Colorado’s Cannabis Conundrum: Marijuana Everywhere, but Not a Spot to Smoke

For visitors to Colorado,
legally buying marijuana is easy; legally consuming it, not so
much. In my latest Forbes column, I explain why
tourists in Colorado, where marijuana has been legal for
recreational use since 2012, still have to smoke pot on the sly.
Here is how it starts:

For cannabis consumers who are accustomed to the black market’s
meager selection and iffy quality, Colorado’s dispensaries are a
revelation: dozens of strains, each with a distinctive bouquet,
fresh enough that you can actually smell the difference.
Denver-area budtenders, who say tourists account for half or more
of their business, are used to amazed reactions, reminiscent of the
scene in Moscow on the Hudson where Robin
Williams, playing a Soviet defector, encounters an American
supermarket for the first time. But once a visitor
 settles on a gram of Budderface or
a quarter-ounce of Cinderella 99,
he has a problem: Where can he smoke it? State and local
restrictions have made answering that question a much bigger
challenge than it needs to be.


Read the whole thing.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/UUyRkg
via IFTTT

Ed Krayewski on Inchon, Noah, and Faith-Based Filmmaking

1984In the
October 1984 issue of Reason, David Brudnoy wrote
that conservatives “have a grudge against Hollywood, and against
movie critics, too.” But they had failed to create a sustainable
alternative. While some movies may contain clear liberal biases,
Brudnoy noted, movies funded by conservatives didn’t do well.
1982’s Inchon, for example, was “the most phenomenal
money-loser of all time.”

What happened? Brudnoy wrote that Inchon was
“virtually impossible to sit through, embarrassing even to those
who liked its politics.” Better movies, though, didn’t necessarily
do bigger business; Brudnoy cites 1983’s The Final
Option
, which “stood forthrightly against the left and for the
established verities” but bombed in the box office. Brudnoy
suggested “the right wing doesn’t attend the cinema,” and that is
part of why conservatism didn’t have influence in Hollywood.

Thirty years later, writes Ed Krayewski, it’s still possible to
find antipathy toward Tinseltown among the religious right.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/1no8oSx
via IFTTT

Spot The Oxymoron: “Growth Down, Optimism Up”

Submitted by Simon Black of Sovereign Man blog,

With a nod to the absurd, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen freely admitted earlier this week that the Fed really has no idea what’s going to happen to the economy.

Bear in mind this is the person who controls interest rates in the United States, effectively setting the ‘price of money’ for the most widely used currency in the world.

This is key– because the price of money (interest rates) influence the prices of so many other things. Real estate. Business investment. Automobile sales. Agricultural commodity prices. Oil prices. Etc.

Of course, there’s a knock-on effect. Consider, for example, how many products and services are influenced by the price of oil… fertilizers, plastics, shipping, etc. And then how many products and services are influenced by the price of shipping… like everything in the world that’s imported / exported.

So in setting the price of money, Ms. Yellen is influencing the price of just about everything.

Yet she and her fellow members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) admittedly don’t have a clue where the economy’s going.

This stands in stark contrast to what investors are used to. Back in the 90s, Fortune put former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan on the cover with a headline– “It’s HIS economy, stupid”.

Greenspan 290x300 Spot the oxymoron: Growth down, optimism up

That’s how clear it was back then. Greenspan was the benevolent wizard… the ‘maestro’ in masterful command pulling the strings of the largest economy in the world. And investors had all the [misplaced] confidence in the world in this arrangement.

So you’d think that with such a demonstration of ignorance that investors would be heading for the hills, right?

Not so. The big banks and institutional investors (who appointed most of the FOMC members to begin with) rewarded the Fed’s stunning admission and lack of foresight with… record high stock prices.

If I could quote our long-lost Billy Mays– BUT WAIT, THERE’S MORE!

The Fed also reduced its GDP growth forecasts for the US economy from 2.9% to 2.2%. In case you’re not too fast on the ‘calc’ icon, that’s a 24% proportional reduction in GDP growth. Not exactly a drop in the bucket.

AND, of course, there’s the recent data that inflation has ticked up, even according to their own official numbers. Of course Ms. Yellen proceeded to downplay the inflation, writing it off as ‘noise’.

So this morning I received yet another analysis from a large private bank I deal with; the report’s headline– FED: Growth down, optimism up.

Hmmm. Spot the oxymoron here. (OK fine, paradox)

Growth is down. Inflation is up. The grand wizards don’t have a clue. Yet people are excited about this?

I feel like there’s an alternate universe out there where this sort of paradox would make sense… some magical 5th dimensional world where up is down and men breathe through their nipples. (why else are they there, gents?)

But alas, this is not some alternate universe… ’tis the sad state of our FUBARTASTIC financial system.

Fundamentals no longer matter. Common sense is now a totally foreign entity. High frequency traders and algorithms dominate the marketplace, brokers steal customer funds to cover their own losses, banks sell their customers ‘shitty deals’ and take the other side of the trades.

And everyone is drinking from the same spiked punch bowl where bad news is good news, good news is good news, and a single clueless committee has all the power.

Looking at this ridiculous market, I really I find it hard to believe that the odds are stacked particularly well in favor of the little guy.

Bottom line: if you’re in the markets, invest with caution. And if you have the courage to swim against the school, bear in mind there’s a whole world of alternative investments– primarily things like private businesses that are far less susceptible of being directly manipulated.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1np8s5L Tyler Durden

Meet The “Lone Engineer” GM Is Blaming All Its Troubles On

Back in 2011 Goldman, when the FDIC-insured bank holding company with no deposits, was slapped with the biggest at the time SEC penalty for shorting CDOs it had sold to clients, it started a trend of scapegoating all its evils on a lone, then 20-something individual, Fabrice Tourre, who seemingly had “worked alone” and whose actions were not supervised by anyone: the chain of responsibility started and ended with him. Naturally, nobody went to jail. A few years later, stuck in the biggest scandal of its post-bankruppcy existence involving over 20 million recalls in just the first 6 months of 2014 alone, GM has decided that what worked for Goldman should work for it too, and as the WSJ reports, is “pinning of a decadelong failure to recall defective cars on a lone engineer.”

 

Unfortunately for GM, an organization that is far more politically charged than Goldman, it is “running into skepticism from lawmakers who say GM documents show dozens of people were alerted to ignition-switch defects during the past decade.”

But before we get into the details of what is set to be even more political theater, just who is this lone engineer?

Meet Raymond DeGiorgio, said lone engineer:

From the WSJ:

Mr. DeGiorgio joined GM in June 1991 and worked on a variety of different switches before being assigned to handle the 2003 Saturn Ion and 2005 Chevrolet Cobalt switches, according to his deposition in a lawsuit involving a Georgia woman who died in a Cobalt crash. At the time, GM had just brought switch design back in-house from suppliers to combat warranty issues and improve quality control.

The Valukas report portrays Mr. DeGiorgio as struggling to fix problems with his design, and at one point describing it as “the switch from hell.”

In November 2004, Mr. DeGiorgio received an email from an engineer in a GM team that works on high-performance versions of its cars, who said the group had noticed stalls on a test track when a driver’s knee “slightly” grazed the key fob. Despite being informed of the problem again, Mr. DeGiorgio made no changes to the ignition switch.

 

A separate warning about problems with ignition switches came from Laura J. Andres, a GM employee, who told 10 GM engineers including Mr. DeGiorgio of her experience with a Chevrolet Impala that stalled after she went over a bump in the road in August 2005.

We will have more to say about Ms. Andres shortly, who is now being presented as an early whistleblower in the GM scandal. For now, however, the attention appears to be on DeGiorgio who appears to be the fall guy designated by everyone to be thrown under the proverbial GM truck.

Mr. Valukas’s probe concluded Raymond DeGiorgio in April 2006 decided to institute a design change of an ignition switch that was causing cars to stall, and approved no change to the part identification number. That made the change difficult to track, and delayed efforts to understand why air bags in some of the vehicles weren’t deploying in crashes, the report found.

 

The engineer was one of 15 employees dismissed from the company earlier this month.

Yet lawmakers appear skeptical that unlike in the case of Goldman, where one person effectively took all the blame, that the same is applicable with GM. Among those who expressed incredulity with the official version were both republican and democrat representatives.

The internal probe portrays a relatively low-ranking engineer as responsible for approving a switch design that didn’t meet GM specifications and for concealing vital information that could have led the company to recall defective vehicles sooner.

 

“GM is trying to [argue] ‘he made this mistake alone,’ ” said Rep. Tim Murphy (R., Pa.), chairman of the House panel probing the recall. “Several mistakes were made along the way. Of 210,000 people, why didn’t anyone catch it?”

 

* * *

Lawmakers say unreleased testimony from Mr. DeGiorgio and an email released on Wednesday by Fred Upton (R., Mich.) show that ignition switch problems had been flagged as a safety issue within GM in 2005. Mr. Blumenthal said he has talked with former GM employees who are highly skeptical that a person at Mr. DeGiorgio’s level could have pulled off such a change.

 

Mr. DeGiorgio told congressional investigators he thought that another engineer would have had to sign off on the parts change, a House aide said on Thursday. That appears to fit with documentation the committee has received showing another engineer had signed off on a design change requested by Mr. DeGiorgio.

 

Rep. Jan Schakowsky, (D, Ill.) told Ms. Barra on Wednesday that Mr. DeGiorgio had told the committee’s staff that he met with his superiors in February 2002 and told them the ignition switch would be delayed.

 

So, Ms. Barra, is it your belief that one engineer, Mr. DeGiorgio, unilaterally approved a part that had been plagued by problems from the start?” Ms. Schakowsky asked.

 

“He was the one responsible for it,” Ms. Barra replied. When pressed on Wednesday whether Mr. DeGiorgio could have unilaterally approved the ignition-part change, Ms. Barra insisted that “he was the one responsible for it.”

And what has Ms. Barra’s “responsibility” at the time, or now for that matter: would it be to justify the highest shareholder returns no matter the cost, even if the cost include an unknown number of lives lost in order to cut production costs, all the while ignoring quality controls and certainly internal whistleblowers? That question remains to be answered.

Perhaps hurting Barra’s attempts to bury the matter while blaming it all on a single scapegoat is that, unlike Goldman, some members of Congress actually understand the GM internal dealings, having worked there previously:

Rep. Bill Johnson (R., Ohio), who worked for an auto-parts supplier before joining the House, also challenged the assertion that Mr. DeGiorgio could have acted alone. “Would it be reasonable that the chief—the vehicle chief engineer—would have known about this situation?” Mr. Johnson asked Ms. Barra. Mr. Johnson also alluded on Wednesday to a May 2005 email that outlined a “customer concern” about the ignition switch sent to vehicle chief engineer Doug Parks, among others. That email hasn’t been released to the public.

 

Ms. Barra said the chief engineer “has to count on people doing their job” because “there are 30,000 parts on a car.”

Based on that statement she certainly appears qualified to run the bailed out car maker. However, what casts doubts on her defense of management’s handling of the situation is that it was nearly a decade ago when whistleblowers warning of ignitioning issues first appeared. Whistleblowers like Laura Andres whose concerns were, obviously, ignored.

Ms. Andres subsequently warned that the problem appeared to be with the design of the Impala’s ignition switch, and noted that a GM technician had told her other employees had complained about a similar problem with the Pontiac Solstice. The Solstice shared components with the 2005 Chevrolet Cobalt and other compact vehicles among 2.6 million recalled earlier this year to fix defective ignition switches. “I think this is a serious safety problem, especially if this switch is on multiple programs,” Ms. Andres wrote in one of a chain of emails released by the House panel…. Mr. DeGiorgio replied to Ms. Andres in an Aug. 31, 2005 email that the switch in her Impala is “completely different” than the one used on the Solstice. He says he has monitored reports and hadn’t found any similar issues as she described

A prior WSJ article has further details on Andres’ warnings as early as 2005:

Laura J. Andres, told GM engineers in 2005 that the Chevrolet Impala she was driving shut off after she went over a bump in the road. In a subsequent August 2005 email she warned that the problem appeared to be the design of the Impala’s ignition switch, and noted a GM technician who looked at her car said other employees had complained about a similar problem with the Pontiac Solstice—a small car that shared components with the 2005 Chevrolet Cobalt and other compact vehicles now known to possess a deadly defect.

 

Ms. Andres urged that engineers consider changing the part. “I’m thinking big recall. I was driving 45 mph when I hit the pothole and the car shut off, and I had a car driving behind me that swerved around me. I don’t like to imagine a customer driving their kids in the back seat, on I-75, and hitting a pothole, in rush hour traffic.

By now it is fully clear that while it has been caught red-handed, and the resulting surge in recalls is merely an attempt to finally do the right thing even if it truly exposes the corrupt culture at the politically-charged carmaker not to mention its approach to creating a quality product – one of the main reasons it had to file Chapter 11 in the first place – the only thing GM cared about is generating a shareholder return (especially when faced with numerous activist hedge funds: recall that GM is in the top 5 most widely held stocks by hedge funds).

Politicians don’t know the answer either:

“I remain unconvinced there wasn’t an effort to ‘cover up’ bad decisions to avoid liability,” said Rep. Tim Murphy (R., Pa.), the panel’s chairman. It is probing why GM waited a decade to recall cars with a deadly safety defect involving Chevrolet Cobalts, Saturn Ions and other compact cars. Other lawmakers cited parts of an internal report that suggested GM managers had feared they could lose their jobs by raising safety concerns.

 

The internal report quotes GM quality manager Steven Oakley as saying that he was “reluctant to push hard on safety issues because of his perception that his predecessor had been pushed out of his job for doing just that.”

 

Ms. Barra said Mr. Oakley is still employed by GM, and is raising new safety concerns. “We are taking it very seriously,” she said. Ms. Barra launched a “Speak Up for Safety Program” and plans to reward employees for raising concerns about vehicle safety. “I am personally getting information from employees,” she said.

GM has “quality engineers”? How quaint.

In conclusion, it goes without saying that the only real question on the table, when the public tires of this latest congressional song and dance, is whether GM’s legacy approach of burying defects under the rug will finally be fixed even if it means major net income losses on a recurring basis (as opposed to the current allegedly “non-recurring” recall charges), or once the current crisis blows over GM will resort to its old standby of not recalling any potentially deadly vehicles as it means even more lost sales and further credibility hits.

In a world in which failure is rewarded with bailouts and where risk in general has been wiped out from the economic calculus thanks to the Fed, we already know the answer.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1ifHRuA Tyler Durden

Former Fed Governor, Hedge Fund Billionaire Slam Fed: “Government Fiat Does Not Create Wealth”

“Balance-sheet wealth is sustainable only when it comes from earned success, not government fiat,” is the ugly truth that former Fed governor Kevin Warsh (amazing what truths come out after their terms are up) and hedge fund billionaire Stan Druckenmiller deliver in the following WSJ Op-Ed. The aggregate wealth of U.S. households, including stocks and real-estate holdings, just hit a new high of $81.8 trillion. No wonder most on Wall Street applaud the Fed’s unrelenting balance-sheet recovery strategy.The Fed’s extraordinary tools are far more potent in goosing balance-sheet wealth than spurring real income growth. Corporate chieftains rationally choose financial engineering – debt-financed share buybacks, for example – over capital investment in property, plants and equipment. The country needs an exit from the 2% growth trap. There are no short-cuts through Fed-engineered balance-sheet wealth creation. The sooner and more predictably the Fed exits its extraordinary monetary accommodation, the sooner businesses can get back to business and labor can get back to work.

 

Originally posted at WSJ

The Asset-Rich, Income-Poor Economy

By Kevin Warsh and Stanley Druckenmiller,

Economist Richard Koo diagnosed Japan’s crash in the early 1990s and subsequent two decades of economic malaise as a “balance-sheet recession.” That conclusion wasn’t lost on the Federal Reserve during the financial crisis of 2008-09. The Fed engineered an emergency response to craft what can best be described as a balance-sheet recovery.

At its policy meeting earlier this week, the Fed made clear that it’s scarred, if no longer scared, by the crisis. Extraordinarily loose monetary policy will continue in force. While the Fed’s monthly asset purchases will decline, short-term interest rates will remain pinned near zero. And long-term rates need not move higher—the Fed assures us—even with improving inflation dynamics, credit markets priced-for-perfection, and stock prices at record levels.

The aggregate wealth of U.S. households, including stocks and real-estate holdings, just hit a new high of $81.8 trillion. That’s more than $26 trillion in wealth added since 2009. No wonder most on Wall Street applaud the Fed’s unrelenting balance-sheet recovery strategy. It’s great news for those households and businesses with large asset holdings, high risk tolerances and easy access to credit.

Yet it provides little solace for families and small businesses that must rely on their income statements to pay the bills. About half of American households do not own any stocks and more than one-third don’t own a residence. Never mind the retirees who are straining to make the most of their golden years on bond returns.

The Fed’s extraordinary tools are far more potent in goosing balance-sheet wealth than spurring real income growth. The most recent employment report reveals the troubling story for Main Street. While 217,000 jobs were created in May, incomes for most Americans remain under stress, with only modest improvements in hours worked and average hourly earnings.

It’s taken a full 76 months for the number of people working to get back to its previous peak, a discomfiting postwar record. Unfortunately, during the same period the U.S. working-age population increased by more than 15 million people. That’s why the share of the working-age population out of work is now at a 36-year low. There are now more Americans on disability insurance than are working in construction and education, combined.

Meanwhile, corporate chieftains rationally choose financial engineering—debt-financed share buybacks, for example—over capital investment in property, plants and equipment. Financial markets reward shareholder activism. Institutional investors extend their risk parameters to beat their benchmarks. And retail investors belatedly participate in the rising asset-price environment.

All of this lifts balance-sheet wealth, at least for a while. But real economic growth—averaging just a bit above 2% for the fifth year in a row—remains sorely lacking.

Higher asset prices are not translating into meaningful increases in capital expenditures, and the weak growth in business investment is proving to be an opportunity-killer for workers. Those with jobs have some job security. But they are less willing to run the risk of finding a better opportunity, or negotiating for higher wages.

Those without jobs, especially in the younger cohorts without a post-high school education, do not attach to the workforce, thus never gaining the entry-level skills and discipline to build a career. The malaise in the labor markets—and muted business investment—help explain why productivity measures are a full percentage point below historical norms.

The Fed’s latest forecast has the economy growing above 3% during the balance of this year and next, and the unemployment rate falling to about 5.5% by the end of 2015. If the Fed’s sanguine scenario finally comes to pass, interest rates are likely to move meaningfully higher across the yield curve. The money pouring into the financial markets may be redirected, in part, to the real economy. Stocks, leveraged loans and real estate are likely to re-price in a higher interest-rate environment. If rates move quickly or unexpectedly, the vaunted balance-sheet recovery could suffer a blow.

What if there is an unexpected shock that causes the economy to slow in the next year or two? The Fed would surely be called upon to bolster asset prices and stimulate the real economy. But would a return to $85 billion per month of bond-buying really be effective? We are skeptical that either Wall Street or Main Street would be comforted by quantitative-easing redux.

Balance-sheet wealth is sustainable only when it comes from earned success, not government fiat. Wealth creation comes from strong, sustainable growth that turns a proper mix of labor, capital and know-how into productivity, productivity into labor income, income into savings, savings into capital, capital into investment, and investment into asset appreciation.

The country needs an exit from the 2% growth trap. There are no short-cuts through Fed-engineered balance-sheet wealth creation. The sooner and more predictably the Fed exits its extraordinary monetary accommodation, the sooner businesses can get back to business and labor can get back to work.

What is the difference between 2% growth and 3% growth in the U.S. economy? As the late economist Herb Stein recounted, the answer is 50%. And the real difference is one between a balance-sheet recovery that helps the well-to-do and an income-statement recovery that advances the interests of all Americans.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/UmzJgJ Tyler Durden

In Post-Soviet World, Town Pisses on Lenin with Irreverent Statue

Mediaite‘s
Tina Nguyen
reports on a district in Krakow, Poland that is
celebrating the death of communism with an irreverent, neon-green
statue of Lenin entitled “Fountain of the Future.”

There’s a little bit of backstory to why this district is so
happy that communism is over: Nowa Huta, an industrial community,
was built by the Polish post-war government specifically to “combat
the influence of what authorities deemed to be ‘bourgeois’
Krakow,” according
to the Independent.
 (The town was such a
propaganda village that a popular song was written extolling its
Socialist virtues, and was literally titled “This
Song Is About Nowa Hute”
.) However, the plan backfired and Nowa
Huta instead became a hotbed of dissent, with protestors attempting
to blow up the bronze Lenin statue at least twice.

And now that Socialist Realism is dead, everyone in Nowa Hute
wants to keep it that way. Artist Bartosz Szydlowski told
the Telegraph that he wanted the world to see the town’s sense of
humor, and also wanted to stir debate over what should take the
place of the statue.


More here.

How do irreverent American leftists remember Lenin, the
architect of one of the most oppressive regimes in human history?
The folks at Mother Jones used
to sell ha-ha funny “Bowlshevik” bowling
shirts featuring Lenin
dishing out a strike. Because nothing is hipper than a guy who knew
how to pull off Red Terror and
worse like a real pro.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/1uJOyVF
via IFTTT

A.M. Links: CDC Scientists Botch Anthrax Transfer, New York Approves Some Medical Marijuana, Americans Don’t Trust Media

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter,
and don’t forget to
 sign
up
 for Reason’s daily updates for more
content.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/1uJMFbz
via IFTTT

Kurt Loder Says Jersey Boys Was Better on Broadway

Anyone who saw the original Broadway production
of Jersey Boys, or one of its many satellite
offshoots, may have a problem with Clint Eastwood’s attempt to turn
this unusual musical into a movie. The problem is, you can’t un-see
the show. In the theatre, director Des McAnuff supercharged the
story of the Four Seasons – the New York vocal group whose hits
bridged the beginning of the British Invasion era – with
sensational staging. In one scene, with the group performing live
in concert, we saw the four members only from behind, facing the
back of the stage, where spotlights and crowd cheers erupted and
blasted past them out into the audience. It was a spectacular
showbiz effect. Eastwood’s movie contains faint echoes of McAnuff’s
theatrical flourishes, but that’s all they are, writes Kurt Loder.
It’s a picture filled with faint echoes.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/UU9Bup
via IFTTT

Heading Into Midterm Elections, Confidence In Congress Hits Record Low 7%

Submitted by Mike Krieger of Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

It’s no surprise to anyone that Americans have zero faith in their so-called “Representatives.” The vast majority of these folks are lying, thieving, white-collar criminals, and we all know it. The real question is what, if anything, are we going to do about it?

I’m not someone who believes in centralized power, and I question whether in a world with the technological connectivity we have today, if we actually need to vote for someone else to vote for us. This seems like an extremely inefficient and outdated process. I haven’t yet come to my own conclusions on what specifically might be a preferable system, but I am certainly a proponent of decentralizing government and the political process itself. For more on this concept, I suggest, reading the following post from last week: The Coming Digital Anarchy.

While I do think our current system of government is overly centralized and outdated, I still think it’s important to send these corrupt political cronies a message as long as this system remains in place. This is already happening, as we saw with Dave Brat’s stunning victory over corporatist kingpin Eric Cantor. Furthermore, it appears Democrats are also at serious risk from the public’s disdain, as 22-term Rep. Charlie Rangel is finding out now (for more of my thoughts on this read, Is Charlie Rangel the Next to Go? 22-Term New York Democrat Faces Serious Primary Threat).

Moving along, the latest article from Gallup contains some stunning revelations as well as a shocking statement. First of all, it reports how only 7%  of Americans say they have “a great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence in Congress. This is a record low since the question was first asked in 1974, and handily beats the prior low of 10% in 2010. Moreover, it was the lowest Gallup has recorded for any institution in the 41-year trend.” If you don’t think this is hugely important, think again. The 4th Turning is alive and well.

We learn from Gallup that:

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Americans’ confidence in Congress has sunk to a new low. Seven percent of Americans say they have “a great deal” or “quite a lot” of confidence in Congress as an American institution, down from the previous low of 10% in 2013. This confidence is starkly different from the 42% in 1973, the first year Gallup began asking the question.

 

Americans’ current confidence in Congress is not only the lowest on record, but also the lowest Gallup has recorded for any institution in the 41-year trend. This is also the first time Gallup has ever measured confidence in a major U.S. institution in the single digits. Currently, 4% of Americans say they have a great deal of confidence in Congress, and 3% have quite a lot of confidence. About one-third of Americans report having “some” confidence, while half have “very little,” and another 7% volunteer that they have “none.”

 

Screen Shot 2014-06-19 at 10.13.28 AM

 

So how do Americans view many of the other institutions in society?

 

Screen Shot 2014-06-19 at 10.14.45 AM

 

The most interesting aspect of the above is the fact “news on the internet” is more trusted than “television news.” The most disturbing part of the above is that the popularity of the military makes come sort of coup a serious concern down the road if we have a serious collapse.

Now here’s the most shocking line from Gallup:

The dearth of public confidence in their elected leaders on Capitol Hill is yet another sign of the challenges that could face incumbents in 2014′s midterm elections – as well as more broadly a challenge to the broad underpinnings of the nation’s representative democratic system.

Gallup seems to believe that the corruption in D.C. poses an existential threat to the nation itself. I agree. This is why we cannot settle for small cosmetic changes at the edges of the current system, which as academics from Princeton and Northwest proved, is an oligarchy. We need wholesale systemic change, preferably a radical shift into decentralized political, social and economic structures. The more centralized power is, the more ripe for corruption. As we are seeing today.

Full article here.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1m3lYho Tyler Durden

Iraq Update: Fighting Continues, Battle For Refinery, PM On The Rocks

Here are all the latest news and updates from the rapidly-changing situation in Iraq, courtesy of Bloomberg.

 

FRONT-LINE FIGHTING

  • Iraqi govt troops retain control of 310k b/d Baiji refinery, but facility surrounded by territory held by ISIL-led militants
  • Aerial photos yday showed some storage tanks on fire
  • Fierce battles near Baiji and Tal Afar airport: BBC
  • Fighting continues around Tal Afar, halfway between Mosul and Syrian border
  • Clashes reported between ISIL and Kurds south of Kirkuk

FOREIGN POLITICS

  • U.S. to send 300 military advisors to Baghdad; lack sufficient intelligence for imminent air strikes: Gen. Dempsey
  • Saudi Arabia warns against outside intervention in Iraq, blames “exclusionary policies” of Iraqi cabinet: Saudi ambassador writes in Telegraph
  • ISIL hands over captured foreign workers to police

 

PRESSURE ON MALIKI

  • Obama declines to endorse Maliki, but stops short of calling for him to step down
  • Challengers emerging to replace Iraq PM: NYT

 

OIL PRODUCTION IN NORTHERN IRAQ

  • Current output from Iraq’s northern fields cut to 30k b/d; supplying Kirkuk refinery
  • Northern fields were producing ~650-700k b/d before March 2 closure of export pipeline to Turkey

 

IRAQ’S NORTHERN EXPORTS

  • Exports from Iraq’s northern fields cut since March 2 when the Iraq-Turkey pipeline was bombed
  • Exports of Kirkuk crude from Turkish port of Ceyhan fell to 24k b/d in March, zero in April: Oil Ministry
  • NOTE: Iraq still exports crude from southern fields via Persian Gulf

ROLE OF KURDISTAN

  • Kurdish forces have taken control of Kirkuk oil field and city after central govt forces fled
  • Kurds fighting ISIL forces at Bayshir, south of Kirkuk
  • Ashti Hawrami, Kurdish Regional Govt’s natural resources minister, offered to export Kirkuk via Kurdish pipelines, but was rebuffed
  • Kurds to boost exports to 200k-250k b/d in July from 125k b/d now; targeting 400k b/d by end-2014

 

BAIJI REFINERY

  • Sprawling complex of storage tanks, processing units
  • Primary source of products for N Iraq; also supplies Baghdad
  • Linked power plant provides electricity to region
  • Represents ~40% of Iraq’s refining capacity; processes      crude delivered by pipeline and rail from Kirkuk, Ajeel (formerly Saddam) and other fields operated by North Oil Co.
  • Lies on Iraq-Ceyhan pipeline; important source of fuel for both govt and ISIL
  • Storage tanks full: Iraq Oil Ministry
  • Capture would provide immediate source of fuel for insurgents’ vehicles and for sale in N Iraq.

OIL PRODUCTION/EXPORTS FROM SOUTHERN IRAQ

  • Production in south unaffected by fighting so far
  • Iraq plans to ship 2.79m b/d from Basrah Oil Terminal in July; most since before 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War
  • BP, Exxon, CNPC and Petronas started to evacuate non- Iraqi staff from nation
  • Shell ’monitoring the situation very carefully’: Andy Brown, head of Shell Upstream International
  • Lukoil has increased security at West Qurna field, where it started production in March
  • Southern oil facilities not beyond ISIL’s reach: Barclays

 

WHO IS ISIL?

  • Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) is also known as Islamic State in Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS)
  • A Sunni jihadist group led by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi
  • Broke away from al-Qaeda in 2013
  • Want to create a Sunni caliphate across Iraq, Syria and neighboring countries
  • Control large parts of northern Syria
  • Well funded through sales of Syrian oil and antiquities
  • Vowed to attack Baghdad and Shiite holy cities of Karbala and Najaf

 

WHAT IS THE CORE ISSUE?

  • ISIL insurgents have overrun large parts of northern and central Iraq; Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s Shiite Muslim-led govt now seeking to regain control
  • 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq and subsequent rise to power of Shiite-Muslim majority alienated Sunni Muslims; Sunnis felt marginalized under Maliki; some support ISIL
  • Maliki accuses ISIL of an alliance with Saddam Hussein’s Ba’ath party
  • Shiites constitute majority in southern Iraq

Source: BBG




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1lQbLjH Tyler Durden