Global Outrage After Japan Finance Minister Said “Hitler Had Right Motives”

While Donald Trump is not exactly known for his oratorial and diplomatic skills, either during live speeches or within the confines of his trademark outbursts in 140 characters or less on Twitter, he is positively Machiavellian compared to Japan’s 76-year-old deputy prime minister and finance minister in Abe’s cabinet, Taro Aso, whose entire career appears to be a series of diplomatic blunders and verbal gaffes.


Taro Aso, Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance

It started in 2013 when the Japanese minister had a modest proposal to fix Japan’s demographic time bomb, urging the country’s elderly to “hurry up and die”; then three years, in 2016, making a stark Freudian slip and admitting alongside Paul Krugman that the only solution to the global “liquidity trap” created by central banks is “war“, a resolution to which the world appears to be inching ever closer with each passing day. Then a few months, Aso reverted back to the 76-year-old’s favorite topic, old people who refuse to die:

Gaffe-prone Finance Minister Taro Aso was again caught taking a swipe at the elderly, saying last week that he wondered how much longer a 90-year-old person intends to live.

 

The outspoken Aso, who is also deputy prime minister, made the comment at a Liberal Democratic Party rally in Otaru, Hokkaido, on Friday, where he said: “I recently saw someone as old as 90 on television, saying how the person was worried about the future. I wondered, ‘How much longer do you intend to keep living?’ “

 

Aso pointed to the more than ¥1.7 quadrillion of personal assets held nationwide, saying the money needs to be spent.

 

“The biggest problem at the present is how everyone is staying put,” he said. “If you don’t spend the money you have, that money will mean nothing. What’s the point of accumulating more wealth? Just looking at the money you have?”

Fast forward to today when Japan’s finance minister has done it again, landing in hot water after explicitly suggesting Adolf Hitler might have had “the right motives.” His comments promptly resulted in global outrage, and according to Reuters were criticized both at home and abroad, with the US-based Simon Wiesenthal Center saying the remarks were “downright dangerous.”

I don’t question your motives (to be a politician). But the results are important. Hitler, who killed millions of people, was no good, even if his motives were right,” Aso told a meeting of his faction of the governing Liberal Democratic Party on Tuesday.

The Simon Wiesenthal Center, an organization which confronts anti-Semitism, hate speech and terrorism, said Aso’s comments could spoil Japan’s reputation. “This is just the latest of a troubling list of ‘misstatements’ and [they] are downright dangerous,” the center’s head, Rabbi Abraham Cooper, said in a statement on Tuesday. “These words damage Japan’s reputation at the very time when all Americans want to show their solidarity with Japan, our sister democracy and ally, following the missile launch from Kim Jong-un’s North Korea.”

The chairman of the main opposition Democratic Party’s Diet Affairs Committee, Kazunori Yamanoi, also said Aso’s remark was a serious gaffe. “The comment was extremely shameful as one made by a Cabinet minister. I cannot help but question his competence (as a minister),” he added, discussing the mental capacity of Abe’s 76-year-old assistant, Kyodo news reported.

Faced with a furious public outrcry, on Wednesday Aso was forced to issue a statement, saying, “I raised an example of a bad politician. It is regrettable that [the comment] was misinterpreted and caused misunderstanding…. It is clear that Hitler was wrong in his motive too. I want to retract my comment because it was inappropriate to cite him as an example.”

* * *

To be sure, Aso is no stranger to public gaffes. In addition to the examples above, in 2013 Aso again retracted a comment about Hitler’s rise to power that was interpreted as praising the Nazi regime.  Referring at the time to Japan’s efforts to revise its constitution, he said the constitution of Weimar Germany had been changed before anyone realized, and asked, “Why don’t we learn from that technique?”

There has been a spike in Nazi-related discourse in recent weeks: Aso’s gaffe comes just weeks after Donald Trump drew sharp criticism for comments that blamed “many sides” for this month’s violence in Charlottesville, Virginia, while back in June, Bank of Japan board member Yutaka Harada told a seminar Hitler’s economic policies had been “appropriate” and “wonderful” but had enabled the Nazi dictator to do “horrible” things.

via http://ift.tt/2xyxYSe Tyler Durden

FDA Approves Futuristic New Cancer Therapy, To Cost $475,000, Sending Biotechs Surging

The FDA on Wednesday opened a new era in cancer treatment, when it approved a landmark, futuristic new gene therapy-based approach to treat childhood leukemia, one which has produced unprecedented results in patients with the deadly cancer. Even the FDA called the approval “historic.”

“We’re entering a new frontier in medical innovation with the ability to reprogram a patient’s own cells to attack a deadly cancer,” said FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb.

The CAR-T cell treatment, developed by Novartis and the University of Pennsylvania, is the first type of gene therapy to hit the U.S. market, and one in a powerful but expensive wave of custom-made “living drugs” being tested against blood cancers and other tumors. The therapy is made by harvesting patients’ white blood cells and rewiring them to home in on tumors. Novartis’s product is the first CAR-T therapy to come before the FDA, leading a pack of novel treatments that promise to change the standard of care for certain aggressive blood cancers.

“This is a brand new way of treating cancer,” said Dr. Stephan Grupp of Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia quoted by the AP, who treated the first child with CAR-T cell therapy — a girl who’d been near death but now is cancer-free for five years and counting. “That’s enormously exciting.”

This first use of CAR-T therapy is aimed at patients ill with a common pediatric cancer — acute lymphoblastic leukemia, or ALL — that strikes more than 3,000 children and young adults in the U.S. each year. While most survive, about 15 percent relapse despite today’s best treatments, and their prognosis is bleak.

The therapy will be marketed as Kymriah.

The price tag: $475,000 for a course of treatment. While the amount sounds staggering to many patients, it was far less than many analysts had expected. Still, David Mitchell, president of advocacy group Patients For Affordable Drugs, met with Novartis yesterday to talk about “how to arrive at a fair price for its new CAR-T drug,” but said the meeting was “disappointing.”

While the treatment’s approval had been seen as a foregone conclusion for months according to Stat News, its potential price has been the subject of speculation and debate. On Wednesday, Novartis revealed that it would charge $475,000 for a course of treatment, a price Bruno Strigini, the company’s head of oncology, said would allow (a few very wealthy) patients to access Kymriah while providing Novartis a return on its investment. The cost is well below Wall Street analyst expectations, which reached as high as $750,000 for a dose. And it’s cheaper than the roughly $700,000 price tag that U.K. regulators said would be fair considering Kymriah’s benefits.

In an attempt to make the drug more affordable, Novartis said it was working with Medicare on a system in which the government would only pay for CAR-T treatment if patients respond within a month.

Meanwhile, trial results of the drug have shown unprecedented success: in a clinical trial, a single dose of Kymriah left 83% of participants cancer-free after three months, results oncologists have hailed as a major advance for patients with few other options. The most frequent side effect was an inflammatory storm called cytokine release syndrome, a reaction to CAR-T that can prove fatal in some patients but is commonly controlled with immunosuppressant drugs.

“I think this is most exciting thing I’ve seen in my lifetime,” said Dr. Tim Cripe, an oncologist with Nationwide Children’s Hospital, at an FDA meeting on Kymriah in July.

Being truly revolutionary, the therapy has the price tag to justify it: the reason for the sky-high price of every treatment, unlike well-understood pills and commonly injected biotech drugs, CAR-T presents a radical new paradigm for doctors, regulators, and payers. CAR-T treatment uses gene therapy techniques not to fix disease-causing genes but to turbocharge T cells that cancer too often can evade. Researchers filter those cells from a patient’s blood, reprogram them to harbor a “chimeric antigen receptor” that zeroes in on cancer, and grow hundreds of millions of copies. Returned to the patient, the revved-up cells can continue multiplying to fight disease for months or years.

It’s a completely different way to harness the immune system than popular immunotherapy drugs called “checkpoint inhibitors” that treat a variety of cancers by helping the body’s natural T cells better spot tumors, according to the AP. CAR-T cell therapy gives patients stronger T cells to do that job. For some patients, the new CAR-T therapy might replace bone marrow transplants that cost more than half a million dollars, noted Grupp, who led the Novartis study.

“I don’t want to be an apologist for high drug prices in the U.S.,” Grupp stressed. But if it’s the last treatment they need, “that’s a really significant one-time investment in their wellness, especially in kids who have a whole lifetime ahead of them.”

It remains unclear how lucrative a business opportunity Kymriah presents. There are about 3,100 new cases of ALL each year, but roughly 70 percent can be pushed into remission by standard therapy. That could leave just a few hundred patients who might be eligible for Novartis’s therapy, casting doubt on whether the company can get an outsize return on what will be a substantial manufacturing investment. Bloomberg estimates that the gene therapy is expected to generate $111 million in 2018 revenue, reaching blockbuster status, and $1 billion in sales, by 2024

However, as Stat News points out, the potential of CAR-T – a hot research area across several drug companies – goes far beyond Wednesday’s approval. Novartis is developing Kymriah for use in lymphoma, and its pipeline includes other CAR-T therapies targeting an array of blood cancers. Kite Pharma, recently acquired by Gilead Sciences, is awaiting FDA approval for a lymphoma therapy and is, like Novartis, developing a bevy of cell therapies it hopes can treat tumors liquid and solid. Juno Therapeutics, which slipped into a third place after its lead CAR-T ran into safety problems, has a similar focus.

News of the CAR-T’s approval sent the Nasdaq Biotech index surging to its biggest gain since June 21, up as much as 2.3%. Two-thirds of the 160 stocks in the NBI are higher, with six names making new 52-week highs: PRTK, SGMO, BIIB, EXEL, FOLD, MYGN, while the IBB, the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF, is within a few dollars of 18-month highs reached in late July.

via http://ift.tt/2gqvDoo Tyler Durden

Sanders, Warren Tied For 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination; Zuckerberg A Long-Shot

Despite Silicon Valley’s hopes, Mark Zuckerberg remains an outside long-shot bet to get the Democratic Presidential nomination for the 2020 election. The front-runners are Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, with Joe “soul of the nation” Biden in 4th place…

According to a new contract at PredictIt, Bernie and Liz are number one…

However, Cupertinoans should not despair, Zuckerberg’s odds of running for president is holding steady.

We wonder who The DNC will choose this time.

via http://ift.tt/2gr58iH Tyler Durden

Watch Live: President Trump Explains His Tax Reform Plan

In what is speculated to be a speech heavy on populist rhetoric and light on actual details, Trump will take the stage in Springfield, Missouri this afternoon to kick off what will undoubtedly be a long slog by Republicans to pass a tax reform bill. 

Undoubtedly the decision to start the tax legislation discussion with a rally-type event is an effort by the Trump administration to garner public support in advance… something that never happened with the Obamacare repeal effort and was frequently blamed for the epic failure of Congress to pass the legislation.

Of course, the real question is whether tax reform is even possible given the fractured Republican party in the House and a very narrow Republican majority in the Senate.  Certainly recent history would suggest not so much.

Tune in below for the live feed:

 

* * *

For those who missed it, below is our preview of today’s speech from earlier this morning.

Later this afternoon, at 2:30pm to be exact, President Trump will take the stage at the birthplace of ‘Mainstreet USA’, Springfield, Missouri, to kickoff his push for tax reform.  But, if you’re expecting details on exactly what your future effective tax rate might be and/or how your mortgage interest deduction might be impacted, then you’re likely in for a ‘yuge’ disappointment. 

As Politico points out this morning, Trump’s tax speech has been drafted by White House aide Stephen Miller, the leader of the nationalist arm of the White House staff, as oposed to Chief Economic Advisor Gary Cohn which means it will be heavy of the populist flare and light on the details.

President Donald Trump will launch a major push for a sweeping tax overhaul with a speech Wednesday in Missouri aimed at convincing his base — and the rest of the nation — that he has a fresh vision for “unrigging” the American economy and isn’t just repackaging the trickle-down economics of past Republican presidents.

 

Wednesday’s speech in Springfield is being built around the sale of tax reform as a populist policy, according to five senior administration officials.  The tax speech is being drafted by senior White House aide Stephen Miller, a leader of the nationalist wing of the administration.

 

“One of the keys to selling tax reform is the president making the point that tax reform will unrig this economy by stripping out the special-interest deductions and carve-outs that riddle this code,” said Tim Phillips, president of Americans for Prosperity, a group founded by the billionaire industrialist Koch brothers that is spending heavily to push changes to the tax code.

 

“This won’t be a speech about specifics but instead about the case that we have to get growth faster and wages faster and get people to focus on that and the impact on workers’ take-home pay,” a senior White House official said. “It’s about faster growth on the corporate side and making the individual side much simpler and easier.”

After a briefing with White House aides yesterday, Axios similarly framed today’s tax speech as the “why not how” speech:

A “why not how” speech: Trump won’t mention specific tax rates or show his hand on controversial issues like whether to allow companies to fully expense equipment; instead he’ll explain why tax reform is needed.

 

Theme: “Springfield is the place where Route 66, commonly referred to as the Main Street of America, got its start,” said an official on the call. “And now it’s going to be the place where America’s Main Street begins its comeback.”

 

Bottom line: Many of the big issues on tax reform remain unsettled; and tomorrow’s speech by the president won’t provide any clarity on those. The White House wants Congress to take the lead and own these difficult decisions — e.g. the fight over full expensing — but expect Trump to put more gusto into his tax reform sales pitch than he did with health care. (He’s genuinely enthusiastic about tax cuts whereas he never was with health reform. Whether he can remain focused, however, and avoid detours into rants about “fake news” and his myriad enemies, is another question.)

Trump

 

Meanwhile, after an abysmal failure on the Obamacare repeal effort, it seems that the Trump White House is becoming better at the whole ‘political thing’ and has even polled which phrases are best for selling tax reform to the public.

In Trumpian style, he’ll try out new phrases for selling the policy like “Jump-start America” and “Win again.”

 

Republicans have polled the phrase “tax reform is about unrigging the economy,” and it’s done well with swing voters, people familiar with the data said. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has been using the phrase repeatedly.

So what actual details might we get, if any?  Beyond highlighting a couple of deductions that may be eliminated (sorry about that electric car deduction, Elon) and calling for ‘lower’ tax rates for corporations and middle-income folks, not much.

The speech is expected to frame the issue around wiping out some deductions that benefit mostly higher-income taxpayers, making the U.S. corporate system more globally competitive and simplifying the individual system. He is expected to discuss lower rates for middle-income taxpayers as an instant pay raise for everyday Americans, while arguing that lowering the corporate tax rate would make it easy for companies to expand — improving Americans’ quality of life.

 

Trump, however, is not expected to go into much detail about deductions and loopholes on Wednesday as congressional Republicans and the White House continue to haggle over which ones to target. The administration is leaving much of the detailed work to Hill Republicans on the major tax-writing committees.

 

Among possible deductions that the White House could support eliminating are those for the use of electric cars, historic preservation and fashioning a ranch into a cattle-breeding facility.

 

Some Senate Republicans and the White House want to continue the practice of businesses deducting the cost of investments along a steady schedule, which could allow for a bigger cut in the top corporate rate from its current 35 percent level, administration officials said.

Of course, the real question is whether tax reform is even possible given the fractured Republican party in the House and a very narrow Republican majority in the Senate.  Certainly recent history would suggest not so much.

via http://ift.tt/2xylgTB Tyler Durden

Trump’s Pardon of Sheriff Joe Arpaio Is a Reminder that Presidential Pardon Powers Should Be Used Far More Often

Trump’s Pardon of Sheriff Joe Arpaio Is a Reminder that Executive Clemency Should Be Used Far More Often

I believe in the goodness and necessity of executive clemency so strongly that I took a two-year break from journalism to work at an organization that advocates explicitly for commuting overly long sentences. There’s no universal agreement on what constitutes an “overly long” sentence, but I used to tell friends and peers that—in a very, very, very small way—I helped get drug dealers out of prison early.

It’s not just drug sentences that are too long. There is a saying among conservative prison reformers that “prison should be for people we’re afraid of, not people we’re mad at.” The precise boundaries of those categories may be debatable. (Attorney General Jeff Sessions, for example, insists drug offenders are inherently violent, a view I strongly disagree with.) Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, who was pardoned by President Trump last week in a controversial move that circumvented the conventional pardoning process, is in the latter category. Many people fear what Joe Arpaio did as sheriff, what he stands for, and the voters who empowered him to do those things for so long. But Joe Arpaio, private citizen, is not a threat to public safety.

So I am not too upset that he will not be caged, just as I am not upset when drug offenders are not caged, because I think our collective eagerness to rescind life and liberty is illiberal and dehumanizing, not to mention hideously expensive and a massive obstacle to personal reform.

The problem with executive pardon power as it has been used in the last few decades is not the benefits occasionally derived by the Joe Arpaios of the world, but that it so seldom benefits anyone else. Executive clemency is a thinly disguised lottery that mostly disappoints the vast majority of people who play it. Presidential pardons should be handed out far more often and far more consistently to a far wider group of people. (I would say the same of commutations, but legislative reforms would help far more people.)

To be clear, I believe President Trump’s decision to pardon Arpaio was a disgrace due to Arpaio’s lack of contrition and Trump’s blatant disregard for precedent. But if the price of radically expanding clemency were that sometimes someone like Joe Arpaio got pardoned too, it would be worth it.

Trump’s pardon of Arpaio did not follow the contours of what we typically think of as a “good” pardon.

Those usually start with the Office of the Pardon Attorney (OPA), which acts as a conduit between clemency applicants and the upper echelons of the Department of Justice. The OPA encourages men and women convicted in the federal court system, or under the Uniform Code of Military Justice, to apply for the president’s forgiveness starting five years after they have finished the entirety of their sentence; or, in the event they served no time, five years after the date of conviction.

That is not what happened with Sheriff Arpaio. He was convicted in July. He would not have been sentenced until October. Prior to his pardon, he seemed most likely to receive some form of supervised release, such as probation, rather than prison time. “Generally,” says the OPA website, “no petition should be submitted by a person who is on probation, parole, or supervised release.”

Arpaio, as it happens, was pardoned without ever submitting a petition. This is extremely unusual.

The rules have been bent in other ways, of course. Marc Rich, an oil trader indicted for doing business with Iran during the 1979-1981 hostage crisis, fled the U.S. in 1984 to avoid arrest and a trial. President Bill Clinton pardoned him in 2001 without Rich ever returning to stand justice.

Understandably, plenty of people were upset about this. Democrats. Republicans. Justice Department staffers. It was a disgrace, and the actors who made the Rich pardon happen—a list that includes then-Deputy Attorney General Eric Holder and Pres. Clinton himself—admitted later it was a bad idea.

Trump pardoning Arpaio when, how, and why he did is more akin to Clinton’s pardon of Rich than any relief granted by Presidents George W. Bush or Barack Obama or even George H.W. Bush. Arpaio may not have given Trump as much money as the Rich family gave Clintonland and the Democratic National Committee, but he gave him electoral support.

And like Rich, Arpaio thumbed his nose at the justice system, which Nick Gillespie documents in detail here. Any attorney or advocate whose worked on pardon applications will tell you that contrition is an essential ingredient to having a snowball’s chance in hell. (If you want more examples of Arpaio’s bumptiously disrespectful behavior toward the judge presiding over his case, read this thread by the judge’s former clerk.)

And yet, most pardon applicants, even those who go through the normal process and show contrition, do not have even a snowball’s chance. Between the beginning of Dubya’s presidency and the end of Obama’s, the DOJ received 5,893 pardon applications. Those two presidents granted 401 combined, or just shy of seven percent. The rest were either denied or ignored—”closed without presidential action.”

While we’re talking about Bush and Obama, let’s zoom right quick down memory lane and look at how long their pardon recipients had to wait. You can see all the presidential pardon and commutation recipients here, dating back to Pres. Richard Nixon, who exercised his clemency powers like someone who never donned the veil of ignorance.

Bush’s two most generous pardons came seven years after the applicants were convicted. Most of the people he pardoned waited much longer. One man received a pardon in 2005 for a bootlegging conviction dating back to 1959. There’s no obvious rhyme or reason to Bush’s list, though little people getting lucky and big people nudging things along probably explains most of it. (The actual reasoning that an administration uses for each case is pre-deliberative information and thus exempt from public records requests.)

Even when Bush did meddle in the Justice System, he didn’t go nearly as far as Trump. After White House staffer Scooter Libby was convicted for his role leaking Valerie Plame’s identity and lost on appeal, Bush commuted his 30 month prison sentence, but didn’t pardon him for his crimes or rescind the court-ordered fines and period of supervised release. Libby forfeited his law license in 2008 and didn’t get it restored until 2016, and remains unpardoned. I’m not suggesting you weep for the man, but it does show that even for the wealthy, criminal penalties aren’t always limited to what’s handed down at sentencing.

Those unintended penalties are supposedly why pardons exist: so that every few years the president can pluck a handful of random people out of a living hell and give them his (and one day her) blessing to hold occupational licenses, vote, and own firearms without being labeled a felon in possession.

Let’s return to Arpaio getting a pardon despite showing zero remorse while most people feel obligated to grovel and many don’t get so much as a formal brush-off: Arpaio didn’t deserve it by the historical standard. He didn’t wait long enough, didn’t say sorry, didn’t cop to being bad nor promise to be good. (“You should bear in mind,” the OPA tells potential applicants, “that a presidential pardon is ordinarily a sign of forgiveness and is granted in recognition of the applicant’s acceptance of responsibility for the crime and established good conduct for a significant period of time after conviction or release from confinement.”)

Also: Trump’s reasoning—that Arpaio was treated unfairly—was absolute bullshit. As Gillespie noted, Arpaio was treated as fairly as one could hope to be by the federal criminal justice system. He had private attorneys and remained free during his trial. He remains free right now.

Lastly, let’s look at what makes the pardon process so awful even when it’s not being used to benefit political allies.

The Office of the Pardon Attorney is very small. It receives a large volume of applications, each of which requires a ream of supporting paperwork, ranging from documents related to all of the applicant’s convictions and arrests, to contrite personal statements and documented claims of conviction-related hardships, to letters of support. “You must list all delinquent credit obligations,” says the OPA, as well as any bankruptcies and unpaid tax obligations.

Does having filed for bankruptcy hurt your chances? Improve them? OPA won’t tell you, and I doubt the agency has a hard and fast rule. What if your hardships are not exceptional? How does one go about making him or herself out to be exceptionally screwed by the collateral consequences of a criminal conviction? What an awful contest.

Every aspect of the application must be verified, and the burden of accuracy is on the applicant. “The failure to fully and accurately complete the application form may be construed as a falsification of the petition,” says OPA, which adds that “the knowing and willful falsification of a document submitted to the government may subject you to criminal punishment.” I don’t think anyone has ever been tried for leaving something out of a pardon application, but isn’t nice to know the government reserves that right?

The applications are first read by bureaucrats, then by other bureaucrats, who might pass them along to political appointees, who may put them in front of White House staff, who perhaps will put a bug in the president’s ear. At each step, an anonymous person with a lot of power has to ask him or herself, “Will kicking this up the chain of command expose me or my boss to criticism or blowback?” If the answer remotely resembles a yes, then the applicant’s answer is generally “no.” There are exceptions, of course, but you can name then on your fingers: Rich, Chelsea Manning, Arpaio, Libby. But we should probably dispense with the idea that a presidential pardon is anything more than a carefully orchestrated attempt on the government’s behalf to appear inoffensively human. (The exceptions being Obama’s clemency initiative and Jimmy Carter’s pardoning of men who refused to fight in Vietnam.)

There is even a small cottage industry of legal workers who will “help” federally convicted individuals put together a petition. Attorneys will generally do so for somewhere around $10,000, even though the instructions for applying are posted on the DOJ website and say nothing about the necessity of hiring a lawyer. These attorneys will cite their experience in government or their pardon success rate, but they can’t say for sure they’ll get you out, only that they’ll take your money and use their letterhead. Further down the legal food chain, paralegals will tell you they also know how to put together a perfect pardon application, and will do it for slightly less than the attorneys. Then there are current and former prisoners who got lucky or know someone who did. They will transfer that luck to you, for money.

The people who receive pardons—like the people who receive commutations—are generally no more exceptional or deserving of them than many of the people who get rejected. They are simply the ones who, for whatever reason, didn’t get rejected. The result is a system that is fundamentally unfair.

The pardon process should be more than a crapshoot that benefits the lucky and the well-connected.

One way to do that is to pardon lots of people regularly, something former Pardon Attorney Margaret Love advised in a brief for the American Constitution Society. “When pardons are issued generously and at regular intervals, as they were prior to 1980, the power appears more a function of government than a perk of office, and thus more legitimate in the public eye.”

Love also suggests we should think more broadly about who deserves pardoning, when, and why:

An individual who has fully satisfied the court-imposed penalty, accepted responsibility for the offense and made a reasonable effort to reconcile with those injured by it, and lived productively for a period of time in the community, should ordinarily be considered favorably for pardon. Humble status and modest means should not be disqualifying. Indeed, reserving post-sentence pardons for those who have performed heroic acts or rendered extraordinary service to their communities may send a message that forgiveness is not a final closure to which ordinary people may aspire. At the same time, the gravity of the offense or notoriety of the offender may suggest the desirability of imposing a longer waiting period before favorable action, in consideration of the symbolic effect of a pardon. A specific need for a pardon (e.g., to qualify for a particular job or license, obtain a security clearance, or avoid deportation) may be a relevant factor in considering whether to grant clemency, but a simple desire for forgiveness should be sufficient.

P.S. Ruckman, Jr., with whom long-time Reason readers are likely familiar, has also published suggestions for transforming pardon power from a crapshoot into a mundane rehabilitative tool.

A sound first step would be moving the Office of the Pardon Attorney out of the fundamentally punitive confines of the Justice Department. He also suggests that pardon attorney terms should begin and end with those of the president, which would allow for the OPA to reflect the views of a new president and force new presidents to select someone whose philosophy on mercy mirrors their own. Ruckman’s list goes on, and includes thoughtful ideas such as creating a clemency commission, tracking data on clemency recipients post-receipt of either pardon or commutation, and requiring the attorney general to publish why pardons and commutations were granted, as was done in the early 20th century.

But any initiative to reform the process would need to come from the White House. With Trump flouting the conventions that already exist to pardon people like Arpaio, I don’t see that happening any time soon.

Disclosure: I served as director of communications at Families Against Mandatory Minimums, a sentencing reform organization that advocates for legislative reforms and increased use of executive clemency, from 2013 to 2015.

from Hit & Run http://ift.tt/2wj5Kwi
via IFTTT

“There Will Be Blood”: S&P Warns Failure To Raise Debt Ceiling Would Be “More Catatrophic Than Lehman”

With just one month left until the Treasury “X-date”, or the moment when it would run out of cash without a debt-ceiling resolution…

… the time has come for dire, apocalyptic threats to spook Congress into action and specifically reaching a compromise on a debt ceiling resolution, and S&P – which infamously downgraded the US in 2011 during the last debt ceiling fiasco – is happy to be the source of bad news.

In a report published on Wednesday titled “With A Shutdown, There Will Be Blood”, U.S. chief economist at S&P, Beth Ann Bovino, writes that “failure to raise the debt limit would likely be more catastrophic to
the economy than the 2008 failure of Lehman Brothers and would erase
many of the gains of the subsequent recovery.

Not even bothering to focus too much on the implications of a debt-ceiling breach, which would result in a technical default of the US, and potentially imperil the reserve status of the US Dollar, Bovino instead analyses the other key event due in a month, the potential government shutdown and writes that If it began early in the quarter, a shutdown would shave at least $6.5 billion off of real 4Q GDP each week it continues. Her analysis is based in part on 1995-1996 government shutdown and 16-day shutdown in October 2013.

 

However, agreeing with Goldman’s analysis released earlier, the S&P analyst said that the likelihood of a federal shutdown in late September remains “slim” with the fallout from Harvey reducing the chances further.

Still, S&P is unwilling to assume a happy ending, with Bovino adding that “betting on a rational US government can be risky.” Judging by today’s latest blow out in the spread between September/October Bill yields, the market agrees.

via http://ift.tt/2wiRlAg Tyler Durden

WTI/RBOB Tumble As Valero Says Refinery Startup Underway

RBOB is tumbling near $1.60 handle after headlines reported Valero saying that startup is underway at its Three Rivers refinery and its Corpus Christi refinery, both in Texas, according to a statement from co. spokeswoman Lillian Riojas.

Blomberg reports that the company is working to ensure availability of critical transportation and logistics infrastructure to resume all operations. Houston and Texas City, Texas, facilities continue to operate. Port Arthur, Texas, refinery shut because of flooding and potential power supply interruption.

Additionally, Plains resumed service on its Cactus crude pipeline after shutting it down Friday in preparation for Harvey, according to person familiar with matter.

And,  Buckeye expects to restore its 50k b/d condensate splitter to normal operations to at Corpus Christi, Texas, later Wednesday.

But it appears the machines took comfort in the headline…sending RBOB to the lows of the day…

Though we are unsure of why this would be bearish for crude (unless it is the crack spread arbs weighing it down).

But RBOB has a long way to go…

via http://ift.tt/2vKaSpI Tyler Durden

Ivy League Professors Issue Rallying Cry To Students: “Think For Yourself”

Authored by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

There are plenty of unconscious humans, many of whom happen to inhabit positions of great wealth and power, committing all sorts of horrible deeds to their fellow humans on a daily basis. I’ve spent much of the past five years highlighting such behavior, but we’ve arrived at a point where it’s time to give increased attention to the multitude of conscious, deeply caring people trying to make a positive difference within our current very challenging and hostile environment.

As I was pondering what to write about today, a recent comment posted to last Thursday’s post, Why Am I Doing This?, really connected with me. I have reposted it in full below.

The perspective outlined above fits in perfectly with my recent thinking on how decent, conscious people can change the world for the better over time. Calling the current paradigm we live under the corrupt, parasitic fraud it is, is certainly important. You can’t move beyond something negative unless you recognize and admit what’s broken in the first place. That said, it is absolutely crucial to offer something better. Knowing what we are against is simply not good enough, it’s imperative that we know what we stand for (whenever possible), and that we express such desires and vision as clearly and courageously as we can.

In that regard, I want to commend and highlight a message published yesterday to college students signed by 15 professors from Harvard, Princeton and Yale. It’s short, to the point and powerful.

I have republished it in full below:

Some Thoughts and Advice for Our Students and All Students

August 28, 2017

 

We are scholars and teachers at Princeton, Harvard, and Yale who have some thoughts to share and advice to offer students who are headed off to colleges around the country. Our advice can be distilled to three words:

Think for yourself.

Now, that might sound easy. But you will find – as you may have discovered already in high school – that thinking for yourself can be a challenge. It always demands self-discipline and these days can require courage.

 

In today’s climate, it’s all-too-easy to allow your views and outlook to be shaped by dominant opinion on your campus or in the broader academic culture. The danger any student – or faculty member – faces today is falling into the vice of conformism, yielding to groupthink.

 

At many colleges and universities what John Stuart Mill called “the tyranny of public opinion” does more than merely discourage students from dissenting from prevailing views on moral, political, and other types of questions. It leads them to suppose that dominant views are so obviously correct that only a bigot or a crank could question them.

 

Since no one wants to be, or be thought of, as a bigot or a crank, the easy, lazy way to proceed is simply by falling into line with campus orthodoxies.

 

Don’t do that. Think for yourself.

 

Thinking for yourself means questioning dominant ideas even when others insist on their being treated as unquestionable. It means deciding what one believes not by conforming to fashionable opinions, but by taking the trouble to learn and honestly consider the strongest arguments to be advanced on both or all sides of questions—including arguments for positions that others revile and want to stigmatize and against positions others seek to immunize from critical scrutiny.

 

The love of truth and the desire to attain it should motivate you to think for yourself. The central point of a college education is to seek truth and to learn the skills and acquire the virtues necessary to be a lifelong truth-seeker. Open-mindedness, critical thinking, and debate are essential to discovering the truth. Moreover, they are our best antidotes to bigotry.

 

Merriam-Webster’s first definition of the word “bigot” is a person “who is obstinately or intolerantly devoted to his or her own opinions and prejudices.” The only people who need fear open-minded inquiry and robust debate are the actual bigots, including those on campuses or in the broader society who seek to protect the hegemony of their opinions by claiming that to question those opinions is itself bigotry.

 

So don’t be tyrannized by public opinion. Don’t get trapped in an echo chamber. Whether you in the end reject or embrace a view, make sure you decide where you stand by critically assessing the arguments for the competing positions.

 

Think for yourself.

 

Good luck to you in college!

Rather than complaining about the behavior of students or college administrators, these professors went down the inspiring route of boldly putting forth a rallying cry rooted in wisdom and intellectualism. We need a lot more of this sort of thing across society. There are so many decent people out there, and it’s time for us to step up in whatever way we can to add positivity and put forth an alternative message that can someday hopefully replace the very unconscious and destructive one that currently dominates our culture.

The good news is that no one has the power to stop you. Your life circumstances may limit your options to engage, but each and every one of us is presented with many opportunities on a daily basis to be a little more kind, a little more decent and a little more courageous in our timeless pursuit of a better world. Small things matter and will add up in unimaginable ways. The best day to behave more consciously was yesterday, the second best day is today.

Thanks again to the professors who signed that valuable and courageous message.

via http://ift.tt/2xygIMM Tyler Durden

Houston Reeling Amid Outbreak Of Looting, Armed Robberies; Vigilantes Emerge

Inevitably every major metropolitan crisis brings out the best and worst of what humanity has to offer.  While hundreds/thousands of people have rushed into Houston following the epic destruction of Hurricane Harvey to help in any way possible, others have once again predictably chosen to exploit the misery of others by looting abandoned shopping centers, robbing empty homes and even breaking into the Houston Apple Store (by shooting through the front door).

In fact, just last night Houston’s Mayor was forced to impose a strict midnight to 5am curfew amid “an outbreak of looting and armed robberies, in order to prevent property crimes against evacuated homes in the city.  As Reuters notes, the curfew came after, among other things, reports surfaced of people impersonating police officers all so they could tell residents to evacuate their homes and then promptly rob them blind.

That proved too little for county officials who set up their own location as an outbreak of looting and armed robberies prompted the city to order an indefinite curfew from midnight to 5 a.m. (0500 to 1000 GMT).

 

Houston Police Chief Art Acevedo said late Tuesday individuals impersonating police officers knocked on doors in at least two parts of the city telling residents to evacuate their homes.

Meanwhile, Houston Police Chief Art Acevedo hosted a press conference earlier this morning to warn residents that his force is not going to tolerate criminals taking advantage of people in the community and that he is working with the district attorney to strengthen penalties for looting and is encouraging judges and juries to impose the maximum penalties possible.  Per ABC 13 of Houston:

He said his officers arrested 14 alleged looters since Sunday. Those arrested will face stiffer punishments under a Texas law providing heftier penalties during a crisis, prosecutors announced Tuesday.

 

“People displaced or harmed in this storm are not going to be easy prey,” Harris County District Attorney Kim Ogg said.

 

Burglarizing a home would normally bring a penalty of two to 20 years in prison, but now brings five years to life. “This is the state of Texas. We are a welcoming city, but we are not going to tolerate people victimizing others,” Acevedo said. He said he will push for the fullest prosecution possible for any crimes committed during such a sensitive time.

The Police Chief said his officers arrested a crew of armed criminals robbing members of the Houston community on Monday night. “They found them after a pursuit and took them into custody. He said officers also caught three looters at a Game Stop Monday night.”

The owner of the Bronze Bar in Houston also shared a photo of her business with smashed windows writing, “My business that I’ve worked hard for was looted last night. I can’t believe people are capable of this.”

Not surprisingly, some looters either did not get the message or have simply chosen to ignore it as pictures and videos of criminal activity continue to flood twitter.

Meanwhile, other residents have simply chosen to become vigilantes, and take matter into their own hands…

YLIS

via http://ift.tt/2wjtHnb Tyler Durden

Bloomberg Jumps On The ‘AntiFa’-Bashing Bandwagon “More In Common With Nazis Than American Ideals”

It appears Bay Area TV anchor Frank Somerville's honest description of "the hate" he experienced from "violent, clad in black" protesters in Berkeley was the tipping point for the liberal media to turn against AntiFa en masse.

I experienced hate first hand today… It came from these people dressed in all black at a protest in Berkeley.

 

Ironically they were all chanting about NO hate.

 

Some had shields and gloves. Some had helmets. Some had gas masks.

 

And then, for the first time since the campaigns began late last year and protests broke out, The Washington Post unleashed this shocking headline.

That was quickly followed by The Los Angeles Times…

 

Then, The Atlantic…

 

And now, liberalist of them all, Bloomberg

Authored by Eli Lake,

The masked "antifa" anarchists have more in common with the Tiki-torch Nazis than with American ideals.

As America feels like it's coming apart at the seams, I have a modest proposal. The hard-right and hard-left activists who so enjoy protesting one another should meet every few weekends in a large national park and have at it.

The rest of us could begin to treat this wave of street agitation as the sideshow it is.

After all, this is not a fight for the soul of America. Neither the Tiki-torch Nazis nor the masked anarchists represent a viable American future. They are simply engaging in nostalgia, a scarier version of Civil War battle re-enactments.

Lumping them together does not equate two unequal sides. The cause of anti-fascism is noble, whereas the racists marching in Charlottesville are telling journalists like me I should be sent to the ovens. I'm not talking about the folks on the left who are nonviolent and unmasked, showing up to protest the fascists. I'm referring to the extreme wing that invites itself to these gatherings to "protect" these model citizens. Those "antifa" are something altogether different.

You may have heard of them recently. Human rights historian Mark Bray, who has recently become an unofficial spokesman for the movement, says that "its adherents are predominantly communists, socialists and anarchists who reject turning to the police or the state to halt the advance of white supremacy."

Recently this crowd has been getting some good press. No less a public intellectual than Cornel West said after Charlottesville that had it not been for antifa, "we would have been crushed like cockroaches."

Following the president's vacillations and equivocations after that horror, a popular Twitter meme emerged comparing the antifa to the GIs who stormed the beaches of Normandy.

Not quite the most apt historical parallel. Zoom back to between the world wars. Most of the people who fought the fascists in Europe's streets were themselves radical leftists. Both extremes helped to weaken already weak governments in Germany, Italy and Spain.

To get a sense of the depravity of that political moment, read George Orwell's "Homage to Catalonia," a brilliant memoir of his time fighting in the Spanish civil war. Spoiler alert: The socialists and the fascists fighting for Spain were both authoritarians. Antifa today is the heir not to the Western allies who fought the Nazis, but rather the Soviets who bled them out on the eastern front. After the Third Reich fell, the red army turned the Eastern European states in its dominion into vassals. "Antifa" is a misnomer. It's more like "also-fa."

This movement in the U.S. has been around for decades. Originally it confronted neo-Nazis at punk concerts and the like. Today though, antifa has become the violent vanguard of the censorious progressive "safe space" movement, in which ideas and speakers deemed offensive are equated with physical violence. It was the Berkeley chapter of antifa that prevented Milo Yiannopoulos and Ann Coulter from speaking at the college this year.

Now whatever one wants to say about those two, they are not Nazis. Indeed, the hysterical reaction to their appearances proves a point Yiannopoulos often makes, that political correctness on campus is a great menace to the principle of free speech.

Antifa's vigilantism is dangerous in part because its aim is so poor. We can all agree in the abstract to oppose Nazis and other assorted fascists. The disagreement arises in labeling who's a fascist. So far antifa has shown little discernment in this respect.

Many antifa activists showed up at Trump rallies, where presumably everyone supporting him was lumped in with the Nazis and Klansmen. Antifa activists this month clashed with the police at a rally in Boston, which was ironically called to support "free speech." It's true that some of the speakers invited to this event were reactionaries. But the rally was open to people of all political stripes to support the idea that in America we are free to assemble and say what we wish.

So if any neo-Nazis or antifa activists are reading this, please agree on a schedule and demonstrate against one another far away from the rest of us. I recommend Yellowstone National Park. I promise to get the word out to the media to cover these events with the same seriousness we reserve for Renaissance fairs and Star Trek conventions.

*  *  *

Anyone who’s been paying attention has been presented with many examples of Antifa’s violent thuggery. Now, it’s almost encouraging to hear that the MSM at least has enough sense not to fall on its sword protecting a bunch of violent, embittered hoodlums.

So that's four mainstream liberal media outlets decrying AntiFa… did they just admit – ever so sheepishly – that President Trump was right? There are 'bad people' on both sides?!

via http://ift.tt/2vFIDZU Tyler Durden