Bitcoin Crashes 25% As Mt.Gox Halts Withdrawals

Mt.Gox, the largest exchange for the online digital currency, was forced to halt withdrawals (but not trading) this morning. Due to an increase in withdrawal requests the exchange’s systems had technical problems and in order “to understand the issue thoroughly, the system must be in static state,” they reported. The exchange said it would resolve the problem as soon as possible and “apologize[d] for the sudden short notice.” Interestingly this seemed to rapidly remove Mt.Gox’s modest premium to the other exchanges and bring them all back inline around $700 as the price recovered.

 

 

 

As Max Pelham noted (Coinwatch),

People will be leaving Mt. Gox either way, the trust isn’t already very high, and with this now people are going to trust them even less,”

 

I think Mt. Gox is going to lose relevance even more now, they’re not very forthcoming in their public relations, their technical problems and their withdrawal problems aren’t going away. Even if they fix it now, the withdrawal problem still remains with USD and Euro withdrawals.”

 

Source: Bitcoinwisdom


    



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Gold Surges 1.2% On Poor Jobs Numbers Prior To Being Beaten Lower …

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,260.00, EUR 928.72 and GBP 771.16 per ounce.          

Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,258.50, EUR 930.64 and GBP 772.42 per ounce.  


Gold fell $0.50 or 0.04% yesterday to $1,257.40/oz. Silver rose $0.09 or 0.45% to $19.94/oz.


Gold is marginally higher again today in all currencies and heading for a higher weekly close of 1.6% in dollars.

The poor jobs number today saw gold surge from a low of $1,256.55/oz to a high of $1,272/oz prior to being beaten lower back below $1,258/oz. This is the second incident of peculiar trading on the COMEX this week which is fueling manipulation suspicions. The bad jobs data saw treasuries climbed and stocks fall, prior to also reversing course.


Gold in U.S. Dollars, 5 Day – (Bloomberg)

Gold eked out slight gains yesterday after the ECB and BOE kept rates at 300 year lows. ECB President Mario Draghi made more dovish statements, saying that the ECB “will maintain an accommodative stance of monetary policy for as long as necessary” which was gold supportive. Draghi reiterated that the bank may take more accommodative action if money-market turbulence resumes.

Gold is 4.5% higher this year on safe haven demand due to concern that a slump in emerging markets would slow global economic growth affecting global financial markets. Almost $3 trillion has been erased from the value of equities worldwide so far this year.

Global markets are now dependent on the drug that is cheap money and any reduction in money printing and debt monetisation will likely lead to market turmoil and economic dislocations.



Silver in U.S. Dollars, 5 Day – (Bloomberg)

Silver posted the longest rally since August, extending a 2014 rebound of over 3% this year as turmoil in emerging markets and slowing economic growth reignited demand for haven assets.

Silver has rebounded 9.7% from a 34-month low on June 28 as physical demand increased. Sales of coins by the U.S. Mint almost quadrupled in January, while gold purchases surged 63%.


Gold traders, analysts are bullish on gold again for next week after global equities fell to nearly a 4 month low this week. The Bloomberg gold survey for next week showed that 17 were bullish, 14 were bearish and 2 were neutral.

Chinese store of wealth buyers return from a week long Lunar New Year holiday which should support physical demand. China became the world’s largest  gold buyer last year.

Perhaps more than any other financial market, the gold market is subject to a huge amount of opinion, much of it emotional, subjective and not based on facts. The empirical evidence seen in research, both academic and other independent research, is often ignored. As is the historical record and the experience of people throughout the world in recent years and throughout history.

Simplistic analysis and sound bites abound. It is important to focus on the data and the facts and today we have looked at the academic research pertaining to gold.

There is a significant and growing consensus amongst academics, independent researchers and asset allocation experts that gold is a hedging instrument and a safe haven asset. Thus, many financial professionals now believe that gold should form part of investment and savings portfolios for reasons of diversification and financial insurance

Indeed, there is now a large body of academic and independent research showing gold is a safe haven asset and showing gold’s importance in investment and pension portfolios. This allocation is in order to both enhance returns but more importantly reduce overall volatility.



Gold and S&P 500, 1999 To Today – (Bloomberg)

The importance of owning gold in a properly diversified portfolio has been shown in numerous academic papers. It has  been shown in independent research by the asset allocation specialists, Mercer Consulting and Ibbotson Associates. It has also been shown by consulting group, New Frontier Advisors and by leading international think tank, Chatham House.

Gold has protected people throughout history from  inflation and currency debasement. The historical record also shows how gold has protected people from stock and property market crashes, and from asset confiscation.

John Maynard Keynes is reported to have said, ‘When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?’

The facts regarding gold have changed in recent years. Since the global financial crisis began in 2007, gold has outperformed most assets and again shown itself a safe haven. The data and research on gold over the long term is confirming this.

Our latest report, ‘Gold Is A Safe Haven Asset‘ looks at the academic and independent research in more detail.

Check out ‘Gold Is A Safe Haven’ Youtube intro video here


    



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Money Pours Into Sochi, and Life Gets Worse for the People Who Live There

The Sochi Games are reportedly the most expensive Winter
Olympics ever, by some estimates costing as much as
$51 billion
. With all that money flowing around, you might
assume life is improving for the people who live in the area.

Guess again
:


Click for more sardonic Olympics art.
The residents of 5a Akatsy
Street have lived for years with no running water or sewage system.
Construction for the 2014 Winter Games has made their lives more
miserable: The new highway has cut them off from the city center.
Even their communal outhouse had to be torn down because it was
found to be too close to the new road and ruled an eyesore.

The slum is one of the many facets of a hidden dark side in the
host city of this month’s Winter Olympics, which stands
side-by-side with the glittering new construction projects that
President Vladimir Putin is touting as a symbol of Russia’s
transformation from a dysfunctional Soviet leviathan to a
successful, modern economy. While state-run TV trains its cameras
on luxury malls, sleek stadiums and high-speed train links,
thousands of ordinary people in the Sochi area put up with squalor
and environmental waste: villagers living next to an illegal dump
filled with Olympic construction waste, families whose homes are
sinking into the earth, city dwellers suffering chronic power cuts
despite promises to improve electricity.

Putin promoted the Sochi Games, which begin Friday, as a unique
opportunity to bring investment to the Black Sea resort and improve
living standards for its 350,000 residents. Looking back at those
promises, many residents, weary from years of living in the midst
of Russia’s biggest construction project in modern history, say
they have yet to see any improvement in their lives and point to an
array of negative effects.

“Everyone was looking forward to the Olympics,” said Alexandra
Krivchenko, a 37-year-old mother of three who lives on Akatsy
Street. “We just never thought they would leave us bang in the
middle of a federal highway!”

Elsewhere in Reason: Why no sane city should want to
host
the Olympics
.

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Steven Greenhut on States’ Libertarian Approach to Crime

While the California prison system is bursting at
its seams, Texas has closed three prisons. Both states have crime
rates that are lower than they had been decades ago, but Texas’
rate is falling faster than national trends. Crime in California is
edging up slightly and its prison population is growing. California
pays twice what Texas pays per year to incarcerate an inmate.
Steven Greenhut highlights how the former state is beginning to
learn some lessons from the latter. 

View this article.

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Steven Greenhut on States' Libertarian Approach to Crime

While the California prison system is bursting at
its seams, Texas has closed three prisons. Both states have crime
rates that are lower than they had been decades ago, but Texas’
rate is falling faster than national trends. Crime in California is
edging up slightly and its prison population is growing. California
pays twice what Texas pays per year to incarcerate an inmate.
Steven Greenhut highlights how the former state is beginning to
learn some lessons from the latter. 

View this article.

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GAO: DHS Blowing Upgrade of Obsolete Border Control Computers

Border PatrolAmong people who think the
federal government should be entrusted to do something,
controlling and defending the borders features pretty high on the
list. The interpretation of what that entails and how tight such
control should be varies, but even for limited-government folks,
making sure the U.S. border is more than a line on a map is seen as
something of a core function for that big bureaucracy occupying the
swampland that either Maryland nor Virginia wanted.But we’re
talking about government, here. And according to the Government
Accountability Office, not only has the Department of Homeland
Security been relying on increasingly archaic (read: freaking
ancient) and ineffective (read: can’t do what?) computer
technology to monitor comings and goings across the border, it’s
making an expensive balls-up of finally replacing that system.

Yesterday, David A. Powner, GAO’s Director of Information
Technology Management Issues, described the existing
system
to the House Committee on Homeland Security’s
Subcommittee on Oversight and Management Efficiency:

TECS is an information technology (IT) and data management
system that supports DHS’s core border enforcement mission.
According to CBP, it is one of the largest, most important law
enforcement systems currently in use, and is the primary system
available to CBP officers and agents from other departments for use
in determining the admissibility of persons wishing to enter the
country. … 

This mainframe-based system dates back to the 1980s and
interfaces with over 80 other systems from within DHS, other
federal departments and their component agencies, as well as state,
local, and foreign governments.

So TECS plays a major role in Customs and Border Protection’s
doings, and if it was any older, it would have a crank on the side.
It also has some limitations.

The current TECS system uses obsolete technology, which combined
with expanding mission requirements, have posed operational
challenges for CBP and others. For example, users may need to
access and navigate among several different systems to investigate,
resolve, and document an encounter with a passenger. In addition,
CBP identified that TECS’s search algorithms do not adequately
match names from foreign alphabets. TECS’s obsolescence also makes
it difficult and expensive to maintain and support. Specifically,
DHS estimates that TECS’s licensing and maintenance costs are
expected to be $40 million to $60 million per year in 2015.

Wait… “TECS’s search algorithms do not adequately match names
from foreign alphabets”? It’s a good thing we don’t have any
ongoing tensions with folks from places that use different writing
systems.

Oh. Whoopsies.

So, if the feds are going to do their border-control thing, it
looks like it’s time to replace TECS, right?

But…This is the federal government. And the GAO report that
Powner presented to the subcommittee is a bit of a downer on this
point. That report says, “The
schedule and cost for the Department of Homeland Security’s (DHS)
border enforcement system modernization program known as TECS Mod
that is managed by Customs and Border Protection’s (CBP) continue
to change; while the part managed in parallel by Immigration and
Customs Enforcement (ICE) is undergoing major revisions to its
scope, schedule, and cost after discovering that its initial
solution is not technically viable.”

Specifically, CBP is spending $724 million to update its system,
but it just changed its schedule for doing so for the second time
in less than a year. And the GAO doubts the revised schedule will
be met because it says CBP can’t reliably manage work activities or
monitor program progress.

And that’s just CBP. ICE is “redesigning and replanning” its
$818 million program after realizing that the original plan
couldn’t work. Actually, ICE’s efforts appear to be dead in the
water while it works up a whole new set of plans and budget to
match.

Considering that nothing is going according to schedule or plan,
you can probably assume that the $1.5 billion allocated for this
computer-upgrade effort is going to be exceeded, just a bit, in the
end. Whether a functioning system will ultimately result is
anybody’s guess.

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All Hail Facebook? Ed Krayewski on RT’s Crosstalk

I joined Russia Today’s Crosstalk for a segment that aired
today. The topic, Facebook, is a bit lighter than
previous

topics
I’ve come on for. I wrote about Facebook’s 10 year
anniversary earlier this week, which you can read
here
, and you can check out more Reason on Facebook here. Watch the discussion,
where I explain why you’re an idiot if you put something on
Facebook you don’t want the government to see, and which also
features the Libertarian Republic’s Austin Petersen, with whom I
worked on Fox Business’ Freedom Watch now so long ago, and Clive
Thompson of Wired and the New York Times,
below:

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As Sochi Olympics Open, Four Gay Activists Arrested in St. Petersburg

"Does Putin know how gay it looks to go around all the time with his shirt off?"A small group of activists
wanted to protest the treatment of gays under current Russian law.
They hoped to unfurl a banner on a bridge Friday in St. Petersburg
quoting the Olympic Charter’s language against discrimination. They
were, instead, detained by police. The reports seem to vary. The
Associated Press
reports
that they were rounded up by police after unfurling the
banner. However, according to BuzzFeed, police stopped the
protesters while they were on their way to the bridge, indicating
they already knew what they were planning
somehow
:

An LGBT activist who witnessed the arrests told BuzzFeed from
St. Petersburg that the four protestors had stopped on their way to
a bridge leading to the picturesque Vasilyevskiy Ostrov
neighborhood to take some pictures when they were suddenly
surrounded by police cars. The arrival of the police was so sudden
that activists had no idea how they had even learned of the planned
protest.

“Either the phones are being listened to or maybe there are
cameras all over the city; only a few people knew about this
action,” said the activist, who asked to remain anonymous out of
fear for her safety.

The activists involved knew there was a risk of arrest, but
didn’t expect a confrontation with police officers until they
reached the bridge, the activist added.

I guess even Russians can still be surprised at how much the
government is monitoring them.

Though the Olympics officially open tonight, a major expansion
in the number of events prompted competition and coverage to begin
Thursday. Observers wondered how much NBC would be willing to
discuss the various controversies surrounding the Olympics. It
turned out they were indeed quite willing, at least at the moment
while the schedule isn’t too hectic. Announcer Bob Costas brought
up the anti-gay controversy almost immediately in the introduction
of the evening’s coverage and later brought out experts David
Remnick and Vladimir Pozner to discuss the political landscape. The
pair of them make the very important points that: One, Vladimir
Putin cares about how the Russians evaluate the success of the
Olympics, not America or Europe (terrorism is his major concern,
not activism); and two, the vast majority of Russian people really,
really, really don’t like the gays. Watch the interview
here
.

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Blythe Masters Withdraws From CFTC : Furious Twitter Backlash Blamed

Following our post yesterday which included the occasional F-bomb and got well over 40K reads since its posting late last night, the reaction was sharp and severe. So severe in fact that less than 24 hours later, Blythe Master has withdrawn from the CFTC. The culprit for Masters’ resignation in just 24 hours? A very angry Twitter.

From Bloomberg

Blythe Masters, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s commodities head, withdrew from an advisory committee of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission a day after her appointment was disclosed,  according to two people with direct knowledge of the decision.

 

The regulator may include another executive from New York-based JPMorgan on the committee, said one person close to the bank who requested anonymity because the move hasn’t been publicly announced. Masters, 44, withdrew because the company’s sale of its physical commodities unit will keep her occupied, the person said.

 

JPMorgan is selling a division that deals in assets such as metals and oil, as government watchdogs examine whether federally backed lenders should be involved in such markets. Masters’s appointment drew criticism from Twitter users who questioned the propriety of her advising the regulator of futures and swaps.

 

Masters, whose appointment was listed on the CFTC’s website yesterday, had been scheduled to participate in a Feb. 12 meeting to discuss cross-border guidance on rules. She was invited to the panel by acting Chairman Mark Wetjen, said one of the people.

 

Brian Marchiony, a JPMorgan spokesman, said the company had no comment.

Perhaps there is some justice in the world.

We do, however, have one question for Ms. Masters even though we understand she will be “very occupied due to the sale of JPM’s physical commodities unit”: does this premature resignation confirm that the allegations against the JPMorganite, who had so far been wrapped up in “neither admissions nor denials“, are in fact true and accurate? 

And while we have her attention, can Ms. Masters also please advise what other markets she was manipulating?


    



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Scandal: Bank Of England Encouraged Currency Manipulation By Banks

Raise your hand if you are surprised that, as has emerged, virtually every major bank was manipulating currencies (and everything else) whether as part of the “Bandits’ Club”, the “Cartel” or some other – until recently- secret message room.

That’s what we thought.

Now raise your hand if you thought the manipulation could be so pervasive, so glaring and so in your face, that even the oldest central bank – the Bank of England – and who knows how many other monetary authorities, were openly encouraging traders from these private banks to do more of the illegal activity they had been engaging in – namely manipulating currencies – with their explicit blessing knowing very well such behavior is undisputedly illegal.

We hope at least one or two hands went up, because which it is one thing to be cynical about what is going on behind the scenes, it is something else to see the edifice of global corruption and criminality, whose only purpose was to preserve the status quo, unwinding before your very eyes substantiated by actual facts.

Such as this report by Bloomberg which confirms that yet another conspiracy theory is fact, as at least one central bank has been exposed to not only have known about a criminal activity that is now costing the jobs of hundreds of traders (and should lead to jail time), but to have urged it on.

From Bloomberg:

Bank of England officials told currency traders it wasn’t improper to share impending customer orders with counterparts at other firms, a practice at the heart of a widening probe into alleged market manipulation, according to a person who has seen notes turned over to regulators.

A senior trader gave his notes from a private April 2012 meeting of currency dealers and two central bank staff members to the Financial Conduct Authority about six weeks ago because of mounting media coverage of the investigation, said the person, who asked not to be named while probes are under way.

 

Traders representing some of the world’s biggest banks told officials at the meeting that they shared information about aggregate orders before currency benchmarks were set, three people with knowledge of the discussion said. The officials said there wasn’t a policy on such communications and that banks should make their own rules, according to the people. The notes could drag the U.K. central bank into another market-rigging scandal two years after it was criticized by lawmakers for failing to act on warnings that Libor was vulnerable to abuse.

 

If traders can show “they made Bank of England officials aware of practices in the FX market some time ago, then the bank will be at risk of being characterized as having endorsed, by its silence and inaction, the very practices which are now under investigation,” said Simon Hart, a lawyer at RPC LLP in London.

Wait for it, wait for it… Here it comes: “If the BOE did not encourage currency manipulation by bankers, then the world would have crashed” – did we get the excuse that the Bank of England (and soon after, the Fed, the SNB, the BOJ and all other banks as there is never just one cockroach) will use to justify their criminal behavior? Why, of course.

But for now the bank had this to say:

A spokeswoman for the Bank of England declined to comment about the 2012 meeting beyond what was contained in a summary provided to Bloomberg News last month. Those notes included a reference to “a brief discussion on extra levels of compliance that many bank trading desks were subject to when managing client risks around the main set-piece benchmark fixings.” No further details of the discussion were provided.

“Allegations that banks may have been rigging the forex market are extremely serious, particularly for firms but also for regulators who had been telling Parliament that banking standards were improving,” Andrew Tyrie, the British lawmaker who led an inquiry into practices in the banking industry following the Libor scandal, said in a statement today.

 

The Bank of England officials said they viewed the practices as positive to reduce market volatility and wouldn’t take the matter to the standing committee, according to the people with knowledge of the meeting. That body included a representative from the Financial Services Authority, the FCA’s predecessor, according to central bank records.

 

By pooling information on client orders, current and former traders interviewed by Bloomberg News have said they could gain an impression of probable moves in currency markets, knowledge they said they sometimes used to place their own bets before the benchmark WM/Reuters rates are set at the 4 p.m. London close.

The details of the BOE’s loathsome conduct:

Dealers at the April 2012 meeting with Martin Mallett, the Bank of England’s chief currency dealer, and James O’Connor, who works in its foreign-exchange division, were told not to record the discussion or take notes, one of the people said. One trader wrote down what was said soon after leaving because of concerns spawned by investigations of attempted manipulation of the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, the person said.

 

Two traders at the meeting — Citigroup Inc. (C)’s Rohan Ramchandani and UBS AG (UBSN)’s Niall O’Riordan — are among at least 20 employees of global banks who have been fired, suspended or put on leave since Bloomberg News first reported in June that dealers said they shared information about client orders to manipulate benchmark rates used in the $5 trillion-a-day currency market, the world’s biggest.

In other news, head FX traders for Goldman, JPMorgan, RBC and Deutsche have resigned in recent weeks, in what are clearly unrelated actions. Maybe they will want to also avoid flying in the coming weeks and months, as the last thing the market needs now are more revelations not only how manipulated everything is, but that the orders for such manipulation originate at the very top of the banker oligarchy.

Alternatively, maybe instead of perpetuating the “fair and efficient markets” lie, the world’s central banks will be kind enough to just let everyone in on where they determine to close what once were “markets” at any given day so that everyone can benefit from a broken and corrupt system, instead of just a few not so good bankers. After all, with everyone profiting from the no risk, guaranteed return market all the time, at least inflation will finally go off the charts.


    



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