No Child Left Outside: Another Mom Arrested for Letting Kid Play in Park

ParkA Port
St. Lucie, Forida, mom has been arrested and charged with child
neglect for daring to let her son, 7, play in the park half a mile
from home. He was happily walking there when a busybody noticed him
and asked where his mommy was. Then the busybody called the cops,
since apparently no child should ever be outside without a private
security detail.

The police descended upon the scene of the crime and later
arresting the mom for the usual charge of
child neglect. What if something bad had
happened?

As the mom, Nicole Gainey, told
ABC Action News
:

“My own bondsman said my parents would have been in jail every
day,” says Gainey who paid nearly $4,000 to bond out.

The officer wrote in the report that Dominic was unsupervised at
the park and that “numerous sex offenders reside in the
vicinity”.

“He just basically kept going over that there’s pedophiles and
this and that and basically the park wasn’t safe and he shouldn’t
be there alone,” says Gainey.

Never mind that research has shown living
on the same block as a registered sex offender does not make kids
less safe
. It seems the cops bought into the idea that
predators are everywhere, always waiting to pounce, and simply
because the worst could happen—no matter how
extremely unlikely—children can never be left unsupervised in
well-lit, popular public parks.

free-range-kidsLet me reiterate here
that these arrests are uncommon—that’s why they make the news—and
should not dissuade parents from sending their kids to play. On the
contrary, the more kids running around outside again, the more
normal it will seem, and perhaps these excessive fears will
subside.

Or else we’ll be living under a de facto policy of No Child Left
Outside.

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EU Announces New Washington-Pleasing, Russia-Wristslap Sanctions

After unleashing a 10-page report of the death and destructive economic impact they could have on Russia via sanctions, the European leaders have agreed to issue travel bans, some asset-freezes, and trade curbs on various new individuals and business entities. The Goldilocks sanctions… just enough to please Washington, not enough to infuriate Putin into ‘boomerangs’.

  • *EU AMBASSADORS’ MEETING ON RUSSIA SANCTIONS REACHES DEAL: FT

Via DPA,

EU ambassadors have reached agreement on a new round of travel bans and asset freezes in response to the crisis in Ukraine, diplomats say.

*  *  *

The sanctions…

  • *EU AGREES CURBS ON RUSSIAN BANKS, EXPORT OF SOME TECHNOLOGY
  • *EU TO RESTRICT EXPORT OF EQUIPMENT FOR RUSSIAN OIL PRODUCTION
  • *EU TO CURB STATE-OWNED RUSSIAN BANKS’ ACCESS TO CAPITAL MARKETS
  • *EU TO IMPOSE EMBARGO ON FUTURE ARMS SALES TO RUSSIA
  • *EU TO CURB SALE OF ‘DUAL-USE’ MACHINERY, ELECTRONICS TO RUSSIA
  • *SANCTIONS WILL BE REVIEWED AFTER 3 MONTHS: EU DIPLOMAT

But…

  • *AIDE SAYS U.S. HAS APPROVED EXPORTS OF DUAL-USE GOODS TO RUSSIA
  • *COMMERCE AIDE SAYS U.S. HASN’T REVOKED RUSSIA EXPORT LICENSES
  • *U.S. GOODS APPROVED FOR EXPORT HAVE MILITARY APPLICATIONS

I.e. the rockets for US military satellites

*  *  *

Just as we predicted.

*  *  *

Is it any wonder European leaders are all talk since the potential for blow back is so much larger compared to Washington…

 

*  *  *

Meanwhile, Russia is ‘trying’

  • *LAVROV URGED KERRY TO PUSH UKRAINE GOVT FOR CEASE-FIRE
  • *LAVROV, KERRY DISCUSSED ARMS CONTROL, UKRAINE, MIDDLE EAST
  • *LAVROV, KERRY AGREE ON NEED FOR CEASE-FIRE NEAR MH17 CRASH SITE

And Kerry’s response:

  • *KERRY: RUSSIA SHOWS `NO SHRED OF EVIDENCE’ OF BACKING CEASEFIRE
  • *KERRY: U.S. WILL IMPOSE WIDER SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IF NO CHANGE




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Behold The New Normal Definition Of "Confidence"

While headlines are flashing red about how exuberant the consumer is, there appears to be some ‘new normal’ oddness under the covers. Projecting this positive news into the future (as every talking-head is) does not add up with the fact that “plans to buy a car” and “plans to buy a major appliance” both tumbled in July. But the biggest problem for the ‘recovery’, “plans to buy a home” collapsed to its lowest since Feb 2013… welcome to the new normal definition of confidence.

 

 

Is it any wonder when 77 million Americans have debt past due…!

 

Chart: Bloomberg




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1qgPP5r Tyler Durden

Behold The New Normal Definition Of “Confidence”

While headlines are flashing red about how exuberant the consumer is, there appears to be some ‘new normal’ oddness under the covers. Projecting this positive news into the future (as every talking-head is) does not add up with the fact that “plans to buy a car” and “plans to buy a major appliance” both tumbled in July. But the biggest problem for the ‘recovery’, “plans to buy a home” collapsed to its lowest since Feb 2013… welcome to the new normal definition of confidence.

 

 

Is it any wonder when 77 million Americans have debt past due…!

 

Chart: Bloomberg




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Deadbeat Nation: A Shocking 77 Million Americans Face Debt Collectors

We have been warning for years that as a result of the Fed’s disastrous policies, America’s middle class is being disintegrated and US adults are surviving only thanks to insurmountable debtloads. But not even we had an appreciation of how serious the problem truly was. We now know, and it is a shocker: according to new research by the Urban Institute, about 77 million Americans have a debt in collections.

The breakdown by region:

As the Washington Post reports, that amounts to 35 percent of consumers with credit files or data reported to a major credit bureau, according to the study released Tuesday by the Urban Institute and Encore Capital Group’s Consumer Credit Research Institute. “It’s a stunning number,” said Caroline Ratcliffe, senior fellow at the Urban Institute and author of the report. “And it threads through nearly all communities.”

More:

The report analyzed 2013 credit data from TransUnion to calculate how many Americans were falling behind on their bills. It looked at how many people had non-mortgage bills, such as credit card bills, child support payments and medical bills, that are so past due that the account has since been closed and placed in collections.

 

Researchers relied on a random sample of 7 million people with data reported to the credit bureaus in 2013 to estimate what share of the 220 million Americans with credit files have debts in collection. About 22 million low-income adults who did not have credit files were not represented in the study.

While we understand why someone owing tens if not hundreds of thousands can just do what the US government does so well, and simply decide to stop paying their debt (if unlike the government, without the option to roll it), what is scary is that there are people who are in collection on amount as tiny as $25.

The debts sent to collections ranged from $25 on the low end and to more than $125,000 on the high end. Many consumers were burned for relatively small amounts — about 10 percent of the debts were smaller than $125, Ratcliffe says. But the median debt, $1,350, is still pretty substantial, she adds.

The geographic breakdown is not surprising, headed by the state that hosts Las Vegas, where an unprecedented 47% of all consumers have debt in some stage of collection.

Nevada was hit the hardest, with 47 percent of consumers with a credit file showing a debt in collections — a mark researchers said may stem from the housing crisis when people struggling to keep up with their mortgage payments may have fallen behind on other financial obligations.

It’s not just Nevada. It’s, well, everywhere else too:

In 12 states, including the District of Columbia, more than 40 percent of residents with a credit file have a bill in collections. That includes Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, and West Virginia.

But how is it possible that tens of millions of Americans are in such dire straits? After all, banks have been reporting better delinquency data for years. The answer: the study found that the share of people with debt past due, meaning they are at least 30 days late with payment on a non-mortgage debt, was much smaller: 1 in 20 people. That includes people who are late with credit card bills, student loan payments and auto loans. The majority of those people, 79 percent, also had debt in collections. However, because certain bills, such as medical bills and parking tickets, may not show up on a person’s credit score until they are sent to collections, the total share of people falling behind on their bills may actually be much higher.

The flowchart:

 

And the breakdown by state: the stunner, again, is that the share of Americans with debt in collections is 7 times greater than those with merely debt past due:

The report’s punchline, via AP:

The Urban Institute’s Ratcliffe said that stagnant incomes are key to why some parts of the country are struggling to repay their debt.

 

Wages have barely kept up with inflation during the five-year recovery, according to Labor Department figures. And a separate measure by Wells Fargo found that after-tax income fell for the bottom 20 percent of earners during the same period.

But.. recovery? And consumer confidence at 2007 highs? Or did the Conference Board decide to just poll the residents of 15 CPW and 740 Park?

Of course, there is a simple solution to all of the above: instead of being deadbeats, if only these 77 million Americans had BTFD as the the S&P’s chief market valuation officer, Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke before her, had advised them, then the US would truly be a crony capitalist-cum-socialist nirvana by now. Sadly, the way it is right now, the US Department of Truth will have to put this record number of deadbeats out of the labor pool (and hook them to the government handouts machine), while pretending that what once used to be known as the economy, and now is nothing but pure propaganda, is getting “better.”




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Consumer Confidence Explodes Higher To October 2007 Highs

On the heels of UMich confidence tumbling to 4-month lows, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence exploded higher to the highest since October 2007. This is the 3rd monthly riuse in a row and the biggest beat in 13 months all led by a spike in future expectations to its highest since Feb 2011.

 

3 months up in a row and highest since Oct 2007

 

Still quite a divergence between government and non-government surveys…

 

The last time the conference board confidence diverged this much from UMich confidence was June 2007 and that did not end well…

 

But Says Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board:

“Consumer confidence increased for the third consecutive month and is now at its highest level since October 2007 (95.2).

 

Strong job growth helped boost consumers’ assessment of current conditions, while brighter short-term outlooks for the economy and jobs, and to a lesser extent personal income, drove the gain in expectations.

 

Recent improvements in consumer confidence, in particular expectations, suggest the recent strengthening in growth is likely to continue into the second half of this year.”

Charts: Bloomberg




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Boots on the ground in Ukraine: I needed to see this for myself

KRAINE CRISIS 586 Boots on the ground in Ukraine: I needed to see this for myself

July 29, 2014
Kharkiv, Ukraine

Looking back over the past ten years, I can’t even begin to describe all the experiences I’ve had in Ukraine.

For a while, I actually owned a business based here. I’ve been travelling here frequently for years. I still have many friends here. Some of our employees are based here. And Kiev is one of the cities in the world that I know best.

Yet even after all of that, I still can’t make heads or tails of this place.

Consider this: by 2004, people in Ukraine were desperate from economic hardship and de facto mafia rule.

They held a runoff election in November of that year– an illusion of choice– between Viktor Yanukovich and Viktor Yushenko. Yushenko was viewed as the breath of fresh air. The ‘change’ candidate.

And when it became clear that Yanukovich had rigged the election in his favor, people went out into the streets to demand change.

They called it the Orange Revolution. And it ended after two months of bloodshed when Yushenko, the ‘good guy’ was finally sworn in as president. Happy days were to follow. Hope and change, all that jazz.

Fast forward a few years.

By 2010, Yushenko had proven himself to be an utter disappointment. Corrupt. Incompetent. Out of touch. When he ran for re-election that year, President Yushenko garnered a pitiful 5% of the vote.

This is amazing when you think about it: the candidate that the people of Ukraine went out into the streets and spilled their blood for received just 5% of the votes in his re-election.

So who did the people elect that year? Viktor Yanukovich… the very person they had fought against in 2005.

Yanukovich was a known criminal. Literally, a convicted felon. Ukrainians spilled their blood fighting against him in 2004… then elected him President in 2010.

Unsurprisingly Mr. Yanukovich spent the next several years pillaging the country of every possible resource for his own benefit. And a few years later– revolution #2.

People went back out in the streets to fight against government forces and oust Yanukovich. Since then, the currency has tanked. Banks are nearly insolvent. GDP is falling. And there’s insurrection in the East.

Now they have a new President– a chocolate billionaire who formerly sat on the executive council of the Ukrainian central bank. And he’s mobilizing the entire country to fight the rebels, fight the Russians.

People are forced into serving in the very same government forces they were fighting against just months ago, all to re-annex a region of the country that isn’t even of Ukrainian ethnicity.

The entire world is getting involved now. With the downing of MH-17, it has become impossible to stay neutral… and the US in particular is doing everything it can to escalate the situation.

Actions have consequences.

And just as the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand 100 years ago led politicians to make a series of pitiful, short-sighted decisions that led the world into the most destructive war it had ever seen, today’s ‘leaders’ are raising the stakes towards an even more destructive kind of war.

This new kind of war is fought with bits and bonds rather than steel. But it’s one that affects almost everyone on the planet.

Change is very clearly afoot. And it’s time to start paying very close attention to the canary in the coalmine.

Just as I was in Iraq a few weeks ago to see the ISIS mess for myself, I had to come back to Ukraine and see what’s happening with my own eyes.

Join me in our newest podcast episode to explore this further– what to watch out for, how it may unfold, and what you can do about it:

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Upworthy-Like Parody Site's List Probably Includes More Useful Information Than Most of Upworthy

who failed?Last month, The Onion launched
ClickHole.com, parody of websites such as Upworthy that utilize the
“You Won’t Believe…” headline template to best take advantage of
perceived social media consumption habit to hilarious effect. I may
well have learned about it when a commenter here posted
this story
that at first glance looked like it was on a simple
Upworthy knock off.

Yesterday, though, ClickHole.com ran a piece, “5
U.S.-Backed Regimes That Failed So Hard They Won
,” that applied
the irreverence the website’s displayed toward the Things People
Care About on Social Media to a topic, foreign policy intervention,
that doesn’t get as much play as, say, self-congratulations about
speaking truth to power by rattling off slogans and talking points.
The item on Iraq:  

The war in Iraq was an epic fail for sure, and even though it’s
finished now, the fail just keeps on coming! The government that
the U.S. established to replace Saddam Hussein is trying to break
the world record in fail, ceding power and strategic interests to
extremist militants pretty much on the reg despite a $14 billion
U.S. investment to stabilize the country following the troop
withdrawal. Gotta hand it to us, when we fail, we fail HARD!

Read the
rest here
. There’s an error in the last item placing Carter’s
presidency “throughout the 80s.” I’d remind you it’s a parody
website to explain how the error made it into the live version, but
actual news outlets sadly make mistakes about history too.

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Upworthy-Like Parody Site’s List Probably Includes More Useful Information Than Most of Upworthy

who failed?Last month, The Onion launched
ClickHole.com, parody of websites such as Upworthy that utilize the
“You Won’t Believe…” headline template to best take advantage of
perceived social media consumption habit to hilarious effect. I may
well have learned about it when a commenter here posted
this story
that at first glance looked like it was on a simple
Upworthy knock off.

Yesterday, though, ClickHole.com ran a piece, “5
U.S.-Backed Regimes That Failed So Hard They Won
,” that applied
the irreverence the website’s displayed toward the Things People
Care About on Social Media to a topic, foreign policy intervention,
that doesn’t get as much play as, say, self-congratulations about
speaking truth to power by rattling off slogans and talking points.
The item on Iraq:  

The war in Iraq was an epic fail for sure, and even though it’s
finished now, the fail just keeps on coming! The government that
the U.S. established to replace Saddam Hussein is trying to break
the world record in fail, ceding power and strategic interests to
extremist militants pretty much on the reg despite a $14 billion
U.S. investment to stabilize the country following the troop
withdrawal. Gotta hand it to us, when we fail, we fail HARD!

Read the
rest here
. There’s an error in the last item placing Carter’s
presidency “throughout the 80s.” I’d remind you it’s a parody
website to explain how the error made it into the live version, but
actual news outlets sadly make mistakes about history too.

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Banco Espirito Santo Plunges: Shareholder Meeting Cancelled Due To "Unexpected Facts"

With all other operating holdcos having already declared bankruptcy, the anxiety over Banco Espirito Santo is growing (despite DE Shaw and Goldman Sachs recommending investors buy the shares). Despite Bank of Portugal reassurance last night that “BES is able to raise capital), the stock is plunging on news of “unexpected facts” this morning…

  • *BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO SAYS SHAREHOLDER MEETING WAS CANCELLED DUE TO “UNEXPECTED FACTS”
  • *BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO FALLS MORE THAN 13% IN LISBON TRADING

Remember, this is systemic (as the Portugues President has warned), and the contagion is potentially global… not “contained.”

3 down, 1 to go?

 

But The Bank of Portugal reassured everyone last night…

  • *BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO IS ABLE TO RAISE CAPITAL: BANK OF PORTUGAL
  • *BANK OF PORTUGAL SAYS BES SOLVENCY IS ASSURED

But now this…

  • *BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO SAYS SHAREHOLDER MEETING WAS CANCELLED
  • *BES SAYS MEETING CANCELLED DUE TO “UNEXPECTED FACTS”
  • *BES SAYS `UNEXPECTED FACTS’ INCLUDE ESFG FILING FOR PROTECTION
  • *BES SAYS ESFG AND CREDIT AGRICOLE WITHDRAW PROPOSALS

And the result…

  • *BANCO ESPIRITO SANTO FALLS MORE THAN 13% IN LISBON TRADING

 

 

and this could go global…

 




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