24.60 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 155 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A 50 lb. (22.7 kg) bag of Purina Dog Chow as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $272 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 1,716 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A 50 lb. (22.7 kg) bag of Purina Dog Chow as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $272 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 1,716 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

 

A 75-watt incandescent light bulb as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $13.51 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 85.12 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

A 75-watt incandescent light bulb as photographed in a studio with an illustrative price tag of $13.51 (US dollars), equivalent to the Bs. 85.12 (bolivars) that it costs on average to purchase in Caracas at the official exchange rate of 6.3 bolivars per dollar, in Caracas September 29, 2014. (Photo by Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Reuters)

*  *  *

Coming to America near you sooner than you think…as we noted previously, "the road to poverty is paved with small inflations."




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All Supply of the $1,200 Machine for 3D-Printing Guns Has Sold Out in 36 Hours

Screen Shot 2014-10-06 at 10.32.55 AMLast May, I covered the work of Defense Distributed with regard to its building of tools for individuals to 3D-print their own firearms in the post. Meet “The Liberator”: The World’s First Fully 3D-Printed Firearm, In it, I noted:

3D-printing, like decentralized crypto currencies, have the potential to change the world in which we live in extraordinary ways. Ways that are almost inconceivable at this point given we are so early in the game. More than anything else, these technologies can empower the individual like never before, and I think that is generally a very good thing.

While all sixteen pieces of the Liberator were printed in ABS plastic, the $1,200 computer-controlled (CNC) milling machine called the “Ghost Gunner,” is capable of automatically carving polymer, wood, and metal in three dimensions. More from Wired:

continue reading

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ISIS Gains Big Ground, U.S. Strategy Shifts, Former Obama CIA Chief Predicts 30-Year War

As the Obama
administration hashes out its plans for war against the Islamic
State (ISIS), it’s becoming clear that the depth and duration of
America’s involvement will be much larger than anticipated. The
president estimated that it could take three years to win the war.
His former CIA director says it will be ten times as long.

“I think we’re looking at kind of a 30-year war,” Leon Panetta

predicted
 yesterday. As head of the CIA, he oversaw the
operation to kill Osama bin Laden. Panetta also served two years as
Secretary of Defense for President Barack Obama.

According to USA Today, Panetta anticipates that
America’s latest iteration of the war on terror “will have to
extend beyond Islamic State to include emerging threats in Nigeria,
Somalia, Yemen, Libya and elsewhere.” The former CIA chief is
promoting a memoir that takes a somewhat critical look at Obama’s
leadership, and the book is already under fire from the State
Department and Vice President Joe Biden.

Meanwhile, ISIS is gaining major ground on its Syrian front. The
terrorist organization, operating tanks and heavy artillery, has
apparently already raised its flags over a town called Kobani. CNN
reports:

The fall of the city would carry huge symbolic and strategic
weight, giving ISIS sway over an uninterrupted swatch of land
between the Turkish border and its self-declared capital in Raqqa,
Syria, 62 miles away. …

ISIS managed to close in on Kobani despite airstrikes by the
United States and allied forces over the weekend and on Monday.

In related news, the U.S. announced that Apache helicopters are
now part of the fight against the Islamic State. Stars and
Stripes

explains
the significance:

Until Sunday, U.S. airstrikes in Iraq have been limited to
fast-moving Air Force and Navy fighter aircraft and drones. But the
use of the relatively slow-flying helicopters represents an
escalation of American military involvement and is a sign that the
security situation in Iraq’s Anbar province is deteriorating.

“It’s definitely boots in the air. This is combat, assuming U.S.
Army guys were flying the helicopters,” said White, a defense
fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, a
center-right policy institute. “Using helicopter gunships in combat
operations means those forces are in combat.”

Moreover, the Obama administration’s decision to authorize the
use of U.S. helicopter gunships indicates that nearly two months of
U.S.-led airstrikes by fixed-wing fighters and bombers have failed
to stop the Islamic State from massing ground troops and launching
offensive operations, he said.

Read more Reason coverage of ISIS here

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Is This The Usual Reason Why Stocks Are Plunging?

Excerpted from today’s World-Renowned Gartman Letter,

SHARE PRICES HAVE FLOWN SKYWARD as our International Index has gained triple digits… precisely 100 points… for one of the very few times in its history, or 1.1% and it would have been higher still had it not been for holidays in Germany and China which have left their DAX and the Shanghai indices unchanged from the levels prevailing Friday. As evidenced by the chart of the S&P at the upper left of p.1, the support we had hoped would hold late last week had indeed held; the well-defined upward sloping trend channel continues to remain fully intact and until that trend line is broken we have to once again err upon the side of being bullish of shares generally. It is that simple and to make it more complex than that shall make it difficult to keep one’s focus.

 

Oh, there are indeed any and all sorts of fundamental reasons why the stock market in general terms is given over to being over-extended to the upside, including P/e ratios that are high; including earnings that may prove faulty; including high levels of margin debt; including far, far too many IPO’s that we think are ill-advised and overpriced; including the end of QE here in the US and of course including the horrible geo-political storms brewing seemingly ceaselessly… but yet support levels have held and trends from the lower left to the upper right obtain. One may wish to join the bearish camp, but one would be wrong.

 

…Prices are headed higher and we’ve no choice but to reduce our exposure on the short side via derivatives that shall therefore increase our long exposure.

And then this happened…




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Unleashed Algos Go Batshit In Bankrupt GTAT

GT Advanced technologies has been halted numerous times since re-opening post-bankruptcy

 

This is how price discovery occurs in a massively overvalued company, with no cash flows, and a record short interest…




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What Bubble? Record $924 Billion In 65 Million Auto Loans: 31% Of All New Loans Are Subprime

And now for something funny.

Earlier today, credit agency Equifax piggybacked on Experian’s auto loan data, and reported the following:

  • The total balance of auto loans outstanding in August is $924.2 billion, an all-time high and an increase of 10.8% from same time a year ago
  • The total number of auto loans outstanding stands at more than 65 million, a record high and an increase of more than 6% from the same time last year;
  • The total number of new loans originated through June is 12.5 million, an increase of 4.9% from same time a year ago
  • The total balance of new loans is $254.2 billion, an increase of 6.9% from same time a year ago and representing nearly half of total new non-mortgage credit originated
  • The total number of new loans originated year-to-date through June for subprime borrowers, defined as consumers with Equifax Risk Scores of 640 or lower, is 3.9 million, representing 31.2% of all auto loans originated this year.
  • Similarly, the total balance of newly originated subprime auto loans is $70.7 billion, an eight-year high and representing 27.8% of the total balance of new auto loans
  • Year-to-date in June, the average loan amount for borrowers with risk scores of 680 or lower are increasing the most, showing a 3% increase from the previous year. Loan sizes among borrowers with risk scores of 760 or higher show little change from the same time a year ago

At least we now know, definitively, what the reason for the US manufacturing surge in the late spring early summer was: a subprime credit-driven car buying binge.

But wait, there’s more: because here is Equifax’ “conclusion” based on the above bullets:

“Auto sales continue to soar, crossing the 17.4 million mark on an annualized basis for new cars and light trucks in August,” said Amy Crews Cutts, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at Equifax. “The abundance of high-quality vehicles for sale, the attractive financing options available, and the ever-increasing age of cars on the road today have created an environment that makes it easy for consumers to say ‘yes’ when it comes to purchasing a new or used car. Importantly, auto loan originations to borrowers with subprime credit scores remain stable, providing additional evidence that a bubble is not occurring in that space.

To summarize: to Equifax a record car loan bubble with an 8 year high in subprime origination is “evidence” that there is no bubble.

And… #Ref!




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