"Is This The Right Time To Get Into Gold?"

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,245.25, EUR 915.29 and GBP 763.07 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,241.75, EUR 913.12 and GBP 760.46 per ounce.

Yesterday the markets were closed in the U.S. for the Thanksgiving national holiday.
The closing fix in London was USD 1,245.50, EUR 915.54 and GBP 761.59 per ounce.

Gold continued its second day of gains in London, narrowing the largest monthly drop since June, as physical demand increased. Gold neared a 34-month low of $1,180.50/oz reached on June 28.


Gold in U.S. Dollars – 1 Week

There was more irregular price action in trading yesterday between 1800 and 1830 GMT. Gold had trended slightly higher in the afternoon and was trading at $1,244/oz prior to a sharp but very brief spike to $1,254/oz and then sharp concentrated selling saw gold fall by more than $20 to $1,231/oz.

The trading was unusual as foreign exchange markets saw no price movements of note, nor did the silver, platinum and palladium markets.

Contrary to frequent assertions, recent losses are unlikely to be due to the continual concerns of ‘tapering’. The U.S. Fed policy minutes released on November 20 suggested that an improving economy would warrant trimming debt purchases in the coming months. While U.S. economic data this week showed jobless claims unexpectedly decreased, the data has been mixed at best and the U.S. economy continues to struggle.

Buying from China, set to become the world’s biggest buyer of gold this year by a long way, picked up this week as prices continued to be under pressure. On Thursday, traded volumes of 99.99 percent purity gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange hit their highest in seven weeks and Chinese gold premiums closed at $26 with Shanghai gold closing at $1,267.82/oz.
 
Russian bank VTB said overnight that it has begun exporting gold and silver bullion to India to expand its business in the Asia Pacific region. Indian demand for gold remains very robust and is so strong this wedding season that the short supply is forcing families to melt down and recycle family heirlooms.

Momentum and technical traders are dominant at the moment and with the short term trend down, gold may incur further losses in the short term.

Despite the very poor sentiment after recent price falls, gold’s fundamentals are actually quite sound.

Global physical demand is set to be very high again this year and may even reach a new record, despite the 25% price fall. This is especially the case, as Chinese demand is set to have new record this year despite the recent slight decline in demand. China’s net imports of gold from

Hong Kong alone in October reached the second-highest level on record last month. This does not include direct imports from Australia, Africa, Vietnam and other countries.
Indeed, Chinese demand this year looks set to be a new record for the highest gold demand from one country in one year ever. It is important to look at the aggregate annual demand figures rather than the ebb and flows of weekly and monthly data which can mislead.

Despite what is likely to prove short term weakness, the smart money is gradually accumulating on the dips. Dollar cost averaging remains prudent for buyers who wish to have an allocation to bullion but are concerned about further price falls.

“Is This The Right Time To Get Into Gold?”
Slow But Steady – Dollar Cost Averaging Remains Prudent
“Is this the right time to get into gold?” is a question we have been asked by clients and the public nearly every day for the last 10 years.

“Prices have gone up too much. I’ve missed the boat” was frequently how many of the public answered their own question. This was often the refrain, especially in the period from 2006 to 2010 when gold prices rose from $500/oz to $1,400/oz.

We first heard those concerns in late 2005 when gold prices rose to over $500/oz. One caller was adamant and said “I am not buying gold after its price has doubled in just 5 years”.


Gold in U.S. Dollars – 10 Years

More recently, the frequent refrain has been “prices are falling as the gold bubble has burst and gold is a bad investment.” And indeed, “I am not buying as gold prices are down 25% this year and 35% since the record high in August.”

These are understandable concerns. People do not want to lose their hard earned cash buying something that will fall in value.

However, there is a way that one can invest in or buy gold and sleep easy at night knowing that you do not have to be concerned about price falls. There are rarely free lunches in life, and that is particularly true when it comes to investing and saving.

However, there are two free lunches when it comes to investing. They are diversification or not having all your eggs in one basket and secondly a less well known but important strategy –
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA).

Once you have learned about the power of dollar cost averaging you will be a better investor and a better gold investor and buyer.

Dollar-cost averaging or pound or euro cost averaging means putting the same amount of dollars, pounds or euros each month into an investment or asset, such as equities or gold. That is all it is.

Why put your hard earned cash into physical gold every month?

Because gold, while having bad days — even bad years as we see this year — goes up over time. When you accumulate a set amount — say 100 dollars, pounds or euros per month — your paper currency will buy you fewer ounces of gold when gold prices have risen, and more ounces of gold when gold prices are lower.

When you put dollar-cost averaging to work, you can relax, knowing that you don’t have to track or time the market – which even the professionals consistently fail to do.
Buying gold in a falling market sounds easy, but most people don’t have the stomach to do it. This has been seen graphically seen in recent months – particularly in western markets where sentiment is negative towards gold.

In fact, the gold market like many traded markets is the only place where people seem to get more interested when the prices are rising sharply. They are less interested when gold is “on sale” after falls in price.

This was graphically shown in 2011, when despite gold becoming overvalued when it surged from $1,500/oz on July 1st to over $1,900/oz on August 28th or 26.6% in less than two months.


Gold in U.S. Dollars – January 2011 – January 2012

August 2011 was a time to be cautious and not “pile in” after huge price gains. A strategy of dollar cost averaging at this time would have protected buyers from the subsequent price falls and the price falls of recent years. 

Dollar-cost averaging is easy to understand and even easier to do with gold ingold accumulation programmes. It will have a positive long-term effect on your portfolio by helping you to achieve diversification with safe haven gold.

The slow and steady approach of dollar cost averaging in gold accumulation programmes such as GoldSaver remain a prudent and wise way to accumulate gold. GoldSaver was the first gold accumulation programme in western markets. While Gold Accumulation Programmes are popular in Asia – in Japan
and more recently China and India, they were not known in European and American markets.

Some argue that using dollar cost averaging is the sensible approach to investing in precious metals, because for many investors jumping headfirst into gold seems like a risky strategy.

What do you want from this strategy?

The objective of dollar cost averaging is to avoid a sudden fall in the value of your investment or asset soon after purchase. The thinking behind it is that by gradually moving your money into an investment, you can avoid large losses. This is a good idea, as all markets including the precious metal markets are volatile – and they look set to get more so.

Often it is argued that the logic behind dollar cost averaging is turned on its head when it comes to investing in precious metals. Because gold and silver are purchased mainly for portfolio diversification and as a long run inflation hedge, many believe the best strategy is to buy your protective metal in one go, and then forget about it – you know it will rise to the occasion when you need it most.

True, but since the whole idea behind holding gold in the first place is to protect against a market crash, systemic crisis or currency devaluation, any steps you have taken to shield your wealth will be beneficial. Think of it this way: if there was a high possibility that contents of your house were about to be robbed, does it matter whether you pay your home insurance in instalments or as a once off lump sum?

This is especially the case for smaller investors who cannot afford a large lump sum investment.

Also, it is better to have some insurance rather than none. With gold, you can purchase a small lump sum and then dollar cost average with the rest of your position.
Dollar-cost averaging is all about minimizing large losses, and is normally used when an investor has a strong suspicion the market will move up but doesn’t want to commit too quickly.

However, dollar-cost averaging can also be used in conditions where the market is expected to go down. Precious metals move in the opposite direction from the market, which is the precise reason why investors should hold them in a portfolio. When it comes to moving your money into this asset, it’s not about the traditional taking on of more risk for a higher reward; rather, it’s about building up the protection you need if stock or bond markets take a nosedive. Most of our pensions remain allocated almost exclusively to just equities and bonds.

The greatest benefit of using dollar-cost averaging with precious metals is that it allows less sure or confident investors to advance carefully into new territory.
It is consistently the case that at the times we are most likely to need insurance we are least likely to have it. Human nature dictates that the most difficult time for us psychologically to cough up a chunk of cash to protect against risks is when everything seems to be ticking along just fine.
This is especially true for the majority of us who are trying to make money, rather than simply hanging on to a large amount of wealth generating assets.

However, dollar cost averaging is not just for smaller investors or buyers. We have wealthy clients who we have advised to gradually accumulate a position over a period of months. One client bought $100,000’s worth of gold bars on the 7th of each month for 7 months. He likes the number 7.
Today, the case for using gold as a protective cover or financial insurance cannot be understated.

With markets chugging along on a veritable life support system, and each round of QE prolonging this degenerative condition at the expense of us all, there has never been a better time to gradually move your wealth into the best financial insurance out there – gold. 


Gold in U.S. Dollars – 5 Year

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via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/m7JMx3Ng-zQ/story01.htm GoldCore

Wal-Mart Plagued By The “Wrong Kind” Of Lines On Black Friday

Yesterday, it was fast-food workers explaining that a 100% minimum wage rise “would do just fine” and today it is Wal-Mart employees pressing for a 50% rise. As McClatchy reports, Wal-Mart employees plan to disrupt operations at 1,500 of the company’s stores on Black Friday. “Wal-Mart raked in $15.7 billion in profits last year alone, but apparently they don’t feel any need to share that wealth with their millions of workers,” rages one union campaign organizer as they hope the protests will also put pressure on Congress to increase the minimum wage. The reality of raising the minimum wage remains lost on most who never stop to think of where the ‘money’ comes from. But the protest lines and “unprecedented” disruption is unlikely to encourage Wal-Mart executives to soften their stance.

 

 

Here’s Harry Reid’s clarifications…

 

 

 

And the magical job creation he envisions…

 

 

 

So why not raise it to $20 or $30 per hour? Think of the jobs that would ‘create’?

 

And for those that are still unsure of why doubling the minimum wage is not the great idea some politicians suggest… here is four-and-a-half minutes of painful truth…

As professor Antony Davies explains that this view of the minimum wage overlooks an important detail:

 

The minimum wage does not force employers to pay a particular wage to every worker; it forces employers to pay a particular wage to every worker they choose to keep.

 

While the minimum wage may be well-intentioned public policy, it often huts the very workers most in need of our help.

 


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/U6Duy5w0IPQ/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Wal-Mart Plagued By The "Wrong Kind" Of Lines On Black Friday

Yesterday, it was fast-food workers explaining that a 100% minimum wage rise “would do just fine” and today it is Wal-Mart employees pressing for a 50% rise. As McClatchy reports, Wal-Mart employees plan to disrupt operations at 1,500 of the company’s stores on Black Friday. “Wal-Mart raked in $15.7 billion in profits last year alone, but apparently they don’t feel any need to share that wealth with their millions of workers,” rages one union campaign organizer as they hope the protests will also put pressure on Congress to increase the minimum wage. The reality of raising the minimum wage remains lost on most who never stop to think of where the ‘money’ comes from. But the protest lines and “unprecedented” disruption is unlikely to encourage Wal-Mart executives to soften their stance.

 

 

Here’s Harry Reid’s clarifications…

 

 

 

And the magical job creation he envisions…

 

 

 

So why not raise it to $20 or $30 per hour? Think of the jobs that would ‘create’?

 

And for those that are still unsure of why doubling the minimum wage is not the great idea some politicians suggest… here is four-and-a-half minutes of painful truth…

As professor Antony Davies explains that this view of the minimum wage overlooks an important detail:

 

The minimum wage does not force employers to pay a particular wage to every worker; it forces employers to pay a particular wage to every worker they choose to keep.

 

While the minimum wage may be well-intentioned public policy, it often huts the very workers most in need of our help.

 


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/U6Duy5w0IPQ/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Spock’s Wisest Words

I have been a fan of Star Trek (the original series) ever since I was a child. The show means a lot to me on multiple levels, and I spent many hours in my youth watch and re-watching every episode. (And this is before we had these here newfangled VCRs and DVDs. You actually had to wait for a certain time of day when an episode, which you couldn’t control, would appear. Get off my lawn!)

In my present-day house, in which I’m now the dad and I’ve got children of my own, the television is almost never on. Out of a combination of tradition and curiousity, though, I turn on the Thanksgiving Day “Parade” (which is mostly just commercials and promotional snippets from Broadway shows) for my kids to watch. Of course, in between very brief glimpses of the actual parade, there was a lot of time devoted to Black Friday this and Black Friday that, with consumerism blasting its garish, vulgar grasping palms of desire by way of advertisements.

Yesterday was a disturbing day for me on multiple fronts, and one of those fronts was my disgust at all the crap being pushed on both children and adults. One commercial in particular was from Toys R Us, highlighting the fact that their doors would open at 5 p.m. on Thanksgiving for all the brats to burst through the front, rush through the aisles, and demand that their parents pay for whatever boxes of stuff made in China that they wanted.

Now I was a kid once too, and I liked toys as much as the next child, but over the years, I have grown increasingly aware of the fact of how short-lived the pleasure of Getting Stuff is. Whether it’s a toy as a child or a sports car as an adult, once you’ve actually got whatever it is that you thought you couldn’t live without, well, it just sort of blends into normalcy.

Which brings me to Spock. In Amok Time, one of the great original episodes, Spock has to battle to1129-spock the death with Kirk in order to score his Vulcan ‘tang in the form of T’Pring. Near the end of the episode, Kirk is ostensibly dead, and Spock, the victor, decides that his Vulcan male rival, Stonn, can marry T’Pring. He says to him something which I’ve remembered my entire life:

Stonn. She is yours. After a time, you may find that having is not so pleasing a thing, after all, as wanting. It is not logical, but it is often true.

(FUN FACT offered by your favorite blogger: Arlene Martel, who played T’Pring, was, in real life, married and divorced no fewer than three times; so I suspect her ex-husbands would probably approve of Spock’s wisdom).

I have thought of Spock’s words many times. I’m not sure – – and I’m being very serious here – – that the world has always been as grasping, covetous, and wretchedly excessive as it appears to me now, or if I’m simply waking up to something that has always been there. But this entire season of buying crap is simpy grotesque to me. And the greatest irony of all is that, once all the wrapping paper has been shoved into landfill, the thrills will evaporate, the smiles will fade, and kids and adults alike won’t be any more content than they were than before they had whatever that Thing is that had to be bought.

Wanting is better than having, and we all do too much of each.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/xAFp331Sf_0/story01.htm Tim Knight from Slope of Hope

Spock's Wisest Words

I have been a fan of Star Trek (the original series) ever since I was a child. The show means a lot to me on multiple levels, and I spent many hours in my youth watch and re-watching every episode. (And this is before we had these here newfangled VCRs and DVDs. You actually had to wait for a certain time of day when an episode, which you couldn’t control, would appear. Get off my lawn!)

In my present-day house, in which I’m now the dad and I’ve got children of my own, the television is almost never on. Out of a combination of tradition and curiousity, though, I turn on the Thanksgiving Day “Parade” (which is mostly just commercials and promotional snippets from Broadway shows) for my kids to watch. Of course, in between very brief glimpses of the actual parade, there was a lot of time devoted to Black Friday this and Black Friday that, with consumerism blasting its garish, vulgar grasping palms of desire by way of advertisements.

Yesterday was a disturbing day for me on multiple fronts, and one of those fronts was my disgust at all the crap being pushed on both children and adults. One commercial in particular was from Toys R Us, highlighting the fact that their doors would open at 5 p.m. on Thanksgiving for all the brats to burst through the front, rush through the aisles, and demand that their parents pay for whatever boxes of stuff made in China that they wanted.

Now I was a kid once too, and I liked toys as much as the next child, but over the years, I have grown increasingly aware of the fact of how short-lived the pleasure of Getting Stuff is. Whether it’s a toy as a child or a sports car as an adult, once you’ve actually got whatever it is that you thought you couldn’t live without, well, it just sort of blends into normalcy.

Which brings me to Spock. In Amok Time, one of the great original episodes, Spock has to battle to1129-spock the death with Kirk in order to score his Vulcan ‘tang in the form of T’Pring. Near the end of the episode, Kirk is ostensibly dead, and Spock, the victor, decides that his Vulcan male rival, Stonn, can marry T’Pring. He says to him something which I’ve remembered my entire life:

Stonn. She is yours. After a time, you may find that having is not so pleasing a thing, after all, as wanting. It is not logical, but it is often true.

(FUN FACT offered by your favorite blogger: Arlene Martel, who played T’Pring, was, in real life, married and divorced no fewer than three times; so I suspect her ex-husbands would probably approve of Spock’s wisdom).

I have thought of Spock’s words many times. I’m not sure – – and I’m being very serious here – – that the world has always been as grasping, covetous, and wretchedly excessive as it appears to me now, or if I’m simply waking up to something that has always been there. But this entire season of buying crap is simpy grotesque to me. And the greatest irony of all is that, once all the wrapping paper has been shoved into landfill, the thrills will evaporate, the smiles will fade, and kids and adults alike won’t be any more content than they were than before they had whatever that Thing is that had to be bought.

Wanting is better than having, and we all do too much of each.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/xAFp331Sf_0/story01.htm Tim Knight from Slope of Hope

Japan Dispatches F-15s, E-767s And P-3 Into China’s Air Defense Zone, China Scrambles Su-30 In Response

China’s escalation and re-escalation described in detail yesterday, has just been met with a corresponding re-re-escalation by Japan.

  • China’s Ministry of Defense reports that the nation identified Japanese military planes that entered into Chinese air defense identification zone today.
  • 7 batches of 10 Japanese planes consisting of E-767, P-3 and F-15 entered into the zone
  • China has also identified 2 batches of 2 U.S. surveillance planes consisting of P-3 and EP-3, without specifying whether the planes entered into the zone
  • China scrambled Su-30, J-11 and other aircraft in response.

And now it’s China’s turn to, once again, respond. And then Japan and the US again, and so on, until someone gets hurt.

Source


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/vp55kCBqcow/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Japan Dispatches F-15s, E-767s And P-3 Into China's Air Defense Zone, China Scrambles Su-30 In Response

China’s escalation and re-escalation described in detail yesterday, has just been met with a corresponding re-re-escalation by Japan.

  • China’s Ministry of Defense reports that the nation identified Japanese military planes that entered into Chinese air defense identification zone today.
  • 7 batches of 10 Japanese planes consisting of E-767, P-3 and F-15 entered into the zone
  • China has also identified 2 batches of 2 U.S. surveillance planes consisting of P-3 and EP-3, without specifying whether the planes entered into the zone
  • China scrambled Su-30, J-11 and other aircraft in response.

And now it’s China’s turn to, once again, respond. And then Japan and the US again, and so on, until someone gets hurt.

Source


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/vp55kCBqcow/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Mobs, Stampedes, Fights, Brawls, A Stabbing And Shooting: A Video Compilation Of Black Thursday 2013

That greatest of all American traditions – the Black Friday Thursday stampede, this year accompanied with a stabbing and a shooting, is back. A quick review of all readers may have missed by not lining up in droves outside of stores that were selling products at just above cost instead of the usual massive pre-Thanksgiving markup, via the Mail:

  • The rush for Black Friday bargains has resulted in outbreaks of violence as shoppers clash over reduced price goods
  • Police in Virginia have reporting a stabbing incident after two men got into a fight in the car park over a space
  • Shoppers cutting in line sparked a Black Friday Brawl at another Walmart
  • Some retailers opened their doors as early as 6am on Thanksgiving Day

Some details before we get into the documentary evidence:

A man has been stabbed in Virginia, a shoplifter has been shot by cops in Chicago and brawls have broken out across the nation as shoppers clash in a scramble for the best Black Friday bargains.

 

Chaotic scenes at several Walmart stores have already been filmed and posted to YouTube, revealing the madness that has become a tradition the day after Thanksgiving.

 

In one of the most violent incidents, a police officer responded to the scene of a shoplifting at a Kohl’s store in Romeoville, Illinois just after 10pm on Thursday to see the alleged thief dragging another officer along with his car. The responding officer shot the driver to stop him.

 

Police Chief Mark Turvey said at a news conference that the injured officer had headed into the store when a man ran out, and the officer chased him to his car. ‘The officer was struggling with the subject as he got into the car and then the car started to move as the officer was partially inside the car. The officer was dragged quite some distance. He couldn’t get out,’ Turvey said.

 

The driver and the officer were both taken for hospital treatment of non-life-threatening shoulder injuries, and three people were arrested, Turvey said.

 

Police in Virginia also reported a stabbing after two men got into a fight in the car park over a space around 6.30pm on Thursday at a Walmart store in Tazewell County. Sheriff Brian Hieatt told WVVA that the incident occurred in the parking lot. Two men, 61-year-old Ronnie Sharp of Russell County and 35-year-old Christopher Jackson of Jewell Ridge in Tazewell County, were arguing over a parking space.

 

This escalated into a threat with a firearm, and then Hieatt says Sharp used a knife to cut Jackson in the arm, slicing down to the bone. Sharp is charged with malicious wounding and brandishing a firearm. Police seized a rifle from him. He is Southwest Regional Jail in Tazewell and is out on $5000 bond.

… at which point he proceeded to return to his favorite zoo store and buy “stuff” at 90% off.

So what did it all look like? The answer: like this…

Wal-Mart Fight, Brawl, Madness compilation

Wal-Mart Black Friday fight for TV 2013

Black Friday Walmart Stampede in Puerto Rico 2013

More people going crazy in Walmart

Walmart black Friday 2013 – Pushing, shoving Black Friday madness in Covington

People fighting at a Wal-mart in Fort Worth, Texas on Thanksgiving night.

Man attacks girl at Walmart

And the winner is… Video of women fighting for Rachael Ray cookware at Wal Mart Turkey Creek in Knoxville, TN


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/g9Nv9tCKJtc/story01.htm Tyler Durden

European Unemployment Declines From All Time High, Youth Unemployment Hits Fresh Record – Full Breakdown

Following the “good” news in the inflationary front, in which European November CPI rose and beat expectations if posting the first sub-Japan inflationary rate in Eurozone history, Eurostat followed with more holiday cheer when it reported a surprising decline in the overall Eurozone unemployment rate from 12.2% to 12.1%, the first such drop since late 2010. This was driven by a decline in the jobless rate in France (from 11.1% to 10.9%), Portugal (from 15.8% to 15.7%) Ireland (from 12.7% to 12.6%) and Lithuania (from 11.4% to 11.1%). The offset was as usual Spain which rose to a new record high of 26.7%, and Belgium rising to 9.0%.

The sequential change is shown in the next table:

It was not all good news however, and when one looks at Europe’s weakest link – youth unemployment – the number once again rose to a fresh all time high, of 24.4%:

In October 2013, 5.657 million young persons (under 25) were unemployed in the EU28, of whom 3.577 million were in the euro area. Compared with October 2012 youth unemployment decreased by 29 000 in the EU28, but increased by 15 000 in the euro area. In October 2013, the youth unemployment rate5 was 23.7% in the EU28 and 24.4% in the euro area, compared with 23.3% and 23.7% respectively in October 2012. In October 2013, the lowest rates were observed in Germany (7.8%), Austria (9.4%) and the Netherlands (11.6%), and the highest in Greece (58.0% in August 2013), Spain (57.4%) and Croatia (52.4% in the third quarter of 2013).

Of all, Spain was most notable, because its record high youth unemployment rate of 57.4%, is now just why of the sad Greek record of 58.0%. At this pace there should be parity between the two countries in 1-2 months.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/fi6Rp6u3BdA/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Frontrunning: November 29

  • So much for the euphoria: Stores open early on Thanksgiving but shoppers in no rush (Reuters)
  • Get to work Mr. Chairwoman: Do-Nothing Congress Dithers on Budget as Deadline Nears (BBG)
  • FX to Libor Probes Leave U.K. Traders Looking for Lawyers (BBG)
  • Protesters Briefly Storm Thai Army Headquarters (WSJ)
  • Berlusconi accused of bribing witnesses in prostitution trial (Reuters)
  • Japan Price Gauge Rises Most Since ’98 in Boost to Abe (BBG)
  • S&P downgrades Netherlands’ AAA credit rating (FT)
  • GrainCorp Verdict Clouds Australia Open-For-Business Pledge (BBG)
  • Hertz Fix in Dollar Thrifty Deal Fails as Insider Warned (BBG)
  • Narrow Budget Agreement Comes Into View (WSJ)
  • Billionaire Agarwal Regrets $8 Billion Aluminum Spending (BBG)
  • No Door-Busters Here: Small Merchants Tread Cautiously on Black Friday (WSJ)
  • Prisoners Fight U.S. Over Repatriation From Guantanamo Bay (WSJ)
  • Structured credit: They’re back! Leveraged super seniors return (Euromoney)
  • Brazil’s OGX Asks for More Help (WSJ)

 

Overnight Media Digest

WSJ

* Investors are piling into bets against the yen, taking another run at a trade that proved lucrative for some of the industry’s largest money managers earlier this year.

* Fortress Investment and Centerbridge Partners have shown interest in LightSquared, the wireless venture that is up for sale in bankruptcy proceedings. The private-equity firms, both with penchants for buying distressed assets, have each expressed interest to LightSquared in acquiring the company’s spectrum – the limited pockets of airwaves that telecommunications firms need to operate wireless networks.

* Brazil’s OGX wants to persuade creditors to put up more money as it strives to avoid outright failure. The oil company posted a third-quarter loss of nearly $1 billion.

* An attempt by regulators to prevent the kind of lax underwriting that exacerbated the financial crisis is running into resistance from corporations, investors and asset managers who said new rules will cripple a $300 billion market for loans to U.S. companies.

* UBS is shaking up its investment bank, and has removed a top foreign-exchange executive, amid a burgeoning investigation into potential manipulation of currency markets.

* Australia blocked a $2.7 billion bid by U.S. agribusiness company Archer Daniels Midland to buy grain handler GrainCorp Ltd, saying a takeover would go against the national interest.

* Negotiators in Congress are moving toward a narrow agreement on this year’s federal budget that would scale back some spending cuts set to take effect in January but likely wouldn’t ask either party to compromise on its core stands on taxes and entitlements.

* A former top executive at UBS AG who has been sitting in an Italian jail for about a month is headed to the U.S. to face charges that he helped Americans evade taxes by stashing their money in Swiss bank accounts.

 

FT

David Cameron’s government faces accusations of a soft stance on human rights issues in China. An investigation by the Financial Times casts doubts over groups with Chinese backing that are looking to fund projects in the UK.

The Bank of England announced pulling off stimulus to mortgage lending and personal loans, popularly known as the Funding for Lending scheme.

Lloyds Banking Group is likely to announce the appointment of Lord Norman Blackwell as its new chairman replacing outgoing chairman Sir Win Bischoff in 2014.

Barclays is set to announce new salary structure for Chief Executive Antony Jenkins as the European Union imposed bonus caps early this year. Based on the revamped plan, Jenkins will get a part of his salary in shares next year.

Hedge fund Aurelius Capital Management has sold most of its stake in Co-operative Bank, which has recently restructured its debt, sources told The Financial Times.

Private equity firm Apollo Global Management is the preferred bidder for a 400 million pounds UK property of Aviva, sources told The Financial Times.

 

NYT

* The struggle of low-income workers, many in retailing, is adding momentum to efforts to increase the federal minimum wage.

* Many retailers didn’t wait for the predawn hours of Black Friday this year. They were open before breakfast on Thanksgiving Day, and customers were waiting.

* The Swiss bank UBS is combining its currency, interest rates and credit trading businesses into one unit, according to a memo circulated at the bank earlier this month.

* Calpers and Calstrs, the giant employee and teachers’ pension funds in California, and others are beginning to take a more aggressive role in the operation and election of corporate boards of companies they have invested in.

* The French telecommunications company Orange has reached an agreement to sell its Dominican Republic operations to the Luxembourg cable and broadband provider Altice for $1.4 billion.

* Jon Horvath, the federal government’s star witness in an insider trading case, said his former boss, Michael Steinberg, wanted him to cross a legal line.

 

Canada

THE GLOBE AND MAIL

* A delicate balancing act is playing out among the growing number of retailers in Canada offering deep Black Friday discounts. The challenge is to slash prices and lure shoppers, and still come out in the black.

* Quebec child-protection authorities are in talks with their counterparts in Ontario to determine the fate of 14 children in an ultra-Orthodox Jewish community who have been ordered into foster homes.

* A New Brunswick Mountie is questioning his employer’s decision not to allow him to smoke medically prescribed marijuana while in uniform. Corporal Ronald Francis told the CBC that he received a prescription for medical-grade marijuana earlier this month to help treat his post-traumatic s
tress disorder. He is allowed three grams of marijuana a day, although he said that he does not usually use that much.

Reports in the business section:

* Entrepreneurs seeking to launch a western discount carrier say their recipe to woo budget-minded travelers will start with two planes in the summer of 2014. Canada Jetlines Ltd describes its proposal to open an ultra low-cost carrier as a strategy to meet demand from bargain hunters turned off by higher fares charged by Air Canada and WestJet Airlines Ltd .

* Cable operator Cogeco Cable Inc is promising it will fight any large fee increases that follow the NHL’s blockbuster agreement to sell its Canadian broadcasting rights to Rogers Communications Inc, an early sign of the friction the C$5.2-billion deal could create.

NATIONAL POST

* With temperatures beginning their inevitable plunge below freezing on Thursday, Canada, one of the world’s coldest nations, reminded its citizens to wear a hat, a scarf and “something to keep your face warm.”

* With no prospect of continuing their short-lived TV talk show, the Ford brothers are planning to take their concept to YouTube, Councillor Doug Ford said on Thursday. In the aftermath of a series of scandals, U.S. and Canadian production houses have flooded Mayor Rob Ford’s office, said his brother, all pitching a reality show concept. Councillor Ford said they have passed on all offers.

FINANCIAL POST

* In a stunning miss of budgetary forecasts that will trigger credit rating reviews, the Quebec government has pushed back its goal of wiping out its budget deficit by two years.

* Quebec’s professional engineering association is vowing to “clean house” and sanction crooked members as revelations of corruption and shady business liaisons continue to surface almost daily in the province’s construction industry.

 

China

CHINA SECURITIES JOURNAL

– Twenty-five more policies for the planned Shenzhen Qianhai economic zone have been submitted for approval, according to an unnamed government official.

– China could allow eligible financial corporations to issue bonds, said Li Jianhua, a senior official at the China Banking Regulatory Commission.

SHANGHAI SECURITIES

– The China Securities Regulatory Commission will support banks to issue preferred shares in future, said Jia Wenqin, a senior official of CSRC’s accounting department.

CHINA DAILY

– President Xi Jinping has urged officials to push forward with reforms but avoid being rash and reckless in the process.

PEOPLE’S DAILY

– Government workers need to take concrete actions, not just words, said a commentary in the paper that acts as the party’s mouthpiece.

 

 

Fly On The Wall 7:00 AM Market Snapshot

ANALYST RESEARCH

Upgrades

Commerzbank (CRZBD) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley
Concha Y Toro (VCO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
Prudential plc (PUK) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette
Rentokil (RTOKY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill

Downgrades

Experian (EXPGY) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman
Remy Cointreau (REMYF) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Societe Generale
Remy Cointreau (REMYF) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup
Renren (RENN) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Jefferies
Volvo (VOLVY) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

Initiations

Antofagasta (ANFGY) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein

HOT STOCKS

Archer Daniels (ADM) said ‘disappointed’ by rejection of GrainCorp (GRCLF) application
KKR (KKR), Gland Pharma announced partnership
Rio Tinto (RIO) to suspend production at Gove alumina refinery
DSS Technology (DDS) filed patent lawsuit against Apple (AAPL)
Vale (VALE) said will pay back tax bill for overseas operations to Brazil, Reuters reports

NEWSPAPERS/WEBSITES

  • An attempt by the Fed, SEC and other regulators to prevent the kind of lax underwriting that exacerbated the financial crisis is running into resistance from corporations, investors and asset managers (WFC, WEN, DNKN, JCP, SEAS) who said new rules will cripple a $300B market for loans to U.S. companies, the Wall Street Journal reports
  • Dish Network’s (DISH) $2.2B bid for LightSquared can go forward with the involvement of Dish Chairman Charlie Ergen, a Nevada judge ruled. Separately, Fortress Investment Group (FIG) and Centerbridge Partners have shown interest in LightSquared, the Wall Street Journal reports
  • Amazon.com (AMZN) has no intention of bowing to pressure from striking workers in Germany, its second biggest market behind the U.S., and is more concerned about bad weather hurting Christmas deliveries, Reuters reports
  • Exxon Mobil (XOM) turned over a 25% stake in Iraq’s West Qurna-1 oilfield project to China energy company PetroChina (PTR), said Iraq’s deputy prime minister for energy, Reuters reports
  • Morgan Stanley (MS) is set to take the top spot in Japanese M&A’s for the first time in 16 years, a sign the firm’s three-year-old tie-up with Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MTU) is paying off. Goldman Sachs (GS) is second, Bloomberg reports
  • Sotheby’s (BID) is bringing works by Picasso, Rembrandt and Zao Wou-Ki to Beijing where it will hold its first mainland commercial auction on December 1. The auction house said it’s offering $212M worth of western and Chinese art, jewelry and furniture, Bloomberg reports

ACTIVIST/PASSIVE FILINGS

Brave Warrior Advisors reports 5.7% passive stake in Higher One (ONE)
Gabelli raises stake in Mocon (MOCO) to 8.34% from 6.94%
Greenwoods reports 4.9% passive stake in Noah Holdings (NOAH)


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/IgaaRkZ81LI/story01.htm Tyler Durden