Ukraine’s Battle is Doomed

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It’s history in the making, sitting on the sidelines, watching the scuffle happen and roll before your very eyes. But, it’s not worth a great deal when you know what the end of the match is going to be. There’s hardly any point in watching the murder, mystery and suspense film, when you know that it was Colonel Mustard in the ballroom with the dagger, rather than with Miss Scarlett. It’s the same with Ukraine. We know what the outcome might be already and really the only reason we are sitting watching the war film is because it’s on our doorstep in Europe and in our back yard in the Western world. Plus, it revives the old fears, the old divisions, the old hassles and we all sit their saying that we “haven’t moved on one bit from the Cold Wall”. They should have kept the Berlin Wall standing as it didn’t do any long-term good dismantling it 1989 some might even say. The only thing it brought about was catharsis from the past actions of division. Whatever happens between Russia and the West in Ukraine, the country will be doomed to failure.

Ukraine’s interim government, after having ousted President Viktor Yanukovich and seen him flee into the shirt-tails of Vladimir Putin, has decided to hold on to temporary power before elections are to take place. In order to do so, the interim government has quickly cottoned on to the fact that they are in need of money. The West might bung them a few billion, or one maybe (according to Secretary of State John Kerry), if they are lucky. Although, it should be remembered that money pledged to another state is a bit like charity money after a natural disaster somewhere in the world. Firstly, it’s only a promise and promises don’t have to be upheld in this world. Secondly, we don’t have to give it immediately. So, in the meantime, the Ukrainians are getting all the rich oligarchs of the country into the government and on their side. They really have understood what the definition of government is, haven’t they?

For example, two of the richest people in the country have been given positions in the interim government already. Igor Kolomoisky, billionaire Ukrainian and now the Governor of the region of Dnipropetrovskimmediately used his new function to call Vladimir Putin “schizophrenic [and] of short stature”. It’s like times of old, when guys get awarded whole regions of a country for the playroom. Although admittedly, Vladimir Putin measures 5’7”. The second is Serhiy Taruta, Ukrainian businessman and chairman of the Industrial Union of Donbas, President of FC Metalurh Donetsk and with an estimated wealth of $2 billion. Now, he is regional administrator of the region of Danetsk.

There are nine billionaires in Russia today according to the Forbes Rich List. They have all made their money from Ukraine’s natural resources.

Politics and Business go hand in hand. Are they (like our) business-oriented politicians or rather political businessmen?

All acting in the West and the East?

Is all the heated anger just feigned from both parties in the west and the East? Remember when on March 26th 2012 the US President was caught on hot mic giving a nod and a wink to Dmitry Medvedev supposedly behind the backs of the public (you would think that they would learn by now that the mic is open and the cameras are rolling still):

Obama: On all these issues, but particularly missile defense, this, this can be solved but it’s important for him to give me space.
Medvedev: Yeah, I understand. I understand your message about space. Space for you…
Obama: This is my last election. After my election I have more flexibility.
Medvedev: I understand. I will transmit this information to Vladimir.

Obama won the election and now it’s that flexibility in view and not just in terms of national security and ballistic missiles either. Although, it should be remembered that it was so important to protect national security that we had to have our lives invaded by the prying National Security Agency. As soon as President Obama had entered office, it was then that he decided to cancel an agreement of the Bush Presidency, infuriating Polandand the Czech Republic. Ukraine wasn’t asked what they thought back then. The missile-defense shield was scrapped by Obama to the joy of the Russians, leaving the way open to do what they wanted. The Strategic Arms Reduction (START) Treaty also became binding and strictly reduced the USA‘s flexibility on missile-defense activity. The USA lost flexibility, Obama gained it and so did Russia.

Perhaps all of this was planned in the long-term long ago and now the guys in the West and those in the East are just play acting. Me thinks that the European bunch never got told since they are at a loss as t’where they should be running.

Whatever happens, Ukraine will fall. If they get overrun by the Russian oligarchs, then they are doomed. If the West sells out on them, they are doomed. If the West helps them, they are doomed. If they continue with their own oligarch government, they are doomed.

Doomed means likely to have an inescapable outcome. Play your bets, ladies and gentlemen.

Originally posted: Ukraine’s Battle is Doomed