Good News For Employed Americans: You Are Now Working Longer Than Ever

We have some great news for those Americans who are still in the labor force (so that excludes about 92 million working age US citizens) and still have a (full-time) job: you are now working longer than ever! In fact, as JPM’s Michael Cembalest observes using Conference Board data, the average manufacturing workweek is now just shy of 42 hours – the longest in over 60 years. And there are those who say Americans are lazy…

Of course, with labor productivity stuck in limbo this is to be expected: corporations, desperate to extract every last ounce of efficiency from their workers, are making them work hard, not smart, in order to boost bottom lines, and activist investors’ P&Ls.

One tangent: even as companies are putting more people into the same amount of office space, reducing square footage per worker, the point at which more space will have to be added, or where the lack of slack becomes unbearable, is a long way away: as the chart below shows, while there was over 330 square feet per worker in 2011 when the average workweek was a little over 40 hours, it is currently roughly 20 square feet higher over 350. So yes: the slack if being absorbed. Very… Very… Slowly. In fact at this rate, courtesy of the tens of millions of Americans who no longer have any chance of reentering the work force, all those betting on wage inflation as a result of slack absorption may have to wait another 5, 10 maybe 15 years before the existing labor capacity is hit and office space and new workers have to be added.

Until then, Americans have much longer workweeks to look forward to and not to mention, flat or declining wages to go along with it: after all in the New Normal, corporations – especially those who directly and indirectly control the Fed – have all the leverage.


    



via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1jBMXAb Tyler Durden

“Mutated” Bird Flu Kills 19, Infects 96 In 2014 Already; China Says Epidemic Risk Unchanged

The H7N9 mutation of the bird flu virus is “more prone to human infection” than the H5N1 virus, with the fatality rate reaching 20-30%. China’s National Influenza Center (CNIC) has reported athat H7N9 has killed 19 in China this year already and the total number of infections has reached 96. Although , as always, details are few and far between, CNIC’s Shu Yuelong states that “the risk assessment of H7N9 epidemic outbreak is unchanged,” despite the admission that the virus is more difficult to prevent as there is no obvious symptom for H7N9 infected poultry. South Korea has expanded a poultry cull on fears of contagion.

 

Via Xinhua,

H7N9 bird flu has killed 19 in China this year already, and the total number of human infections has reached 96, according to the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

 

Shu Yuelong, director of the Chinese National Influenza Center (CNIC), said on Monday that a large-scale H7N9 epidemic is unlikely during the Spring Festival holiday, as no H7N9 virus mutation that could affect public health has been identified so far.

 

There is no evidence of constant inter-human transmission, and the risk assessment of H7N9 epidemic outbreak is unchanged,” said Shu.

 

Shu reiterated that H7N9 is more prone to human infection than H5N1, with H7N9 case fatality rate reaching 20 to 30 percent.

 

The virus is more difficult to be prevented as there is no  obvious symptom for H7N9 infected poultry, and at present the  CNIC is not able to precisely predict the direction of the  mutation of the H7N9 virus.

 

“We will continue to strengthen monitoring and carry out research,” said Shu.

 

On Sunday, the National Health and Family Planning Commission issued a paper on H7N9 diagnosis and treatment, noting that early report, diagnosis and treatment are the best ways to prevent and control the virus.

And South Korea is slaughtering 1.4 million farm birds…

South Korea is expanding a poultry cull in a bid to contain the spread of bird flu that has been found on an increasing number of farms around the country and in migratory birds.

 

The country’s agriculture ministry said the H5N8 strain of bird flu had been detected on six poultry farms and that there had been 13 cases in migratory birds since the first outbreak earlier this month.

 

No human infection has been reported, while the ministry is looking into four additional reports from poultry farms and more than 50 other suspected cases in migratory birds, it said in a statement on Monday.

 

 

South Korea will slaughter over 1.4 million farm birds, including 644,000 that have already been killed, according to the ministry. That would be under 1 percent of the country’s total 160 million poultry population.

 

The first case of H5N8 bird flu was found on January 17 at a duck farm in the southwestern province of North Jeolla, about 300 km (186 miles) from Seoul.


    



via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/L3qUmU Tyler Durden

"Mutated" Bird Flu Kills 19, Infects 96 In 2014 Already; China Says Epidemic Risk Unchanged

The H7N9 mutation of the bird flu virus is “more prone to human infection” than the H5N1 virus, with the fatality rate reaching 20-30%. China’s National Influenza Center (CNIC) has reported athat H7N9 has killed 19 in China this year already and the total number of infections has reached 96. Although , as always, details are few and far between, CNIC’s Shu Yuelong states that “the risk assessment of H7N9 epidemic outbreak is unchanged,” despite the admission that the virus is more difficult to prevent as there is no obvious symptom for H7N9 infected poultry. South Korea has expanded a poultry cull on fears of contagion.

 

Via Xinhua,

H7N9 bird flu has killed 19 in China this year already, and the total number of human infections has reached 96, according to the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

 

Shu Yuelong, director of the Chinese National Influenza Center (CNIC), said on Monday that a large-scale H7N9 epidemic is unlikely during the Spring Festival holiday, as no H7N9 virus mutation that could affect public health has been identified so far.

 

There is no evidence of constant inter-human transmission, and the risk assessment of H7N9 epidemic outbreak is unchanged,” said Shu.

 

Shu reiterated that H7N9 is more prone to human infection than H5N1, with H7N9 case fatality rate reaching 20 to 30 percent.

 

The virus is more difficult to be prevented as there is no  obvious symptom for H7N9 infected poultry, and at present the  CNIC is not able to precisely predict the direction of the  mutation of the H7N9 virus.

 

“We will continue to strengthen monitoring and carry out research,” said Shu.

 

On Sunday, the National Health and Family Planning Commission issued a paper on H7N9 diagnosis and treatment, noting that early report, diagnosis and treatment are the best ways to prevent and control the virus.

And South Korea is slaughtering 1.4 million farm birds…

South Korea is expanding a poultry cull in a bid to contain the spread of bird flu that has been found on an increasing number of farms around the country and in migratory birds.

 

The country’s agriculture ministry said the H5N8 strain of bird flu had been detected on six poultry farms and that there had been 13 cases in migratory birds since the first outbreak earlier this month.

 

No human infection has been reported, while the ministry is looking into four additional reports from poultry farms and more than 50 other suspected cases in migratory birds, it said in a statement on Monday.

 

 

South Korea will slaughter over 1.4 million farm birds, including 644,000 that have already been killed, according to the ministry. That would be under 1 percent of the country’s total 160 million poultry population.

 

The first case of H5N8 bird flu was found on January 17 at a duck farm in the southwestern province of North Jeolla, about 300 km (186 miles) from Seoul.


    



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Remember The “European Recovery”?

As all eyes are focused on US earnings and asset-gatherers cherry-pick beats and ignore the bellwether misses, we thought a gentle reminder of the other seemingly unbreakable ‘meme’ of the moment – that of Europe’s recovery – was in order. The following chart, presented with little comment of schadenfreude, should clear up any doubts about whether Europe’s economy is on the up… or down…

 

 

So, earnings growth expectations have collapsed from an inordinately hope-strewn +9% at the start of December to 0% (i.e. no growth whatsoever) last week…

 

(h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer)


    



via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1n8l5nm Tyler Durden

Remember The "European Recovery"?

As all eyes are focused on US earnings and asset-gatherers cherry-pick beats and ignore the bellwether misses, we thought a gentle reminder of the other seemingly unbreakable ‘meme’ of the moment – that of Europe’s recovery – was in order. The following chart, presented with little comment of schadenfreude, should clear up any doubts about whether Europe’s economy is on the up… or down…

 

 

So, earnings growth expectations have collapsed from an inordinately hope-strewn +9% at the start of December to 0% (i.e. no growth whatsoever) last week…

 

(h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer)


    



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Food Stamp Recipients Dominated By “Working Age Americans” For First Time On Record

Submitted by Mike Krieger of Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

When people ask me to describe the state of the U.S. economy, what I always say is that it can best characterized as an ongoing state-sanctioned theft. This theft consists of the 0.01% oligarch class intentionally leveraging a corrupt monetary and political system in order to funnel all of the wealth of the non-oligarch rich and middle-class upward to them. The underclasses are kept quiet and in-line via food stamps and other forms of so-called “welfare.”

In reality, I have frequently maintained that food stamps are actually corporate welfare and that the stock market represents food stamps for the 1%. The entire economy is a gigantic bait and switch in which a handful of people rape and pillage everyone else.

With unemployment and GDP statistics hopelessly manipulated, we must look at other data points in order to gain an understanding of how things really stand. Data related to food stamp rolls is one way to gain real insight into the true state of the U.S. economy.

In an excellent article from the Associate Press, we learn several things.

  • For the first time ever, working-age people now make up the majority in U.S. households that rely on food stamps.
  • Food stamp participation since 1980 has grown the fastest among workers with some college training.
  • By education, about 28 percent of food stamp households are headed by a person with at least some college training, up from 8 percent in 1980.

More from the AP:

WASHINGTON (AP) — In a first, working-age people now make up the majority in U.S. households that rely on food stamps — a switch from a few years ago, when children and the elderly were the main recipients.

 

Some of the change is due to demographics, such as the trend toward having fewer children. But a slow economic recovery with high unemployment, stagnant wages and an increasing gulf between low-wage and high-skill jobs also plays a big role. It suggests that government spending on the $80 billion-a-year food stamp program — twice what it cost five years ago — may not subside significantly anytime soon.

“High employment, stagnant wages.” Huh? Don’t these people realize we’ve been in a recovery for almost five years now!

Food stamp participation since 1980 has grown the fastest among workers with some college training, a sign that the safety net has stretched further to cover America’s former middle class, according to an analysis of government data for The Associated Press by economists at the University of Kentucky. Formally called Supplemental Nutrition Assistance, or SNAP, the program now covers 1 in 7 Americans.

Notice the statement, “America’s former middle class.” At least they are honest. The middle class is gone.

Since 2009, more than 50 percent of U.S. households receiving food stamps have been adults ages 18 to 59, according to the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey. The food stamp program defines non-elderly adults as anyone younger than 60.

 

As recently as 1998, the working-age share of food stamp households was at a low of 44 percent, before the dot-com bust and subsequent recessions in 2001 and 2007 pushed new enrollees into the program, according to the analysis by James Ziliak, director of the Center for Poverty Research at the University of Kentucky.

 

By education, about 28 percent of food stamp households are headed by a person with at least some college training, up from 8 percent in 1980. Among those with four-year college degrees, the share rose from 3 percent to 7 percent. High-school graduates head the bulk of food stamp households at 37 percent, up from 28 percent. In contrast, food stamp households headed by a high-school dropout have dropped by more than half, to 28 percent.

 

So basically, young people are being encouraged to take on a mountain of suffocating debt to go to college and get a worthless degree only to move into their parents basements and collect food stamps. Now that’s what I call a recovery.

Several economists say food stamp rolls are likely to remain elevated for some time. Historically, there has been a lag before an improving unemployment rate leads to a substantial decline in food stamp rolls; the Congressional Budget Office has projected it could take 10 years.

This is particularly the case when unemployment statistics are entirely fabricated.

Full- and part-time workers employed year-round saw the fastest growth in food stamp participation since 1980, making up 17 percent and 7 percent of households, respectively. In contrast, the share of food stamp households headed by an unemployed person has remained largely unchanged, at 53 percent. Part-year workers declined in food stamp share.

Welcome to serfdom. You have arrived America.

Full article here.


    



via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1e2M29Q Tyler Durden

Food Stamp Recipients Dominated By "Working Age Americans" For First Time On Record

Submitted by Mike Krieger of Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

When people ask me to describe the state of the U.S. economy, what I always say is that it can best characterized as an ongoing state-sanctioned theft. This theft consists of the 0.01% oligarch class intentionally leveraging a corrupt monetary and political system in order to funnel all of the wealth of the non-oligarch rich and middle-class upward to them. The underclasses are kept quiet and in-line via food stamps and other forms of so-called “welfare.”

In reality, I have frequently maintained that food stamps are actually corporate welfare and that the stock market represents food stamps for the 1%. The entire economy is a gigantic bait and switch in which a handful of people rape and pillage everyone else.

With unemployment and GDP statistics hopelessly manipulated, we must look at other data points in order to gain an understanding of how things really stand. Data related to food stamp rolls is one way to gain real insight into the true state of the U.S. economy.

In an excellent article from the Associate Press, we learn several things.

  • For the first time ever, working-age people now make up the majority in U.S. households that rely on food stamps.
  • Food stamp participation since 1980 has grown the fastest among workers with some college training.
  • By education, about 28 percent of food stamp households are headed by a person with at least some college training, up from 8 percent in 1980.

More from the AP:

WASHINGTON (AP) — In a first, working-age people now make up the majority in U.S. households that rely on food stamps — a switch from a few years ago, when children and the elderly were the main recipients.

 

Some of the change is due to demographics, such as the trend toward having fewer children. But a slow economic recovery with high unemployment, stagnant wages and an increasing gulf between low-wage and high-skill jobs also plays a big role. It suggests that government spending on the $80 billion-a-year food stamp program — twice what it cost five years ago — may not subside significantly anytime soon.

“High employment, stagnant wages.” Huh? Don’t these people realize we’ve been in a recovery for almost five years now!

Food stamp participation since 1980 has grown the fastest among workers with some college training, a sign that the safety net has stretched further to cover America’s former middle class, according to an analysis of government data for The Associated Press by economists at the University of Kentucky. Formally called Supplemental Nutrition Assistance, or SNAP, the program now covers 1 in 7 Americans.

Notice the statement, “America’s former middle class.” At least they are honest. The middle class is gone.

Since 2009, more than 50 percent of U.S. households receiving food stamps have been adults ages 18 to 59, according to the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey. The food stamp program defines non-elderly adults as anyone younger than 60.

 

As recently as 1998, the working-age share of food stamp households was at a low of 44 percent, before the dot-com bust and subsequent recessions in 2001 and 2007 pushed new enrollees into the program, according to the analysis by James Ziliak, director of the Center for Poverty Research at the University of Kentucky.

 

By education, about 28 percent of food stamp households are headed by a person with at least some college training, up from 8 percent in 1980. Among those with four-year college degrees, the share rose from 3 percent to 7 percent. High-school graduates head the bulk of food stamp households at 37 percent, up from 28 percent. In contrast, food stamp households headed by a high-school dropout have dropped by more than half, to 28 percent.

 

So basically, young people are being encouraged to take on a mountain of suffocating debt to go to college and get a worthless degree only to move into their parents basements and collect food stamps. Now that’s what I call a recovery.

Several economists say food stamp rolls are likely to remain elevated for some time. Historically, there has been a lag before an improving unemployment rate leads to a substantial decline in food stamp rolls; the Congressional Budget Office has projected it could take 10 years.

This is particularly the case when unemployment statistics are entirely fabricated.

Full- and part-time workers employed year-round saw the fastest growth in food stamp participation since 1980, making up 17 percent and 7 percent of households, respectively. In contrast, the share of food stamp households headed by an unemployed person has remained largely unchanged, at 53 percent. Part-year workers declined in food stamp share.

Welcome to serfdom. You have arrived America.

Full article here.


    



via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1e2M29Q Tyler Durden

New Snowden Revelation: NSA, GCHQ Look Through Apps To Find Personal Data

According to reporting from The New
York Times
, the NSA and the British GCHQ have been gathering
information on individuals from smartphone apps.

From
The New York Times
:

The N.S.A. and Britain’s Government Communications Headquarters
were working together on how to collect and store data from dozens
of smartphone apps by 2007, according to the documents, provided by
Edward J. Snowden, the former N.S.A. contractor. Since then, the
agencies have traded recipes for grabbing location and planning
data when a target uses Google Maps, and for vacuuming up address
books, buddy lists, phone logs and the geographic data embedded in
photos when someone sends a post to the mobile versions of
Facebook, Flickr, LinkedIn, Twitter and other services.

The eavesdroppers’ pursuit of mobile networks has been outlined
in earlier reports, but the secret documents, shared by The New
York Times, The Guardian and ProPublica, offer far more details of
their ambitions for smartphones and the apps that run on them. The
efforts were part of an initiative called “the mobile surge,”
according to a 2011 British document, an analogy to the troop
surges in Iraq and Afghanistan. One N.S.A. analyst’s enthusiasm was
evident in the breathless title — “Golden Nugget!” — given to one
slide for a top-secret 2010 talk describing iPhones and Android
phones as rich resources, one document notes.

The New York Times mentions one document that
highlights the sort of information spy agencies can obtain through
examining apps:

A secret 2012 British intelligence document says that spies can
scrub smartphone apps that contain details like a user’s “political
alignment” and sexual orientation.

More from Reason.com on the NSA here.

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Afghan President: U.S. Should Leave, Not Signing Security Agreement Without Peace Talks (on Afghanistan, Not Syria or Israel-Palestine)

let's pretend it's the 90s, or notHamid Karzai wants the U.S. to
start peace talks with the Taliban as a condition to signing a
security agreement that would govern the American military presence
in Afghanistan after this year’s “withdrawal,” the Afghan president

said in a news conference
this weekend. The as-yet unsigned
agreement (full text)
does not specify the level of U.S. and NATO troops to remain in
Afghanistan after the end of 2014, although the Obama
administration appears to be considering leaving about 10,000
troops in Afghanistan after 2014,
”or none”
. The U.S. also
attempted to keep
a residual force of 10,000 troops in Iraq
past the withdrawal date set in a 2008 agreement between the U.S.
and Iraq. Karzai, who is supposed to leave office after a
presidential election in April he is not permitted to compete in,
is not expected to sign the agreement, and
has said previously
he’d rather leave that decision up to his
successor.

An attempt at peace talks fell apart
fairly quickly
last summer. Karzai, who
skipped
a peace conference in Qatar over “foreign
conspiracies,”
insisted
Pakistan had to be a part of the conversation. The
Taliban in Pakistan withdrew completely from the negotiating table
in November, after
electing
a hardline commander to replace one killed in an
apparent U.S. strike.

In his
forthcoming
memoirs, Bob Gates writes that President Obama was
convinced
the mission in Afghanistan would fail. Gates, Bush’s last and
Obama’s first secretary of defense, left the cabinet a year and a
half before John Kerry joined as secretary of state, but given
Kerry’s intense focus on peace talks over the Syrian civil war and
Israel-Palestine, it appears he shares Obama’s pessimistic outlook.
Yet neither, either, appears ready to do the hard work of
extricating the U.S. from the Afghanistan situation, choosing
instead to operate based on political calculations as thousands of
U.S. and NATO troops remain in Afghanistan with no discernible
purpose.

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Chuck Schumer, Marijuana Federalist

Today on MSNBC, Sen. Chuck
Schumer (D-N.Y.)
said
that states should be free to try different approaches to
marijuana and that the results of those “experiments” will help
inform federal policy:

Chuck Todd: Do you see it as inevitable
that recreational use is going to be legal in all 50 states in your
lifetime?

Chuck Schumer: You know, it’s a tough
issue. We talk about the comparison to alcohol, and obviously
alcohol is legal, and I’m hardly a prohibitionist. But it does a
lot of damage.

And so the view I have—and I’m a little cautious on this—is
let’s see how the state experiments work. We now have the states as
laboratories, different states at different levels. Colorado and
Washington sort of opened the door. The governor’s [medical
marijuana] proposal in New York, much more cautious. I’d be a
little cautious here at the federal level and see the laboratories
of the states, see their outcomes before we make a decision.

Todd: But you believe that the federal
government should let the states do this, because they could crack
down and say no.

Chuck: Well, I think having the states
experiment is a good idea.

This is pretty similar to what President Obama
has said
: that it’s useful for states to function as
laboratories of democracy in this particular area. That view is
rather different from Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s
position
, which is that federalism is not just a good idea;
it’s the law. Obama and Schumer probably both are more sympathetic
to marijuana legalization than Perry, who says it’s not right for
Texas. But a principled
federalism
is a more reliable protector of state policy
experimentation, since it does not depend on the whims of the
president or Congress. 

You can watch Schumer’s comments
here
, starting around the 10:40 mark.

[Thanks to Tom Angell for the tip.]

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