Meanwhile In Germany, An Unexpected Ad Appears

During a leisurely stroll around Germany, one may encounter many strange sights but nothing would stranger than the following ad (courtesy of Peter Barkow) which promises negative 1% interest rates for consumer loans up to 24 months.

 

Here is the quick and dirty: take out a loan and pay 1% less.

For the fine print we go to Santander Consumer Bank AG, which has this to which has this to say about this self-amortizing (if only in the beginning) loan.

 

-1.0% FINANCING

 

Finance now with 0% and is pay 1% off the purchase price.

 

An exclusive designer bed for only 78 euros a month, or a designer dining table for only 88 euros a month – what are you waiting for?

 

Fulfill your desires today and pay conveniently in small monthly installments – and get this money back yet!

 

To mark the 20 years of existence of WHO’S PERFECT, we offer the whole of April at a negative interest rate financing. 

 

This means that you get refunded after delivery of your goods 1% of the amount of funding of the purchase contract.

 

Purchase in all our stores and of course here in the online shop you can easily and conveniently fund. So luxury is made easy!

 

Now -1.0% financing for 24 months (in monthly installments)

 

Santander Consumer Bank, Santander-Platz 1, 41061 Mönchengladbach

Sorry, no refugees allowed. Here are the conditions:

For financing the following requirements must be satisfied in principle:

  • You must be of legal age
  • You must have your primary residence in Germany
  • You must have a checking account at a bank in Germany
  • You must have a steady income
  • You must have a valid identity card or passport with registration card
  • In case of non-EU citizens are further evidence as residence and work permit and a current registration certificate required

Jest aside, what this ad does is scream deflation. Or maybe that’s the German banks screaming:recall that as shown earlier this week, European bank stocks have been tracking the 10Y Bund lower tick for tick. Why? Because the lower rates go, the lower the interest margin profit.

 

And when rates go negative, so do profits. At that point all banks can hope for is to charge customers one off “violation” fees to offset the NIM losses in a world in each every loan assures an at least 1% loss for the first 24 months of the loan.

What is more troubling is that now that one bank is offering such loans (to stimulate demand) all other banks will follows suit, and what is initially a 24 month promo period will quickly become set for the duration of the loan. And then we will see an even more unexpected ad, when -2% rates emerge, then -3%, until finally the bank “market test” of where the equilibrium consumer loan demand is to be found provides an answer.

Meanwhile, even more deflation will be unleashed across Europe as both short and long-term consumer expectations for inflation plunge and instead everyone is looking forward to the latest and greatest negative rate loan which not only pays itself off but reduces the purchase price.

All of this will continue until the ECB does one or all of the above: i) forces banks to cut deposit rates negative; ii) eliminates cash; iii) starts the money helicopter.

As we write, Mario Draghi is already working on all of the above.


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DARPA Unveils Latest Military Tech Weapon

With DARPA‘s newly created “Cranial Response Online Weapons Network” (CROWN), you too can lead the executive branch and get instant access to U.S. military resources, without the need for congressional oversight!

Reason TV producers Meredith Bragg and Austin Bragg were the masterminds behind this hilarious April Fools’ Day parody.

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“Rotten To The Core”

Submitted by Bill Bonner of Bonner & Partners (annotated by Acting-Man.com's Pater Tenebrarum),

Poison Money

We live in a world of sin and sorrow, infected by a fraudulent democracy, Facebook, and a corrupt money system. Wheezing, weak, and weary from the exertion of trying to appear “normal,” the economy staggers on.

 

David-Simonds-zombie-high-011

Staggering on….

 

Last week, we gained some insight into the ailment. Something in the diagnosis has puzzled us for years: How is it possible for the most advanced economy in the history of the world to make such a mess of its most basic bodily functions – getting and spending?

By our calculations – backed by studies, hunches, and deep research – the typical American man (it is less true for women) earns less in real, disposable income per hour today than he did 30 years ago.

He goes to buy a car or a house, and he finds he must work longer to pay the bill than he would have in the last years of the Reagan administration. How is that possible? What kind of economic quackery do you need to stop capitalism from increasing the value of workers’ time?

What kind of policies and circumstances are required to stiffen its joints… clog up its innards… and rot its brain? Globalization? Financialization? Bad trade deals? Too much red tape? Too many cronies? Too many zombies?

 

nonsequitor_cartoon_comic_first-economist

We can identify at least one source of the quackery…

 

All of those things played a role. But our answer is simpler: poison money. The bigger the dose… the sicker it got. When you say you “have some money,” you usually believe that there is, somewhere, an electronic database in which it is recorded that you are the owner of some amount of currency.

You have $100,000 in your account, right?   Does it mean that there is a little cubbyhole somewhere, with your name on it, in which you will find a stack of 1,000 Ben Franklins? Nope. Not even close. No cubbyhole. No stack of money. No nothing.

Does it mean the bank is carefully guarding some 1s and 0s, digital information proving that it at least “stores” your money in its database? Nope again! What it means is there is a financial institution of uncertain integrity… with a complex electronic balance sheet of uncertain accuracy… listing alleged financial claims and contracts of uncertain quality…

…and that you are one of the many thousands of entries on the debit side… with a claim to a certain number of dollars… which the institution may or may not have, each of uncertain value.

 

willie-sutton-2

When prolific American bank robber Willie Sutton was asked why he robbed banks, he reportedly said “Because that’s where the money is”. Not anymore, not really.

 

Today, banks – and this could be said of the entire financial system – no longer have “money.” They have credits and debits. Your deposit is your bank’s liability and your asset.

But look at the balance sheet. You don’t know how many of the claims shown on the left are right… or whether, when the other creditors get finished with it, any of the assets shown on the right are left. All you know is that the system works. Until it doesn’t.

 

System Seizure

For many months, we have urged readers to prepare themselves for problems. One day, the accumulation of contradictions, misinformation, and plain old “trash” in the system will cause a seizure. You will go to the ATM, and it won’t work.

That day, your life could take a big turn to the downside… depending on how widespread the problem is… the cause of it… and how you prepared for it. Of course, we don’t know for sure that that day will ever come. We are always in doubt, especially about our own forecasts.

 

temporarily-out-of-order-533x400

And then, one morning…

 

Still, the potential problem seems likely enough… and grave enough… to justify some minimal precautions. You might cross the street blindfolded without getting run down, but it is still a good idea to look both ways. Usually, we look to the right… where we see the problems inherent in a credit-based money system.

The feds can create all the credit they want. But real people can’t pay an infinite amount of debt service. Like a junkyard dog reaching the limit of his chain, the credit cycle has a way of jerking people back to reality.

 

Real Money

But there are other potential problems coming from the left. An electronic, credit-based money system is fragile. It can be hacked by thieves. It can be attacked by terrorists. It can be shut down by accident. Even a “bug” could bring it to its knees.

And then what? How will you get money? How will you spend it? How will you buy gasoline or food? Our advice: Keep some cash on hand. Make sure you own some gold, too – real gold, coins that you can hold in your hand and you can flip to your grandchildren.

“Hey kid,” you say with a knowing and superior air, “take a look at this. This is real money. You don’t have to plug it in.” By the way… Gold just had its best quarter in 30 years. Do buyers know something? Maybe.

 

Spot Gold

Do the buyers know something? Maybe they do… – click to enlarge.


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“This Is Devastating News For Republicans”: Poll Finds Denying Trump Nomination Would Crush GOP

In the latest shock for the GOP, which in recent weeks some have speculated is willing to scuttle the entire republican presidential campaign if it means not having Trump as the candidate, according to a just released Reuters poll, one  third of Republican voters who support Donald Trump could turn their backs on their party in November’s presidential election if he is denied the nomination in a contested convention.

Or, as The Hill puts it, “blocking Donald Trump from the Republican presidential nomination with a contested convention would spell disaster for the GOP” because instead Trump supporters would vote Democrat, vote third-party or sit out the election.

Just 66% of Trump supporters, which as of this moment are the most numerous of any presidential candidate, said they would support the GOP’s nominee anyway. 

Should it get to a contested convention, the GOP could be hurt even more in November because 58% of Trump supporters said they would stay with the party, while 16% would leave and 26% responded they didn’t know, yet.

The results are bad news for Trump’s rivals as well as party elites opposed to the real estate billionaire, suggesting that an alternative Republican nominee for the Nov. 8 presidential race would have a tougher road against the Democrats.

“If it’s a close election, this is devastating news” for the Republicans, said Donald Green, an expert on election turnout at Columbia University.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted March 30 to April 8 asked Trump’s Republican supporters two questions: if Trump wins the most delegates in the primaries but loses the nomination, what would they do on Election Day, and how would it impact their relationship with the Republican Party?

This is what the respondents said:

 

Meanwhile, 58 percent said they would remain with the Republican Party. Another 16 percent said they would leave it, and 26 percent said they did not know what they would do with their registration. The online poll of 468 Republican Trump supporters has a credibility interval of 5.3 percentage points.

Trump, whose supporters have remained loyal even as he rankled women, Hispanics, Muslims, veterans and others with his fiery rhetoric on the campaign trail, predicted last month there would be riots outside the convention if he was blocked.

“If they broker him out, I’ll be fed up with the Republicans,” said Chuck Thompson, 66, a Trump supporter from Concord, North Carolina, who took the poll .

Cited by Reuters, Thompson, a lifelong Republican, said he admires Trump’s independence from big campaign donors and takes that as a sign that the front-runner will be able to think for himself if he were to become president.

If Trump loses the nomination, Thompson said he would quit the party. “The people want Donald Trump. If they (Republicans) can’t deal with that, I don’t need them,” he said.

Green said the departure of even a small number of Republicans would make it tough for the party to prevent the Democrats from winning the White House, especially if the election is again decided by razor-thin margins in a handful of battleground states.

What is paradoxical, is that Trump and Cruz both trail Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton among likely general election voters in a hypothetical general election matchup, but not by much, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos polls. The only Republican candidate who, again according to polls, can best Hillary Clinton is Kasich, the one candidate who has virtually no shot of becoming the candidate.

In other words, the GOP is likely damned if it goes to convention, and damned if it doesn’t.

Then again, the death of the GOP would not have to wait until November: if and when it does get to the contested convention one can call the time of death.

Generally, a convention battle is a bad sign for the health of a political party, said Elaine Kamarck, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. “When a party gets to a point when it has a contested convention, it almost always hurts them,” Kamarck said. “It’s a confirmation of some really deep fissures within the party that were unable to be dealt with during the primary season.”

And then there are hard core Trump supporters such as Elizabeth Oerther, 40, of Louisville, Kentucky, who would go all the way, saying she would switch parties and vote for the Democratic nominee if the Republicans denied Trump the nomination.

If you don’t give it to him, I’m going to vote against them,” said Oerther, who took the poll. “They want to take away the choice of the people. That’s wrong.”


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Caught On Tape: Cameraman Attacked At Greek Neo-Nazi Party “Anti-Islamization” Protests

Despite proclamations from Europe's leaders that Greece was is fixed thanks to its latest round of bailouts and austerity, leaving aside The IMF's hatchet job, and growth is set to return any quarter now; unemployment remains mid-20%, capital controls continue to be in place (ATM caps), and the growing refugee 'problem' leaves social unrest rearing its ugly head once again.

As KeepTalkingGreece reports, the following shocking video footage captures the moment when a member of the right-extremists of Golden Dawn runs and raise an iron stick against the cameraman of a private television channel covering a GD meeting in the streets of Piraeus. The attacker is wearing a helmet.

“At the very last moment, the cameraman managed to escape the attack,” the Live News presenter explains in the video adding “it was a miracle that the cameraman went unharmed”.

According to Live News presenter’s website NewsIt.gr, “present at the incident were also two MPs from Golden Dawn, I. Kasidiaris and Y. Lagos.”

GD piraeus

Live News and NewsIt speak of “murder attempt” against the cameraman and wonders why the police did not detain the ‘bully’.

The incident occurred on Friday afternoon, during a Golden Dawn meeting in Piraeus “against the country’s Islamization” as the racist party said in a poster. An anti-Fascist protest was organized at the same time.

Minor incidents occurred between the two groups,  riot police intervened with sound flares, one anti-fa protester has been slightly injured.

There have been apparently two detentions but it is not known who has been detained and why.


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The End Is Near For Brazil’s Ultra-Corrupt Government

Submitted by George Greenwood via The Foundation For Economic Education,

Brazil has faced a sharp change in its economic fortunes. Graft, mismanagement of growth dividends and protectionism has put dreams of a seat at the top table on hold.

At the heart of this regression has been the beleaguered president Dilma Rousseff.

Last Wednesday, her main coalition partner, the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party, left government. Its ministers resigned their posts and party members left over 600 positions in government.

An official in the Brazilian government explained the significance of the move.

“It’s going to be a big blow. The last blow that brings down the government or the last straw before the impeachment process begins.”

The current constitutional crisis has been the product of a number of interlocking problems besetting the Brazilian government.

The Brazilian economy shrank four percent this year, and looks set to lose another four percent in the next.

Rousseff reneged on commitments to liberalisation, and instead tried to protect the industries that her core electoral support occupied. But this has spectacularly backfired, with government money wasted on subsidies, trade hit by tariffs and growth sharply slowing.

“We could lose a decade of economic growth in three or four years,” the official explained.

 

“In other words, a decade of growth would be lost during Dilma’s mandate if she continues on as president.”

This recession, and concurrent high inflation, has been magnified by the biggest scandal in political memory.

Petrobras, Brazil’s oil giant and the largest company in Latin America, was found to have been engaged in corruption, including illegal political campaign funding, to the tune of 30 to 40 billion dollars.

While the scandal has embroiled all political parties, it has hit those in power the hardest.

Lula de Silva, the wildly popular former president considered Brazil’s most important political figure, has been being found to be at the heart of it.

“Companies that worked for Petrobras were cross financing Lula, buying apartments for him, a ranch for him. They paid him 200,000 dollars a lecture. He earned 40 to 50 million dollars in just 2 or 3 years,” the official explained.

Beyond personal buy offs Petrobras construction subsidiaries had deals to complete construction projects at inflated prices. The illegal proceeds of these deals were used to finance the People’s Party and its leaders among other parties.

While blackening the names of many, the investigation has also made some unlikely public champions.

“Judge Sergio Moro has been conducting the whole investigation. Many consider him a hero for breaking down this corruption,” the official said.

Among the Brazilian political elite, the scandal has been compared to Italy’s “Mani Pulite” programme, a huge judicial investigation that swept a generation of corrupt politicians out of office for their illegal dealings in the 1990’s.

For Dilma Rousseff, the allegations are not direct. There is no “money in her pocket”.

But, the public is keenly aware that she benefited from these networks of corruption. They provided the funds to elect her and her party. Her net negatives in opinion polling are approaching the 90 per cent mark. Her attempts to protect Lula from prosecution with a ministerial position have only worsened this opposition, before they were struck down by the courts.

“It is considered common sense now that she will be impeached. Only a miracle can save her. All the factors are pushing that way,” the official explained.

Vice President Michel Temer has certainly not missed this fact. Having ordered his PMDP party to leave government, he is now working hard to impeach her, and to assume the presidency himself. However, even the blatant way in which he has acted has not put the Brazilian public off a change of face.

“I think people want to see Rousseff impeached.

 

“I think we should really have a new general election. It wouldn’t be ideal to have a new vice president entering office though the impeachment process.

 

People don’t think the vice president is honest person, not at all. He’s seen as a savvy political operator, but people just don’t want Dilma anymore. They just want her to leave, to have a fresh start. No matter with whom. People want a symbol, they might want something more,” the official concluded.

While Temer’s assumption of the presidency would be constitutional, its legitimacy would be on more rocky ground because of his own party’s role in the scandal.

Practically, however, impeachment seems just over the horizon. Rousseff has barely enough leverage to limp on in office, and this is draining by the hour.

A Brazilian president needs only a third of votes in either house of congress to block an impeachment. They could block an impeachment’s admission in the lower house, or by winning the “trial” in the upper house, with this level of support.

As such, the public is just not buying the complaints from her supporters of foul play.

“If a serving president cannot find the support of a third of these two bodies, it is quite reasonable to say she does not have any support,” the official said.

That said impeachment is unlikely to be a long term solution.

“I don’t think it will bring political stability to Brazil. The opposition is going to make it hard for the Vice President even if he does take over.”

However the official did not think that Brazil risked a radical lurch in response to public outcry over the scandal.

“I doubt it.  Brazil, is pretty centrist. We do have some right wing parties in pushing for impeachment as well. Jair Bolsonaro for example, is a very radical guy, who has advocated military take overs, is against abortion and is very homophobic. While he hasn’t been touched by the political scandal, I don’t think he’d have a chance in an election. He’s no Brazilian Trump.

Brazil clearly wants new blood in government, and the writing appears to be on the wall for Dilma Rousseff and the People’s Party.

Whether she makes it a swift clean end to allow a fresh start is another matter.


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“It Been Horrendous” – Investor Tries To Pull Cash From Valeant-Heavy Fund, Gets Shares Instead

When people talk about the historic collapse of Valeant’s stock price (down 65% this year), the first name that usually comes to mind is that of Bill Ackman whose Pershing Square has been one of the biggest investors in VRX stock and also one of the biggest losers, wiping out billions in assets under management as a result of Valeant’s unprecedented unwind late last summer.

But while the flamboyant Ackman, who enjoys basking the spotlight when his 100+ page slideshows lead to en immediate eruption (or collapse) in a given company’s stock price but certainly not when the winds blow against him, is the most popular holder of Valeant stock, another name, with over 35 million shares, is a far greater bagholder.

We are of course talking about the highly concentrated and far lower profile, Sequoia Fund, which at one point last year had more than 30% of its portfolio invested in Valeant, and whose most recent publicly disclosed AUM was roughly $5.5 billion. That, to be sure is not the latest assets under management because as Morningstar has hinted in the past few weeks there has been a run on the suddenly disappointing fund, which according to the WSJ has seen more than $500 million in redemption requests.

Indeed, while Ackman has allegedly so far avoided an influx of withdrawals from Pershing Square despite being down over 20% in 2016 following a comparable return in 2015, Sequoia’s LPs have been far less merciful and have been scrambling to get their cash out. The problem is that, as the curious case of Tom Bentley shows, Sequoia has been unable to satisfy their cash out demands, and instead has been meeting redemption demands “in kind” by shooting over stock equivalents.

As the WSJ reports, when Tom Bentley tried to pull his money from a mutual fund troubled by its large stake in Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc., he instead received shares in a Springfield, Mo. auto-parts retailer.

 Sequoia Fund Inc. sent the retired computer hardware engineer about 5% of his money in cash and the rest was stock in one company–O’Reilly Automotive Inc. Mr. Bentley said he sold the shares as soon as they appeared in his account on April 7, but they had already dropped in value

Typically, mutual fund investors expect cash instead of stock when they ask for their money back. But investors seeking to pull large sums from Sequoia are getting a combination, according to people familiar with the matter.

“It has been pretty horrendous,” Mr. Bentley said.

It is also a surprising approach to make, yet one which Sequoia is entirely in its right.

As the WSJ notes, Sequoia’s repayment approach, called a “redemption in kind,” is part of a longstanding fund policy that allows it to give shareholders mostly stock if they are pulling out $250,000 or more. A person close to the firm said it has done thousands of in-kind transactions over many years and that the majority are done for redemptions in excess of $1 million.

“It’s a perfectly legitimate strategy,” said Jeffrey Sion, a partner at Dechert LLP, who specializes in investment funds and tax.

But the move has come as a surprise to some investors and their advisers. While it is common for mutual funds to reserve the right to hand out a basket of securities to large, sophisticated institutional investors, it is rare for managers to use them to redeem individual investors, lawyers and analysts say.

The move is even more surprising because unlike illiquid junk bonds or bank loans (or increasingly investment grade corporate bonds), stocks remain quite liquid (mostly when one is selling in a rising market). As such for Seuqoia it is merely a matter of taking a few minutes to cash out existing holdings as a courtesy to its investors, not a case of prudently respecting your fiduciary duty.

Indeed, as the WSJ adds, “it is less common for managers of stock funds to redeem in-kind because equities, which trade on exchanges, are more easily bought and sold than less liquid fixed-income assets.”

So why do it? “In-kind” redemptions have benefits for funds such as Sequoia that are experiencing redemptions. Unlike with sales for cash, the fund doesn’t have to recognize a capital gain on such transactions. As a result, remaining investors don’t bear the tax implications of sales associated with exiting shareholders, according to fund and tax lawyers.

For investors who expect an in cash liquidation, it can be not only a surprise but also a hassle: “If you’re a retail investor, who wants to get stocks? If you’re getting out of fund, presumably you’re selling because you want cash,” said Michael Rosella, a partner at Paul Hastings LLP, who specializes in investment management. “Most funds have the right to do it, but you’re not going to do it if you don’t have to,” he said.

 

Meeting redemptions with shares also keeps managers from having to sell stock to raise cash, which fund analysts say can weigh on performance.

More importantly, in an illiquid market in which traders become aware of the need to liquidate profitable positions, they can frontrun the selling of such positions as happened with Bill Ackman when all of his other holdings were slammed once fears swirled he would need to short up capital several weeks ago.  In some extreme cases, one may be completely unable to liquidate as bid/ask spreads swell and selling even profitable positions results in a loss.

To be sure, one can’t blame Sequoia: it has been vocal about warning shareholders that it is “highly likely” that they will receive all or part of their withdrawal in securities if they are pulling more than $250,000 from the fund, regardless of whether they have a bank or brokerage account to which stocks can be delivered. For many, ending up with stock that can not be sold is a very unpleasant option, especially if seeking prompt liquidity.

According to the WSJ, the fund has seven days to meet redemption requests and determines which stocks investors will receive. The firm typically pays out in stocks with high unrealized capital gains that trade often, and it advises redeeming shareholders to sell the securities they receive at market close on the day they exit the fund, said a person close to the firm.

It gets worse for the investors: such redemptions often shift risk and burdens from the fund to its selling investors, especially if they hold the fund in a taxable account. Those who receive all or most of their assets in stock may not have enough cash to pay taxes due on the redemption without selling the stock.

In addition, funds don’t necessarily give investors a pro-rata basket of stocks, which can expose the newly given holding to market risk from lack of diversification. The stock shares also may rise or fall in value after the investor receives them, producing capital gains and losses. In this case, the taxable gain or loss is measured from the value of the stock on the day of the redemption, according to Robert Willens, an independent tax expert based in New York.

Finally, selling those shares will also incur transaction costs that can be steeper for individual investors than large investors that benefit from longstanding relationships with banks and brokers and economies of scale.

The bottom line is that gimmicks such as the one attempts by Sequoia as it scrambles to meet its redemption obligations, will only make the bloodletting worse, and not only because the fund is down 11% year to date through Thursday. Having tipped its hands that when push comes to shove, Sequoia’s troubled principals will trample their investors, will hardly inspire confidence in those other shareholders who have not yet submitted redemption requests.

In short, we expect many more stories of unhappy investors ending up with unsolicited stock instead of cash in the accounts, even as Sequoia’s AUM dwindles and ultimately hits a low enough level where it has no choice but to get its remaining investors.

* * *

But the worst news for Sequoia in the near future may have nothing to do with a surge in redemption requests, but the future value of its core investment, which may be even further impaired in the coming weeks following news out of Bloomberg that a Senate committee may start contempt proceedings against Valeant’s soon to be former CEO, Michael Pearson, for failing to appear to give testimony related to an investigation on drug pricing.

“Michael Pearson was under subpoena to appear for a deposition today related to the Senate Special Committee on Aging’s drug pricing investigation, and he did not comply with that subpoena,” Senators Susan Collins and Claire McCaskill said in a statement late Friday. “It is our intent to initiate contempt proceedings against Mr. Pearson.” Collins, a Republican, is the chairwoman of the panel and McCaskill is the ranking Democrat.

Pearson was subpoenaed to testify at an April 27 hearing, the latest in a series of congressional probes into how drugmakers price medications. And while a Pearson lawyer said the executive will appear at the hearing in three weeks, the deposition subpoena was unfair in both timing and scope. The “committee hasn’t been clear about what topics and documents he’ll be questioned about,” attorney Bruce E. Yannett of Debevoise & Plimpton LLP said. Without that, “the committee’s demand would expose him to an inherently unfair process for which we cannot adequately prepare him under the circumstances,” according to the letter.

As a result, Pearson decided he would rather risk contempt than saying something which may be used against him soon in what is almost certain to be an avalanche of both civil and criminal cases in the coming months. 

It is almost as if he suddenly has something to hide. Or maybe he had something to hide for a while. Recall that at the February hearing before the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, it was Valeant’s former CFO, ex-Goldmanite Howard Schiller, who was then interim CEO while Pearson was on medical leave, testified for the company.

Since then Valeant has had a dramatic falling out with Schiller, whom it implicitly accused of cooking the books and asking to resign from the Board which he refuses to comply with.

Perhaps he should testify again, now, some two months later. Considering the dramatic change in his relationship with his former employer, we have a feeling this new testimony would be far more interesting and exciting…


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Hillary Reeling As Sanders Makes It Seven In A Row – Wins Wyoming Caucus

Bernie Sanders wins Wyoming Democratic caucus, defeating Hillary Clinton, according to AP, extending his win-streak to seven states in a row. This brings the delegate count to Hillary 1292 vs Bernie's 1044 excluding super-delegates, which as we noted here, are far from a "lock" for Clinton if the Bernie Bus continues to show this kind of momentum.

Seven In A Row for Bernie – Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wisconsin, and now Wyoming.

 

While Wyoming won’t significantly change delegate math for either campaign, as it is one of smallest contests and awards 14 pledged delegates and 4 superdelegates, the trend is very much Bernie's friend right now.

And, as we concluded previously, if Sanders continues to win primaries, rack up delegates, raise tens of millions of dollars a month in campaign contributions, draw massive crowds to his rallies, and score double-digit leads against Clinton in demographics the party needs to win the general election – they will have to ask themselves some hard questions if the final count is close.

Who will lead the Democratic Party in the general election is a political question, not a mathematical one. If Sanders’s momentum continues to grow, the superdelegates would ignore that fact at their peril.


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First Denmark, Now Belgium Is Paying People To Take Out A Mortgage

In late January, we asked "who will offer the first negative rate mortgage?"

We didn't have to wait long before Denmark's Nordea Credit unleashed this idiocy. And now two banks in Belgium have followed suit, paying instead of charging interest on mortgages to a handful of customers.

Thanks to Mario Draghi's generosity with "other generations' slavery", the negative rate mortgage is now a reality. As Het Nieuwsblad reports (via Google Translate),

Getting paid to borrow money for your house. It seems too good to be true, but for some clients of BNP Paribas and ING is not a dream but reality. The interest rate on their home loan is dropped below zero and so they get money from the bank.

 

Who in 2012 concluded a mortgage loan variable rate at BNP Paribas Fortis or ING has very lucky. Due to a decline in interest rates, the interest rate on their home loan has also fallen below zero. In other words, the banks pay their customers rather than collect interest. This writes the newspaper De Tijd.

 

When a loan with fixed interest rate you pay a fixed rate for the duration of your loan. But at a variable interest rate, the interest rate can change at any time, depending on the conditions on capital markets. The rate is now so low that is below the zero interest rates for some customers.

 

The European Central Bank (ECB) lowered its deposit rate below zero, after all, and also buys bonds en masse to push market interest rates down.

Careful not cause a stampede of desperate "Belgian Dream" homebuyers (we hear apartments are cheap in Molenbeek), the banks note that it's 'limited' to some clients…

It's okay but for a limited number of customers. BNP Paribas Fortis is about "a few dozen customers" and ING also speaks of a "very limited number of contracts." Other banks do not have a customer with a negative interest rate.

And just like that, as we warned in January, what started in Denmark has spread to Belgium, and soon everywhere else in Europe, a situation has now emerged where savers who pay the bank to hold their cash courtesy of negative deposit rates, are directly funding the negative interest rate paid to those who wish to take out debt. In fact, the more debt the greater the saver-subsidized windfall.

That all this will end in blood and a lot of tears is clear to anyone but the most tenured economists, however in the meantime, we can't wait to take advantage of the humorous opportunities that Europe (and soon Japan and the US) will provide in the coming months, as spending profligacy will be directly subsidized and funded by the insolvent monetary system, while responsible behavior and well-paid labor will be punished, first with negative rates and soon thereafter: with threats, both theoretical and practical, of bodily harm.


via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1qf8QuQ Tyler Durden

“It’s Just An Illusion” Santelli & Schiff Slam Fed-Watchers’ “Blind-Eye” To Yellen’s “Phony Recovery”

"This economy would have to improve dramatically to get to mediocre," warns Schiff, otherwise, as Santelli rages they would be hiking rates and talking confidently, adding that either Fed-watchers are "going along with it to earn a paycheck"  – just as they did in 2008 – or "they are ignorant."

"The Fed can't raise rates because they don't want to poke too many holes in this bubble. This recovery was never real, it's phony, it's just another Federal Reserve bubble just like the one that popped in 2008, only this one is even bigger.

 

What we really should be talking about is not when The Fed will hike rates, but when they wll admit the economy is a lot weaker than they expected and when the next rate cut and when they will launch QE4?"

After just over 3 minutes of painful reality checks, Schiff sums up it all up perfectly, reflecting on the Sanders-Trump phenomena, "behind all those phony jobs numbers are a lot of angry Americans as everyone pretends this is a legitimate recovery."

"Why are so many Americans so upset if the 5% unemployment rate is correct? It's not!!"

 

And opining on the collapse of practically every other data point aside from "jobs", Santelli sarcastically screams "yeah but they are all out of the norms and should be ignored…" adding that it's "shoot the messenger" on any data item or story that does not fit The Fed's narrative

Enjoy the following 200 seconds of truth – they don't come around too often nowadays…


via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1UQT5HB Tyler Durden