Stocks Inexplicably Close Red After Economy Loses Millions More Jobs
The headline banner may be a little misleading:
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The Good – Stocks are up (all it took was a few trillion dollars)? Oil is up (all it took was threats of war)?
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The Bad – COVID cases are up, COVID deaths are up (and Gilead’s drug is a dud)…
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The Ugly – Over 26 million Americans have now filed for unemployment benefits in the last 5 weeks, PMI…
A three-way-standoff between ugly real economic data, ongoing global lockdowns, and The Fed’s “whatever it takes” asset liftathon…
For the fifth week in a row, The Dow managed gains on the back of simply unprecedented surge in joblessness BUT the S&P 500 and Nasdaq DID NOT!!…
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3/26 – 3.31mm jobless, S&P +6.24%, Dow +6.38%
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4/02 – 6.87mm jobless, S&P +2.28%, Dow +2.24%
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4/09 – 6.62mm jobless, S&P +1.45%, Dow +1.21%
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4/16 – 5.24mm jobless, S&P +0.58%, Dow +0.12%
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4/23 – 4.43mm jobless, S&P -0.04%, Dow +0.18%
As LPL’s Ryan Detrick noted “So stocks have never dropped when more than 3 million people apply for unemployment. That is crazy.”
Nasdaq and the S&P were unable to hold the early gains that were lost after the Gilead headlines.
Crazy indeed Ryan and the US’ COVID cases and deaths continues to rise – so ignore that too…
oh and Gilead’s stock price has erased all of its gains from last week as its Remdesivir drug proved to be a dud… but stocks are hopeful…
So, in its worst precedent yet, bad news – the absolute worst – is good news? Because it means fiscal and monetary idiocy will go all the way to ’11’ – even if it’s not already there.
But safe-havens were bid with bonds (price) rising…
Gold rallying…
And Bitcoin bouncing back…
Source: Bloomberg
Notably the “Virus Fear” trade has been flat for almost two weeks – even as the broad market has lifted…
Source: Bloomberg
The Dow manage to scramble back up to its 50% retrace level once again… and fail…
The long-end of the bond curve saw yields drop today as the short-end was flat…
Source: Bloomberg
Big divergence today between HY (down) and IG (up) bond prices…
Source: Bloomberg
The Dollar rallied for the 4th day in a row after Europe closed…
Source: Bloomberg
The Brazilian real collapsed to 5.5/USD – a record low…
Source: Bloomberg
The entire crypto-space was bid today with Ethereum leading the charge…
Source: Bloomberg
Oil futures (June WTI) rallied once again (as did USO modestly) but as the chart below shows, the muppets still don’t get it…
Source: Bloomberg
Finally, we note that Gold surged to a new record high against Yuan…
Source: Bloomberg
And while physical and paper gold were bid, the futures premium over spot compressed today…
Source: Bloomberg
You have to laugh… global stocks know something that the global economy doesn’t…
Source: Bloomberg
Tyler Durden
Thu, 04/23/2020 – 16:02
via ZeroHedge News https://ift.tt/34Z4Pkl Tyler Durden