The IRS Warned the Obama Administration That Its Decision to Pay Obamacare Subsidies to Insurers Was Illegal

A recently published deposition from a top tax official provides more evidence that the Obama administration not only acted illegally when deciding to pay Obamacare subsidies to insurers—but that they did so knowing full well that the move was not justified.

First, some backstory: Two weeks ago, a federal appeals court ruled that the Obama administration had illegally paid insurers billions in subsidies under Obamacare. The law’s cost-sharing subsidies (which provided an added benefit for people between 100 and 250 percent of the poverty line, are separate from the subsidies that offset the price of insurance premiums) were authorized under the law, but not appropriated by Congress.

Indeed, in 2014, the Obama administration submitted an appropriations request to Congress, but Congress declined the request. The White House went ahead and started paying insurers anyway. The payments amount to about $7 billion this year, and will tally about $130 billion over the next decade.

The White House contends that its decision to pay insurers was appropriate, and that these sorts of disagreements are typical, especially with a law as poorly drafted as Obamacare. Republicans in the House, who sued the administration over the funding, argues that the administration knew the move was illegal—that it violated the constitutional separation of powers under which the executive branch can only spend money specifically appropriated by Congress—and went ahead with it anyway.

There’s now some very strong evidence that the House’s argument is right—and that the IRS warned the administration that they had no authority to make the payments.

In a sworn deposition earlier this month, David Fisher, the Chief Risk Officer to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), told the House Ways & Means Committee that in a January 2014 meeting with administration officials, he raised some “concern about these payments.”

Specifically, he couldn’t find any clear and direct support for the administration’s decision to make the payments.

In the deposition, Fisher explained that he told administration officials that “there was no clear reference in the section regarding the cost-sharing reduction payments to the Internal Revenue Code in the Affordable Care Act” and that the “cost-sharing reduction payments are not linked to the Internal Revenue Code, as far as I could tell, directly anywhere.” 

That lack of a clear link, Fisher said, was unprecedented, and thus would be difficult to defend in the event of an audit. As Josh Blackman noted in an extensive report at the deposition last week, Fisher was, for all practical purposes, warning the administration that there was no valid appropriation. He was warning, in short, that it was illegal.

The administration, however, disagreed. And in that January 2014 meeting, administration officials showed him a memo explaining why. Yet as Carl Hulse of The New York Times notes in a column on Fisher’s testimony, the administration’s presentation of its rationale was rather unusual.

Fisher and several other IRS officials who had reservations about paying the subsidies, including his superior, were brought to a room in the Old Executive Office Building, where they were shown an OMB memo explaining the administration’s position. But they were not allowed to make copies of the memo to take with them. They were not even allowed to take notes on the memo. Fisher says that the IRS staffers present were given no reason why they couldn’t keep the memo. Instead, “it was simply stated.”

As Fisher, a 10-year veteran of multiple government agencies and administrations, said, this was not at all common. He couldn’t recall a single other similar occurrence.

The whole meeting, in other words, came across as strange and secretive, as if the administration might have something to hide.

Perhaps what they were worried about was that they had no real argument. Instead, as Fisher said in his deposition, what the administration had was a “list of small justifications of individual things trying to identify why the administration believed that it was Congress’ intent to have the payments for both the Advance Premium Tax Credit and the cost-sharing reduction payment being made in the same manner.”

“There was no sort of single, main argument,” Fisher said, just a “collection of . . . elements that in total, would draw the conclusion that these payments out of the permanent appropriation would be appropriate.”

Notice the final word: Not constitutional. Not even legal. Just “appropriate.”

The administration’s argument in this case is essentially that even though Congress rejected its request for an appropriation, and even though the health law does not provide them with any clear and discrete appropriate for its cost-sharing subsidies, they can nevertheless cobble together a hazy justification under which it is somehow “appropriate” to do so.

The administration’s argument for its actions, in other words, is all but an admission that what it is doing is not legal or justifiable—and that when it comes to Obamacare, it simply doesn’t care. 

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Big Tomato Backs Gary Johnson, Microsoft Backs Bitcoin for People, Yale Students Fight to ‘Decolonize’ Poetry Class: A.M. Links

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Goldman Fires Dozens Of Investment Bankers

Following an abysmal quarter for investment banks around the globe, which saw salary cuts across the board as a result of sliding revenues in virtually all product areas, we forecast that the next logical step will be ongoing major layoffs of some of the world’s highest paid employees. This morning none other than the most insulated from global financial troubles bank confirmed just this when Bloomberg reported that Goldman had quietly cut investment banking jobs in the last few weeks, joining securities firms that are adjusting to a slowdown in deal activity.

According to Bloomberg, the bank eliminated dozens of managing directors, executive directors and vice presidents across the mergers and debt and equity capital markets teams. The cuts affected bankers in cities including London, New York and Hong Kong and are in addition to the bank’s annual 5 percent cull of employees deemed underperformers, the people said.

Earlier, the firm’s president Gary Cohn said on Tuesday that the same forces that helped fuel mergers and acquisitions in 2015, such as low interest rates and sluggish growth, remain in place today and that the outlook for the business remains bright. However, the future is far less bright to dozens of bankers who have now packed up and are trying to find a similar, well-paying job.

As Bloomberg adds, CEO Lloyd Blankfein is embarking on his biggest cost-cutting push in years as the bank tries to weather a slump in trading and dealmaking. The job reductions follow a similar move in the firm’s trading division this year, driven in part by a 60 percent drop in first-quarter profit.

The investment-banking cuts represent a reversal from 2015 for a unit that was the top-ranked merger adviser during that near-record year and produced the most profit among Goldman Sachs’s four operating segments. Completed mergers worldwide have plunged more than 80 percent so far this year, while equity offerings have dropped about 65 percent.

What is more paradoxical, is that while in 2014 banks complained about the lack of volatility as the scapegoat for not generating enough revenues, in late 2015 and early 2016 it has been too much volatility that was the culprit. Unfortunately, since the Goldilocks market appears a thing of the past, we expect stories such as this one to be the norm in the coming months as the banking industry struggles to rationalize its income statement to a new normal that is no longer overtly generous to banking profitability.

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BREXIT Gold Diversification from One Of Oldest Private Banks In World

BREXIT Gold Diversification from One Of Oldest Private Banks In World

BREXIT gold diversification is taking place due to concerns about the BREXIT vote on June 23rd as “smart money” institutions, banks and investors diversify into non negative yielding gold.

BREXIT_gold

One of the oldest private banks in the world, Berenberg, established in 1590 and with assets under management of €40 billion said in an interview that demand for precious metals should see prices “rebound by as much as 40 percent in the next two years to a level last seen in October 2012” according to Bloomberg:

Joh. Berenberg Gossler & Co. plans to increase its holdings of gold and other precious metals, betting that demand will be lifted by uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. elections and the vote on the U.K.’s membership of the European Union.
 

Chief Investment Officer Manfred Schlumberger, who joined the Hamburg-based bank in January, expects gold, silver and platinum markets to rebound by as much as 40 percent in the next two years to a level last seen in October 2012. For that reason, Berenberg plans to double the share of precious metals in its investment portfolio to about 10 percent in the weeks ahead, he said. The company manages about 40 billion euros ($45 billion) of assets.

“People used to go for 10-year German government bonds or treasuries, but as they don’t offer any yield, more investors will consider buying bullion,” Schlumberger, 58, said in an interview. “It will be a segment that will benefit from political uncertainties like Brexit or a possible Donald Trump election victory.
 

Schlumberger is targeting an entry-level price of between $1,200 and 1,230 an ounce.”

Bloomberg article here

The smart money, large institutional money, who understands diversification and gold’s function as a store of value continues to diversify into gold. There is an awareness of gold’s benefit as a hedging instrument and safe haven asset but also an awareness that the outlook for prices at these still depressed levels is very positive.

This is seen in the view of Berenberg, which is in the fifth century of its existence and one of the oldest owner managed banks in the world, who see gold returning to  2012 levels at $1,900/oz per ounce.

The less informed money continues not to appreciate the risks that are again building in the system. Risk appetite remains high and there is a distinct lack of awareness regarding how risks, such as BREXIT, may impact financial markets and traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, property and indeed deposits.


Recent Market Updates
– Gold Forecasts Revised Higher – Citi Says “Buy the Dip”
– Global Financial Crisis Coming – Japan Warns of “Lehman-Scale” Crisis At G7
– Gold Should Rise Above $1,900/oz -“New Bull Market”
– World’s Largest Asset Manager Suggests “Perfect Time” For Gold
– Gold As “Extremely Low-Risk Asset” – Rogoff Advises Creditor Nations
– Silver – “Best Precious Metals Trade”
– Bank Bail-Ins Pose Risks To Depositors, Investors & Economies


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Turkish Court Convicts Former Miss Turkey Of “Insulting The President”

Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

Hundreds of Turkish academics are waiting to find out whether they will be prosecuted or sacked for spreading “terrorist propaganda”, after they signed a petition calling for violence to end in Turkey’s southeast, where government forces have been fighting Kurdish separatists.

 

After the petition provoked a furious response from Turkey’s president Recep Tayyip Erdo?an, several universities in the country have begun investigations into signatories among their faculty — which could lead to their dismissal if accusations of unlawful political agitation hold up. On 15 January, police arrested and later released 27 academics, according to local media reports, including economists, physicians and scientists.

 

– From the post: U.S. Ally Turkey Arrests Academics for the Crime of Signing a Peace Petition

In the latest example of petty tyranny from NATO member and U.S. government “ally” Turkey, a former Miss Turkey has been convicted of sharing a satirical poem that insulted thin-skined President Tayyip Erdo?an.

Reuters reports:

A court has convicted a former Miss Turkey of insulting the president, Recep Tayyip Erdo?an, through social media postings and handed her a 14-month suspended sentence.

 

The court on Tuesday found 27-year-old Merve Büyüksaraç guilty of insulting a public official. She would have to serve the sentence if she reoffends.

 

Büyüksaraç, who was crowned Miss Turkey in 2006, was briefly detained for sharing a satirical poem on her Instagram account in 2014. Prosecutors deemed it to be insulting to Erdo?an, who was prime minister at the time.

 

Since becoming president in 2014, Erdo?an has filed close to 2,000 defamation cases under a previously seldom-used law that prohibits insulting the president.

How cute, the cry baby dictator remains hard at work protecting himself from insults.

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Illinois Lawmakers Override Bill Veto To Ease Chicago Pension Payments, Propose “Financial Transaction Tax”

In yet another twist in the Chicago pension saga, Illinois lawmakers voted to override a veto by Governor Bruce Rauner and allow the city to defer payments to fund pensions.

The Senate voted 39-19 and the House voted 72-43 in to overturn the veto, in what is seen as a stunning result in Chicago’s bid to reduce payment amounts into public safety workers’ pensions. At the heart of the matter is a 2010 state law was requiring Chicago to have its public safety workers’ pensions 90 percent funded by 2040, and under that law Chicago’s contribution would jump to nearly $834 million in 2016 from $290.4 million in 2015. The new legislation will now alter that law, and according to Reuters, reduce the 2016 payment to $619 million and allows for smaller increases through 2020, while pushing the timeline for police and fire funds to become 90 percent funded out to 2055. The police and fire funds are only 26 percent and 23 percent funded respectively.

Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel had argued that if Governor Bruce Rauner’s veto wasn’t overturned, a $300 million property tax hike for city property owners would have had to taken place, something Emanuel had branded the “Rauner Tax”. Rauner had called the bill a “terrible policy” and said in a statement that the measure would end up costing Chicago taxpayers $18.6 billion over time.

Confirming how tense in the state are, House speaker Michael Madigan told reporters after the vote “I think it was interesting the governor had nothing to say about the override. I was raised not to cause embarrassment for people so I didn’t raise it.”

In context, as we discussed previously, the unfunded liabilities for Illinois were head and shoulders above other cities and will eventually need to lead to higher tax increases as part of any workable solution that is able to be put together – if any. Raising debt will also be more difficult after Moody’s downgrading of Chicago to Ba1.

With millionaires fleeing Chicago as it is and decreasing the tax base, lawmakers know that more than just a property tax is going to have to take place to solve these stunning deficits.  Operating without a budget for 11 months and poised to end the fiscal year on June 30 with a $6.2 billion shortfall to add to a stack of unpaid bills in the amount of $6.8 billion, lawmakers are revisiting an old idea: a tax on trading.

A bill is in its early stages that would target trades on the CME, CBOE, and other markets based in the state according Bloomberg reports. The proposal would impose a tax of $1 per contract for transactions where an agriculture product is the underlying commodity, and $2 per contract for everything else including futures and options. The bill exempts trades in retirement accounts and those involving a mutual fund.

At a hearing last Thursday in Springfield, CME Group Executive Chairman Terry Duffy said a financial transaction tax would be a disaster for the state’s economy.

From Bloomberg

Speaking at the event, CME Group Inc. Executive Chairman Terry Duffy said a financial transaction tax would be a disaster for the state’s economy. His Chicago-based company, which owns the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, handles futures contracts linked to everything from key stock indexes to agricultural commodities and interest rates.

 

“CME Group and our colleagues in the industry are engines of job creation and economic opportunity for the state,” Duffy said at an Illinois House Revenue and Finance Committee hearing. “If a financial transaction tax is enacted in Illinois, our customers will leave our markets, and we will be forced to consider alternatives to remain competitive in our global industry.”

The bill does have a bit of support, as Richard Whitney, an attorney from Carbondale, Illinois spoke on the behalf of a state alliance supporting the bill saying that a “speculation tax” would help resolve the state’s budget deficit.

“The single most dramatic, single-bullet solution would be what is sometimes called a financial transactions tax, or more specifically I think what we’re talking about here, a speculation sales tax,” Whitney said at the hearing.

* * *

What comes of the latest “single-bullet solution” plan to solve decade’s worth of complete fiscal irresponsibility and bloated entitlements is unknown, but CME Group’s Terry Duffy revealed what the response would be for the CME if such a tax was passed:

“This is an 800 percent increase on the traders that trade on our exchange today. Would they move their business? Absolutely. If we need to leave Illinois because of any irrational decisions coming out of the state legislature that could affect our business, we have 29 data centers to choose from.”

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“Sexist” Chinese Parking Lots Create Larger, Female Only Spaces

In order to “better serve” female drivers, and protect their safety, GlobalNews reports that a number of Chinese parking lots have sparked outrage after introducing “female only” parking spaces that happen to be much larger than those not assigned to a particular gender.

The spaces, designated by pink paint lines and the international symbol for woman, are 50 per cent wider than other spaces in the service centres. The reason – because women are allegedly bad at parking.

According to China’s Qianjiang Evening News, Pan Zhuren, director of the service area, said he decided to include the girls-only spaces after noticing that some female drivers were having trouble reversing into parking spots, or “parking carelessly.”


This isn’t the first time parking lots have been accused of sexism.

Women-only parking spots have popped up before in China and have stirred up debate in Austria, Switzerland and Germany. According to a 2015 article in The Washington Post, many parking lots in Germany are equipped with bigger spaces for female drivers. In fact, in some regions in Germany the law forces parking lots to dedicate as much as 30 per cent of their spaces to women.

Interestingly, in the case of the German parking spaces, one publication suggested that the girls-only rule was discriminating against men.

*  *  *

We have one simple question – Where do transgender drivers park?

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Frontrunning: June 1

  • Japan PM delays sales tax hike, puts fiscal reform on back burner (Reuters)
  • Japanese Shoppers Keep Wallets Shut Despite Sales-Tax Delay (BBG)
  • Global stocks limp into June on oil and data slips (Reuters)
  • Euro zone factory growth remained tepid in May – PMI (Reuters)
  • China’s factories steadying but weak, hopes for quick recovery fade (Reuters)
  • Euro-Area Manufacturing Near Stagnation Signals Slowdown Ahead (BBG)
  • OPEC Ministers Say Oil Market Moving in Right Direction (BBG)
  • Wall Street Turns to ETFs to Sidestep Illiquidity in Bond Market (BBG)
  • U.S. Steel Tariffs Create a Double-Edged Sword (WSJ)
  • Governments must boost spending to escape ‘low-growth trap’: OECD (Reuters)
  • Populist as President Emerges as Option for Beleaguered Mexicans (BBG)
  • North Korea says Trump isn’t screwy at all, a wise choice for president (Reuters)
  • U.S. court rules $24.9 billion Dell buyout underpriced by 22 percent (Reuters)
  • Alienation grows in Brussels district that bred Paris attackers (Reuters)
  • U.S.-backed Syrian fighters gain ground against IS (Reuters)
  • BlackRock, Nuveen Snub Bonds for Stocks as Fed Rate Odds Rise (BBG)

 

Overnight Media Digest

WSJ

– A spokeswoman for Shari Redstone said shareholders of Viacom Inc “have already spoken” and “want new management at the top” as she responded to criticism by board members of her role in her father Sumner Redstone’s media empire. (http://on.wsj.com/1UtmSU8)

– When Michael Dell took his eponymous computer company private for $25 billion in 2013, some shareholders said he was shortchanging public investors. On Tuesday, a Delaware judge ruled that Dell was worth about $31 billion at the time, a 28 percent bump (http://on.wsj.com/1Utnedz)

– Las Vegas Sands Corp has agreed to pay more than $75 million to settle a lawsuit by its former top Macau executive, whose allegations prompted federal bribery investigations into the company, according to a person familiar with the matter. (http://on.wsj.com/1Utn99J)

– Sportswear company Under Armour Inc cut its sales outlook for the year, citing the bankruptcy of Sports Authority. (http://on.wsj.com/1UtnskG)

 

FT

A former director at Barclays Plc was arrested on Tuesday on U.S. charges that he provided inside information about impending mergers he learned about at the bank to a plumber, who used the tips to make $76,000 illegally.

Spain’s Iberdrola SA has filed a lawsuit against state-owned Bankia SA over its 2011 stock market listing, a source close to the power company said on Tuesday.

British fashion retailer Austin Reed Ltd will start winding down as no viable offer was received for the company over a five-week sale process, its joint administrators said. The retailer will shut its 120 stores by the end of June, which will affect about 1,000 jobs

 

NYT

– Shari Redstone made one of her boldest statements on Tuesday in the battle over her father’s $40 billion media empire. Redstone underscored that she had no desire to manage Viacom nor to lead its board, but said she wanted “the best management in place” and “strong, independent directors who will properly oversee that management”. (http://nyti.ms/1Ug8z2q)

– The billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn disclosed in a statement that he has bought “a large position” in Allergan , which is technically headquartered in Dublin. He didn’t detail how large of a stake or when the purchase was made. (http://nyti.ms/1Ug9WOu)

– Volkswagen reported a 19 percent drop in its quarterly profit. However, the quarterly profit of $2.7 billion, was better than what analysts had forecasted. It was also an improvement from the loss in the last three months of 2015. (http://nyti.ms/1O47yOM)

– Michael Pearson, the former chief executive of Valeant Pharmaceuticals International who departed in early May during a series of investigations into the company’s business practices, will receive a $9 million severance payment and continue working as a consultant through 2017, Valeant said Tuesday. (http://nyti.ms/22wVJTz)

 

Canada

THE GLOBE AND MAIL

** The federal government is increasing the amount it pays to veterans who are so incapacitated they can no longer work, but many of those who currently make the least will get raises of just a couple percentage points while those at higher ranks will get 20 percent more.(http://bit.ly/1XOR4LY)

** Hunter Tootoo suddenly resigned as fisheries minister Tuesday evening after informing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau that he had lost control over his drinking and needed treatment for alcohol abuse. (http://bit.ly/1TJqlvs)

** New Brunswick Premier Brian Gallant remains squarely behind the controversial Energy East pipeline project, despite the virtual elimination of the price difference between North American oil and imported crude that provided the C$15 billion ($11.47 billion) project with one of its key selling points. (http://bit.ly/1r2BOOR)

NATIONAL POST

** The House of Commons Procedure and House Affairs committee unanimously adopted a motion on Tuesday stating that the prime minister’s apologies having been accepted, the point of privilege raised on May 18 was resolved and “no further action is required.”

The apology is regarding a heated kerfuffle two weeks ago with Ruth Ellen Brosseau, the MP who was elbowed by the prime minister ahead of a vote on time allocation for assisted dying legislation. (http://bit.ly/1spLYu5)

** Starting Wednesday, Bank of Nova Scotia, Bank of Montreal and Toronto-Dominion Bank customers can add bank-issued credit cards and Interac debit cards to a supported iPhone’s digital wallet, Apple Pay, for contactless purchases in-store. (http://bit.ly/25Asrsv)

 

Britain

The Times

– The former boss of Lloyds Banking Group, Eric Daniels, has been accused of keeping silent on rate-rigging at the state-backed bank in a court claim that raises fresh questions about the City watchdog’s investigation into market abuse. (http://bit.ly/25zpSqG)

– Leave campaigners Michael Gove and Boris Johnson will promise today to introduce an Australian-style points system to control immigration within three years of a vote to leave the European Union. (http://bit.ly/25zqvk7)

The Guardian

– A decision to leave the EU would be a “disaster” for British workers who would be 38 GBP ($55.01) a week worse off outside the EU by 2030, according to the Trades Union Congress. (http://bit.ly/25zpRTI)

– More than 1,000 jobs are to be lost with the closure of 120 Austin Reed outlets after administrators failed to find a buyer for the majority of the 116-year-old tailoring company’s stores. (http://bit.ly/25zpmcf)

The Telegraph

– JD Wetherspoon has sought to ensure the referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union is debated by all its customers over a pint by printing 200,000 beer mats that criticise the International Monetary Fund’s intervention in the forthcoming vote. (http://bit.ly/1UsHfkv)

– Businesses could soon be checking for birds nests on their roofs using drones after facilities management firm Mitie unveiled plans to offer the service on high rise buildings. (http://bit.ly/25zq7C9)

Sky News

– Dairy giant Muller is closing two of its dairies in Scotland in a move that will affect 225 jobs and squeeze the incomes of hard-pressed dairy farmers. (http://bit.ly/25zpOHu)

– Two men have been arrested as part of a probe into the 1.3 billion pounds ($1.88 billion) sale of property loans by Ireland’s so-called “bad bank” to a US private equity firm. (http://bit.ly/25zqeh5)

The Independent

– Authorities in New York have arrested a former director at Barclays Plc, Steven McClatchey, on charges that he improperly gave tip-offs to a friend about mergers before they were publicly announced. (http://ind.pn/25zqi0m)

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The Best And Worst Performing Assets In May

May was a month of decoupling: oil decoupled from the dollar, and global risk decoupled from the once again sharply devaluing Yuan, but most notably May was a month where Fed rate hike expectations repriced midway through the month.

As DB’s Jim Reid points out, markets largely took the move in their stride and reversed a difficult start to the month. Having said that we saw evidence of the repricing with dollar strength and EM/Gold weakness a theme. In fact for equity markets in particular the old adage ‘sell in May and go away’ was looking relatively apt for the first week or so into the month before sentiment turned positive, seemingly supported by a combination of increasing comfort that the market can accommodate Fed tightening, higher oil prices, positive news from Greece and another decent performance for European Banks.

Looking at the winners and losers for the month one thing which stands out is the relative performance between local currency performance and US Dollar hedged performance during the month such was the strength of the Greenback. That was certainly the case with equity markets where in Europe in particular markets were generally up between 1-3% in local terms with banks in the middle of that range. With the Euro weakening 3% during the month however, on a USD return basis we see most European equity markets finish flat to slightly negative. It was a similar story in credit markets too where following two decent months of performance (on the back of the ECB CSPP announcement) May saw Euro indices eking out more modest gains of less than a percent in local terms in May with financials the relative outperformer. Looking at these in USD terms though results in most European credit indices down 2-3%. Performance was more impressive then for the S&P 500 (+2%) and higher beta US credit indices (+0.5%).

Further afield the top of our May leaderboard is headed by the performance for Greek equities (+11% local, +8% in USD terms) which rallied following the latest positive developments with regards to the bailout. Thereafter its WTI (+7%) and Brent (+5%) which rank second and third, extending what has essentially being an ongoing rally since mid-February now. Corn (+6%) also had a strong month. Developed sovereign bond markets sit in the middle of the pack although with concerns about Brexit starting to abate, it was Gilts (+2% local, +1% in USD terms) which outperformed. Finally the bottom of the leaderboard sees Brazilian equities (-10% local, -15% USD terms) prop up the rest as the political situation came to a head. Elsewhere Gold (-6%), Silver (-10%) and Copper (-8%) all suffered with the Fed repricing. EM equities and bonds (-4% and -5% respectively) also succumbed for the same reason.

Taking a look at year-to-date performance, it’s still commodity markets which are dominating the top of the leaderboard. Indeed in local currency terms the top five has WTI (+33%), Brent (+19%), Silver (+15%), Gold (+15%) and Corn (+13%) hogging the limelight, although if we flip to USD terms then Brazilian equities (+23%) and Russian equities (+19%) jump to second and fourth respectively. The impressive rally for the Yen (+9%) is still a standout while the overall performance for credit continues to be strong. Indeed in local currency terms we see US indices up between 3-7% this year, led by HY while European indices are up between 2-4%. There’s a familiar look to the bottom of the leaderboard with the Shanghai Comp (-17% local, -19% USD terms) the biggest outlier. Italian equities (-14% local, -12% USD terms) and European banks (-14% local, -12% USD terms) are still down double digits although have bounced back from how they ended Q1

Source: DB

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