The Unspoken, Festering Secret At The Heart Of Shadow Banking: "Self-Securitization" … With Central Banks

By now everyone has heard of securitization: the process whereby banks take risky assets on their books, package, tranche them, and then re-sell them to yield chasing fiduciaries of widows and orphans. The conversion process can be nebulous, usually involving a 20 year-old evil French mastermind working for Goldman, and a billionaire hedge fund manager, who select the worthless securities put into the weakest tranche, just so the abovementioned two parties can short it while misrepresenting their conflicts of interest, and make a boatload of money when the whole securitized structure implodes. The process usually takes place “off balance sheet” via Special Purpose Vehicles so it is completely unregulated, and as such allows massive leverage.

According to many, the hidden leverage embedded in the securitization pipeline is what catalyzed the 2008 near-death experience of the financial markets.

All of this is well-known to most.

What however is certainly not known, because until a few days ago the concept did not technicall exist, is what emerged deep from the bowels of the FSB’s 2013 “Global Shadow Banking report“, and what is barely even defined anywhere in popular literature, which thus we have defined as the “unspoken, festering secret at the heart of shadow banking.”

Presenting self-securitization.

What is “self-securitization”? Go ahead and Google it: there doesn’t exist any technical definition of this heretofore unheard of phrase.

Rather the term, conceived by the FSB as a means of making the total size of the $71 trillion shadow banking sector somewhat more palatable, is defined as follows:

Self-securitisation (retained securitisation) is defined as those securitisation transactions done solely for the purpose of using the securities created as collateral with the central bank in order to obtain funding, with no intent to sell them to third-party investors. All of the securities issued by the Structured Finance Vehicle (SFV) for all tranches are owned by the originating bank and remain on its balance sheet.

At this point alarm bells should be going off. And if they aren’t, here is some more color.

The numbers for OFIs presented in sections 2 to 4 of this report include all financial assets of Structured Finance Vehicles (SFVs), regardless of who holds the securitised products. However, in a number of jurisdictions, some of these products are returned back onto the balance sheet of the bank that originally provided the asset to be securitised. This so called self-securitisation, or retained securitisation, is defined as those securitisation transactions done solely for the purpose of using the securities created as collateral with the central bank in order to obtain funding, with no intent to sell them to third-party investors. All of the securities issued by the SFV for all tranches are owned by the originating bank and remain on the bank’s balance sheet, so that third-party investors do not own any of the securities issued by the SFV. These assets should not be included in the shadow banking figure, as prudential consolidation rules consider them as banks’ own assets and as such subject to consolidated supervision and capital requirements.

 

…  some of the assets that are currently ‘self-securitised’ by banks may at some point be sold to third parties when financial conditions improve.

Wait a minute: a company is “securitizing” assets…. which it then keeps, but only after it has “obtained funding with a central bank”? What?

Judging by the countries whose shadow bank institutions are the most aggressive participants in “self-securitization”, it gets clearer just what is going on here:

While Italy and Spain are clear, why is Australia on this list?

While the large increase in Australian banks’ self-securitisation of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) started in 2008 (i.e. before Basel III was developed), the amount of self-securitisation is expected to stay high going forward as these securities are eligible as collateral for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Committed Liquidity Facility (CLF). Indeed some banks are gearing up already for the CLF. Given the low level of government debt in Australia, the Australian prudential regulator has adopted elements of the Basel rules that allow banks to count a committed liquidity facility provided by the central banks as part of their Basel III liquidity requirements.

So that very strict Basel III requirements are permissive enough to allow… shadow “banks” to engage in self-securitization with their central bank? Just brilliant.

Finally, what amount of circularly (non) securitized, central-bank backstopped securities are we talking here?

Answer: $1,200,000,000,000.

That is the amount of unlevered notional that shadow (and regular) banks engage in circular check-kiting games with central banks for, and in the process obtaing “funding.” As one trading desk explained it:

you take yr worst assets… package up in an spv (which removes em from yr gaap balance sheet) then flip to central bank for cash at modest haircut and boom revenues…

And presto: magic balance sheet clean up and even more magical “revenues.”

But wait, there’s more.

Where this mindblowing, circular scheme in which riskless central banks serve as secret sources of incremental bank funding, i.e., free money, gets completely insane, is the realization that these self-securitized assets can also participate in rehypothecation chains. Recall from our exposition yesterday on the permitted leverage resulting from collateral reuse in a repo chain which is fundamentally what shadow banking is all about: unregulated, stratospheric leverage.

We added:

So… three participants result in 4x leverage; four: in roughly 6x, and so on. Of course, these are conservative estimates: in the real, collateral-strapped world, the amount of collateral reuse, and thus the number of participants is orders of magnitude higher. Which means that after just a few turns of rehypothecation, leverage approaches infinity.

Which means that should these same banks that self-securitize with Central Bank X, then proceed to re-use the same securit
y with the same counterparty – i.e., their host central bank, or the Fed of course – then this $1.2 trillion in assets, already carried off-balance sheet with Basel III’s blessings, can get 2x, 3x, 5x, 8x, 13x or more turns of leverage on them, as for the shadow bank it is the central bank that is the (up to infinity) levered counterparty. And the central bank, as everyone knows, can always just print money if and when the worthless collateral backing the bank’s self securitization ends up worthless.

The implication of this unprecedented shadow banking circle jerk, which could very easily make even the direct wealth transfer resulting from trillions in QE pale by comparison, is so stunning that we leave it up to the reader to come to their own conclusion.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/8Z3YYO9fUWQ/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Weekly Bull/Bear Recap: Nov 11th-15th 2013

This objective report concisely summarizes important macro events over the past week. It is not geared to push an agenda. Impartiality is necessary to avoid costly psychological traps, which all investors are prone to, such as confirmation, conservatism, and endowment biases.

 

Via Rodrigo Serrano’s RCS Investments,

RCS Investments Weekly Bull/Bear Recap


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/7SzqqNKBKb8/story01.htm Tyler Durden

House Passes “Keep Your Health Plan” Bill, Anonymous Hacker Given 10-Year Jail Sentence, Toronto Mayor Stripped of Some Powers: P.M. Links

  • The
    Keep Your Health Plan
     Bill passed the House, with the
    support of 39 Democrats.
  • Toronto city councilors voted overwhelmingly to strip Mayor

    Rob Ford
    of some powers earlier today. Ford has threatened
    legal action.

  • FCC Chairman
    Tom Wheeler wants carriers to allow their
    customers to unlock their phones.

  • Albania
    won’t host the dismantling of Syria’s chemical weapons,
    despite a request made by the U.S.
  • Anonymous hacker
    Jeremy Hammond
    has been handed a 10-year jail sentence for
    hacking private intelligence firm Stratfor.
  • Detroit homeowner
    Theodore P. Wafer
    has been charged with the second-degree
    murder of Renisha McBride, who was shot in the face on Wafer’s
    porch. Wafer has told police he believed someone was breaking into
    his house.

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from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/15/house-passes-keep-your-health-plan-bill
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David Harsanyi on Obama’s Stumbling Bumbling Fumbling News Conference

We learned a few interesting things from
President Barack Obama’s rambling, analogy-filled news conference
Thursday. We learned that there was a fumble. We learned that
technology is hard. We learned that buying insurance is complex
business. David Harsanyi says we learned all this and much more
about how President Obama sees himself fitting into the healthcare
debacle.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/15/david-harsanyi-on-obamas-stumbling-bumbl
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David Harsanyi on Obama's Stumbling Bumbling Fumbling News Conference

We learned a few interesting things from
President Barack Obama’s rambling, analogy-filled news conference
Thursday. We learned that there was a fumble. We learned that
technology is hard. We learned that buying insurance is complex
business. David Harsanyi says we learned all this and much more
about how President Obama sees himself fitting into the healthcare
debacle.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/15/david-harsanyi-on-obamas-stumbling-bumbl
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China Creates Another Exception to the ‘One Child’ Rule

The Chinese
government
plans
to further relax its restrictions on reproduction by
allowing families living in cities to have two children if one
parent has no siblings. The so-called “one child” policy already
makes exceptions for urban parents when both are single children,
for rural couples whose first child is a girl, and for certain
ethnic groups. The shift is part of the government’s grudging
acknowledgment that its draconian limits on family size, supposedly
necessary to prevent overpopulation, have had serious unintended
consquences, including a lopsided ratio of old to young and a
shortage of women (the result of sex-selective abortions by
boy-preferring parents). “By 2050, more than a quarter of the
population will be over 65,” the BBC reports. “By
the end of the decade, demographers say China will have 24 million
‘leftover men’ who, because of China’s gender imbalance, will not
be able to find a wife.” As Vice President Joe Biden explained
a couple of years, ago, the “one child” policy is “not
sustainable.” 

It also happens to be cruel,
tyrannical, and in many instances appallingly brutal.
Although Diane Francis and Thomas Friedman may
be upset
, anyone who values liberty and human dignity should
welcome what appears to be the gradual (very gradual) reversal of a
policy that entails violating people’s basic rights on a huge
scale. 

In a 2007 Reason article, I
considered
the relationship between China’s reproductive
restrictions and its international adoption program.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/15/china-creates-another-exception-to-the-o
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China Creates Another Exception to the 'One Child' Rule

The Chinese
government
plans
to further relax its restrictions on reproduction by
allowing families living in cities to have two children if one
parent has no siblings. The so-called “one child” policy already
makes exceptions for urban parents when both are single children,
for rural couples whose first child is a girl, and for certain
ethnic groups. The shift is part of the government’s grudging
acknowledgment that its draconian limits on family size, supposedly
necessary to prevent overpopulation, have had serious unintended
consquences, including a lopsided ratio of old to young and a
shortage of women (the result of sex-selective abortions by
boy-preferring parents). “By 2050, more than a quarter of the
population will be over 65,” the BBC reports. “By
the end of the decade, demographers say China will have 24 million
‘leftover men’ who, because of China’s gender imbalance, will not
be able to find a wife.” As Vice President Joe Biden explained
a couple of years, ago, the “one child” policy is “not
sustainable.” 

It also happens to be cruel,
tyrannical, and in many instances appallingly brutal.
Although Diane Francis and Thomas Friedman may
be upset
, anyone who values liberty and human dignity should
welcome what appears to be the gradual (very gradual) reversal of a
policy that entails violating people’s basic rights on a huge
scale. 

In a 2007 Reason article, I
considered
the relationship between China’s reproductive
restrictions and its international adoption program.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/15/china-creates-another-exception-to-the-o
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Oakland Neighborhoods Crowd-Fund Private Police

Residents in a wealthier part
of Oakland, California have turned to private security forces to
their neighborhoods safe.

Oakland, already a perennial candidate for the most dangerous
city
in the US, has seen an uptick in
robberies over the last year. Complementing this problem is the
fact that the Oakland Police Department is short
200 officers
.

Residents of the Rockridge neighborhoods took the matter into
their own hands, set up three crowd-sourcing campaigns, and hired
VMA Security Group to conduct 12-hour, 6-day-a-week patrols.

NPR
reports
that one resident, Dakin Ferris, was inspired to take
action after a string of robberies hit close to his home, making
his family feel vulnerable. He brought 600 households together,
each of them paying $20 a month for the private patrols.

Private security in businesses and college campuses is common
enough, but the idea of private patrols in public areas can be
hazier and can raise questions, since different jurisdictions have
different laws and regulations about what a private security
personnel are allowed to do. For example, some community patrols
are armed; Lower
Rockridge
‘s is not.

Some neighborhood residents have voiced concerns about
accountability. Nicole Aruda, another Rockridge resident, told NPR
that “if there are problems with patrols in the neighborhood, we
have no one to go to because we’re not contractees,” and that the
decision-making process undemocratically “left out hundreds, if not
thousands, of neighbors who were not part of the discussion.”
Understandably, VMA Security is only obligated to protect the
members of the community who pay for the service, and presumably
Aruda could still call the police if she saw problems with the
private security.

Similar experiments in other cities have not always
lasted. For
example
, a similar arrangement in Philadelphia recently fell
apart after less than a month of patrolling. Tensions arose between
police and private security. There were also allegations that the
private security overstepping their authority and driving
unregistered vehicles while on duty.

But the private patrols in Lower Rockridge have the support of
the police. “We welcome the extra set of eyes and ears,” Oakland
Police Department spokeswoman Johnna Watson tells NPR. “Any help
that we can receive to reduce crime in our city is good for all of
us.”

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/11/15/oakland-neighborhoods-crowd-fund-private
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Mission (Almost) Accomplished: S&P 500 Nears Bernanke’s 1,800 Year-End Target

As we "forecast" this morning (and a month ago – if our extrapolation of the Fed's balance sheet is correct – i.e. no Taper – that the S&P 500 Fed L-A-B-I-A should be around 1800 by year-end), the Fed can be proud that they managed (remember it "costs" $3.25bn in POMO to create 1 S&P 500 point) to get the key US equity index – the S&P 500 – near the critical 1,800 level…

 

 

Mission (Almost) Accomplished…

 

Cue Tom Lee… need to re-raise that year-end target again stat… (of course there is always the real "Bernanke" plan)

 

The last four weeks have seen the S&P 500 rise 4%, IG credit spreads drop 1bps, and HY credit spreads +6bps (as supply overwhelms a saturated credit market)…

 

Off the debt-ceiling lows… indices are unstoppable… (Trannies +12.5%!)

 

With every dip in any sector bid to infinity… (Discretionary and Industrials +11%!!)

 

Gold made it back to unchanged on the week thanks the Yellenomics…

 

Treasuries rallied 5-8bps on the week…

 

FX markets saw USD weakness all day… ending the week -0.45% (and -0.9% against the EUR)…

 

Investors appeared to protecting some gains during day (and it was OPEX) but VIX was levered into the close as they tried to tag 1800..

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

Bonus Chart: It seems the bubble in "bubble" speak has been a lot bubblier in the past…

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: This is what a bubble looks like…

 

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: You ain't seen nothing yet… NKY is up 1480 points in 6 days…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/81CjypSKmzA/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Mission (Almost) Accomplished: S&P 500 Nears Bernanke's 1,800 Year-End Target

As we "forecast" this morning (and a month ago – if our extrapolation of the Fed's balance sheet is correct – i.e. no Taper – that the S&P 500 Fed L-A-B-I-A should be around 1800 by year-end), the Fed can be proud that they managed (remember it "costs" $3.25bn in POMO to create 1 S&P 500 point) to get the key US equity index – the S&P 500 – near the critical 1,800 level…

 

 

Mission (Almost) Accomplished…

 

Cue Tom Lee… need to re-raise that year-end target again stat… (of course there is always the real "Bernanke" plan)

 

The last four weeks have seen the S&P 500 rise 4%, IG credit spreads drop 1bps, and HY credit spreads +6bps (as supply overwhelms a saturated credit market)…

 

Off the debt-ceiling lows… indices are unstoppable… (Trannies +12.5%!)

 

With every dip in any sector bid to infinity… (Discretionary and Industrials +11%!!)

 

Gold made it back to unchanged on the week thanks the Yellenomics…

 

Treasuries rallied 5-8bps on the week…

 

FX markets saw USD weakness all day… ending the week -0.45% (and -0.9% against the EUR)…

 

Investors appeared to protecting some gains during day (and it was OPEX) but VIX was levered into the close as they tried to tag 1800..

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

Bonus Chart: It seems the bubble in "bubble" speak has been a lot bubblier in the past…

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: This is what a bubble looks like…

 

 

Bonus Bonus Chart: You ain't seen nothing yet… NKY is up 1480 points in 6 days…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/81CjypSKmzA/story01.htm Tyler Durden