Hillary Increasingly Nervous As Bernie Gathers Momentum, Breaks Donation Record

When Hillary Clinton decided to run for President again, it is safe to assume that she didn’t spend much time (if any) worrying about whether or not a 74 year old Senator from Vermont named Bernie Sanders was going to get in her way. The polished ex-First Lady and her camp must have thought her nomination to represent the Democratic Party in the upcoming election was a mere formality. However, the road to her nomination has been anything but, and now that she has lost the last five consecutive states, she’s starting to get nervous.

As AP reports, Clinton has become increasingly irritated that Sanders’ surprising resilience is costing her time, money, and political capital. The differences are well documented between the two, and the man hell bent on exposing just how broken and dislocated Wall Street and Washington have become from normal Americans has finally struck a nerve with Clinton and her campaign. Sanders is doing exactly what he said he was going to do, which is tell the truth about the realities of crony capitalism, and how it impacts the everyday American. He has finally brought this fight directly to Hillary by bringing up the massive amounts of money she makes giving reassurance speeches to Wall Street. She is, therefore, quite vexed.

Per AP:

Her aides complain about Sanders’ rhetoric, claiming he’s broken his pledge to avoid character attacks by going after her paid speeches and ties to Wall Street

Hillary leads in the race to 2,383 delegates, but her concern has certainly shifted. It’s no longer Donald Trump that is the focus of the Clinton campaign, it’s simply whether or not Hillary can even win her self-proclaimed “home state” of New York on April 19th. 

For Bernie Sanders however, the road to the nomination has gone exactly how he has wanted it to. The momentum has swung his way, and his first rally in New York, the state causing Hillary to chew all of her fingernails wondering if she can win or not, had an estimated 15,000 person turnout. Sanders noted at the rally in the Bronx: “If we win here in New York, we are going to make it to the White House”. 

While we’re not sure about that, we are sure about this: Bernie’s support is growing, and he is breaking new ground in online campaign funding. He took in $44 million in March alone, surpassing a healthy $43.5 million dollar February. Sanders has raised $184 million dollars thus far, and according to The Hill, 97 percent of that was raised online. Sanders is having a great deal of success keeping himself funded through non-traditional methods, as he prides himself on not taking money from the wealthy and super-PACs.

And while Sanders is focused on upsetting Hillary, he does have a shot or two to send Donald Trump’s way. According to the Washington Post, at a rally in Wisconsin, after referencing a poll that showed him beating Donald Trump in a head to head match-up, Sanders said the following: “And that’s before he really began to expose what a nutcase he really is.”

The problem for Bernie: this is precisely the rhetoric that Trump thrives upon, because while the conventional gameplay may work, and even succeed against Hillary, the Vermont senator will need to dramatically overturn his strategy if and when he ends up facing the real estate mogul.


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Protesters Smoke Weed Outside of White House: New at Reason

Reason TV headed down to the White House for the April 2 #RESCHEDULE420 rally, which culminated in mass cannabis consumption by protesters. The event, which included a giant 51-foot inflatable joint, was organized to urge President Obama to remove marijuana as a Schedule 1 drug. 

Watch above or click the link below for full text, downloadable versions, and more. 

View this article.

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“Eye In The Sky” Widens Release

Eye in the Sky, the highly praised new thriller from Oscar-winning director Gavin Hood starring Helen Mirren, Aaron Paul, and the late Alan Rickman, is expanding from 123 sites to 1,027 this weekend.

This “quintessential modern war film” takes viewers into the secretive world of military operations, forcing the audience to wrestle with the moral, legal, and political questions surrounding a single drone mission.

Hood sat down with Reason TV’s Meredith Bragg for an in-depth discussion about the film and the urgent need for a national conversation about drone warfare.

Approximately 11 minutes.

Produced and Edited by Meredith Bragg.

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Brazil (Like Russia) Is Under Attack By Hyrbid War

Submitted by Pepe Escobar via TheSaker.is,

Color revolutions would never be enough; Exceptionalistan is always on the lookout for major strategic upgrades capable of ensuring perpetual Empire of Chaos hegemony.
 
The ideological matrix and the modus operandi of color revolutions by now are a matter of public domain. Not so much the concept of Unconventional War (UW).

UW was spelled out by the 2010 Special Forces Unconventional Warfare manual. Here’s the money quote:

“The intent of US [Unconventional Warfare] UW efforts is to exploit a hostile power’s political, military, economic, and psychological vulnerabilities by developing and sustaining resistance forces to accomplish US strategic objectives… For the foreseeable future, US forces will predominantly engage in irregular warfare (IW) operations.”

“Hostile” powers are meant not only in a military sense; any state that dares to defy any significant plank of the Washington-centric world “order” – from Sudan to Argentina – may be branded “hostile”.

The dangerous liaisons between color revolutions and UW have now fully blossomed as Hybrid War; a warped case of Flowers of Evil. A color revolution is nothing but the first stage of what will become Hybrid War. And Hybrid War can be interpreted essentially as the weaponization of  chaos theory – an absolute conceptual darling of the US military (“politics is the continuation of war by linguistic means”). My 2014 book Empire of Chaos essentially tracks its myriad manifestations.

This very well-argued three-part thesis clarifies the central objective behind a major Hybrid War; “to disrupt multipolar transnational connective projects through externally provoked identity conflicts (ethnic, religious, political, etc.) within a targeted transit state.”

The BRICS – an extremely dirty word/concept in the Beltway/Wall Street axis – had to be the prime targets of Hybrid War. For myriad reasons. Among them; the push for trade and commerce in their own currencies, bypassing the US dollar; the creation of the BRICS development bank; the avowed drive towards Eurasia integration, symbolized by the now converging China-led New Silk Roads – or One Belt, One Road (OBOR), in its official terminology – and Russia-led Eurasia Economic Union (EEU).

This implies that Hybrid War sooner rather than later will hit Central Asia; Kyrgysztan, a prime lab for Exceptionalistan experiments of the color revolution kind, is the ideal candidate.

As it stands, Hybrid War is very much active in Russia’s western borderlands (Ukraine) but still embryonic in Xinjiang, China’s Far West, which Beijing micromanages like a hawk. Hybrid War is already being applied to prevent a crucial Pipelineistan gambit; the construction of Turkish Stream. And will also be fully applied to interrupt the Balkan Silk Road – essential for China’s integrated trade/commerce with Eastern Europe.

As the BRICS are the only, real counter power to Exceptionalistan, a strategy had to be developed for each of the major players. Everything was thrown at Russia – from sanctions to full demonization, from a raid on its currency to an oil price war, even including (pathetic) attempts to start a color revolution in the streets of Moscow. For a weaker BRICS node, a more subtle strategy would have to be developed. Which brings us to the complexity of Hybrid War as applied to the current, massive political/economic destabilization of Brazil.

In the UW manual, swaying the perceptions of a vast “uncommitted middle population” is essential in the road to success, so these uncommitted eventually turn against their political leaders. The process encompasses everything from “supporting insurgency” (as in Syria) to “wider discontent through propaganda and political and psychological efforts to discredit the government” (as in Brazil). And as an insurrection escalates, so should the “intensification of propaganda; psychological preparation of the population for rebellion.” That, in a nutshell, has been the Brazilian case.

We need our own Saddam

Exceptionalistan’s utmost strategic objective is usually to have a merger of color revolution and UW. But Brazil’s civil society and vibrant democracy were too sophisticated for hardcore UW steps such as sanctions or R2P (“responsibility to protect”).

It’s no wonder that Sao Paulo was turned into the epicenter of the Hybrid War against Brazil. Sao Paulo, the wealthiest Brazilian state, also housing the economic/financial capital of Latin America, is the key node in an interlinked national/international power structure.

The Wall Street-centered global financial system – which rules over virtually the whole West – simply could not allow national sovereignty in full expression in a major regional actor such as Brazil.

The Brazilian Spring, in the beginning, was virtually invisible, an exclusive social media phenomenon – just as Syria in early 2011.

Then, in June 2013, Edward Snowden leaked those notorious NSA spying practices. In Brazil, the NSA was all over Petrobras. And suddenly, out of the blue, a regional judge, Sergio Moro, based on a single source – a currency exchange operator in the black market – had access to a major Petrobras document dump. Up to now, the two-year Car Wash corruption investigation has not revealed how they got to know so much about what they dub the “criminal cell” acting inside Petrobras.

What matters is that the color revolution modus operandi – a fight against corruption and “in defense of democracy” – was already in place. That was the first step of Hybrid War.

As Exceptionalistan coined “good” and “bad” terrorists wreaking havoc across “Syraq”, in Brazil surged the figure of the “good” and the “bad” corrupt.

Wikileaks also unveiled how Exceptionalistan doubted Brazil could design a nuclear submarine – a matter of national security. How construction company Odebrecht was going global. How Petrobras by itself developed the technology to explore the pre-salt deposits – the largest oil discovery of the young 21st century, of which Big Oil was excluded by none other than Lula.

Then, as a result of Snowden’s revelations, the Rousseff administration required all government agencies to use state-owned companies for their technology services. This would mean that US companies could lose as much as $35 billion in revenue over two years as they would be deprived of business in the 7th largest economy in the world – as research group Information Technology & Innovation Foundation discovered.

The future is happening now

The march towards Hybrid War in Brazil had little do to with the political left or right. It was basically about mobilizing a few wealthy families that actually run the country; buy large swathes of Congress; control mainstream media; behave like 19th century slave plantation owners (slavery still permeates all social relations in Brazil); and legitimize it all via a hefty, yet bogus, intellectual tradition.

They would give the signal for the mobilization of the middle class.

Sociologist Jesse de Souza identified a Freudian “substitutive gratification” phenomenon under which the Brazilian middle class – with large swathes now clamoring for regime change – imitates the wealthy few as much as it’s ruthlessly exploited by them, via mountains of taxes and sky-high interest rates.

The wealthy 0,0001% and the middle classes needed an Other to demonize – Exceptionalistan style. And what could be more perfect for the judicial-police-media-old comprador elite complex than the figure of a tropical Saddam Hussein: former President Lula.

Ultra right-wing “movements” financed by the nefarious Koch Brothers suddenly popped up on social networks and street protests. The Brazilian attorney general visited the Empire of Chaos leading a Car Wash team to hand out Petrobras information that could prop up possible Department of Justice indictments.

Car Wash and the – immensely corrupt – Brazilian Congress, which will now deliberate over the possible impeachment of President Rousseff, revealed themselves as indistinguishable.

By then, the scriptwriters were sure that a regime change social infrastructure was already built into a critical anti-government mass, thus allowing the color revolution’s full bloom. The way to a soft coup was paved – without even having to resort to lethal urban terrorism (as in Ukraine). The problem was that if the soft coup failed – as it now seems at least possible – it would be very hard to unleash a hard coup, Pinochet-style, via UW, against the beleaguered Rousseff administration; that is, finally accomplishing Full Hybrid War.

On a socioeconomic level, Car Wash would only be fully “successful” if mirrored by a softening up of Brazilian laws regulating oil exploration, opening it up for US Big Oil. And in parallel, all social spending programs would have to be smashed.

Instead, what’s happening now is the progressive mobilization of Brazilian civil society against a white coup/soft coup/regime change scenario. Crucial actors in Brazilian society are now firmly positioned against the impeachment of President Rousseff, from the Catholic church to evangelicals; first tier university professors; at least 15 state governors; masses of union workers and “informal economy” workers; artists; leading intellectuals; jurists; the overwhelming majority of lawyers; and last but not least, the “deep Brazil” that legally elected Rousseff with 54.5 million votes.

It ain’t over till some fat man in the Brazilian Supreme Court sings. What’s certain is that independent Brazilian academics are already laying down the theoretical bases to study Car Wash not as a mere, massive anti-corruption drive; but as the ultimate case study of Exceptionalistan’s geopolitical strategy applied to a sophisticated globalized environment dominated by infotech and social networks. The whole developing world should be fully alert – and learn the relevant lessons, as Brazil is bound to be analyzed as the ultimate case of Soft Hybrid War.

 


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Stanley Druckenmiller: “This Is The Most Unsustainable Situation I Have Seen In My Career”

By Jody Chudley, originally posted on the Daily Reckoning

Simple Math Shows America Is Headed for an Economic Disaster

With so many voices streaming at us through our televisions and computers, a person can’t be blamed for tuning out.

For the most part, tuning out is exactly what we should do. But sometimes it is very important that we pay attention…

By listening to Jeremy Grantham, Jim Grant and a host of other investors, a person could have avoided and profited the crashing of the tech bubble of the late ’90s.

By listening to Kyle Bass, Michael Burry and Prem Watsa, an investor could have avoided and even profited from the crashing of the housing bubble in 2008.

Today is another time when we all need to be paying attention. This time, the man we need to be listening to is Stan Druckenmiller.

For 25 years as a hedge fund manager, Druckenmiller compounded money at an annualized rate of return of 30%. Incredibly, he did it without a single down year.

Druckenmiller has a dire warning for all of us. One that requires action.

There is nothing for Druckenmiller to gain from providing this warning. He isn’t talking his book or trying to gain investor support — he isn’t promoting anything. He doesn’t even have a political agenda.

He is spending his own time and money to try to bring this issue to light because he believes it is crucial for the United States.

Druckenmiller simply believes that America is heading for a disaster, and he is trying to use his high-profile position to get people motivated to stop it.

What you need to know about Stan Druckenmiller is that his incredible investing performance was rooted in his skills in making macroeconomic forecasts.

When describing how he was able to compound money at such a crazy rate and not have a single down year, Druckenmiller said:

How did we do it? Very simple. While others were focusing on the present, we looked and focused on the future in terms of analyzing unsustainable situations.

 

And when I look at the current picture of expected tax revenues combined with benefits promised to future generations, this is the most unsustainable situation I have seen ever in my career.

The disaster that Druckenmiller sees coming for the United States is all about changing demographics and entitlement spending. They don’t add up to a sustainable situation.

In 1940, entitlement payments, which include everything from disability payments to Social Security to Medicare, amounted to just over 20% of annual government spending in the United States.

Today, entitlement spending has swelled to nearly 70% of the annual federal budget.

Things are about to get a whole lot more complicated. The 20-year baby boom that took place after World War II is now beginning to result in a retiree boom.

For context, Druckenmiller points out that in 2030, the average age of an American citizen will be older than the average age of a resident of Florida today.

This demographic trend is going to create an entitlement spending catastrophe.

The way the system works, the current workforce provides the tax revenue to support the current senior population. A huge rise in the retiree population relative to the number of people working results in a funding dilemma.

Since 1980, the number of working-age people the country has had has outnumbered those age 65 and over by a count of 5-to 1.

The country has had enough workers generating tax revenue to support the number of retirees.

By 2030, that ratio is going to drop to 2.5-to-1.

By 2029, there will be 11,000 new seniors arriving every day and only 2,000 new adults being added to the workforce to pay for them.

There is just no way that the workforce at that time is going to be able to fund the entitlements of these seniors.

This is a problem because those are commitments that have been made and will have to be paid.

Corporations are required to disclose on their balance sheet the future defined pension obligations that their employees have earned.

Those are very real liabilities for companies that are going to have to be paid, so they should be included.

The balance sheet of the United States, meanwhile, doesn’t account for the future payments that it has promised to its senior citizens. Again, like defined benefit pension payments, these are very real obligations.

They should be recorded as liabilities of the United States.

Here is how much the U.S. debt would increase, assuming no change in tax rates, if those obligations were included:

Source: Stan Druckenmiller presentation

That chart makes the size of the problem abundantly clear. There are a lot of people already very concerned with the amount of debt the United States has. Imagine how they would feel if they were aware that with these liabilities conclude the number is 20 times larger.

This is a case of simple math.

Either tax rates increase in a massive way or the payments to seniors have to be cut significantly. The status quo doesn’t work. There just isn’t going to be anywhere close to enough money coming in to fund the payments going out.

The country can’t borrow its way out of a funding issue of this size.

This issue that Druckenmiller is so passionate about is a huge problem. One with no possible solution that will be popular with the American voters.

Either higher taxes or lower benefits. Likely some combination of both. Both very unattractive options for big percentages of the voter base.

You can hear the politicians kicking this can further down the road, can’t you?

Fixing this is going to require some real sacrifice by the American people. That doesn’t sound like a very appealing platform upon which to get re-elected.

The finances of the entire world are run by short-term thinkers. Central bankers have been dead set on trying to inflate economies for a decade now using more and more aggressive easy-money policies.

To try to make the short term a little better, these central bankers have been perfectly willing to roll the dice on the long term.

The issue that Druckenmiller has raised will have to be dealt with. I’m sure it will be dealt with far later than it should be as politicians do kick that can down the road.

By doing that, they are only going to make the corrective actions that the country has to take more severe.

It is crucial that all of us realize that our long-term financial well-being really needs to be taken care of by one person. That one person is the man or woman you look at in the mirror in the morning when you are brushing your teeth.

We have to make sure we protect our wealth diligently and invest in assets that will retain their value when the consequences of all of this short-term thinking arrive.

Because eventually, they will.


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Hello Helicopter Money! Government-Owned Bank Begs Customers To Borrow Cash

Helicopter Money Belfius

Source: hln.be

We have already reported back to you several times on how desperate the European Central Bank seems to be in its attempts to get the money circulation in the Eurozone going again. Unfortunately all of its previous ‘ideas’ didn’t really work out too well, and the ECB just continues to cut its most important interest rates to discourage the banks to deposit cash at the ECB in overnight deposits.

Nice theories don’t always work in the real world, and the idea of negative interest rates definitely didn’t help at all. But then, the ECB’s recent statements contained some interesting surprises. During the Q&A session with journalists, Mario Draghi confirmed ‘ helicopter money ’ is a real thing, and just one week later, one of the main board members of the ECB was quoted in an Italian newspaper saying helicopter money is interesting (and cannot be ruled out).

That would be quite unique, and we were very intrigued when we got our hands on a letter from a Belgian bank to an existing (business) client. In that letter, the bank offered the client an immediate credit facility of 3,750 EUR (which could immediately be expanded to 10,000 EUR upon request).

You might think that’s business as usual, but that’s not the case in Belgium.

The most intriguing part is that this bank is 100% government-owned, and that the client has never applied for a loan, nor does he need one. In fact, the company is perfectly healthy, has no net debt but a net cash position on the balance sheet, but still was offered to borrow money without any installment fees whatsoever. The business owner also confirmed to us he has been client at a larger non-government bank for a much longer period of time but has never ever even received just a request to find out what his capital needs are.

Helicopter Money Belfius

Source: letter provided to us, in Dutch.

Was this a publicity stunt? No. Included in the letter was a SIGNED CONTRACT by the bank’s credit department, stating the credit facility HAS ALREADY BEEN OPENED (the highlighted part in yellow states ‘this proposal will automatically turn into a contract from April 15 on’) and no further action was required. In fact, there was an accompanying letter promoting another credit facility of up to 22.5M EUR (keep in mind the business we’re talking about has a total annual revenue of less than half a million US Dollar) which could be made available upon a second check and after paying a 2,500 EUR installment fee. That’s right, a bank was proposing a substantial line of credit with an installment fee of 0.01% of the total amount that would be borrowed.

We don’t like to use the term ‘ helicopter money ’ loosely but in this case it certainly looks like this (again; government-owned) bank has gone in overdrive to force credit lines down people’s and company’s throats. Giving away credit lines with no end date looks pretty much like a ‘please borrow some money from us’ type of thing. And we have saved the best for last. Belfius Bank is nothing less but the nationalized part of Dexia, the bank that collapsed during the Global Financial Crisis and was nationalized in 2011 after more shit has hit the fan, and the cost to insure against a default of this bank more than hundredfolded, as you can see on the next image.

Helicopter Money Dexia

Source: zerohedge.com

Will this help the money circulation in the Eurozone? Let’s have a look at the evolution of the M1 Money Supply rate. The M1 supply rate is the ‘purest’ way to find out how much money there is in circulation, and when you pull up the chart, you’ll indeed notice there has been a tremendous increase in the money supply in the Eurozone.

Helicopter Money M1 Suppl

Source: tradingeconomics.com

And that’s not it. Despite the sharp increase to 6,700 B EUR (up 21% in just two years), the consensus estimates for the further development of the M1 Money Supply Rate are calling for an additional 13% increase within the next 12 months and a 62% increase by the end of this decade.

Helicopter money no longer is a vague theoretical concept, and it’s becoming more realistic by the day.

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Policing Students’ Sex Lives Costs Colleges Millions, But Nobody’s Happy With Results

In order to fall into compliance with federal anti-discrimination law, the University of Kansas (KU) should segregate male student athletes to special dorms and immediately suspend anyone accused of sexual assault, argue the lawyers of a former student who says she was raped in the KU dorms. The young woman, Daisy Tackett (who has chosen to be public with her name and identity), is now suing the university in federal court. 

According to Tackett’s claim, the school’s failure to take reasonable steps to prevent the assault and to adequately address the situation afterward created a “hostile” educational environment, in violation of the federal statute known as Title IX. The original aim was to combat institutional sex discrimination in education, but has since morphed into “a lever by which the federal bureaucracy monitors schools’ policies and procedures regulating sexual behavior,” as Harvard law professors recently put it. These days, schools are increasingly finding themselves under investigation by the Education Department’s Office for Civil Rights (OCR) and on the receiving end of student lawsuits over perceived inadequacies in addressing sexual harassment and assault on campus.

Tackett’s lawsuit against KU epitomizes the shortcomings of this system. But that isn’t a condemnation of Tackett nor her parents, who have also filed their own suit against KU under Kansas consumer protection law. Tackett has provided no reason to disbelieve her accusations against “John Doe G,” a fellow student and member of the KU football team who was expelled from KU this March. It’s understandable for Tackett and her family to feel upset, betrayed, or whatever emotions are motivating their current actions. And while I think the Title IX lawsiut is misguided, I’m not here to judge or express scorn toward people trying to handle a tough situation in the best way they see available. No, the problem is with the options and incentives that are available to begin with.

This piece is not about calling out vulnerable people for failing to react perfectly. It’s about the Title IX takeover of U.S. universities and its wide-reaching detrimental effects. 

Daisy’s Story

On Halloween night of her freshman year, Daisy Tackett and her friends wound up at a post-party gathering at the Jayhawker Towers, an upperclassmen residence hall on the KU campus. According to Tackett’s lawsuit, John Doe G—who also lived in Jayhawker Towers—showed up at that gathering and “appeared inebriated.” Eventually, Doe invited Tackett back to his room “to watch a television show and then sexually assaulted her.” Tackett “remained in his apartment in a state of shock and horror until John Doe G said he needed to leave in the morning for football practice,” the lawsuit states.

Tackett “chose not to report the sexual assault at the time, although she did confide in a teammate” on the school’s rowing team, according to the suit. Around a year later, in October 2015, another woman on the school’s rowing team with Tackett confided that she, too, had been sexually assaulted by Doe, and had reported it to the school and the police. That’s when Tackett decided to come forward. Initially confiding to a rowing-team trainer, Tackett eventually reported Doe to KU’s Institutional Opportunity and Access (IOA) Office, which opened an investigation.

After the IOA meeting, Tackett “was departing class at Blake Hall on the KU campus, a low-traffic area of campus, when she encountered John Doe G, whom she had never seen at that time and location of campus, staring her down,” the lawsuit states. Later that week, she saw Doe in front of the library, where he “stared her down and called her a derogatory name.” Tackett reported both events to the IOA office, which assigned an escort to walk her between Blake Hall and her next class. 

Around this same time, Tackett started having “panic attacks and anxiety,” especially when rowing workouts were held in or near the football stadium. In November, her rowing coach said she couldn’t attend an upcoming training trip to Florida, which he later claimed was because she had skipped workouts. But Tackett alleges that the coach—who had a history of what some team members viewed as problematic comments about their weight—excluded her from the trip in retaliation for speaking up about the coach’s commentary and with disregard for the reason why Tackett was skipping workouts. Soon thereafter, Tackett “reported Coach Cathloth’s retaliation against her” to the IOA. 

After returning from winter break in January 2016, Tackett remained in school for one week before dropping out and moving back home to Florida. In March, Doe was expelled from KU. 

Catch IX

In a statement, Tackett’s lawyers claim that the University of Kansas created “a hostile educational environment when it chose to house KU football players in the Jayhawker Towers, despite knowledge of a high rate of sexual assaults.” Further, the school “had reason to know she might be retaliated against, but … failed to protect her from retaliation by the KU football player.”

Tackett’s lawsuit accuses KU of knowing “that sexual assaults were occurring at a high rate at Jayhawker Towers” and yet failing “to provide adequate supervision, warnings, training guidance, and education to its athletes and KU football players in particular.” The “likelihood of such misconduct was so obvious that KU’s failure to supervise amounted to deliberate indifference to the rights of Daisy Tackett,” it states. The suit further alleges that implementing a few “simple, reasonable policies” could have “lessen(ed) the chance of rapes occuring, harassment occuring, or retaliation occuring.” Yet KU “failed to immediately issue a ‘no contact’ order to John Doe G after receiving two independent reports of sexual assaults involving him,” “failed to immediately suspend John Doe G pending the outcome of KU’s investigation,” and “failed to ban John Doe G from campus pending the outcome of KU’s investigations.” 

Putting aside for a moment whether these claims are reasonable, let’s look at what Tackett’s lawyers think the school must do to be compliant with Title IX, the law that says schools can’t discriminate on the basis of sex. First, they assert that KU should single out one class of students—male athletes—for special, segregated housing and anti-rape training. But of course, this itself could be a violation of Title IX. Tackett’s lawyers also say that in order to create a safe and non-discriminatory educational environment for victims, students should be suspended from school and banned from campus upon any accusation of a sexual assault. But not only would this seriously violate the rights of anyone accused, it could also open the school up to yet more Title IX lawsuits.

Accused students who feel they have received an unfair shake from campus administrators during sexual-misconduct hearings have begun realizing that they, too, can use Title IX to their advantage. A slew of recent cases pits colleges against male students who say that they were the real victims of sex discrimination in their cases, and some have already won. 

But universities can’t win, not with the hand they’ve been dealt by the Office for Civil Rights. Inevitably, the interests of opposing parties in sexual-misconduct—a category broad enough to include rape and offensive comments—are going to conflict to some degree, and striking the right balance between the rights of both parties isn’t easy under any circumstances. Now schools also face the prospect of losing all direct and indirect federal funding and spending hundreds of thousands fighting lawsuits because OCR has defined missteps made by schools in individual misconduct complaints as institutionalized sex discrimination. Any student—accuser or accused—who doesn’t like the way things play out can now re-litigate the matter in federal court.  

Campus Housing “Obviously Not Safe”

The things Tackett’s lawyers ask of KU in the name of Title IX compliance are simply not reasonable from a legal standpoint. But that’s not their only flaw. What makes these requests especially ridiculous is that they’re not rooted in the reality of rape on the KU campus, nor would they adequately prevent sexual assaults like what Tackett describes. Her claims hinge in large part on the idea that “sexual assaults were occurring at a high rate at Jayhawker Towers.” And yet the lawsuit pinpoints just one incident of sexual assault and three incidents of sexual battery (defined as “unwelcome contact with or touching of another person’s genitals, breasts, buttocks, or other unwelcome physical contact of a sexual nature) at the dorm building from 2013 through early 2016. 

According to KU crime report data, the school received 14 reports of on-campus rape in 2014, with 10 occurring in residential facilities. Ten forced fondling incidents were reported that year. With around 25,000 students attending KU’s main campus, that means that around 0.096 percent of students each year will report being sexually assaulted in some way while on the KU campus and around 0.005 percent will report being sexually assaulted at the Jayhawker Towers. 

Crime data from previous years show similarly low levels of sexual assault reports. In 2013, a total of 13 on-campus sex offenses were reported, including nine that occurred in residence halls. In 2012, three on-campus incidents were reported. In 2011, there were two and in 2010 there were five. Obviously not all victims will report incidents, so these numbers don’t necessarily reflect the full scope of sexual assault at KU. But they also highlight the absurdity of claiming that the likelihood of Tackett being raped in Jayhawker Towers was “so obvious” that KU was somehow negligent in not preventing it. And they add a hollow ring to the advice from Tackett’s dad about how other parents can protect their kids at KU: “Move them out of the housing because it is obviously not safe.” 

And yet, some 1.3 assaults per year were reported as occuring at Jayhawker Towers. Are there “simple, reasonable” steps the university is forgoing that could be contributing? Tackett’s lawyers say yes: the school failed to provide adequate security at Jayhawker Towers and adequate “warnings, training guidance, and education” to students about prohibited conduct and personal risk.

The claims are dubious. Jayhawker Towers is one of at least 25 dorms on KU’s main campus (which also includes 14 sex-segregated dorms). It’s a coed dorm for upperclassmen, transfer, and nontraditional students, with about 200 suites and a wait-list to get in for the 2016-2017 year. A key is required to enter the building 24 hours per day, and security cameras can be found around all entrances and exits. Resident assistants and other staff are in the building at all times, and campus safety officers make nighttime rounds.

In a residential life handbook, KU instructs student residents that they are beholden to all local, state, and federal laws and university policies and regulations and reminds them that “residents should be mindful of personal safety.” It defines offenses including sexual assault, rape, sexual battery, and sexual harassment, states clearly that these are prohibited, and reiterates that KU is “committed to preventing, correcting, and disciplining incidents of unlawful harassment, including sexual harassment and sexual assault.” It has reported student sexual-assault data years before the federal government required it and has a number of programs dedicated to training students, staff, and professors about sexual harassment and assault. 

Risk and Retribution

External security features like those at Jayhawker Towers make little difference when it comes to the vast majority of campus rapes, which aren’t a matter of nefarious strangers getting into student residence halls but happen between students who willingly enter one another’s dorm rooms. Such was the case with Tackett and Doe. And short of enforcing a total ban on students entering each other’s rooms, I’m not sure how KU could preemptively thwart these sorts of assaults.

Throughout Tackett’s lawsuit, it is alleged that KU football players were housed in Jayhawker Towers because it has less strict rules and security than do some other residence halls. Yet, presumably, none of the dorms are so strict as to prohibit students from ever inviting another student in and actively enforce this policy. So how would Doe (or all male athletes) being housed in a different dorm have prevented him from inviting Tackett to his room? Or her from accepting the invitation? By Tackett’s own account, Doe was the one who was “inebriated,” not her, and she went with Doe to his room of her own accord. 

There’s no reason to fault Tackett for that decision, or to assume that it relieves Doe of some responsibility. People should obviously be able to enter private spaces with other individuals—to watch TV or whatever else—and maintain an expectation of bodily autonomy. The bulk of dating is based on placing this trust in one another. But people do violate this trust sometimes. Sadly, Tackett (and many others) have to learn for the first time at a point in their lives when they’re already confused and vulnerable, having just entered college and started coping with a lack of parental restrictions and an influx of personal responsibility for the first time. 

The small but real risk in being behind closed doors with someone you barely know is not one that can be collectively dealt with, however. Short of some sort of constant surveillance from authorities, there’s just no way a third party can preempt sexual assaults of this nature. What we can do, however, is hope that perpetrators of violence will be held accountable and victims find some measure of retribution in the criminal justice system. 

Yet with the extra-legal justice system encouraged by Title IX, students are instructed and incentivized not to go to police with rape or sexual battery claims. Police are bad at handling rape, young women are told, and thus it’s better to appeal to campus administrators. There is no “right” response to being raped, advocates argue, and thus no imperative to even discuss with vulnerable populations (like college women) how their post-assault actions might matter. We need to believe and support victims, which means not burdening them with things like statutes of limitations for bringing criminal charges or biased questions about why they wait to come forward. 

Who are we helping with this all or nothing attitude? While it may not be ideal, there’s no getting around the fact that certain steps—preserving DNA evidence, getting a medical examination post-assault, reporting the matter to authorities in a timely manner—can go a long way toward successful prosecution. This sort of officialized justice may not be important to all victims. And these steps won’t guarantee sucess. But if we’re serious about reducing sexual violence, one of the best ways is by reducing the population of sexually violent people who go unpunished. And this requires not just creating a safe space for victims to speak up (something campus/women’s groups have been good at fostering) but creating the conditions where arrest, prosecution, and conviction are actually possible. 

Promoting greater compassion and less victim-blaming in sexual assault situations isn’t at odds with empowering people to know their options and act accordingly if they are victimized. What we can’t continue doing is pretending that a victims’ actions don’t matter in any way. From a moral perspective, that might be true, but it’s simply not true from a practical or legal perspective, and we fail future victims when we don’t acknowledge that. 

The Cost for Colleges and Students

In encouraging students to seek justice not from cops and courtrooms but from Title IX coordinators and settlements, we’ve set up a system that doesn’t seem to bring either security or justice for sexual assault victims, violates the rights of the accused, and fails to punish the guilty in a way that might prevent future assaults. It also ends up consuming a lot of university resources. At a time when everyone’s worried about inflating college costs, this ought to give people pause. The New York Times recently reported that between hiring Title IX lawyers, investigators, peer counselors, victims’ advocates, case workers, etc., colleges have been spending millions of dollars addressing sexual misconduct complaints. 

“Title IX coordinators … can earn $50,000 to $150,000 a year,” according to the Times. The estimated cost of “lawyers, counselors, information campaigns and training to fight sexual misconduct ranges from $25,000 a year at a small college to $500,000 and up at larger or wealthier institutions.” 

The University of California, Berkeley has increased Title IX spending by at least $2 million since 2013, officials there said. The University of Oregon recently authorized $500,000 in new spending to hire additional Title IX staff. 

School lawyers are tasked with defending colleges against both federal government investigations—210 and counting, up from 55 just two years ago—and a growing number of student lawsuits claiming sex discrimination. This is expensive and time consuming even when a university wins.

“There’s so much more litigation on all sides of the issue,” Brett Sokolow, executive director of the Association of Title IX Administrators (founded in 2011), told the Times. “This has very much created a cottage industry.” Responding to a lawsuit “can run into the high six or even seven figures, not counting a settlement or verdict,” Sokolow said.  

Wade Robinson, KU’s vice president for campus life and university relations, told KWCH 12 last year that preventing and punishing campus sexual assault is a topic that “dominates our time … through the conduct process and education process. This has exploded. This is the top issue at this point.” 

Wouldn’t it be better for all parties if universities could go back to seeing students’ education as their “top issue” and let sex crimes be handled by parties we specifically designate to handle criminals?

Alas, that doesn’t seem likely any time soon. Senators are currently seeking an additional $138 million for federal investigations of campus sexual misconduct. The money would go to the Office for Civil Rights and the federal Clery Act Compliance Team, which handles campus crime-reporting data. The Clery team’s complaints were up from 16 in 2012 to 87 complaints in 2015. OCR reports that Title IX complaints have skyrocketed from just a few in 2009 to 106 complaints in 2014 and 165 complaints last year.

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Character Traits And Skills That Are Hard To Find During A Crisis

Submitted by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.com,

I have never lived through a national scale crisis and like most people, I hope I never have to. That said, with the growing instability present in the state of the world today it would be rather foolish to assume that the near future holds nothing but fairy dust, unicorns and gumdrops. Preparation is a necessity.

Many Americans cannot yet relate to the concept of full spectrum crisis, but most of us have at least experienced localized disasters. In order to understand what a national emergency might look like, one simply needs to examine the microcosm of localized disasters and then imagine the same exact problems but magnified 1,000 times.

From my personal experience with local crises, I can say that the worst threat comes not from the event itself, but the ways in which people choose to deal with the event. That is to say, for smart, courageous and prepared people with the right traits and skills, there is no such thing as a crisis. For stupid people who overestimate their abilities or who let fear dominate their thinking, any crisis becomes an insurmountable moment of utter terror.

The right people in the right place at the right time — no crisis. The wrong people in the right place at the right time — total destruction. Therefore, the key to surviving any crisis is to have the right people in place, and to be well away from the wrong people.

The question is, who are the right people? How do we identify them? And, how do we examine ourselves and determine if we are ready or unready? Here are some of the increasingly rare character traits and skills that make a crisis manageable for any community.

The Ability To Act Without Permission

This is one of the hardest character qualities to find in people in a moment of crisis. Remember back to any crisis moments you have personally experienced and ask yourself how many people around you actually tried to solve the problem immediately, and how may stood around waiting for someone else to take the lead?

During larger scale disasters this frequently manifests as widespread apathy. Thousands or even millions of people milling around for someone in “authority” to tell them what they should do rather than taking measures themselves. I am not a big believer in leadership by dictation. The moment you give one or very few people the power to dictate the actions of entire groups, your society is already doomed. However, I am a believer in leadership by example because I have seen it work.

Unfortunately, people who have the ability to lead by example are few and far between. Without people of this quality within your community, it is unlikely you will survive. Decisiveness wins the day.

The Ability To Teach

When I mention the ability to teach, I am not referring to people who we designate officially as “teachers” or people who call themselves teachers. Most teachers do not actually know how to teach anything.

I am thoroughly convinced that the ability to to teach, to transfer knowledge in a way that people can easily understand and replicate, is an inborn skill — a few people are gifted with it, most people are not. I have seen men and women with expert level knowledge in numerous fields of study who are bumbling buffoons when it comes to passing that knowledge on to others. This is because it is not enough to have mastered a skill set; you must also be able to read other people and figure out how they process information. You have to be highly intuitive to teach, and this is not something that can be learned, it is something that comes naturally.

Finding great teachers during terrible times is the best way for a community to strengthen rather than weaken. It is also the only way that a society can rebuild after a collapse.

The Ability To Think Outside Of The Box

Crisis scenarios sometimes require imaginative solutions in order for the threat to be removed. Thinking outside of the box means a person is unafraid to gamble, and also unafraid to enact measures which have no precedence in history. Thinking outside of the box is not guaranteed to work, but it is a desirable trait when predictable responses are likely to fail.

An outside-the-box thinker is a kind of inventor – he invents or engineers a mechanism that no one else could have conceived of because he does not see the crisis in front of him in linear terms; he does not see it as a situation he is trapped within. Rather, he sees the crisis as if outside the bubble looking from above. Many people have done this at least once in their lives; few people are able to do this on a regular basis.

The Ability To Stay Calm

It is truly amazing how few people are able to recognize they are in the midst of an emergency or disaster and remain calm and collected. Keep in mind, people who are apathetic during a crisis are not “remaining calm,” they simply are too ignorant to understand the gravity of the situation. Remaining calm requires you to see the danger and to act accordingly without panic.

Vetting people for such a character trait is pretty easy; just watch how they respond to smaller stress events. Do they run and hide every time literally or psychologically, or do they stand their ground and work out the problem? Do they let their emotions take full control, or do they manage them?

Reactionaries can make any crisis far worse by their mere presence. Get rid of them, or teach them how to manage stress if you can.

The Ability To Direct Force Intelligently

Sometimes a crisis is not a natural event but a man-made event, and the only way to stop the crisis is to eliminate the man or men responsible. This requires self-defense, and self-defense requires force. Sadly, when most people do direct force to stop an attack rather than cowering in fear they tend to do it haphazardly and without intelligent direction. They simply lash out in anger, and sometimes the wrong people get hurt in the process.

This is kind of like using a shovel rather than a scalpel to scoop out a tumor.

The ability to direct force intelligently requires not only a propensity for acting without permission, but also in some cases remaining patient. When action is taken, it must be done with precision and insight. Finding a person who appreciates this methodology is like finding a four leaf clover nowadays.

The Ability To Psychologically Process Carnage

Disasters are usually messy and horrifying affairs leading to grisly and macabre scenes. The key is to be able to process the sight of such carnage without being mentally broken by it, while also maintaining one’s humanity. I call these people “quiet professionals.”

People who think that dealing with the pain and death of others requires you to act like a robot have missed the point entirely and are not safe and functional people to have present in a crisis.

Instead, it is vital that we continue to hold onto our empathy, but not let it disrupt our ability to take action to help those who are suffering. Anyone who simply shuts off all emotion is likely a sociopath, and while sociopaths do have a knack for functioning well in grisly jobs they also have a knack for putting other people at risk. Sociopaths are incapable of caring about others, while quiet professionals take responsibility for others despite the ugliness of the situation.

The Ability To Self-Sacrifice

This is not a quality that can be easily seen in other people. Situations that actually call for self-sacrifice usually occur only in the worst of times, and it is nearly impossible to know for certain how anyone, including ourselves, will act when that time comes.

To be clear, self-sacrifice by itself is not a noble quality. There are people out there that long for martyrdom, but they do so in the name of personal glory rather than in the name of saving others. Not only should self-sacrifice be enacted only when it is certain to save lives and no other options are available, it should also only be enacted without selfish aspirations of promoting one’s own legacy. Such an attitude invariably leads to disaster rather than redemption.

The Ability To Recognize When Others Are More Qualified To Accomplish A Task

It is vital that people have the ability to take initiative during a crisis and get things done. But, it is also vital for people to recognize when the person next to them is better qualified for a specific task.

“Leadership” — good leadership — is about deferring responsibilities in a practical way. If you cannot do this then you are not a leader, you are an annoyance or an obstacle. I have seen far too many people in leadership positions sabotage their own efforts by refusing to hand over responsibility to those better suited to certain tasks.

If you are a motivator, but not a teacher, then motivate your best teachers to teach rather than trying to take charge of both tasks and failing miserably. If you are not skilled in a particular area, then don’t try to micromanage people who are. Finding people who are “doers” is a fantastic thing, as long as they can refrain from overstepping their realm of ability and stepping on the toes of others.

The worst possible scenario I can imagine is to have a community in which leadership is not shared according to expertise to some extent. Identify micro-managers and mini-tyrants early, or suffer the fate of a completely dysfunctional community in the face of unprecedented challenges.

It is perhaps not coincidental that all of the above character qualities are growing rarer as our culture grows more and more unstable. The notion of preparedness for crisis revolves far too much around collecting supplies and menial skills and not enough around collecting people of excellent character. That is to say, true preparedness is about building up necessary supplies and talents, but it is also about organizing with uniquely qualified people. Ignoring the latter task is to set yourself up for inevitable failure.


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Trump: “The Country Is Headed For A Massive Recession; It’s A Terrible Time To Invest In Stocks”

Donald Trump continued to streamroll over all conventional narratives when during a massive 96-minute interview with the Washington Post on Thursday which was released today, in which he talked candidly about his aggressive style of campaigning and offered new details about what he would do as president, he said that economic conditions are so perilous that the country is headed for a “very massive recession” and that “it’s a terrible time right now” to invest in the stock market, which, the traditionally cheerful WaPo said embraces “a distinctly gloomy view of the economy that counters mainstream economic forecasts.”

Unfortunately, his “gloomy view” is supported by such events as the record surge in gun violence and deadly shootings in Chicago, where the locals also do not ascribe to the WaPo’s rosy take on events, and instead blame the economy and the lack of jobs for the ongoing social collapse in the windy city. 

In any case, Trump dismissed concern that his comments, which the WaPo said “are exceedingly unusual, if not unprecedented, for a major party front-runner”, which is precisely Trump’s style, “could potentially affect financial markets.”

As the WaPo adds, “over the course of the discussion, the candidate made clear that he would govern in the same nontraditional way that he has campaigned, tossing aside decades of American policy and custom in favor of a new, Trumpian approach to the world.”

In his first 100 days, Trump said, he would cut taxes, “renegotiate trade deals and renegotiate military deals,” including altering the U.S. role in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

Below are some of the highlights of his bearish take on the economy via the WaPo.

Trump has for months contended that the U.S. economy is in trouble because of what he sees as an overvalued stock market, but his view has grown more pessimistic of late and he is now bearish on investing, to the point of warning Americans against doing so.

“I think we’re sitting on an economic bubble. A financial bubble,” Trump said. He made clear that he was not specifying a sector of the economy but the economy at large and asserted that more bullish forecasts were based on skewed employment numbers and an inflated stock market.

“First of all, we’re not at 5 percent unemployment. We’re at a number that’s probably into the twenties if you look at the real number,” Trump said. “That was a number that was devised, statistically devised to make politicians — and, in particular, presidents — look good. And I wouldn’t be getting the kind of massive crowds that I’m getting if the number was a real number.”

Trump said, “it’s precarious times. Part of the reason it’s precarious is because we are being ripped so badly by other countries. We are being ripped so badly by China. It just never ends. Nobody’s ever going to stop it. And the reason they’re not going to stop it is one of two. They’re either living in a world of the make-believe, or they’re totally controlled by their lobbyists and their special interests.”

“I’m pessimistic,” Trump said. “Unless changes are made. Changes could be made.” By Trump, for instance: “I can fix it. I can fix it pretty quickly.” Trump firmly believes that a turnaround on trade would be the necessary beginning of a solution to any looming recession.

He mentions the Trans-Pacific Partnership as one pact he would immediately seek to renegotiate, putting him at odds with congressional Republicans who supported giving the president fast-track trade authority last year.

Coupled with his push on trade would be a “very big tax cut,” which Trump unveiled last September. That proposal increases taxes on the “very rich” but reduces taxes for most taxpayers and would cut the corporate tax rate to 15 percent. To woo companies back to the United States, he would offer an incentive of a deeply discounted rate and would no longer allow corporations to defer taxes on income earned overseas.

* * *

The Washington Post was displeased by Trump’s pessimistic view, which it said “runs counter to that of most economists, whose rough consensus is that the U.S. economy has about a 20 percent chance of slipping into recession this year largely because growth remains weak across the world, according to a Wall Street Journal survey of economists in March.”

Most economists aren’t overly worried about an imminent downturn because job creation remains strong, workers are starting to see their wages grow and the Federal Reserve remains cautious about shifting away from the low-interest-rate stance that has helped stimulate the economy.

Cheerful economists promptly chimed in to defend the economy:

 

Of course, whether Trump is right or not with his warning about the economy and the market, only time will tell, although as we reported in mid-January, Trump is certainly hoping for a market crash. The reason is that historically, the market performance in the three months leading up to a Presidential Election has displayed an uncanny ability to forecast who will win the White House… the incumbent party or the challenger. Since 1928, there have been 22 Presidential Elections. In 14 of them, the S&P 500 climbed during the three months preceding election day. The incumbent President or party won in 12 of those 14 instances. However, in 7 of the 8 elections where the S&P 500 fell over that three month period, the incumbent party lost.

In other words, if Trump wants to win he would certainly benefit from a major drop in the S&P in the all important September to November period. That is, assuming he gets the nomination.

* * *

Of note also was Trump’s insistence that he would be able to get rid of the nation’s more than $19 trillion national debt “over a period of eight years.” This is how he says he would do it: “I’m renegotiating all of our deals, the big trade deals that we’re doing so badly on. With China, $505 billion this year in trade.” He said that economic growth he foresees as a consequence of renegotiated deals would enable the United States to pay down the debt.

But Trump’s most interesting comment had nothing to do with economics – it was his admission that everyone close to him — family, friends, Republican leaders — have been urging him to tone down his attacks and reach out to former rivals, both to reassure wary voters and to begin the difficult process of unifying a party in which many have sworn to never back him. Trump does not intend to take the advice. He said such overtures are “overrated.” “I think the first thing I have to do is win,” he said. “Winning solves a lot of problems. And I have two people left”: his two remaining Republican rivals, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and Ohio Gov. John Kasich.

Bob Woodward summarizes his take of the Trump interview


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Shocking Video From Brussels Anti-Islam Protest Of Moment Muslim Woman Is Run Over By Car

Various far-right groups, including the anti-migrant Generation Identitaire movement, demonstrated in Belgium’s notorious Molenbeek district, the notorious terrorist breeding ground of the Belgian capital, on Saturday. At the same time, leftist groups held counter-rallies. Though the demonstrations were banned in Brussels following the March attacks, several rallies still took place in Belgian capital.

Since the attacks in Brussels Zaventem Airport and Maelbeek metro station that rocked the Belgian capital on March 22, Belgium has been on high alert, while tension between various local groups and migrants has escalated to unprecedented levels, confirmed by today’s events, when according to local news, at an anti-racism rally in the Brussels district of Molenbeek, the police clashed with hundreds of youths. Later, police temporarily closed the area after the police made 19 arrests at the Place de la Bourse, according to RTL

Thirteen rioters were arrested in the neighborhood which appears like a warzone.

 

According to RT, at least two armed far-right activists with Molotov cocktail arrested in the Molenbeek district.

But the most shocking and violent moment took place when a car drove toward the police line, spraying a fire extinguisher. While driving off, the Audi hit a woman head on, according to twitter reports.

The video below captures the moment of impact of what RT reports, was a Muslim woman wearing a hijab, without so much as slowing down, as she bounces off the bonnet. The woman was taken to hospital immediately afterwards

Viewer discretion advised.

 

The perpetrator, who the Belgian media say is a resident of Molenbeek, has since reportedly been arrested.

And as the world becomes witness to increasing violence by both sides, one thing is certain: Molenbeek residents will feel compelled to escalate their acts of violence even more in the next inevitable attack, which in turn will lead to an even more violent response, and so on until deadly violence between assorted groups of people is a daily fixture across Europe.


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