“Gold Could Go To Infinity” – Ron Paul

“I Still Believe In Gold” – Ron Paul

Dr Ron Paul, the popular Presidential candidate and America and the world’s most popular libertarian voice, told CNBC yesterday that he “still believes in gold” and that “gold could go to infinity.”

Former U.S. Representative Dr Ron Paul told CNBC’s Jackie DeAngelis and the Futures Now Traders that the long-term case for gold remains firmly intact.

Dr Ron Paul:

“Timing is the only thing. I remember watching gold when it was 35 dollars an ounce and we thought if it ever hit a hundred dollars, the world would come to an end. And then a thousand dollars, so; no, it’s good as long as we continues to do this <print money> , you know, it could go to infinity because when people just leave the dollar, who knows what …”

“But that won’t happen if we finally wake up and do something.  But if we can keep this together, if the money managers can keep it together and it doesn’t collapse, yes, gold is gonna keep creeping up, but, you know, as weak as gold looks right now, it’s up a hundred dollars for this year so…”


Jackie DeAngelis:


“It’s roughly I think up 8% year-to-date. It’s not a horrible move for gold but I think a lot of people were expecting to see a little bit more, especially with the instability that we’re seeing in terms of the geopolitical situation. A lot of conflict around the world — you’d expect gold to be higher right now.”


Ron Paul:

“Yeah, but if you understand the subjective theory of value, you don’t get too concerned about that because, yes, increasing the money supply weakens the dollar and a weaker dollar raises the price of gold and it’s a long term measurement. But you can’t measure, you can’t say that the money supply went up a certain amount, and gold is going to go up, so there’s a subjective element in that.”

“But long term…and economic law says, if you keep printing a lot of paper money, the value of that dollar and currency will go down, and things and most prices will go up and indeed gold always goes up against that currency.”

But you don’t, I don’t get in the business of saying in a year or two or three it’s going to be two or three or four thousand dollars because it really challenges the basic fundamental beliefs of the Austrian school, to make these kinds of predictions.”


The interview about gold can be watched here




In another interview with CNBC, Dr Paul reaffirmed his view that the nation’s monetary and fiscal policies would result in massive inflation. He warned of a stock market crash and of the risk that currency debasement will lead to the continuing devaluation of the dollar.

Ron Paul has long said America should “end the Fed,” and he made that case once again on Tuesday.
 

** Record Low Gold Bar (1 oz) Premiums **

“One thing you have to do is get rid of the Fed, because of the Fed “spin” that leads to volatility in markets. Referring to the statements and spin by Federal Reserve governors, now Janet Yellen, he said that in fact  it is a “very inefficient way to operate a market, to have one individual make one statement, and put so much weight on it.”

“In short term, it’s very, very real, because people are going to make it or break it, you know, on this interpretation. But that has nothing to do with the free market, nothing to do with building capitalism, and savings, and the things necessary to have a growing economy.”




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Obama Sued: House Authorizes Lawsuit Against President With 225-201 Vote

Argentina defaults; Russia, Ukraine, Libya, Israel, Gaza, Iraq all in a state of (hot or otherwise) war, and now Obama is getting sued.

And from Reuters:

The Republican-led U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday cleared the way for the launch of a lawsuit accusing President Barack Obama of overstepping his authority in carrying out his landmark healthcare reform law.

 

The 225-201 vote, along party lines, to authorize the suit will allow House lawyers to draft legal documents over a five-week summer recess starting on Friday.

 

It cements the action as a lightning rod for months of bitter campaign rhetoric from both Republicans and Democrats ahead of November elections that will determine the political control of Congress next year.

 

The suit is expected to claim that Obama exceeded his executive authority in making unilateral changes to the Affordable Care Act, known as Obamacare.

If this doesn’t send the S&P to new record highs tomorrow, the Fed better find another market to rig.

Incidentally, for those confused, this is nothing but more theater. If the GOP, i.e. the orange folding-chair, really wanted to go after Obama, they would have impeached.

Meanwhile, somewhere in the bowels of the Kremlin, Putin is cackling like a madman.




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Foreign Secretary Warns Russian Sanctions "Will Hit UK Economy"

More blowback… UK Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond suggests imposing sanctions on Russia are a shared sacrifice that European nations must make. While the sanctions were “designed to maximize the impact on Russia and minimize the impact on EU economies,” he warns his fellow Britons that, “It will affect our economy…” As RT notes, London will likely be hit hardest among the EU powers because of its intimate financial relationship with Moscow and we are already seeing UK home prices fall as oligarch flows slow.

As RT reports,

Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond said the measures had been “designed to maximize the impact on Russia and minimize the impact on EU economies.”

 

“It will affect our economy… but you can’t make an omelet without breaking eggs, and if we want to impose economic pain on Russia in order to try to encourage it to behave properly in eastern Ukraine and to give access to the crash site, then we have to be prepared to take these measures,” he told Sky.

 

“We have spent a lot of time making sure the package is balanced so the pain is fairly shared across the big EU economies, but we can’t expect to be able to do this without any impact at all on our own economies.”

*  *  *

One wonders just how UK will cope when Putin really gets going…




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Foreign Secretary Warns Russian Sanctions “Will Hit UK Economy”

More blowback… UK Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond suggests imposing sanctions on Russia are a shared sacrifice that European nations must make. While the sanctions were “designed to maximize the impact on Russia and minimize the impact on EU economies,” he warns his fellow Britons that, “It will affect our economy…” As RT notes, London will likely be hit hardest among the EU powers because of its intimate financial relationship with Moscow and we are already seeing UK home prices fall as oligarch flows slow.

As RT reports,

Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond said the measures had been “designed to maximize the impact on Russia and minimize the impact on EU economies.”

 

“It will affect our economy… but you can’t make an omelet without breaking eggs, and if we want to impose economic pain on Russia in order to try to encourage it to behave properly in eastern Ukraine and to give access to the crash site, then we have to be prepared to take these measures,” he told Sky.

 

“We have spent a lot of time making sure the package is balanced so the pain is fairly shared across the big EU economies, but we can’t expect to be able to do this without any impact at all on our own economies.”

*  *  *

One wonders just how UK will cope when Putin really gets going…




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Argentina Defaults

It’s all over but the crying: having explained Argentina’s position (i.e. not giving to so-called vulture funds), Economy Minister Kicilloff explains:

  • *KICILLOF SAYS HEDGE FUNDS NOT WILLING TO GIVE DELAY ON RULING
  • *KICILLOF SAYS HARD TO BELIEVE ARGENTINA IN DEFAULT IF HAS FUNDS
  • *KICILLOF SAYS ARGENTINA CAN’T COMPLY WITH COURT RULING
  • *HOLDOUTS DIDN’T ACCEPT ARGENTINE OFFER: KICILLOF

As Bloomberg notes, by defaulting today, Argentina may trigger bondholder claims of as much as $29 billion — equal to all its foreign-currency reserves. Just remember that the last 2 days have seen ‘smart money’ buy Argentine bonds and stocks to all-time record highs.

 

Some color on what next (via Bloomberg):

If the overdue interest on Argentina’s dollar-denominated securities due 2033 isn’t paid by July 30, provisions in bond indentures known as cross-default clauses would allow the nation’s other debt holders to also demand their money back immediately. The amount corresponds to Argentina’s debt issued in foreign currencies and governed by international laws.

 

In a default, even a temporary one, Argentina’s economy will contract and the odds of a crisis are high, according to Marcos Buscaglia, an economist at Bank of America Corp. Money demand will become unstable as Argentines scramble for dollars, causing the peso to slump, he wrote in a report today.

“Argentina’s current weak fiscal, monetary and external conditions make the probability of the situation spinning out of control quite high,” he wrote. “Argentina’s payment capacity should not be taken for granted if it defaults.”

  • *ARGENTINA’S RUFO CLAUSE PROHIBITS MAKING BETTER OFFER: KICILLOF
  • NEW YORK-ARGENTINA’S ECONOMY MINISTER KICILLOF REPEATEDLY CALLS HOLDOUT INVESTORS “VULTURE FUNDS
  • KICILLOF SAYS HOLDOUTS WOULD REAP 300% PROFIT IN DEBT SWAP
  • KICILLOF SAYS HEDGE FUNDS WANT MORE AND WANT IT NOW

*  *  *

All those equity and bond gains – which hit an all time high – today, gone.

Oops:




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Is Amazon Evil Because It Wants to Charge You *Less* for E-Books?

Folks
interested in the publishing industry know that Amazon, the world’s
largest online bookstore, has been in a pissing contest with
Hachette, one of the planet’s largest publishing houses, over
e-book sales. The details have long been murky but all of the
reporting suggested that Amazon wanted e-book prices to be lower
than Hachette and other major publishers did. In fact, Hachette and
four other major publishers recently settled a case in which they
colluded with Apple to hike the price of e-books. (Disclosure: the
founder of Amazon, Jeff Bezos, has been a supporter of Reason Foundation, the nonprofit that
publishes Reason.com)

While negotiating new rates, Amazon slowed down its fulfillment
of new Hachette titles (the house’s labels include Grand Central,
Little Brown, and Hyperion) and stopped discounting them too. That
tactic earned Amazon the scorn of the literati, which likened the
site to Russian autocrat Vladimir Putin and worse. Best-selling
authors such as Malcolm Gladwell and James Patterson were livid at
Amazon and their concerns were widely voiced by members of the
elite media at places such as The New York Times.
I wrote a few months ago
that I thought it was really weird to
see people go off on a business that was trying to keep prices low
for customers. To my mind, Amazon wasn’t the “bully.” The big
publishers and their authors were.

Now Amazon has
issued a statement
about the matter that lays out some numbers.
It’s pretty interesting reading and clarifying, too:

…e-books are highly price-elastic. This means that when the
price goes up, customers buy much less. We’ve quantified the price
elasticity of e-books from repeated measurements across many
titles. For every copy an e-book would sell at $14.99, it would
sell 1.74 copies if priced at $9.99. So, for example, if customers
would buy 100,000 copies of a particular e-book at $14.99, then
customers would buy 174,000 copies of that same e-book at $9.99.
Total revenue at $14.99 would be $1,499,000. Total revenue at $9.99
is $1,738,000.

The important thing to note here is that at the lower price,
total revenue increases 16%. This is good for all the parties
involved:

* The customer is paying 33% less.

* The author is getting a royalty check 16% larger and being
read by an audience that’s 74% larger. And that 74% increase in
copies sold makes it much more likely that the title will make it
onto the national bestseller lists. (Any author who’s trying to get
on one of the national bestseller lists should insist to their
publisher that their e-book be priced at $9.99 or lower.)

* Likewise, the higher total revenue generated at $9.99 is also
good for the publisher and the retailer. At $9.99, even though the
customer is paying less, the total pie is bigger and there is more
to share amongst the parties….

That’s a pretty interesting position, I think. And there’s
this: 

How does Amazon propose to share that revenue pie? We believe
35% should go to the author, 35% to the publisher and 30% to
Amazon. Is 30% reasonable? Yes. In fact, the 30% share of total
revenue is what Hachette forced us to take in 2010 when they
illegally colluded with their competitors to raise e-book prices.
We had no problem with the 30% — we did have a big problem with
the price increases.

Is it Amazon’s position that all e-books should be $9.99 or
less? No, we accept that there will be legitimate reasons for a
small number of specialized titles to be above $9.99.

One more note on our proposal for how the total revenue should
be shared. While we believe 35% should go to the author and 35% to
Hachette, the way this would actually work is that we would send
70% of the total revenue to Hachette, and they would decide how
much to share with the author. We believe Hachette is sharing too
small a portion with the author today, but ultimately that is not
our call.


Read the whole thing.

Hat Tip: Twitter feed of Tom
Standage
, who writes
“Amazon spills the beans on the Hachette dispute. It wants low
prices for readers, more money for authors. Who loses?”

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San Diego Comic-Con: It's Grown, It's Changed, It's Sold Out, It's Gone Hollywood, It's Still Great

That the San Diego Comic-Con (SDCC), which happened last
weekened, has jumped the shark, gotten too big, sold out, lost its
soul, has been bemoaned
for many years now
.

The reasoning is very similar to complaints that surround
another West Coast festival that I started going to the same year I
started going to SDCC, 1995: Burning Man. See
me blogging yesterday
on the latest explosion of “people who
shouldn’t be going to my little party are going to it, and I’m
annoyed” vis a vis Burning Man, regarding Americans for Tax Reform
leader Grover Norquist’s highly publicized decision to set his
tax-cutting feet on the sacred Black Rock Playa.

Since I started going, Burning Man’s population as increased by
12x; SDCC’s, by at least 4x. (I’ve been to every Burning Man since
1995, I’ve missed two or three SDCCs.) As the events have grown—and
especially as the types of people going have widened as
those numbers have grown—with both events many early adopters feel
alienated and annoyed. I personally know many, many people for whom
attendance at either might have felt near-mandatory in the 1990s
more or less swearing to never go again. And too many of them blame
this on the event’s changing—particularly on the events’ growth of
loss of focus.

But I’m here to tell you both events are as awesome as they ever
were, never mind the bigger numbers, increased expense, bigger
tsuiris in even getting tickets to two things whose glories have
led them to becoming sold-out shows. (You could buy walkup tickets
for both in those hoary old days when I started ruining it for
those who had been there before me.)

For sure, increased crowds, by definition, mean increased
crowds, and increased crowds can be annoying in and of themselves.
At Burning Man, you might be navigating larger crowds of bicyclists
as you try to walk, or larger crowds of pedestrians as you try to
bike. It might be harder to get front-row to a given art piece
burn. There might be less couch space at any given theme camp or
the Center Cafe.

At SDCC, the lines to get into anything related to TV or movies
or celebrities might now be too long to cope with. Getting a
pretzel and diet coke, similarly more difficult. More people might
be nudging you as you dig through half-off comics and trades.

But for those hearkening back to the supposedly glory days when
Comic-Con was about comics, and not a clusterfuck of a TV
and movie fantasy-geek-industry trade show, it is worth
contemplating that everything you ever supposedly liked
about it is still there, and even more of it.

The number of independent artists doing serious non-genre work
there is the same, or more. The cool indie publishers are still
there, with more great work than ever. At pretty much any given
moment, you could be inside a not-overly-crowded room listening to
panel discussions related to great comic book work and artists of
the past and present. It’s still an amazing comic book
convention–though admittedly one embedded in a larger cultural
context.

In my two days at Comic-Con this weekend, I was able to be in a
comfortable room and hear speak: Keno Don Rosa, Gilbert
Hernandez, Jim
Steranko, Paul
Levitz, Len Wein,
Elliot
Maggin, Scott Shaw!, Mark
Evanier, Walt
Simonson, Louise
Simonson, Steve
Leialoha, Mark
Evanier, Mimi Pond, Tom
Spurgeon, Gary Groth,
and that isn’t even all. In just two days.

And in between, visiting original art dealers and getting to
touch and ogle original art by Rube Goldberg, George McManus,
Berke Breathed, Garry Trudeau, George Herriman, Mike Sekowky, Ogden
Whitney, Paul Gulacy, Carmine Infantino, jack Kirby, Wally Wood,
Steve Ditko, Gil Kane,and literally dozens of other masters.

(In an interesting example of SDCC’s own organizers perhaps
overdoing it with the “we don’t even pull a comics crowd anymore”
thought, Berke Breathed’s panel was in a room that fit only around
200 people; the overflow line I saw trying to get in was
nearly four times that number. See, comic artists can be
superstars, too! Other comics related panels, with no more than 50
attendees, where in rooms that could have fit 500. It was
weird.)

If you are not yourself a comic book obsessive, every single one
of those names might mean nothing to you, despite the event’s
current huge media and Hollywood impact. And that’s exactly the
point.

For my own self, there’s a lot I miss about the old days at both
events as well. The easy serindipity of finding congenial pals and,
say, enjoying a meal seems to have been sacrificed to chaos and
business and just general busy-ness. (The days when a mere Friend
of Comics like me, not a certified industry pro, can find himself
casually at a simple and easy lunch with Peter Bagge, Dan Clowes,
Adrian Tomine, Terry Laban, Jaime Hernandez, Ariel Bourdeaux, and
Rick Altergott are probably over.) It can be just plain tiring
navigating thick crowds all day for days, yes.

But as it has grown, as the movie and TV folk have taken over,
the essence of what old comics fans loved about it are still there.
The event has certainly changed; yet I suspect for those who now
find it an unexciting grind or something they don’t even want to
think about anymore, it’s probably more the person who has changed,
not the event. Consider the difference between Christmas when you
were 7 and Christmas when you were 17. It may well be that for a
sensible adult, nearly 20 years of either event is just crazy. But
that doesn’t mean the event has degenerated and lost all its value.
SDCC, for whatever purpose you choose, is still pretty great.

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San Diego Comic-Con: It’s Grown, It’s Changed, It’s Sold Out, It’s Gone Hollywood, It’s Still Great

That the San Diego Comic-Con (SDCC), which happened last
weekened, has jumped the shark, gotten too big, sold out, lost its
soul, has been bemoaned
for many years now
.

The reasoning is very similar to complaints that surround
another West Coast festival that I started going to the same year I
started going to SDCC, 1995: Burning Man. See
me blogging yesterday
on the latest explosion of “people who
shouldn’t be going to my little party are going to it, and I’m
annoyed” vis a vis Burning Man, regarding Americans for Tax Reform
leader Grover Norquist’s highly publicized decision to set his
tax-cutting feet on the sacred Black Rock Playa.

Since I started going, Burning Man’s population as increased by
12x; SDCC’s, by at least 4x. (I’ve been to every Burning Man since
1995, I’ve missed two or three SDCCs.) As the events have grown—and
especially as the types of people going have widened as
those numbers have grown—with both events many early adopters feel
alienated and annoyed. I personally know many, many people for whom
attendance at either might have felt near-mandatory in the 1990s
more or less swearing to never go again. And too many of them blame
this on the event’s changing—particularly on the events’ growth of
loss of focus.

But I’m here to tell you both events are as awesome as they ever
were, never mind the bigger numbers, increased expense, bigger
tsuiris in even getting tickets to two things whose glories have
led them to becoming sold-out shows. (You could buy walkup tickets
for both in those hoary old days when I started ruining it for
those who had been there before me.)

For sure, increased crowds, by definition, mean increased
crowds, and increased crowds can be annoying in and of themselves.
At Burning Man, you might be navigating larger crowds of bicyclists
as you try to walk, or larger crowds of pedestrians as you try to
bike. It might be harder to get front-row to a given art piece
burn. There might be less couch space at any given theme camp or
the Center Cafe.

At SDCC, the lines to get into anything related to TV or movies
or celebrities might now be too long to cope with. Getting a
pretzel and diet coke, similarly more difficult. More people might
be nudging you as you dig through half-off comics and trades.

But for those hearkening back to the supposedly glory days when
Comic-Con was about comics, and not a clusterfuck of a TV
and movie fantasy-geek-industry trade show, it is worth
contemplating that everything you ever supposedly liked
about it is still there, and even more of it.

The number of independent artists doing serious non-genre work
there is the same, or more. The cool indie publishers are still
there, with more great work than ever. At pretty much any given
moment, you could be inside a not-overly-crowded room listening to
panel discussions related to great comic book work and artists of
the past and present. It’s still an amazing comic book
convention–though admittedly one embedded in a larger cultural
context.

In my two days at Comic-Con this weekend, I was able to be in a
comfortable room and hear speak: Keno Don Rosa, Gilbert
Hernandez, Jim
Steranko, Paul
Levitz, Len Wein,
Elliot
Maggin, Scott Shaw!, Mark
Evanier, Walt
Simonson, Louise
Simonson, Steve
Leialoha, Mark
Evanier, Mimi Pond, Tom
Spurgeon, Gary Groth,
and that isn’t even all. In just two days.

And in between, visiting original art dealers and getting to
touch and ogle original art by Rube Goldberg, George McManus,
Berke Breathed, Garry Trudeau, George Herriman, Mike Sekowky, Ogden
Whitney, Paul Gulacy, Carmine Infantino, jack Kirby, Wally Wood,
Steve Ditko, Gil Kane,and literally dozens of other masters.

(In an interesting example of SDCC’s own organizers perhaps
overdoing it with the “we don’t even pull a comics crowd anymore”
thought, Berke Breathed’s panel was in a room that fit only around
200 people; the overflow line I saw trying to get in was
nearly four times that number. See, comic artists can be
superstars, too! Other comics related panels, with no more than 50
attendees, where in rooms that could have fit 500. It was
weird.)

If you are not yourself a comic book obsessive, every single one
of those names might mean nothing to you, despite the event’s
current huge media and Hollywood impact. And that’s exactly the
point.

For my own self, there’s a lot I miss about the old days at both
events as well. The easy serindipity of finding congenial pals and,
say, enjoying a meal seems to have been sacrificed to chaos and
business and just general busy-ness. (The days when a mere Friend
of Comics like me, not a certified industry pro, can find himself
casually at a simple and easy lunch with Peter Bagge, Dan Clowes,
Adrian Tomine, Terry Laban, Jaime Hernandez, Ariel Bourdeaux, and
Rick Altergott are probably over.) It can be just plain tiring
navigating thick crowds all day for days, yes.

But as it has grown, as the movie and TV folk have taken over,
the essence of what old comics fans loved about it are still there.
The event has certainly changed; yet I suspect for those who now
find it an unexciting grind or something they don’t even want to
think about anymore, it’s probably more the person who has changed,
not the event. Consider the difference between Christmas when you
were 7 and Christmas when you were 17. It may well be that for a
sensible adult, nearly 20 years of either event is just crazy. But
that doesn’t mean the event has degenerated and lost all its value.
SDCC, for whatever purpose you choose, is still pretty great.

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Social Media Is Making People Dumber, Fears Elliott's Paul Singer

Excerpted from Elliott Management’s latest letter to investors,

PROGRESS?

Some technology represents unquestioned progress, despite causing real challenges to the employment prospects of citizens who are made redundant. For example, recent advances in science and medicine have merely scratched the surface in terms of enhancing our ability to find cures for diseases in an increasingly focused way at sharply diminished cost. Also, the technology of moving people and goods in vehicles and organizing their movement on roads contains tremendous opportunities for cost and energy efficiencies, as do the areas of resource extraction, the development of alternative energy and the efficiency of food production. These are just a few obvious and impactful areas in which technological progress has lots of headroom for human betterment.

On the other hand, some technological progress is not really progress at all. Innovations in the technology of communications, including social media, provide increasingly powerful and robust platforms to disseminate information. Unfortunately, these same increasingly powerful and robust platforms are also used to spread information that is untrue, and to package information in tiny bits of faux-knowledge that (because of their sheer volume) leave little room for neither more comprehensive reading nor discussion and contemplation. This fact reinforces our view that young people need to be taught the basics as early as possible – of history, political science, philosophy and civilization. In the absence of that grounding, all of these Twitter and Facebook bits alight on a population that lacks the tools to sort or analyze what they are reading while scrunched over their Androids. (Interesting word, Android; maybe in a thinly-veiled joke, it is meant to describe the hooked users and not the device…)

The technology of communications also democratizes news and opinion. Although this development may seem positive at first blush, it also has some powerful negative aspects. Whatever one thinks about the “mainstream” media’s biases, there is at least a set of standards and professional codes of conduct that are more or less followed by established media outlets. Writers are edited, and editors seek to protect franchises against irresponsible communications. Bloggers, by contrast, do not really have to adhere to any such constraints, and making them hew to any standards of professional responsibility is difficult at best. The “blogosphere” effectively makes the dissemination of news and opinion a kind of dense windy fog.

[We assume Singer does not consider Zero Hedge among the ‘dense windy fog’ of blogs given its readership rivals most mainstream media, but rather the meme-du-jour vox populi]

This overabundance of information and opinion is not a positive development in our view (although we are certainly not suggesting it be curtailed or controlled by governments). Ask yourself the following set of questions: Do people seem better informed today in the developed world? Smarter? Is the discourse more sophisticated? The answer is a resounding “no” to all those questions. Modern communication modalities play a role in this sad fact, and so does modern education, particularly higher education, which in too many cases has eschewed foundational course materials in favor of self-indulgent or ideological navel-gazing.

*  *  *
One wonders whether social media (and perhaps the legalization of pot) is Huxley’s Soma for the 21st Century… a nation of compliant robots numb to original thought.




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