Russia Responds: Ukraine Statement On Convoy “Provocation”, Seeks To Aggravate Conflict, Drag In Russia

All morning we have been waiting for some Russian response to the announced, if so far unconfirmed, attacked by Ukraine on a Russian “military convoy”. We got it moments ago. From Bloomberg:

  • UKRAINE SEEKS TO AGGRAVATE CONFLICT, DRAG IN RUSSIA: ZAKHAROVA
  • RUSSIA FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESWOMAN ZAKHAROVA COMMENTS BY PHONE
  • UKRAINE’S STATEMENTS ON ARMED CONVOY `PROVOCATION’: ZAKHAROVA

And remember what we said not even an hour ago: “as a reminder this is first and foremost a war of relentless propaganda on all sides”, well Russia seems to agree:

  • UKRAINE’S REPORT ON CONVOY PART OF INFORMATION WAR: ZAKHAROVA

Time for the CIA to unleash the YouTube clips. And while we are waiting, perhaps Ukraine can finally release those MH-17 air traffic control recordings its secret police confiscated a month ago, and which the entire world forgot about?




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Is Collapse The Only Real “Fix” To Our Healthcare And Legal Systems?

Submitted by Charles Hugh-Smith of OfTwoMinds blog,

If structural reform is impossible as a result of political capture by vested interests, collapse is the only "fix" left.

A few days ago I discussed the overlap of two bankrupt systems: Healthcare (a.k.a. Sickcare) and our legal system–malpractice. Today we hear from two correspondents on possible fixes to malpractice: Ishabaka (M.D.) and Randy, who combines both legal and medical expertise in his family: he is an attorney and his wife is a physician.

First up: Ishabaka (M.D.), a physician who has practiced medicine in both Canada and the U.S. and served an an emergency room doctor for many years.
My solution would be – first – a no fault system, where anyone who suffers an injury as a result of contact with the health care system is compensated a REASONABLE amount – like the workers compensation system.
 
One side of the story I didn't mention is I have seen a case of clear malpractice where the suit was WON by the two doctors who prescribed naproxen to a patient for gout, when it was known he had a giant stomach ulcer. Every third year medical student knows naproxen can cause ulcers to bleed. The man woke up in the middle of the night with a massive bleed from his ulcer, and died. The thing is, there is an alternative treatment for gout – colchicine – that is perfectly safe in stomach ulcer patients, and should have been prescribed.
 
The second half of the system would be a really good review mechanism – I'd base it on the F.A.A. – that reviews what happened when a patient suffers injury due to contact with the health care system. I think in many instances, it would be found nothing could have helped – people get sick and die. I had a friend give a woman with no history of penicillin allergy a shot of penicillin for gonorrhea and she had a severe allergic reaction and died at age 21 – in spite of textbook treatment for severe drug allergy. Stuff happens.
 
In some cases, doctors WOULD be found to have practiced below the standard of care. I find these docs fall into three groups – one – the ones with an inadequate knowledge base who want to be good docs – these docs can mostly practice safely with some supervised training and study – two – the addled docs – drugs, alcohol, mental illness – Alzheimer's disease is becoming a real concern as our doctor population ages – some of these docs can be rehabilitated and some can't – and a small proportion of sociopaths who just don't give a damn – who should permanently lose their licenses.
 
Lastly, people have to realize that not every condition is diagnosable. I had a relative who was a doctor involved in the Apollo moon program. One of NASA's biggest worries was an astronaut getting sick during a (VERY) expensive mission resulting in the mission being aborted. Now, to get into the astronaut program, you have to be almost Olympic athlete healthy – I know, a doc friend of mine who was a super athlete and a multi-talented genius applied, and didn't get in.
 
Next they spent a FULL WEEK getting examined and tested by every specialist known to medicine. To make a bad pun, the cost of their physical exams must have been astronomical – and STILL – one of the astronauts developed an irregular heartbeat while on a mission – luckily it wasn't serious enough to scrub the mission. We simply cannot afford to do an "astronaut physical" on every patient with every complaint.
Next up: Randy:
I wanted to offer my perspective on your recent blog entry on malpractice. I am in my mid 30's, and have been practicing exclusively Plaintiff's personal injury law for the last 9 years. I handle only automobile accidents, and don't have any first-hand experience with medical malpractice. My wife is a physician, as are many of our friends, so I like to believe I have a fairly objective view.
 
I'll speak to what I know best, which is the average automobile accident case. You are correct in that many people believe being involved in an automobile accident is akin to a winning lottery ticket. I believe some of this mentality stems from the overall degeneracy of the culture, some from hard fiscal times, and some from aggressive lawyer advertising. I am self-employed, and have the luxury of practicing law as a profession.
 
Most personal injury cases are handled by medium size firms that are set up like factories, with little regard for professionalism. Those firms offer mediocre wages and long hours to associates (No partnership track usually), and make the partner/owner very wealthy.
 
There are indeed quid pro quo relationships between these firms and doctors (often chiropractors) that seek to over-treat people who may or may not be injured, but who have a viable insurance claim.
 
Sometimes deception is used to solicit such patients/clients (Hello Mr. Jones, I'm calling from the insurance company, and we want to have you checked out right away, I am sending a taxi to pick you up!). More often the client / patient is a willing participant. Often times medical bills are outrageously high when the doctor or chiropractor finds out an auto insurance claim is involved. Even the innocent patient / client is unknowingly socked with excessive charges and services by unscrupulous doctors and chiropractors.
 
Now here is the other side. Perhaps in response to the above abuses, and perhaps in a desire to increase the stock price, most insurance companies have completely abandoned their fiduciary duties to both their insureds and to injured parties. Every single claim is treated as fraudulent. The discretion of the individual insurance adjuster has been largely removed, and they have a rigid set of guidelines set not on the actual injuries, but on a desire to maximize profit.
 
Before someone has retained an attorney, Adjusters will try to offer injured people a quick settlement ($250 or $500) to resolve their claim, even though they know the cost of an emergency room visit will likely exceed that amount, and they leave the injured party responsible for the rest of their own bills. Often times it is the elderly that get preyed on in this way.
 
If a lawsuit is filed, no matter how clear the injury is, they will hire an "Independent Medical Examiner" to examine the plaintiff, and/or review the medical records. Doctors that give objective opinions don't receive repeat business from the insurance companies. Doctors that toe the Defense line do.
 
Some of these doctors make more money per year doing these insurance company examinations than they do practicing medicine. One particularly prolific fellow I have had the displeasure of deposing made well over 1 million dollars doing these exams over the course of 4 years. I have had Defense attorneys threaten to notify my client's creditors (so that they could place a lien) of the potential for a judgment, so as to force the client to settle without going to trial. The average Defense attorneys conduct is just as immoral / unethical as Plaintiff attorney.
 
The point of all of this is that yes, the legal system is badly flawed. I would dare say the "sickcare" system is even more so. Both pale in comparison to the Corporate, Governmental, and Military industrial complex excesses. I don't believe there is an answer or solution besides collapse. I run my law practice in as ethical a manner as I can while continuing to remain solvent. I feather my own nest with an eye towards personal resiliency for me and my family. I know I cannot save the world, and seek to instead save myself and mine. That's all any of us can do.

Thank you, Ishabaka and Randy, for your experientially informed commentaries. In general, insiders don't criticize other insiders, and this pressure to hide the sector's dirty little secrets and avoid the blowback of ratting out the rotten wood dooms the system to collapse. This dynamic is scale-invariant and functions in every broken system: politics, finance, healthcare, law enforcement, the war on drugs gulag, the military, the military-industrial complex, the national Security State–the list is endless.

If structural reform is impossible as a result of lobbying (i.e. the political capture of governance and regulation) by vested interests that profit handsomely from these broken systems, collapse is the only "fix" left.

Kerry Lutz–an attorney by training and founder of the Financial Survival Network–and I discuss malpractice and related issues in this podcast: Our Bankrupt Healthcare and Legal Systems.




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How Bond Market Liquidity Evaporated Following The Ukraine News

It is no secret that bond market liquidity is horrendous: this is a topic we have been discussing since early 2013, and which gained major prominence most recently when Denmark’s biggest pension fund, ATP, said “the burden of regulatory restrictions designed to rein in risky trades has now led it to abandon its reliance on the longest-dated bonds.” As Bloomberg reported, “the fund, based north of Copenhagen, said earlier this week it was shortening interest rate guarantees to savers amid a lack of liquid assets with maturities of 30 years and longer.” As a result policy holders in the pension fund will now have the rates paid on their savings guaranteed for 15 years at a time, versus lifelong guarantees.

ATP warned that the change will help protect pensioners’ purchasing power.

And, as the TBAC explained one year ago, pensioners (first in Denmark, soon everywhere else) have the Fed and other monetizing central banks to thank for losing their “purchasing power” as a result of the central banks’ sequestration of high quality collateral, i.e. bonds with duration to record levels, and the resulting collapse in bond market liquidity.

Well, things just got worse today, when as the following chart courtesy of Nanex showed, liquidity in the ZB future took a step function lower on the Russian news. Expect even further contraction in liquidity in the coming weeks and months, which in turn will mean that soon the world’s “deepest” market may have all the liquidity of CYNK… and all the volatility as well.




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Europe Says Would Consider Any “Unilateral Military Action By Russia A Blatant Violation Of International Law”

While we await to see any actual proof of either a Russian armed convoy entering Ukraine territory, or that this convoy was shelled by Ukraine artillery, because as a reminder this is first and foremost a war of relentless propaganda on all sides, here is the latest from Europe, which moments after stating it may roll back sanctions just announced it is now considering even more actions against Russia. From Reuters:

  • EU FOREIGN MINISTERS SAY WOULD CONSIDER ANY UNILATERAL MILITARY ACTIONS BY RUSSIA IN UKRAINE AS BLATANT VIOLATION OF INTERNATIONAL LAW

And from Bloomberg:

The “grounds for the imposition of restrictive measures against the Russian Federation remain valid,” EU foreign ministers say.

 

“The restrictive measures taken by the EU are directly linked to the Russian Federation’s violation of international law with the illegal annexation of Crimea and the destabilization of Ukraine”

 

The EU “remains engaged in the monitoring and assessment of these measures and remains ready to consider further steps, in light of the evolution of the situation on the ground,” according to conclusions of meeting of EU foreign ministers in Brussels

Belgium also chimes in:

  • RUSSIA OVERSTEPPING UKRAINE BORDER WAS `AGRESSION’: REYNDERS
  • REYNDERS SAYS `NO SURPRISE’ UKRAINE REACTED TO RUSSIAN MOVE

And paradoxically at the same time it adds that:

  • EU SAYS SECURITY OF ENERGY SUPPLIES IS OF UTMOST IMPORTANCE

So far the only official comment that is missing is that of Russia which has vehemently denied any entrance by an armed convoy into Ukraine and has yet to have any direct statement on the alleged destruction of its assets in Ukraine.




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German Stocks Give Up Week’s Gains As Bund Yields Plunge To Record Lows

News of the Ukrainian destruction of part of a Russian military convoy sent European stocks (and bond yields) plunging.  German DAX futures lost all the gains from the US close last Friday as 2Y bonds closed at -1bps and 10Y bunds at a record low 96bps. European equity indices all lost significant ground on th enews today but generally held on to some gains on the week. Peripheral bond spreads pressed wider today but ended the week lower (Spain -5bps, Portugal -25bps). Europe’s VIX soared over 20 today (from 16 earlier).

 

 

Chart: Bloomberg




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Ukraine President Issues Statement On “Elimination” Of Russian Convoy By Ukraine Artillery

From the official website of the presidency of Ukraine

President of Ukraine and Prime Minister of Great Britain discussed international efforts on the settlement of the conflict in the Donbas

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko had a phone conversation with Prime Minister of Great Britain David Cameron.

The parties coordinated their actions on the response to the information regarding the entry of Russian military machines to the territory of Ukraine that has been clearly witnessed by international journalists, particularly of “Guardian” newspaper. The President informed that the given information was trustworthy and confirmed because the majority of that machines had been eliminated by the Ukrainian artillery at night.

The British Prime Minister once again reaffirmed his strong and gradual support to Ukraine and the actions of the President. He also asked about the issue on humanitarian assistance for Luhansk. The President informed on recent developments. He stressed that the Ukrainian part of the international humanitarian assistance in the framework of the Red Cross mission was on its way to Luhansk.

The President expressed concern over the situation on the border, particularly, over the fact that the inflow of Russian arms and military machines in Ukraine through the open part of the border continued.

The parties discussed international efforts for the dialogue on the possibility to settle the situation in the Donbas and the prospects of enhancing military-technical cooperation.

David Cameron informed that Great Britain was ready to provide financial assistance to Ukraine in the framework of the UN humanitarian assistance.




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“Soros Put” Rises To Record: Is The Billionaire Investor Betting On Market Crash?

Back in February we observed, with some surprise, when Soros Fund Management, the investment vehicle of the famous Hungarian billionaire investor revealed in its Q4 13F that the firm had taken its bearish S&P 500 ETF – aka SPY – put exposure to a then record $1.3 billion notional, prompting us and many others to ask if Soros was preparing for a market crash. Fast forward to today when following the latest 13F disclosure from the same fund, we note, with double the surprise that a quarter after the same ETF put was lowered to “only” $299 million notional, Soros has once again increased his total SPY Put to a new record high of $2.2 billion, or nearly double the previous all time high, and a whopping 17% of his total AUM.

Some observations, which we presented previously: the “Soros put” is a legacy hedge position that the 84-year old has been rolling over every quarter since 2010. Since this was an increase of 638% Q/Q this has some people concerned that the author of ‘reflexivity’ and the founder of “open societies” may be anticipating some major market downside.

Furthermore, remember that what was disclosed yesterday is a snapshot of Soros’ holdings as of 45 days ago. What he may or may not have done with his hedge since then is largely unknown, and since there are no investor letters, there is no way of knowing even on a leaked basis how the billionaire has since positioned for the market.

Then again, considering that not only Yellen, who has warned about bubble pockets in stocks, but the BIS, Icahn and numerous other fund managers, now openly warn that the entire market has entered bubble territory, perhaps this is a case where the simplest explanation is also the right one…




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It Begins: Ukraine Troops Destroy Part Of “Armed” Russian Convoy

Things just escalated notably – (Via Bloomberg):

  • *UKRAINE FORCES ATTACK ARMED CONVOY FROM RUSSIA: LYSENKO 
  • *UKRAINE TROOPS ‘DESTROY’ PART OF ARMED CONVOY: LYSENKO
  • *UKRAINE’S POROSHENKO: CONFIRMED APC INCURSION TO CAMERON

We await Putin’s response… EU & US Stocks and bond yields (and Ruble) are tumbling, gold rising.

A reminder of the comparative anxiety in bonds and stocks…

 

From Reuters:

  • UKRAINIAN MILITARY SPOKESMAN SAYS UKRAINE FORCES ENGAGED RUSSIAN ARMOURED COLUMN ON UKRAINIAN SOIL AND “PART OF IT NO LONGER EXISTS”

The result…

 

But stocks knew better?

Chart: bloomberg




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Europe Blinks – May Cancel Russian Sanctions

It appears the pain that Europe is already suffering post-Russian sanctions, is too much to bear (as we explained here). While NATO admits it saw Russian military forces cross the Ukraine border, European leaders, after discussions on widespread ‘aid’ for nations suffering from Russia’s food ban, have said they are ‘ready to review Russia sanctions’ if the situation stabilizes. Furthermore, snubbing Washington, European leaders said they do not want to impose more sanctions on Russia. Obama alone again?

 

As Bloomberg notes,

EU ready to review Russia sanctions if situation in eastern Ukraine clearly stabilizes, although measures were in part imposed over annexation of Crimea, Interfax says, citing interview w/ EU envoy to Russia Vygaudas Usackas.

 

Sanctions not goal unto themselves

 

EU doesn’t want to impose more sanctions on Russia

 

EU hopes Russia will hand over humanitarian aid to Ukraine in compliance w/ intl law

 

EU hasn’t decided on suing Russia in WTO, ready to defend interests

*  *  *
Perhaps they got a glimpse at this chart and realized just how bad things could get

Russia is by far Europe’s largest net export partner for food.. and that highlighted column is about to disappear through Russian sanctions, likely pressing Europe into a trade deficit.

Or read this on EU Energy independence…

*  *  *

It appears Putin’s chess kung fu beats Obama’s checkers…




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