US Rapper T.I. Sued After His ‘Token’ Allegedly Fails

Authored by Ana Berman via CoinTelegraph.com,

U.S. rapper T.I., also known as T.I.P., is being sued for $5 million by a group of people after his FLiK token has reportedly failed, according to court documents obtained by U.S. celebrity news media The Blast.

image courtesy of CoinTelegraph

As per the lawsuit cited by the outlet, the group of 25 persons claims that they have invested $1.3 million in “now worthless securities called FLiK Tokens,” promoted by T.I. and his business partner Ryan Felton. The plaintiffs state that the token was actively endorsed in social media both by celebrities and experts to create an impression of  “a valuable liquid investment.”

However, the group continues, T.I. and Felton defrauded them by using the money raised to drive the token’s price up, and when the prices fell down, they dumped the FLiK and disappeared. According to the lawsuit, Felton even created a new company, stating it had acquired FLiK and telling investors he had nothing to do with it.

Now the plaintiffs want to obtain a minimum of $5 million in damages from T.I. and Felon. The lawyer for the celebrity did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the matter to The Blast.

The FLiK was announced back in September 2017 and also actively supported by U.S. actor Kevin Hart, who promoted the coin on his Twitter. As U.S. tabloid TMZ reports, the promo campaign also mentioned Mark Cuban — a billionaire and owner of the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks. According to the stats provided by CoinMarketCap, the coin was traded at its peak on Oct. 17, 2017, when its price reached 21 cents. Seeing a brief takeoff in February, it slowly declined to nothing, traded at $0.001 as of press time.

Celebrities have often become involved in crypto-related activities from time to time, but their attempts and promotions do not always succeed. For instance, another U.S. rapper Ghostface Killah — a member of renowned Wu Tang Clan — co-founded an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that hoped to raise up to $30 million. However, his Cream Capital was later suspended “with no plans to hold the token sale in the future.”

Floyd Mayweather, one of the world’s famous boxers and the highest paid athlete of his discipline, also engaged in an ICO, dubbing himself as Floyd “Crypto” Mayweather. Later in 2018, one of the coins he backed, Centra, was charged with fraud by U.S. securities watchdog SEC.

Another celebrity to recently join a crypto startup was Johnny Depp, who partnered with crypto-powered social entertainment platform TaTaTu. Cointelegraph reported in mid-October that the American movie star is going to team up with the TaTaTu founder in order to jointly create and produce film and digital content.

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Reuters Calls It: “Growth Stock Days Are Gone, Value Back In Play” 

Thomson Reuters research desk is ringing the proverbial bell in the stock market, saying “growth stock days are gone, value back in play.”

The report underlines how the latest leg of the most-extended bull market: buy the f*cking dip (BTFD) for growth stocks paid off, massively.

For more than five years, BTFD for shares of fast-growing companies like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google (FANG) worked out very well, beating their value rivals by a margin of more than two-for-one in that span.

Until November came around.

Reuters said the wheels have literally “fallen off that profit vehicle.” The Russell 1000 Growth Index, which tracks stocks that trade at high multiples relative to their earnings, entered correction territories and or bear markets in October, warning that it was one of the worst months since the Great Financial Crisis. In that same period, the Russell 1000 Value Index is down only 7%.

“That shift was cast into sharp relief last week after major revenue shortfalls reported by both Amazon and Alphabet triggered the largest drops in their stock prices in years. Nasdaq, stacked with growth names from the tech sector in particular, is in a full-fledged correction – the term for a fall of at least 10% from the most recent peak.”

According to the Reuters research desk, the gap in performance between Russell’s growth and value indexes hit the widest level in 40-years (shown below on the Reuters Eikon Datastream via Chuck Mikolajczak).

Reuters said previous instances of widening eventually led to a turning point (Dotcom Bust), where value stocks like JPMorgan Chase, Exxon Mobil, and Johnson & Johnson benefited handsomely.

“When the rotation started to go back the other way, sort of reversion to the mean, value went on to outperform growth for several years. It was a longstanding reversion-to-the-mean kind of a trade,” said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors, in New York.

From its Sept. 20 high, the S&P 500 is now down 9%, with the risk of entering correction territory, as heavily weighted sectors, such as technology and consumer discretionary, contributed to the nasty decline.

Both sectors have been crushed in the last three week and include growth stocks such as Amazon, and Alphabet, leading some analyst to believe a full-blown rotation into value stocks has already started.

According to FTSE-Russell data via Eikon, technology accounts for a weighting of nearly 35% in the Russell 1000 growth index, followed by an 18.8% weighting in consumer discretionary.

In terms of a forward price-to-earnings ratio, growth stocks remain expensive despite the recent downturn, making the argument for value stocks even more appealing to investors.

Steve DeSanctis, an equity strategist at Jefferies in New York, told Reuters that investors probably want to own value stocks now.

“We are starting to see earnings accelerate faster for value than for growth, and if GDP is going to be north of 3%, we should see a pretty good earnings backdrop,” DeSanctis said.

Reuters made the point that this month’s shift to value could be a “full rotation as the bull market enters its late-cycle stages, or merely a temporary defensive play,” similar to earlier this year when the S&P 500 tumbled into correction territory in February.

Julian Emanuel, a chief equity and derivatives strategist at BTIG, told Reuters that the current environment versus earlier this year is that the Federal Reserve is more determined in tightening the liquidity nose, which has resulted in higher yields on U.S. Treasury securities.

“Investor psychology has shifted to the idea that long-term yields are rising. When that happens it’s an implicit negative for high-multiple stocks, which tend to reside in the growth category,” Emanuel said.

Add Reuters to the list of research firms indicating that US tech stocks have reached the top.

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Hot-Tempered Alec Baldwin Arrested After Parking Lot Assault

Actor Alec Baldwin was arrested on Friday following a dispute over a parking spot in Mahnattan, reports NBC New York

Law enforcement sources tell TMZ that the other man swooped into a parking spot Baldwin was waiting for near 10th Street and 5th Avenue. An argument ensued and Alec “punched the guy.” 

One witness tells us Alec yelled “F**k off” during the fight. Cops were called and Alec was arrested. Baldwin lives in the area. –TMZ

Baldwin was arrested in 2014 for disorderly conduct, and was acquitted in a battery case involving a photographer in the 1990s. 

In 2013, Baldwin chased a photographer outside his Manhattan apartment, calling him a “cocksucking fag.” 

Get away from my wife and the baby with the camera,” Baldwin can be heard yelling. “What fucking language you want that in?”

In 2007, Baldwin left his 11-year-old daughter Ireland a voicemail in which he called her a “rude, thoughtless, little pig,” adding “you don’t have the brains or the decency as a human being.”

The hot-tempered Baldwin continued: “I don’t give a damn that you’re 12 years old, or 11 years old, or that you’re a child, or that your mother is a thoughtless pain in the ass who doesn’t care about what you do as far as I’m concerned,” adding “Once again I have made an a** of myself trying to get to a phone. You have humiliated me for the last time with this phone.”

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Idiot Algos Panic-Buy Stocks (Again) As Trump Talks China Trade

After denials from three White House officials off the record and Larry Kudlow on the record, President Trump just told reporters that “China talks are going well” and he thinks “US will reach a trade deal with China.”

Trump added that he is “getting closer to doing something with China.”

The algos immediately panic-bid stocks…

Yuan also strengthened…

 

Are these markets seriously this fragile?

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Beto Responds To Undercover Veritas Video; Insists Campaign “Above Board”

Rep. Beto O’Rourke responded to allegations by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) that O’Rourke staffers have been illegally funneling campaign funds to help transport Honduran nationals traveling in the Central American caravan headed towards the southern US border.

In Friday comments, Cruz cited an undercover sting by Project Veritas in which O’Rourke campaign staffers Dominic Chacon and AnaPaula Themann appear to admit to facilitating helping transport migrants to airports and bus stations. 

Cruz referred to the video while campaigning in Fort Worth, telling a crowd of about 300 that “a video broke this morning of his campaign staffers taking campaign money and apparently using it to give it to people coming here illegally.” –Dallas Morning News

O’Rourke responded, telling the Dallas Morning News “We’re looking at this, but anyone who is trying to politicize this is trying to win an election base on fear. I want to make sure that we’re focused on the issues that matters most to Texas.” 

I am comfortable that the campaign is above board, that everything is being reported to the FEC and I’m going to also make sure that I understand that’s going on, but from everything I’ve heard, that’s the sum of it,” added O’Rourke. 

James O’Keefe of Project Veritas challenged O’Rourke on Friday to “make the records public.” 

Staffers for O’Rourke were captured on undercover video telling O’Keefe’s undercover operatives amontg other things “Don’t ever repeat this and stuff but like if we just say that we’re buying food for a campaign event, like the Halloween events…” adding “I just hope nobody that’s the wrong person finds out about this.” 

Perhaps sensing that the Veritas video would cement a victory for recent Trump ally Ted Cruz, O’Rourke picked up an endorsement Friday from former CIA Director, John Brennan, who tweeted: “I believe Beto O’Rourke is the type of individual Texans need in the U.S. Senate to represent their best interests. He has the integrity, intellect, and character that is in short supply in Congress.” 

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$700 Million Hedge Fund Closes Most Of Its Positions

In a time when underperforming hedge funds – that would be most of them  – are doubling down in hopes of undoing recent losses and catching up to the S&P, and avoiding a flood of redemption requests, one fund decided to take money off the table.

Rhicon Currency Management – a $700 million FX-focused hedge fund – closed out most of its positions roughly three weeks ago, according to managing director Peter Jacobson. The fund’s intra-month strategy is “completely flat,” while roughly half of the money in its one-week-or-less book is invested, Bloomberg reports.

Why? One simple reason: according to Jacobson, “nothing looks compelling.”

The refreshing honesty from the hedge fund manager, who unlike his peers does not try to justify his fees by being invested at all times, comes amid recent turmoil in the US stock markets which however has failed to inspire volatility in the $5.1 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market, making life for traders especially difficult. With the “risk off” Yen refusing to act as a “risk off” currency – that honor has now been handed over to the Chinese Yuan, however good luck shorting it with the PBOC occassionally pushing overnight rates to a level that destroys all shorts – and the euro sliding as European growth has slowed to a crawl, Jacobson is steering clear. As for the US dollar, Rhicon believes won’t take another leg higher unless benchmark 10-year Treasury yields spike to 3.3 or 3.4%.

Jacobson said the firm doesn’t often completely shut down its positions. However, in recent years it’s become a more frequent occurrence as extraordinary monetary stimulus on the part of global central banks compressed volatility, not to mention made a mockery of fundamentals-based trading.

“Not trading is actually a trade decision,” said Jacobson. “I don’t see anything that makes sense to me, so there’s absolutely no reason why I should have positions on.”

Trading decisions such as this have served Rhicon well in 2018, a year in which the hedge fund is up nearly 5% even as most of its macro peers have stumbled. That compares with a nearly 4% year-to-date slump in a BarclayHedge index of currency trading programs, following a record 11% plunge in 2017.

According to Bloomberg, Rhicon was previously bullish on the dollar, a profitable trade for much of 2018 as the greenback gained over 7% since mid-April. In May, Jacobson also turned bearish on the Euro, expected the bulk of the dollar’s gains to come against the euro, a good trade as the common currency fell as low as $1.13 in October from a seven-year high of $1.2555 in February.

Now, however, the narrative is less clear: “With a four percent correction in equities, you would have thought that risk-off currencies would perform really well,” Jacobson said. “So I’m in a holding pattern until things become more clear.”

Looking ahead, Jacobson believes that should stocks continue to churn and a “real sense of panic” bleed across markets, his most likely next trade would be to short the USDJPY, even though the Yen has stubbornly refused to trade a risk-off currency in recent quarters.

In the meantime he’s content to sit the market out and keep his powder dry.

“There is always another trade, you just have to wait for it. But if you’re losing money, you may not have enough capital to trade that in the end,” he said. “So just be patient.”

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Nomura: ‘Jaw-Dropping’ Risk-On Surges Signal “Soul-Crushing” Stress In Stock Funds

We “cannot overstate the movement overnight” is how Nomura’s cross-asset strategy MD, Charlie McElligott, begins his note to traders today, reflecting that the markets’ moves are “blistering.”

From a macro-perspective, McElligott notes that it certainly looks like the accumulating “real pain” of the escalating trade war (as indicated in “wrong way” global PMIs / US ISM ‘New Orders’ declines vs leap higher in ‘Prices Paid’ / lower U.S. corporate margins per Q3 EPS / survey data amongst others), and ultimately, the sensitivity of both U.S. and Chinese leadership to the optics of tanking stock markets (ESPECIALLY into mid-term Elections in the US) – has forced what he would call “movement,” with reports late last night saying that President Trump asking his cabinet to begin drafting potential terms of a trade deal.

However, just as we are skeptical (and reports suggest correctly), McElligott notes that the sequencing of events (recent US Equities selloff and timing of said Midterm Elections) has SOME viewing this as another “scheme” to ensure a U.S. stock market rally into the Elections to boost the Trump platform.

Additionally, McElligott points out that the rumor coming from Trump’s side also now “boxes-in” Xi as far as high expectations for an eventual deal – which can then too position him as the “fall guy” if the “deal” ultimately falls-through, especially with the incredibly-complicated 1) “Intellectual Property” forced-transfers- and 2) competitive advantages via subsidies for Chinese SOEs – issues at the core of the spat.

Nevertheless, the markets moves are blistering:

  • Hang Seng closed +4.2% for its largest move since Nov 2011; HSCEI +4.0% for its largest move since Feb 2016; KOSDAQ +5.1% for its largest move since Sep 2011

  • In Germany, Autos are again +3.8%; in Europe Consumer Durables are +3.4% and Banks are +2.4%

  • The move in Yuan is jaw-dropping; the 2d move in CNY is now a -6.5 SD event back to the Chinese revaluation of Yuan / ending of the fixed Dollar peg in July 2005; CNH is seeing the 2nd largest 2d move since 2010 on capitulation from crowded shorts.

Separately, McElligott points out that the purported trade deal breakthrough came amidst two other “risk-bullish” catalysts:

  • Another pledged upgrading of Chinese stimulus measures for the private sector from President Xi at an “unprecedented” symposium with business leaders on Thursday, including substantial tax cuts and bailout funds, “encouragement” of bank lending and an “ordering” of local governments to “rescue” troubled private sector firms.
  • Reports that the U.S. is “said to” give 8 countries—including Japan, India and South Korea—oil waivers under the Iran sanctions to continuing buying their oil, in exchange for continued import cuts so as to not drive up oil prices—net / net a “growth lifeline” for Asian economies which need to import oil.

Incredibly lost in the all the bullish developments overnight was:

  • Another hawkish impulse from the Bank of Japan, which again “stealth tapered” purchases in the 3y-5y JGB bucket – this too is part of the selloff in global Rates overnight, not just the “risk-on” news-flow alone.

  • Similarly notable for the “Bearish Rates” trade per Darren Shames – BIG week-over-week decline in foreign custody holdings indicating UST liquidation flows, with the largest change since April and before that, Oct ‘16.

However, while mainstream business media heralds the gap-higher-opens and short-squeeze spikes as ‘wealth-enhancing’ for average joes everywhere (as if average joes were in the market), McElligott notes that these collective developments are potentially “soul-crushing” for Equities funds which have massively de-grossed / de-netted / de-beta’d their portfolio risk over the past month’s market calamity, literally low-ticking exposure in the period ahead of S&P Futures’ +6.2% rally since the Monday overnight lows:

  • Street PB data showed that Tuesday was the largest day of Equities L/S “gross-down” in 3+ years, selling longs (in ‘most crowded’ Comm Services, Tech and Healthcare) and covering shorts (especially ETFs)

  • Monday showed to be the largest underperformance in the top 10 ‘most crowded’ longs vs the SPX since 2010 on forced-deleveraging

  • Again per Street PB data, both “gross-” and “net-” exposures @ ~ 2 year lows, with 5Y delta-adjusted “gross” just 25th %ile and 5y delta-adjusted “net” at just 9th %ile

  • This speaks to my initial “point #1” a few weeks ago on the case for a re-risking move into Equities through year-end—that a “positioning-rinse” will PERVERSELY drive a violent mechanical “re-racking” of exposure from “first-mover” Systematic rules-based strategies, themselves too having de-risked throughout October (i.e. our CTA model showing “outright short” positions in SPX across 2w, 1m, 3m and 6m models through the end of the month)

  • This “lunge higher” exposure rebuild was only able to develop after Macro funds (who have gotten the “bearish Rates” trade correct and thus had PNL to “play offense” with) were able to profit on downside Equities hedges – which meant YARDS of Equities delta to buy over the prior 48 hours – and quickly pivot into outright “upside” expressions through early Dec—painfully, all ahead of the fundamental universe, which are collectively licking their wounds and “frozen” with redemption concerns

  • And thus my key observation over the past two notes: ULTIMATELY, the fundamental Equities community  (both MF and HF L/S) is now a massive “synthetic” short-gamma in the Equities-space, turning forced-buyers the higher the tape goes—and as expensive as options have become after last month, this means outright “spastic grabbing” of index futures and ETFs in an attempt to rebuild any semblance of exposure to this explosive gap-move higher

On a related note, McElligott warns that indications are that redemption flows and “unwind-y behavior” continues in the quant strategies universe…

VERY CONCERNING cross-asset “Momentum Reversal” price-action in the most-crowded CTA-Trend positions yesterday,  which could very reasonably be interpreted as REDEMPTION-related with proxy trackers of industry performance anywhere -6% to -15% YTD now

These strategies again proving to be more susceptible to “crowding risk” than their “risk diversification” marketing claims, as the market regime shift’s ”rolling vol events” chops their “calm-dependent” strategies

Yesterday’s most obvious “Max” position liquidation candidates:

  • All “long USD” tied trades were nuked, as our model showed recent re-accumulation of “Max Shorts” URUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD / “Max Longs” in USDJPY, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDNOK, USDSEK, USDCNH which all traded violently “backwards” yesterday

  • Gold and Metals (both precious and industrial) had recently again moved-back to “Max Short” status, but yesterday and again today continue squeezing powerfully higher (Gold a +3SD move yday, while the 2d move in Industrial Metals is a +2.5SD move relative to past year’s returns)

  • “Max Long” in Brent Crude being destroyed, with the prior 4d move a collective -2.5SD drawdown

Additional assets “at risk” going-forward from CTA redemption flow:

  • MAX SHORTS in Eurostoxx, DAX, CAC40, Hang Seng, HSCEI, ASX, Kospi, Nikkei; EUR / JPY / GBP/ AUD / CAD / NZD / NOK / SEK / CNH; ITA 10Y; Industrial Metals, Precious Metals

  • MAX LONGS in Brent Crude; EUR 10Y, JPY 10Y, GBP 10Y, AUD 10Y, CHF 10Y, FRA 10Y

And remember when in my mid-June structural / trading behavior “Downshift” note, where the macro regime shift from “Cyclical Melt-Up” into the much more difficult “Financial Conditions Tightening Tantrum” meant that the trading environment too would then transition from a period of “high Sharpe” directional trades to instead a hyper-tactical stance, with called for monthly “mean reversion” trades / hedges?  Well….yesterday exemplified that perfectly within the Equities quant space, with widespread “stress” apparent–

Yesterday’s U.S. Equities factor-behavior was indicative of “stress” as well – as we have discussed to pain seen in some high profile “quants” YTD:

  • “1m Price Reversal” factor finished +3.5% for its largest move since Nov ‘17 and now +7.0% QTD; the return was almost entirely from this month’s “Reversal Longs,” meaning that the largest “losers” of last month’s capitulation via de-gross, de-net and tax-loss selling were the biggest “winners” yesterday

  • “1Y Momentum” was crushed -2.5% on the session, its 10th ~-2SD move since late June

  • Recently defenestrated “Beta” and “Volatility” exploded higher, +2.5% / +3.6% on the day respectively—largest 2d positive move in “Beta” (+5.5%) since the U.S. Election, largest 3d move in “Vol” (+7.7%) since March ‘16

  • “Size” factor (small cap over large) saw a +3.6 SD move, largest since Nov ‘16

  • “R&D / EV” factor sees a +3.1SD move, largest since April ‘16

  • “Conditional Reversal” factor sees its 5th largest move in its history

  • “Default Risk” factor largest move since Nov ‘16

As we noted previously, volatility is not going away as this stress, de-risking, and re-rising panic is far from over.

 

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Buchanan: Mass Migration Is A Mortal Threat To Red State America

Authored by Patrick Buchanan via Buchanan.org,

Among the reasons Donald Trump is president is that his natural political instincts are superior to those of any other current figure.

As campaign 2018 entered its final week, Trump seized upon and elevated the single issue that most energizes his populist base and most convulses our media elite.

Warning of an “invasion,” he pointed to the migrant caravan that had come out of Honduras and was wending its way through Mexico. He then threatened to issue an executive order ending birthright citizenship.

As other caravans began to assemble in Central America, Trump said he would send, first 5,200 and then 15,000, troops to the border.

This ignited the predictable hysteria of the media elite who decried his “racism,” his “lying” and his “attack on the 14th Amendment.” Trump, they railed, is sending more troops to the Mexican border than we have in Syria or Iraq.

True. But to most Americans, the fate and future of the republic is more likely to be determined on the U.S.-Mexican border than on the border between Syria and Iraq.

Moreover, in challenging birthright citizenship, Trump has some constitutional history on his side.

The 14th Amendment, approved in 1868, was crafted to overturn the Dred Scott decision of 1857 and to guarantee citizenship and equal rights under law to freed slaves and their children.

Did it guarantee that everyone born on U.S. soil is a U.S. citizen?

No. In the 1884 Elk v. Wilkins decision, the Supreme Court ruled that John Elk, a Winnebago Indian born on a reservation, had not denied his constitutional right to vote, as he was not a U.S. citizen.

Not for 56 years, when Congress passed the Indian Citizenship Act of 1924, did Native Americans become U.S. citizens.

Also, the 14th Amendment confers citizenship on those born in the U.S. and “subject to the jurisdiction thereof.” Children of foreign diplomats, though born here, are not citizens.

Most legal scholars do not think Trump can, by executive order, determine who is or is not a citizen under the 14th Amendment.

Yet should Trump issue an executive order and lose in the Supreme Court, the controversy could raise public consciousness and force Congress to enact legislation to clarify what the 14th Amendment precisely means.

Only Canada and the United States, among advanced nations, have birthright citizenship. No European country does. And the Conservative Party in Canada is moving to end it. Does it make sense to grant all the honor, privileges and rights of lifetime U.S. citizenship to anyone who can fly to the U.S. or evade the Border Patrol and have a baby?

Nor is this a small matter. The Pew Hispanic Center estimates that 6 percent of U.S. births (250,000 per year) are to undocumented immigrants.

Yet that 250,000 is a drop in the bucket compared to the total number of immigrants now coming. In 2016, President Obama’s last full year, 1.75 million legal and illegal immigrants arrived, a record.

With two months to go in 2017, the estimated arrivals of legal and illegal immigrants is 1.61 million.

Thus, in two years, 2016 and 2017, the United States will have absorbed more migrants, legal and illegal, than all the people of the 13 states when we became a nation.

According to the Center for Immigration Studies, there are 44.5 million immigrants in the U.S. today, legal and illegal, a number that far exceeds the total U.S. population, North and South, at the time of the Civil War.

While almost all of our immigration before 1965 was from Europe, only 1 in 10 immigrants now comes from the Old Continent.

Mexico, Central and South America, and the Caribbean provide a plurality of migrants, legal and illegal. They have displaced East Asia and South Asia – China, Korea, the Philippines, India – as the primary contributors to the burgeoning U.S. population.

We are assured that the greater the racial, ethnic, religious and cultural diversity we have, the stronger a nation we shall become. Whether true or not, we are going to find out.

For the European population of America, 90 percent of the country in 1965, will have fallen to about 60 percent by 2020, and whites are headed for minority status about 20 years after that.

Of America’s most populous states – California, Texas, Florida and New York – the first two are already minority-majority and the latter two are not far behind.

Yet the gaps between Asian and white Americans, and Hispanic and African-Americans – in income and wealth, crime rates and incarceration rates, test scores and academic achievements – are dramatic and are seemingly enduring.

To the frustration of egalitarians, the meritocracy of free and fair competition in this most diverse of great nations is producing an inequality of rewards and a visible hierarchy of achievement.

Politically, continued mass migration to the USA by peoples of color, who vote 70-90 percent Democratic, is going to change our country another way. Red state America will inevitably turn blue.

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Elon Musk Culminates “Worst Year of Career” By Trashing Saudis, Apple, Ford And “Terrible” Journalists

Recode’s much awaited podcast with Kara Swisher interviewing Elon Musk has finally been published; it was recorded on Halloween evening at Tesla headquarters in Palo Alto and it covered a broad scope of topics: all of Elon Musk’s companies, Saudi Arabia, a normal Musk work week at Tesla, a look back at 2018 and Musk’s distaste for the press – to name a few.

Musk’s tone during the interview was is in contrast with the spaced-out demeanor during the Joe Rogan podcast. He comes off as relatively confident, somewhat reserved and generally in a better mood. Despite this, Musk wasn’t able to make it through the podcast without attacking both journalists and short sellers, despite being “optimistic” about Tesla’s future. 

In the interview, Musk admits that he still tweets “without a filter” simply because he “finds things entertaining”. He said in the interview that he only spends about 10 to 15 minutes a day on Twitter. When asked about whether or not he was under strict orders not to Tweet or whether he would have to change his Twitter behavior as a result of the SEC settlement, Musk replied “not really”.

The “genius” followed up by giving the impression he didn’t understand (or care to understand) his SEC settlement or the pertinent securities laws surrounding what got him in trouble in the first place. 

“I think it’s mostly just if it’s something that might cause a substantial movement in the stock during trading hours. That’s about it,” Musk told Swisher. 

When asked about the press, Musk said that his “regard for the press has dropped quite dramatically.” When asked further about it, he brought up the Wall Street Journal’s most recent article about the FBI investigation into Tesla intensifying and said about the Wall Street Journal “Like, why are they even journalists? They’re terrible. Terrible people.”

He continued on journalists, explaining why he thought there was so much negative press about Tesla. Of course, his explanation did not include anything about missing production targets or burning through cash. Instead, Musk said: “There are good journalists and there are bad ones, and unfortunately the feedback loop for good versus bad is inverted, so the more salacious that an article is, the more salacious the headline is, the more clicks it’s gonna get. Then somebody is not a journalist, they are an ad salesman.”

When Swisher asked Musk if perhaps he was just too sensitive, Musk replied “No. Of course not. I have a strong interest in the truth. Much more than journalists do.”

Asked about 2018, Musk stated more than once that it was “excruciating” and reiterated the obvious: that it is “incredibly difficult” to survive as a car company – a point he reiterated more than five times in just several sentences: 

“It’s been a very difficult year. We had the Model 3 production ramp, which was excruciatingly difficult. It is incredibly difficult to survive as a car company. Incredibly difficult. People have no idea how much pain people at Tesla went through, including myself. It was excruciating

Pretty sure I burnt out a bunch of neurons during this process. Running both SpaceX and Tesla is an incredibly difficult … You realize we’re fighting the incredibly competitive car companies. They make very good cars. They’ve been doing this for a long time. They are entrenched. Mercedes, Audi, BMW, Lexus, you name it. All those car brands. And the history of car companies in America is terrible. The only ones that haven’t gone bankrupt are Tesla and Ford. That’s it. Everyone else has gone bankrupt.”

He followed up by saying it was “absurd” that Tesla was even alive:

“Making a car company successful is monumentally difficult. There have been many attempts to create a car company and they have all failed, even the ones that have had a strong base of customers, thousands of dealers, thousands of service centers, they’ve already spent the capital for the factories, like GM and Chrysler, still went bankrupt in the last recession. Ford and Tesla made it barely through the last recession. There’s a good chance Ford doesn’t make it in the next recession. So, as a startup, a car company, it is far more difficult to be successful than if you’re an established, entrenched brand. It is absurd that Tesla is alive. Absurd! Absurd.”

Later in the podcast, he described 2018 by saying: “This year felt like five years of aging, frankly. The worst year of my entire career. Insanely painful.”

Then, hilariously when asked about Tesla’s fundamental mission, Musk – who has been known to fly around in his Gulfstream G650 private jet – said he found it “outrageous” when social justice warriors drive around in diesel cars.

“It’s very important for the future of the world. It’s very important for all life on Earth. This supersedes political parties, race, creed, religion, it doesn’t matter. If we do not solve the environment, we’re all damned. Yes. It sort of blows my mind, all these social justice warriors driving around in diesel cars. It’s outrageous.”

He also spoke about self inflicted wounds and sleep deprivation, revealing to Swisher that his brother once said to him: ““Look, if you do a self-inflicted wound, can you at least not twist the knife afterwards?” You stabbed yourself in the leg. You don’t really need to twist it in your leg. Why do that?”

Acknowledging that he is under pressure, Musk admitted to simply “making mistakes”. “It’s not intentional. Sometimes you’re just under a lot of pressure, and you’re not getting much sleep, you’re under massive pressure, and you make mistakes,” he said. 

Swisher told Musk that he looked good and rested for the interview, and Musk noted he was down to 80 to 90 hour work weeks, versus the 120 he claimed he had been working prior. Swisher also asked about Musk’s Ambien usage, which Musk again acknowledged. He stated: “…if you’re super-stressed, you can’t go to sleep. You either have a choice of, like, okay, I’ll have zero sleep and then my brain won’t work tomorrow, or you’re gonna take some kind of sleep medication to fall asleep.”

With regard to Tesla’s position as a company, Musk stated he felt like the company was no longer “staring death in the face” like it was in Q3. He also said that he thought Tesla was “over the hump” in terms of Model 3 production. Whether or not this is commentary on how the Model 3’s backlog looks remains to be seen. 

Despite Musk’s earlier soliloquy regarding how hard it was to function as a car company, when he was later asked about competitors to Tesla, he responded by stating: “I don’t really think that much about competitors.” When pressed about self-driving, he conceded that he thought Google/Waymo was the closest to Tesla.

Musk also stated that he didn’t think Ford would make it through the next recession. “There’s a good chance that Ford doesn’t make it in the next recession,” Musk told Swisher. He didn’t mention anything about Tesla in the same type of recession scenario.

And those intimating that Tesla may have a cozy relationship with Apple also appear to be wrong, as Musk took a potshot at Apple’s innovation, as well. 

“Apple used to really bring out products that would blow people’s minds. They still make great products, but there’s less of that. Like, I don’t think people are necessarily running to the store for the iPhone 11.”

Finally, Musk was asked about the “funding secured” and going private debacles. When asked about the Saudi’s stock they reportedly bought, he told Swisher, “They might have sold it, I don’t know.” Musk also reiterated financial guidance when he stated: “I think we will be cash-flow positive for all quarters going forward.”

Then, Musk, who said he did not want to “harp on those short sellers” spent time harping on short sellers. He also apparently has changed his view on short sellers from just being “smartish” to being “quite smart”:

“Yeah, you know, not to harp on those short-sellers, because people think I have this obsession with them, but I spent like 1 percent [or] less of time thinking about them —

Less than 1 percent of my tweets have anything to do with short-sellers. But the issue is that there’s a group of people who are quite smart, very mean, and have a strong financial interest in Tesla’s downfall.

And what that results in is a constant attack on the Tesla brand, on me personally, on the executive team, on our cars. You know, every mistake we make is amplified.

Going private would definitely result in some short-term drama. Let’s say we’re private, and then we went public five years from now. Then the area under the curve of brand damage by short-sellers would be probably less than the short-term difficulty of going private in the first place. That was the approximate calculus.”

Musk spent the rest of the interview talking about voting, the political environment, the Tesla semi, pickup truck, hovercrafts, dying on Mars and other figments of his imagination. 

When asked whether he would take Saudi money in light of the Khashoggi murder (which Musk described as sounding “pretty bad”), Musk responded “I think we probably would not, yes.”

Then, about an hour after attacking the Wall Street Journal, Musk was asked what he would have done differently in 2018.

His response:

“It’s fair to say I would probably not have tweeted some of the things I tweeted, that was probably unwise. And probably not gotten into some of the online fights that I got into.”

He finished up: “I probably shouldn’t have attacked journalists, probably shouldn’t have done that.”

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No Matter What Happens With Midterms, Democrats Still Losers After Kavanaugh Debacle: WSJ

The Wall Street Journal‘s Kim Strassel is at it again. In a Thursday Op-Ed, she describes how Democrats, over the course of six weeks, turned a “blue wave” of momentum into an absurd circus over Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh – tainting all of the 2020 Democratic presidential hopefuls except Joe Biden. 

“Democrats obliterated their own breaker in the space of two weeks with the ambush of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh,” Strassel writes, displaying some of the “vilest political tactics ever seen in Washington, with no regard for who or what they damaged or destroyed along the way.” 

And despite support for insurgent Democratic candidates such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andrew Gillum sweeping voters off their feet during primaries, Democrats have been running candidates with conservative credentials,” or “candidates who can’t run fast enough from liberal positions.” 

And at the end of the day, no matter how midterms turn out – “save for Joe Biden, every current leading contender for the Democratic nomination either was a ringleader of the Kavanaugh spectacle (Sens. Cory “Spartacus” Booker and Kamala Harris) or is a progressive icon (Ms. Warren, Mr. Sanders, Kirsten Gillibrand).”

Via the Wall Street Journal: 

In a few days the U.S. will have its midterm results, and the Beltway press corps will lecture us on the lessons. Don’t expect to hear much about the one takeaway that is already obvious: that today’s preferred progressive politics—of character assassination, mob rule, intimidation and wacky policies—is an electoral bust. It is not what is winning Democrats anything. It is what is losing the party the bigger prize.

Six weeks ago, Democrats were expecting a blue wave to rival the Republican victory of 2010, when the GOP picked up 63 House seats. Everything was in their favor. History—the party in power almost always loses seats. Money—Democrats continue to outraise Republicans by staggering amounts. The opposition—some 41 GOP House members retired, most from vulnerable districts where Donald Trump’s favorability is low. Democrats were even positioned to take over the Senate, despite defending 10 Trump-state seats.

Democrats obliterated their own breaker in the space of two weeks with the ambush of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. The left, its protesters and its media allies demonstrated some of the vilest political tactics ever seen in Washington, with no regard for who or what they damaged or destroyed along the way—Christine Blasey Ford, committee rules, civility, Justice Kavanaugh himself, the Constitution. An uncharacteristically disgusted Sen. Lindsey Graham railed: “Boy, y’all want power. God, I hope you never get it!”

A lot of voters suddenly agreed with that sentiment. The enormous enthusiasm gap closed almost overnight as conservative voters rallied to #JobsNotMobs. Even liberal prognosticators today forecast that Republicans will keep the Senate and Democrats will manage only a narrow majority in the House, if that. It’s always possible the polls are off, or that there is a last-minute bombshell. But it remains the case that the ascendant progressive movement blew an easy victory for Democrats.

Meanwhile, to the extent Democrats are winning, it has been in large part due to party leaders’ quiet but laborious efforts to sequester that movement. Yes, talk-show hosts have made a darling of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the progressive activist who defeated incumbent Rep. Joe Crowley in a New York primary. And liberal pundits are already claiming a victory by left-wing Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum in Florida’s gubernatorial race will prove America aches for Medicare for All.

But on the ground, Mr. Gillum and Ms. Ocasio-Cortez are the anomalies of this cycle. The far bigger if less covered story is the extent to which Democrats have run candidates with conservative credentials, or candidates who can’t run fast enough from liberal positions.

For all the talk of the “year of the woman,” it is equally the year of the Democratic “veteran.” In battleground after battleground district, Democrats recruited former service members as their candidates: Amy McGrath in Kentucky, Richard Ojeda in West Virginia, Jason Crow in Colorado, Jared Golden in Maine, Conor Lamb in Pennsylvania, Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey, Max Rose in New York. By at least one count, more than half the veterans who’ve run in 2018 are Democrats—a huge shift, and a reason some traditionally GOP districts are competitive.

Senate races, meanwhile, have been entirely defined by the extent to which Democratic candidates have positioned themselves as “moderates.” Arizona’s Kyrsten Sinema, a self-described “Prada socialist” and onetime antiwar activist, now insists she would be an “independent” voice in favor of bipartisanship. Nevada’s Jacky Rosen was one of three House Democrats who voted in September to make the Trump individual tax cuts permanent. Missouri incumbent Claire McCaskill is running a radio ad boasting she “is not one of those crazy Democrats.” Asked on Fox News about her Senate colleagues, she took a swipe at Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders.

All of this is reminiscent of 2006 and 2008, when Democrats won Congress by running moderates and then the White House by nominating a candidate who promised to unite the nation. Only after the party jerked left did the GOP win its 2010 blowout.

Will it be different this time? The moment the polls close on Tuesday, it will be wheels up for the 2020 presidential campaign. And save for Joe Biden, every current leading contender for the Democratic nomination either was a ringleader of the Kavanaugh spectacle (Sens. Cory “Spartacus” Booker and Kamala Harris) or is a progressive icon (Ms. Warren, Mr. Sanders, Kirsten Gillibrand).

If Democrats win Tuesday, it will be despite this crowd, not because of it. They’d be wise to remember that a vote to rebuke President Trump’s inflammatory politics isn’t the same as an embrace of a progressive agenda or its candidates. The Democrats’ own recent history and campaign strategy prove it.

Write to kim@wsj.com.

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