Trump’s Awful Embrace of ‘Fair Trade’: New at Reason

Donald Trump, a man who campaigned on protectionist rhetoric, says he can finagle better trade agreements for the United States. But judging from his rhetoric, writes David Harsanyi, it seems the president believes protectionism is preferable to deals that lower barriers for all parties. His public position on trade—one of his only enduring political positions—is that jobs and industries can be saved by using tariffs.

Take Trump’s top trade adviser, Peter Navarro, who recently laid out his basic concerns in a recent New York Times piece: “First, trade must be not only free but also fair and reciprocal.”

“Fair trade,” once used predominately by progressives, is a neologism without meaning. It allows a person to oppose complex agreements for a litany of reasons. The word “fair” is elastic and ambiguous, Harsanyi notes, which is why it’s so popular with adolescents.

View this article.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2JN6jm6
via IFTTT

Kurt Loder Reviews The Incredibles 2: New at Reason

After a sabbatical of several years in live-action land, where he made Mission: Impossible – Ghost Protocol (huge hit) and Tomorrowland (not so much), writer-director Brad Bird is back at the helm of a big Pixar animated feature—for which we should offer thanks to whatever popcorn gods are in charge of such things. Bird’s Incredibles 2 is of course the long-delayed sequel to his 2004 classic The Incredibles, that dazzling fusion of superhero pandemonium, ’60s spy-movie flourishes, and warm family emotion that was something truly new at the international box office. This new one, I’m happy to report, is more of that.

View this article.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2tbIgq7
via IFTTT

How Cory Gardner Flipped Trump on Pot: New at Reason

From Mark Sanford to Bob Corker to Jeff Flake, it’s been a rough week for that most despised of Washington characters: The anti-Trump Republican. The right hates them for disloyalty and sanctimony, while the left treats them like a bunch of “democracy peacocks”—all plume, no teeth. That’s another reason to study the example of Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.), the man who in six short months got the Trump administration to change its mind on enforcing federal drug laws in states where pot is legal.

View this article.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2LUHc1J
via IFTTT

Brickbat: Get on the Bus

School busPrince George’s County, Maryland, police have charged school bus aide DeQuan Brooks with second-degree child abuse and second-degree assault for assaulting a 7-year-old special needs student. The school system has also reassigned the driver of the bus and another adult who was on the bus. Police say the three adults told them the student had acted out and tried to throw Brooks’ cellphone out a window. But when they reviewed security video from the bus, police found no evidence to support that story. Instead, they say, the video showed Brooks grabbing the boy and shoving him into the seats.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2HRxeLL
via IFTTT

Encryption Wars Ramp Up As Apple Improves Phone Security

iPhoneApple is making it even harder for people to break into iPhones and steal their contents. While that is good news for consumers, law enforcement agencies complain that Apple is giving free rein to terrorists and pedophiles by impeding government access and surveillance.

The data port you use to charge your phone or connect it to your computer can also be used to access and download your data. Apple is planning a software update that will block port access to a phone’s data if the phone has not been used for an hour. Anybody who wants to access the data will have to enter the phone’s password.

This change means that if somebody steals your phone it will be harder for them to access the contents. It also means that if law enforcement agents take your phone, it will be harder for them to access the data. You can guess which aspect of this security update is getting the media attention. From The New York Times:

Such a change would hinder law enforcement officials, who have typically been opening locked iPhones by connecting another device running special software to the port, often days or even months after the smartphone was last unlocked. News of Apple’s planned software update has begun spreading through security blogs and law enforcement circles—and many in investigative agencies are infuriated.

“If we go back to the situation where we again don’t have access, now we know directly all the evidence we’ve lost and all the kids we can’t put into a position of safety,” said Chuck Cohen, who leads an Indiana State Police task force on internet crimes against children. The Indiana State Police said it unlocked 96 iPhones for various cases this year, each time with a warrant, using a $15,000 device it bought in March from a company called Grayshift.

A cryptography professor notes that Apple is fixing a huge security vulnerability, because these Grayshift devices could easily get out into the public and be used for purposes other than law enforcement. Apple’s statement makes it clear why the company needs to update its systems: “We’re constantly strengthening the security protections in every Apple product to help customers defend against hackers, identity thieves and intrusions into their personal data.”

Motherboard, which broke the news of the security improvement earlier this month, notes that Grayshift won’t simply give up and may have already figured out a workaround. If that’s true, no doubt Apple will try to close any new security loopholes. And so it goes.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2HNpJpq
via IFTTT

‘I Am Absolutely a Product of the Libertarian-Industrial Complex’: Podcast

It’s a waste of time to vote. Disposable plastic shopping bags are a brilliantly engineered technology that should be celebrated, not taxed out of existence. Of course we should welcome our future robot overlords. Here’s a great recipe for pot brownies.

Those are but a few of the memorable, provocative articles that Reason Editor in Chief Katherine Mangu-Ward has contributed to our pages over the years. Before she rose to the top of the masthead, Mangu-Ward worked for us back in 2000 as an intern. After graduating from Yale, she worked for The Weekly Standard and The New York Times before returning to Reason in 2006 as an associate editor.

Founded in 1968 by Lanny Friedlander (1947–2011), Reason is celebrating its 50th anniversary by hosting a series of in-depth conversations with past editors in chief about how the magazine has changed since its founding, what we’ve gotten right and wrong over the years, and what the future holds for believers in “free minds and free markets.”

In this Reason Podcast, I talk with Mangu-Ward about how she became libertarian, why she likes to defend the indefensible, how she came up with the masterful “Burn After Reading” issue of Reason (which teaches you how to build a Glock in your kitchen, hire an escort, hide your Bitcoin, and more), and what she thinks the world will look like in 2068.

Subscribe, rate, and review our podcast at iTunes. Listen at SoundCloud below:

Audio production by Ian Keyser.

Don’t miss a single Reason Podcast! (Archive here.)

Subscribe at iTunes

Follow us at SoundCloud

Subscribe at YouTube

Like us on Facebook

Follow us on Twitter

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2LPRqjB
via IFTTT

I.G. Report Won’t Settle Any Arguments About Hillary Clinton’s Emails

||| JONATHAN ERNST/REUTERS/NewscomIn August 2016, Peter Strzok, then the FBI’s counterespionage chief, told his FBI lawyer galpal Lisa Page that Donald Trump would never become president. “No. No he won’t,” Strzok texted to Page, according to a highly anticipated report released today by Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz. “We’ll stop it.” Yet the I.G. report ultimately concludes that Strzok, who was bounced by Special Counsel Robert Mueller from the Trump/Russia probe last summer when a cache of his inappropriate and political texts with Page were discovered, did not measurably act on his desire to prevent Trump’s victory.

“We found that Strzok was not the sole decisionmaker for any of the specific Midyear investigative decisions we examined,” the executive summary says, referring to the FBI investigation of Hillary Clinton’s email practices as secretary of state. “We did not find documentary or testimonial evidence that improper considerations, including political bias, directly affected the specific investigative decisions we reviewed….These messages cast a cloud over the FBI’s handling of the Midyear investigation and the investigation’s credibility. But our review did not find evidence to connect the political views expressed in these messages to the specific investigative decisions that we reviewed; rather, consistent with the analytic approach described above, we found that these specific decisions were the result of discretionary judgments made during the course of an investigation by the Midyear agents and prosecutors and that these judgment calls were not unreasonable.”

Thus arrives the latest evidentiary Rorschach test in a Trump/Hillary/FBI/Russia investigative and political dispute that shows no signs of abating. There is ample material in Horowitz’s report for both sides to see what they want to see and hear what they want to hear, particularly in regard to embattled former FBI Director James Comey.

Comey, the report found, deviated “clearly and dramatically from FBI and department norms” in his unusually public and self-directed handling of the Clinton investigation during the 2016 campaign, which “negatively impacted the perception of the FBI and the department as fair administrators of justice.” In particular, Comey made a “serious error of judgment” in sending an October 28 letter to Congress saying he was reopening the investigation based on the discovery of Clinton emails on Anthony Weiner’s laptop, especially since the laptop had been discovered a full month before.

“Comey’s description of his choice as being between ‘two doors,’ one labeled ‘speak’ and one labeled ‘conceal,’ was a false dichotomy,” the report charges. “The two doors were actually labeled ‘follow policy/practice’ and ‘depart from policy/practice.'” Still, “we did not find that these decisions were the result of political bias on Comey’s part.”

Comey reacted with his usual stoic pomposity:

The former FBI director found time to author a whole New York Times op-ed piece in response. “The report also resoundingly demonstrates that there was no prosecutable case against Mrs. Clinton, as we had concluded,” he wrote.

Democrats, meanwhile, are once again howling for Comey’s blood. “The stark conclusion we draw after reviewing this report,” Reps. Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) and Elijah Cummings (D-Maryland) said in a joint statement, “is that the FBI’s actions helped Donald Trump become president.”

Republicans, too, feel vindicated. “I am alarmed, angered, and deeply disappointed by the Inspector General’s finding of numerous failures by DOJ and FBI,” Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.) said in statement. “This is not the way normal investigations are run. The investigation was mishandled. The investigatory conclusions were reached before the end of the witness interviews…. The report also conclusively shows an alarming and destructive level of animus displayed by top officials at the FBI. Peter Strzok’s manifest bias trending toward animus casts a pall on this investigation. Bias is so pernicious and malignant as to both taint the process, the result, and the ability to have confidence in either.”

Inspector General Horowitz is widely respected in law enforcement and on both sides of the political aisle, so it will be interesting to see if those disappointed that the report didn’t provide the final nail in whatever coffin they’re hammering on start criticizing his professionalism. More likely, the details across its 568 pages will provide more fodder for a years-long debate and concurrent investigations that seem destined to linger for a long time.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2t6gZFv
via IFTTT

Is 23andMe’s ‘Root for Your Roots’ World Cup Promotion Racist?

FIFAWorldCupThe direct-to-consumer genetic testing company 23andMe is “using genetics to sponsor racism,” claims the bioethicist Arthur Caplan. That is a serious charge if true. So what has gotten Caplan all het up?

Evidently something called the “World Cup” has just gotten started. I believe it is some kind of sporting competition involving teams that hail from different countries. As I understand it, the U.S. team did not make the cut and so will not be participating in the competition. So if American sports fans want to experience whatever vicarious thrills (dopamine fluctuations) come from backing one team over another in an athletic competition, they can pick one of the national teams that did qualify for the World Cup thingy. But how to choose? Throw a dart at the matchups poster? Flip coins? Pick the team with a uniform that features your favorite color?

This is where 23andMe’s “Root for Your Roots” promotion comes in. The company suggests that American customers casting about for a national team to support may want to take into account the origins of their ancestors. I am certain that many of my more sports-minded friends are already preparing to yell at their televisions in support of teams from France, Germany, Russia, Poland, England, or Sweden based on their families’ immigration histories.

Caplan asserts that Root for Your Roots “is built on bogus science about the genetics of how we define nations and ethnic groups.” He says “it appeals to the racism in us to pick a team we can root for.” But is that so? Regarding Caplan’s bogosity claim, 23andMe explains that it compares its customers’ genotype results with those in 31 reference data sets that include genotypes from more than 11,000 people who were chosen to reflect populations that existed before transcontinental travel and migration were common (at least 500 years ago). The company is careful to explain what its test can and cannot tell people about their ancestries. WorldCupChart

To determine customers’ recent ancestor locations, 23andMe looks for pieces of DNA that they have in common with individuals of known ancestry from over 120 countries and territories in Europe, Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Oceania. The company notes that sections of DNA sometimes resemble reference DNA in several populations, in which case customers are assigned to broad ancestry classifications. In my case, the company’s algorithm reports that 99.6 percent of my genes derive from European populations, with 43 percent associated with British and Irish populations and 31 percent being broadly northwestern European. As it happens, I carry more Neanderthal gene variants than do 86 percent of 23andMe’s other customers. Just saying.

So genotype testing as a way to probe ancestry is certainly not scientifically bogus. But does 23andMe’s promotion appeal to the racism in us? It is true that a few white supremacists holding confused notions of genetic essentialism have used genotype tests to confirm their pale purity. But it seems highly unlikely to me that 23andMe ancestry composition results will nudge the average customer toward athletic racism.

In a counterpoint to Caplan, George Quraishi, the founder of the magazine Howler, which evidently covers whatever sport is being played by the teams involved in the World Cup tournament, argues cogently that “rooting for your ancestors doesn’t make you racist.” Quraishi observes that a “fan can usually explain why he chose to love his team, but there is seldom any logic to it.” Had the U.S. team qualified to compete in the World Cup series, would the fact that American fans cheered for it have made them racist hooligans? As Quraishi points out, the worst that is apt to happen if for whatever reason you decide to pick a team “is that you’ll waste a few hours of your life screaming at a TV show featuring two groups of men who are being paid millions of dollars to determine who is more proficient at placing a small orb between two sticks.”

I don’t get it, but lots of psychological research finds that rooting for sports teams is beneficial to fans. One research review “indicates that high levels of identification with teams with readily available social connections are associated with many indices of social well-being, including lower levels of loneliness and alienation, and higher levels of collective self-esteem, personal self-esteem, frequency of experiencing positive emotions, extroversion, conscientiousness, and social life satisfaction.” Go figure.

My 23andMe results suggest that I might consider rooting for England, Germany, or France. If DNA test results don’t incline a customer toward a team, the company offers the rest of the participating countries as a bunch of wild cards. If I had to choose, I would pick Costa Rica, for no better reason than that I worked at the Tico Times for a while back in the 1990s. I think I will instead watch the competitions on World of Dance. I just can’t decide between team Charity & Andres and team Josh & Taylor.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2LSQawq
via IFTTT

Obamacare Critics and Defenders Team Up Against the Trump Administration’s Refusal to Defend the Health Law in Court

Last week, in response to a legal challenge filed by Texas and a group of conservatives states, the Trump administration took an unusual step by announcing that it would not defend Obamacare in court. Instead, the Trump administration took the position that the health law’s was unconstitutional, and that its preexisting conditions regulations should be struck down.

The federal government’s suit has drawn rebuke from some unlikely quarters. An attorney with 20 years of experience at the Justice Department resigned this week as a result of the administration’s position. Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.) said it was “as far-fetched a legal argument as I think I’ve ever heard.” Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell distanced his party from the argument, saying that “everyone” in the Senate favored maintaining coverage for people with preexisting conditions.

Even Health and Human Services (HHS) Sec. Alex Azar, who signed the brief in question, described it as a “constitutional and legal position, not a policy position.”

It doesn’t appear to be much of one.

Among the more unusual responses to the administration’s argument came today in the form a brief filed by five academic experts with wildly divergent views about Obamacare. The brief is signed by Jonathan Adler, Nicholas Bagley, Abbe Gluck, Ilya Somin, and Kevin Walsh. Bagley and Gluck have both defended the health law’s legality in the past. Walsh has published several analyses of the legal arguments surrounding Obamacare. But Adler and Somin, notably, are libertarian-leaning law professors who have been quite critical of the health law over the years. (Both are also contributors to the Volokh Conspiracy, which is published at Reason.com.)

The opening of the brief stresses that the signers have spent the last several years disagreeing with each, in some cases quite forcefully, about the legal and constitutional merits of the health law. The brief takes no position on the mandate itself. But in this case, they all agree that the federal government’s argument for striking down the law’s preexisting rules is, legally speaking, pretty terrible.

Understanding the brief requires a little bit of background. In 2012, the Supreme Court ruled that although Obamacare’s mandate was unconstitutional when viewed as a purchase requirement or economic command, it could stand because it raised revenue and therefore functioned as a tax. But last year, as part of tax reform legislation, Congress eliminated the penalty for not complying with Obamacare’s individual mandate. The mandate remained on the books, but for all practical purposes it had been repealed. And it no longer raised any revenue.

As a result, a group of conservative states, led by Texas, challenged the legality of the (now unenforceable) mandate, and further argued that because it is the centerpiece of the health law, all of Obamacare should be struck down.

This is an argument about what’s known as “severability” — whether the remaining parts of a law should be struck down if a court finds one provision to be illegal.

The Trump administration’s argument does not go quite as far as the states. It agrees that the mandate is now unconstitutional, and takes the position that although much of the law, including the Medicaid expansion and private insurance subsidies, can stand, the preexisting conditions rules should be tossed along with the mandate, because the mandate and the preexisting conditions rules are not severable. To back up its argument, the administration cites findings associated with the statute of Obamacare (that were also cited by the Obama administration in court) declaring that the mandate and the preexisting conditions rules are a bundle that should not be separated.

For critics of Obamacare, there is something naturally appealing about this argument: It uses the text of the health law, and the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold it, to attempt to knock it down. I have been open to arguments along these lines under the Obama administration, and I think they made sense at the time.

The problem, as the new brief points out, is that determining severability is about determining congressional intent. And the current Congress has made its position on the matter quite apparent. Often, this requires some sort of guessing. But at this point, we know exactly what Congress thinks about the law it chose to amend, because it very clearly chose to eliminate the mandate penalty while leaving the preexisting conditions rules in place. That is about as clear a statement of intent as you can ever imagine from Congress.

The brief argues that the administration’s argument relies on “time shifting” to make its case, and that the administration’s case effectively gets severability backward by “[disregarding] the clearly expressed intent of Congress and seek judicial invalidation of statutory provisions that Congress chose to leave intact.”

The findings about severability that the administration cites to back up its arguments about the preexisting were made by a different Congress, prior to the elimination of the mandate penalty and other alterations to the law. They were made in the context of what is now, essentially, a different law. They don’t apply.

I have been a critic of Obamacare for years, and I continue to believe there are many problems with the law. The preexisting conditions rules, while popular, distort the individual market and have contributed to rising premiums in the exchanges. (The popularity of those rules, of course, is one reason why Republicans haven’t touched them, and why GOP officials are distancing themselves from the policy implications of their argument.) But critics of the health law do themselves no favors by signing on to a fundamentally weak legal challenge like this.

The bigger problem with this case is that it has the potential to serve as a substitute for a policy agenda. Republicans still need a broad health policy vision that goes beyond simply attacking Obamacare. But as long as they are basing their hopes on a legal manuever as poorly thought out as this one, that’s not something we’re likely to see.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2JEvA5Y
via IFTTT

Andrew Cuomo Pushes Bill That Would Make It Easy to Take Away People’s Gun Rights

Yesterday the New York State Assembly approved a bill authorizing “extreme risk protection orders” forbidding firearm possession by people who allegedly pose a threat to themselves or others. A11148, which Gov. Andrew Cuomo is pushing, is similar to laws enacted in recent years by California, Washington, and Florida, and it poses similar due process issues.

It is tempting to think that would-be murderers can be identified before they act on their homicidal impulses, in which case taking away their guns or stopping them from buying guns could save lives without impairing the Second Amendment rights of law-abiding Americans. But such predictions are apt to be wrong more often than not, meaning that innocent people who intend no harm to anyone will lose their constitutional rights, either temporarily or indefinitely. How frequently that happens depends on the rules for issuing extreme risk protection orders, a.k.a. gun violence restraining orders (GVROs). In writing those rules, there is an unavoidable tradeoff between protecting the rights of respondents and protecting the public from individuals who might (but probably won’t) use guns to injure or kill people.

The New York bill, which still needs to be approved by the state Senate, allows a wide range of people to seek GVROs, including police officers, prosecutors, family or household members, and school employees such as guidance counselors, teachers, coaches, and administrators. It allows a judge to issue a temporary GVRO if he determines there is “probable cause to believe the respondent is likely to engage in conduct that would result in serious harm” to himself or others. That is a low threshold.

Probable cause, the requirement for a warrant or an arrest, is usually defined as a “fair probability”; it has no precise meaning, but in practice probabilities lower than 50 percent often count as “fair.” If we assume that probable cause is equivalent to a 40 percent likelihood (a generous assumption), the bill requires a 40 percent chance that the respondent is “likely” to hurt himself or others, meaning the chance that he will do so is more than 50 percent. Multiplying 40 percent by 50 percent, we get the threshold for a GVRO: a 20 percent likelihood of harm. To put it another way, four out of five people who temporarily lose their Second Amendment rights will be harmless.

That’s assuming judges carefully weigh probabilities. It seems more likely that they will err on the side of what seems to be caution. Given the low standard of proof and the scary prospect of being blamed for a respondent’s violence, judges will tend to rubber-stamp applications for temporary GVROs, especially since at this stage the “respondent” has no opportunity to respond.

A11148 requires a hearing within six business days, and that is when the respondent gets a chance to present his side of the case. If the judge decides there is “clear and convincing evidence” that the respondent is “likely” to hurt himself or someone else, he can issue a “final” GVRO that lasts up to a year. That standard is more demanding than the one for a temporary GVRO, but it still might translate into a probability of less than 50 percent. If clear and convincing evidence translates into 75 percent confidence and 51 percent counts as “likely,” for example, the odds that the subject of a final GVRO would actually have used a gun to harm himself or someone else might be something like 38 percent.

In practice, even lower probabilities might suffice. A11148 says judges can consider “any evidence,” including “evidence of recent or ongoing abuse of controlled substances or alcohol” or “evidence of recent acquisition [within the previous six months] of a firearm, rifle, shotgun or other deadly weapon or dangerous instrument, or any ammunition therefor.” The fact that someone smokes pot or takes a relative’s pain pills hardly suggests he plans to murder anyone, but it would still be a strike against him in these proceedings. Even more remarkably, owning guns by itself counts as evidence that the guns should be taken away. Given those examples and a license to consider any other evidence, a judge who wants to take away a respondent’s Second Amendment rights, if only to avoid criticism for failing to disarm someone who eventually kills people, will have little trouble doing so.

The GVRO can be renewed annually, and it can be lifted before it expires only if the respondent demonstrates by clear and convincing evidence “any change of circumstances that may justify a change to the order.” In other words, the respondent has the burden of proving he is not likely to hurt himself or anyone else.

A law like this would give a long list of people, including ex-spouses, third cousins, current or former housemates, current or former lovers, and gym teachers, the power to harass someone who has pissed them off. The NRA worries that “teachers with differing political opinions or personal differences could initiate these court proceedings with little proof that an actual threat exists.” But the bigger problem is likely to be people who sincerely but mistakenly believe that someone they know poses a danger to himself or others. The possibility that something horrible will happen if they do not act will loom large, while the downside will seem trivial by comparison. The same will be true for the judges who evaluate these petitions.

Those incentives endanger the constitutional rights of morose misfits, prickly oddballs, and college students who say stupid stuff on the internet. This sort of law may or may not stymie anyone who actually poses a threat to public safety, but it certainly will hurt people who don’t.

from Hit & Run https://ift.tt/2JPNi2M
via IFTTT