Fung Wah, the Iconic Chinatown Bus Company Closed By the Feds Last Year, Is Set to Reopen

Fung Wah, the iconic Chinatown bus company that became famous
for charging just $10 to travel between Boston and New York City,
will reopen early next year.

Pei Lin Liang |||The Federal
Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) has restored the
company’s operating authority, and getting its Boston to New York
bus service up and running again is just a matter of logistics,
says Alexander Linzer, the company’s attorney.

Fung Wah was started by Pei Lin Liang, a former noodle factory
deliveryman, as a local van service in New York City in 1993. Four
years later, Liang extended his service to Boston, charging just
$10 at a time when a Greyhound ticket between the two cities cost
$50. Liang’s model of picking up and dropping off passengers right
off the street was imitated by companies like BoltBus and Megabus,
giving rise to the “curbside bus industry,” which is now the
fastest growing mode of intercity travel in the U.S.

In March 2013, federal regulators ordered the company to stop
operating after several of its buses were taken off the road by
Massachusetts safety officials, who alleged that frame cracks in
some Fung Wah motorcoaches hadn’t been properly repaired. As
Reason
reported
last year, field inspectors Steve Boleyn and Dyann
Prouty Fung Wah |||misunderstood the safety guidelines and erred in
their evaluation of Fung Wah’s fleet. The episode led safety
officials to quietly rewrite the official guidelines with regard to
frame cracks, but it had no effect on the company’s standing.

Immediately after its closure, Fung Wah spent $400,000
overhauling its fleet, retraining its drivers, hiring a full-time
safety manager, and retaining an outside consultant. But, like many
bus companies that lose their operating authority, Fung Wah spent
the next year and a half ensnared in a bureaucratic holding
pattern, at one point waiting six months for the FMCSA to consider
its application to resume service, only to be turned down on a
technicality.

The company appealed theatdecision, which after several months
led to a negotiation between Fung Wah’s attorneys and the FMCSA,
finally resulting in the reinstatement of the company’s operating
authority.

For background on how regulators botched the inspection of Fung
Wah’s fleet that led to the closure, read
“Why the Government Was Wrong to Shutdown Fung Wah’s Bus
Company.”

For an overview of the company’s struggles with the FMCSA, watch
this
report
from Reason TV:

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On The Independents: John Bolton on Torture Popularity and Sony Terrorism, Timothy Sandefur on Sony’s Free-Speech Claims, Deroy Murdock on Jeb & Hillary, Plus Heroes of Freedom, E-Cigs, De Blasio Hypocrisy and Aftershow

Hugging it out. |||Tonight’s live episode of The
Independents
(Fox Business Network, 9 p.m. ET, 6
p.m. PT, repeats three hours later) starts off with one of our
favorite guests to parry with, former
U.S. ambassador to
the United Nations

John Bolton
(see our testy exchange about Iraq and George
Orwell
here). He’ll be paired on a
Party Panel with Fox News personality
Jedediah Bila to
discuss the Sony hackers’ new alleged threat to unleash


9/11-style violence
on theaters that show The
Interview
, plus polls showing
American fondness for torture
, studies showing

millennial preference for e-cigarettes
, and everyone’s
favorite Christmas movies.

OK CUDDLE THIS! |||Heroes of Freedom—a direct and happy knockoff
of
Reason‘s
35th anniversary effort
—resumes with #s 17-15.
Timothy Sandefur,
principal attorney of the Pacific Legal Foundation, analyzes the
First Amendment implications of the Sony
hack. 
Fox News contributor/National
Review
writer Deroy
Murdock
assesses today’s Bush/Clintontastic campaign 2016
news (
slits throat); and I’ll rant a bit
about New York Mayor Bill De Blasio’s opportunistic hypocrisy
on

cigarette-tax enforcement
.

Online-only aftershow begins at http://ift.tt/QYHXdy
just after 10. Follow The Independents
on Facebook at http://ift.tt/QYHXdB,
follow on Twitter @
independentsFBN,
hashtag us at #TheIndependents, and click on
this page
for more video of past segments.

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Mapping The Surge In World Conflict Intensity

The World is changing and the balance of power with it. The traditional post Cold-war unipolar US dominance is being increasingly tested. As BBVA notes in the following charts, World Conflict Intensity is on the rise (and has been for over a decade) as the world's balance of power adapts to the new economic shift. Social, political and economic systems are becoming increasingly interconnected; and new actors will arise and will start to make new demands.

 

The economic balance of the world is shifting…

 

Global Conflict Intensity is hotting up…

 

And The World Conflict Map shows where…

 

In Detail here…

 

Source: BBVA




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1yX0GEx Tyler Durden

Today's Equity Market Set 2 Stunning Records

While nothing surprises us anymore with regard the thing we used to call a “market”, today’s equity market activity broke two stunning records that we suggest are closely related to one another…

First – the rally off the early lows to the European close was the largest of its kind in 2014… (beating the “Bullard Bounce” move from Mid-October)

And Secondperhaps explaining this vertical mechanistic entiurely unhuman rampS&P 500 e-mini futures experienced the greatest number of quotes in a day in their history…

So… A record surge accompanied by a record amount of quote-stuffing.

Thank you Mary Jo White for all that you do…

 

Yeah – go ahead and cry!!

Source: @NanexLLC




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The Pigmen Win Again

Submitted by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog,

“The real owners are the big wealthy business interests that control things and make all the important decisions. Forget the politicians, they’re an irrelevancy. The politicians are put there to give you the idea that you have freedom of choice. You don’t. You have no choice. You have owners. They own you. They own everything. They own all the important land. They own and control the corporations. They’ve long since bought and paid for the Senate, the Congress, the statehouses, the city halls. They’ve got the judges in their back pockets. And they own all the big media companies, so that they control just about all of the news and information you hear. They’ve got you by the balls. They spend billions of dollars every year lobbying ­ lobbying to get what they want. Well, we know what they want; they want more for themselves and less for everybody else.”  George Carlin

After the disgusting example of politicians of both spineless parties bowing down before Wall Street, the military industrial complex and corporate interests this weekend with the passage of a bloated pig of a spending bill totaling $1.1 trillion, how can anyone not on the payroll of the vested interests not admit there is only one party – and it serves only the needs of the wealthy business interests. Obama, champion of the common folk, signed this putrid example of political corruption and corporate capture of the American political system. For all the believers who voted for the red team in the November mid-terms, this is what you got – a bipartisanship screwing of the American people.

The entire episode has been nothing but Kabuki Theater. Both parties have proven to be  puppets marching to the tune of Wall Street moneyed interests, while further entrenching the status quo by voting to allow more corporate influence over the election process. Each side of the aisle allowed just enough dissent to make it appear they might not reach an agreement. But at the end of the day Pelosi, Boehner, Reid and McConnell joined hands and gave it to the American public good and hard. And of course we had the candidates for president in 2016 Warren and Cruz playing to their constituents with speeches and maneuvers designed to make them look like fighters for the common man. It was nothing but a show, as they did nothing substantive to stop the bill from passing.

What this entire debacle has proven is that voting doesn’t matter. Your vote is meaningless. Political parties are nothing more than a front for the vested interests. The corrupt politicians are bought and sold by Wall Street and corporate interests. The bills are written by lobbyists for the vested interests. When a spending bill is over 1,700 pages, the purpose is to obscure, hide and insert provisions that will benefit those with money to influence the process at the expense of average Americans. None of the perpetrators in Congress actually read this bill. The public had no say regarding this bill. If this is what bipartisan cooperation looks like, I’ll take gridlock. The system has been so completely captured by those pulling the wires, they no longer even pretend to care what we think. They keep winning and care not about the consequences of their ruthless despicable pillaging.

Politicians decry money in politics when they are paraded onto the mainstream media talk shows. They profess to be men and women of the people, fighting for our rights. So how do they go about getting money out of politics? They dramatically expand the amount of money wealthy political donors can inject into the national parties, drastically undercutting the 2002 landmark McCain-Feingold campaign finance overhaul. A wealthy donor who could only give a maximum of $32,400 this year to the Democratic National Committee or Republican National Committee can now give ten times as much – a total of $324,000. Do you think these wealthy donors might have ten times more influence over government policies, laws, regulations, and tax codes? Do you think these donors are contributing these funds to fight for the rights of average Americans making $50,000 per year? This change just further entrenches the rich vested interests. Your vote just became even more meaningless.

The most outrageous provision in the spending bill is Wall Street putting the American taxpayer on the hook for when their $250 trillion of derivatives of mass destruction blow up the worldwide financial system again. Elizabeth Warren, playing her part in this farce, feigns outrage, knowing it will pass anyway:

“Mr. President, Democrats don’t like Wall Street bailouts. Republicans don’t like Wall Street bailouts. The American people are disgusted by Wall Street bailouts. And yet here we are five years after Dodd-Frank with Congress on the verge of ramming through a provision that would do nothing for the middle class, do nothing for community banks, do nothing but raise the risk that taxpayers will have to bail out the biggest banks once again. You know, there is a lot of talk lately about how Dodd-Frank isn’t perfect. There is a lot of talk coming from CitiGroup about how Dodd-Frank isn’t perfect. So let me say this to anyone listening at Citi —I agree with you. Dodd-Frank isn’t perfect. It should have broken you into pieces. If this Congress is going to open up Dodd-Frank in the months ahead then let’s open it up to get tougher, not to create more bailout opportunities.”

Senator Warren does hit at the heart of the matter. The Too Big To Fail banks should have been made too small to matter after they created the 2008 worldwide financial collapse. Congress should have reinstated Glass Steagall, the insolvent Wall Street banks should have been liquidated or sold off piece by piece, and the American taxpayer shouldn’t have had to pay one dime. Instead, those banks became bigger, more powerful, more arrogant, and more reckless. And now they are writing the laws supposedly regulating them. Regulatory capture at its finest.

Dodd-Frank was already a behemoth mess of a law, written by bank lobbyists, and so complex it was always destined to fail. The law that set up America’s banking system in 1864 ran to 29 pages; the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 went to 32 pages; the Banking Act that transformed American finance after the Wall Street Crash, commonly known as the Glass-Steagall act, spread out to 37 pages. Dodd-Frank was 848 pages long. One of the few beneficial sections of the law was the provision that  required banks to “push out” their derivatives trading into separate entities not backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Essentially, this provision prohibited the Too Big To Trust Wall Street Banks from using the deposits of customers to gamble on derivatives, with no capital behind the gambling. Any Wall Street bank that wanted to trade derivatives had to do it in non-insured subsidiaries, and when these trades blew up in their faces, the banks would be solely on the hook. They prefer the they win you lose method.

This spending bill included language written directly by Citigroup and inserted by the politicians in the back pocket of Jamie Dimon and the rest of the Wall Street cabal. Dimon showed no shame as he personally called lawmakers to insist they pass this bill with the gutting of Dodd Frank. Wall Street bankers can now gamble with the deposits of their clients with impunity generating obscene insider profits, and when they inevitably blow
up the financial system again the American taxpayer will be on the hook for the losses. In a shocking development, the members who voted for the spending bill had received vastly more political contributions (bribes) than those who voted no. Simon Johnson, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund and a professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, concisely sums up the goal of this provision:

“It is because there is a lot of money at stake. They want to be able to take big risks where they get the upside and the taxpayer gets the potential downside.”

And there will be downside. Like Captain Renault in Casablanca, Jamie Dimon and the rest of the Wall Street CEOs will be shocked to find there has been gambling going on in their upstanding institutions of finance, as they cash their $10 million bonus checks. The markets are already overvalued, built on a foundation of debt, and rigged by the Wall Street scumbags. They make Bernie Madoff look like an upstanding citizen. It seems awfully coincidental this provision was inserted into the 1,700 page bill just as the markets have begun to tremor. Wall Street wouldn’t be preparing for another earthquake, would they? The fact that Obama signed this bill is a reflection of him being a spineless toady figurehead, doing the bidding of the ruling class.

The Republicans have run against Obamacare since the day it was passed in 2009. They have threatened to overturn it, de-fund it, and scale it back. This spending bill fully funds Obamacare just as it was passed. Dozens of Republicans voted for a spending bill that fully funds the program they despise. Obama recently subverted the U.S. Constitution once again with his latest executive order allowing illegal immigrants to stay in the U.S. and enjoy our wonderful welfare system. The Republicans were morally outraged and their response was to fund Obama’s executive order to the tune of $2.5 billion. There’s $948 million for the Department of Health and Human Service’s unaccompanied children program — an $80 million increase. The department also gets $14 million to help school districts absorbing new immigrant students. And the State Department gets $260 million to assist Central American countries from where of the immigrant children are coming.

So much for principles, ethics, and courage. You see bipartisanship in Congress means that one side will agree to fully fund the welfare state as long as the other side will fully fund the warfare state, while both sides do whatever Wall Street instructs them to do. Neither side cares that the National Debt increases by $2.5 billion per day. That’s what the Fed is for. The neo-cons in the Republican party were happy, as their dreams of World War III come closer to fruition. There’s $1.3 billion for a new Counterterrorism Partnership Fund; $5 billion for military operations to combat the Islamic State, including $1.6 billion to train Iraqi and Kurdish forces (I thought we already trained them once before); $500 million for a Pentagon-led program to train and equip vetted Syrian opposition fighters; $810 million for ongoing military operations in Europe, including requirements that at least $175 million is spent in support of Ukraine and Baltic nations. And you were worried about Defense cuts. The military industrial complex will never allow their profits to decline. If we run out of real enemies, we just make them up out of thin air – ISIS, or go back to the Cold War playbook and declare Russia to be an imminent threat to our safety and security.

Despite running $800 billion actual (not the BS reported deficits) annual deficits, the political hacks of the ruling party still funnel $3.1 billion per year to Israel, $1.3 billion to the dictator in Egypt, and $1 billion to our puppets in Jordan. This hyper-interventionism in the affairs of countries around the globe, either through military intervention, supplying arms, overthrowing elected leaders, or funding dictators has destabilized the entire world. Russia is not the aggressor on the world stage, as portrayed by the mouthpieces for the state in the mainstream corporate media. The American empire has created the conditions for havoc, disarray and war to flourish. Someone will ultimately do something stupid and the fury of hell will be unleashed across the globe. And it is our fault.

You’ll be happy to know the trucking industry still has some pull in Congress. Their drivers will be allowed to work 82 hours per week, versus the far too restrictive 70 hours per week. When you are driving your economy car on the interstate and that 18 wheeler is barreling down on you from behind, thank Congress when the drowsy dude behind the wheel is working his 81st hour of the week. And if you were a hard working middle income blue collar worker in businesses such as trucking, construction and supermarkets and were promised a pension, tough luck. Hidden inside the bill was a haircut for pensions. This provision allows the promised pension benefits of up to 1.5 million workers and retirees to be cut. It affects the pooled pension plans — called multi-employer plans — of mostly union workers across a bunch of companies, where it looks like the plans won’t be able to cover full benefits in coming decades.

Could it be any clearer that we are nothing but lowly peasants and the aristocracy inhabiting the protected luxury skyscrapers suites in New York City and the government buildings in Washington D.C. have nothing but contempt and scorn for our plight, as they gorge themselves like pigs at the trough of working people’s wealth? They use taxes and inflation to siphon your savings and earnings, rig the markets so they always win, write the laws to favor themselves, and use the mass media and the police surveillance state to crush dissent, control the message and intimidate the masses. The ruling class fears the masses and continues to prepare for a coming conflict. Within the Intelligence Authorization Act for FY 2015, passed this week, was written a new section that grants the executive branch virtually unlimited access to the communications of every American.

Sec. 309 authorizes “the acquisition, retention, and dissemination” of nonpublic communications, including those to and from U.S. persons. The section contemplates that those private communications of Americans, obtained without a court order, may be transferred to domestic law enforcement for criminal investigations.   Sec. 309 provides the first statutory authority for the acquisition, retention, and dissemination of U.S. persons’ private communications obtained without legal process such as a court order or a subpoena. The administration currently may conduct such surveillance under a claim of executive authority, such as E.O. 12333. However, Congress never has approved of using executive authority in that way to capture and use Americans’ private telephone records, electronic communications, or cloud data.

The majority of American people still believe they live in a democracy where their vote matters. Sadly, they are living in a delusional fantasy world, as they actually live in a corporate fascist welfare/warfare surveillance state run by one party of vested corporate interests. Until consent is withdrawn and the pigmen are violently confronted, nothing will change. The existing social order will be swept away within the next fifteen years as this Fourth Turning reaches its bloody conclusion. You may think we are all equal under the law, but Orwell knew that some are more equal than others. Can you distinguish the pigs from the men?

“The creatures outside looked from pig to man, and from
man to pig, and from pig to man again; but already it was impossible to say which was which.”
  ? George Orwell, Animal Farm

“Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want and deserve to get it good and hard.” ? H.L. Mencken 




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1uWKBh1 Tyler Durden

What is China’s Banking System Telling Us?

By: Brad at http://ift.tt/12YmHT5

The more we look at the Chinese renminbi the more convinced we become that the next serious move will be to the upside and that this will more than likely occur sooner rather than later.

Last month I wrote an article “The World’s Biggest Asymmetric Trade Just Got Bigger”. This is an update to that article where I look at developments in interbank lending markets which will no doubt set off alarm bells! Alarm bells if you haven’t got any bearish exposure to the renminbi and, if you already have an exposure, question whether or not you have enough!

Before I start talking about the interbank lending market in Chinese renminbi let me talk a little about the interbank market. The interbank market is simply a market at which banks can enter to borrow or lend US dollars to each other, it is also known as the wholesale market.

The interbank lending market is an integral part of any country’s banking system as it is where banks maintain their short-term liquidity requirements. Often a bank will have a mismatch between between short-term assets and obligations and as such they will have to enter the interbank lending market to maintain optimal liquidity. If a bank has excess short-term reserves they may want to lend these out to other banks who have a shortfall in short-term reserves. The opposite also occurs where a bank, with a short-term funding deficit, will enter the market to borrow funds to match short-term liabilities.

The behavior of the interbank lending market can provide one with a good appreciation for the liquidity of the banking system as a whole. If there is a lot of liquidity in the system (more short term assets than liabilities) the interbank rate will fall, if there is scarcity of short term assets relative to liabilities then rates will rise. So a rising interbank rate is generally associated with contracting liquidity conditions. Rapid rises in interbank lending rates are often associated with banking or credit crisis. This happened in the lead up to the GFC. What happened was that as banks began to fear the ability of other banks, who are their counter-parties, to make good on their obligations they demanded higher rates especially from banks already facing liquidity problems which only compounded their original the situation.

A rapid rise in a country’s interbank lending market is also a good predictor of the direction of a country’s currency, or at worst a confirming indicator. Let’s have a look at the interbank lending market of a few emerging nations over the last 12-18 months and then look at what is happening with the renminbi. I think it is instructive for what we have been positioning for in our funds.

The Malaysian Interbank rate (KLIBOR) has been rising consistently since late last year and now the Malaysian ringgit is going parabolic (the ringgit is collapsing against the USD).

KLIBOR 3-month rate and Malaysian ringgit

KLIBOR 3-month rate (blue) and Malaysian ringgit (yellow)

The Singapore 3-month SIBOR first jumped in over a year ago and as of the last few months has started to rise in a parabolic fashion with the Singapore dollar in tow. As with the ringgit above the Singapore dollar is falling against the USD.

SIBOR and Singapore dollar

SIBOR (blue) and Singapore dollar (yellow)

The Russian ruble has been rising for the last couple of years but started to go parabolic when the Moscow interbank lending rate (MIBOR) exploded to the upside, or was that the other way around? It’s difficult to identify what is cause and effect, but one thing for sure – big blow out in currencies tend to occur when the interbank lending rate is rising rapidly.

MIBOR 3-month rate and ruble

MIBOR 3-month rate (blue) and ruble (yellow)

Now this is the situation with the renminbi. The HIBOR (CNH) 3-month rate is going parabolic, although the offshore renminbi (quoted USD/CNH) is only up marginally since the HIBOR rate took off a few weeks ago, if the HIBOR rate continues to climb then I think it is a “certainty” that the USD/CNH will play catch up – i.e. get ready for a big move to the upside!

HIBOR (CNH) 3-month rate and USD/CNH

HIBOR (CNH) 3-month rate (blue) and USD/CNH (yellow)

While I am not 100% wedded to “technical” analysis, I know a bullish chart pattern when I see one, or at least one in the making. If the USD/renminbi can register a multi-month high, a very significant bullish signal will be generated. I am confident that this will happen over the coming days.

CNY Chart

So we’re expecting a big move to the upside in the USD/renminbi but option writers don’t appear to be. The cost of long-term options (implied volatility) on the USD/CNH still appears to be very cheap, although the last few days has seen a sharp jump higher. We think the best way to apply a bullish view on the USD/CNH is via long-term call options.

USD/CNH Volatility Chart

USD/CNH implied volatility for ATM 12-month to expiration options

Over the last 6 months, we have been quietly gearing ourselves up for a dramatic move to the upside in the USD/renminbi. As interbank lending rates in emerging markets started to explode higher over the last 6 weeks we have picked up our pace of buying long term FX call options on the USD/renminbi. 12 months from now I suspect our only regret will be not being aggressive enough.

– Brad

PS: Brad has made it very very clear over the last few months that we’re heading directly into a USD bull market, this despite the atrocious finances of the US Government. This trend is still in its infancy and Brad has agreed to put together a concise alert on how to position oneself for maximum profit. We will have this out to Capitalist Exploits subscribers early next week. If you’re not subscribed yet then drop your best email in the box here and you’ll be assured of getting a copy.

“I’d rather regret the things I’ve done than regret the things I haven’t done.” – Lucille Ball




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1uQotUm Capitalist Exploits

"The Limits Of Reason" – Are Libertarians More Rational Than Others?

Submitted by Nick Gillespie via Reason.com,

Are libertarians are more rational than most people?

"Not at all, not at all, but we're rational enough to realize none of us has all the answers. To paraphrase Dirty Harry, politicians and planners and control freaks gotta know their own limitations."

*  *  *




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1uQotDP Tyler Durden

Memo To WSJ: The CRomnibus Abomination Was Not "A Rare Bipartisan Success"

Submitted by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog,

The rank economic cheerleading in the guise of “news” printed by the Wall Street Journal, Reuters and the rest of the financial press never ceases to amaze. But on the heels of Congress’ pathetic capitulation to Wall Street over the weekend you have to wonder if even the robo-writers who compose the headlines are on the take.

How could anyone in the right mind label this weekend’s CRomnibus abomination “A Rare Bipartisan Success for Congress”? Apparently, that unaccountable plaudit was bestowed upon Washington by the WSJ solely because it avoided another government shutdown.

And one that was of its own making at that. After all, we are already 75 days into the new fiscal year, yet Congress had not yet passed a single appropriations bill.  So once again it had set itself up for the usual midnight scramble behind closed doors where the pork barrel overflows and sundry K-street lobbies stick-up the joint and then demand immediate passage—–sight unseen—–in the name of keeping the Washington Monument open on the morrow.

Not only did Citigroup and the rest of the big Wall Street banks succeed in gutting the “push-out” requirements of Dodd-Frank, thereby extending their lease to gamble in the derivatives market with FDIC (i.e. taxpayer)  guaranteed money. Crony Capitalism also got a huge bonanza in the form of a 10X increase in the contribution limit to party committees. Now the heavy hitters can actually give $230,000 annually to the GOP and Dem campaign committees. And this is supposed to merit praise?

Yes, this game has been going on for years. But the fact that the nation’s leading financial newspaper was witless enough to describe it as a “success” is something comparatively new. What has happened is that the deafening clamor from the Wall Street casino for endless winnings has subordinated all else. Even a brief government shutdown is now verboten——-not because it would have any deleterious effect in the real world where virtually 80% of domestic operations are exempted under the “health and safety” clause, anyway. No, the purported danger is that it might prompt a panicked sell-off in the stock market.

This oppressive regime has been building every since the House GOP had the good sense to defeat the first TARP vote back in September 2008—–only to turn tail and approve it a few days later after Wall Street staged a monumental hissy fit. So we now have governance by the robo-traders and gamblers who light up the trading screens 24/7.

Indeed, there is no evidence that the voters have ever punished elected  politicians for the periodic but essentially phony “shutdowns” of Federal operations that have occurred since 2011. Indeed, the GOP did shutdown the government for an unusually long period last October, but the voters’ message this November was the very opposite of retribution.

On the other hand, there have been Wall Street hissy fits each and every time a shutdown loomed or happened. So now the bipartisan leaders have essentially become pavlovian lap dogs who are willing to countenance any outrage, plunder and dereliction that might be required to keep the doors open for a few more weeks or months at a time.

But far from being praiseworthy, this kind of kick-the-can pandering is digging the nation into a monumental fiscal trap. Consider another more troubling measure of elapsed time. At the moment of CRomnibus’ passage, we were in day 345 of CY 2014, and the cumulative deficit for that period clocked in at $700 billion.

Yes, notwithstanding all of the palaver about the shrinking deficit, here we are deep into the 6th year of so-called recovery and the national debt is still being jacked-up by what only a decade ago would have been considered bottom-of-the-recession magnitudes. And here again, Washington’s utter nonchalance about this dangerous condition is owning to the tyranny of the Fed’s free money fueled Wall Street casino.

Even after the hiccup of recent days, the market’s blistering but wholly unwarranted rise has lulled both Washington and Wall Street into the same delusion that set in during the final days of the dotcom bubble and then again at the peak of the housing and credit bubble during 2006-2008. Namely, that the business cycle has been suspended or repealed by the purported magicians at the Fed, and that, accordingly, the nirvana of permanent full employment prosperity is just around the corner.

Here’s the skunk in the woodpile. When you drop this kind of Rosy Scenario into the budget computers and crank out the projections for another ten years, the deficit and national debt always bend toward the flat-line. Its inherent in the laws of compound arithmetic.

Rosy Scenario as now embedded in the CBO projections, of course, will never materialize. CBO is currently projecting, with no embarrassment at all, that the US will go without a recession between 2009 and 2024; that 16 million new jobs will be created over the next ten years compared to 3 million during the last decade; that real GDP will grow at better than a 3% rate until we hit permanent full-employment compared to just 1.7% per year since the turn of the century; and that wages and salaries will grow at a 5.3% rate during the next decade compared to 3% during the prior 10 years. And that’s just a smidgeon of the unwarranted optimism built into Washington’s fiscal projections.

Even then, CBO projects that the national debt will rise by $8 trillion during the next decade, notwithstanding Rosy Scenario and full-employment forever. By contrast, just “copy and paste” the last 10 years of actual economic performance, and throw in the propensity of Congress to extend at the 11th hour all of the artificially expiring tax-loopholes and incentives and future budget cuts in programs like DOD and the “doc fix” under Medicare, for example, that flatter the 10-year projections. When you make those modest accommodations to reality, in fact, you add more than $15 trillion to the national debt in the decade ahead.

Stated differently, just give even partial credit to the swirling deflationary forces now besetting the world economy; or merely  acknowledge that the house of cards in China is heading for some kind of landing that is not likely to be “soft”; or that the madmen running the government and central bank of Japan have ignited a deadly currency race to the bottom; or that the ECB does not remotely have “whatever it takes” to alleviate  Europe’s welfare state stupor. Under these “headwind” conditions, US nominal GDP is not likely to exceed $24 trillion 10 years from now, whereas the public debt could easily exceed $33 trillion under current “kick-the-can” policies.

National debt at a Greek-style 140% of GDP?  That’s exactly where last weekend’s style of “bipartisan success” is leading.

Can the Fed actually print that much money? Can the Wall Street casino avoid the mother-of-all-hissy-fits if it doesn’t?

Perhaps one day the WSJ will be required to report the real financial news.




via Zero Hedge http://ift.tt/1zp26Mf Tyler Durden

Illegitimate "No Photography" Arrest Leads to $1.2 Million Lawsuit Victory

Reason has long been on the forefront of stories about
your right to film and take photographs, even if cops or other
officials might not like it. Alas, cops and officials aren’t
reading Reason often enough.

Case in point, a $1.2 million in compensatory damages from
Suffolk County awarded this week to Nancy Genovese for what she
says she suffered at the hands of Suffolk County police, after
being arrested essentially for taking pictures of a military
helicopter.

Details from
Minneapolis
Star-Tribune:

[Genovese’s lawyer] Long Island civil rights attorney Frederick
Brewington. “There is no reason to treat another human the way they
treated her.”

He claimed Suffolk County sheriff’s deputies humiliated Nancy
Genovese after arresting her in July 2009 while she took
photographs of a decorative helicopter on display outside the
Gabreski Airport Air National Guard base in Westhampton Beach, on
eastern Long Island. A deputy sheriff allegedly said he would
arrest her for terrorism to make an example of other “right
wingers,” according to Brewington.

“Ms. Genovese was subjected to a level of abuse because they did
not share the same political views as she did and saw this as an
excuse to deny her even the most basic civil rights,” said
Brewington.

The jury award Thursday was for compensatory damages. It will
now consider punitive damages.

A spokeswoman for Suffolk County declined to comment, citing the
ongoing litigation.

Genovese, 58, of East Quogue, was jailed for four days before
posting $50,000 bail. The charge, on a misdemeanor count of
criminal trespass, was dismissed in November 2009.

It’s a shame that taxpayers have to be on the hook for the
criminal actions of their “servants” but it’s still good when
citizens let police know that there will be some consequences for
rights violations.

A very elaborate account, from Genovese’s perspective, of
what she says she suffered from the cops can be found


on the Personal Liberty website
back in May
2012. It is very based, she claims, in animus toward her for being
perceived as a “right winger” and “teabagger.”


Details from a
Murtha and Murtha law firm account
from when the arrest was
fresh:

Nancy Genovese stopped her car on the side of the road across
the street from the airport in an area that is open and accessible
to the public, and crossed over the road to the airport entryway
that is also open and accessible to the public to take a picture of
the helicopter display. While still in her car, she took a picture
of the decorative helicopter shell with the intention of posting it
on her personal “Support Our Troops” web page.

As Nancy Genovese was preparing to drive away, she was stopped
and approached by Robert Iberger, a lieutenant with the Southampton
Town Police. Lieutenant Iberger demanded to know why she was taking
photographs. Nancy showed the lieutenant her camera, but Lieutenant
Iberger grabbed her camera and handled it “without care”. In an
attempt to prevent the lieutenant from damaging the camera, Nancy
removed her memory card, which Lieutenant Iberger confiscated. To
date, Nancy’s memory card still has not been returned to her.

Iberger called the County sheriff’s office on her, and then
other agencies arrived:

Nancy was questioned on the side of the road for
approximately five to six hours, from about 6pm until midnight,
denied food or water, and denied the opportunity to use a restroom,
all without having received any warnings as to her
rights….

 earlier that day Nancy had been to the
local shooting range with her rifle practicing her hobby, target
shooting. During the first hour of questioning, Lieutenant Iberger
searched Nancy’s vehicle, without her consent, and came across her
unloaded rifle, which Nancy was legally carrying, in a locked
case….

Using force, Lieutenant Iberger pushed Nancy Genovese when she
objected to the seizure of her rifle. Deputy Carlock taunted Nancy,
asking in a disparaging tone, “You’re a real right winger, aren’t
you?”, and stating in words or substance that she was never going
to see her rifle again.

While in custody, her family claimed, over five thousand dollars
in cash she had on her, intended to pay private school tuition,
disappeared from her purse. She had a fresh leg wound they did not
care for in custody, leading, she claimed, to a staph infection.
She also said she was placed for no good reason on “suicide watch,”
forcibly restrained, and injected with drugs.

The jury in her eight-day case considered her story credible
enough for the hefty compensatory damage award, and again all
charges were eventually dropped.

Hat tip: Mark Sletten

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Congress Did Not Repeal the Ban on Medical Marijuana

Yesterday I

argued
that it’s not clear whether a rider aimed at stopping
federal harassment of medical marijuana patients and their
suppliers will accomplish that goal. The provision, introduced by
Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (R-Calif.) and included in the omnibus
spending bill passed by Congress last week, bars the Justice
Department from spending money to “prevent” states or the District
of Columbia from “implementing” laws allowing medical use of
cannabis. I am not sure exactly what that means, but I am pretty
sure it does not mean what the Los Angeles
Times
 claims
it means in a story headlined “Congress Quietly Ends Federal
Government’s Ban on Medical Marijuana”:

Tucked deep inside the 1,603-page federal spending measure is a
provision that effectively ends the federal government’s
prohibition on medical marijuana and signals a major shift in drug
policy.

The bill’s passage over the weekend marks the first time
Congress has approved nationally significant legislation backed by
legalization advocates. It brings almost to a close two decades of
tension between the states and Washington over medical use of
marijuana.

Under the provision, states where medical pot is legal would no
longer need to worry about federal drug agents raiding retail
operations. Agents would be prohibited from doing so.

The Obama administration has largely followed that rule since
last year as a matter of policy. But the measure approved as part
of the spending bill, which President Obama plans to sign this
week, will codify it as a matter of law.

The Rohrabacher amendment is a welcome indication that many
members of Congress, including a sizable number of Republicans, are
inclined to let states set their own marijuana policies, and it may
indeed deter federal prosecutors from targeting patients and
suppliers who comply with state law. But it clearly does not end
the federal ban on marijuana, which makes no distinction between
medical and recreational use. Even if the rider affects enforcement
of that ban in the 23 states with medical marijuana laws, it has no
impact in the other 27. Nor does it necessarily end tension between
the federal government and states that let patients use marijuana
for symptom relief.

First, the rider expires at the end of next September and may or
may not be renewed. Second, federal prosecution of particular
growers or dispensaries does not, strictly speaking, prevent states
from implementing their medical marijuana laws, since it does not
force states to punish activities they have decided to stop
treating as crimes. Third, even if we read the rider as prohibiting
raids, arrests, prosecutions, and forfeiture actions aimed at
people complying with state law, who those people are remains a
matter of dispute in California and other states that do not
explicitly allow dispensaries. In those states, where the rules for
supplying medical marijuana remain fuzzy, people do still “need to
worry about federal drug agents raiding retail operations.”

Finally, the Justice Department is not the only source of
tension in this area. The Rohrabacher amendment has no impact on
actions by the IRS or the Treasury Department that make it
difficult for medical marijuana suppliers to
pay their taxes
and
obtain banking services
. Solving those problems will require
changing the statutes those agencies are charged with
enforcing.

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