Tesla Momentum Runs Out Of “Gas”, Enters Bear Market

Having been “on fire” for most of the year – managing a simply remarkable (Venezuela stock market-like) 472% gain from the start of the year to September highs; it appears the momentum stock of the year is ‘running out of gas’. Now down over 22% from its highs, Elon Musk’s experiment in exuberance has entered a bear market. Indices most levred to the momo mayhem are struggling this morning also with NASDAQ leading the ‘charge’ lower. At 3-month lows, TSLA is now up ‘only’ 335% YTD…

 

 

maybe – as @ECantoni noted, replacing ORCL with TSLA in the NASDAQ 100 in July was not such a great idea after all…


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/4UA2nCTzveo/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Obamacare Queen Sebelius Faces HTTP 404 Error Again, This Time In The Senate – Live Webcast

HHS Secretary Sebelius faces up to the self-described “debacle” that is Obamacare in fron the The Senate Finance Committee this morning. We should expect much “mid-November”-ing as the new replacement for “plead da fif.”

 

Live Stream via Bloomberg:

 

Stream via CSPAN, (click image)


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/j98x_lURNDI/story01.htm Tyler Durden

“Sources” Confirm No ECB Rate Cut Tomorrow, Euro Soars Pushing Dow Jones To New Record High.

Even though a meager 3 of 70 economists actually expected Mario Draghi to announce some sort of rate cut at tomorrow’s ECB press conference, moments ago MarketNews reported that according to “sources” a rate change tomorrow is unlikely even amid a dip in Europe’s inflation.

Bloomberg adds:

  • MarketNews report cites senior Eurosystem source as saying ECB will want to avoid over-reacting to fast-changing economic signals and avoid Fed Taper error.
  • Report cites senior Eurosystem source as saying ECB will want to avoid over-reacting to fast-changing economic signals.
  • ECB does not make “hasty moves or take decisions with  short-term value,” report cites source as saying; said Fed announced plan to start tapering QE “too early”

The flashing red headline, as this non-news was picked up by the algos, was enough to send the EUR, and naturally the all important EURJPY spiking by another 40 pips, and taking the correlated US equity markets, right along with it pushing the Dow Jones to a fresh record high.

And that concludes your “fundamental trading” lesson for the day.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/kOTvwwuF3_4/story01.htm Tyler Durden

"Sources" Confirm No ECB Rate Cut Tomorrow, Euro Soars Pushing Dow Jones To New Record High.

Even though a meager 3 of 70 economists actually expected Mario Draghi to announce some sort of rate cut at tomorrow’s ECB press conference, moments ago MarketNews reported that according to “sources” a rate change tomorrow is unlikely even amid a dip in Europe’s inflation.

Bloomberg adds:

  • MarketNews report cites senior Eurosystem source as saying ECB will want to avoid over-reacting to fast-changing economic signals and avoid Fed Taper error.
  • Report cites senior Eurosystem source as saying ECB will want to avoid over-reacting to fast-changing economic signals.
  • ECB does not make “hasty moves or take decisions with  short-term value,” report cites source as saying; said Fed announced plan to start tapering QE “too early”

The flashing red headline, as this non-news was picked up by the algos, was enough to send the EUR, and naturally the all important EURJPY spiking by another 40 pips, and taking the correlated US equity markets, right along with it pushing the Dow Jones to a fresh record high.

And that concludes your “fundamental trading” lesson for the day.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/kOTvwwuF3_4/story01.htm Tyler Durden

What The US Government Spent Its Money On In 2013

Still living with the misguided idea that the bulk of government spending goes to defense? Wrong. As the just released Treasury refunding presentation shows, for yet another year in a row, the bulk of government outlays was for Medicare and Medicaid, as well as Social Security, both amounting to just shy of $900 billion in 2013, a sizable increase compared to the prior year. Defense spending? It declined once again to just over $600 billion, as did Interest outlays, which net of the Fed’s remittances on interest payments, declined from under $500 billion to just about $400 billion in the past year.

The other tiems were largely in line, and far less material to the US government’s spending addiction.

So how did the government fund these outlays? Well in addition to net debt issuance of just over $1 trillion in the 2013 fiscal year, the other more traditional sources of funding – tax receipts – were the following:

Notably, while monthly individual income taxes rose on an LTM basis to a record $110 billion as a result of changes to the tax code in early 2013, corporations continue to see their overall income taxes decline as more seek offshore tax shelters, and avoid paying US taxes while building up record cash hoards.

This is also visible on the following chart of Y/Y percentage changes in tax receipts, showing that for the first time in years, corporate taxes are about to decline compared to the previous year.

Ironically, corporations may be people as per the SCOTUS, but people are increasingly corporations, at least for IRS purposes.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/ByDN8p5l8Sw/story01.htm Tyler Durden

The Truth About "If You Like Your Plan, You Can Keep Your Plan"

Submitted by F.F.Wiley of Cyniconomics blog,

OBAMA AND DIMON

 

Bit by bit, we’re learning more about President Obama’s broken promise that you can keep your health insurance if you like it, which was repeated at least two dozen times in recent years.

As reported last week by NBC’s Lisa Myers and Hannah Rappleye, the administration knew to expect the current wave of policy cancellations for “at least three years.” NBC cited estimates of about 7 to 11 million cancellations:

Four sources deeply involved in the Affordable Care Act tell NBC News that 50 to 75 percent of the 14 million consumers who buy their insurance individually can expect to receive a “cancellation” letter or the equivalent over the next year because their existing policies don’t meet the standards mandated by the new health care law.

 

One expert predicts that number could reach as high as 80 percent. And all say that many of those forced to buy pricier new policies will experience “sticker shock.”

None of this should come as a shock to the Obama administration.

Last weekend, The Wall Street Journal added the news that Obama’s pledge was actively debated by his advisory team. Some advisers objected to the pledge, knowing it wasn’t accurate, only to be overruled by “political aides.”

All of this raises the question: What should we call such a deliberate deception?

Did Obama merely misspeak, as claimed by The New York Times editorial board?

Or, is he guilty of an out-and-out lie?

The WSJ’s James Taranto stopped short of the “L” word in his “Best of the Web” column yesterday, but otherwise hit the nail on the head:

To misspeak means to express oneself imperfectly or incorrectly. It implies either a careless choice of words or an unintended candor (as in a “Freudian slip”). Obama did not misspeak. As The Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend, the slogan was the result of careful deliberation.

 

 

Suppose the deliberations the Journal describes had taken place in a corporate suite rather than a government one and had concerned a commercial rather than a political advertising slogan. In that case, we’d be talking about a criminal conspiracy to defraud consumers.

In other words, Obama’s pledge was no different to, say, JPMorgan’s misrepresentations about the toxic mortgages it sold to unwitting investors. Fraudulent mortgage claims were surely discussed within JPM, just as Obama’s team debated the health insurance promise. Moreover, any internal concerns about the mortgage fraud were certainly squashed, just like the reservations expressed by Obama’s more truthful advisers.

But the consequences of Obama’s false advertisements are worse than those of private institutions such as JPM. In an economy that’s awash in misinformation – which is basically any economy – we can at least protect our interests against those of other private entities. We can walk away from claims that don’t pass the sniff test. If we learn we’ve been fooled, we can take our business elsewhere. Finally, we can turn to the courts for compensation.

None of these options are realistic, though, when the transgressor happens to hold the title, President of the United States. Under our new, more socialistic approach to health care, our only choice is to play by Obama’s rules. We also have to accept that information about those rules is tightly controlled by his team. Which means it’s crafted to protect his popularity and legacy above other considerations including the truth.

Just as Taranto didn’t go so far as to use the “L” word in his column yesterday, neither did any of the other mainstream media reports we reviewed. There were plenty of carefully worded euphemisms, but presumably it’s not polite to say the president told a lie.

We’ll show no such restraint:  Obama told a blatant lie, which he then continued to repeat.  It’s not the first time he’s lied, but this was an absolute whopper.

And while Taranto was right to compare his deceit to corporate fraud, we’ll add that we have no recourse against the president’s lies, unlike in the private sector. Therefore, Obama’s actions are more demoralizing and destructive than those of corporate fraudsters.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/VZFyKbjTg3E/story01.htm Tyler Durden

The Truth About “If You Like Your Plan, You Can Keep Your Plan”

Submitted by F.F.Wiley of Cyniconomics blog,

OBAMA AND DIMON

 

Bit by bit, we’re learning more about President Obama’s broken promise that you can keep your health insurance if you like it, which was repeated at least two dozen times in recent years.

As reported last week by NBC’s Lisa Myers and Hannah Rappleye, the administration knew to expect the current wave of policy cancellations for “at least three years.” NBC cited estimates of about 7 to 11 million cancellations:

Four sources deeply involved in the Affordable Care Act tell NBC News that 50 to 75 percent of the 14 million consumers who buy their insurance individually can expect to receive a “cancellation” letter or the equivalent over the next year because their existing policies don’t meet the standards mandated by the new health care law.

 

One expert predicts that number could reach as high as 80 percent. And all say that many of those forced to buy pricier new policies will experience “sticker shock.”

None of this should come as a shock to the Obama administration.

Last weekend, The Wall Street Journal added the news that Obama’s pledge was actively debated by his advisory team. Some advisers objected to the pledge, knowing it wasn’t accurate, only to be overruled by “political aides.”

All of this raises the question: What should we call such a deliberate deception?

Did Obama merely misspeak, as claimed by The New York Times editorial board?

Or, is he guilty of an out-and-out lie?

The WSJ’s James Taranto stopped short of the “L” word in his “Best of the Web” column yesterday, but otherwise hit the nail on the head:

To misspeak means to express oneself imperfectly or incorrectly. It implies either a careless choice of words or an unintended candor (as in a “Freudian slip”). Obama did not misspeak. As The Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend, the slogan was the result of careful deliberation.

 

 

Suppose the deliberations the Journal describes had taken place in a corporate suite rather than a government one and had concerned a commercial rather than a political advertising slogan. In that case, we’d be talking about a criminal conspiracy to defraud consumers.

In other words, Obama’s pledge was no different to, say, JPMorgan’s misrepresentations about the toxic mortgages it sold to unwitting investors. Fraudulent mortgage claims were surely discussed within JPM, just as Obama’s team debated the health insurance promise. Moreover, any internal concerns about the mortgage fraud were certainly squashed, just like the reservations expressed by Obama’s more truthful advisers.

But the consequences of Obama’s false advertisements are worse than those of private institutions such as JPM. In an economy that’s awash in misinformation – which is basically any economy – we can at least protect our interests against those of other private entities. We can walk away from claims that don’t pass the sniff test. If we learn we’ve been fooled, we can take our business elsewhere. Finally, we can turn to the courts for compensation.

None of these options are realistic, though, when the transgressor happens to hold the title, President of the United States. Under our new, more socialistic approach to health care, our only choice is to play by Obama’s rules. We also have to accept that information about those rules is tightly controlled by his team. Which means it’s crafted to protect his popularity and legacy above other considerations including the truth.

Just as Taranto didn’t go so far as to use the “L” word in his column yesterday, neither did any of the other mainstream media reports we reviewed. There were plenty of carefully worded euphemisms, but presumably it’s not polite to say the president told a lie.

We’ll show no such restraint:  Obama told a blatant lie, which he then continued to repeat.  It’s not the first time he’s lied, but this was an absolute whopper.

And while Taranto was right to compare his deceit to corporate fraud, we’ll add that we have no recourse against the president’s lies, unlike in the private sector. Therefore, Obama’s actions are more demoralizing and destructive than those of corporate fraudsters.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/VZFyKbjTg3E/story01.htm Tyler Durden

Treasury Will Issue Its First Floaters On January 29, 2014

As was long predicted and foreshadowed (and analyzed here previously with the proposed FRN term sheet shown half a year ago), after nearly two years of foreplay with the idea of issuing inflation-friendly floating rate notes, moments ago as part of its refunding announcement, the Treasury announced the first floater issuance in history would take place on January 29, 2014, will have a 2 year tenor, and will amount to between $10 and $15 billion.

From the press release:

Floating Rate Notes (FRNs)

 

Treasury intends to announce the details of the initial Floating Rate Note (FRN) auction on Thursday, January 23, 2014, with the first auction occurring on Wednesday, January 29, 2014. Settlement of the security will occur on Friday, January 31, 2014.

 

The FRN is the first new product that Treasury has brought to market in 17 years.  The FRN will have a maturity of two years and Treasury anticipates that the size of the first auction will be between $10 and $15 billion. 

 

Specific terms and conditions of each FRN issue, including the auction date, issue date, and public offering amount, will be announced prior to each auction.  For more details about the new Treasury FRN product, including a term sheet, FRN auction rules, and Frequently Asked Question, please see:

 

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/statreg/auctreg/auctreg.htm

 

In addition, a tentative auction calendar that includes Treasury FRNs can be found at:

 

http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/quarterly-refunding/Pages/default.aspx

As posted previously, here is what the Treasury proposes for an indicative FRN term sheet:

FRN Term Sheet

Away from the topic of FRNs, the TSY also indicated it will offer $70 billion in new paper to refund $63.5 billion, for net new cash proceeds of $6.5 billion. Recall that a few days ago, the Treasury announced it would increase its cash build by a whopping $60 billion in the quarter, hoping to leave it with $140 billion in total cash by December 31. Which begs the question: is the Treasury, in order to keep net collateral roughly flat in light of no Fed monetizing, now simply issuing more gross debt to build up cash with the proceeds? If so, this would mean that the Treasury and the Fed which is monetizing the bulk of its issuance, have reached a level of synchronicity unseen before, all of it simply to preserve the upward ramp in stocks.

Finally, and as largely expected, the Treasury once again reminded Congress to fix itself promptly (i.e., ignore the enabling impact of the Fed), and to lift the debt ceiling ahead of February 7, 2014.

Debt Limit

 

The debt limit places a limitation on the total amount of money that the United States government is authorized to borrow to meet its existing legal obligations, including Social Security and Medicare benefits, military salaries, interest on the national debt, tax refunds, and other payments.  Raising the debt limit does not authorize new spending commitments; it simply allows the government to finance existing legal obligations that Congresses and presidents of both parties have made in the past.

 

The Continuing Appropriations Act, 2014 suspended the debt limit through February 7, 2014.  A new debt limit will be calculated on February 8, 2014 in the manner prescribed by the Act.  At that time, Treasury will have extraordinary measures available, which will allow the government to continue to finance its obligations for a period of time.

 

During the recent debt limit impasse, concerns that the debt limit would not be increased before extraordinary measures were exhausted led to significant disruptions in the secondary market for short-dated Treasury securities and a measurable increase in borrowing costs for newly issued Treasury bills.  As such, Treasury respectfully urges Congress to provide certainty and stability to the economy and financial markets by acting to raise the debt limit well before February 7, 2014.

Good luck with getting a functioning congress as long as the Fed is around.


    



via Zero Hedge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~3/WJYK11862e8/story01.htm Tyler Durden