My personal story from the collapse of the Soviet Union

[Editor’s note: Marat K, one of our team members who grew up during the collapse of the Soviet Union, tells the story of his own experiences during that period.]

When I was a kid growing up in the Soviet Union, it was essentially forbidden to make a better life for yourself.

You couldn’t just decide to go back to school, start a business, or switch careers to a thriving new industry.

And it didn’t matter how hard you worked– you were most likely NEVER going to be promoted. All the top jobs in the Soviet Union were reserved for party loyalists.

The government removed EVERY possible economic incentive to achieve more… which is why service was pitiful, technology was lagging, and the Soviet economy was consistently in the dumps.

Now, on occasion, the government would decide that they wanted to populate certain rural areas of Russia, such as remote parts of Siberia.

Quite often families were simply ordered to pick up and move, as was famously the case under Stalin.

But by the 1970s, the government would provide a small financial incentive for families– if you moved to Siberia, you could earn a slightly higher salary.

This became literally the ONLY way that anyone could (legally) make more money in the Soviet Union.

And that’s how my parents and I ended up moving to a cold, little town in western Siberia in 1985.

The plan was to stay there for a few years, save money, and then move back to a nicer, bigger city in Russia with a better climate.

The fact that our new Siberian town didn’t have a single restaurant, cinema, or even an ice-cream place, made the ‘saving money’ part really easy.

My parents followed through on their plan. And by the early 1990s they had saved enough money to buy a decent house, plus a car, and still have some savings left over.

But then, the unimaginable happened– the Soviet Union collapsed. And the economy crashed.

Inflation, then hyperinflation, followed, as the government started printing money like crazy in an effort to continue making interest payments on its debt.

Prices skyrocketed.

At some point, stores stopped displaying price signs. Why bother, if they were doubling every other week or so?

Salaries and pensions did not keep up with inflation; almost everyone became more poor with each passing day.

Most people, including my parents, were caught completely unprepared.

The general level of financial literacy at the time was pitiful; most Russians didn’t know the first thing about money, finance, or economics, so no one knew how to react to the hyperinflation that was unfolding in front of our very eyes.

It was as if everyone was frozen in disbelief, including my parents.

By 1990, before the crisis, my parents had saved 50,000 rubles. At the time, that would have been enough to buy a house and a car.

After a few years of crisis, my parents still had the same 50,000 rubles. But by then, all they could afford to buy with it was a pair of winter boots for my mother.

Their entire nest egg has been completely inflated away in a few short years.

But not everyone has lost during that time.

Those who successfully navigated the financial Wild West of the 1990s in Russia turned this crisis into the opportunity of their lifetimes.

For example, I remember seeing ads in a newspaper offering to exchange a flat in Moscow for a poor-quality Soviet car.

It was an unbelievable trade when you think about it; the guy with the apartment was probably panicking and trying to leave the country, so he  thought it would be a good idea to trade his apartment for a car.

But ten years later, the car was a worthless pile of scrap. Meanwhile the owner of the flat still held a valuable asset that had appreciated significantly in value and kept up with inflation.

And naturally the savviest people were able to buy extremely high quality assets on the cheap– like real estate and businesses, including shares of newly-privatized oil companies.

Investing in Gazprom in the early 1990s was like buying bitcoin in 2010.

Later these people became known as Russian oligarchs.

Now, I’m not writing this to suggest that the same financial catastrophe will take place in the US or Europe.

After all, the ruble didn’t enjoy the status of being the world’s reserve currency in the early 90s. And the economy of the late Soviet Union was already in terrible shape.

Still, this very recent history should serve as a reminder: idiotic economic policies almost always have consequences.

When a government goes out of its way to destroy economic incentives, through higher taxes or abusive regulations, bad things usually happen.

When a government accumulates a mountain of debt that is impossible to pay, bad things usually happen.

When a central bank conjures trillions of dollars out of thin air, bad things usually happen.

And I can tell you from personal experience that when a society actively embraces a Communist ideology, bad things usually happen.

And all of these issues in North America and Europe certainly could create consequences for the dollar and euro some day.

This isn’t a dire prediction, it’s just common sense… something that most politicians seem to be lacking these days.

It’s important to think about risks and consequences and prepare for them in advance; I watched my parents lose their entire nest egg and become victims of other people’s stupidity, because they were unprepared.

But today we have access to so much more information and education. We can learn about how gold and silver have maintained their value against inflation for thousands of years.

We can learn about other assets, whether productive land, cryptocurrency, or profitable business ventures, that can do well, even in times of crisis.

And we can make a Plan B… just in case the unthinkable happens. Because if 2020 has taught us anything, it’s that absolutely anything is possible.

Source

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Rabobank: Texas Opens A Huge Can Of Worms, But Nobody In The Media Will Cover It

Rabobank: Texas Opens A Huge Can Of Worms, But Nobody In The Media Will Cover It

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 10:47

By Michael Every of Rabobank

A Texas-sized mess may have just appeared but if you check the news you will not see much reference to it.

Yesterday, the Arizona supreme court refused to hear a Trump appeal, and the Nevada supreme court looks to be leaning against a similar case too. Those moves towards ‘game over’ for Trump got covered. The US Supreme Court heard the reply from Pennsylvania in the case over the constitutionality of voting by mail there, which basically did not deny the complaint but said “You really don’t want to open this constitutional can of worms”; and the Court then denied the call for emergency injunctive relief against certifying its election results. That ‘game over’ got covered too.

What did not get covered is that Texas filed a case with the Supreme Court against Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin calling for the election results to be overturned in those states, and for the constitutional remedy of returning the selection of electors to state legislatures, claiming:

  • Non-legislative actors’ purported amendments to States’ duly enacted election laws, in violation of the Electors Clause’s vesting State legislatures with plenary authority regarding the appointment of presidential electors.
  • Intrastate differences in the treatment of voters, with more favorable allotted to voters -whether lawful or unlawful– in areas administered by local government under Democrat control and with populations with higher ratios of Democrat voters than other areas of Defendant States.
  • The appearance of voting irregularities in the Defendant States that would be consistent with the unconstitutional relaxation of ballot-integrity protections in those States’ election laws.

As one election law expert put it, the US constitution is effectively a contract between the 50 states, including how their president is elected, and Texas is claiming other parties broke parts of that contract. Texas is apparently now supported by Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Tennessee. Talk about a divided country. Perhaps not a surprise, the Supreme Court took the Texas case in expedited fashion, and has called for a response by 3PM Thursday.

Yes, it *is* a huge can of worms it is opening if it acts. Yet it is also a can of worms if it doesn’t act when Texas and other states claim:

“Our Country stands at an important crossroads. Either the Constitution matters and must be followed, even when some officials consider it inconvenient or out of date, or it is simply a piece of parchment on display at the National Archives. We ask the Court to choose the former.”

In short, this *might* be the most significant Supreme Court case since 2000, which notoriously decided the presidential election in Florida.

Of course, it does *not* mean the Court will rule for Texas – but them taking the case, rapidly, and calling for a response suggests they are taking it seriously. That is something the Twitterati were saying was inconceivable 24 hours ago. It could also explain why the Court denied emergency injunctive relief in Pennsylvania without dismissing the case: because the claim can be rolled into this larger one. We will soon get to hear what the Court has to say on the matter.

Markets don’t know how to price these kind of tail risks. They will ignore this right up until the last second: but if we get a surprise result, be ready for resulting surprises.

Meanwhile, it’s not just Texas making a mess:

There is still no agreement on US fiscal stimulus. Day after day, week after week this rumbles on and yet we don’t see any of the reflationary cash injection being pumped into the real economy that markets are more than pricing for. Buy the rumor…and buy the assumption of the rumor, and don’t sell anything ever. USD continues to trade as if trillions are flowing: where are they?

Brexit is still on a knife-edge, with both encouraging and worrying signs in terms of the deal/no deal outcome. PM Johnson and the EU’s von der Leyen will have dinner tonight to see if they can thrash out an agreement that call after call has failed to achieve. Can they? Are they going to eat fish, and if so whose? When is the final, final deadline? Who will blink first? Is Boris just stalling to see what the Supreme Court is going to say so he knows what his trade Plan B is? (The UK is apparently already set to drop tariffs on the US it had imposed while a member.) GDP is up and down with all this news-flow.

Within the EU, the stand-off over the rule-of-law issue and the EU budget shows no signs of being resolved either. One side is saying “Don’t mess with Poland”, while the other is claiming legal and constitutional irregularities. No resolution means no EU budget, and no Covid-19 relief spending for Poland or Hungary (who may or may not also have to sit on the naughty step). Meanwhile, the Netherlands is likely going into deeper lockdown over Christmas, and France is considering a curfew (the virus notoriously being mainly nocturnal). Spelling out how gloriously reflationary this all is, in Portugal we have just seen bond yields turn negative for the first time. EUR doesn’t seem to mind too much overall.

Further, China also just saw a surprise negative CPI print of -0.5% y/y (flat was the consensus), while PPI was higher than expected within its usual deflationary territory at -1.5%. Deflation on the high street as well as the factory gate was of course the cue for the market to push CNH under 6.50, which will be even more deflationary for China. Joining the dots the Twitterati don’t, let’s wait and see what the PBOC *and* the US Supreme Court say before pushing that rally too much further, eh?

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Midwest COVID Outbreak Slows As Hospitalizations In The South Top Summer Peak: Live Updates

Midwest COVID Outbreak Slows As Hospitalizations In The South Top Summer Peak: Live Updates

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 10:37

Summary:

  • South hospitalizations top springtime peak
  • Worst-hit midwestern states slow
  • Iran reports 10K+ new cases
  • Dutch extends lockdown, announces more aid
  • AstraZeneca warns people with allergies not to take its vaccine
  • China Sinopharm Vaccine has 86% efficiency in UAE study

* * *

After yesterday’s jubilee in the UK as the first doses of the Pfizer vaccine were doled out in Britain, which one week ago became the first western country to approve a COVID-19 experimental vaccine for emergency use. But yesterday’s high was followed Wednesday morning by an unsettling comedown, when UK regulators warned that people with “severe allergies” should wait to get the vaccine. Considering that hundreds of thousands of people are severely allergic to something, the news could stoke suspicions that the vaccines haven’t yet been sufficiently studied, even though some of the data released by the FDA highlighted patient allergic reactions.

Bloomberg reported that two patients who received the vaccine yesterday demonstrated serious reactions to the shots, while AstraZeneca and Oxford released more data about their vaccine project – data that was criticized as incomplete and leaving several questions, including about potentially dangerous side effects, unanswered. AstraZeneca also disappointed investors when it revealed that it’s vaccine is 62% effective on average, though some people who received just a half dose instead of their first full dose during the study were found to exhibit inexplicably superior results, as high as 90%.

Another major piece of vaccine news from overnight comes courtesy of the UAE, which revealed that China’s state-backed coronavirus vaccine protected 86% of people against the virus in trials conducted in the tiny Gulf Emirate. State media there reported, giving credence to the quickly developed shot that Beijing intends to distribute around the developing world.

Elsewhere in Europe, Chancellor Angela Merkel urged Germans to make an “additional sacrifice” as the country’s COVID-19 outbreak worsens despite its “soft shutdown” measures. Germany, which had been praised back in the spring, over the holidays to contain the coronavirus as the country’s soft shutdown fails to slow its spread.

Nearby in Holland, Dutch PM Mark Rutte has announced an extension to the Netherlands’ partial lockdown, tacking on another will extend its partial lockdown, while it was separately reported that the Swiss Government said the COVID situation is worsening and has prepared additional coordinated measures to restrict the spread of the virus,

After topping 15 million cases yesterday, the US has seen hospitalizations climb nationwide as declines in the West and Midwest continue to be more than offset by rising numbers in New York, California and other coastal states.

According to JHU, global cases have reached 68,223,713, while the worldwide death toll has hit 1,556,817.

The American south has surpassed its peak hospitalizations from the Summer…

Some states that were considered major problems just a few days ago are now seeing cases and hospitalizations stabilize or fall.

Here’s some more COVID news from Wednesday morning and overnight:

HHS head Alex Azar warned on Wednesday that Americans should be careful, wear masks and avoid indoor gatherings as the holiday season approaches. “Please look out for those overcrowded indoor gatherings, whether it’s restaurants or bars or multi-household gatherings just please be careful” Source: Bloomberg).

Iran reported 10,223 new cases of coronavirus overnight, the lowest in a month and down 17% compared with the seven-day average. The death toll rose by 295 in the last 24 hours, the Health Ministry reported (Source: Bloomberg).

The Dutch government announced 3.7 billion euros in additional state aid to help companies weather the pandemic, with support for firms that have seen most of their sales dry up as a result of the outbreak continuing (Source: Bloomberg).

* * *

As the race toward global vaccination domination continues, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced Wednesday that he’s going to demonstrate his “faith” in the process by being among the first in Israel to receive a vaccine, when the country receives its 8 million dose allotment. 8 million doses is enough to vaccinate 4 million people, half of Israel’s population (Source: Bloomberg). going to demonstrate his faith in Pfizer’s and BioNTech’s vaccine by being the first in the country to be inoculated.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3m1NPR6 Tyler Durden

WTI Tanks After Massive Crude, Product Builds; Gasoline Demand Slump

WTI Tanks After Massive Crude, Product Builds; Gasoline Demand Slump

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 10:36

Oil prices shrugged off major product inventory builds (reported by API) to move higher overnight with WTI back above $46 after two tiny Iraqi oil wells were attacked and markets globally rose on the prospect of additional U.S. stimulus.

Obviously, demand, or the lack of it, remains the prime driver of sentiment, balances and prices, and bloated inventories remain a drag on market recovery, and this is not unique to U.S. markets.

API

  • Crude +1.141mm (-700k exp)

  • Cushing -1.845mm

  • Gasoline +6.442mm – biggest build since April

  • Distillates +2.316mm

DOE

  • Crude +15.189mm (-700k exp) – biggest build since April

  • Cushing 01.364mm

  • Gasoline +4.221mm  – biggest build since April

  • Distillates +5.222mm – biggest build since May

In a shocking print, the DOE data showed a massive 15.189mm barrel crude build last week, with both Gasoline and Distillates also seeing major builds…

Source: Bloomberg

US Crude Production was unchanged last week…

Source: Bloomberg

WTI traded around $46.00 ahead of the official DOE data and tumbled on the huge build…

Bloomberg Intelligence Energy Analyst Fernando Valle warned that Gasoline margins continue to struggle amid an extended slump in demand, driven both by seasonal effects and renewed lockdowns, and we believe there’s more pain to come.

Diesel may also come under pressure as air travel over the holidays is expected to be muted, while brick-and-mortar retail sales fall much faster than the pickup in e-commerce.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/33YpkhM Tyler Durden

Job Openings Jump, But Delayed Print Set For Disappointment

Job Openings Jump, But Delayed Print Set For Disappointment

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 10:28

One month after the November JOLTs report showed a modest improvement from the first drop in job openings since the March covid crash, moments ago the BLS reported that in October, job openings in the US surged, jumping by 158K to 6.652MM from an upward revised 6.494MM October print (originally 6.436MM), and well above the 6.3 MM consensus estimate. Of course, this is a rather stale number, and comes after last week’s payrolls report showed a sharp slowdown to the economy, and as such we can only imagine the November print when it is unveiled in January will be far uglier.

In any event, focusing on the data we do have, according to the BLS, job openings decreased in a number of industries with the largest decreases in retail trade, accommodation and food services, and finance and insurance. Only nondurable goods manufacturing and durable goods manufacturing had increases in job openings. The number of job openings decreased in the Midwest region.

Separately, while it has long been the case that the series of 24 consecutive months in which there were more job openings than unemployed workers ended with a thud in March, in April it was an absolute doozy with 18 million more unemployed workers than there are job openings, the biggest gap on record. Since then the the gap has closed somewhat, and in October there were 4.4 million more unemployed than available job openings (after 6.1 million in September).

As a result, there was continued improvement in the job availability series, and in October there were just under 1.7 unemployed workers for every job opening, down from 4.6 at the peak crisis moment in April.

Meanwhile, after a downbeat month for hiring in September, when 66K fewer people were hired, in October hiring once again slowed down, rising by 5.812M , a second consecutive decline of 74K from the 5.89MM in September, which is well below the record hiring pace set in May with 7.2MM.

Hires decreased in wholesale trade (-81,000), other services (-74,000), and federal government (-12,000). The number of hires was little changed in all four regions. The number of hires in October (not seasonally adjusted) was little changed over the year, according to the DOL. Hires increased in a number of industries over the year, with the largest increases in transportation, warehousing, and utilities and in durable goods manufacturing. Hires decreased in construction and state and local government education. The number of hires was little changed in all four regions.

While hires declined modestly, the number of total separations rose to 5.1 million, up +263,000. The total separations level increased in federal government (+109,000), largely the result of separations of temporary 2020 Census workers. Total separations increased in the Northeast region.

Finally, after the record surge in the number of American quitting their jobs reported back in June, the number of quits continued to increase modestly, and in October rose for the second consecutive month when an additional 18K people quit their job, bringing the total to 3.092MM. Quits increased in arts, entertainment, and recreation (+17,000) and federal government (+7,000). The number of quits was little changed in all four regions.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3oInREl Tyler Durden

Dominion Received $120 Million From 19 States And 133 Local Governments To Provide Election Services

Dominion Received $120 Million From 19 States And 133 Local Governments To Provide Election Services

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 10:25

Submitted by Adam Andrzejewski,

  • Dominion Voting Systems is the second largest vendor in the non-transparent and entrenched election system industry where three vendors control 88-percent of the market.

  • Recent Dominion contracts with major counties and cities across America set service agreements for years or even decades—helping lock-in the company’s dominant market position and prevent competition.

Dominion Voting Systems was paid $118.3 million to provide election services during the past three years, according to public records. Their revenues came from 19 states and 133 local governments including counties, cities, and even a couple of school districts.

Since presidential election of 2020, Dominion has come under wide public scrutiny, particularly in Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—critical toss-up states with close winning margins.

In their Dunn & Bradstreet filings, Dominion claimed annual sales of $36.5 million with contracts in 22 states and 600 local jurisdictions. However, the Penn Wharton Public Policy Initiative estimated that Dominion was in 1,645 jurisdictions with $100 million in annual revenues (2018).

So, our auditors at OpenTheBooks.com tracked Dominion’s revenues using state and local government spending disclosures, i.e. their checkbooks. (Dominion is a private company and, therefore, is not required to disclose financials. However, public bodies must be transparent, because they spend taxpayer money.)

Compiling the records required open record requests in 49 of the 50 states and in 11,400 local governments. Only California, which we are suing, rejected our sunshine request.

Here is a state-by-state description of our findings. (Download our raw payment data spanning 2017 through 2019.)

Georgia: In 2019, a $107 million ten-year contract with Dominion procured by the Secretary of State covers 30,000 touch screen voting machines and the installation of a “verified paper ballot” voting system. $89 million in payments were front-loaded into the first two-years of the contract.

New Mexico: Dominion received $52 million from the state government. Services included the full suite of hardware and software information-technology agreements.

Michigan: $31.5 million flowed from the state government ($30.8 million) and 22 localities over the last three years. Top spending local governments included Detroit ($457,880); Livonia ($65,310); Saginaw ($53,314); Dearborn ($22,975) and Antrim County ($20,056).

Services included machines, equipment repair, election services, ballot marking printers, vote tabulators and ballot boxes, modem cell services contracts, election coding, and voting machine coding.

Nevada: Clark County, the largest in Nevada, contracted for $28.7 million to have the company run its elections through 2032. The Secretary of State’s Office paid Dominion for $510,130.

California:  In 2019, the County of Santa Clara contracted with Dominion for up to $16.2 million to run their election services for the next eight-years. San Francisco’s 2019 contract covers five-years for an amount not to exceed $12.7 million.

$11.1 million in payments to Dominion came from just 15 counties and cities. The largest payer was Alameda ($5.2 million). Other counties included San Francisco ($4.2 million, Butte ($376), Glenn ($42,350), Monterey ($233,291), San Benito ($173,049), Santa Cruz ($583), Shasta ($3,975), Sierra ($9,571), Siskiyou ($127,314), Kern ($127,267), San Luis Obispo ($500,536), and San Mateo ($457,703).

Illinois: Cook County, the second most populous county in the country, signed a $31 million ten-year contract with Dominion in 2018. Competitor Election Systems & Software (ES&S) sued alleging equipment scanning problems and lack of state certification; later, ES&S dropped the case. Chicago has a ten-year $22 million deal.

From 2017-2019, payments of $6.2 million from six counties and cities flowed to Dominion. Cook County ($5.5 million) and the City of Chicago ($533,018) were the largest payers. Other counties included DuPage ($70,520), Kankakee ($9,900), Macoupin County ($15,153), and Winnebago ($18,900).

Arizona: We found the 2019-2022 contract in Maricopa County at total taxpayer cost of $6.1 million over three-years. The City of Phoenix also paid Dominion $48,300.

New York: The state spent $95.8 million with Dominion from 2008 through 2014 then renewed the contract through 2021.

From 2017-2019, $4.4 million from 44 government entities paid Dominion. Here are the top five counties: Suffolk ($1.1 million), Niagara ($539,334), Orange ($336,480), Monroe ($301,435), and Madison ($300,884). Interestingly, there were six school districts paying Dominion for election services.

Purchase descriptions ranged from batteries, compact flash memory cards, receipt paper for voting machines, warranty and support for “imagecast voting,” EMS 3-day training, absentee central count ballots and election day ballots, “pre marked test ballots,” firmware and hardware warranty, voting systems, and much more.

Pennsylvania: $1.1 million from five counties contracted with Dominion: Armstrong ($701,560), Crawford ($201,880), Washington ($121,880), Somerset County ($39,286), and Warren ($10,532). The disclosures did not list the services purchased.

Wisconsin: Dominion voting machines are used in the counties of Racine, Washington, and Ozaukee. In the large counties of Dane and Milwaukee, ES&S machines are used.

We were not able to capture government checkbook data on Dominion expenditures in Wisconsin.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/36ZVLhw Tyler Durden

Stocks Slump After McConnell Slams Schumer COVID Relief Rejection

Stocks Slump After McConnell Slams Schumer COVID Relief Rejection

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 10:16

Having dismissed the GOP’s bigger COVID Relief bill offer as “unacceptable”, Dem Leaders Schumer and Pelosi are getting panned by Senate Majority Leader McConnell as he shot back at them:

  • *MCCONNELL SAYS DEMOCRATS MOVING GOALPOSTS ON AID BILL

  • *MCCONNELL SAYS SCHUMER, PELOSI BRUSHING OFF GOP AID PROPOSALS

  • *MCCONNELL SAYS DEMOCRATS NEED TO DECIDE TO MAKE LEGISLATION

Those comments wrung some hope out of stocks…

…who could have seen this coming?

 

 

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/3n6lQ4g Tyler Durden

House Passes NDAA With Veto-Proof Majority In Face Of Trump Threats

House Passes NDAA With Veto-Proof Majority In Face Of Trump Threats

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 09:55

Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,

The House passed the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) on Tuesday despite President Trump’s threats to veto the bill. The massive bill allocates $740 billion for military spending and includes amendments that could block planned troop drawdowns from Afghanistan and Germany.

President Trump has threatened to veto the NDAA because it does not include a provision to repeal Section 230 of the 1996 Communications Decency Act. Section 230 gives tech platforms immunity from liability over the content published by third party users. The president also objects to an amendment that would remove Confederate names from US military bases.

Via AFP

The final tally for the votes on the bill was 335-78-1, which is well over the two-thirds majority needed to override a presidential veto. The Senate is expected to vote on the NDAA sometime this week.

Ahead of the vote, President Trump wrote on Twitter: “I hope House Republicans will vote against the very weak National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), which I will VETO. Must include a termination of Section 230 (for National Security purposes), preserve our National Monuments, & allow for 5G & troop reductions in foreign lands!”

Out of the 196 Republicans in the House, 140 voted in favor of the bill. Rep. Liz Cheney (D-WY), who crafted the amendment to block the Afghanistan withdrawal, commented on the NDAA on Monday. “We ought to pass the NDAA and the president should not veto it. And we should override it,” she said.

Cheney teamed up with House Democrats to include the Afghanistan amendment on the bill. 

The amendment was proposed after The New York Times published a thinly-sourced story that claimed Russia paid bounties to the Taliban to kill US troops in Afghanistan, a claim that was never substantiated.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/37S7UV2 Tyler Durden

YouTube To Delete Content That ‘Undermines’ 2020 US Election Results

YouTube To Delete Content That ‘Undermines’ 2020 US Election Results

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 09:40

YouTube will begin removing any content they deem to be ‘misleading’ by alleging widespread voter fraud or errors changed the outcome of the 2020 US election, according to Bloomberg.

The Google subsidiary says it will remove videos claiming President Trump won due to counting errors or software glitches (regardless of whether they’re evidence of said instances, we assume).

“Yesterday was the safe harbor deadline for the U.S. Presidential election and enough states have certified their election results to determine a President- elect,” said YouTube in a statement.

The company says it’s terminated over 8,000 channels and ‘thousands of misleading elections-related videos’ for violating preexisting policies. Over 77% of those were automatically removed before they had 100 views.

As Bloomberg notes, YouTube suspended news network OAN and completely demonetized their channel on November 24 over an ‘unlisted’ video on their channel which was not not able to be viewed publicly. They were prevented from posting new content for one week as well.

The same day, Democratic Senators asked YouTube to remove ‘election misinformation.’

In other words:

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Gamma “Call Wall” Hits Massive $2.5 Billion: Ramp Dead Ahead If VIX Drops Below 20

Gamma “Call Wall” Hits Massive $2.5 Billion: Ramp Dead Ahead If VIX Drops Below 20

Tyler Durden

Wed, 12/09/2020 – 09:30

While the futures meltup continued overnight as described earlier, it was a fairly quiet overnight session with spoos holding just north of 3700.

Meanwhile, for those following technicals and “greeks”, our friends at SpotGamma writes that there was “a fairly large jump in positive gamma levels in the SPX, which when combined with the SPY nets around $2.5bn – the largest figure post-Covid”. You can see in this chart that this is a positive gamma “breakout” of sorts vs the last 30 days (orange dots).

Despite this positive gamma boost, SpotGamma’s Call Wall metric did not shift higher, however both 3725 and 3750 are within striking distance. Ultimately the model holds 3700 as a market top until/unless the Call Wall rolls to a higher strike. The other notable change is the Zero Gamma level which jumped up to 3620. This is a bit more in line with our thoughts that 3650 holds as critical “gamma flip” support.

As SpotGamma summarizes, “this data suggests that markets are now compressing up against the 3700 strike, and we continue to think that the VIX may be the final key needed for a bullish push. The VIX currently holds 20.55 which is essentially the post-Covid low. If it can breach 20 then we may see another move higher in markets.

Finally, for daytraders, note resistance levels at 3708 and in the 3727 area. 3700 and 3675 is support. Because of the large positive gamma position, SpotGamma is not looking for a large trading range today.

via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/2Iu5Rhg Tyler Durden