The New Paradigm of Financial Media

What would we do without Zero Hedge?  Does anyone else notice the rapid deterioration of financial news media, especially in the US?  OK, we are not naive, there are biases in the media, traders from big ibanks talking up their positions, and trading is all about information arbitrage.  But financial news used to be really serious.  Traders could turn on a TV to see what the markets were doing.  Bloomberg being the last financial channel broadcast on TV to avoid the “CNBC Phenomenon” or more specifically the “Cramer Phenomenon.”  But now, even Bloomberg TV has become a financial version of The View, with the occasional serious guest, and the occasional well researched article.

This is not meant to be a praise-all for ZH, but seriously, what other site has a continual flow of objective analysis, and breaking news that’s not visible elsewhere on the net?  Ok, traders don’t really need news they just need data, so in today’s electronic market financial journalism may be less valuable for traders.  But that doesn’t mean the quality of financial journalism should be allowed to deteriorate to an entertainment level.  Trading is often compared to gambling, Wall St. being the ‘big casino’ – but most involved take it very seriously, and the markets can make or break families, companies, and countries.  In most Vegas casinos, you will find all sorts of cheap tricks to overwhelm your visual cortex such as scantily clad ladies, loud bells and whistles, lots of flashing lights, free drinks and food spiked with salt and sugar, and well dressed managers waiting to be so polite and charming should they see you drop a load.  See any similarities?  

There is another interesting parallel with ZH, it was founded in 2009, before Wikileaks became popular, and before the NSA scandal.  Starting with Wikileaks exposing Swiss banking activities, and other significant financial infos, traders and investors have started changing the way they obtain and process information on the internets.  This was more solidified with the NSA scandal, although much infos released by Snowden are not of a financial nature.  Many of the policies now being implemented by a global community of concerned internet users were running on ZH before all of this happened.  Again, not an all-praise for ZH, but what value do many mainstream financial networks have, with all their biases, agreements with partners, and guests from large houses talking up their positions.  It was a shocking for many to learn that all it takes to get on CNBC is $2,500 (probably policy changed now, but it used to be like this).  Stock traders from the late 90’s remember the ‘Power Lunch Bump’ where it was almost guaranteed that the guest, whoever he was or whatever he said, was good for at least a few points of their stock to jump while talking.  A new group of retail traders flush with cash from the 90’s boom were anxious to get in on the action but didn’t know anything other than to turn on the TV and watch CNBC.  Professional traders took it with a grain of salt, but it sure was a great way to pay for lunch.  What a different world we live in.

So what’s the new financial media all about?  It’s outlined well in the ZH Manifesto:

our mission:

  • to widen the scope of financial, economic and political information available to the professional investing public.
  • to skeptically examine and, where necessary, attack the flaccid institution that financial journalism has become.
  • to liberate oppressed knowledge.
  • to provide analysis uninhibited by political constraint.
  • to facilitate information’s unending quest for freedom.

our method: pseudonymous speech…

anonymity is a shield from the tyranny of the majority. it thus exemplifies the purpose behind the bill of rights, and of the first amendment in particular: to protect unpopular individuals from retaliation– and their ideas from suppression– at the hand of an intolerant society.

   …responsibly used.

the right to remain anonymous may be abused when it shields fraudulent conduct. but political speech by its nature will sometimes have unpalatable consequences, and, in general, our society accords greater weight to the value of free speech than to the dangers of its misuse.

 

– mcintyre v. ohio elections commission 514 u.s. 334 (1995) justice stevens writing for the majority

What ZH represents most importantly, an anonymous network of financial professionals which is extremely diverse, some are from the mainstream, some from the fringes.  It’s a bastion of internet freedom, representing free speech as it was intended.  Of course that’s just the platform, it doesn’t guarantee high quality of information, but somehow, it is the only source where information is almost all quality.  

Aside from retail investors, what’s to keep traditional financial media alive at all?  In the case of something like Bloomberg, their public media is almost irrelevant.  The BB team is supporting their clients for the terminal, and so having their own network of analysts, journalists, and other types of agents makes sense to support data provided through the terminal.  But what about others?

There are other exceptions such as Reuters, not a unique financial media, but they are backed by the trading element of their business.  But unless you are a customer of Reuters, such as the new product giving their clients a nanosecond edge “Ultra Low Latency Data” their reporting on general news and especially financial events is suspect.  

Or maybe, the only thing keeping such mainstream institutions alive, are a secret group of corporate clients, that can use such outlets for their own information campaign purposes.  In any event, as the markets evolve, and the internet evolves, the new paradigm in financial media is the “Bitcoin” model, not the USD model:

“The advantage for Chinese users to use Bitcoin is freedom, people can do something without any official authority,” said Patrick Lin, system administrator of Erights.net and owner of about 1,500 Bitcoins. Lin said he’s sticking to the currency itself, rather than IPOs, in part because of weak regulation. “The Bitcoin world is just like the Wild West — no law, but opportunity and risk,” he said.

ZH is a public site, but represents the gateway into the ‘dark’ internet, at least as it’s concerning financial media.  Of course, there wasn’t technology 50 years ago to support such a network, so it was easy for certain powerful media companies to dominate the sphere.  Now, anyone with a computer and internet access, can learn as much about the markets as you can at Wharton (if they learn anything there is questionable).  With that knowledge, that person can open a blog, and become their own independent financial media agent.  The standing argument that bloggers are unprofessional because they don’t have journalistic credentials, has been disproved in the last years, since it was sites like ZH that broke the flash trading scandal, and Wikileaks, that broke the story about Julius Baer.   

The new paradigm of financial media is a decentralized, global network of well informed uber-agents, who proliferate their information privately through their own information portals, and through public networks, such as Zero Hedge (currently, ZH the only one).


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/fGIAVJu35ME/story01.htm globalintelhub

Chinese Investments In US Commercial Property Soar By 500%

Investors from multi-billion dollar hedge funds to individuals buying as few as 10 properties have acquired more than 1 million homes across the U.S. in the past three years, transforming a mom-and-pop business into one of Wall Street’s hottest investments. As we noted here, Blackstone Group LP alone has acquired more than 40,000 properties in 14 cities to become the largest single-family landlord in the country. As Bloomberg notes, the new landlords are transforming the way Americans live and accumulate wealth. But while Wall Street is becoming America’s largest residential landlord, it appears China wants to get paid for commercial properties… and Detroit.

Via Reuters,

Chinese investors, the second-biggest overseas buyers of U.S. residential real estate, are building up portfolios of U.S. commercial property as they look for new avenues of diversification.

 

Chinese entities announced more than $5.89 billion in projects in January-October, nearly six times the $996 million for all of 2011 and 2012 combined, showed data from New York-based consultancy Rhodium Group.

 

“There is a lot of upside,” said Thilo Hanemann, Rhodium’s research director. “We are at the beginning of a structural increase of Chinese investment in U.S. commercial real estate.”

 

 

China’s push into U.S. property is underpinned by declining investment returns at home, a growing desire by wealthy individuals and developers to diversify their holdings overseas, and property companies looking to capitalize on offshore migration.

 

 

Chinese nationals bought more than $8.1 billion worth of real estate in the year ended March 31, representing 12 percent of the estimated $68.2 billion of domestic property purchased by overseas nationals

 

 

Not everyone is convinced that Chinese investment in the U.S. property market will continue uninterrupted. Other options for expansion include Europe, Australia and Singapore, which account for about two-thirds of offshore Chinese real estate investment, according to Jones Lang Lasalle.

 

Zhang Xin, the chief executive of SOHO China Ltd, who paid $700 million through her family trust to buy a stake in the General Motors Building in Manhattan, said that while the U.S. regulatory and legal environment remained attractive, valuations were getting expensive.

 

I would not feel as comfortable today putting in money as I did a few years ago,” Zhang said.

So reform and liberalization in China sees hot money flowing not just into Bitcoin but now commercial property in America.

While Wall Street becoming America’s largest residential landlord, it appears China wants to get paid for commercial properties… and Detroit.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/MNYznApI-_Y/story01.htm Tyler Durden

20 Dire Civil Liberties Predictions for 2014

As we come to the end of a year that saw revelations about
massive government spying programs, horrifying stories of police
abuse, and brazen violations of the Fourth Amendment, I thought I
might offer my own grim predictions about where civil liberties are
headed in the coming year. Sure, some of these may seem outlandish.
But to borrow from H.L. Mencken, nobody ever went broke
underestimating the grade and lubriciousness of the slippery
slope.

So I predict the following for 2014:

1. Not content with their current powers to employ drug dogs and
dubious accusations to engage in asset forfeiture shakedowns of
motorists, some states will pass laws making it illegal to
have a space in your car where drugs could possibly
be hidden
, regardless of whether or not you’ve actually hidden
any drugs in those spaces.

2. Also on the forfeiture front: Taking the private prison idea
one step further, prosecutors will begin hiring private
security firms to pull over motorists in order to seize
property for the local government. And they’ll get to keep a cut of
what they take.

3. Now that they’ve turned America’s cities into
surveillance societies, city officials will incredibly claim,
incredibly, that using similar cameras to prevent abuse by law
enforcement officers would be a violation of police
officers’ civil rights…

Read all
20 predictions at The Agitator.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/23/20-dire-civil-liberties-predictions-for
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Video: The TSA's 12 Banned Items of Christmas

“The TSA’s 12 Banned Items of Christmas,” is the latest offering
from Reason TV. Watch above or click on the link below for video,
full text, supporting links, downloadable versions, and more Reason
TV clips.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/23/video-the-tsas-12-banned-items-of-christ
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Video: The TSA’s 12 Banned Items of Christmas

“The TSA’s 12 Banned Items of Christmas,” is the latest offering
from Reason TV. Watch above or click on the link below for video,
full text, supporting links, downloadable versions, and more Reason
TV clips.

View this article.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/23/video-the-tsas-12-banned-items-of-christ
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Stocks "Euphoric" For 6th Straight Week

While Citi’s earnings-yield gap model indicates stocks are over-valued currently, their proprietary panic/euphoria model has now been in “euphoria” mode for six straight weeks. Having risen further into extremes, Tobias Levkovich notes that readings at this level indicate the market may retreat with an 83% historical probability of losses in the next 12 months.

 

The Earnings-yield gap sees stocks modestly over-valued…

 

But investors are “euphoric” – will its be 1987 and 2008’s collapse or 1999’s meltup before collapse?

 

Charts: Citi


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/Pf1OT129EBM/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Stocks “Euphoric” For 6th Straight Week

While Citi’s earnings-yield gap model indicates stocks are over-valued currently, their proprietary panic/euphoria model has now been in “euphoria” mode for six straight weeks. Having risen further into extremes, Tobias Levkovich notes that readings at this level indicate the market may retreat with an 83% historical probability of losses in the next 12 months.

 

The Earnings-yield gap sees stocks modestly over-valued…

 

But investors are “euphoric” – will its be 1987 and 2008’s collapse or 1999’s meltup before collapse?

 

Charts: Citi


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/Pf1OT129EBM/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Russia Sends Over 75 Armored Trucks To Syria

While the US is debating which set of Al Qaeda “rebels” in Syria is the best local partner for the State Department to provide military support to, once Qatar’s demands for a trans-Syria pipeline return some time in 2014, Vladimir Putin – fresh from his diplomatic oup in the Ukraine – is reinforcing his other major victory in 2013: the preservation of the Assad state, this time however with more than words. As Reuters reports, Russia has sent 25 armored trucks and 50 other vehicles to Syria to help transport toxins that are to be destroyed under an international agreement to rid the nation of its chemical arsenal, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Monday. Or in other words, Russia just sent Syria more than 75 military vehicles.

From Reuters:

In a report to President Vladimir Putin, Shoigu said Russian aircraft delivered 50 Kamaz trucks and 25 Ural armored trucks to the Syrian port city of Latakia on December 18-20 along with other equipment, state-run news agency RIA reported.

 

“The Defence Ministry has very swiftly implemented actions to deliver to Syria equipment and materiel to provide for the removal of Syrian chemical weapons and their destruction,” Shoigu was quoted as saying.

Unlike Obamacare’s scheduling issues, Syria is expected to honor its commitment to transfer its chemcial weapons to external control by the deadline.

Damascus agreed to transport the “most critical” chemicals, including around 20 tons of mustard nerve agent, out of the northern port of Latakia by December 31 to be safely destroyed abroad away from the war zone.

 

“The Defence Ministry has very swiftly implemented actions to deliver to Syria equipment and materiel to provide for the removal of Syrian chemical weapons and their destruction,” Shoigu was quoted as saying.

And while the west may have bungled both the Syrian escalation and the more recent return of the Ukraine to the Russian sphere of influence, they were at least smart enough to realize that Russia adding more weapons in Syria will hardly allow the EU to benefit from Qatari gas in the near future.

Western powers has baulked at Syria’s request for military transport equipment to transport chemical weapons material to Latakia because of concerns it could be used to fight Assad’s opponents in the conflict or kill civilians.

 

Russia has been a major seller of conventional weapons to Syria and has given Assad crucial support during the conflict, blocking attempts to punish with sanctions and saying his exit must not be a precondition for a peace process.

 

Syrian government forces took control of a key highway connecting Damascus to the coast earlier this month, but the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons has voiced concern the deadline could be missed.

But for all intents and purposes, Syria and the Middle East may be yesterday’s news. The one “asset” that Putin is certainly focued on next, as is China, as is the US, is Africa: it is here that the geopolitical hotspots of 2014 are far more likely to generate significant headaches for the superpowers (unless of course Israel decides it needs the GDP boost and launches the Iranian attack on its own).


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/jNoRreDHPXc/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Man Fights to Get Off Sex Offender Registry for Consensual Teen Sex with Woman He Since Married

Justice is supposed to be blind, not stupid.When Lonny Leon Rivera was 19,
in 1989, he had sex with his 17-year-old girlfriend in California.
He got busted, pleaded guilty to “oral copulation with a minor,”
and that required him to register as a sex offender forever in the
state.

Subsequently, Rivera married the woman and they remain together
to this day. However, California treats him as though he’s a danger
to his community. Attorney General Kamala Harris is going after him
for failing to keep his sex offender information up to date. He is
petitioning to get off the list. From Courthouse
News
:

In his petition for writ of mandate, Rivera claims that the
state’s demand is unconstitutional.

“Rivera’s inclusion in the sex offender registry under the
mandatory provisions of the California Sex Offender Registration
Act violates his right to equal protection of the laws, as
guaranteed by the Fourteenth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution and
Article I, Section 7 of the California Constitution,” Rivera says
in the petition, citing a 2006 ruling by the California Supreme
Court in People v. Hofsheier.

“He is entitled to this court vacating its order of July 25,
1989 ordering Rivera to register as a sex offender. He is further
entitled to an order directing the California Department of Justice
to terminate him from the Sex Offender Tracking Program.”

In the ruling cited, Courthouse News notes, a judge determined
that California’s sexual registry guidelines didn’t operate
consistently. If Rivera had been convicted of statutory rape
instead, he wouldn’t have been required to register. The judge
ruled this was a constitutional violation, but the state took years
to figure out what to do about it. Ultimately the state decided
that guys who want to get off the list have to petition the court
themselves to be removed. Rivera said he expects Harris to fight
his removal from the list regardless of the foolishness of putting
him on it in the first place.

Below, Reason TV reported on a
similar case
in California in 2012:

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/23/man-fights-to-get-off-sex-offender-regis
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Support For Obamacare at Record Low

According to a CNN/ORC International survey
released today support for Obamacare is at an all-time low, with
only 35 percent of those asked saying that they support the law.
Almost all of the new opposition comes from women. 

From
CNN
:

Washington (CNN) – Support for the country’s new health
care law has dropped to a record low, according to a new national
poll.

And a CNN/ORC International survey released Monday also
indicates that most Americans predict that the Affordable Care Act
will actually result in higher prices for their own medical
care.

More from Reason.com on Obamacare here

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from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2013/12/23/support-for-obamacare-at-record-lo
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