Australia Chosen as the Battleground to Try to Destroy Your Data Privacy

Snoopy federal officials in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom are still hot to force their way past encryption and access our private data, all in the name of fighting crime and terrorism. And they’re taking the battle down under to Australia, where pending legislation could compromise everybody’s cybersecurity.

Despite being told over and over and over again that strong encryption is necessary to protect our privacy from criminals and from ill-intentioned governments looking to punish dissidents, people like FBI Director Chris Wray insist that there must be some way that tech companies can compromise encryption, but only for “good guys” like him and never for those terrible crooks or those corrupt foreign governments that want to jail people for protesting.

America has thus far resisted efforts to force tech companies into compromising their encryption with so-called “back doors” or encryption keys that let officials bypass security measures. Technology and privacy experts have explained exhaustively that while warrants may grant officials the authority to attempt to access the data, there is no such thing as an encryption back door that could not be misused, could not escape the government’s control, and could not be fabricated by people with criminal intentions.

So instead officials hope Australia will make things easier for them. It’s considering legislation that would give law enforcement the power to force companies to help them access private data. But don’t take my word for it. Listen to an actual Australian explain it in the best possible way—sarcastically:

The draft bill she refers to is here, and an explanatory document is here. The law would let the government send tech companies a “technical capability notice” mandating that they build tools to help the state access and intercept communications. The explainer insists that the notice “cannot require a provider to build or implement a capability to remove electronic protection, such as encryption.” Yet on the very next page, it says the Australian government may demand the “removing a form of electronic protection applied by the provider, if the provider has an existing capability to remove this protection.”

As the above video notes, Australia does not have the same civil rights protections as the other four of the “Five Eyes” nations that share intelligence—the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and New Zealand. So if Australia succeeds in forcing back doors into the encryption our apps, social media platforms, and communications devices, that likely means that their American and other counterparts will gain access too. Who knows who else will get access after that?

Digital Rights Watch is calling on Australians to submit messages to their government warning against passing the bill while there’s still time. The deadline is September 10.

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The Bearish Case For Oil

Authored by Tim Daiss via Oilprice.com,

A relatively new development in global oil markets has unfolded in recent months, one that has replaced another new development that also has the ability to also roil oil markets. Renewed concerns of a heightened trade war between Washington and Beijing are bringing more pressure on global oil markets than the impending removal of more than 1 million barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian oil due to fresh U.S. sanctions, ushering in two market movers that traders did not have to wrestle with just a few months ago. Iran is OPEC’s third largest crude oil producer.

On Friday, global oil bench mark Brent crude fell 35 cents to settle at $77.42 per barrel,while NYMEX-traded U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was down 45 cents for the day to settle at $69.80 per barrel.

Granted, oil closed the month of August higher, with Brent up 4.3 percent for the month, and WTI up 1.5 percent, but going forward, those gains could be pared by growing trade war concerns and economic fallout from increased tariffs between the world’s two largest economies.

President Trump will likely move ahead this week with more duties for Beijing, putting in place another $200 billion in tariffs on Chinese goods, Bloomberg reported on Friday, citing six people familiar with the matter. The move would mean that around 50 percent of Chinese exports to the U.S. would be subject to extra duties.

Companies and the public have until September 6 to submit comments on the extra proposed tariffs before the president puts them in place. The administration could levy the new duties all at once or put them in place in stages. Beijing, for its part, has threatened to retaliate with $60 billion worth of new duties on U.S. imports to China.

Trump has threatened to up the ante even more, stating recently that he’s ready to put new tariffs on all $505 billion worth of Chinese products imported to the U.S. The problem for China is manifold since it simply can’t go toe to toe with the U.S. in a retaliatory tit-for-tat fashion since the U.S. imports nearly five times the dollar value in goods from China than China imports from the U.S. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, China imported only $129.9 billion in U.S. goods last year compared to some $505 billion the U.S. imported from China.

Beijing’s precision strike

Obviously aware of its limited ability to directly confront Washington over tariffs in the long term likely caused Beijing to threaten a 25 percent tariff on U.S. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports. In other words, what Beijing can’t do on a macro scale is a precision strike at an industry integral for Trump politically, as well as hitting a key U.S. sector that will need not only Chinese financing to get new LNG projects approved but also one that will need long-term off-take deals signed by Chinese firms.

However, the ongoing trade dispute, or what can now arguably be called a trade war, will continue to impact global oil markets perhaps long after the impact of U.S. sanctions against Iran are factored into global oil prices.

Commenting on Friday’s fall in both Brent and WTI prices, Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates, said in a note that “[oil] appears to be following equities lower amidst renewed U.S./Chinese tariff concerns that could easily escalate in slowing global economic growth and, hence, world oil demand.”

This possible slowing in global economic growth and corresponding dip in world oil demand could offset the loss of Iranian oil as well as the continual loss of Venezuelan production and other marginal OPEC members, helping keep the market in balance. But this will also likely keep the price of Brent and possibly even WTI largely in check with corresponding lower gas prices at the pump – good news for Trump as crucial mid-term November elections approach and even better news if the trade quagmire continues well into next year as the 2020 presidential season kicks off.

Conversely, an ongoing trade war will not only hurt global and domestic economic growth, but continue to impact key supporters of the president, particularity farmers. Increased tariffs on Chinese imports will also increase the prices American consumers pay for a wide array of once cheap goods. Tariffs will also continue to hurt China’s economic growth thus also reigning in some of its oil consumption/demand.

In short, while renewed sanctions against Iran, which kicked in last month, are largely factored into the price of oil, and more sanctions leveled directly against Iran’s energy sector to hit on November 4 seem to be already factored in, trade tensions and lower economic growth and weakened oil demand have yet to run their full course. When, and particularly, how trade tensions will end is anybody’s guess at this point.

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“Don’t Touch Me Again!”: Alex Jones Taunts “Little Gangster Thug” Marco Rubio Outside Hearing

Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Infowars host Alex Jones got into a verbal altercation outside the Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on Internet censorship, which Jones is currently attending. 

The exchange, captured by The Gateway Pundit‘s Cassandra Fairbanks, begins with Jones condemning Silicon Valley tech giants for “shadow banning people en masse,” to which Rubio deflects to foreign government interference in the US political process.

After Jones says “thank God” Trump is addressing conservative censorship, Rubio then says “I don’t know who you are, man” to which Jones replies “he plays dumb.” 

“He’s not answering,” said Jones, adding: “The Democrats are doing what you say China does.”

I don’t know who you are, man,” responded Rubio. “I don’t really go on your website.

That’s why you didn’t get elected. You’re a snake,” Jones fired back, touching the senator’s shoulder to keep his attention. “Marco Rubio the snake. A little frat boy here.”

After Jones put his hand on Rubio’s shoulder, the Florida Senator said “Don’t touch me again, man … I’m asking you not to touch me again.

When Jones then asked whether he’d be arrested, Rubio said “You’re not gonna get arrested man, I’d take care of it myself,” suggesting he would engage Jones physically. 

Following the exchange, which included Jones proclaiming “The Democrats are raping the Republicans!” and “You’re a little gangster thug,” Rubio walked away, telling the remaining reporters “You guys can talk to this clown.” 

Jones shot back: “Go back to your bath house!” adding “There goes Rubio…Little punk.” 

Watch: 

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Capex & Taxes; What The Corporate Sector Is Saying About The Economy (Spoiler Alert: Nothing Good)

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners,

Private US businesses are not building new facilities, or renovating old ones, at a rate that suggests the economy is doing well. Let alone booming. For more than two years now, the aggregate level of Private Non-residential Construction Spending has been flat.

According to the Census Bureau in figures released today, construction capex in July 2018 (seasonally adjusted) was less than 2% above what took place in July 2016. Compared to November 2016, there was less spending in the latest month than during the height of Reflation #3.

In between, it does seem as if the US economy was “rescued” to a substantial degree by Keynesian economics. The destruction of so much capital material by the storms Harvey and Irma appears to have triggered a temporary reprieve. In terms of construction spending, things were headed the wrong way in the middle of last year until Mother Nature took over.

Now without the “benefit” of mindless devastation the sector is turned lower again. This despite what is supposedly a robust economy not just here but in many other places around the world (globally synchronized growth). If that is so, why aren’t businesses behaving like it and preparing for these better days, meaning higher volumes, that are supposedly here already?

In terms of public construction, there is also a little bit of both; meaning clear effects of tropical storms that only leave us with questions about everything else. Public construction spending jumped in October and November 2017, as you would expect. The splurge continued on all the way until May 2018.

Public construction has been slightly lower since, though in the short run there isn’t much confidence in the data (revisions in this series tend to be severe at times; construction spending for May 2018 was revised sharply lower, so it may be over the coming months the data could be significantly revised in either direction). Is this a temporary pause as local governments digest the last few months? Or are recently raised tax issues putting the brakes on current plans?

There had been an increase in tax collections at the state and local level throughout last year. That might have been the incentive for those governments to carry out or restart projects delayed by several years of interrupted taxation (so much for the 2014 predictions, as municipal tax collectors spent all of 2015 and 2016 wondering why additional receipts had just disappeared).

But already in 2018, beginning really in Q4 2017, taxation has slowed. On a rolling 4-quarter basis, total local and state collections through Q1 2018 were only 1.5% more than in the four quarters up to Q4 2017. That’s down from a peak rate of 2.2% at the end of last year. That’s substantially less than the peak during the 2013-14 upturn which reached nearly 3% at its top.

In other words, tax collections have rebounded but not by nearly as much as perhaps local governments may have been expecting as derived from mainstream economic forecasts (relying mostly on the unemployment rate). Now in 2018, at least through Q1, growth of receipts may have already turned the other way.

And in one particular tax category collections fell: corporate income taxes. Year-on-year, local and state taxes on corporate business declined by 4% after rising only 12% in Q4. More importantly, on a rolling 4-quarter basis corporate taxes were off by 0.7% in the latest estimates.

This particular data might provide us with two answers in one, explaining in one sense the potential reluctance on the part of local governments to maintain building and construction at the same pace. If taxes are volatile in corporate income, it might also propose why corporate businesses aren’t enthusiastic about their own capex, outside of necessary rebuilding in Texas and Florida.

As you can see above and below, the behavior of corporate tax payments tends to mirror the overall economy. When collections are weak and even contracting, those have been the times the economic condition is in doubt or worse: 1997-98 Asian flu; 2001-02 dot-com recession; 2007-09 Great ‘Recession’; 2012 slowdown/downturn; 2015-16 “rising dollar” downturn; 2018, too?

Corporate taxes are not a big part of the state and local tax base. They amounted to only about $45 billion out of a total $1 trillion collected during the last four quarters (through Q1 2018). But that’s immaterial to the macro signal we are attempting to parse. In other words, it’s not how much in total companies are paying in local taxes and fees, it is whether that small tax bill is rising or falling telling us perhaps something more about the true state of the economy.

You can, after all, “manage” corporate earnings but unlike for stock investors there is every incentive to present the true state of economic profits to state and local “revenue” departments if it results in a lower tax liability (including avoiding fees). Corporate taxes are up since 2016, but like commodity prices they aren’t really up.

It corroborates other indications which suggest tremendous uncertainty. The three biggest inputs into any private business are labor (slowdown), capex (slowdown), and working capital, especially inventory (slowdown). Outside of financial “investment” in share repurchases (and most of those are clustered at the very top of the size scale), businesses don’t appear to be buying this boom.

They certainly aren’t building for one, nor are they paying municipal taxes like it is.

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The Coddling of the American Mind: How Overprotective Parenting Led to Fragility on Campus—New at Reason

In 2015, psychology professor Jonathan Haidt and free-speech activist Greg Lukianoff published “The Coddling of the American Mind” in The Atlantic. It argued that speech codes, trigger warnings, and safe spaces on college campuses are “disastrous for education—and mental health.” It quickly became the most-read article in the history of the magazine.

Now they’ve expanded it into a new book with the same title.

Lukianoff, a lawyer by training, heads FIRE, the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education, which fights for free speech on campus. Haidt teaches at New York University and is a co-founder of Let Grow, the free-range parenting advocacy organization, and Heterodox Academy, which promotes intellectual diversity among faculty.

Reason‘s Nick Gillespie sat down with them to talk about why they believe that, as their book’s subtitle puts it, “good intentions and bad ideas” about the supposed fragility of young people is “setting up a generation for failure.”

Edited by Alexis Garcia. Intro by Todd Krainin. Camera by Jim Epstein and Kevin Alexander.

Photo Credits: Gage Skidmore/Flickr, picture-alliance/dpa/NEWSCOM

Click here for full text and downloadable versions.

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“Absolutely Killed”: Trump Throws Flag At NFL And Nike For Lack Of Patriotism, Supporting Kaepernick

President Trump has weighed in for a second time on the NFL’s decision to support Nike’s endorsement of Colin Kaepernick, tweeting on Wednesday: “Just like the NFL, whose ratings have gone WAY DOWN, Nike is getting absolutely killed with anger and boycotts. I wonder if they had any idea that it would be this way? As far as the NFL is concerned, I just find it hard to watch, and always will, until they stand for the FLAG!”

On Tuesday, Trump broke his silence on the Nike-Kaepernick controversy after the NFL released a statement in support of Kaepernick, telling The Daily Caller that Nike is sending a “terrible message” by featuring the has-been quarterback.

“I think it’s a terrible message that they’re sending and the purpose of them doing it, maybe there’s a reason for them doing it.”

“But I think as far as sending a message, I think it’s a terrible message and a message that shouldn’t be sent. There’s no reason for it.”

However, President Trump also acknowledged that Nike has the right to feature whoever they want in the ad campaign.

“As much as I disagree with the Colin Kaepernick endorsement, in another way — I mean, I wouldn’t have done it,” he said.

“In another way, it is what this country is all about, that you have certain freedoms to do things that other people think you shouldn’t do, but I personally am on a different side of it.”

Trump also said in the interview that “Nike is a tenant of mine,” referencing Nike’s five-floor Niketown store at Trump’s property on 57th Street in New York City.

Supporting Nike’s ad campaign are former CIA Director John Brennan, who joined former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in praise of Kaepernick, drawing ridicule all over the internet: 

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Trump Isn’t Winning in Afghanistan: New at Reason

|||Chris Kleponis/CNP / Polaris/NewscomThe Trump administration is optimistic about Afghanistan. Since the president a year ago introduced his plan—putting more U.S. boots on the ground and committing to our fifth roundof re-entrenchment in America’s longest war—the conflict has been punctuated by a key milestone: its first ceasefire since 2001.

That brief pause in hostilities “really unleashed the Afghan people’s desire for peace and an end to violence,” Gen. John Nicholson, commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan, told reporters from Kabul last week. “I believe [Trump’s] strategy is working,” he continued. “So, the strategy was announced about a year ago. Within six months, we had two peace offers on the table.”

But the Pentagon’s own assessments of Afghanistan are bleaker, writes Bonnie Kristian in her latest piece at Reason.

View this article.

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Unveiling The BEEStMoD Manifesto

Authored by Omid Malekan via Medium.com,

My recent essay encouraging investors to rotate from the shares of FAANG to the coins of BEEStMoD turned out to be one of the most widely readand controversial things I’ve ever written.

The reaction, which ranged from bemused to angry, confirmed my impression that most people simply can’t imagine a world where corporations don’t dominate their digital lives.

To see why it’s possible, consider the following  –  even more unlikely  –  scenario:

Imagine a world where a handful of people invented a technology that created trillions of dollars in economic value, but that the inventors didn’t make a penny off of it. Instead, the people who used this technology to make a far less important economic contribution made a killing. It would be as if Edison and his lab made nothing from the lightbulb, but a random seller of quirky lampshades became a millionaire.

This shouldn’t be hard to imagine, because that’s the world we live in today. Tim Berners-Lee, the man who gifted us the World Wide Web, made less money off of his creation than Rebecca Black, the teenager who gifted us that famously awful YouTube video. Your average Instagram influencer probably makes more money off the internet than all of its founding fathers, combined.

To be fair, my lampshade analogy isn’t fully accurate, because Black didn’t make as much on her video as YouTube did. A better analogy would be if Edison made nothing, the lampshade designer made a little, and the shipping company that delivered the lampshades became a Fortune 100 company.

Our digital economy today is such that those who invented its underlying infrastructure, and those who create the content that makes that infrastructure appealing, capture less economic reward than the middlemen. Without TCP/IP and HTTP there’d be no search engines, and without interesting websites there’d be no reason to use search. Google is arguably the least important component of this triangle, yet it makes almost all of the money.

So before you tell me that it’s hard to imagine a future where highly profitable intermediaries like Google and Facebook don’t exist, consider that it might be even more implausible that they do.

None of this is anyone’s fault, per se. The protocols that make up the internet wouldn’t have worked if their creators had tried to monetize them. As Berners-Lee himself said: “If I had tried to demand fees … there would be no World Wide Web..There would be lots of small webs.”

And so, TCP/IP, HTTP, SMTP and various other protocols were just given away. The existence of these so called “thin protocols” — as so elegantly coined by Joel Monegro — is what made the rise of the “fat applications” of FAANG possible. At the time, their creation was a blessing, because a bad economic model is always better than no economic model. But today, that model has turned into a problem.

In economics, any system where risk and reward are out of alignment is inherently unstable. A party that can capture almost all of the reward while taking none of the risk (thus having no Skin in the Game) is going to press its luck until something breaks. For a perfect example, see the 2008 financial crisis, which we can now summarize as the inevitable outcome of what happens when bonuses flow to one group while burdens to another.

Such is the state of FAANG & Company today. On any given day, millions of people take on the risk of publishing a song, driving an Uber, making a YouTube video, renting out an AirBnB, building a Twitter following, publishing a book or posting interesting content on Facebook. When they fail, which the vast majority inevitably do, they take home 100% of the loss. But should they succeed, a giant corporation that already has more money than it knows what to do with takes a massive cut. No wonder the tech giants are starting to eat themselves.

Just recently, Apple’s iTunes store booted an app owned by Facebook because it was a spying tool masquerading as a privacy one –  proving once again that Facebook has no shame (the deceptive app literally had the word Protect in its name.) You would think that Mark Zuckerberg would have learned his lesson by now, but then again why should he? Your risk is always his reward. (Apple at least seems to have done the right thing, but perhaps only because the victims weren’t Chinese.)

There are many political and technological explanations as to why these companies keep stumbling from one controversy to another. My contention is that the problem is primarily economic. When risk and reward are not aligned, two outcomes become increasingly likely:

  1. The beneficiaries make a shitload of money.

  2. The beneficiaries make bad decisions.

Welcome to FAANG 2018.

The decentralized platforms that comprise my BEEStMoD index bring that relationship back into alignment. Blockchain technology allows us to replace corporate intermediaries with a decentralized platform that is owned and governed by its users. The benefits start with the financial — as taking out the middleman usually does — but go far beyond into the social and cultural. Consider payments as an example.

If you use PayPal for your company, then not only do you have to pay a hefty fee, but you also risk having a central authority tell you how to run your business. If you use it as a consumer, you face higher prices (as the fees get passed on to you) as well as a corporation dictating what books you shouldn’t read. But if you use Bitcoin, Ethereum or even a tokenized dollar, you take back control of your financial (not to mention literary) life.

It should be noted that switching from FAANG to BEEStMoD doesn’t diminish user risk, it increases it. On a decentralized platform, not only does each cab driver or social media influencer still have the risk of losing to other cab drivers and influencers, they also shoulder the risk of their chosen platform failing, akin to employees at a startup getting some of their compensation in equity that might end up worthless.

But a stable economic system isn’t one with no risk. It’s one where rewards are handed out proportionally. Just as the risks are higher with BEEStMoD, so are the rewards. On a decentralized platform, not only can a cab driver or influencer earn more by beating the competition, they can also become wealthier if their chosen platform gains popularity, thanks (in part) to their own contribution. This — far more equitable — flow of value yields yet another reason why the world would be a better place if the biggest digital platforms were decentralized.

The ascension of FAANG & Co has been a major contributor to the growing wealth gap. While almost anyone can post a video on YouTube, virtually no one can afford the $1200 it costs to invest in a single share of its parent company, thus ensuring a constant flow of wealth from average citizens to a handful of billionaires. BEEStMoD realigns this relationship entirely, ensuring that the earliest adopters of a platform, and the people who make it appealing to others, benefit the most, as has already been the case with Bitcoin.

I understand that all of this seems unlikely. But the technological graveyard is filled with companies and platforms whose dominance once seemedpermanent. It wasn’t that long ago when many of us couldn’t imagine living without AOL Instant Messenger, a platform that as recently as 2006 enjoyed greater than 50% market share in North America. Today, it doesn’t exist. When it comes to technology, the switch from the unlikely to the inevitablecan happen in an instant, and if you wait until the writing is on the wall to adjust your investment portfolio, you’ll be too late.

Now is the time to sell FAANG and rotate into BEEStMoD.

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“High Treason” – Deranged Dallas Man Repeatedly Rams Fox Building

A man crashed a pickup truck into the offices of a Dallas-based Fox Affiliate station on Wednesday before backing up and repeatedly ramming his vehicle through the station’s floor-to-ceiling windows before getting out and accusing the station of “high treason,” according to the New York Times. While nobody was hurt in the assault, the station said that its employees had been evacuated, according to the station, KDFW-TV.

A Dallas police spokesperson said the man appeared to be upset about an officer-involved shooting elsewhere and left flyers at the scene that were “mostly rambling.” He has been charged with criminal mischief.

Dallas

Numerous photos and video of the incident circulated on twitter.

 

According to Fox, photojournalists at the affiliate filmed the man as he placed several boxes next to the side of the building. A bomb-squad unit was called in to investigate, but found that they were “filled with stacks of paper.” Some of the flyers ended up strewn across the sidewalk. Police have since finished investigating the scene and have confirmed that there are no additional threats.

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