Iran Fires Missile At Israeli Ship In Arabian Sea: Report

Iran Fires Missile At Israeli Ship In Arabian Sea: Report

A massive escalation in the Arabian Sea just outside the Persian Gulf has catapulted the region to a war-footing: Israeli media is widely reporting that “an Iranian missile was fired at an Israeli ship,” according to a breaking report in Israel’s N12 news.

Here are the early details as presented in The Jerusalem Post:

As the ship sailed between Indian and Oman, it was hit by a missile that damaged it, according to N12.The incident was reported to Israeli security officials and to the company’s owners. The ship will continue on its path to India, where the damage will be assessed.

Israeli security officials are examining the possible implications of the incident and estimate that it could mean Iran intends to attack more Israeli ships, according to N12.

Coming fresh off this month’s Israeli-owned Helios Ray incident, which was subject of a ‘mystery’ explosion that was blamed on Iran by Tel Aviv officials, Israel has been quick to point the finger at Iran for this latest developing incident.

“We will need to keep investigating, but we can say for sure that Iran is attempting to damage Israeli infrastructure and to hurt Israeli citizens,” Defense Minister Benny Gantz told KAN news in a statement.

developing…

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 11:45

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Global Shippers Scramble To Reroute Ships Around Africa As Suez Crisis Worsens

Global Shippers Scramble To Reroute Ships Around Africa As Suez Crisis Worsens

As shipping companies grapple with the possibility that the Suez canal might be blocked to all traffic for a week or more, Maersk, the world’s biggest and most important shipping and supply-chain management company, is reportedly planning to divert ships around the southern tip of Africa.

Taking the long way around could add thousands of miles to some of the world’s most important shipping routes – those that carry goods and commodities from Asia to the West – which could force shippers to shoulder enormous additional costs – costs that must at some point be passed along to the end-consumer. To be sure, the company is also reportedly considering air routes as a potential for substitution, Bloomberg reports.

And Maersk isn’t alone: Hapag-Lloyd, the major German international shipper, is also considering rerouting ships around the Cape of Good Hope (the southern tip of the African Continent).

Earlier, the Maersk Denver, one of the ships stuck behind the “Ever Given” (the ship that’s stuck in the canal), managed to back out of the canal. It’s now back in the Red Sea.

Five Hapag-Lloyd ships have also been affected by the Suez Canal blockage.

In an emailed newsletter to employees, management advised “we are presently looking into possible vessel diversions around Cape of Good Hope.” As far as the Ever Given’s situation goes, the firm said it had no special insight into the situation, and must plan accordingly. “We don´t have any clear indication when the vessel will be refloated again,” the firm said, referring to the Ever Given, the container ship blocking the Suez Canal

The five Hapag-Lloyd ships affected are:

  • Tsingtao Express, waiting in outer anchorage in Port Said
  • Salahuddin, waiting in outer anchorage in Port Said
  • Athenian, waiting in outer anchorage in Port Said
  • Al Rawdah, scheduled to reach Suez Canal tonight
  • New York Express, locked in at Great Bitter Lake

Meanwhile, the queue of ships waiting at the Suez Canal now stands at 237. Such a backlog could take days to clear on its own, even if the shipping lanes reopened immediately.

As exporters scramble to implement contingency plans, economists and market strategists are trying to suss out how this blockage might impact inflationary pressures, and market prices. While others are contemplating worst-case scenarios, as well as why the world wasn’t better prepared for something like this. After all, while there isn’t a known political dimension to this dispute, the Suez isn’t the only major chokepoint for global trade. In a note entitled “Central Banks Are Going To Need A Bigger Boat,” Rabobank’s Michael Every contemplates all this, and more.

“It seems an appropriate title today given one wonders who said that about the vessel still blocking the Suez Canal: was it trying to do a U-turn? If one ever wanted to imagine what blockading the Suez Canal looked like physically, and what it would deliver to already-strained global supply chains economically, well, enjoy. This obviously risks exacerbating the cost-push inflation pressures we are already seeing in many sectors. It may also briefly refocus analysts’ attention on just how vulnerable global trade is to blockages in key logistical bottlenecks, such as the South China Sea. Just imagine if it, or the Straits of Malacca, or the Straits of Hormuz were to be subject to geopolitical disruption. It’s a good job nobody is talking about any of these things ever happening, isn’t it?”

As Maersk and others order ships to re-route around Africa, the world will be watching to see how global supply chains are impacted.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 11:37

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Traders Jolted By Mini Flash Crash In Treasury Futures

Traders Jolted By Mini Flash Crash In Treasury Futures

While traders are preoccupied by the accelerating meltdown in equities and especially tech stocks which just can’t catch a bid, the real action this morning was in the US Treasury market, where just after 10am ET, a burst of selling in Treasury ultra-long bond futures on massive volume sparked a mini flash crash.

According to Bloomberg’s Edward Bollingbroke, 10,000 of the June 2021 ultras contract were liquidated taking out all bids, and prompting more activity which eventually led to around 20,000 contracts trading over a 10-minute period.

The impact of the mini flash-crash was seen in the cash Treasuries curve, with the 5s30s spread steepening almost 4 basis points into the move.

The liquidation puke was also the most activity in the contract since the month-end driven Feb. 26 close… which also followed last month’s catastrophic 7Y auction. Oh, and as a reminder, in less than 2 hours the Treasury will sell another batch of 7Y paper although the odds of another disaster are far lower today with yields across the curve far tamer and after this week’s 2Y and 5Y auctions which were well accepted (with a few glitches).

As Bollingbroke notes the flow could be related to month-end, or a hedge against some investment-grade corporate issuance. It could also be just a last minute dump by a major investor who wants to be flat ahead of what could potentially be a market-moving auction.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 11:27

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“Papers For The Pub”: Johnson Shocks By Signaling Support For Vaccine Passport To Enter Pubs

“Papers For The Pub”: Johnson Shocks By Signaling Support For Vaccine Passport To Enter Pubs

A huge row has erupted among UK lawmakers and among the public over plans that pubs throughout Britain may require proof of vaccination before allowing patrons entry, which has also negatively impacted stocks Thursday.

A government review is looking closely at implementing “vaccine passports” in order to help facilite the country’s reopening, without which an individual may not even be able to get a pint. While Prime Minister Boris Johnson was previously seen as unsupportive of the controversial idea, he shocked by telling MPs on Wednesday that it “may be up to the landlord” — and added: “The concept of vaccine certification should not be totally alien to us.”

Tory MPs reacted swiftly by slamming a legal policy that would require citizens to produce “papers for the pub” — which could be included as part of recommendations in a report for combatting the spread of Covid which is due out in May. One called it a “ghastly trap” which would erode the individual rights of Britons.

Others worried about what it means for people who for medical reasons have been advised to not take the jab. So far there’s been greater acceptance of a policy that would give healthcare and elderly care facilities the right to require proof of vaccination for entry to their premises; however, this suggests a broader opening up of the “show papers” plan for even basic social activities

Needless to say, if pubs go first then it’s not long before simple admittance to sporting events, a concert venue, or even church becomes restricted based on receiving the jab first.

Here’s Johnson’s worrisome statements on the looming possibility in context as given in the House of Commons on Wednesday:

The idea of asking pub goers to show a vaccine certificate was raised at Wednesday’s House of Commons Liaison Committee hearing, when Conservative William Wragg asked Mr Johnson if vaccine certificates were “compatible with a free society such as ours”.

Mr Johnson said the concept “should not be totally alien to us” as doctors already have to have hepatitis B jabs.

Mr Wragg then asked, what about “ordinary citizens going to the pub?” and the prime minister replied: “That’s the kind of thing that may be up to individual publicans.”

Pushed further, Mr Johnson said: “I find myself in this long national conversation thinking very deeply about it” adding that the public “want me as prime minister to take all the action I can to protect them”.

The timing is explosive and politically sensitive given MPs are also imminently set to vote on new coronavirus laws considered part of “England’s roadmap out of lockdown”, according to BBC.

An additional six month extension of the government’s sweeping ’emergency coronavirus powers’ is also being mulled and is expected to be voted on later in the day Thursday. 

Health Secretary Matt Hancock has lately talked about “end” to the pandemic but only with “repeated” and updated, possibly yearly vaccinations that would be akin to issuing a flu shot each year. 

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 11:20

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S&P, Nasdaq Plunge, Break Below Key Technical Levels

S&P, Nasdaq Plunge, Break Below Key Technical Levels

We warned this morning that ‘if’ we start to sell that selling could be quite material as implied by the trio of vanna charts below (SPX, IWM, QQQ) wherein dealer exposure gets more long as markets drop (and so they need to sell futures), with and we would anticipate a quick visit of the 3800 level in SPX.

And, after a brief attempt to ignite some momentum at the cash open, things have escalated rather quickly…

But this move has sparked breaks of some serious technical levels across the indices.

The S&P is back below its 50DMA…

The Nasdaq is back below its 100DMA…

And Small Caps are crashing far below their 50DMA…

If only there were some shorts to cover here…

And remember, there’s no “Ramp Capital” to save you today.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 10:59

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Michigan AG Unleashes Political Diatribe Against Defiant Restaurant Owner (After Tucker Carlson Hit)

Michigan AG Unleashes Political Diatribe Against Defiant Restaurant Owner (After Tucker Carlson Hit)

Authored by Jonathan Turley,

We previously discussed the controversial threats of Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel (D) against those who were raising electoral fraud allegations.

She is currently in another controversy involving the arrest of restaurant owner Marlena Pavlos-Hackney. Fox Host Tucker Carlson has alleged that the owner was arrested due to her appearance on his show. (For full disclosure, I am a contributor to Fox News).

Nessel can certainly point to a long history of noncompliance to justify the arrest but her statement issued in response to the allegations is, in my view, highly inappropriate and shows raw political bias.

Pavlos-Hackney became a national hero for some in defying the Michigan health orders and what followed were a series of citations and contempt orders.

Those orders were sufficient to secure a bench warrant of arrest, but the timing following her appearance on Tucker Carlson’s show led many to object that Nessel was retaliating against a national critic.

Putting aside the retaliatory accusation, there is ample reason to condemn Nessel’s response to the criticism. Here is the statement:

Marlena Pavlos-Hackney had countless opportunities to comply with even the most basic health and safety protocols to protect her community from the spread of Covid.

She defied her local health department and the court at every turn, instead choosing to taunt health inspectors, law enforcement and the courts at every turn- going on Tucker Carlson and setting up a lucrative Go Fund Me account instead of making even the slightest effort to protect her customers, her workers and community. She is no martyr and no hero.

One cannot repeat the mantra of “Law & Order” and support the activities of Ms Pavlos-Hackney.

But if you cheered Donald Trump when he bragged about the many ways he avoided military service while others complied with their legal obligations, it’s no wonder you revere this woman.

Making personal sacrifice for the greater good of our state and nation was once considered admirable. Not anymore.

Michigan AG Dana Nessel

My objections to the statement are two-fold. 

  • First,  Nessel goes out of her way to taunt Pavlos-Hackney and her supporters. She also makes specific reference to her going on the Tucker Carlson show. Given the free speech issues in such appearances, the reference to a national show (in which Nessel was criticized) shows, at a minimum, terrible judgment by Nessel. This is particularly concerning given Nessel prior threats against people who raised electoral fraud claims.

  • Second, Nessel uses the statement to confirm raw political bias in striking out at Trump and his supporters.  She mockingly notes “if you cheered Donald Trump when he bragged about the many ways he avoided military service while others complied with their legal obligations, it’s no wonder you revere this woman.”  Ironically, it is the type of gratuitous attack that many of us criticized Trump for using against political opponents. However, this is the Michigan Attorney General engaging in petty digs against Republican critics.

The entire statement reads like a political screed rather than a prosecutorial statement. It is both unprofessional and unwarranted in addressing the arrest of a citizen. What is bizarre is that most officials in such a controversy would strive to maintain an absolutely legally  objective and politically neutral position. Nessel could have left the matter by detailing the history of noncompliance as sufficient justification for the arrest. Nessel did precisely the opposite to pander to a political base.  She seems to struggle to fulfill every stereotype of a biased political operative exercising criminal enforcement authority.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 10:45

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Cuomo Ordered Health Dept To Prioritize COVID Testing For Family Members & Political Allies

Cuomo Ordered Health Dept To Prioritize COVID Testing For Family Members & Political Allies

As he brazenly clings to power in Albany, the last thing New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo needs right now is another scandal. And yet, here we are.

The New York Times and the Albany Times-Union published another shocking report about abuses committed under the guise of Cuomo’s crisis-era “leadership”: both the governor and the state’s top public health official, Dr. Howard Zucker, directed high-level officials in the state Department of Health to provide priority COVID testing to Cuomo’s relatives, and other politically-connected individuals.

According to the Times Union, “[m]embers of Cuomo’s family including his brother, his mother and at least one of his sisters were also tested by top health department officials — some several times, the sources said.”

Cuomo is already facing a flurry of investigations being overseen by lawmakers in the state assembly, the Department of Justice and AG Letitia James, a political rival and top contender to succeed Cuomo as governor of the Empire State. Recent media reports revealed that some of Cuomo’s top staffers, along with top public health officials in the state, have been interviewed by the FBI.

But the fallout from this latest revelation could expand beyond the governor to harm another member of his family: His brother, CNN anchor Chris Cuomo. In a statement released shortly after the younger Cuomo sibling was identified as having received preferred access to COVID testing thanks to his brother, CNN apparently confirmed some of the details from the story. The younger Cuomo received testing from one of the state’s top epidemiologists at his home, a revelation that millions of New Yorkers – particularly the “essential” workers in poorer communities in the Bronx, where infection rates are highest – will probably find galling.

The younger Cuomo contracted COVID in the spring, and his battle with the disease was closely covered by his employer, CNN.

Dr. Eleanor Adams, an epidemiologist who graduated from Harvard Medical School, was identified as the official who conducted the testing. Notably, after making traveling all the way to Long Island for an ethically questionable house call at Chris Cuomo’s place, Adams was promoted in August to the position of special adviser to Zucker.

“If their job was to go test an old lady down in New Rochelle, that’s one thing – that’s actually good,” one of the people with knowledge of the matter said. “This was not that.”

Outside Cuomo’s family members, other politically-connected individuals who were given priority testing included Rick Cotton, executive director of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and his wife, as well as Pat Foye, head of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority.

Some of the Times-Union’s sources, identified as senior employees in the Department of Health, said they were chagrined when Dr. Adams was routinely pulled away from her primary duties, which included helping to lead the effort to contain NYS’s first confirmed outbreak in New Rochelle. One described it as “a major time suck.”

They also objected to State Police being used to ferry the test samples to the Wadsworth Center laboratory in Albany, where most early samples were tested. A spokesman for the State Police insisted that hundreds of state police officers helped drive early test samples to the laboratory during the early weeks of the state’s COVID response. While this might be true, other sources claimed that samples from Cuomo relatives were moved to the front of the testing line due to the governor’s influence. These samples were reportedly referred to as “critical samples.”

“It’s being a little bit distorted with like a devious intent…We made sure to test people they believed were exposed,” an official in Cuomo’s office said on background. “All of this was being done in good faith in an effort to trace the virus.”

Richard Azzopardi, a senior adviser to the governor, characterized the allegations of preferential treatment as “insincere efforts to rewrite the past.”

“In the early days of this pandemic, when there was a heavy emphasis on contact tracing, we were absolutely going above and beyond to get people testing – including in some instances going to people’s homes, and door-to-door in places like New Rochelle – to take samples from those believed to have been exposed to COVID in order to identify cases and prevent additional ones,” Azzopardi said. “Among those we assisted were members of the general public, including legislators, reporters, state workers and their families who feared they had contracted the virus and had the capability to further spread it.”

Given the governor’s reputation for bullying and favor-trading, it’s hardly a surprise that state workers simply acquiesced when he demanded they pay house calls to his relatives during work hours. By our count, this is the third scandal to rock the embattled Cuomo administration this year. How many more will it take to finally convince President Joe Biden to turn on the governor? Even if Biden did call on Cuomo to resign, it’s not clear that he would.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 10:30

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Rabo: “Central Banks Are Gonna Need A Bigger Boat”

Rabo: “Central Banks Are Gonna Need A Bigger Boat”

By Michael Every of Rabobank

You’re gonna need a bigger boat” is still a classic movie scene that makes the hair on the back of my neck stand up. Clearly not just me: the meme still resonates with my generation, and John Williams’ instrumental sound of the shark still gets people my age straight out of the water.

It seems an appropriate title today given one wonders who said that about the vessel still blocking the Suez Canal: was it trying to do a U-turn? If one ever wanted to imagine what blockading the Suez Canal looked like physically, and what it would deliver to already-strained global supply chains economically, well, enjoy. This obviously risks exacerbating the cost-push inflation pressures we are already seeing in many sectors. It may also briefly refocus analysts’ attention on just how vulnerable global trade is to blockages in key logistical bottlenecks, such as the South China Sea. Just imagine if it, or the Straits of Malacca, or the Straits of Hormuz were to be subject to geopolitical disruption. It’s a good job nobody is talking about any of these things ever happening, isn’t it?

Yet back to ‘Jaws’. As a younger generation dives gleefully into the still, dark markets like the young swimmer at the start of the movie, one can hear that fateful daaa dum; daaaa dum.

Consider, for example, the picture presented by Bloomberg this morning –“This Sounds Like a Bubble Bursting”– underlining that “the most frothy part of tech stocks continues to bleed.” For goodness’ sakes, don’t get any blood in the water!

Apparently US tech firms that haven’t made any profits dropped around 7% yesterday, extending a decline from their February peak to 29%. Do you know what the graph of that particular market segment is starting to look like to me? A shark’s fin: and if that is indeed the case, we would soon see happy young traders suddenly pulled underwater and tossed around like rag dolls.

Yes: we know the central banks are watching, presenting themselves like the wizened mariner Quint who keeps the seas safe: “Y’all know me. Know how I earn a livin’,” he says to the concerned Amity Chamber of Commerce after scratching his nails down the chalkboard to get their attention. Central banks can certainly scratch their nails on chalkboards when needed as far as markets are concerned. Look at some of the swings seen in New Zealand’s markets of late.

However, aren’t the same central banks more like the sleazy Mayor Vaughn, who refuses to close the beach despite knowing the killer shark is out there (“because markets”), and who argues the police should say “Barracuda” instead of “Shark” so as not to worry the economy? Indeed, are central banks not providing the ultra-cheap liquidity that encourages college students to get drunk and go swimming at night in shark-infested waters in the first place? (“What’s your name again?” “Chrissie!” “Where are you going?” “To buy stocks of tech firms who don’t make any money!”)

Older analysts are currently sitting around Zoom meetings (though not on Fridays) and rolling up their trouser legs and shirt sleeves to share their scars of previous market attacks: the more senior talk about the GFC, which for the young is already just legend; the most senior sit back quietly before talking about really big Fischer and World War Two.  

So, yes, central banks are playing Quint to markets, politicians, and the public: “I’ll catch this bird for you, but it ain’t gonna be easy. Bad fish. Not like going down to the pond and chasing bluegills and tommycocks. This shark, swallow you whole. No shakin’, no tenderizin’, down you go. And we gotta do it quick, that’ll bring back your tourists, put all your businesses on a payin’ basis. But it’s not gonna be pleasant. I value my neck a lot more than three thousand bucks, chief. I’ll find him for three, but I’ll catch him, and kill him, for ten. But you’ve gotta make up your minds. If you want to stay alive, then ante up. If you want to play it cheap, be on welfare the whole winter.”

Yet recall that Quint is the one who ends up being eaten.

Central banks in general, and the Fed in particular, are gonna need a bigger boat. And we know what that boat is: the ability to say USD3,000 is now USD10,000 with the stroke of script-writer’s pen without yields rising in tandem.

Yet look at that huge great boat now blocking the Suez Canal; and consider what a world with truly Megalodon liquidity would look like for global trade and capital flows, and who and what would end up getting bitten or swallowed. Bloomberg today has another story explaining how the USD1.9 trillion Biden stimulus is expected to flow to China, with one businessman expecting sales up 30%. A global feeding-frenzy of production everywhere except in the US is not what the Biden White House wants to see: and there will be calls for a shark cage to be put in place (e.g., “Buy American”) Yet it’s handy timing for China given Bloomberg again explains: “Chinese Stocks’ 15% Plunge Shows What Happens When Stimulus Ends”. Quite, Quint.

Meanwhile, it was fair sailing for a time, but I’d long argued that if the US outperformed the rest of the world, expectations would build of Fed hikes, US yields would rise, and the USD would go up; and that if someone yelled “Shark!” as markets showed their teeth, then a risk off move would also see USD rise. It doesn’t seem that long ago that markets were bullish EM FX: some of them are looking like graphs of shark fins too.

“You go inside the trade. Trade goes in the water. You go in the water. Shark’s in the water. Our shark.

Farewell and adieu to you fair Spanish ladies; Farewell and adieu, you ladies of Spain; For we’ve received orders for to sail back to Boston; and so never more shall we see you again.”

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 10:05

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/31kfftD Tyler Durden

Why Corporations Are Terrified Of China: Nike, H&M Tumble After Boycott Begins Over Xinjiang Criticism

Why Corporations Are Terrified Of China: Nike, H&M Tumble After Boycott Begins Over Xinjiang Criticism

China may be a closed, authoritarian, militant, “reverse-engineering” society. But even more importantly, China has the world’s largest consumer army, and that – more than anything else – is why China is feared by countless corporations around the globe, all of whom desperately seek access to this army of rabid buyers.

For the latest example of that look no further than the plunge in H&M shares, which fell as much as 3.1% in Stockholm, while Nike dropped 3.6% in U.S. premarket trading, with the brands facing possible boycotts in China over their stance on using cotton sourced from the contentious Xinjiang region.

As Reuters reports, Nike and Adidas came under fire on Chinese social media on Thursday after Beijing’s propaganda offensive against Swedish fashion brand H&M sparked by the company’s expression of concern about labor conditions in Xinjiang. The sportswear companies were the latest to be caught up in a backlash prompted by a government call to stop foreign brands from tainting China’s name as internet users found statements they had made in the past on Xinjiang.

Chinese state media had singled out H&M on Wednesday over a statement that was reported last year in which the Swedish retailer said it was deeply concerned by reports of accusations of forced labor in Xinjiang, and that it did not source products from the Chinese region. The company was then blasted by the influential Communist Youth League as well as Chin’s real army, the People’s Liberation Army although as Reuters notes, it was unclear why the H&M statement was back in the public eye but diplomatic tensions between China and the West have been rising.

A post on the official Weibo page of Beijing Youth Daily dated Thursday noted foreign apparel brands including Adidas and Inditex-owned Zara have previously made remarks about boycotting Xinjiang cotton, while The Global Times, a communist-party tabloid,  also mentioned Burberry while noting that Spain’s Inditex, owner of Zara, had “quietly removed” a statement on Xinjiang from its English and Spanish-language websites. Shortly after, calls to boycott the Swedish retailer spread to include Nike, which has previously said it won’t source products from the region due to labor concerns.

The threat of boycotts comes after China denied allegations of human rights abuses by its officials in the western region of Xinjiang after the European Union, United States, Britain and Canada imposed sanctions on the officials earlier this week. Beijing hit back with retaliatory sanctions on European lawmakers, scholars and institutions.

In response to the campaign to single out foreign companies who criticize China’s actions in Xinjiang, many internet users said they would stop buying Nike and will support local brands such as Li Ning and Anta, while others told Adidas to leave China.

Internet users also targeted the Better Cotton Initiative (BCI), a group that promotes sustainable cotton production which said in October it was suspending its approval of cotton sourced from Xinjiang for the 2020-2021 season, citing human rights concerns. BCI members include Nike, Adidas, H&M and Japan’s Fast Retailing.

“If you boycott Xinjiang cotton, we’ll boycott you. Either Adidas quits BCI, or get out of China,” one internet user wrote. Nike, Adidas and the BCI did not respond to requests for comment.

H&M said on Wednesday it respected Chinese consumers and that it was committed to long-term investment and development in China. But by Thursday morning, H&M did not exist on some Chinese store locator maps. Searches for H&M stores on Baidu Maps yielded no results. The retailer’s official store on Alibaba’s Tmall, an e-commerce platform, was inaccessible.

At a daily media briefing at China’s foreign ministry, spokeswoman Hua Chunying, when asked about H&M, held up a photograph of Black Americans picking cotton. “This was in the U.S. when Black slaves were forced to pick cotton in the fields,” she said.

Hua then held up a second photograph of cotton fields in Xinjiang, noting that cotton production has been highly mechanized in Xinjiang, with much of the cotton harvested by machines (and supposedly, not by black slaves):

“More than 40% of the cotton in Xinjiang is harvested by machinery, so the alleged forced labor is non-existent.”

People’s Daily, the main newspaper of the Communist Party, rolled out a social media campaign in support of cotton sourced from Xinjiang. The graphic “I support Xinjiang cotton” posted by the newspaper on the Twitter-like microblog Weibo has since attracted about 2.2 million likes. Japanese retailer Muji, owned by Ryohin Keikaku, told the Global Times that it uses Xinjiang cotton, winning praise from Chinese internet users, who lauded the firm’s “survival instincts”.

Ryohin Keikaku recently conducted due diligence for Xinjiang factories, with which it has an indirect relationship via its supply chain, and also commissioned an independent audit group to make onsite audits, but found no “significant” issues, the company told Reuters on Thursday.

As it emerged that China is serious in following through on its threats of boycotting western clothing makers, shares of China’s Anta Sports Products and Li Ning surged, while shares in Adidas, Inditex and H&M fell when European markets opened on Thursday: Burberry shares fell as much as 6.3%, Adidas was down as much as 6%, Inditex slipped as much as 1.9%; Nike was down 4% in premarket trading.

Stating the obvious, Bernstein analyst Aneesha Sherman told Bloomberg that the market reaction is due to concern about topline impact and possible market share loss to Chinese apparel and sportswear brands: “It’s a fast-growing region and the discretionary spend levels are going up, so it is an important region not to lose market share in.”

The question is what happens next: will the threat of boycotts, and an even sharper drop in prices, be sufficient to silence any criticism of Chinese human rights violations, exposing the entire global virtue signaling sham as nothing but hollow platitudes where money talks and bullshit virtues walk, or will companies such as Nike actually put their money where their mouth is.

We’re joking: of course, the Nikes of the world will quickly fold when faced with the threat of losing the world’s biggest purchasing power.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 09:45

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2PtEW8E Tyler Durden

Peter Schiff: When Paul Krugman Talks, Nobody Should Listen

Peter Schiff: When Paul Krugman Talks, Nobody Should Listen

Via SchiffGold.com,

The latest Biden/Democrat stimulus bill is just the beginning. There is more government spending coming down the pike. That means more money printing. But Paul Krugman says not to worry. It didn’t cause a big jump in CPI last time and it won’t this time either. Peter Schiff talked about it in his podcast. He said when Krugman talks – nobody should listen.

With the ink barely dry on a $1.9 trillion stimulus bill, reports are circulating that the Biden administration is about to unveil another $3 trillion spending proposal. This round of stimulus will reportedly target the Democratic Party agenda, including infrastructure spending, funding for aspects of the “Green New Deal,” and money to tackle “wealth disparity.”

The spending plan will likely include tax increases. Of course, tax increases on “the rich” have been a Democrat mainstay for decades, but this plan may tax a little further down the income ladder than promised during the campaign. Peter said this shouldn’t come as any surprise.

That’s why when they asked Willie Sutton, ‘Why do you rob banks?’ he said, ‘Well, that’s where the money is.’ Well, if you want to raise a lot of tax revenue, you can’t just target the top-end earners. The money is lower down. It’s the middle class, or the upper-middle class, that has a lot of money that you’re going to need to tap into if you’re planning on funding 3 to 4 trillion dollars worth of spending.”

Peter said he thinks to the extent that that tax increases do target the wealthy, some Republicans will have a hard time voting against infrastructure spending that will supposedly benefit the masses of voters that is all going to be paid for “by the rich.”

So, you lose the votes of the 1% to solidify the votes of the 99%. I mean, politicians can do math, right? That’s the only thing they can add up – votes. And they know there are more votes at the 99%.”

Peter said, he ultimately thinks these bills will pass, even if there is little to no Republican support.

The mantra is that all of this spending will “stimulate the economy.” But Peter said it will only stimulate one thing – inflation.

They’re going to light a fire under consumer prices, which I have been discussing on this podcast are going to be going up in a manner that we have never experienced before in this country.”

Peter said one difference is the way the government measures CPI now won’t even capture the real extent that Americans are suffering.

I think in real terms, if we had a more honest CPI, we’d probably be showing inflation rates above the 1970s by this year if not by next year.”

But there is one person out there assuring us there is nothing to worry about – Paul Krugman.

The New York Times columnist and Keynesian economist is out there taking another victory lap reminding everybody that he was right when inflation didn’t spike after the 2008 financial crisis. He’s saying that people like Peter who have been warning about the consequences of government borrowing, spending and money printing are just the same old doom-and-gloomers, and fear mongers who were wrong before. After all, according to Krugman, the Democrats got us out of the economic hole George W. Bush dug us into with deficit spending and stimulus. Republicans and people like Peter who were saying all of the money printing was going to cause inflation were just using it as a fear tactic.

Of course, I didn’t say that. I said all this money printing is inflation. It will lead to higher prices. And it has and it will. Just not nearly as much as it’s going to. But because we have not seen more substantial increases in a rigged CPI, Krugman is now saying ‘I told you so!’”

Part of the problem is the same Republicans who are now talking about inflation signed onto the stimulus bills when Trump was in office. It’s easy for Krugman to call them out on that hypocrisy.

And in one sense, Krugman was right. CPI never exploded to the levels that many feared. But he was right for the wrong reasons.

It’s just because the world was wrong in their assessment of the efficacy of US fiscal policy and monetary policy, and the ability of the Fed to actually do what it was bluffing it could do, which was normalize interest rates and shrink its balance sheet back down to pre-financial crisis levels. And on anticipation of normalization of interest rates, shrinking the balance sheet, and the fact that then Europe embarked on the same failed QE policy, only later than we did, the idea was we would be tightening while the rest of the world was still easing; we were the first into the crisis but we were going to be the first out, and that created a lot of demand for the dollar. And that helped support the US economy, the US bond market, and it temporarily kept a lid on consumer prices and made it appear the Krugman was right.”

He was not right. He was wrong.

We are going to get all the effects of all that inflation. It’s just going to happen later than people like I believed. It’s going to be happening, I think, now.”

This has emboldened Krugman. He thinks he was right just because he’s a brilliant economist. It doesn’t matter that we’re printing more money than ever before. It doesn’t matter that the US government is running massive deficits. We need more government. We need more spending. This is the Keynesian prescription. We just need to take our medicine and everything will be fine. According to Krugman, these Republicans just need to shut up and let the Democrats fix things.

Peter called this a complete joke.

But the joke is going to be on the rest of the country because this time Krugman is going to be wrong for the wrong reasons instead of right. Or maybe that’s wrong for the right reasons. I’m not even sure. But he’s dead wrong and all of this money printing and all of these deficits are going to result in a big increase in consumer prices. Not just a one-off increase, or a temporary increase, but this is the beginning of a major reset of the price structure in the United States. And it’s going to continue for years and years and it’s going to continue to build and feed on itself mainly because the Fed is going to be so far behind the curve by the time it even acknowledges, if it ever does, that there’s an inflation problem. Because the initial higher reads will be dismissed as transitory, so how long is it going to take before the Fed admits that it’s not transitory?”

And when it does finally realize inflation is out of control, it will be too late. The only way to put out the fire would be a massive increase in interest rates and a severe tightening of monetary policy. As Peter put it, the Fed would have to “go Volker.” The economy would collapse. It can’t raise rates to that extent with all of the debt in the economy. The Fed is between a rock and a hard place, no matter what Krugman thinks.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/25/2021 – 09:25

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3cnEX78 Tyler Durden