“War on Terror” Targets Unlicensed Underwear – Department of Homeland Security Raids Maker of World Series Panties

Screen Shot 2014-10-23 at 12.06.05 PM“They came in and there were two guys” Honig said. “I asked one of them what size he needed and he showed me a badge and took me outside. They told me they were from Homeland Security and we were violating copyright laws.”

They placed the underwear in an official Homeland Security bag and had Honig sign a statement saying she wouldn’t use the logo. 

– From the Kansas City Star article: Homeland Security Confiscates Royals Underwear in Kansas City 

I was just yesterday that I highlighted the dangers of granting government excessive powers under the guise of fighting terrorism in the piece: The BBC is Using Anti-Terror Surveillance to Find Tax Dodgers. Here’ an excerpt:

continue reading

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New study: the middle class is collapsing in the United States

Middle Class New study: the middle class is collapsing in the United States

October 23, 2014
Santiago, Chile

When I was growing up, my father was able to support his family of four on a single income. And when he was growing up, his father could do the same.

This sort of security simply doesn’t exist anymore.

These days, it typically takes two working parents just to be able to afford a comfortable standard of living. And even then, just barely.

Today people have to borrow on their credit cards just to get by. And young people are forced to indebt themselves decades into the future simply to pay for an increasingly worthless university degree.

In 1970, general tuition at the University of Pennsylvania was $2,550 per year, roughly 33% of the median household income at the time ($7,559).

Bear in mind this was at a time when most households were still supported by a single income.

By 2012, however, general tuition at the same school had risen to $42,734—over 86% of the median household income ($49,486) at a time when many households had become dual income.

This means that the price of a piece of paper from university went from 33% of a single income to 86% of two incomes combined.

This is unbelievable cost increase that illustrates a very clear divide that’s forming in the West.

Yes—inflation exists. It’s hidden. It’s long-term. But it exists. And over a period of years… even decades… it changes the very fundamentals of civilization.

There are two primary forms of inflation. On one hand, there’s asset price inflation. This is when the value of stocks, bonds, and real estate goes up.

But if you’re a typical family that has to spend 95% of your household income just to get by, asset price inflation doesn’t really give a huge boost to the measly 5% of your income that you manage to save.

No, instead, the typical family suffers from the other inflation—retail price inflation.

This is when the cost of goods and services outpaces their wages year after year.

People easily lose track of this. But enough time passes and they find that now two parents have to work just to afford a basic lifestyle, quality food, medical care, and education that one parent used to provide.

Asset price inflation is something that primarily benefits the ultra wealthy.

When you only have to spend 5% of your income on living expenses, and 95% on investments, you stand to gain substantially when your investments increase in value.

This phenomenon has created one of the greatest transfers of wealth in history: one class of citizens getting richer at the expense of everyone else.

A new report just released by two academics at the London School of Economics and UC Berkeley shows just how rapidly the middle class is collapsing in the Land of the Free.

The top 0.1% (160,00 families with total net assets of more than $20 million in 2012) owned 7% of all wealth in late 1970s. That jumped to 22% in 2012.

The bottom 90%, on the other hand, went from a 36% share to a 23% share in the same period.

Now, this letter isn’t intended to rail against wealth inequality, or to suggest that we should be more ‘equal’.

Equality is a dangerous and impossible ideal to strive for. Every human being alive is different, and to suggest that we should all be the same or live according to the same standards is absurd.

No matter what, there are always going to be poor people and rich people. There are always going to be folks who choose to work harder, and those who choose to work less.

And there’s nothing wrong with that. Wealth is a noble ideal; it’s nothing to apologize for.

The accumulation of wealth is supposed to mean that you have done something to create value in the world—that you have created a useful product that people desire, or that you have created wealth for others.

But that path to accumulate wealth is now all but dead.

The Land of the Free used to be a place where you could work hard and build wealth for yourself, either by starting a business, taking some investment risk, or working your way up the chain.

Yet today, authorities chase away children who have the audacity to operate a lemonade stand without a permit.

The nanny state legally bars most grown adults from investing their own savings in lucrative private enterprises, forcing the masses into overheated, central bank- manipulated stocks and bonds.

And today you’re lucky to work for the same company for more than a few years. As a colleague told me a few months ago, few people have careers anymore.

Instead, human beings are ‘rented’ by companies to perform tasks. There’s no longer a career track, growth, or significant advancement.

All of the old capitalist ideals have been replaced with compliance, obedience, and subservience to the state. They’ve managed to completely hollow out the middle class.

The ultra rich, meanwhile, continue to get rich.

Central bankers print money, and it pushes up the value of assets that the rich already own, making them even richer.

In other words, if you’re born rich, you stay rich. If you’re not, it’s becoming harder to attain wealth. Talent and hard work matter less and less with each passing year.

This is dreadfully, terribly wrong.

The people in charge of this system have completely broken what capitalism is supposed to be. And they’ve replaced it with a new form of feudalism.

This is something that can’t possibly last.

All the technology and tools already exist for individuals to take the power back and divorce themselves from this reality.

You no longer have to live, work, and play in the same country where you were born.

You no longer have to hold the heavily manipulated, degraded currency that they destroy, or use the banking system that they control.

You no longer have to educate your children in the state-controlled school system, or feed your family the genetically-modified crap that the corn lobby bribes onto the store shelves.

You can break free. It’s a matter of choice.

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Street Art ‘Shouldn’t be Privatized,’ Say Protesters Who White-Out Famous Graffiti

Atlanta, Georgia woke up today
to find Krog Street Tunnel, perhaps the city’s most famous location
for graffiti, painted over with a dull gray. Was it censorship by
the man, a crack-down on people’s self-expression? Nope,
it was anti-profit protesters.

This weekend is a masquerade ball that’s open to the public, but
tickets cost $50-$100 dollars. Graffiti artists “staged the protest
because they said they were offended by how the party planners were
using their art as a backdrop,”
according
to a local news station.

“We’re not going to give away this art for free to somebody who
is trying it make money off of it. Street art, public art, should
be free for all. it shouldn’t be privatized,” an unnamed organizer

told
another local station.

An street artist who goes by “Catlanta” wrote a snarky
Facebook post:

The Krog Masquerade hopes to bring out the art loving
residents of Atlanta to the Krog Street Tunnel on Saturday. We had
a similar takeover of the tunnel last night with impassioned
Atlanta arts lovers, and all of the sudden, their whole crew is
throwing shade our way. What gives, brah? You love our art, but
don’t want to listen to our opinions?

To what extent Catlanta, who
sometimes uses
copyrighted characters
in his art, is opposed to private
enterprise is questionable. He gives away some art for free, but he
sells some, too. And he’s leveraged the public display of his art
for enough fame to work with the Ted Talk organization.

One of the only pieces of writing on the wall this morning was
“#KrogIsNotForSale.”

However, It’s not clear why this particular event irked
activists. The art-covered tunnel has been in movies, music videos,
and even inspired a
symphony
– all profit-driven ventures.

Also the organizers of the Krog Masquerade state on their website:

A portion of proceeds will be donated to the Georgia Lawyers for
the Arts – a nonprofit organization that provides legal assistance
and educational programming to artists, arts organizations and the
Georgia Foundation for Public Spaces. This enables us to
provide financial scholarships, awards, educational programs, tools
for artists as well as maintain sponsorships for our various
events.

Residents and fans of the iconic tunnel have taken to social
media to
express
their thoughts. Some think the act was empowering to
the artist-protesters, others think they cut off their noses to
spite their faces.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2014/10/23/street-art-shouldnt-be-privatized-say-pr
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Virginia Millennials Say They Love Libertarian Rob Sarvis, But Will They Show Up on Election Day?

i voted stickerAs
Virginia prepares to elect its next U.S. senator, how will the
state’s millennials cast their ballots? A statewide poll released
today finds young people prefer “anyone but Republican Ed
Gillespie.” Bloomberg Politics
reports
:

Democratic Senator Mark Warner captured 47 percent in a survey
of voters between the ages of 18 and 35, which was released
Thursday by the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher
Newport University in Newport News, Va. The first runner-up
was Libertarian Robert Sarvis with 24 percent.
Eighteen
percent said they were undecided, and 11 percent said they will
choose Gillespie. [emphasis added]

In other words, the libertarian candidate appears to
enjoy six times as much support from the millennial
generation as from the electorate at large. (Real Clear Politics’

polling average
currently puts Sarvis at just 4 percent.)
However, there are some very good reasons to think that level of
support for Sarvis from young voters might not actually
materialize.

In a
previous post
here at Hit & Run, I discussed the phenomenon
of polls tending to overstate third party candidates’ preformance
on election day. But there’s another problem with taking this
finding at face value, which the Bloomberg article itself
points out: It assumes young voters will show up at the polls.

It’s unclear how many millennials will actually go to the
polls. 

“A majority say they are certain to vote, but only 44% say they
are paying close or somewhat close attention, so it’s easy to
imagine many who might intend to vote not actually making it to the
polls on Election Day,” said Wason Center Director Quentin Kidd in
a news release.

Historically, young people cast ballots at far lower rates than
older voters. According to a study from
the U.S. Census Bureau, released in April:

In every presidential election since 1964, young voters between
the ages of 18 through 24 have consistently voted at lower rates
than all other age groups…Overall, America’s youngest voters have
moved towards less engagement over time, as 18- through
24-year-olds’ voting rates dropped from 50.9 percent in 1964 to
38.0 percent in 2012.

But that’s not all—even older voters have a track record of
being, shall we say, overly ambitious when reporting their
likelihood of voting. Consider the Scottish independence referendum
as one high-profile example from this year. An Ipsos MORI poll
taken just before the election found some
95 percent
saying they were certain to turn out—a 10
on a 10-point scale. In fact, just under 85 percent of registered
voters actually cast ballots—a “record number,” and no wonder
considering the historic nature of the election. But it still
wasn’t 95 percent.

And the number of people who misrepresent their vote likelihood
is often much larger than that. A 2013
Harvard Kennedy School study
 looked at a series of races
and found that in all of them, “a sizable fraction of those who
self-predicted that they would vote mispredicted and did not
actually vote.” In one case, more than half of
self-predicted voters failed to turn out.

So while a majority of Virginia millennials might believe
themselves to be certain to vote—and nearly a quarter say they’d
vote for Sarvis—chances are, quite a few of them are mistaken.

from Hit & Run http://reason.com/blog/2014/10/23/poll-finds-double-digit-support-for-rob
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No, Abortion Drugs Aren’t Banned in Oklahoma

An Oklahoma judge said Wednesday that
he won’t block a state law
concerning the use of
abortion-inducing drugs mifepristone and misoprostol. Several news
outlets, including Reuters, reported
that abortion pills would now be banned
in the state,
but this is not correct. Under the
new law
, mifepristone and misoprostol—together known as the
“Mifeprex regimen”—are still permitted as long as doctors prescribe
them according to Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
protocol. 

This is, in itself, no win from a reproductive
freedom standpoint: the FDA-approved
regimen
includes more restrictions on who can take the drugs
and how they do so than is currently accepted medical practice. The
Guttmacher Institute calls it
“an outdated regimen”
that “prohibits alternative,
evidence-based protocols in wide use for at least the past
decade.” 

Under FDA protocol, which hasn’t been updated since its approval
in 2000, these medications can only be taken within seven weeks of
the start of a woman’s last period. Doctors and medical groups now
say the drugs are safe and effective through the ninth week of
pregnancy. 

The FDA-approved Mifeprex regimen also stipulates that all drugs
be taken in the presence of a physician. Since the regimen requires
taking the pills three days apart, that means a woman will have to
make a repeat (and unnecessary) visit back to a clinic merely to
swallow a pill. In most places it’s permissible to take the first
pill at the clinic and the follow-up pill at home.

The third major difference between now-typical protocol and the
FDA regimen is dosage: the FDA requires a 600 milligram dose of
mifepristone, while 200 milligrams is sufficient and standard. So
under Oklahoma’s new law, women seeking non-surgical abortions will
be required to take more of a drug than is necessary for its
effectiveness. 

Republicans in the Oklahoma legislature say all of this is to
ensure women’s safety. 

In 2011, the legislature passed a somewhat similar law, only
this one banned all off-label use of abortion-inducing
drugs. Because misoprostol was initially approved and introduced as
an ulcer medication, this would have prohibited its use in inducing
abortion. Aside from mifepristone, there are no other
abortion-inducing drugs currently approved in America, and
mifepristone only works properly in conjunction with misoprostol.
So the 2011 law would have essentially banned non-surgical
abortion. It was found
unconstituional
 by a district court and
eventually the Oklahoma Supreme Court
.

The new law—passed in April and scheduled to take effect
November 1—”fixed the issues that the court had,” said its author,
Rep. Randy Graud (R-Oklahoma City).

District Court Judge Robert Stuart hasn’t yet ruled on the
merits of the law, but he indicated in court on Wednesday that he
would deny a motion for temporary injunction brought by the
Oklahoma Coalition for Reproductive Justice and Reproductive
Services of Tulsa. However, he said he will temporarily suspend
portions of the law that subject physicians to legal liability. As
written, the law allows not only women but also maternal
grandparents and “the father of the unborn child who was the
subject of the abortion” (if they’re married) to bring an action
against physicians who perform an abortion “in knowing or reckless
violation” of the law.

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Crime Is Down, But Americans Are Convinced It’s Rising

We are the 15.9 percent.Three social scientists at Chapman
University have just released a revealing
report
on American fears. Among other interesting bits of data,
it informs us that the item in its survey that Americans fear most
is walking alone at night, that people who watch true-crime TV are
more likely to be afraid of the future, and that 15.9 percent of
the country is at least somewhat scared of clowns.

Also, Americans are prone to thinking crime rates are getting
worse even when they’re actually improving. If you’re a regular
Reason reader, there’s a good chance you suspected that
already, but now you have some fresh numbers to back up those
suspicions:

“What we found when we asked a series of questions
pertaining to fears of various crimes is that a majority of
Americans not only fear crimes such as, child abduction, gang
violence, sexual assaults and others; but they also believe these
crimes (and others) have increased over the past 20 years,” said
Dr. Edward Day who led this portion of the survey. “When we looked
at statistical data from police and FBI records, it showed crime
has actually decreased in America in the past 20 years.
Criminologists often get angry responses when we try to tell people
the crime rate has gone down.”

Despite evidence to the contrary, Americans do not feel like the
United States is becoming a safer place. The Chapman Survey on
American Fears asked how they think prevalence of several crimes
today compare with 20 years ago. In all cases, the clear majority
of respondents were pessimistic; and in all cases Americans believe
crime has at least remained steady. Specific crimes queried in the
survey were: child abduction, gang violence, human trafficking,
mass riots, pedophilia, school shootings, serial killing and sexual
assault.

Here’s a handy chart:

While the numbers for riots and serial killings are not
majorities, both go over 50 percent if you add the people who say
the threats occur about the same amount now as 20 years ago. So you
never have a majority saying a crime has declined.

Yes, yes, you say, but what was that thing you said
about clowns?
Glad you asked:

N.B.: They didn’t survey anyone under the age of 18, so these
numbers don’t capture those of us who aren’t afraid of Bozo now but
used to run screaming from the room whenever Sesame Street
showed this little John-Wayne-Gacy-makes-time-run-backwards
film:

Anyway. I’ve only scratched the surface of the study. To explore
it for yourself, go
here
.

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The Department of Homeland Security Goes on a Panty Raid

In 2002, the Bush
administration issued a formal proposal outlining the reasoning for
the creation a new, cabinet-level bureaucracy, the Department of
Homeland Security (DHS).

“The changing nature of the threats facing America requires a
new government structure to protect against invisible enemies that
can strike with a wide variety of weapons,” the proposal explained.
“America needs a single, unified homeland security structure that
will improve protection against today’s threats and be flexible
enough to help meet the unknown threats of the future.” Without
DHS, America would never be safe.

Flash forward to 2014. The Department of Homeland Security has a

$39 billion annual budget
. It is fighting the fight
against our invisible enemies, and taking on the unknown threats of
the future.

By confiscating baseball-themed women’s underwear from
enthusiastic local retailers.

The Kansas City Star reports
on Peregrine Honig, who created the design for “Lucky Royals”
women’s boyshorts, featuring the words “take the crown” and a “KC”
logo emblazoned on the rear, in honor of the Kansas City Royals
baseball team making it to the World Series.

Honig was going to sell the boyshorts in her store, Honig’s
Birdies Panties. Then a pair of DHS agents stopped by:

Homeland Security agents visited the Crossroads store and
confiscated the few dozen pairs of underwear, printed in Kansas
City by Lindquist
Press
.

“They came in and there were two guys” Honig said. “I asked one
of them what size he needed and he showed me a badge and took me
outside. They told me they were from Homeland Security and we were
violating copyright laws.”

She thought that since the underwear featured her hand-drawn
design that she was safe. But the officers explained that by
connecting the “K” and the “C,” she infringed on major league
baseball copyright. (The officials involved could not be
immediately reached for comment.)

They placed the underwear in an official Homeland Security bag
and had Honig sign a statement saying she wouldn’t use the
logo.

Don’t you feel safer now?

The Royals won their first World Series game in
decades last night
. We all lose when overfunded, unnecessary
bureaucracies expand their poorly defined missions into doing dumb
stuff like this.

(Link via
Radley Balko’s Twitter feed
.)

Here’s ReasonTV with three reasons to scrap DHS now:

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The Investing World In 10 Objects

What do an old German bank note, a current $100 bill, and an apple all have in common? The answer, according to ConvergEx's Nick Colas, is that these simple objects can tell us much about the current investment scene, ranging from Europe’s economic challenges to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s attempts to reduce unemployment. Colas takes an “object-ive” approach to analyzing the current investment landscape by describing 10 common items and how they shape our perceptions of reality. The other objects on our list: a hazmat suit, a house in Orlando, a barrel of oil, a Rolex watch, a butterfly, a heating radiator in Berlin, and a smartphone.

 

Via ConvergEx's Nick Colas,

Imagine a radio program about the 100 most significant pieces in the British Museum. At first blush, this would seem to be a stupendously bad idea. Art is visual, after all, and radio is about the least visual medium out there. Still, the BBC did such a series a few years ago and the overwhelming success of the program led to a book titled, predictably enough “The History of the World in 100 Objects” that went on to be a New York Times bestseller.
 
The idea works, even in radio format, because it simplifies large swaths of human history into identifiable works created by real people down through time. You might know very little about the situation in China 1000 years ago, but a statue or painting from the period allows you to relate to a community of actual human beings who lived, loved, worshipped and died there. Not just the world, but history itself, gets smaller and more approachable when viewed through this lens.
 
We can do the same with the world of investing and economic analysis, distilling many complex topics to their essential core.  For the sake of brevity, let’s take 10 – rather than the 100 from the BBC series and book – and see how far we get.  Here’s our take on a list:

1.       A Hazmat suit. Certainly the object-du-jour with worries over Ebola, Personal Protective Equipment (PPEs in the health care trade) is actually several layers of gear designed to eliminate the chance of disease transmission.  They are hot to work in and require extensive training to use properly. The suits need to be donned in a certain way and fully decontaminated afterwards. Any slip up in the process means potential exposure.

 

To investors and anyone else watching the news, the appearance of an individual in a hazmat suite symbolizes risk and fear of the unknown. The fact that healthcare workers in Dallas contracted Ebola despite their use also highlights the failings of the U.S. health care system in addressing the disease.   Reporting on Ebola in the last few days has become more reassuring about the small chances of a large scale epidemic, but the fear remains. 

 

2.      A House in Orlando. There have been boom-bust cycles in Florida residential real estate since the 1920s, but the housing bubble of the mid 2000s certainly touched the greatest number of people. In July 2006, the average house in the Florida city went for $236,000, according to Zillow. By December 2010, that number was $95,000. Anyone who had put the standard 20% down at the peak was in the hole by over $100,000 on their equity. Values have now risen to $134,000 for the typical Orlando house, but are obviously well below their peak and not even back to the $154,000 average from 2004. 

 

The U.S. housing bubble of the mid 2000s casts a number of shadows beyond consumer spending in America. First, it made investors and regulators acutely aware than such speculative excess can be obvious – and avoidable – even when it is still in full force.  Whether they learn anything from that is another matter. It also made investors keenly aware of “Bubbles” as a construct and there is an active cottage industry in calling them out wherever they may (or may not) exist.  Lastly, the U.S. housing bubble was just the latest proof that even in a technology-enabled 21st century world, human nature hasn’t changed a drop since tulip bulbs were the next “Big Thing”.

 

3.      An apple. The Fall of 1930 in America brought two things: a full dose of the Great Depression and a bumper crop of Washington State apples. Those two features of the landscape joined forces in New York City, where unemployed men sold cheap surplus apples at 5 cents apiece as a means of making ends meet.  The image is one of the most durable symbols of the hardships of the age. 

 

This period in American history has cast a long shadow on economic policy.  You can trace the Federal Reserve’s extraordinary bond buying programs directly to the humble apple through Ben Bernanke’s acknowledgement – in 2002 – that the Federal Reserve had been wrong to contract the supply of money during the Great Depression. That observation assured that when the time came, the Fed would go in the other direction with ultra-low interest rates and quantitative easing. 

 

4.      A German banknote from the early 1920s.  If the apple is a powerful symbol in America of the ravages of the Great Depression, then the German Papiermark – the nation’s currency from 1914 to 1924 – holds the same position for that country. Germany was saddled with essentially impossible reparations payments after World War I, and tried to print their way out of the problem in the early 1920s. This led to hyperinflation, economic collapse, and – at least tangentially – the rise of National Socialism. 

 

This national history with rampant inflation informs the German perspective on monetary policy to this day. In the decades before the adoption of the euro, the German Bundesbank was a famously tight-fisted operation, leading to a post-War economic revival unparalleled on the Continent.  Now, its history with hyperinflation (horrible) and cautious monetary policy (excellent) informs its approach to solving the threat of deflation in Europe. In short, it will be very hard to convince Germany that a U.S. – style large-scale bond buying program is a good idea.

 

5.      A barrel of oil. There are 42 gallons in a barrel of oil, a figure that originally dates back to 1860s America and the first wells in Pennsylvania. Producers took a standard 40 gallon whiskey barrel, a common container of the age and region, and added 2 gallons to inspire confidence in buyers that they were getting their money’s worth.  Fast forward to today, and according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the world currently consumes 92 million barrels per day.

 

Prices for crude oil have been falling precipitously, from $104 in late May to $83 on Friday. Market watchers view that decline with alarm for two reasons.  The first is that oil demand is a good proxy for global economic growth, given the commodity’s ubiquity in both energy, chemical and plastics production.  The second is that the drop creates concerns over global deflation.  While lower energy prices may create a tailwind for consumers’ wallets going into the Holiday shopping season, their decline also stokes concerns over a recession in Europe, a cooling Chinese economy, and the durability of the recovery in America. Those old whiskey barrels mean a lot…

 

6.      A Rolex watch. A new Rolex Submariner, made famous by movie icon Steve McQueen, will set you back about $7,000. A Timex Ironman (Presidents Bush and Clinton wore them, for what its worth) will set you back about $35 on Amazon, and keep better time than the Rolex with far less maintenance.

 

Why would you spend more for a product that does less?  Because you can, and you want everyone to know that.  That makes the Rolex a convenient hook upon which to hang one of the decades most discussed topics: income inequality.  This is far from a fringe topic, as Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s Friday speech highlights.  How her perspective – sympathetic to the problem but troubled by what practical solutions exist – might inform Fed policy in coming years is hard to know, but it clearly weighs on her mind. 

 

7.       A butterfly. American mathematician and meteorologist Edward Lorenz once famous asked, “Does the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil set off a tornado in Texas?”  It was an elegant example of a basic notion: in an interconnected world, small changes can have outsized – and unpredictable – effects.

 

The Financial Crisis probably started with a late mortgage payment on a house in Phoenix or Las Vegas – the butterfly flapping its wings that eventually caused the tornado on Wall Street and beyond. We now live in the aftermath of that storm, and struggle to make the global financial system more robust.  Banks must have more reserve capital now. Money market funds now have liquidity fees and redemption gates for institutional shareholders. Financial institutions need “Living wills”. Does the butterfly care?  Probably not. 

 

8.      A U.S. $100 bill. Think the world is going exclusively online when it comes to payment systems? Think again. The U.S. Bureau of Engraving and Printing, part of the Treasury Department, launched a new $100 bill last October and it has been a runaway success.  To date in Fiscal 2014, the BEP has printed over 600 million notes, worth +$60 billion.  In the two prior fiscal years, Treasury printed over 7 billion $100 bills, worth +$700 billion.  According to the Federal Reserve, most of these bills circulate overseas. 

 

The humble “Benjamin” is a good touchstone for the concept of a “Reserve currency” – a globally accepted means of exchange. Since the end of World War II, that has been the U.S. dollar. If you wanted to buy gold or oil, you generally needed dollars. This is changing now, as different countries try to reduce their dependence on the greenback. China is trading with EU countries directly, with newly established euro/yuan convertibility.  Russia sells oil and gas to China, taking yuan rather than dollars. How this will change global demand for U.S. Treasuries or the dollar itself, it is too early to tell. One point worth mentioning, however: the largest Chinese banknote is 100 yuan. Worth about $16. 

 

9.      A heating radiator in Berlin. According to a recent article in Deutsche Welle, Germany’s national media company, more than 70% of the country’s energy supply depends on imports.  Russia alone accounts for a quarter of the country’s coal, oil and gas imports.   

 

The key question is, of course, how will this shape Germany – and therefore Europe’s – response to the Ukraine crisis? While ISIS and Ebola have dominated the headlines in recent weeks, Russia’s involvement in the Ukrainian civil war is an important and unresolved issue. Winter is coming, and with the cold Russia’s political leverage increases exponentially. Germany is already teetering on recession without an energy crisis.  How this conflict shapes headlines in the coming months could do much to either roil – or calm – capital markets. 

 

10.   A smartphone. We will finish on an upbeat note – the role of technology in society.  Since the dawn of the Internet, users needed a personal computer to go online. Various efforts to bring low-cost PCs to the emerging market never really caught on, leaving most countries seriously behind the adoption curve. Now, Gartner Group expects 71% of all global phone shipments to be Internet-enabled smartphone. The affordable PC is finally here, and it makes phone calls too.

 

The implications for personal freedom, commerce and social advancement are profound. Communication is cheaper with free services like WhatsApp, the texting service recently acquired by Facebook. Online price discovery and shopping bring information and choice to billions of consumers and small businesses. Myriad chat services enable everything from social connection to political dissent. The smartphone is certainly the one object that will make the most difference over the next decade to the greatest number of the world’s population.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1oyeJSw Tyler Durden

The Canadian Patriot Act Arrives: Ottawa To Give Security Agencies More “Detention And Surveillance” Powers

Stop us when the flashbacks to September 11, and its Patriot Act aftermath, become too close for comfort.

s Reuters reported moments ago, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper said on Thursday the government will expedite plans to give more powers of detention and surveillance to security agencies in the wake of an attack on Parliament.

“They need to be much strengthened, and I assure you, Mr. Speaker, that work which is already under way will be expedited,” he told the House of Commons, one day after a gunman launched an attack on Parliament and was shot dead.

On the other hand, instead of giving the government even more authoritarian power to do with civilian liberties as it sees fit and appropriate, perhaps the government’s agencies could have simply done their work better under the existing laws and regulations, especially after the Sky News report that the Ottawa shooter, Canadian born Michael Zehaf-Bibeau, was already on a terror watch list.

The gunman who killed a soldier in Ottawa and stormed Canada’s parliament had been put on a terror watch list, it has emerged.

 

The attacker, identified as Michael Zehaf-Bibeau by Canadian media, was considered “high risk” and had seen his passport confiscated to stop him travelling abroad to join Islamic State terrorists in Iraq or Syria.

 

But the 32-year-old was able to strike at the heart of his home country’s capital, shooting dead Corporal Nathan Cirillo before he was himself gunned down by Sergeant-At-Arms Kevin Vickers as he launched his assault on parliament.

 

US sources said the killer was a convert to Islam from Quebec who grew up in Laval and Montreal and was called Michael Joseph Hall before he changed his name.

But while most have stretched to make a link between Zehaf-Bibeau and Muslim in general (or ISIS in particular), a very distubring direction where this may be headed is revealed in the following:

Family friend Dave Bathurst told the CBC Zehaf-Bibeau did not appear to have extremist views, but had at times shown a disturbing side.

 

He said: “We were having a conversation in a kitchen, and I don’t know how he worded it – he said the devil is after him.”

 

Mr Bathurst said his friend frequently talked about the presence of Shaytan in the world – an Arabic term for devils and demons, adding: “I think he must have been mentally ill.”

So while one can understand the stereotyping of fear under the guise of race, ethnicity or religion, what happens when the brand spanking new pre-crime unit of “Oceania” targets not just those who are externally different but pose a risk threat because they could be, according to the government, “mentally ill.” Good luck proving to a jury of peers after the fact of one’s arrest (by the Ministry of Peace of course) that one is, in fact, perfectly normal.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1oyeHKt Tyler Durden