Dow Jones Futures are up almost 400 points from the post-trade-war lows, Nasdaq is up even more on a relative basis, and ‘safe-haven’ FANG stocks are soaring as investors embrace the trade war…
There’s just one thing – nothing else agrees with this riskless, goldilocks environment, and DoubleLine’s Jeff Gundlach points out the ugly reality to those willing to listen…
Yield curve nearly flat 2/10 + Fed auto-tightening + QT + tariffs + high stock & bond valuations + exploding deficit = Risk, not Goldilocks.
— Jeffrey Gundlach (@TruthGundlach) July 7, 2018
One quick glance at the gaping divergence between lower yields (and collapsing yield curve) and soaring stocks tells you something is amiss (and we know which way this normally resolves in the short term)
Which is what Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd is worried about:
Markets are crazy to ignore the risks and consequences of a #tradewar. This rally in #stocks is the last hurrah! Investors should sell now, speculators may do better in August.
— Scott Minerd (@ScottMinerd) July 9, 2018
And judging from the yield curve, growth is anything but the thing to buy right now…
As we are already seeing global trade volumes slump…
via RSS https://ift.tt/2uhecKl Tyler Durden