Millennials Hate Capitalism Almost as Much as They Hate Socialism

It was all over my Facebook news feed yesterday: “A majority of millennials now reject capitalism, poll shows.” Libertarian friends shook their heads in scorn or lament while the socialists gloated or posed some variation on, “well can you blame them?” But just like the last half-dozen surveys on millennial economic philosophy, this new poll finds young people torn between “capitalism” and “socialism,” with perhaps little—or, to be more charitable, an ahistorical—understanding of what either means. 

The Washington Post piece people were sharing starts off with a dramatic statement: millennials are rejecting “the basic principles of the U.S. economy.” The base for that claim? A new poll of 18- to 29-year-olds, conducted by Harvard University. Researchers found just 42 percent say they support capitalism, while 51 percent do not. 

But twenty-somethings aren’t exactly clamoring for the government to seize the means of production, either. Just 33 percent said they support socialism, while 59 percent said they do not. 

“The results of the survey are difficult to interpret,” writes the Post’s Max Ehrenfreund. Not really. In a recent survey question about feminism, 53 percent of young women said they would not label themselves a feminist, but only a third of this group said it was because they’re at odds with feminist goals; nearly half just took issue with the term feminism. A 2014 poll from the Public Religion Research Institute found 65 percent of millennials say the term pro-life describes them “at least somewhat well,” while 74 percent say the same for “pro-choice.” These seeming contradictions lie in the fact that words—especially big, emotionally-laden words describing controversial or complicated concepts—connote different things to different people. 

When pollsters probe young people further about socialism and capitalism, they tend to find that respondents don’t have clear concepts of these economic philosophies. To many millennials, “socialism” doesn’t mean a government-managed economy but something like what we have now, only with more subsidized health care, student-loan forgiveness, and mandatory paid parental leave. Millennials were small children, if they were even born yet, when the Soviet Union dissolved. “Socialism” isn’t Romania and Yugoslavia but Scandinavia, not Karl Marx and union halls but Bernie Sanders and Twitter. 

“Capitalism,” meanwhile, doesn’t simply mean private, for-profit enterprise. It isn’t a category that has anything to do with the family-owned bodega on their corner or their friend’s new artisanal cupcake business or the proliferation of legal weed shops, with Tom’s shoes or their local grocery or that Uber they took last night. Capitalism is Big Banks, Wall Street, “income inequality,” greed. It’s wealthy sociopaths screwing over the little guy, Bernie Madoff, and horrifying sweatshops in China. It’s Walmart putting mom-and-pop stores out of business, McDonald’s making people fat, BP oil spills, banks pushing sub-prime mortgages, and Pfizer driving up drug prices while cancer patients die. However incomplete or caricatured, these are the narratives of capitalism that millennials have grown up with. 

Takeaways for fans for free enterprise?

We need to do a better job marketing capitalism, probably. We certainly need to consider whether and how the word can be reclaimed, or if we’re better served talking about the “market economy,” “private enterprise,” “free trade,” or “entrepreneurship.” Millennials love the word entrepreneur, with some surveys finding that more than half of young folks aspire toward entrepreneurship.

Millennials also love the idea of “social entrepreneurship”—doing well in business while doing good for others. Unlike anti-capitalists of yore, young people today don’t seem to see a tension between turning a profit and living righteously. It’s just a matter of making that money in an ethical manner, and “giving back” in some way, be it by donating a portion of proceeds or creating a product or service that provides a social good. (For more on all this, see my 2014 Reason feature, “Rise of the Hipster Capitalist.”)

As John Della Volpe, polling director at Harvard, puts it, millennials aren’t “rejecting the concept” of capitalism. “The way in which capitalism is practiced, in the minds of young people—that’s what they’re rejecting.”

The Reason-Rupe Millennial Poll, a national survey of 18- to 29-year-olds undertaken in 2014, found 56 percent of respondents had a favorable view of capitalism, making it slightly less popular than socialism, which was viewed favorably by 58 percent. Asked about “free markets” and a “government managed economy,” however, markets won big time. Only 28 percent of those surveyed saw socialized business positively, compared to 74 percent who view free markets positively. What’s more, 64 percent said they prefer free markets to a gov-managed economy, while only 32 percent said the opposite.

“Young people like free markets and the technology, products, and wealth [capitalism] creates,” wrote pollster Emily Ekins, “but they also want to feel confident the poor have access to what they need. In their minds socialism might simply connote a social safety net rather than government ownership.” 

In the new Harvard poll, economic-policy preferences were pretty evenly split between those who want more government intervention and those who want less, with large numbers of respondents unsure what course of action they preferred. Nearly half had no opinion on whether “our country’s goal in trade policy should be to eliminate all barriers to trade and employment so that we have a truly global economy.” Some 27 percent said it should, while 24 percent said it should not.

More respondents agreed that “cutting taxes is an effective way to increase economic growth” (35 percent) than disagreed with this statement (22 percent). Thirty-eight percent neither agreed nor disagreed. 

Ultimately, only 27 percent of millennials in the Harvard poll said they think the federal government should play a “large” role in regulating the economy, while 42 percent prefer it play a “moderate” role, 18 percent a “minimal” role, and 9 percent “no role” at all. The breakdown was similar for regulating Wall Street, with 30 percent wanting Uncle Sam to play a large role, 37 percent a moderate role, and 28 percent a minimal or no role. 

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America’s Millennial Dream: Making 20% Less & Drowning In Debt

Millennials have now overtaken baby boomers as America’s largest living generation according to Pew Research. Millennials as defined by Pew as ages 18-34 now number 75.4 million, slightly edging out Baby Boomers (ages 51-69) numbering 74.9 million. 

 

 

Millennials also have a few other things going for them, however not in a good way.

As the WSJ reports, Millennials in New York City are earning about 20% less than the previous generation of workers, and they are absolutely drowning in $14 billion in debt.

The average working 23-year old in New York City earned $23,543 compared to $27,731 in 2000 (adj. for inflation). Moving up the age scale a bit, the average 29-year old made $50,331 in 2014 versus $56,026 in 2000.

 

 

Another point worth mentioning in the article is that nationwide, the percentage of millennials living independently (read: not in their parents house) has fallen from 51% in 2007, to just 45% in 2014.

In summary, people from 18-34 are going to college, getting into debt, entering into the workforce at minimum wage, and living with their parents. The very definition of the American dream isn’t it? Imagine if Obama hadn’t saved the world’s economy, as he so humbly said he did.

Of course all of this speaks to what we discuss repeatedly on Zero Hedge. The economy is weak, the only jobs being created are primarily waiter and bartender jobs, and the fed is fueling a enormous student loan credit bubble. Now, courtesy of years of mismanaged policies and incompetence, millennials have do face the consequences directly.

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A Major Warning From Tom McClellan : “Can This Possibly End Well?”

In one of his tweets yesterday, Tom McClellan, creator of the famous McClellan Oscillator and Summation index used by thousands of traders everywhere as a market timing tool, pointed out something disturbing: the number of shares outstanding of the VXX, the VIX tracking ETN, has soared exponentialy in recent weeks.

 

* * *

As McClellan cautions: “VIX futures ETF extremely popular now. Can this possibly end well?

So what does this mean: is the surge of investor interest into VXX a contrary indicator and suggesting that the rally will continue? Not quite – as McClellan adds this is a “double-contrary indicator” and references the following explanation given in mid-February when the market had bottomed and when the number of VXX shares outstanding had tumbled.

Here is McClellan’s explanation from February 18 why “VXX Shares Outstanding Data Work Differently.”

One of the more popular new market sentiment tools among technical analysts is to look at the changes in the number of shares outstanding in various ETFs and ETNs.  As traders get more bullish or bearish, they move into or out of these instruments, and that shows up as changes to the numbers of shares outstanding. 

Normally, a high number of shares outstanding shows intense investor interest, and thus a topping condition for prices of that ETF and its associated market index.  Similarly, low levels mean nobody likes that ETF, and thus it is likely a bottom for that ETF’s price and thus for the market.

But this principle works differently in VIX-related ETNs like VXX and XIV.  VXX is designed to track the VIX positively by owning VIX futures, although it has big problems over time with slippage due to the roll from one futures contract to the next.  XIV is an inverse-VIX ETN, again by using VIX futures, so its share price goes up as VIX futures fall (or down as the VIX rises).

If VXX worked like other ETFs, then as the SP500 falls and the VIX rises, more investors would chase after it and drive up the total number of shares outstanding in VXX.  But instead we see the opposite behavior in the chart above.  Right now, VXX shares outstanding are at one of the lowest readings of the past couple of years [ZH: this was written on February 18], and such low readings are reliably associated with meaningful price bottoms for the SP500.  So rather than seeing the “hot money” piling into VXX as the VIX rises, its shares outstanding data acts more like a depiction of the “smart money”.

 

By the same token, XIV’s share price has fallen in 2016 as the VIX has risen, and investors have responded by pouring more money into XIV and thus driving up is number of shares outstanding:

I do not have an explanation for precisely why these ETNs work differently in how their shares outstanding data behave versus the behavior of SPY or QQQ shares outstanding.  But even if we cannot explain a phenomenon, that should not stop us from noticing that it does work differently.  And when we see it working reliably for long enough, the quest for “why” fades in importance.

Users of eSignal and QCharts (Interactive Data Corp.) can track these data under the symbols $VXX.SO and $XIV.SO.  The data on shares outstanding for many other ETFs are also available using the same symbol convention.  Other data vendors may also have it, so check with your own data company.

Right now, both VXX and XIV shares outstanding data are showing us that there should be some more upward movement for the stock market before we get the next downturn toward the April low.

* * *

McClellan wrote the above just over two months ago, when he accurately bottom-ticked the market. He is now out with the opposite warning, and suggesting that the record number of VXX shares outstanding is an indicator that the top, at least according to this technical indicator, is now in and a sharp drop may follow.

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Justice Stevens Is Wrong About the Constitution, Again

Retired Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens delivered a speech this week at Washington University Law School in St. Louis. The purpose of the speech, Stevens explained, was to “say a few words about my former colleague, Nino Scalia, and a few of the cases we decided during the 28 years that we served together on the Court.”

Perhaps unsurprisingly, among the cases that Stevens brought up for discussion was District of Columbia v. Heller, the 2008 dispute in which Stevens cast the principal dissent and Justice Scalia wrote the majority opinion, holding that the Second Amendment protects an individual right—not a collective one—to keep and bear arms. “Our views diverged,” Stevens told his audience, on “whether the framers understood the Second Amendment to protect the right of the people of each State to maintain a well-regulated militia, as I think, or whether the framers instead understood that Amendment as protecting a right of private civilians to own and use firearms for nonmilitary purposes, as Justice Scalia thought.” Under Stevens’ losing view, the Second Amendment would offer zero constitutional protections for such “nonmilitary purposes” as owning guns for hunting, sport shooting, or self-defense.

The speech was in keeping with Stevens’ recent public behavior. Since retiring from SCOTUS in 2010, Stevens has apparently found it quite difficult to keep his legal opinions to himself. Speaking before the Equal Justice Initiative in New York City, for example, Stevens declared, “if I were still an active justice, I would have joined [Justice Samuel Alito’s] powerful dissent in the recent case holding that the intentional infliction of severe emotional harm is constitutionally protected speech.” Stevens was referring to Snyder v. Phelps (2011), the case in which the Supreme Court ruled 8-1 (Alito was the only dissenter) that the First Amendment covers the right of the Westboro Baptist Church to hold offensive protests outside of military funerals. As the majority opinion of Chief Justice John Roberts noted, correctly, “such speech cannot be restricted simply because it is upsetting or arouses contempt.”

Along similar lines, in a 2011 speech at the University of Alabama School of Law, Justice Stevens took to the stage in defense of his 2005 majority opinion in Kelo v. City of New London. “The Kelo majority opinion remains unpopular,” Stevens complained. “Recently a commentator named Damon W. Root described the decision as the ’eminent domain debacle.'” (I did. Here’s why.) Stevens then tried to justify his lousy Kelo opinion on the grounds that “Kelo adhered to the doctrine of judicial restraint, which allows state legislatures broad latitude in making economic policy decisions in their respective jurisdictions.”

Perhaps you’ve begun to notice a pattern in Stevens’ thinking. Stevens prefers the narrowest interpretation of the Second Amendment, thus giving lawmakers maximum power. Stevens prefers the narrowest interpretation of the First Amendment, thus giving censors maximum power. Stevens prefers the narrowest interpretation of the Fifth Amendment, thus giving the forces of eminent domain maximum power. As I have previously observed about the retired justice, Stevens’ views about cases such as these “raise troubling concerns about Stevens’ commitment to the written Constitution.”

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More Big Wins for Clinton and Trump, Abortion Could Be Felony In Oklahoma, Most People Say Primary Process Stinks: A.M. Links

  • Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump cleaned up in Tuesday’s elections, with Trump beating Republican rivals in all five states—Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island—that held contests yesterday. Clinton won against Democratic challenger Sen. Bernie Sanders in all but Rhode Island. 
  • Next up: Indiana
  • Fifty-one percent of respondents in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll said they think the system for picking presidential nominees is “rigged” and more than two-thirds would like to see changes.
  • Oklahoma lawmakers want to make it a felony for doctors to perform abortions unless a woman’s life is in danger. 
  • Salah Abdeslam, a suspect in last year’s terrorist attacks in Paris, was handed over to France today so he can be charged and stand trial.
  • U.K. citizens are split on whether they should remain part of the European Union; a vote is scheduled for June 23. 

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter, and don’t forget to sign up for Reason’s daily updates for more content.

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With Tech Tanking, Can Anything Save The System?

Submitted by John Rubino via DollarCollapse.com,

First it was the banks reporting horrendous numbers — largely, we were told, because of their exposure to recently-cratered energy companies. Now it’s Big Tech, which is a much harder thing to explain. The FAANGs (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google) own their niches and not so long ago were expected to generate strong growth pretty much forever. That’s why every large-cap mutual fund and most hedge funds (not to mention a few central banks) owned so much of them.

This year’s first quarter was emphatically not what their fans had in mind. Apple, for instance, reported not just a slowdown but a double-digit year-over-year sales decline:

Rotten Apple: Stock plunges 8% on earnings, revenue miss

 

(CNBC) – Apple reported quarterly earnings and revenue that missed analysts’ estimates on Tuesday, and its guidance for the current quarter also fell shy of expectations.

 

The tech giant said it saw fiscal second-quarter earnings of $1.90 per diluted share on $50.56 billion in revenue. Wall Street expected Apple to report earnings of about $2 a share on $51.97 billion in revenue, according to a consensus estimate from Thomson Reuters.

 

That revenue figure was a roughly 13 percent decline against $58.01 billion in the comparable year-ago period — representing the first year-over-year quarterly sales drop since 2003.

 

Shares in the company fell more than 8 percent in after-hours trading, erasing more than $46 billion in market cap. That after-hours loss is greater than the market cap of 391 of the S&P 500 companies.

 

Looking ahead to the fiscal third quarter, Apple said it expects revenue between $41 billion and $43 billion — Wall Street had expected $47.42 billion on average, according to StreetAccount.

 

One area of weakness for Apple in its second-quarter was the Greater China segment — comprising mainland China, Taiwan and Hong Kong. Revenue for that region fell 26 percent year-over-year to $12.49 billion. Previously, that area had posted consistent growth for China.

Twitter managed to grow in the first quarter, but its next-quarter revenue projection came in 10% below Wall Street’s consensus:

Twitter sinks 12% on revenue miss, guidance

 

(CNBC) – Twitter on Tuesday posted mixed quarterly results and gave sales guidance that disappointed Wall Street, even as its user base grew more than expected.

 

The social media company reported adjusted first-quarter earnings of 15 cents per share on $594.5 million in revenue. Earnings rose from 7 cents per share in the previous year, while sales climbed 36 percent from $435.9 million in the prior-year period.

 

Analysts expected Twitter to report earnings of 10 cents per share on $608 million in revenue, according to a consensus estimate from Thomson Reuters.

 

Shares dropped about 12 percent in after-hours trading Tuesday.

 

Twitter said it expects second-quarter revenue of $590 million to $610 million, well below analysts’ estimates of $678 million, according to Thomson Reuters. In the company’s conference call, executives downplayed the low estimate, saying it did not reflect sagging interest from advertisers.

The repercussions from tech’s tank are myriad, in part because so many sophisticated investors own so much of this paper. As Zero Hedge just noted:

Wall Street In Pain: 163 Hedge Funds Are Long AAPL Stock

 

First it was the blow up of hedge fund darling Valeant that crushed countless funds who were long the name.

 

Then, one month ago after the collapse of the Allergan-Pfizer deal, we showed (one of the reasons) why the hedge fund world continued to underperform the broader market: Allergan was one of the most widely held hedge fund stocks.

 

And now, following the biggest Apple debacle in years, here is the reason why the hedge fund community is about to see even more redemption requests and underperform the market even more: according to the latest GS hedge fund tracker, at least 163 hedge fund are long the name which has just lost over $40 billion in market cap in the after hours. The good news: it used to be over 200 as recently as a year ago.

 

Tears won’t be confined to Wall Street however: let’s not forget that none other than the Swiss National Bank is also long some 10.4 million shares of AAPL.

It also won’t be a surprise to find out that the Japanese central bank — a massive buyer of equities which recently began diversifying into other countries’ shares — and the US Plunge Protection Team are on the hook for a few tens of billions here. But stock market squiggles and hedge fund redemptions are a side-show. The big questions are:

1) Can an economy grow when its banks, energy companies and tech giants are all losing ground?

 

2) Can a hyper-leveraged global financial system survive if its main economies can’t grow?

The answer to both questions is almost certainly “no.” So either something extraordinary (and extraordinarily unlikely) happens to ignite sustainable growth, or the dissolution of the fiat currency/fractional reserve banking/central planning model will begin. Expect developed world governments to do almost literally anything to stop that from happening.

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German Nuclear Power Plant Confirms It Was Infected With Computer Viruses

Two days ago we reported an initial, unconfirmed report that in a deja vu occurrence of what happened in Iran several years ago when its nuclear enrichment plant was found infected with the infamous Stuxnet virus, a computer malware virus was discovered at the Gundremmingen nuclear power plant in Bavaria.

Today we finally have confirmation after Reuters reports that the nuclear power plant was indeed infected with not one but several computer viruses. But don’t worry, Reuters is quick to calm a concerned public, “they appear not to have posed a threat to the facility’s operations because it is isolated from the Internet, the station’s operator said on Tuesday.” The Gundremmingen plant in question is located about 120 km (75 miles) northwest of Munich, is run by the German utility RWE.


The nuclear power plant of Gundremmingen. Photo: Reuters

Ironically, this takes place just a week after the German government made an unprecedented request of Belgium to temporarily shut two nuclear reactors, citing technical issues involving possible safety defects. Last week Germany asked Belgium to take Engie SA’s Tihange-2 and Doel-3 atomic plants offline until the safety concerns can be addressed, Environment Minister Barbara Hendricks said last Wednesday.

It appears that the safety concern may have been Germany’s after all.

The viruses, which include “W32.Ramnit” and “Conficker”, were discovered at Gundremmingen’s B unit in a computer system retrofitted in 2008 with data visualization software associated with equipment for moving nuclear fuel rods, RWE said.

Just like in the case of Iran where USB sticks were used to infect the local nuclear facility, Reuters reports that malware was also found on 18 removable data drives, mainly USB sticks, in office computers maintained separately from the plant’s operating systems. RWE said it had increased cyber-security measures as a result.

W32.Ramnit is designed to steal files from infected computers and targets Microsoft Windows software, according to the security firm Symantec. First discovered in 2010, it is distributed through data sticks, among other methods, and is intended to give an attacker remote control over a system when it is connected to the Internet.

Conficker has infected millions of Windows computers worldwide since it first came to light in 2008. It is able to spread through networks and by copying itself onto removable data drives, Symantec said. 

For now it remains unclear who is behind this latest viral attack.

In 2013, a computer virus attacked a turbine control system at a U.S. power company after a technician inserted an infected USB computer drive into the network, keeping a plant off line for three weeks.

RWE has informed Germany’s Federal Office for Information Security (BSI), which is working with IT specialists at the group to look into the incident. The BSI was not immediately available for comment.

And now damage control. Mikko Hypponen, chief research officer for Finland-based F-Secure, said that infections of critical infrastructure were surprisingly common, but that they were generally not dangerous unless the plant had been targeted specifically. The most common viruses spread without much awareness of where they are, he said.

As an example, Hypponen said he had recently spoken to a European aircraft maker that said it cleans the cockpits of its planes every week of malware designed for Android phones. The malware spread to the planes only because factory employees were charging their phones with the USB port in the cockpit. Because the plane runs a different operating system, nothing would befall it. But it would pass the virus on to other devices that plugged into the charger.

In retrospect, if trying to calm the public, it is perhaps not a great idea to say that the nuclear power plant is safe as a result of the infection just because various airplanes are also infected with comparable viruses.

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You’ll Never Guess Who’s Been Buying This Rally…

Futures are looking weak again.

Traders gunned for 2,100 on the S&P 500 last week. They briefly touched that level, but there was no follow through for the obvious reason: no one with a brain believes this rally.

We’ve broken above the downward trendline established by a series of lower highs in 2015. However, there’s a decent space between here and the all-time highs that has yet to be filled. And with momentum waning, it’s quite possible this move was a false breakout.

In truth it’s difficult to find just who is buying stocks right now.

  1. Corporate buybacks are in a blackout period, so it’s not that.
  2. Corporate insiders are selling the farm.
  3. Individual investors are pulling money out of stock funds.
  4. And institutional investors have been net sellers of stocks for weeks now.

This leaves Central Banks.

What used to be conspiracy theory is now a fact: the futures exchanges permit Central Banks to buy stock futures to provide “liquidity.” It is not coincidence that this policy occurred around the time the markets began to feel increasingly manipulated with stocks ramping higher for absolutely no reason at various points during the day.

If this whole mess sounds like a recipe for a Crash to you, you’re correct. Markets require actual buyers to perform. Sure, Central Banks can manipulate stocks here and there, but you need real buy orders for a market to not completely implode.

Remember the Flash Crash? Remember 2008? Central Banks couldn’t stop those either.

Take a look at the S&P 500’s long-term chart. Where does it look like it’s heading to you?

If you’ve yet to take action to prepare for the second round of the financial crisis, we offer a FREE investment report Financial Crisis "Round Two" Survival Guide that outlines easy, simple to follow strategies you can use to not only protect your portfolio from a market downturn, but actually produce profits.

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After Saying Oil Would “Not Hit $44 During My Lifetime”, Gartman Flip-Flops, Turns Bullish

In late January, when oil was trading in the low $30 range, Dennis Gartman made a bold forecast: “we won’t see crude above $44 again in my lifetime”

 

Three months later, oil just hit $45 – its highest price since November – and yet Gartman is still alive…

A paradox? Gartman has an explanation, and it has to do with Keynes, “erring” and “wrongness.” From this latest note:

Finally… and perhaps most importantly… we invoke Lord John Maynard Keynes this morning who said long ago when he had changed his mind on an investment he had previous touted that “When the facts change, I change; What then do you do, Sir?” The facts are changing in the world of crude oil; demand is still rather strong and supplies seem to be rising but only modestly. Further, the term structures are shifting. We had been, on balance and really quite openly, bearish of crude for the past several years, erring always to sell crude’s rallies rather than to buy crude’s weakness. That has been wrong for the past two months and it is time to acknowledge that “wrongness.” If the facts are indeed changing… and certainly they seem to be… then we too must change. Lord Keynes did; we must also.

Well, “change” is certainly prefereably to “die.”

Oil can now crash.

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Venezuela Economy Literally Grinds To A Halt As Maduro Orders “Five Day Weekend” For Public Workers

Just three weeks ago, the Venezuela socialist paradise gifted local workers with one extra day of rest each week when, as a result of the crippling economic crisis and collapsing power grid, president Maduro designated every Friday in the months of April and May as a non-working holiday in his desperate bid to save electricity as a prolonged drought pushes water levels to a critical threshold at hydro-generation plants. Never without a scapegoat, Maduro immediately blamed El-Nino for implementing the three-day weekend.

“This plan for 60 days, for two months, will allow the country to get through the most difficult period with the most risk,” Maduro said on state television in early April. “I call on families, on the youth, to join this plan with discipline, with conscience and extreme collaboration to confront this extreme situation” of the drought blamed on the El Nino weather system.

As a reminder, the reason for the electrical rationing was the water content of Venezuela’s Guri Dam, which supplies more than two-thirds of the country’s electricity. As The Latin American Herald Tribune wrote a month ago, the dam “is less than four meters from reaching the level where power generation will be impossible. Water levels at the hydroelectric dam are 3.56 meters from the start of a ‘collapse’ of the national electric system. Guri water levels are at their lowest levels since 2003, when the a nationwide strike against Hugo Chavez reduced the need for power, masking the problem.”

Yesterday the water levels at Guri dam reached a record low of 241.67 meters, according to state power utility Corpoelec. If levels drop below 240 meters, the dam’s operator may be forced to shut down units at the plant that produces about 75 percent of the electricity that Caracas, the country’s capital and largest city, consumes.

(arrow shows where the water shoud be if the dam were operating at capacity)

 

Alas, since this plan was doomed to fail as the Venezuela economy would produce even less output as a result of the extended weekend, things went from comical to farcical overnight when the Venezuelan gift kept on giving, and the nation expanded the three-day weekend to five days, declaring a two-day work week for government workers, adding it was seeking international help to save its power grid amid a drought that threatens the capital’s main source of electricity.

The two-day work week, after the government added Wednesdays and Thursdays as non-working days to save more power, will last at least two weeks, President Nicolas Maduro said on his weekly program broadcast on state television. Schools will be closed on Fridays starting this week, he said.

“The public sector will work Monday and Tuesday, while we go through these critical and extreme weeks where we are doing everything to save the Guri,” Maduro said, referring to the giant hydroelectric dam that has become like a “desert.” The collection of electricity-saving measures have reduced Guri’s daily drop from 22 centimeters a day to 10 centimeters, he added.

As Bloomberg adds, Venezuela is requesting emergency international help from the United Nations for public works construction to help the country recover from an “extreme situation,” Maduro said. He called for “social peace” during the power crisis.

Meanwhile, Venezuelans, except those in the capital and some states, began to experience programmed four-hour rolling blackouts on Monday as a drought cripples generation at the Guri dam. According to the IMF, Venezuela’s economy will contract 8% this year, after shrinking 5.7% in 2015. Considering hyperinflation in Venezuela is already running at over 700%,and now that the economy is effectively shut down, we will take the under.

 

Today’s announcement follows another curious idea by Maduro when earlier this month he ordered the country’s time zone changed to save energy, reversing the decision by his predecessor, Hugo Chavez, to set back clocks 30 minutes in 2007 to ease daily predawn commutes for school children and the poor. Clocks will be moved forward a half hour May 1.

Looking forward, we doubt that the decision to expand the weekend from 3 to 5 days will be reversed any time soon (after all the initial 3-day weekend expansion was supposed to be temporary as well), and the most likely outcome is that in his next decree, Maduro will announce that public workers can just take a 7 day weekend, and no longer show to work. They will also receive a commesurate wage.

At that point, we assume, is when the Venezuela experiment in creating a socialist paradise finally concludes.

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