The height of idiocy: US Government hijacks the whole Swiss banking system

US hijacks Swiss Banks The height of idiocy: US Government hijacks the whole Swiss banking system

October 15, 2014
En route to New York

True story.

One of our SMC members just received a package from HSBC giving him and his wife a deadline to comply with FATCA—US’ global tax law.

As Canadians they’d long felt bad for Americans having to deal with the overbearing burden of FATCA. Never did they think it would affect them.

But suddenly they had just four weeks to prove that they were not US taxpayers, all because at one point they had purchased a service that gave them a US phone number.

And now they, as Canadian citizens and residents, have to submit a fully completed W8BEN IRS form, along with a government issued photo ID and a detailed letter of explanation to make it very clear that they were not in fact Americans.

It used to be that foreigners were vying to become US citizens, but today they’re begging not to be confused as one.

In aiming to make itself the warden of the world, the US government has become very comfortable with reaching beyond its borders.

Historically, the pursuit of global dominance involved taking over others’ territories with guns blazing. Today, there’s more finesse, but the intentions are the same.

FATCA, the new Manifest Destiny, is probably the most arrogant piece of legislation ever enacted, at least in modern times.

Assuming that the entire world should be subject to its own arcane and excessive tax legislation, FATCA requires foreign banks to sabotage their relationships with their clients and breach their own privacy standards to comply with the US government’s will.

This overreaching piece of legislation demands that they reveal the information of US citizens with accounts over $50,000.

Otherwise the banks will be frozen out of the US banking system and slapped with a 30% withholding tax—effectively killing their business.

Those that resist can even face criminal charges.

Which is what happened in 2009, when the IRS accused Swiss bank UBS of aiding tax evasion, imposing on it a $780 million fine. The fines have been piling up and increasing ever since, with Credit Suisse having to pony up $2.6 billion this year.

Thus, everyone is complying. They can’t afford not to.

With the Swiss banking system in particular in the crosshairs of US authorities, the Department of Justice “offered” a deal to Swiss banks to avoid prosecution before the end of last year, and over 100 Swiss banks rushed to take it before the December 31st deadline.

However, the actual terms of this deal didn’t come out until now. It turns out that, from its position of dominance, the US government is demanding “total cooperation” from Swiss banks.

This means an open, one-way flow of information of American account numbers, balances, names, addresses and identification numbers. In addition, they must reveal all cross-border activities and close the accounts of any Americans said to be evading taxes.

Doing otherwise, the banks are breaching the deal and thus immediately face prosecution.

This is the economic equivalent of a military occupation.

Between compliance documentation, and facing massive fines and potential criminal charges, it’s no mystery as to why foreign financial institutions are going out of their way to avoid US customers.

And increasingly they’re looking for alternatives to the whole system as well. If you’re a foreign bank that gets reminded constantly of the potential penalties, breaches and charges that you could face simply for doing business, it’s only prudent that you hedge your bets and look to minimize your exposure to the US dollar and the US banking system.

It really just isn’t worth it anymore.

The US thus just continues to shoot itself in the foot.

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European Stocks Plunge, Enter Correction (-11% From Record Highs)

Greece (-6.5% today), Italy (-4.4%), Spain (-3.6%), and Portugal (-3.2%) all saw major stock price collapses today dragging the broad European Stoxx 600 index down 11.4% from its highs just 18 days ago… All European stock indices are now red for 2014

 

 

All European national stock indices are red YTD…

 

Charts: Bloomberg




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CDC Demands 132 Passengers That Flew With 2nd Ebola Patient Report For Testing

But, but, but they said it wasn't contagious unless you came into contact with bodily fluids. According to the CDC, the 2nd health-care worker infected with Ebola traveled on Frontier Flight 1143 from Cleveland to Dallas on October 13th and are asking all 132 passengers on the flight to get tested. One question… what about the thousands of people that those 132 passengers came in contact with in the last 2 days?

  • NEW TEXAS EBOLA PATIENT FLEW DOMESTICALLY NIGHT BEFORE FEVER APPEARED — CDC

Via Bloomberg,

Second health-care worker with Ebola traveled on Frontier flight 1143 from Cleveland to Dallas on Oct. 13, CDC says in e-mailed statement.

 

CDC asking 132 passengers on flight to call 1-800-CDC-INFO, plan to begin interviewing passengers about flight, monitoring those who need it

 

Health-care worker exhibited no signs, symptoms of illness while on flight, according to crew

*  *  *

Frontier Airlines Statement

“At approximately 1:00 a.m. MT on October 15, Frontier was notified by the CDC that a customer traveling on Frontier Airlines flight 1143 Cleveland to Dallas/Fort Worth on Oct. 13 has since tested positive for the Ebola virus. The flight landed in Dallas/Fort Worth at 8:16 p.m. local and remained overnight at the airport having completed its flying for the day at which point the aircraft received a thorough cleaning per our normal procedures which is consistent with CDC guidelines prior to returning to service the next day. It was also cleaned again in Cleveland last night. Previously the customer had traveled from Dallas Fort Worth to Cleveland on Frontier flight 1142 on October 10.

Customer exhibited no symptoms or sign of illness while on flight 1143, according to the crew. Frontier responded immediately upon notification from the CDC by removing the aircraft from service and is working closely with CDC to identify and contact customers who may traveled on flight 1143.

Customers who may have traveled on either flight should contact CDC at 1 800 CDC-INFO.

The safety and security of our customers and employees is our primary concern. Frontier will continue to work closely with CDC and other governmental agencies to ensure proper protocols and procedures are being followed.”

*  *  *

As we warned before – coming to an airplane near you soon…

US Airways Flight 850 from Philadelphia to Punta Cana – October 8th 2014

 




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The Annals of Bad Ideas: Houston Responds to Religious Activism with Subpoenas for Sermon Contents

Should they just tell the city to go to hell?In May, Houston’s City Council
passed an ordinance that extended
anti-discrimination laws
to gay and transgender residents. This
did not sit well with several local folks, particularly those of
the religious persuasion. They organized and
gathered signatures
to try to force the ordinance to a public
vote, as is their right under Houston law. The city’s secretary
looked over the signatures and declared them sufficient to qualify
for a vote. But then City Attorney David Feldman looked it over and
disqualified thousands of signatures. The vote would no longer
happen. Opponents of the ordinance are appealing the
disqualification and there’s all sorts of squabbling and
nitpicking, as is common when citizens want to vote on something
that a government would prefer they did not.

The fight has taken an unusual turn now, as the City of Houston
is attempting to subpoena the
contents of sermons and other communications
by local Christian
conservative leaders who have spoken in opposition to the law. From
the Houston Chronicle:

City attorneys issued subpoenas last month as part of the case’s
discovery phase, seeking, among other communications, “all
speeches, presentations, or sermons related to [the Equal Rights
Ordinance], the Petition, Mayor Annise Parker, homosexuality, or
gender identity prepared by, delivered by, revised by, or approved
by you or in your possession.”

The subpoenas were issued to pastors and religious leaders who
have been vocal in opposing the ordinance: Dave Welch, Hernan
Castano, Magda Hermida, Khanh Huynh and Steve Riggle. The Alliance
Defending Freedom, a Christian legal organization known for its
role in defending same-sex marriage bans, filed a motion Monday on
behalf of the pastors seeking to quash the subpoenas, and in a
press announcement called it a “witch hunt.”

Feldman is defending the subpoenas by pointing out a training
video by a member of a local pastor council explaining the rules
for collecting signatures for a ballot initiative. This illustrates
that these folks were politically involved and therefore the speech
was not protected, according to Feldman.

But such a broad demand for communications appears a bit absurd.
All sermons related to homosexuality from conservative preachers?
Much of that could have nothing to do with any sort of activism
against the ordinance. And did nobody think about how it was going
to look to demand any communications by a religious leader that
mentioned the city’s openly gay mayor? One legal expert was
skeptical:

The city’s lawyers will face a high bar for proving the
information in the sermons is essential to their case, said Charles
Rhodes, a South Texas College of Law professor. The pastors are not
named parties in the suit, and the “Church Autonomy Doctrine”
offers fairly broad protections for internal church deliberations,
he said.

Calling it an “unusual but not unprecedented” subpoena request,
Rhodes said the city would stand a better chance of getting the
sermons if it were a criminal case in which the message or
directive in the sermons prompted a specific criminal action. …

“This is unusual to see it come up in a pure political
controversy,” Rhodes said. “The city is going to have to prove
there is something very particular in the sermons that does not
come up anywhere else.”

The Alliance Defending Freedom is trying to quash the
subpoenas. What strikes me about this foolishness of this decision
is that it reinforces the fears of the religious that they will be
targeted and victimized in a society that is more tolerant of gays
and the transgender. The big argument the opponents of the
ordinance have been using is actual fearmongering that sexual
predators will dress up like women to get them in the bathrooms and
we’ll all be helpless to stop them because of the law. It is a
silly, stupid argument that has no basis in anything real (though,
having said that: Private businesses should be able to set whatever
restroom policies they want).

But now that the city and its mayor are actually, literally
targeting them using the law as a weapon, they are getting all
sorts of attention. It doesn’t actually matter whether Feldman is
right and these guys pushed beyond proselytizing to political
activism that is inappropriate for religious nonprofits. It makes
the city look like a bully that doesn’t actually have any faith
that the ordinance it passed is supported by its own electorate.
 

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John Stossel: Why the Constitution Still Matters

When the Constitution was written, Ben Franklin said the
Founders gave us a republic, “if you can keep it.” Few people
thought the republic would last another 227 years, but it has. The
Constitution’s limits on government power helped create the most
free and prosperous country on earth. 

These days, Americans right and left tend to give up on the
Constitution whenever it gets in the way of policies they like. But
while the Constitution doesn’t get the respect it deserves, it can
still slow the growth of government, writes John Stossel. We
benefit from the Constitution’s existence nearly every time it
stymies politicians’ ambition to control us.

View this article.

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Why make another meaningless app when you can change the lives of a continent?

Nairobi Startup Garage Why make another meaningless app when you can change the lives of a continent?

October 15, 2014
En route to New York

[Editor’s note: This is the third piece in our series covering exciting startup locations in thriving markets around the world. See also, Medellín, Colombia, and Vilnius, Lithuania.]

A strong community of other entrepreneurs and mentors makes all the difference for a young startup.

Through a community, and through mentors in particular, you can gain access to their networks. This might be just what it takes to turn your fledgling idea into a reality.

For those looking for a place to launch their startup with a solid community for support, Nairobi, Kenya, is nearly unmatched.

Here, the sense of community is simply remarkable. Successful Kenyan entrepreneurs are exceptionally passionate and willing to mentor the next generation of entrepreneurs.

As a result, there is a constant stream of events in Nairobi geared toward entrepreneurs or budding business leaders. Everywhere from students to top-level business leaders, the desire for personal and business development is fierce.

International and domestic capital and mentorship programs abound, as there is great interest in funding businesses that could potentially transform the whole continent. Mobile technology, agriculture, and infrastructure are some of the main focuses.

Seeing the country’s strong growth and potential, many individual Kenyans who have been raised and educated in top universities in the UK and US are now coming home, bringing knowledge, experience, capital, and global networks back with them.

Add to that the fact that Nairobi is one of the headquarters of the UN, and it’s clear why the city is home to such a vibrant international community. One with a lot of money at that.

Co-working spaces and startup incubators like 88MPH, Fablab, and iHub in Nairobi provide great communities for entrepreneurs who come from across the country and the world seeking to break into the massive, fledgling African market. They are working hard to establish Nairobi as the major tech hub of the region.

In 3 years of operation, 88MPH has invested nearly $2 million in startups, with a number of the businesses that have gone through their incubation programs already seeing wide use across the country.

One example being MDUNDO, a sort of Kenyan version of iTunes, which has been adapted to suit the predominance of mobile rather than computer browsing in the country.

As the country’s market is less developed, basic services like this can really take the country by storm.

This is no more apparent than the case of M-PESA, a mobile phone based money transfer and microfinance service. Launched in 2007, the service has already revolutionized business and every day transactions in the country.

Everybody and their grandmother uses it on a daily basis, and you can pay from anything from your groceries to your taxi instantly by mobile.

Though things are modernizing quickly, living in Nairobi can still have its challenges. Done right, however, and you can live particularly well. Very nice accommodation can be easily a quarter of what you can find in New York or California, and with fantastic, temperate weather all year long, you just can’t complain.

For the entrepreneur with a sense of adventure not only in business but in life, the proximity of Nairobi to incredible safaris and beautiful beaches just can’t be beat.

As the country is on a clear upward trajectory, the potential is absolutely huge. We’re not talking a few thousand downloads of your app, but changing the lives of millions across the continent.

In Kenya, you can truly dream big.

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Larry Pressler’s Adventure in a Closet

Inevitable closet gag.

The best anecdote about a politician that I’ve read in a
while:

[Sen. Larry Pressler (R-S.D.)] once mistakenly walked
into a closet while intending to leave a Senate committee meeting.
He stayed there for several minutes. Virtually everyone in the room
seemed aware that the senator was in the closet. When he stepped
out—to cover his embarrassment—he paused and waved as though
conferring with someone who was still inside.

That’s from an old Washington Post profile of Pressler,
who is now running to retake his seat, this time as an independent.
The Post piece doesn’t seem to be online, but The
National Journal
‘s Emma Roller has more about both the article
and the ex-senator here.

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And The GDP Downgrades Begin: Goldman Slashes Q3/Q4 GDP

Remember the data-dependent recovery, which until the NFP report two weeks ago, could seemingly do no wrong. Well, according to Goldman the recovery party just ended.

From Goldman’s Kris Dawsey:

BOTTOM LINE: Business inventories rose less than expected in August. In light of the disappointing September retail sales report and slower-than-expected inventory growth in August, we reduced our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by three-tenths to +3.2%. We also moved our Q4 GDP forecast down a quarter point to +3.0%.

 

MAIN POINTS:

 

1. Business inventories rose 0.2% in August (vs. consensus +0.4%). Retail inventories—the only component of the report not already known for the month—declined 0.3%. Auto and auto parts inventories declined 0.7%, while ex-autos inventories were flat.

 

2. In light of the disappointing September retail sales report and slower-than-expected inventory growth in August, we reduced our Q3 GDP tracking estimate by three-tenths to +3.2%. We also moved our Q4 GDP forecast down a quarter point to +3.0%, due to weaker momentum in consumer spending heading into the quarter.

So is this just the “bad news is good news” that the algos were looking for?




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What QE4: US Monetizable Deficit Drops To Just $483 Billion, Or 2.8% Of GDP

Remember that in addition to its primary function, which is to push stocks higher i.e., the “wealth effect”, the Fed’s Quantitative Easing has another just as important role: to monetize the US deficit. Which is why the news that was released moments ago from the Treasury, namely that the US deficit for Fiscal 2014 has just fallen to a meager $483 billion, or 2.8% of GDP (mostly thanks to the GSE inbound receipts which in turn were courtesy of the latest dead cat bounce in housing), and down from $680 billion a year ago, is hardly what the BTFDers were hoping for.

Fiscal 2014:

Fiscal 2013:

But this is great news for the US right?

Sure, it is also horrible news for all those liquidity addicts who hope that the Fed can engage in another $1 trillion or so QE program, because at this rate the US will only issue a net ~$250 billion in debt in 2015 (before the demographic crunch takes the deficit to the moon again after 2016).

It thus means that if the Fed takes away a net $800 billion from the market in 2015 if it does in fact launch another massive, $1 trillion QE, then the Fed’s ownership of the entire marketable US bond market, when expressed in 10 Year equivalent terms, would rise from the current 35% to somewhere just about 50%, in the process destroying any remaining liquidity that US bonds may have, precisely what the TBAC was complaining about last summer.

So anyone hoping that today’s tumble is merely a precursor to more QE, think again. Then again, there is a simple loophole: just tell Obama and Congress to spend, spend, spend, as fast as possible. Traditionally, they have had zero problems with following this directive.




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A Stunned Wall Street Reacts To Today’s Epic Move

The first report summarizing today’s stunning market action comes from FBN’s Jeremy Klein, who is out with this blurb:

In the first 15 minutes of trading the S&P 500 E-Minis traded below the S&P 500 cash index despite a fair basis, according to Bloomberg, of -6.72.  This is unheard of and something I have never witnessed in my near fourteen year career on the StreetI can only conclude that many large institutions threw in the towel on the Open in wake of the dislocations in not only stocks but also treasuries. 

As a result of the whiplash, Klein, who just over a month ago first, and so far only, called for a bearish correction, has turned bullish again because he now expects “a likely positive Fed meeting on October 29 to help fuel a Santa Claus rally.” So, QE4 then?


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