Philly Fed Surges To Highest Since March 2011 Despite Plunge In Jobs & New Orders

Philly Fed has beaten expectations for 6 months in a row with its biggest surge since the 2009 lows. Against expectations of 19.3, Philly Fed printed 28.0 – highest since March 2011 all-time highs. All sounds awesome right? Umm, no, 7 of 9 internal declined including – New Orders tanked, Employment tumbled, Prices Paid plunged, and Prices Received slumped. So, in case you were wondering how it is possible that Philly Fed surged given such shitty internals, the 6-month forecast index (“hope”) just surged to 22-year highs. And not only that: put all hopes of that long-delayed CapEx renaissance on hold: “While most broad indicators of future growth have been improving, the survey’s future capital spending index has been slipping. Although the index decreased just 1 point this month, its reading, at 17.5, is now the lowest it has been in seven months.”

Look forward to Yellen talking soon about lack of capital spending as a pretext to keep ZIRP on for much, much longer.

Philly Fed headline surges…